Thread: how to create jobs Board: Oblivion / Ship of Fools.


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Posted by Josephine (# 3899) on :
 
An acquaintance with a background in finance suggested that what we really need in order to help businesses create more jobs, and to overcome some of the problems that result from their duty to create as much value as possible for their stockholders, and at the same time to help companies that are struggling, is an accounting change.

Right now, everything related to employees is on the liability side of the ledger. Nothing about an employee is an asset on the books. Nothing. That's why, when a business is struggling, they want to get rid of their oldest and most experienced employees first -- those employees are bigger liabilities. They don't value the experience and knowledge those employees have, because there is nothing in the books that says those employees are worth the extra money that they cost.

She said that, until there is a change in accounting rules to make some aspect of employees (experience, training, recognition for work done well, etc.) an asset on the ledger, employees themselves are an expense, pure and simple, with no other value.

As a result, any business that requires a lot of people doing hands-on things (from restaurants to medical offices to, well, just about anything)have to regard their employees as an impediment, not a value. That results in the anti-employee behavior of the businesses, and in their reluctance to invest in training, equipment, etc., as well as their desire to reduce employee numbers.

So the accounting rules need to be changed to reflect the value of the employees.

I don't know how that can be made to happen, or even how to get it into the discussion. But it seems like something that would create a lot of value for companies, and help workers, and be a win all around.
 
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on :
 
I agree with the basics, however this line,
quote:
their duty to create as much value as possible for their stockholders
highlights the biggest issue and one that drives your friend's observation.
The focus on quick returns over the long term viability is a massive component of the problem.
 
Posted by Caissa (# 16710) on :
 
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

How about "Co-operativeism"?
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Josephine:
An acquaintance with a background in finance suggested that what we really need in order to help businesses create more jobs, and to overcome some of the problems that result from their duty to create as much value as possible for their stockholders, and at the same time to help companies that are struggling, is an accounting change.

Right now, everything related to employees is on the liability side of the ledger. Nothing about an employee is an asset on the books. Nothing.

You'd think businesses would have at least some idea of the productive capacity of workers, and might regard the ability to [build their product/provide their services/whatever the business model is] as something of an asset. If they don't regard productive capacity as an asset now, I'm not sure revising accounting rules will change that.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
]You'd think businesses would have at least some idea of the productive capacity of workers, and might regard the ability to [build their product/provide their services/whatever the business model is] as something of an asset. If they don't regard productive capacity as an asset now, I'm not sure revising accounting rules will change that.

Exactly. The lack of respect some American business owners & CEOs have shown for their own workers in the last 11 months has been shocking.

But in the end, you notice what you value. If you don't value labor, you won't notice how they contribute to your bottom line. What we're talking about here is not a simple matter of accounting. We're talking about a change of heart and of worldview-- and those things never shift quickly, or easily.

I suspect we are in for a very rough patch.

[ 04. December 2012, 14:46: Message edited by: cliffdweller ]
 
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

What system would that be?
 
Posted by Josephine (# 3899) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
in the end, you notice what you value. If you don't value labor, you won't notice how they contribute to your bottom line.

That's the point, though. CEOs and CFOs and people with MBAs are all trained to notice what hits the bottom line. If their labor never hits the bottom line in any way that they can see, they won't notice it, and they therefore won't value it appropriately.

If you put the value of labor on the bottom line, because the bottom line is what they value, they will notice it, and will begin to value it. If it's only the cost of labor that is on the bottom line, then it's only the cost that they notice.

I think that changing the accounting rule could change the behavior of corporations very, very quickly.
 
Posted by Enoch (# 14322) on :
 
How would you put a financial value on the workforce, capable of going in the balance sheet unless you owned the workforce? I thought that was called slavery.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
But that data is already out there. They already have records of things like productivity, and hours worked, and output, and wages as a percentage of overhead. They have all that data.

The problem is not that they don't have the data. The problem is that they don't notice it. All of us are bombarded with a slew of data every day. We can't attend to all of it. So we selectively attend to the ones that we consider relevant, important.

For whatever reasons, US business owners & CEOs have chosen to consider the already-present data re: the contributions of their workers irrelevant. They have chosen to give it no more consideration than the color of socks worn by the guy standing next to them in line at Starbucks. The data is out there-- it's able to be discerned. It is attending to it, valuing it, considering it relevant, that brings change.

And I simply don't know how you make that sort of change in worldview.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Until 1980 or so, most corporations did value their employees, they wanted to retain them and knew that they were the basis of production. But then finance types took over, neo-liberalism came in and "downsizing" became the fashion.

I've worked at companies were "contractors" vastly outnumbered "employees"; the latter was some sort of status. It's a legal sham, but the Employment Standards Act here in Ontario permits it.
 
Posted by moonlitdoor (# 11707) on :
 
quote:
originally posted by Josephine

If it's only the cost of labor that is on the bottom line, then it's only the cost that they notice.

We seem to have some scope for misunderstanding accounting terminology here. The opening post refers to showing the value of employees' skills/knowledge on the balance sheet as intangible assets. But the term the bottom line generally refers to the profit and loss account. The proft and loss account automatically includes the contribution of labour as well as its costs, in the current accouting period, because it represents the difference between the company's revenue, partly generated by its labour force, and its operating costs, partly comprised of its labour costs.

As far as the balance sheet is concerned, it would be interesting to know what your friend was referring to as far as the liabilities side, as you won't generally find much in a company's liability statement which is directly related to labour costs. That's because liabilities are only for events which have already happened but which have future financial consequences. So you generally have a current liability to pay your workforce for the work they have already done, but that is only likely to be a month's worth the way most companies operate. There are no liabilities for the costs of continuing to operate in the future so future labour costs are not in the balance sheet.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Josephine:
Right now, everything related to employees is on the liability side of the ledger. Nothing about an employee is an asset on the books. Nothing. That's why, when a business is struggling, they want to get rid of their oldest and most experienced employees first -- those employees are bigger liabilities. They don't value the experience and knowledge those employees have, because there is nothing in the books that says those employees are worth the extra money that they cost.

The question has to be asked then - why are the older employees costing more?

Usually the answer is that they advanced through to higher pay scales because they've been employed there for a given length of time and regarded as entitled to a higher pay scale. If workers were to be promoted to higher pay rates only when they applied for it and had demonstrated that they could maintain the higher level of productivity, then it would be demonstrable that they contribute a higher amount of value to the company.

quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Josephine:
An acquaintance with a background in finance suggested that what we really need in order to help businesses create more jobs, and to overcome some of the problems that result from their duty to create as much value as possible for their stockholders, and at the same time to help companies that are struggling, is an accounting change.

Right now, everything related to employees is on the liability side of the ledger. Nothing about an employee is an asset on the books. Nothing.

You'd think businesses would have at least some idea of the productive capacity of workers, and might regard the ability to [build their product/provide their services/whatever the business model is] as something of an asset. If they don't regard productive capacity as an asset now, I'm not sure revising accounting rules will change that.
Good managers can be expected to understand the productivity because they read the timesheets (or production figures) and not just the aggregated balance sheets. It is not reasonable to expect a bean counter reading a balance sheet to understand the productivity of individual employees when all they have is the big picture of the overall performance of the business or division.

quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

How about "Co-operativeism"?
Even in a cooperative, a member who does not pull their weight will not reap the rewards as greatly as a member who does.

For example, I do my banking through a Credit Union of which I'm a member. If I do everything right and don't let any of my accounts get overdrawn then all is well, but if I do then I have a small penalty fee deducted for being a burden on the membership.

quote:
Originally posted by Josephine:
If you put the value of labor on the bottom line, because the bottom line is what they value, they will notice it, and will begin to value it. If it's only the cost of labor that is on the bottom line, then it's only the cost that they notice.

I think that changing the accounting rule could change the behavior of corporations very, very quickly.

The value of the labour is in what goods and services they produce, the income from which does go on the big picture balance sheet.
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
Good managers can be expected to understand the productivity because they read the timesheets (or production figures) and not just the aggregated balance sheets. It is not reasonable to expect a bean counter reading a balance sheet to understand the productivity of individual employees when all they have is the big picture of the overall performance of the business or division.

Even taking a "big picture" view, the idea that productivity is a result of the efforts of workers doesn't seem terribly complicated to grasp. You don't need to know the specifics of which individual workers are the most productive to get the very basic concept "if we have no workers, work won't get done".
 
Posted by leo (# 1458) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

What system would that be?
One that is not based upon usury.
 
Posted by Josephine (# 3899) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by moonlitdoor:
quote:
originally posted by Josephine

If it's only the cost of labor that is on the bottom line, then it's only the cost that they notice.

We seem to have some scope for misunderstanding accounting terminology here. The opening post refers to showing the value of employees' skills/knowledge on the balance sheet as intangible assets. But the term the bottom line generally refers to the profit and loss account.
If there is an opportunity to get accounting terminology wrong, I will probably get it wrong. I am reasonably certain that my acquaintance was talking about the balance sheet, not P&L.
 
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

What system would that be?
One that is not based upon usury.
Such as?
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
If workers were to be promoted to higher pay rates only when they applied for it and had demonstrated that they could maintain the higher level of productivity, then it would be demonstrable that they contribute a higher amount of value to the company.

Except that that is the way the vast majority of small and medium sized companies do it anyway. The slowly-rising-up-the-pay-scale thing is almost dead except in some very large organisations (private as well as public)

And payment by results sounds all very well, but in practice it usually leads to whoever the middle managers like most getting the promotion or bonus. Or else to workers getting paid for unimagiitivly sticking to stupid rules and targets becoming completely detached from what they are supposed to be trying to do. Its a recipe for arse-lickers and jobsworths and bullies.

And once you've promoted someone for making a bit more money for their boss than the next bloke what do you do when they get a little older or slower? Chuck them out and replace them with a younger model? That's what most manual employers used to do in the 19th and early 20th centuries. There never was a golden age when all those lovely paternalistic bosses valued their workers. In many manual occupations your earnings peaked in your early 20s and it was downhill from then on.

And you can't realistically measure most worker's individual productivity anyway - its been a long time since we were all employed in vast factories putting wigibuggers on doodaflips and the one who flipped the most bruggleyshites per fortnight was worth more to the business. How do you fairly measure a monetary value of the productivity of a teacher (OFSTED? [Projectile] ) or an accountant or a social worker or a call centre worker or a supermarket checkout worker (whose work rate is determined by the rate at which the system presents them with customers and the way their bosses set up the systems they use) or a programmer (code metrics? [Killing me] ) or a plumber (if involved in domestic repairs, then every job is different - and their boss gets paid more the longer they take to do the job) a "consultant" or even a "manager" (which I think may be the individually most common job title in Britain these days)

And most importantly, most work is done by workers together, by people co-operating. The sort of individualistic hypercompetitive war of all against all that maybe some sales workers or estate agents or unfortunate middle managers in a few brutally run large companies, might get involved in, where one winnter takes all the prizes, and the losers get the boot, just doesn't happen in most jobs. Its the whole team, maybe the whole organisation, that does well or badly, not some individual within it. Good work makes other people's work easier and amkes them more produictive. Bad work can have the opposite effect. Sometimes things succeeed or fail for no reason under your control at all. When things go right for a project even the worst workers on it benefit, when badly,m even the best can;t fix it. But maybe the same team will do different ly next year? re on Why look for completely artificial reasons to pay some more and others less, to promote one and sack another,just because it makes the bosses feel more macho? Why set workers against each other when they need to co-operate?

On second thoughts, no need to answer that last question... we know why it pays bosses to set workers against each other.
 
Posted by moonlitdoor (# 11707) on :
 
quote:
originally posted by Joesphine

I am reasonably certain that my acquaintance was talking about the balance sheet, not P&L.

ok, well in terms of the balance sheet, I don't think it's right to say that employees feature heavily as liabilities but not as assets. They don't feature much on either side. That's because as I said before, liabilities are only for events that have already happened. Generally a company has already paid its workforce for the work they have already done, a liability only arises for work done but not yet paid for. The fact that they will have to be paid in the future might make them a liability in the mind of the Chief Executive but not on the balance sheet.

The reason why they are not assets, in UK accounting principles at least, is as Enoch alluded to, that you can only claim things as assets if you have control over them for the future, and you don't have control over your employees because they might leave. I am not really qualified to comment on the overall consequences of changing such a principle, but one obvious one is in terms of secured loans. Secured loans are at lower interest rates than unsecured loans because the lender can expect to be repaid from the assets of the company in the event of a default. If the assets of a small company were primarily people who might get a better offer the week after the loan, this would be a problem.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

What system would that be?
One that is not based upon usury.
Such as?
Anyone going to answer BA?

Anyone prepared to nail their colours to the mast?

Go on - for old times sake. I miss the cold war.
 
Posted by Caissa (# 16710) on :
 
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.
 
Posted by Drewthealexander (# 16660) on :
 
It's an interesting question how a business attributes value to its workers. There are presumably means other than a balance sheet. Since we are all living longer, we will eventually get to the point when 'older workers' will be in the majority. There are employers, in collaboration with Government, who are promoting the value of a mixed aged workforce, and particularly of older workers.
 
Posted by Porridge (# 15405) on :
 
An interesting discussion, but . . . I don't quite see how documenting the value workers bring to a company creates jobs. Saves jobs, maybe, but . . . creates them?
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
Illustrative example below. Please blame your political elites, business school graduates and what their ideas have wrought.

Simple business in a global market or even in a local market is about money. Current policies allow the spending of money in country or overseas to be business expenses in the home country. Thus I can buy infrastructure from China or Korea and expense it in Canada. How could I justify buying it for nearly 3 times the cost locally? or from the USA or EU? I'd rather pay 10K than 30. So I'm buying a computer server for my small business sourced from China and Korea, before the end of December. It is not my fault that the tax laws are constructed to make this a better idea that having locals employed or even people employed somewhere in country. The companies that make the server components moved their manufacturing operations over to Asia long ago due to trade liberalisation. Local workers are simply SOL.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

It was Marx who said that things that visit us first as tragedy return as comedy. I hope you're being funny. Marx was a complete disaster.

The middle ground is social democracy with a regulated economy so no-one exploits anyone. We've moved away from that. We need to restore it. But Marx? No.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

No idea who that is. Why don't you tell us? Is there a particular flavour of whoever-that-is's politics you prefer over others? Come on, stop being so coy. Name names!
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

No idea who that is. Why don't you tell us? Is there a particular flavour of whoever-that-is's politics you prefer over others? Come on, stop being so coy. Name names!
Yeah! Are you now, or have you ever been, . . .

[ 04. December 2012, 20:32: Message edited by: Crœsos ]
 
Posted by Russ (# 120) on :
 
Nothing that bean-counters do creates jobs. Jobs are created by innovation and creativity, by individuals who understand the production process and the market well enough to see how things could be done differently.

Sound finance is important, but if the accountancy tail starts to wag the management dog then it'll all end in tears.

