Thread: Does the UK need a in-out referendum on the EU? Board: Oblivion / Ship of Fools.
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Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on
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AFAICS, the main argument against such a referendum is that it will produce the 'wrong' answer - and I tend to agree with the Economist that there isn't really a good option for the UK outside the EU. But if the UK carries on as we are doing then we will become ever more marginalised, so the answer is to have a referendum in the hope that that will, as the last one did, settle the question for a generation. Of course there is a serious danger that the voters will decide that there is an alternative... But it is certainly valid to argue that the terms of the last referendum have been totally breeched - once again politicians proved that they are unwilling to tell the truth to the people; the story then was that we were agreeing to be in a Free Trade Area, and that there was NO PROSPECT of the EEC becoming a super-state.
(To add an amusing coda - one of the most entertaining outcomes would be a vote by Scotland to stay in, and by England to leave. This would allow Scotland to become independent of England - as they might vote in 2014 - and stay in the EU however much Spain would object to a separatist group staying in the EU when it broke from its previous country. This would be on the logic that Greenland left the EU but Denmark remained in.)
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on
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Yes, we do want an in-out referendum.
Yes, we do want to be out.
We should strengthen ties and trade with the commonwealth. Europe is failing.
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on
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Except that the commonwealth is moving on, trading with the Asia-Pacific group, China, each other, with very limited interest on the economic side with the UK. This is not very nice to say but it captures the general sentiment. The UK is seen as a quaint tourist destination with old fashioned customs, cute accents, inability to understand multiculturalism, except as a social and ethnic problem, and substantial social problems. You have the royals and people with titles who are thought of as interesting and if entertaining social parasites. Sorry. There would be more interest in trade generally with EU if they actually managed the bloc's economy with some semblance of order. The Germans are seen as possibly providing that, and the interest might be improved if some of the failing economies were eliminated from it, like Greece. The Americans are interested in mid-east oil, and the usefulness of the EU for that end may be eclipsed completely by NATO over time.
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on
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One of the arguments being used in favour of Scottish independence is the possibility that a referendum would take the UK out of the EU, when Scotland is generally in favour of remaining in.
Posted by leo (# 1458) on
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I fear that a referendum would produce the 'wrong' result but we never really had one top join in the first place.
Most of us didn't read the small print back in Edward Heath's days and thought we were joining a trading arrangement: the 'common market'.
[ 09. December 2012, 14:17: Message edited by: leo ]
Posted by Sighthound (# 15185) on
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With 20/20 hindsight we should have gone in at the start and helped shape it to suit ourselves.
Heath took us in on a 'at any price' basis, and quite apart from getting us a poor deal, it is quite clear that the British public were conned about what we were joining.
Back in 1974 there were other options, which have now largely vanished. So we are in a federation which does not suit us (but appears to suit most if not all of the rest) and if we come out it will be a massive and risky step.
I would be happier about taking a 'massive and risky' step if I had *any* faith in *any* of our political leaders. I have not - this generation seems to have spawned a race of political pygmies.
My overall conclusion is that the country is in a scary mess, between a rock and a hard place. I doubt it will end well. We could finish up looking something like pre-revolutionary Portugal, but without the sunshine and the seafood.
As my granddad used to say - 'I'm glad I'm not young.'
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Sighthound:
With 20/20 hindsight we should have gone in at the start and helped shape it to suit ourselves.
I thought we were kept out because the French didn't want us.
Posted by Hairy Biker (# 12086) on
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No, what we need is for the EU to carve the UK up and give it to other European nations. Then we'd get away from all this horrible xenophobia and racism dressed up as anti-EU sentiment. Not sure it would be better in any other European country, but it couldn't be worse. And it might stop the relentless march of Americanisation we've seen over the last century.
Posted by Sighthound (# 15185) on
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I must admit I tend to do 15th rather than 20th Century history, but IIRC we could have gone in when the initial steel and coal treaty was put together. We chose not to for political reasons, one being that the then-powerful Miners' Union was agin it. The Continentals (bar possibly the French) were keen to have us, but we still saw ourselves as 'different' to them, more focused on the Commonwealth and world trade in general.
Of course, it's all a bit academic as we can't go back to 1951 and change our minds. And now, IMHO, our options are uncomfortably limited.
[ 09. December 2012, 15:52: Message edited by: Sighthound ]
Posted by fletcher christian (# 13919) on
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If you send Nigel of UKIP off to be your European UK rep, that should put a fairly sturdy nail in the coffin.
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on
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How important is the UK to a Germany-dominated EU anyway? Can we foresee that a rising German, Poland and Turkey will be dominant in that part of the world, with the full eclipse of a UK that sheds Scotland and becomes a rump of a quaint England of castles and Euro-trash royalty, dominated by new immigrants, with all of that contributing further devolved nationalism in Wales?
Posted by Honest Ron Bacardi