Best wishes,

Russ
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

No idea who that is. Why don't you tell us? Is there a particular flavour of whoever-that-is's politics you prefer over others? Come on, stop being so coy. Name names!
Yeah! Are you now, or have you ever been, . . .
Now that's funny! To be honest I think everyone in the entertainment industry would be a... er... I dunno! I don't know what we are discussing here, because the person hinting at it seems to by shy about saying what it is he believes in. So I don't know what anyone in the Entertainment business would be.

Come on everybody, let's give him a big hand and a nice warm welcome, there's no need to by shy Caissa, come and talk to us! Just name your politics so we can all... understand it! Yes, understand it.
 
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

It was Marx who said that things that visit us first as tragedy return as comedy. I hope you're being funny. Marx was a complete disaster.

The middle ground is social democracy with a regulated economy so no-one exploits anyone. We've moved away from that. We need to restore it. But Marx? No.

Her avatar says nothing about what system she favors. Good luck trying to identify what a self-identified Socialist favors other than not Capitalism. Mao's China? Stalin's Russia? Castro's Cuba? Chavez's Venezuela?

Social Democracy doesn't guarantee no-one exploits anyone. Who decides what counts as exploitation? No matter the economic system somebody will claim to be exploited by somebody else who will also claim exploitation.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

It was Marx who said that things that visit us first as tragedy return as comedy. I hope you're being funny. Marx was a complete disaster.

The middle ground is social democracy with a regulated economy so no-one exploits anyone. We've moved away from that. We need to restore it. But Marx? No.

Her avatar says nothing about what system she favors. Good luck trying to identify what a self-identified Socialist favors other than not Capitalism. Mao's China? Stalin's Russia? Castro's Cuba? Chavez's Venezuela?

Social Democracy doesn't guarantee no-one exploits anyone. Who decides what counts as exploitation? No matter the economic system somebody will claim to be exploited by somebody else who will also claim exploitation.

That's why asked about any particular flavours. I always think Marxism - there, I've said it for you... pet - is a bit like Baskin-Robbins ice-cream, fifty different flavours.

I'm looking forward to a trip down memory lane here. Materialist Dialecticism, negation of the negation, unity of opposites... ahhh! Bisto!

It feels like the 80's again!
 
Posted by Chapelhead (# 21) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
All BS has to do is look at my avatar for my answer.

Jesus - the answer's always Jesus, so he must be the beardy bloke.


More seriously, as others have pointed out, putting a value on employees isn't going to create jobs, or even save them. What a company has that is of value is reputation, systems, market position, public profile, fixed and current assets etc and possibly the experience of it workforce. Many in the workforce (those most likely to be dispensed with) probably have a pretty low value from a business perspective - they can easily be replaced.

Indeed, because of the cost associated with getting rid of staff, and the need to continue paying them whether they or the firm produces anything of value, employees may be a liability rather than an asset. Should firms include a liability in the balance sheet based on the cost and length of service of their staff?
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Social Democracy doesn't guarantee no-one exploits anyone. Who decides what counts as exploitation? No matter the economic system somebody will claim to be exploited by somebody else who will also claim exploitation.

You're right, that's true. We've done a little better with regulated and restrained capitalism here. I am for the middle ground, between restraint of business entirely by socialist ideology, and reasoned restraint of that gov't control. We need a balance. Better than either end, and I have seen both in relative mild versions. The European irresponsible manner of social welfare of France and Greece is not acceptable and isn't what we've had. Nor is the total wide open capitalist exploitive model of say some Asian and South American countries; America seems to be between us and them from my read. I worry about the the growing rich and poor groups, and the shrinking middle group, from whom we get patriots and revolutionaries.

The most recent risks here have come from the excesses of capitalism, off shoring of economy, various tax and free trade strategies. All of this said, I have benefitted hugely from the tax and economic policy changes from the 1980s to now. It has made me wealthy, such that I don't have to work anymore, but the way I got there was through fear of destitution, with the progressive erosion of the social safety net. It took me about 25 years to do. I also see the social costs in my province and country of the change in economic policies. People who can't afford necessary prescriptions, people who can't afford housing, children who go to school without breakfast.

Would I have preferred to stay a civil servant? Very hard to say, because that's an alternate history I haven't lived and I could not tolerate the greatly eroded income level of such a position today.
 
Posted by Spiffy (# 5267) on :
 
There is a movement to create a different type of corporation which is not solely focused on the dollar amount at the bottom line and how that affects the shareholders. It's referred to as a B Corporation and so far the largest one is Ben and Jerry's Ice Cream.

There's two tricky pieces, as I understand it:

1) First, your state has to pass laws permitting a B Corporation as a legal business entity, and then

2) if you are an existing company, your shareholders have to vote to permit you to reincorporate as a B Corporation, which was super tricky in the B&J reincorporation as they are a subsidiary of Unilever-- who says they supported it *now* but I'm always suspicious of press releases.
 
Posted by Carex (# 9643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Chapelhead:


What a company has that is of value is reputation, systems, market position, public profile, fixed and current assets etc and possibly the experience of it workforce.

One important addition to that list is capacity, the amount of product that can be created in a certain time period. Employees contribute to this, along with equipment and infrastructure. Lack of capacity holds back a lot of businesses with good ideas and excellent products, because it requires investment to build, and it costs to maintain it even if you aren't using it during a slack period. Capacity puts a limit on how much product a company can sell.

Experienced and competent employees can increase capacity, but any weak link across the whole organization can decrease it by forming a bottleneck.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spiffy:
2) if you are an existing company, your shareholders have to vote to permit you to reincorporate as a B Corporation, which was super tricky in the B&J reincorporation as they are a subsidiary of Unilever-- who says they supported it *now* but I'm always suspicious of press releases.

No, you are just suspicious of big companies like Unilever. If a small company dispatched a press release would you worry about veracity then?
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Josephine:
An acquaintance with a background in finance suggested that what we really need in order to help businesses create more jobs, and to overcome some of the problems that result from their duty to create as much value as possible for their stockholders, and at the same time to help companies that are struggling, is an accounting change.

Right now, everything related to employees is on the liability side of the ledger. Nothing about an employee is an asset on the books. Nothing. That's why, when a business is struggling, they want to get rid of their oldest and most experienced employees first -- those employees are bigger liabilities. They don't value the experience and knowledge those employees have, because there is nothing in the books that says those employees are worth the extra money that they cost.

Surely the shareholders' valuation of the company is always distinct from the accounting valuation? No company ever trades on the stock market at the price its balance sheet would suggest.

Also, anything that increased the assets of a company would decrease the rate of return on each asset, and thus suggest the company was less profitable, not more.

AIUI an investor is supposed (among other things) to look at the balance sheet in conjunction with the revenue and then compare that to industry norms. So a software company will typically have quite a high rate of return on its assets, because most of what makes it profitable can't for various reasons appear on the balance sheet, but for any given company an investor will want to know how its performance compares to similar companies, not how it compares to a manufacturing plant that might have a lower return on its assets.
 
Posted by Caissa (# 16710) on :
 
I don't mean to be coy and I am not shy. Capitalism is a system based on worker exploitation and the increasing accumulation of wealth by the richest. The disparity between the rich and poor keeps growing. At some point capitalism will become unsustainable and will collapse.It almost did a few years ago. Hopefully, when capitalism collapses, it will be replaced by some more equitable form of socialism.
 
Posted by leo (# 1458) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

What system would that be?
One that is not based upon usury.
Such as?
Co-operative socialism - another name for living the Magnificat; of prophets before profits.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
I don't mean to be coy and I am not shy. Capitalism is a system based on worker exploitation and the increasing accumulation of wealth by the richest. The disparity between the rich and poor keeps growing. At some point capitalism will become unsustainable and will collapse.It almost did a few years ago. Hopefully, when capitalism collapses, it will be replaced by some more equitable form of socialism.

I think only someone who doesn’t understand capitalism could truly believe that capitalism “almost collapsed” a few years ago.

Seriously, it did not. It was not even close. Even if every bank in the EU and USA had been nationalised, the regular day to day business of buying and selling and investing would still have gone ahead. All that would have happened is taxes would have gone up more than they did, but they would still be far less than those in the seventies.

The problem with Marxist socialism is that it has an inherent, built-in flaw in its DNA. The materialist philosophy on which it is predicated is only geared towards social constructs, and it ignores individuals. Unfortunately individuals have hopes and dreams beyond the social basics, which Marxism either ignores or tries to repress. It was individuals who brought down the Soviet Union, because as individuals they refused to fight to keep socialism alive. People stood by and watched it falter and die and did nothing to save it, because it was not “theirs”. They didn’t feel enfranchised by Socialism, it didn’t help them attain their dreams, it was a political system “for the others, not for me”.

But I notice that you say “when” capitalism collapses. This is straight from the thesis, antithesis, and synthesis argument of Marxism. Marxism says that the original Capitalist society (the thesis) will die away as the opposite – Anti-capitalism – overcomes the thesis (the antithesis), and eventually that will change into a combination of the good bits of both parts, Socialism (the synthesis).

But look at China. It started as pure Communist (thesis) and is now capitalist, but is that the antithesis or the synthesis? If it’s the synthesis then we must all have missed the antithesis somewhere in the early 90’s! If the current Chinese capitalism is the antithesis, then perhaps the synthesis will be a transition to democratic capitalism!

Either way it is a progression AWAY from the predictions of Marx that Capitalism will inevitably be replaced by Socialism because it is demanded by the materialist dialectic he proposed. Taking his philosophy, Socialism is being replaced by Capitalism.
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
But look at China. It started as pure Communist (thesis) and is now capitalist, but is that the antithesis or the synthesis?

Whatever the present Chinese economic system may be, "capitalism" seems an insufficient descriptor. Nineteen of China's top twenty corporations are either government entities or have the Chinese government as the majority shareholder. While China may not be strictly communist anymore, it's not really a either a capitalist economy or a "mixed" economy (market capitalism with social safety net) like we see in the West. I'd say the best descriptor would be "industrialized feudalism", or maybe "feudal industrialism".
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Russ:
Nothing that bean-counters do creates jobs. Jobs are created by innovation and creativity, by individuals who understand the production process and the market well enough to see how things could be done differently.

True about accountants. But less true about the other stuff. Work creates jobs. The more that is produced and sold and used the more there is to go round and the more work there is. Workers make more work to do, not managers, never mind accountants.

Bosses hate to hear that because they like to blieve in their self-servin g myth of the "entrepreneur".

Its not a zero-sum game.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
I'd say the best descriptor would be "industrialized feudalism", or maybe "feudal industrialism".

"State Capitalism" is a traditional term.

It bears no resemblance to feudalism at all, so those other names are needlessly confusing.

[ 05. December 2012, 16:16: Message edited by: ken ]
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
ken states, correctly, that work creates jobs. That leads me to wonder why so many are without jobs because there is clearly a lot of work that needs doing. Houses are not being built and repaired (there goes Sioni again, about empty homes needing repair and refurbishment) and there are thousands of businesses that have started in the last few years, at the behest of government to fill the gap in the jobs market, only to find that finance is not available from the banks and that the government business lending schemes have either been hijacked by spin-offs from established big business or put on a "reserve list" for goodnes knows what purpose.

Of course, the bankers are twitchy about lending at the moment, governments require them to hold more capital in reserve and those who might in the past have saved look at the deposit rates and wonder why they should bother!

It looks like capital for investment is needed. The commercial sector won't and the government doesn't appear able to provide it in the UK so where the heck is it to come from? I would like to think it could come from those savers who are pissed off at the lousy deposit rates available and could come from them on a partnership basis - some folk put labour in, others put loan capital in, products are made, services are provided and an income stream ensues which provides, after an initial period, a return to the investors. Of course, those who work would receive a wage on which they would pay some tax and their benefits payments would reduce substantially, both of which help the deficit.

I suspect I've done no more than re-invent the investment bank, but it vital that we get the notes out from under the mattresses, because money is like manure: spread it around and it helps things grow. Pile it up in one place and it makes a huge stink.

Of course there are two other alternatives: revolutionary socialism, which even I don't fancy or the awful possibility that George Osborne and his pals want the ordinary man and woman in the UK, employed or not, to remain poor for decades to come.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
ken states, correctly, that work creates jobs. That leads me to wonder why so many are without jobs because there is clearly a lot of work that needs doing.

Which proves that you and Ken are mistaken about work creating jobs. It does nothing of the sort. Work is what you get when you expend energy. Jobs are created by people being willing to pay someone to expend their energy to do work.

You have the cart before the horse.

In order to pay someone to do work, you must first get the money. Unfortunately in Britain, the Government, held back as it is by LibDems, and preceeded by 13 years of Labour Governments, has decided that it wants the money business earn. Therefore there are no jobs, as no businesses have the money to create jobs.

Cutting taxes would increase the ability of companies to employ people to do work.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
ken states, correctly, that work creates jobs. That leads me to wonder why so many are without jobs because there is clearly a lot of work that needs doing.

Which proves that you and Ken are mistaken about work creating jobs. It does nothing of the sort. Work is what you get when you expend energy. Jobs are created by people being willing to pay someone to expend their energy to do work.

You have the cart before the horse.

In order to pay someone to do work, you must first get the money. Unfortunately in Britain, the Government, held back as it is by LibDems, and preceeded by 13 years of Labour Governments, has decided that it wants the money business earn. Therefore there are no jobs, as no businesses have the money to create jobs.

Cutting taxes would increase the ability of companies to employ people to do work.

That hasn't worked here in the US. The last time we had an employment boom, it was after tax hikes, not cuts.

I think you are both wrong. Consumers create jobs. Jobs are created when consumption of goods and services create a demand for those goods and services. Again, your assumption that if businesses just had more money they'd hire more people is proven false by our situation here in the US. American corps. are sitting on record stacks of cash, but still they don't hire. Because they aren't employment agencies, they're businesses. They don't hire workers because they don't know what to do with all this money, they hire workers because they need them to meet a demand for goods or services. Employment will pick up with consumption picks up. In order for that to happen, we need to get more money, not into the hands of business, but in the hands of consumers.
 
Posted by Alogon (# 5513) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by moonlitdoor:
The reason why they are not assets, in UK accounting principles at least, is as Enoch alluded to, that you can only claim things as assets if you have control over them for the future, and you don't have control over your employees because they might leave.

Wouldn't it make a difference if they had contracts? Goodwill is often claimed as an asset. This is entirely in the mind of the public. What control does the company have over it?
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
I think you are both wrong. Consumers create jobs. Jobs are created when consumption of goods and services create a demand for those goods and services.

Actually you are right. I failed to start from the beginning of the chain, and picked it up in the middle.

But those consumers are being picked clean by taxes as well. Cut their taxes and they will start spending again. That money goes into businesses and they will start hiring.
 
Posted by Porridge (# 15405) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
I think you are both wrong. Consumers create jobs. Jobs are created when consumption of goods and services create a demand for those goods and services.

Actually you are right. I failed to start from the beginning of the chain, and picked it up in the middle.

But those consumers are being picked clean by taxes as well. Cut their taxes and they will start spending again. That money goes into businesses and they will start hiring.

*Chokes on tea*

I make barely over subsistence in my lowly work as an overeducated person-minder of individuals with assorted cognitive and psychiatric disabilities. I'm one of those dreadfully dependent 47%-ers who get most of my tax money back at refund time.

My problem isn't taxes. It's crap pay combined with high costs of food, shelter, clothing, and gas.

If I were paid better wages, I would have more to spend. In fact, I could spend it on items I need but can't afford, and/or even the odd luxury or two -- movie tickets or a book from the bookstore instead of waiting until the 12th of Never in the public library queue for Hilary Mantel's latest.
 
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
But those consumers are being picked clean by taxes as well. Cut their taxes and they will start spending again.

Bullshit. Pure and utter bullshit. High taxes are most certainly NOT the source of our problems.

The taxes collected in the US are among the lowest in the industrialized world (source), and they are lower than they used to be (source), and it's not helping us any. You don't pay a whole lot in taxes when you don't have a job.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
I don't know much about the US tax system.I'm refering to the UK tax system.

Our taxes are way higher than US ones (I think), so let's start there.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
ken states, correctly, that work creates jobs. That leads me to wonder why so many are without jobs because there is clearly a lot of work that needs doing.

Which proves that you and Ken are mistaken about work creating jobs. It does nothing of the sort. Work is what you get when you expend energy. Jobs are created by people being willing to pay someone to expend their energy to do work.

You have the cart before the horse.

In order to pay someone to do work, you must first get the money. Unfortunately in Britain, the Government, held back as it is by LibDems, and preceeded by 13 years of Labour Governments, has decided that it wants the money business earn. Therefore there are no jobs, as no businesses have the money to create jobs.

Cutting taxes would increase the ability of companies to employ people to do work.

Employee pay is a business expense and thus deductible from taxes (personal or corporate, if you are a sole proprietor/partnership/corporation). So taxes don't enter into the calculation.

Fail on relevance.
 
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on :
 
If lowering taxes really worked the way all the idiot supply-side trickle-down economists say it does, the US would be light-years ahead of the UK in job creation. But we're not.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
I don't know much about the US tax system.I'm refering to the UK tax system.

Our taxes are way higher than US ones (I think), so let's start there.

Yes, but that was my point. We have done precisely what you are suggesting, it has made a lot of American CEOs very very wealthy-- but there is no sign that it has changed our unemployment rate one iota. Because, again, businesses don't hire people because they have money burning a hole in their pocket. They hire them when they need them to provide goods and services that there is a market for. We don't need to help our corporations amass more wealth. We need to create a demand for the goods and services that workers produce.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
If lowering taxes really worked the way all the idiot supply-side trickle-down economists say it does, the US would be light-years ahead of the UK in job creation. But we're not.

Hold on! They UK hasn't been immune from supply-side bozos and they haven't done us any good either. deano mentioned Sir Keith Joseph*, another monetarist in the Friedman school, and we've had high indirect taxes and decreasing direct taxes for the last 30 or so years. The former have doubled while the latter has reduced from 33% to 20% in that period.

So if we're both in the poo, it could be because the same ingredients are in the mix.

*That's Sir Keith Joseph, Harrow School, Magdalen College, Oxford and fellow of All Souls College, Oxford. Perfectly ordinary chap y'see.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Porridge:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
I think you are both wrong. Consumers create jobs. Jobs are created when consumption of goods and services create a demand for those goods and services.

Actually you are right. I failed to start from the beginning of the chain, and picked it up in the middle.

But those consumers are being picked clean by taxes as well. Cut their taxes and they will start spending again. That money goes into businesses and they will start hiring.

*Chokes on tea*

I make barely over subsistence in my lowly work as an overeducated person-minder of individuals with assorted cognitive and psychiatric disabilities. I'm one of those dreadfully dependent 47%-ers who get most of my tax money back at refund time.

My problem isn't taxes. It's crap pay combined with high costs of food, shelter, clothing, and gas.

If I were paid better wages, I would have more to spend. In fact, I could spend it on items I need but can't afford, and/or even the odd luxury or two -- movie tickets or a book from the bookstore instead of waiting until the 12th of Never in the public library queue for Hilary Mantel's latest.

Exactly. "Trickle up" is what creates jobs. When the care-minders and the Walmart cashiers and all the other lowly paid workers start having enough cash in their pocket to buy a few things, that will create demand-- whether it's ticket takers at the movie theater or salesclerks at the bookstore or barristas at the coffeeshop. Studies have shown that consumers like Porridge are far more likely to spend an extra $20, or, please God, $100 on something like that then the 1%ers-- who again, are sitting comfortably on record piles of cash already.
 
Posted by Jengie Jon (# 273) on :
 
Surely the rule is that business hires someone when it thinks that hiring someone will bring in more money than they have to expend on hiring them. This may be due to cost reduction or to the fact a person produces something they can sell, but that is the bottom line if you like. So it is not work that creates jobs, nor money but the difference between profit from employing someone to do work and the profit from not employing someone to do that work.

Jengie
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.
 
Posted by tclune (# 7959) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Actually, many small businesses seem to exist to be a tax dodge...

--Tom Clune
 
Posted by Carex (# 9643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:

But those consumers are being picked clean by taxes as well. Cut their taxes and they will start spending again. That money goes into businesses and they will start hiring.

So are you assuming that taxes are NOT spent?

As far as I can tell, taxes are spent on hiring contractors to repair roads, purchasing food for prisons, hiring office staff, etc. Salaries and other payments to people (such as pensions), plus purchased goods and services, represent the vast majority of government spending from tax revenue - that money goes to the businesses who provide the goods and services, and to people who use it to buy further things from businesses.

The myth of lowering taxes has been debunked many times by reviews of economic data, but that doesn't stop the greedy from continuing to use it to hoodwink the gullible into acting contrary to their best interest.


Among the people I know, the biggest thing holding back their economic activity is the after effect of the mortgage crisis: many are stuck with homes they can't afford either to own or to sell. It's even more difficult with job uncertainties - any spare money that might otherwise go to repairing the car or buying a new washing machine instead is needed to survive the cutbacks, layoffs, and closings and still have food on the table. People don't buy things because they don't trust that they will be able to pay for them next month when the bill arrives.

What will create jobs is restored confidence that the economy is improving and they have a good chance of still having a job next month, along with some solution to underwater mortgages to restore liquidity to the real estate market. That makes people more willing (and able) to buy more goods and services, increasing demands on businesses to supply them.
 
Posted by Jengie Jon (# 273) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Not at all sure about this. If a company never made profit on any product, it would not last very long no matter how much it enjoyed making things.

Jengie
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Jengie Jon:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Not at all sure about this. If a company never made profit on any product, it would not last very long no matter how much it enjoyed making things.

Jengie

Starbucks hasn't made a profit in years, but does OK. Plenty of vast, highly successful business make minimal profits. If you believe their tax returns that is.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Jengie Jon:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Not at all sure about this. If a company never made profit on any product, it would not last very long no matter how much it enjoyed making things.

Jengie

Well, that may depend how socially critical the business is - agricultural subsidies spring to mind.

I suppose I would say that maxising profit should not / is not the be all and end all. So if you could have £100,000 net profit, or you could employ (or retain) an extra person for £30,000 to do something non-essential but enhancing to your business (door man in a hotel for an example) - there is a social case for creating an extra job.

You are probably more likely to do this in co-op or partnership business. But there are some famously successful partnership and co-op businesses (including a bank that did not need a bailout). There is very little encouragement and promotion of these kind of business models though.
 
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Jengie Jon:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Not at all sure about this. If a company never made profit on any product, it would not last very long no matter how much it enjoyed making things.

Jengie

There are tens of thousands of non-profit businesses, some of which have lasted a very long time, indeed.
 
Posted by ldjjd (# 17390) on :
 
Newman's Own is a good example. Not only does it give all its profits to charity, its products are usually among the best (by any standard) in the market.
 
Posted by Porridge (# 15405) on :
 
My salary is low in part because I work for a not-for-profit. We contract with a government agency to provide services (required under state legislation) to people who, for the most part, either cannot work due to their disabilities, or whose dependence on disability payments limits their earnings, or who can work work only part- time or in supported employment (i.e., an aide accompanies the worker and is constantly prompting them to perform the work tasks.)

Supported employment, AFAICS, is a great way to employ two people to do one job. The company pays the person with the disability, and we pay the staffer providing the support (who sometimes ends up actually doing most of the job).

Meanwhile, on my side of the puddle, we have dozens of red-lined bridges in my state alone, and serious road repairs needed, and I fail to understand why we can't just put out a bond to fund the work, get all these SOL construction workers busy setting things to rights, and when the workers are paying taxes and spending money because, hey, they're back AT WORK EARNING MONEY,
things will be better.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Actually, many small businesses seem to exist to be a tax dodge...

--Tom Clune

It's why I have one, well actually one business, 2 companies. I used to have 3.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
There are indeed other business models, but they are probably a little weird and a little geeky, or at least the ones I know of are.

The $25 Raspberry Pi computer is made by a charity. It's a credit card sized computer you plug into a TV. The initial funding was to buy one before it existed or to donate.

The general Linux operating systems, which are put into distributions, are all free, and funded by donations, and at times by providing a service such as pre-installing on a manufacturer's computer. I have a Xandros Linux Asus EEEPC (no longer in production) for which the Xandros operating system was free, it cost me $99 for the computer. Asus paid Xandros something for it. The Debian distribution of Linux is named for Deb and Ian.

It might also be worthwhile to check out crowd sourcing, and an example of Linux itself as models where the product is free, yet people manage to make a living. The computer server in my office runs Linux (as does my ISP) and the living people make is by providing the services to keep the servers going properly.

I am also interested in rocket stoves which provide fuel efficient cookers for the 3rd world. The model for many who make them is buy one in the first world and the price includes one that goes to a developing country. This sort of model underscores that a philosophy for how to do it is required, and a desire to stick to first principles.
 
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think we should not accept the idea that business exist to make a profit go unchallenged. Businesses exist to create goods or services, and to provide livelihoods. Profit is a proxy for that. But we shouldn't mistake it for the point of the business.

Actually, many small businesses seem to exist to be a tax dodge...

--Tom Clune

It's why I have one, well actually one business, 2 companies. I used to have 3.
I know from 6 years of reading Ship of Fools that dodging taxes is immoral. [Disappointed]
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
In order to pay someone to do work, you must first get the money. Unfortunately in Britain, the Government, held back as it is by LibDems, and preceeded by 13 years of Labour Governments, has decided that it wants the money business earn. Therefore there are no jobs, as no businesses have the money to create jobs.

Cutting taxes would increase the ability of companies to employ people to do work.

Employee pay is a business expense and thus deductible from taxes (personal or corporate, if you are a sole proprietor/partnership/corporation). So taxes don't enter into the calculation.

Fail on relevance.

Fail on history too.

Historical corporation tax rates (source):

1980: 52%
1985: 40%
1990: 34%
1995: 33%
1997: 31%
2000: 30%
2009: 28%

IOW: corporation taxes under Blair and Brown were in fact lower than they ever were under Thatcher or Major.
 
Posted by leo (# 1458) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
the awful possibility that George Osborne and his pals want the ordinary man and woman in the UK, employed or not, to remain poor for decades to come.

Well of course he does. That is how capitalism works - people competing for crumbs while the rich stay rich.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
I know from 6 years of reading Ship of Fools that dodging taxes is immoral.

6 years wasted, then.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
Can't win can you? Tax evasion is illegal, and according to the port-side tax avoidance is immoral!

Anyone would think you lot wanted people to pay lots of tax.

But that's silly because no Government would get elected if they told people they were going to take lots of tax off people.

So that would mean they would have to lie when asked the question "are you going to raise taxes?". Which would be immoral.
 
Posted by Russ (# 120) on :
 
In order to create a job, there has to be a person A who finds it worthwhile to employ a person B at a wage that B finds it worthwhile to accept.

There are many things that can prevent this from happening, and government is usually active in doing quite a lot of them.

I'm sure y'all can think of a few.

Best wishes,

Russ
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Russ:
In order to create a job, there has to be a person A who finds it worthwhile to employ a person B at a wage that B finds it worthwhile to accept.

There are many things that can prevent this from happening, and government is usually active in doing quite a lot of them.

I'm sure y'all can think of a few.

Best wishes,

Russ

If governments are so bad, why don't you do your Christian duty and form a better one.

Alternatively, STFU.
 
Posted by tclune (# 7959) on :
 
SS, you're not in Hell any more. Engage the issue, not the man.

--Tom Clune, Purgatory Host
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
SS, you're not in Hell any more. Engage the issue, not the man.

--Tom Clune, Purgatory Host

Sorry Tom and Russ. That was wrong twice. on posting grounds and as a host.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
If governments are so bad, why don't you do your Christian duty and form a better one.


There's no government like no government.
 
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
If governments are so bad, why don't you do your Christian duty and form a better one.


There's no government like no government.
Just ask Somalia.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
If governments are so bad, why don't you do your Christian duty and form a better one.


There's no government like no government.
Just ask Somalia.
Is Somalia always the way it is, though? Were the Cherokees like that before Europeans showed up?

Can there be anarchy, tastefully done?

[ 06. December 2012, 20:37: Message edited by: Mere Nick ]
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
Is Somalia always the way it is, though? Were the Cherokees like that before Europeans showed up?

I'm pretty sure the Cherokee haven't been on a major trade route for 5,000+ years.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
Can there be anarchy, tastefully done?

[Killing me]

This isn't just any anarchy, this is Marks and Spencers middle-class, high-fibre anarchy...
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
ken states, correctly, that work creates jobs. That leads me to wonder why so many are without jobs because there is clearly a lot of work that needs doing.

Which proves that you and Ken are mistaken about work creating jobs. It does nothing of the sort. Work is what you get when you expend energy. Jobs are created by people being willing to pay someone to expend their energy to do work.

You have the cart before the horse.

In order to pay someone to do work, you must first get the money. Unfortunately in Britain, the Government, held back as it is by LibDems, and preceeded by 13 years of Labour Governments, has decided that it wants the money business earn. Therefore there are no jobs, as no businesses have the money to create jobs.

Cutting taxes would increase the ability of companies to employ people to do work.

Employee pay is a business expense and thus deductible from taxes (personal or corporate, if you are a sole proprietor/partnership/corporation). So taxes don't enter into the calculation.

Fail on relevance.

That is only true for income and corporation taxes, for many businesses VAT is the largest tax. A reduction in VAT would be a stimulation to business.

Fail on precision.

Also (referring to another poster) the idea that the headline rate of corporation tax is really indicative of anything is mistaken because you also need to look at the rates of available allowances.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Also (referring to another poster) the idea that the headline rate of corporation tax is really indicative of anything is mistaken because you also need to look at the rates of available allowances.

When we look at rates in the US it means the rate on taxable income, so it is indicative.
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
the awful possibility that George Osborne and his pals want the ordinary man and woman in the UK, employed or not, to remain poor for decades to come.

Well of course he does. That is how capitalism works - people competing for crumbs while the rich stay rich.
Actually capitalism has a vested interest in promoting individual consumption. A capitalist is hardly going to make a killing if all the consumers of his products are paupers.

You could argue that capitalism is bad for the environment or for the moral fibre of the population but that it is a conspiracy to keep people poor is just plain dumb.
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Also (referring to another poster) the idea that the headline rate of corporation tax is really indicative of anything is mistaken because you also need to look at the rates of available allowances.

When we look at rates in the US it means the rate on taxable income, so it is indicative.
Quite possibly. I was referring to the poster who made a list of historic rates of corporation tax in the UK and was trying to make some sort of political point out of it.

[ 07. December 2012, 13:10: Message edited by: aumbry ]
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Actually capitalism has a vested interest in promoting individual consumption. A capitalist is hardly going to make a killing if all the consumers of his products are paupers.

You could argue that capitalism is bad for the environment or for the moral fibre of the population but that it is a conspiracy to keep people poor is just plain dumb.

I would agree-- it's dumb. Yet some of our corporate CEO's-- quite a few, in fact-- seem to be just that dumb.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
ken states, correctly, that work creates jobs. That leads me to wonder why so many are without jobs because there is clearly a lot of work that needs doing.

Which proves that you and Ken are mistaken about work creating jobs. It does nothing of the sort. Work is what you get when you expend energy. Jobs are created by people being willing to pay someone to expend their energy to do work.

You have the cart before the horse.

In order to pay someone to do work, you must first get the money. Unfortunately in Britain, the Government, held back as it is by LibDems, and preceeded by 13 years of Labour Governments, has decided that it wants the money business earn. Therefore there are no jobs, as no businesses have the money to create jobs.

Cutting taxes would increase the ability of companies to employ people to do work.

Employee pay is a business expense and thus deductible from taxes (personal or corporate, if you are a sole proprietor/partnership/corporation). So taxes don't enter into the calculation.

Fail on relevance.

That is only true for income and corporation taxes, for many businesses VAT is the largest tax. A reduction in VAT would be a stimulation to business.

Fail on precision.

Also (referring to another poster) the idea that the headline rate of corporation tax is really indicative of anything is mistaken because you also need to look at the rates of available allowances.

VAT/GST is an indirect tax; the tax incidence, that is who actually pays the burden, falls on consumers, not businesses. The whole idea of VAT is that businesses can deduct the VAT from their input, so that the tax doesn't cascade.

Canada cut the GST/HST five years ago by 2% points, it made zero difference to businesses or to consumers. It sure hurt the budget though.

Exporters don't pay VAT at all, it's zero-rated just for that purpose.

Fail on economics and actual knowledge of how VAT works.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
Let's try and unpack why taxes make jobs harder to get.

Suppose I have a lawn I want to get mowed. I'm willing to pay someone £10 an hour to do it. Someone is willing to be paid £10 an hour to cut it.

However if the person willing to do it is working for a firm that has to charge VAT, and pay income tax on his pay, and National Insurance, that £10 to the employee easily rises to £20 to be charged out to the final customer, just from taxes. Therefore I do it myself - all because of taxes.

The other issue to address when considering the story of the economy over the past 30 years is the impact of Chinese workers in direct competition for Western jobs. In practice many jobs have indeed departed to China; this has released many people onto the jobs market, which has destroyed the bargaining power of workers. So companies have cut the wages they pay - because otherwise other companies will, and undercut the ones that haven't. Until the pool of third world labour is drained - and surprisingly there are signs that at least in the case of China this IS happening - wages in the West aren't going to recover much.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ender's Shadow:
However if the person willing to do it is working for a firm that has to charge VAT, and pay income tax on his pay, and National Insurance, that £10 to the employee easily rises to £20 to be charged out to the final customer, just from taxes. Therefore I do it myself - all because of taxes.

As someone who employees people, I cannot imagine your figures would be that correct for it costing double the employee's salary to employ them and thus pass to the customer twice the price. Income tax is a straight deduction from pay and is deducted from the employee's wages and submitted to the gov't as is the Canada Pension Plan and Employment Insurance here. None of these are employer expenses. If GST/VAT is charged, the company charges the 7%, but gets to keep a percentage, around 2% for the trouble of charging it. Workers' Compensation is a payroll tax and the only one directly assessed to the employer. Is it so different in UK?

Employers here decide and negotiate extended health benefits and pensions amounts. There are some statutory requirements. There are other business expenses that are not directly related to having the employee employed. So all told, it costs somewhere in the 25% of salary range to have an employee.

In terms of fees and charges to customers, this is not at all set by actual costs. It is set by adding up:
+ what the 'going rate' is
+ what your company's reputation will let you charge
+ how much of the product or service is available and if someone is willing to pay extra to jump the queue
+ risks, as in for being sued or having extra expenses
+ direct charging of amounts from third parties.

Example: when one of friends needed to roof their house in the city, they paid close to $10K, but when we got our newly purchased cabin at a lake roofed, it cost $4K simply because of the differential market conditions. The building roof sizes are comparable.

Myself, I have billed some customers twice or more the amount charged others for the same service because of things like I've mentioned. To a degree it is what you can get away with, and sometimes I've told them they are paying more because they can afford it. There's a psychology about that when they know they are subsidizing needy folks. We have also given away goods and services worth thousands to people who cannot possibly pay.

All of this said, in my opinion as a employer, I would say that if the profit margin is < about 12% you begin to question whether it is worth it financially and emotionally. There is a stress in meeting a payroll each month that is hard to describe. However, it may be worth running at break even levels or even at a slight loss for a while because there is indeed a connection to the people and their families we employ. I've seen them get married or common-law, have kids, watched the kids grow up etc. To a degree they are like extended family, though when they move on, it's usually ended. I do think that large companies are a totally different affair not that comparable in terms of personal relationships.
 
Posted by The Machine Elf (# 1622) on :
 
For the UK, for the employee to receive £10 after 20% tax and 12% employee national insurance, they need to be paid £14.70 ( £10 / ( 1-(0.12+0.20) )

If you add the 13.8% employer's NI and then 20% VAT, you end up with £20.07 ( £14.70 * 1.138 * 1.2 ).

So if someone wants to end up with £10 in their pocket from moving the lawn, then the company has to charge the customer more than twice that.
 
Posted by Porridge (# 15405) on :
 
And here I was thinking that moving lawns was easily worth 100 times that.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by The Machine Elf:
For the UK, for the employee to receive £10 after 20% tax and 12% employee national insurance, they need to be paid £14.70 ( £10 / ( 1-(0.12+0.20) )

If you add the 13.8% employer's NI and then 20% VAT, you end up with £20.07 ( £14.70 * 1.138 * 1.2 ).

So if someone wants to end up with £10 in their pocket from moving the lawn, then the company has to charge the customer more than twice that.

That's not quite the way we pay them here. The employee is paid, say $15/hour. The tax and other things (except Workers' Comp) is deducted by the employer and the worker receives the balance. Roughly $30,000 per year. Federal income tax is 15% after various deductions, so probly about 12% overall or 3600. The person then will pay somewhere between about 4 and 11% on taxable income after that, which in real terms is 2-maybe 9%, 1200 to 2700. So the person takes home roughly 5 or 6000 less than stated paid amount. That's no where near your UK tax rates as you've reported them.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
Sorry, should have said the second income taxes are provincial.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by The Machine Elf:
For the UK, for the employee to receive £10 after 20% tax and 12% employee national insurance, they need to be paid £14.70 ( £10 / ( 1-(0.12+0.20) )

If you add the 13.8% employer's NI and then 20% VAT, you end up with £20.07 ( £14.70 * 1.138 * 1.2 ).

So if someone wants to end up with £10 in their pocket from moving the lawn, then the company has to charge the customer more than twice that.

Though the actual going rate in a relatively expensive area down south is about £13 an hour, and even individual contractors usually charge less than that to pensioners.
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
VAT/GST is an indirect tax; the tax incidence, that is who actually pays the burden, falls on consumers, not businesses. The whole idea of VAT is that businesses can deduct the VAT from their input, so that the tax doesn't cascade.

Canada cut the GST/HST five years ago by 2% points, it made zero difference to businesses or to consumers. It sure hurt the budget though.

Exporters don't pay VAT at all, it's zero-rated just for that purpose.

Fail on economics and actual knowledge of how VAT works. [/QB]

The fact that VAT is paid by the consumer can hardly be dismissed - as that is ultimately who pays for all business taxes. My work is billed with 20% VAT attached, okay the VAT on some of the business expenses can be offset but unless the business is making a thumping loss these will always be a small fraction of the VAT charged on the turnover.The amounts paid to the VATman are significant!

And it is not correct to say that VAT is not charged on exports: VAT is charged on exports to the EU (which is 50% of UK Exports).

So I am afraid you need to polish up your understanding of VAT.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
And the EU is charging VAT on exports to Britain, it's a wash. That's the EU's policy.

You as a business are only forwarding the 5% or so charged on the value you actually added, the rest is deducted input tax credits.

quote:
The amounts paid to the VATman are significant!
Along the way, not by you directly. And the customer isn't whining over losing that 5%, that's why VAT's are beloved of economists for being the "least-distortionary" form of taxes. But even though this guts your argument you clearly want to beat up on the taxman so up the pole the strawman goes.
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
But surely the imposition of VAT increases the price paid by the consumer, which decreases the demand as any fule kno and therefore the marketability of the product or service.

(Or - to avoid the sunk cost fallacy - the supplier must reduce their margin in order to get the with-VAT price within the range of marketability.)
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
But surely the imposition of VAT increases the price paid by the consumer, which decreases the demand as any fule kno and therefore the marketability of the product or service.
The direct supplier to the customer is only paying 20% of Value Added, not 20% of the total price. Therefore the supplier is only paying 5% of the price or so, so the substitution effect of VAT is small. Which is why economists love VAT. Also for the fact that the tax is contained to 20% of the total price at most, unlike with old-time sales taxes which could cascade through the system and multiply the effective tax rate faster than rabbits.

In aggregate instead of at a micro level it is far from clear that taxes reduce consumer demand, some of the eras of greatest prosperity and consumer demand have featured the highest tax rates, historically. In aggregate what goes around comes around, so the money ends back in the system. It's double-entry accounting.
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
But surely the imposition of VAT increases the price paid by the consumer, which decreases the demand as any fule kno and therefore the marketability of the product or service.
The direct supplier to the customer is only paying 20% of Value Added, not 20% of the total price. Therefore the supplier is only paying 5% of the price or so, so the substitution effect of VAT is small. Which is why economists love VAT. Also for the fact that the tax is contained to 20% of the total price at most, unlike with old-time sales taxes which could cascade through the system and multiply the effective tax rate faster than rabbits.

In aggregate instead of at a micro level it is far from clear that taxes reduce consumer demand, some of the eras of greatest prosperity and consumer demand have featured the highest tax rates, historically. In aggregate what goes around comes around, so the money ends back in the system. It's double-entry accounting.

You need to tell that to the previous British government who considered a reduction of VAT from 17.5% to 15% would substantially increase demand by lowering prices. When a consumer purchases a good subject to 20% VAT it doesn't matter diddly squat to him whether that is shouldered by one firm in the supply chain or a hundred. In any case the added value on a good is always subject to a charge of 20% If adding 20% onto the price of something had so little effect on demand I would suggest that every business would increase prices by 20%. The fact is that for products where there is elasticity of demand it makes a substantial difference.

And make up you mind, first you say exports are not liable to VAT and now admit that EU exports are but that it doesn't matter!
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
The trouble with VAT is that it produces a lot of confusing admin and record-keeping for companies. Big companies cope with it well, small ones can get bogged down. If they fall below the registration threshold they can skip the paperwork, but have to pay extra for everything they buy. So its a tax that hurts small businesses more than anyone else.

Transaction taxes in general tend to supress economic activity by making everythig a little harder to do. (Property taxes on the other hand, are easy to administer and simple to understand)

VAT though is great if you are a printer. Because you buy VATable paper and ink and turn it into zero-rated publications and the tax people give you money back at the end of the year.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
But surely the imposition of VAT increases the price paid by the consumer, which decreases the demand as any fule kno and therefore the marketability of the product or service.
The direct supplier to the customer is only paying 20% of Value Added, not 20% of the total price. Therefore the supplier is only paying 5% of the price or so, so the substitution effect of VAT is small. Which is why economists love VAT. Also for the fact that the tax is contained to 20% of the total price at most, unlike with old-time sales taxes which could cascade through the system and multiply the effective tax rate faster than rabbits.

In aggregate instead of at a micro level it is far from clear that taxes reduce consumer demand, some of the eras of greatest prosperity and consumer demand have featured the highest tax rates, historically. In aggregate what goes around comes around, so the money ends back in the system. It's double-entry accounting.

You need to tell that to the previous British government who considered a reduction of VAT from 17.5% to 15% would substantially increase demand by lowering prices. When a consumer purchases a good subject to 20% VAT it doesn't matter diddly squat to him whether that is shouldered by one firm in the supply chain or a hundred. In any case the added value on a good is always subject to a charge of 20% If adding 20% onto the price of something had so little effect on demand I would suggest that every business would increase prices by 20%. The fact is that for products where there is elasticity of demand it makes a substantial difference.

And make up you mind, first you say exports are not liable to VAT and now admit that EU exports are but that it doesn't matter!

Ah, that would be politics, I am speaking of policy, Sir Humphrey Appleby instead of Jim Hacker.

If all EU-area goods are subject to VAT, and the EU requires a minimum 15% VAT of members I believe, then all EU goods are on the same level, tax-wise. I believe they share input tax credits too, it's all to create One Big Trade Area. And then you're back to the "it works out in the end in the aggregate". Selling in the EU is very much like selling domestically, between Euro countries it is domestic as the currency is the same.

Sales to non-VAT countries are generally zero-rated so the manufacturer gets the tax credits. In Canada it helps a lot with exports to the US.

Taxes as pure external penalties is common but simplistic and misleading economics.
 
Posted by Timothy the Obscure (# 292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
the awful possibility that George Osborne and his pals want the ordinary man and woman in the UK, employed or not, to remain poor for decades to come.

Well of course he does. That is how capitalism works - people competing for crumbs while the rich stay rich.
Actually capitalism has a vested interest in promoting individual consumption. A capitalist is hardly going to make a killing if all the consumers of his products are paupers.
That was Henry Ford's insight when he decided to pay all his workers $5 a day (instead of the $1.50 that was the going rate at the time). Who was going to buy all those Model Ts?

But now it seems they all hope that their competitors will pay the high wages that make consumption possible, while they can outsource to China. It's the fallacy of composition, and perfectly obvious, but greed isn't logical. Neither is conservatism.
 
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on :
 
quote:
It's the fallacy of composition, and perfectly obvious, but greed isn't logical. Neither is conservatism.
How is conservatism illogical? Maybe you specify elsewhere, but not having a eidetic memory I don't know.

I do believe it has already been said in one form or another, governments cannot create jobs, only provide the situations in which it is possible for companies to need and have the ability to hire people to fulfill functions to meet demand.

The best way to ensure sustainable growth and job creation is not public expenditure on infrastructure, but to decrease the size and scope of the state, freeing people from the burden of taxes and companies from legislative red tape. Supply and demand will, in most conditions, ensure that safe, reliable products are made without the need for governments to legislate. With reduced taxes and beurocratic burden citizens use their purchasing power to buy goods and services, companies then hire people to meet the increased demands, thereby ensuring that more people have a disposable income they wish to use so causing the cycle to continue on.

The household/individual is always the best place person to make use of resources to meet needs and should therefore be trusted to do so, it will however take an extrodinary effort to decrease the size of the state which, like central banks, serve only one purpose, to inflate. I fail to remember which episode, but Yes Minister at somepoint has Appleby making that point that a departmetns importance is judged by the budget it controls.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
quote:
It's the fallacy of composition, and perfectly obvious, but greed isn't logical. Neither is conservatism.
How is conservatism illogical? Maybe you specify elsewhere, but not having a eidetic memory I don't know.

I do believe it has already been said in one form or another, governments cannot create jobs, only provide the situations in which it is possible for companies to need and have the ability to hire people to fulfill functions to meet demand.

The best way to ensure sustainable growth and job creation is not public expenditure on infrastructure, but to decrease the size and scope of the state, freeing people from the burden of taxes and companies from legislative red tape. Supply and demand will, in most conditions, ensure that safe, reliable products are made without the need for governments to legislate. With reduced taxes and beurocratic burden citizens use their purchasing power to buy goods and services, companies then hire people to meet the increased demands, thereby ensuring that more people have a disposable income they wish to use so causing the cycle to continue on.

You ask how conservatism is illogical? I would point you to this post. It's full of conservative ideological truisms, presented as if each were such an obvious reality that no proof is necessary. When, in fact, nothing could be further from the truth. Every single one of your a priori assumptions has, in fact, proven to be false. Government DOES create jobs-- in fact, has been the primary driver of job growth coming out of most every recession. Lower taxes DON'T automatically create growth-- as we have seen in the last decade here in the US. Supply & demand does NOT automatically ensure product safety, as we have seen time & time again.

Perfect examples of illogical conservatism-- ignoring inconvenient facts which don't fit your ideological narrative.
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Timothy the Obscure:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
the awful possibility that George Osborne and his pals want the ordinary man and woman in the UK, employed or not, to remain poor for decades to come.

Well of course he does. That is how capitalism works - people competing for crumbs while the rich stay rich.
Actually capitalism has a vested interest in promoting individual consumption. A capitalist is hardly going to make a killing if all the consumers of his products are paupers.
That was Henry Ford's insight when he decided to pay all his workers $5 a day (instead of the $1.50 that was the going rate at the time). Who was going to buy all those Model Ts?

But now it seems they all hope that their competitors will pay the high wages that make consumption possible, while they can outsource to China. It's the fallacy of composition, and perfectly obvious, but greed isn't logical. Neither is conservatism.

Well outsourcing to China has brought hundreds of millions of people out of grinding poverty there and enabled poor people all over the world to buy cheap Chinese manufactured products so I am not sure that is a very good example. There are arguments that the Chinese have given themselves an unfair advantage through currency manipulation to achieve this but that is hardly a fault of capitalism.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
I do believe it has already been said in one form or another, governments cannot create jobs, only provide the situations in which it is possible for companies to need and have the ability to hire people to fulfill functions to meet demand.

What if a government hires people to work to fulfil demand? As happens so often in China (and quite a lot in France and some other countries, and as used to happen in Britain from the 1940s to the 70s/80s). That's state capitalism rather than any kind of socialism, where the state is acting as the capitalist rather than an individual owner or a corporation. A capitalist owner or investor doesn't have to be a wealthy individual or a private profit-making corportion. It might be a government, or a military unit (common in China), or a trade union, or a church, or a club, or a charity, or a co-operative.

But from the point of view of the worker or the customer its the same thing. If it is possible to "create" jobs (and odd phrase when you think about it as if jobs were objects that could be made or unmade rather than an activity people engage in), if it is possible to "create" jobs by investing in productive enterprises, then governments are as capable as doing it as anyone else.

quote:

The best way to ensure sustainable growth and job creation is not public expenditure on infrastructure...

That's obviously why new businesses prefer to set up in deserts in the middle of nowhere rather than in cities with
railways, and a clean water supply, and a gas supply, and adult education colleges, and airports, and ambulances, and bridges, and buses, and cable TV, and churches, and drains, and electricity, and fire stations , and flood barriers, and hospitals, and libraries , and lighthouses, and navigation buoys, and pavements, and phonelines, and police, and regular rubbish collection, and roads, and schools , and seawalls, and sewers, and snow ploughs, and sports stadiums, and storm drains, and streetlights, and theatres, and traffic lights, and universities, and waste disposal plants.

London and Paris and New York are looking so quiet and deserted these days.

[ 11. December 2012, 15:20: Message edited by: ken ]
 
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on :
 
The kind of libertarianism/conservatism that is being espoused ultimately fails for the same reason Marxism does: It assumes that people are more rational, more fair-minded, more self-sacrificing and more altruistic than they actually are.

Getting rid of the referee role that government plays is not going to lead to people and businesses playing fair on their own, particularly if they can make more (or easier) money doing otherwise. Human beings generally crave more power, wealth and influence and, even otherwise moral people, will rationalize unethical ways to gain them. To believe otherwise is to deny human nature.

Getting rid of regulatory role that government plays is not going lead to the marketplace providing safe and effective products on their own. People generally don't make product decisions solely based on quality or safety. The marketplace has never worked that way. People are most often swayed by marketing and image and will often overlook shortcomings or even dangers of products. The marketplace isn't rational because no one makes completely rational decisions.

Getting rid of government involvement in creating infrastructure and providing unprofitable services is not going to lead to for-profit businesses taking over these services. Businesses aren't altruistic, nor are they willing to make financial sacrifices now in the hope of a possible profit decades in the future. The bottom line is something that is something that is evaluated on a quarterly or annual basis. Every time that rule has been suspended (dot-com crazy in the 1990s), services have collapsed and products have become vaporware.

This kind of economic conservatism is no different than Marxism. They envisage an earthly paradise where people behave in ways that people have never ever behaved. Getting rid of government doesn't lead to more freedom for most people, just like communism doesn't lead to more freedom for workers -- no matter how devoutly Marxist believe otherwise. By ignoring basic human nature, they both lead to a similar dystopia of freedom for the few and powerful and enslavement for the majority. The problem is that everyone who advocates these ideologies always believes they will be that lucky few.
 
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
You ask how conservatism is illogical? I would point you to this post. It's full of conservative ideological truisms, presented as if each were such an obvious reality that no proof is necessary. When, in fact, nothing could be further from the truth. Every single one of your a priori assumptions has, in fact, proven to be false. Government DOES create jobs-- in fact, has been the primary driver of job growth coming out of most every recession. Lower taxes DON'T automatically create growth-- as we have seen in the last decade here in the US. Supply & demand does NOT automatically ensure product safety, as we have seen time & time again.

Perfect examples of illogical conservatism-- ignoring inconvenient facts which don't fit your ideological narrative.

My argument may have appeared illogical but that does not mean conservatism itself is illogical...

I will make one concession, where I said governments don't create growth I should have stipulated that governments do not create long-term, sustainable growth.

Government spending might well have helped growth to recover after a recession, but the point is not that the government spent and there was growth, but that through the schemes governments used they put money in people's pockets, money those people then went out and spent on goods and services. That act of spending then generates the growth in the private sector as their goods and services are demanded and output increases to cope with that. Those firms then hire more people, make R&D and infrastructure investment to provide that output, employing more people in their own firms and the causing the firms they commission the R&D and infrastructure from to employ more people. The longterm growth comes from these additional people employed, these people demanding goods and services with their disposable income from the private sector which companies then provide for through output.

I would also interject that I believe that eternal growth is a fallacy since an economic unit can only grow so large before it reaches its optimum size and cannot produce anything more efficiently than it does. It is at this point that weaknesses and external effects then have an impact on the market causing it to shrink (either the housing market bursts its bubble as it has grown to its maximum equity levels etc.). We would have had a recession, or at least a slowing down of global output, around about now regardless of what happened with the banks.

Unfortunately, unlike in the past, at the minute governments have over-borrowed against the money they take from us, leaving little to then spend on schemes to aid growth. If governments had put away a 'rainy-day' fund then we might not be in the situation we are in. During profitable times the government spent money on public sector jobs which were not needed and are no longer affordable without increasing taxes further to afford to pay for public sector workers.

I do have further to add but need to nip off.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
London and Paris and New York are looking so quiet and deserted these days.

Unlike these? [Big Grin]
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
They are in the wrong places, with too little infrastructure!

(& I've seen deserted malls going to ruin myself, near Houston in Texas, about twenty years ago - they rose and fell with the oil price)

Actually some of those look amazing. Not so much post-industrial despolation, as post-post-modern desolation. A cross between Disneyland and Organisation Todt.

[ 11. December 2012, 15:34: Message edited by: ken ]
 
Posted by tclune (# 7959) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
I will make one concession, where I said governments don't create growth I should have stipulated that governments do not create long-term, sustainable growth.

Government spending might well have helped growth to recover after a recession, but the point is not that the government spent and there was growth, but that through the schemes governments used they put money in people's pockets, money those people then went out and spent on goods and services.

This notion that government spending is somehow limited while private sector spending is fairy dust for other activity is truly bizarre. Why is the electricity generated by TVA dams a temporary stimulus, while electricity from a private utility an engine for growth going forward?

The whole notion that money comes in two flavors -- "government" (the only kind I've ever seen) and "private," with the private money having super powers and the government money being a black hole that sucks the growth out of an economy is laughable on its face. It strikes me that it is only the constant repetition of this howler that has gotten us to a point that we are able to hear it without laughing out loud -- rather like how we no longer feel the need to laugh at "Why did the chicken cross the road?"

--Tom Clune

[ 11. December 2012, 15:38: Message edited by: tclune ]
 
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
I will make one concession, where I said governments don't create growth I should have stipulated that governments do not create long-term, sustainable growth.

Government spending might well have helped growth to recover after a recession, but the point is not that the government spent and there was growth, but that through the schemes governments used they put money in people's pockets, money those people then went out and spent on goods and services.

This notion that government spending is somehow limited while private sector spending is fairy dust for other activity is truly bizarre. Why is the electricity generated by TVA dams a temporary stimulus, while electricity from a private utility an engine for growth going forward?

The whole notion that money comes in two flavors -- "government" (the only kind I've ever seen) and "private," with the private money having super powers and the government money being a black hole that sucks the growth out of an economy is laughable on its face. It strikes me that it is only the constant repetition of this howler that has gotten us to a point that we are able to hear it without laughing out loud -- rather like how we no longer feel the need to laugh at "Why did the chicken cross the road?"

--Tom Clune

I have said that public expenditure can generate growth, I just wonder at it's sustainable and long-term reliability.

In the UK government doesn't, in the main, institutions (for want of a better word) like the TVA. Whilst not being familiar with TVA, and literally having had only a brief glance just now, it appears that even TVA had to downsize in the face of increased competition from the private sector in 1990s, but that is not the point and I thank you for highlighting TVa to me as it highlights the difference between government led growth and expenditure in the UK and the examples you can find in the USA.

We are coming at this from two different situations, a British and an American which may explain the difference of outlook.

If public sector initatives, such as the TVA, create goods that have a return equal too or greater than the costs of production then they are legitimate growth creators, in the UK however there are few facilities, if any, like that with most government spending in the last decade being on services and employment that does not create something, and that does not provide a return equal or greater than the initial cost, in the UK situation government expenditure was not real growth, it was fabricated growth which was ultimately unsustainable, in the same way that a one-off infrastructure programme such as building a new motorway has a one-off growth effect but then has a very small growth effect, if any, once the public expenditure on resources is factored into the growth generated for those companies the resources are purchased from (ie, growth generated in the economy is £1 but the government spent £1 to maintain the motorway thereby cancelling otu the growth effect.)
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
I will make one concession, where I said governments don't create growth I should have stipulated that governments do not create long-term, sustainable growth.

Government spending might well have helped growth to recover after a recession, but the point is not that the government spent and there was growth, but that through the schemes governments used they put money in people's pockets, money those people then went out and spent on goods and services.

This notion that government spending is somehow limited while private sector spending is fairy dust for other activity is truly bizarre. Why is the electricity generated by TVA dams a temporary stimulus, while electricity from a private utility an engine for growth going forward?

The whole notion that money comes in two flavors -- "government" (the only kind I've ever seen) and "private," with the private money having super powers and the government money being a black hole that sucks the growth out of an economy is laughable on its face. It strikes me that it is only the constant repetition of this howler that has gotten us to a point that we are able to hear it without laughing out loud -- rather like how we no longer feel the need to laugh at "Why did the chicken cross the road?"

--Tom Clune

It would be tough to argue that government spending never brings any benefit and that all private spending has the opposite effect. The problem with government spending is that it has a danger of being driven by political motivations which can often be short-term or that it can crowd out more productive private expenditure. That said there will be occasions when public expenditure can be a worthwhile catalyst to private expenditure.

Some countries such as Korea and Singapore seem to get the balance right but others can have a detrimental effect. A classic example of pointless and wasteful public expenditure would be the EU's Common Agricultural Policy which over the years has put 100s of billions of dollars into small unproductive farms. Doubtless this has benefits for European small farmers but at the cost of the average household that has to pay the additional costs through their taxes. It has been a political fix to get the farmers backing but has put off having a productive and efficient farming sector in many European countries. The money spent could have been more usefully used to reduce the costs through taxes and boost investment on the more efficient larger farms and other businesses and would have probably created large numbers of jobs which would have been viable without constant government support.
 
Posted by Alogon (# 5513) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Employee pay is a business expense and thus deductible from taxes (personal or corporate, if you are a sole proprietor/partnership/corporation). So taxes don't enter into the calculation.

Fail on relevance.

Thank you! This is what I always thought, but from hearing some politicians talk you'd never get a clue.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
Re gov't spending.

The history of "Crown Corporations" in western Canada shows that gov'ts will decide to do some things not because they are profitable, but because they are needed. We're talking gov't owned and run electrical, telephone, natural gas (heating), and insurance companies. No-one would have ever bothered building power lines in rural Manitoba, Alberta or Saskatchewan without the gov'ts doing it. They've also done cable TV and internet in some places, which would be without due to nonprofitability. I know that the only
cellular phone network in rural Saskatchewan is the Gov't company Sasktel which will let other private companies use. I believe a number of these companies are being unwisely privatized and some have already due to ideology.

I have a general mad on about large companies that compete unfairly with small business that connects with the communities it serves, but I don't see how Crown Corps are part of that, unless they are privitized.
 
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on :
 
Hmmmm... The two major parties in the South Korean election (which is going to be held on 19 December) are advocating an expansion of government intervention in the economy and society.

Both the conservative New Frontier Party (which pledges greater "economic democracy") and the progressive Democratic United Party want to enhance their pension scheme (particularly in a society where it all too common for the elderly to commit suicide once they can no longer engage in productive work and fall into destitution), build public housing and create an unemployment scheme.

They don't seem to think they got the balance right.

[ 11. December 2012, 16:16: Message edited by: ToujoursDan ]
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
A classic example of pointless and wasteful public expenditure would be the EU's Common Agricultural Policy which over the years has put 100s of billions of dollars into small unproductive farms. Doubtless this has benefits for European small farmers but at the cost of the average household that has to pay the additional costs through their taxes. It has been a political fix to get the farmers backing but has put off having a productive and efficient farming sector in many European countries. The money spent could have been more usefully used to reduce the costs through taxes and boost investment on the more efficient larger farms and other businesses and would have probably created large numbers of jobs which would have been viable without constant government support.

Actually CAP (why don't we call it the "food tax?) disproportionately favours large farms. Very large ones. Its not a bungled attempt to help small farmers, its a very successful programm eintended from the begining to channel our money to a small number of rich individuals and corporations who own vast amounts of land.

The set-aside polices of recent years were a considerable improvement on the previous subsidies, but they still benefit the rich more than the poor.

Also small farms are not automatically, or even usually, less efficient than large ones.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alogon:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Employee pay is a business expense and thus deductible from taxes (personal or corporate, if you are a sole proprietor/partnership/corporation). So taxes don't enter into the calculation.

Fail on relevance.

Thank you! This is what I always thought, but from hearing some politicians talk you'd never get a clue.
I spent a brief period as a self-employed person. Long enough to file an income tax return reflecting my self-employed status.

In Canada and every other country there is a specific form for you to detail your business expenses which are deducted against gross income. Employee pay is right there in the standard form fields.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:


I will make one concession, where I said governments don't create growth I should have stipulated that governments do not create long-term, sustainable growth.

Government spending might well have helped growth to recover after a recession, but the point is not that the government spent and there was growth, but that through the schemes governments used they put money in people's pockets, money those people then went out and spent on goods and services. That act of spending then generates the growth in the private sector as their goods and services are demanded and output increases to cope with that. Those firms then hire more people, make R&D and infrastructure investment to provide that output, employing more people in their own firms and the causing the firms they commission the R&D and infrastructure from to employ more people. The longterm growth comes from these additional people employed, these people demanding goods and services with their disposable income from the private sector which companies then provide for through output.

All of which seems to point to the fact that government spending DID create long-term sustainable growth-- by setting in motion precisely the chain of events that you outlined above. A chain that, in a recession, does not seem to happen w/o such a (pardon the dirty word) stimulus.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
It would be tough to argue that government spending never brings any benefit and that all private spending has the opposite effect. The problem with government spending is that it has a danger of being driven by political motivations which can often be short-term or that it can crowd out more productive private expenditure. That said there will be occasions when public expenditure can be a worthwhile catalyst to private expenditure.
Ah yes, the classic "crowding-out" zombie idea. It is a fallacy. Amply described here by Paul Krugman.

Government spending has risen dramatically during this recession, I might even say soared, but interest rates are still at rock bottom, which is precisely opposite to the Crowding Out Thesis, which states that interest rates should rise to ration scarce credit.

Of course governments who print their own currency are more creditworthy than private borrowers so they always borrow below the interest rate of private borrowers. Government borrowing doesn't crowd out private borrowing because the two are not perfect substitutes. Private debt has more default risk which necessitates a higher price.
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
It would be tough to argue that government spending never brings any benefit and that all private spending has the opposite effect. The problem with government spending is that it has a danger of being driven by political motivations which can often be short-term or that it can crowd out more productive private expenditure. That said there will be occasions when public expenditure can be a worthwhile catalyst to private expenditure.
Ah yes, the classic "crowding-out" zombie idea. It is a fallacy. Amply described here by Paul Krugman.

Government spending has risen dramatically during this recession, I might even say soared, but interest rates are still at rock bottom, which is precisely opposite to the Crowding Out Thesis, which states that interest rates should rise to ration scarce credit.

It should be noted that while spending by the U.S. federal government increased briefly due to the stimulus bill, government spending as a whole has actually held pretty steady due to the actions of what Krugman describes as "fifty little Herbert Hoovers". In short, increased spending at the federal level has pretty much just filled the gap created by a recession-driven decrease in spending by state governments.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Works for me, but as a subnote Canadian provinces are not constrained by any such nonsense, or if they appear to be it is merely a window-dressing law of absolutely no substance. See Election Dates, Acts regarding the fixture thereof.

Both the Federal Government and the provinces have all increased their deficits and Canadian interest rates are still on the floor.
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
a one-off infrastructure programme such as building a new motorway has a one-off growth effect but then has a very small growth effect, if any, once the public expenditure on resources is factored into the growth generated for those companies the resources are purchased from (ie, growth generated in the economy is £1 but the government spent £1 to maintain the motorway thereby cancelling otu the growth effect.)

If that's true then the government could just stop maintaining the M25 and the loss to businesses would be exactly offset by the tax savings. Which doesn't seem plausible to me, unless I've misunderstood something ...
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
A classic example of pointless and wasteful public expenditure would be the EU's Common Agricultural Policy which over the years has put 100s of billions of dollars into small unproductive farms. Doubtless this has benefits for European small farmers but at the cost of the average household that has to pay the additional costs through their taxes. It has been a political fix to get the farmers backing but has put off having a productive and efficient farming sector in many European countries. The money spent could have been more usefully used to reduce the costs through taxes and boost investment on the more efficient larger farms and other businesses and would have probably created large numbers of jobs which would have been viable without constant government support.

Actually CAP (why don't we call it the "food tax?) disproportionately favours large farms. Very large ones. Its not a bungled attempt to help small farmers, its a very successful programm eintended from the begining to channel our money to a small number of rich individuals and corporations who own vast amounts of land.

The set-aside polices of recent years were a considerable improvement on the previous subsidies, but they still benefit the rich more than the poor.

Also small farms are not automatically, or even usually, less efficient than large ones.

You are quite right with regard to countries like the UK that have large farms but it effectively makes it difficult to consolidate the small farms in countries where these predominate. But as a subsidy to large farms it is even less sensible.

With regard to your point about the relative efficiency of small and large farms it surely depends on what size is considered small. Farms of less than 750 acres are only on the edge of commercial viability.
 
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
[QUOTE]All of which seems to point to the fact that government spending DID create long-term sustainable growth-- by setting in motion precisely the chain of events that you outlined above. A chain that, in a recession, does not seem to happen w/o such a (pardon the dirty word) stimulus.

The multiplier effect can be equally attributed to a private firm spending as well though. Public expenditure is not a unique case. If as a private business I stimulate my own companies growth by investing in new technology for production I produce a multiplier effect that stimulates growth in the chain, shareholders wish to see a decent return on their investment, they desire to see the company succeed even during a recession so encourage, probably demand, something is done to ensure their return on the investments they have made so the private firm invests as best it can.

Since governments do not create new money when they tax to spend (£1 taken out of the economy in taxes = £1 that can then be put back into the economy by the government in expenditure, no new money is created, nor value added to that intial £1 tax taken out of the economy - in the same way borrowing from abroad is similarly governed, £1 has to flow out of the British economy to say India before the UK govt. can then borrow £1 from the Indian government.)the government is effectively rearranging deck-chairs from one place to another, taxing a firm which sheds 50 employees so the state can create 50 jobs. in the UK most public expenditure has not been value for money with, with IT programme after IT programme coming to nothing after millions spent on it, schools costing excessive amounts to build, and a civil service that has bloated beyond need.

I also wonder just how effective government spending has been as a stimulus in this latest recession. The US government has injected over $1 trillion into the economy, and although on book unemployment in America has fallen ('off-book' uneployment remains high), and the injection of the $1.4 trillion stimulus has not then created a corresponding greater increase in economic activity with the likely hood the US economy is looking at a recession...

To return to the point that I think tax cuts instead of goverment spending (of which rebates are as defined by the government) best: Tax rebates in the US in 1975, 2001, and 2008 all failed to create economic growth. By contrast, large reductions in marginal tax rates in the 1920s, 1960s, and 1980s were each followed by large surges in economic growth (amongst other sources http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2001/05/lowering-marginal-tax-rates) As the UK government discovered with the top rate of tax, more has been gathered by reducing it to 45p in the pound from 50p in the pound.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
[QUOTE]All of which seems to point to the fact that government spending DID create long-term sustainable growth-- by setting in motion precisely the chain of events that you outlined above. A chain that, in a recession, does not seem to happen w/o such a (pardon the dirty word) stimulus.

The multiplier effect can be equally attributed to a private firm spending as well though. Public expenditure is not a unique case. If as a private business I stimulate my own companies growth by investing in new technology for production I produce a multiplier effect that stimulates growth in the chain, shareholders wish to see a decent return on their investment, they desire to see the company succeed even during a recession so encourage, probably demand, something is done to ensure their return on the investments they have made so the private firm invests as best it can.
Except private businesses don't do that, for a variety of reasons already noted. US businesses are sitting on record piles of cash, they have the means to do as you're suggesting, but they're not. So, while it would be nice in theory, real life doesn't work that way.


quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
Since governments do not create new money when they tax to spend

And neither does private business. Your point?
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
Since governments do not create new money when they tax to spend (£1 taken out of the economy in taxes = £1 that can then be put back into the economy by the government in expenditure, no new money is created, nor value added to that intial £1 tax taken out of the economy - in the same way borrowing from abroad is similarly governed, £1 has to flow out of the British economy to say India before the UK govt. can then borrow £1 from the Indian government.)the government is effectively rearranging deck-chairs from one place to another, taxing a firm which sheds 50 employees so the state can create 50 jobs.

This is essentially a re-capitulation of Say's Law, which was largely debunked by John Stuart Mill in the mid-nineteenth century. The biggest problem with it is that it assumes that all money is spent as soon as it is acquired, that there is no such thing as savings, or a possibility of such a thing as a savings glut.

[ 12. December 2012, 14:41: Message edited by: Crœsos ]
 
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
quote:
Except private businesses don't do that, for a variety of reasons already noted. US businesses are sitting on record piles of cash, they have the means to do as you're suggesting, but they're not.

Even if this is true, savings do not just drop out of the economy... unless they've literally squirreled it away under the bed they are hardly sitting on piles of cash. They pop it in a bank account, the bank then uses that money to invest, and lend to others to spend etc. etc. Or the company invests in stocks and bonds or even on company debt reduction. All that happens is that the financial systems transfer the savings from one place to another to be spent. The banks are not holding onto all this extra money, they are investing them in bills to keep having it circulate through the economy and generating interest.

To use the US, the Federal Fund Market exists so that banks can lend excess cash to each other, even if it is only over night so that it is not sitting idle.

I do have to ask where you think all this ‘sat on cash’ is hiding... since it can only be taken out of the market by being popped under the bed for safe keeping... and if it is hiding, how can government itself use this existing money to then use as a stimulus? If people are hoarding money then the government would not be able to access it to use as stimulus?

quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
Since governments do not create new money when they tax to spend

And neither does private business. Your point? [/QB]
My point is that government is mearly acting as an unnecessary link in a chain, acting as a middle-man transferring my purchasing power from one part of the economy (normally my local economy) to another (which inevitably is not my local economy but some marginal constituency which needs a boost before the next general election).
 
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
Even if this is true, savings do not just drop out of the economy... unless they've literally squirreled it away under the bed they are hardly sitting on piles of cash. They pop it in a bank account, the bank then uses that money to invest, and lend to others to spend etc. etc. Or the company invests in stocks and bonds or even on company debt reduction. All that happens is that the financial systems transfer the savings from one place to another to be spent. The banks are not holding onto all this extra money, they are investing them in bills to keep having it circulate through the economy and generating interest.

Except that banks are largely failing to do this. At present they're mostly either going through a period of de-leveraging (increasing cash-on-hand as opposed to investment) or limiting their investment to "safe" instruments like government bonds. In other words, the type of economic activity the market seems to be demanding is government spending. Private sector investment seems to be stuck in the paradox of thrift.
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
Except that banks are largely failing to do this. At present they're mostly either going through a period of de-leveraging (increasing cash-on-hand as opposed to investment) or limiting their investment to "safe" instruments like government bonds. In other words, the type of economic activity the market seems to be demanding is government spending. Private sector investment seems to be stuck in the paradox of thrift.

And that is partly due to the increased capital requirements placed on them.

[ 12. December 2012, 17:06: Message edited by: tclune ]
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
You are quite right with regard to countries like the UK that have large farms but it effectively makes it difficult to consolidate the small farms in countries where these predominate. But as a subsidy to large farms it is even less sensible.

Yes. There is a sort of statistical side-effect because poorer countries in Europe tend to have smaller farms (and often more inefficient agriculture). But they get relatively more subsidy, or used to. So within countries the subsidies benefit larger farms, and, if not exactly efficient farmers, in the past it benefited those who are willing to tear up their land and plant a monoculture of whatever is currently fashionable (the rules have improved a lot on this) But between countries the subsidies are a relative benefit to - well, lets be blunt, to Polcand and Ireland. I've nothing against Poland and Ireland, it might be a good idea that the rest of Europe pays their small farmers billions a year, but it would be better if it was made clear. Maybe a little addition to the labeling on every food packet in a supermarket.

France is by far the biggest beneficiary from CAP, biut also IIRC the second biggest contributor after Germany. So the net effect on France is that middle-class urban French taxpayers subsidise rich French landowners.

quote:

With regard to your point about the relative efficiency of small and large farms it surely depends on what size is considered small. Farms of less than 750 acres are only on the edge of commercial viability.

Ah, but efficiency is not viability... small farms often grow more food relative to input than big farms - and usually do less envirionmental damage as well. So sthey are more efficient. But the total amount of profit to be made from a typical small farm is less than required to sustain a middle-class lifestyle. They are in that sense less viable. So it can pay efficient small farmers to sell up to less efficient big ones, and go and get a job in town.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
]My point is that government is mearly acting as an unnecessary link in a chain, acting as a middle-man transferring my purchasing power from one part of the economy (normally my local economy) to another (which inevitably is not my local economy but some marginal constituency which needs a boost before the next general election).

But what we're seeing is that they are not an unnecessary link. The chain of consumer spending/ employment/ growth that you envision does NOT happen spontaneously, at least not in a recession. Private enterprise or "local economies" do NOT step in to make that happen-- again, as we have seen, and for the reasons already enumerated. The catalytic effect of government spending is necessary to begin that chain.

There are better and worse forms of govt spending, of course. If govt spending is necessary-- and I think we're seeing that it is-- we as tax-payers are going to want to get the most bang for our buck-- to focus that spending on areas where it will be the most transformative/ empowering-- infrastructure, education, etc. All places where private enterprise is not as apt to step in, btw.

[ 12. December 2012, 20:50: Message edited by: cliffdweller ]
 
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Works for me, but as a subnote Canadian provinces are not constrained by any such nonsense, or if they appear to be it is merely a window-dressing law of absolutely no substance. See Election Dates, Acts regarding the fixture thereof.

Both the Federal Government and the provinces have all increased their deficits and Canadian interest rates are still on the floor.

I'd hazard a guess and say it's because your economy is not a closed system but is instead closely aligned with that of your neighbor to the south of the world's longest border. Just a guess, though.
 
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on :
 
Also, according to the latest Economist charts, the total (federal and provincial) public debt per capita in Canada is about 1/3 what it is in the U.S., and only 14% of that debt is held by non-Canadian residents.
 
Posted by churchgeek (# 5557) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
If workers were to be promoted to higher pay rates only when they applied for it and had demonstrated that they could maintain the higher level of productivity, then it would be demonstrable that they contribute a higher amount of value to the company.

...

And once you've promoted someone for making a bit more money for their boss than the next bloke what do you do when they get a little older or slower? Chuck them out and replace them with a younger model? That's what most manual employers used to do in the 19th and early 20th centuries. There never was a golden age when all those lovely paternalistic bosses valued their workers. In many manual occupations your earnings peaked in your early 20s and it was downhill from then on.

This happened to my dad. He worked for decades for General Electric, going into people's homes and fixing their major appliances. He was really good at his job, because he's an excellent diagnostician and has a really good work ethic. His customers loved him, often requesting him by name or giving him gifts.

But he could be pretty slow in his work, too. As he got older, he got slower. And the management at GE came to value only "productivity," in this case, measured in the number of service calls made per day. They didn't take into account (a) the distance their workers had to drive between service calls, or (b) whether or not the workers actually finished the job. Workers were credited with the number of new service calls they made - even if they had to go back to fix their previous work (which wasn't considered a new call, so not counted toward productivity).

Then my dad got stuck in another problem. Because he could always fix the problem, he was sent to clean up the mess another serviceman would make. That guy got credited with all the calls, while my dad didn't get credit for any of his, because they were return visits to fix his coworker's poor work.

The company put so much pressure on my dad that he had to take anti-anxiety meds, and eventually took an early retirement (which meant he had to keep working at a new job, at starting salary, to make ends meet; in his 60s he was earning $9 or $10 per hour!). He finally retired last year, at age 70, with no retirement benefits from either of the 2 additional jobs he'd worked since his early retirement from GE. At least he still has *something* from GE, but it's not what it would've been if he'd been able to stay on till full retirement.

And that's another reason companies put pressure on older employees. Not only are they generally earning larger salaries, but they also stand to receive more in retirement benefits if they make it to retirement. Of course, fewer and fewer companies offer pensions anymore, so that particular motive is going away.

My dad worked SO hard his whole life. He worked overtime every single day (which is the only way my family made ends meet), usually leaving the house around 6 or 7 am and returning home around 7 pm. Because my sister was diabetic, we couldn't wait for dad to come home before we ate dinner, so he was always missing from the dinner table on weekdays.

My dad's expertise was a real asset to GE, one that helped repair not only appliances but the feelings toward the company that often fray when customers have a broken appliance. None of the way they treated my dad makes any sense. His long hours, many of which were spent driving all over southeastern Michigan, were not valued. His family, which missed him at dinner, was not valued. His expertise was not valued. His likeable nature was not valued.

Sorry this was so long, and somewhat of a rant, but I think it helps the discussion to have a real-life example of what all this abstract talk means for workers and their families.

And an example of how "productivity" isn't always the only measure a company should use. What about building good will among customers? And productivity doesn't always measure the quality of work. Quality does seem to be very undervalued by companies at the moment, and consumers seem to have accepted that they will have to frequently replace goods due to that poor quality - which is probably why we want our goods so cheap, which in turn makes it hard for companies to pay their workers well. It's not just a vicious circle, it's a vicious downward spiral.
 
Posted by churchgeek (# 5557) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by Caissa:
What we need to do is abolish capitalism and get on with a more equitable economic system.

What system would that be?
One that is not based upon usury.
Such as?
Anyone going to answer BA?

Anyone prepared to nail their colours to the mast?

Go on - for old times sake. I miss the cold war.

Perhaps it has yet to be invented.

I also don't think it's fair to say that just because a solution can't be named (especially among already existent options), one can't criticize the way things are. I have a friend who believes that if you don't have a solution, you shouldn't point out a problem. He gets that from his training in the Marines, he says. Which makes sense in the military, but in the rest of life? What if business or medicine functioned that way? The person who can solve a problem may not be the person who can identify it. Sometimes it takes someone pointing out the problems for others to start working on solutions. And with something as big as an economic system, solutions should be collaborative anyway.

Sarcastically taunting the person who points out the problem and citing past failures to correct the problem do NOT prove that no problem exists.
 
Posted by churchgeek (# 5557) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
If governments are so bad, why don't you do your Christian duty and form a better one.


There's no government like no government.
Just ask Somalia.
Is Somalia always the way it is, though? Were the Cherokees like that before Europeans showed up?

Can there be anarchy, tastefully done?

Probably not on a large scale.

I know people who use the model on a small scale, though, for their own community.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by churchgeek:
Probably not on a large scale.

I know people who use the model on a small scale, though, for their own community.

Indeed, as this brief documentary demonstrates...
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Works for me, but as a subnote Canadian provinces are not constrained by any such nonsense, or if they appear to be it is merely a window-dressing law of absolutely no substance. See Election Dates, Acts regarding the fixture thereof.

Both the Federal Government and the provinces have all increased their deficits and Canadian interest rates are still on the floor.

I'd hazard a guess and say it's because your economy is not a closed system but is instead closely aligned with that of your neighbor to the south of the world's longest border. Just a guess, though.
]

Of course the Canadian economy is not a closed system, it is a small open economy. But Canadian provinces have a great deal of fiscal flexibility, and as there are only ten of them they have a lot of clout in a small pool. They can and do levy income and sales/VAT taxes themselves and are regular and sophisticated borrowers. The Government of Canada is rated AAA, Ontario is rated AA, Prince Edward Island (smaller than Vermont in population and Rhode Island in area) is rated A. Newfoundland, the rockiest province fiscally is rated A.

Herbert Hoover doesn't live here, and neither does R.B. Bennett (his counterpart in spirit and term, the Depression PM, anymore).
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
If you have extra money and the economy is hopping along fine, you invest in business or in the stock market. I know I have.

When things look economically questionable, you don't invest in businesses or the market. Real estate is the thing that tends to hold its value.

In the past several years, the stock market has made almost no headway. Interests rates are low. A lot of real estate is overpriced, and if it is not in a particular area, its because the bubble has burst. Because interests rates are low, those with the extra money buy into the collapsed market from their overpriced market. The money is then tied up and doing essentially nothing.

Example. A typical family home sells from 350 to 600K here (Cdn and USA $ are approx at par). But the USA market in Arizona has collapsed. People who bought their house in western Canada 10 or 20 years ago for 150K take out credit against the house at 3.5%. They then fly direct to Arizona and buy 2 or 3 homes, one to use in the winter for holidays, and the others to speculate. None of this does anything to help create jobs or anything else.

What's the answer? Don't know. Change the tax system? The Americans have allowed house mortgage payments to be deductible from income tax. Cdns get a 50% reduction on money made via capital gains. You tell me.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
Example. A typical family home sells from 350 to 600K here (Cdn and USA $ are approx at par). But the USA market in Arizona has collapsed. People who bought their house in western Canada 10 or 20 years ago for 150K take out credit against the house at 3.5%. They then fly direct to Arizona and buy 2 or 3 homes, one to use in the winter for holidays, and the others to speculate. None of this does anything to help create jobs or anything else.

Nope - this does create jobs. The point is that such purchases make rental housing available to people. This will

a) Reduce the cost of renting as the price is competed down

and / or

b) Increase the expenditure of the tenants on 'housing expenditure' because they are able to get the better renting housing that they want compared with what was available

It is also likely to encourage - at least in countries that aren't trying to resist urban sprawl - the building of more houses.

You may want to think that this isn't a big effect; true - but if you look at the number of jobs being created by investments by large firms, this shouldn't come as a surprise. And the effect in terms of creating confidence is not to be ignored. And, by the way, people who invested in Phoenix have done rather well...
 
Posted by la vie en rouge (# 10688) on :
 
The trouble with the argument that this makes rental property cheaper is that in certain contexts at least, it's er... not true.

It all depends how much housing is available in the first place. France is a good example of this because for the last few years now, we have been in the middle of the worst housing crisis since the end of the second world war. France has round about a million fewer homes than it needs.

Consequently, real estate is astronomically expensive. Rich people buy it, and then rent it out, and the rents are CRIPPLING. Within the Parisian region, especially, most people cannot possibly afford to buy their own home. We have to rent. When you turn up to view an apartment, there will probably be about forty other people there (and no, that's not an exaggeration at all). My housemate and I spent three months finding an apartment, and we had a very good dossier - we both work and had an excellent guarantor. Other people have even more trouble than we did.

Upshot is, when you finally find someone willing to rent an apartment to you (and not one of the thirty-nine other people who wanted it), you take it, however bloody overpriced it may be, because it's that or the street and most of us prefer to have a roof over our heads. It's not at all uncommon to spend 50% of your income on housing.

Short version: round my way, rich people are buying up all the housing because they're the only ones who can afford it. And it's really, really not making life more affordable for the rest of us.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
The trouble with the argument that this makes rental property cheaper is that in certain contexts at least, it's er... not true.

It all depends how much housing is available in the first place. France is a good example of this because for the last few years now, we have been in the middle of the worst housing crisis since the end of the second world war. France has round about a million fewer homes than it needs.

Consequently, real estate is astronomically expensive. Rich people buy it, and then rent it out, and the rents are CRIPPLING. Within the Parisian region, especially, most people cannot possibly afford to buy their own home. We have to rent. When you turn up to view an apartment, there will probably be about forty other people there (and no, that's not an exaggeration at all). My housemate and I spent three months finding an apartment, and we had a very good dossier - we both work and had an excellent guarantor. Other people have even more trouble than we did.

Upshot is, when you finally find someone willing to rent an apartment to you (and not one of the thirty-nine other people who wanted it), you take it, however bloody overpriced it may be, because it's that or the street and most of us prefer to have a roof over our heads. It's not at all uncommon to spend 50% of your income on housing.

Short version: round my way, rich people are buying up all the housing because they're the only ones who can afford it. And it's really, really not making life more affordable for the rest of us.

Yes - but the question there - and note that I explicitly excluded a situation of housing shortage due to a refusal to build - is why there is such a shortage. In the case of Paris I'm guessing it's because there's nowhere to build; the suburbs are social disaster areas and too many people want to live in Paris. You're right - this is a market failure, and requires a different government response; unfortunately the obvious one - rent controls - tends to have very pernicious effects in the medium term. A solution is probably a policy promising a rapidly rising tax on land ownership in the medium term, discouraging new landlords as they will see their income falling, with the money redistributed by something like a general tax reduction. Of course it won't happen...
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
In the long run renting is always going to be more expensive than buying because the landlord wants a profit.
 
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by churchgeek:

Perhaps it has yet to be invented.

I also don't think it's fair to say that just because a solution can't be named (especially among already existent options), one can't criticize the way things are. I have a friend who believes that if you don't have a solution, you shouldn't point out a problem. He gets that from his training in the Marines, he says. Which makes sense in the military, but in the rest of life? What if business or medicine functioned that way? The person who can solve a problem may not be the person who can identify it. Sometimes it takes someone pointing out the problems for others to start working on solutions. And with something as big as an economic system, solutions should be collaborative anyway.

Sarcastically taunting the person who points out the problem and citing past failures to correct the problem do NOT prove that no problem exists.

Indeed.

That capitalism leads to abuses is clear. That it exacerbates our selfish tendencies in also clear. That it is destroying our planet is also clear.

There are plenty on the left who analyse why the attempt to set up socialism in places like Russia didn't work. Many come to the conclusion that the problem was (a) doing it through the medium of states, and (b) doing it through nation states at that*.

For some alternatives to capitalism are abstract, in that we live in a system, and it'd be difficult to imagine anything other than that we know, that which is supported by a cultural hegemony. Through many ways we are taught that "this is the only way".

Before this gets all Isaiah-like and Revelations-like, here's something more concrete: There are some who take a better future responsibly, realising that a good system cannot just come from any state, or come out of thin air, who see that we have to be realistic about what is achieveable. They see the way as being through small-scale experiments of living and working together.

There are probably such people trying out a new way fairly close to each of us. The thing is, they don't tend to be liked by authorities and the media.**

* Róża Luksemburg stood against Lenin in his view that socialism needs each nation to have their own state. I wonder what would have happened had more Poles not wanted a new nation state in Poland in 1918 but instead saw solidarity with workers across Europe to be their policy, above with Russian workers. Should Poland not have come into existence again but instead been part of a Socialist Soviet, then Lenin's aim to move the Red Army towards Germany to join in with communists there would not have been scuppered in 1920/21. That Germany was in deep unrest at the time, the introduction of socialists from Poland and Russia would have helped the likes of Liebknecht greatly.

Yes, it is obvious why most Poles didn't follow Luksemburg. Perhaps, just perhaps things would have been better if they had done so.

** I mean really. For example, a collective here in Wrocław was attacked in their squat this November on Independence Day by fascists and one person was hospitalised with broken bones. The police were ineffective, taking 40 minutes to get to the squat even though they were aware of a possible attack. Many in the media took the view that "well, they were squatters anyway".
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
Was Jesus a capitalist? Seemed he had a different idea. Notable is that he gave away the loaves and fishes and didn't sell them.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
Was Jesus a capitalist? Seemed he had a different idea. Notable is that he gave away the loaves and fishes and didn't sell them.

Capitalists buy me lunch fairly often.
 
Posted by tclune (# 7959) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
Was Jesus a capitalist? Seemed he had a different idea. Notable is that he gave away the loaves and fishes and didn't sell them.

Capitalists buy me lunch fairly often.
Yeah, but Jesus took the bread and fish from a small boy and redistributed it to others. On second thought, that does sound rather like a capitalist...

--Tom Clune
 
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
In the long run renting is always going to be more expensive than buying because the landlord wants a profit.

And of course banks and mortgage companies don't.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
Was Jesus a capitalist? Seemed he had a different idea. Notable is that he gave away the loaves and fishes and didn't sell them.

Capitalists buy me lunch fairly often.
Yeah, but Jesus took the bread and fish from a small boy and redistributed it to others. On second thought, that does sound rather like a capitalist...

--Tom Clune

You're on to something there. It does seem that the Christian myth is about getting something for nothing though.
 
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on :
 
Jesus: A walking health service, free for all [Smile]
 
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
In the long run renting is always going to be more expensive than buying because the landlord wants a profit.

In the context of all of someone's financial affairs, this isn't always the case. If you can make more money investing in something other than real estate, for some it makes more sense to rent. Given what I could afford to buy -- a one-bedroom condo in an iffy part of town, which is a pretty crappy investment, given the location, the inevitable increases in homeowner association dues, the fact that the payment would be higher than my rent, and the traditional lack of demand for one-bedroom condos -- I'll come out ahead in the long run by investing elsewhere. I crunched the numbers again and again, and even when the housing market fell, it was still true. I ran it all past a professional money manager, and he said someone in my position should only buy a home if they are really attached to the idea of home ownership, but that financially it does not make sense.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
In the long run renting is always going to be more expensive than buying because the landlord wants a profit.

Indeed - and a landlord must make a profit on you, a responsible member of the community, in order to justify his taking a risk on anyone in the community. In practice landlords do SOMETIMES get messed about with. Given this happens, they make a profit to balance out these losses with profits elsewhere. This is why profits are inevitable in capitalism - they are the risk premium for investing in something other than a 100% surety.

Of course the UK housing market has been totally pathological over the past 40 years because of the long term inflation of house prices; this creates a different set of issues...
 
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on :
 
But RuthW, the thing about renting is, the rents go up. Once you lock in your mortgage, it stays the same. If you're in a place 10 years your mortgage is going to be a hell of a lot less than someone else is paying for rent for the same space. Even if you aren't gaining any investment advantage at all -- if you move and take nothing back out -- you're still ahead.

But only if you stay there for a sufficient time, of course. If you're the type to move around a lot, this particular advantage is lost.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
Mortgages don't lock in in Britain. Fort us a "fixed rate" mortgage is one where the interest rate is reviewed less frequently than once a year. Usually after two or three years. Almost never more than five.

But anyway, in general and inthe long term commerical rents (i.e. not someone letting out a room in their own house to help pay their bills or while they are away for a few months) will ineveitable be higher than rents.

A house is for sale at a particular price. Person A wants to buy it to live in it. Person B wants to buy it to rent out. If B gets it, A still has to live somewhere so rents the house. But B has to repay the mortgage and make a profit, so the rent *has* to be higher than the mortgage. (assuming they both have access to the same mortgage rates, which is broadly true in England)

[ 13. December 2012, 18:28: Message edited by: ken ]
 
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on :
 
The interest rates aren't the issue. It's the cost of living. Rents will go up, just as the cost of groceries or whatever. The principal payment of a mortgage, at the very least, will not. The interest rate will fluctuate. They do not go up and up indefinitely like grocery prices or rent.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by tclune:
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
Was Jesus a capitalist? Seemed he had a different idea. Notable is that he gave away the loaves and fishes and didn't sell them.

Capitalists buy me lunch fairly often.
Yeah, but Jesus took the bread and fish from a small boy and redistributed it to others. On second thought, that does sound rather like a capitalist...

--Tom Clune

He wouldn't have taken it from the boy against his will. It ain't like Jesus was a Democrat or some such since he was without sin, and all.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Mortgages don't lock in in Britain. Fort us a "fixed rate" mortgage is one where the interest rate is reviewed less frequently than once a year. Usually after two or three years. Almost never more than five.

At last, the REAL reason pilgrims came to America.
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Mortgages don't lock in in Britain. Fort us a "fixed rate" mortgage is one where the interest rate is reviewed less frequently than once a year. Usually after two or three years. Almost never more than five.

But anyway, in general and inthe long term commerical rents (i.e. not someone letting out a room in their own house to help pay their bills or while they are away for a few months) will ineveitable be higher than rents.

A house is for sale at a particular price. Person A wants to buy it to live in it. Person B wants to buy it to rent out. If B gets it, A still has to live somewhere so rents the house. But B has to repay the mortgage and make a profit, so the rent *has* to be higher than the mortgage. (assuming they both have access to the same mortgage rates, which is broadly true in England)

An oversimplification because you are assuming that everyone is in a position to be a homeowner. Once you remove that assumption, it rapidly gets a lot more complicated. Given that some people are forced to rent, then the rental market is a function of what they are prepared to pay, which may well be significantly above the cost of a mortgage plus reasonable profits, because potential landlords have been deterred by talk of rent controls. Therefore someone buying a house and making available to person C - presently being overcharged for his rental premises - is a positive development, even if person A doesn't get the house.

Similarly, if buy to rent becomes massively popular because of a fear of inflation, then the rents chargeable will be competed down as landlords accept less than the full cost of the mortgage (perhaps because they bought a few years earlier before a spurt in house prices) because they prefer the prospect of capital gains because of house price inflation to the losses they fear in other investments.

So Ken, whilst your model is correct IF the housing market is fully liquid and working freely, given that these are 'heroic' assumptions in the present state of the UK housing market, it's dangerously simplistic to construct policy recommendations on the basis that they are correct. These may or may not be significant factors, but the destruction of the private rented sector in the UK between 1945 and 1985 as a result of rent controls left those seeking rented accommodation often facing high rents for 'temporary' contracts which were designed to circumvent rent controls. Whilst we've probably gone a bit too far the other way now, these issues should at least discourage simplistic solutions...
 
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
But RuthW, the thing about renting is, the rents go up. Once you lock in your mortgage, it stays the same. If you're in a place 10 years your mortgage is going to be a hell of a lot less than someone else is paying for rent for the same space.

The housing market where I live peaked in 2005, and I promise you people who bought condos in my neighborhood that year will in 2015 wish they'd stuck with renting. And their mortgages are way higher than my rent.

You have to look at all of an individual's financial affairs. The total costs of renting are for me less than the total costs of ownership, even over the course of decades. Factor in property taxes, increased utility payments, maintenance, homeowners association dues -- all of which do go up -- as well as my extremely reasonable rent and how the market for one-bedroom condos where I live has fared as opposed to non-real estate investments, and buying makes no sense for me, even in today's market.

Well, unless I want to live in a high-crime neighborhood, which I don't.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
We went through a market deflation for housing where I live. Things went down about 20-30% in the 1980s. The prices slowly recovered to par, and then increased about 350% since 2000, with a few mild downturns of up to 10%. If you have time to wait, the prices on housing always recover.

It also has to do with what you're comfortable with and your conception of a monetary loss. If you don't sell, the going price on your property means nothing. It only is realized and meaningful as a loss when you sell. So don't sell when the market price is low. Which is why I did not sell my stocks when the market went down a few years ago in the global meltdown and my paper losses exceeded 30%. I've had paper losses of this magnitude 3 times now, in the 1980s and at Y2K. They are up 8% from the pre-loss levels. So the losses are meaningless. Likewise, so will the housing prices be, even if in 2015 as you suggest they will be still down. How about in 2020 or 2025? Maybe up. No one knows. But the long term tend is up. The key is to buy into the market, whether housing or stocks, when the prices are low.

On the real estate side, I did sell a building I speculated on with a partner, and we realized a nice tidy profit, but I wish we'd waited longer b/c the market kept going up and we'd have made 3 times as much. C'est la vie (that's life)
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
You also have to look at what is available to you for housing stock. Most owner-occupied homes in Canada and the US are single-family detached dwellings, built for a family of four. Three or four bedrooms and a garage. For a single person that is far, far too much; I could not afford the mortgage payment. For in single person in both countries the choice is often between a condo or an apartment. You have to have a downpayment (at least 5% in Canada) and afford both the mortgage payment and the condo fees.

As Ruth said the purchase price stays the same, in Canada as in Britain the interest rate is fixed for six months to five years (you can also get a floating rate, which is on average cheaper) while the time to pay off the entire mortgage debt is 25 years. Depreciation (furnace costs, general repair), heating and utilities all fluctuate and rise with inflation.

In Canada at least I can rent an apartment which includes heat and hydro (electricity) and water.

The much more relevant question is which housing market segment you are in, for single or family accommodation.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
Is there a cap on those mortgages in the UK and Canada? It seems that if rates go up that the two countries could have their own bit of a problem like we had here with adjustable rate mortgages.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
Is there a cap on those mortgages in the UK and Canada? It seems that if rates go up that the two countries could have their own bit of a problem like we had here with adjustable rate mortgages.

No. Twice in my adult lifetime the mortgage rate has briefly gone over 15% which caused all sorts of problems.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
In Canada and the UK, the term for which the interest rate is fixed is less than the amortization.

When you buy for the first time, most buyers take a 5-year fixed term to secure their payments. By the time their mortgage comes up for renewal, they have paid off enough principal to absorb any interest rate increases.

When interest rates spiked in the early 1980's to over 15%, the default rate reached a record of 1.7%. Between Canadian banks prudent underwriting and Canadian homeowners' desire to keep their homes and pay their mortgage at all costs, it was an avoided problem.

A bank manager I know who worked during that time said that friends and family were the saving grace of Canada, helping out distressed relatives. If that didn't work, the standard line was to gently suggest that perhaps renting might be easier for the homeowner and they should sell and cut their losses. Most people saw the light and that the bank manager wasn't trying to be cruel. Banks don't want to foreclose/exercise power of sale up here, they're just not set up to do it on a large scale.

Mortgages are recourse in Canada, even in Alberta if the CMHC is used (default insurance for the lender). Jingle mail is illegal and just isn't done.
 
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
In Canada and the UK, the term for which the interest rate is fixed is less than the amortization.

When you buy for the first time, most buyers take a 5-year fixed term to secure their payments. By the time their mortgage comes up for renewal, they have paid off enough principal to absorb any interest rate increases.

Really? In five years we will have paid off a touch under 10% of our original loan balance. If our rate went up to 15% our payment would more than double. But then, if I had a mortgage that adjusts in five years paying everything I could becomes something to consider.

quote:
When interest rates spiked in the early 1980's to over 15%, the default rate reached a record of 1.7%. Between Canadian banks prudent underwriting and Canadian homeowners' desire to keep their homes and pay their mortgage at all costs, it was an avoided problem.
1.7%. That all? Impressive. It is unimaginable that it would be something other than a complete and total disaster here.

quote:
A bank manager I know who worked during that time said that friends and family were the saving grace of Canada, helping out distressed relatives. If that didn't work, the standard line was to gently suggest that perhaps renting might be easier for the homeowner and they should sell and cut their losses. Most people saw the light and that the bank manager wasn't trying to be cruel. Banks don't want to foreclose/exercise power of sale up here, they're just not set up to do it on a large scale.
When the bubble burst here it was hard to sell because so many people were trying to sell, houses were underwater and it was very difficult to get a loan. What you describe is pretty much how it normally is here, but like in that old Simply Red tune, money was too tight to mention when it all burst.

quote:
Mortgages are recourse in Canada, even in Alberta if the CMHC is used (default insurance for the lender). Jingle mail is illegal and just isn't done.
What is done, then, if the folks in Canada ever find themselves in a situation like we were in?
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
No quite sure when, but they decided that mortgaes could be up to 40 years in length in Canada. This meant that people could amortize the debt over a longer period of time and essentially never totally pay it off. They just stopped allowing that the budget before the one they may or may not have finished voting on (another story, the Conservative jammed every bit of legislation they could into the budget bill, something like 802 laws. The bastards.). They wanted to avoid the fraud bank lending crap fiasco of the USA.

I recall having a mortgage at 15.75% in 1987. Really really hard. We walked everywhere and took extra work. Ate a lot of lentils and liver -- not together, oatmeal, and macaroni with ketchup. Peanut butter and jam. Mattress on the floor and sort clothes in cardboard boxes. I lucked out by getting the right professional training and going into business at the follow-up recession in the early 1990s. There are lots of us who are totally debt adverse from that period.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
It's never happened, so I can't say. It happened during the Depression but the mortgage market has changed radically since that time.

Statistics show that default risk is historically almost exclusively concentrated in mortgages with greater than 80% loan to value in Canada. Those people have to purchase default insurance for the lender from Canada Mortgage & Housing Corporation. If you default, CMHC comes after you for the residual. It's been that way since the 1960's.

Off the top of my head, if Canada ever had a US style default crisis the Government of Canada would absorb the losses through CMHC (that's the purpose of the program and has been for decades) and for political purposes, conveniently forget to collect the debt owed to CMHC from defaulted former homeowners. But that's a decision for the Prime Minister and the Minister of Finance.

The real point is that Canadian banks never relaxed their underwriting rules anywhere near as bad as the US did. It happened a little bit, but then the Minister of Finance said the party was over (he's supposed to do that, he's the King of Banks). The root of it is that Canadian banks are all run by CEO's who started off as branch managers if not tellers. They know in their bones to know their customer, not be stupid with the bank's money and to avoid excessive complication and to follow the rules. I know of a youtube clip of the Toronto-Dominion's President saying his policy is that he will not sell a financial product he couldn't sell to his mother-in-law. It's worth more than all the regulators in Canada for a bank CEO to think that.

These men are the Princes of Capitalism here and have reached the pinnacle of power, influence and personal gain in Canadian business. That breeds a certain respect for things that work and for the system.

The usual rules are no more than 30% of your pretax income must be consumed by your mortgage, and all your debt payments cannot total more than 40% of your pretax income.

There are only five banks worth paying attention to in Canada, they all have a conservative group-think. The credit unions have the same conservative group-think. It's an old saw that Canada's bank are based on Scottish branch-banking; their practices have little to do with New York and far more to do with London and Edinburgh.
 
Posted by Russ (# 120) on :
 
Seems to me that there three aspects of creating jobs.

One is to do with growing the economy generally, and we've seen that managing the banking system is part of that.

One is to do with making labour-intensive methods and products and services cheaper relative to less-labour intensive methods, products and services.

One is to do with sharing the available work - how do you make it worthwhile to employ four people for thirty hours a week rather than three people for a forty-hour week.

Pity that most people can't seem to see beyond the first...

Best wishes,

Russ
 
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Russ:
Seems to me that there three aspects of creating jobs.

One is to do with growing the economy generally, and we've seen that managing the banking system is part of that.

One is to do with making labour-intensive methods and products and services cheaper relative to less-labour intensive methods, products and services.

One is to do with sharing the available work - how do you make it worthwhile to employ four people for thirty hours a week rather than three people for a forty-hour week.

Pity that most people can't seem to see beyond the first...

Best wishes,

Russ

May I introduce you to the lump of labour fallacy which challenges your assumption that 'the work should be shared around'. It's a complex area, but this insight is one that needs to be taken on board; certainly the extraordinary growth of employment in the UK without a matching decline in unemployment over the past 20 years suggests there is more truth in it than the layman may want to recognise.
 
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ender's Shadow:
quote:
Originally posted by Russ:
Seems to me that there three aspects of creating jobs.

One is to do with growing the economy generally, and we've seen that managing the banking system is part of that.

One is to do with making labour-intensive methods and products and services cheaper relative to less-labour intensive methods, products and services.

One is to do with sharing the available work - how do you make it worthwhile to employ four people for thirty hours a week rather than three people for a forty-hour week.

Pity that most people can't seem to see beyond the first...

Best wishes,

Russ

May I introduce you to the lump of labour fallacy which challenges your assumption that 'the work should be shared around'. It's a complex area, but this insight is one that needs to be taken on board; certainly the extraordinary growth of employment in the UK without a matching decline in unemployment over the past 20 years suggests there is more truth in it than the layman may want to recognise.
It might be appropriate as a short term strategy. During the great depression, my grandfather worked for Ma Bell. The company decided to put all workers at 1/2 time rather than to go thru massive layoffs in a time of 25% unemployment. It was probably a kind micro-response to a difficult situation. But it wasn't a long-term strategy for growth and full employment.
 


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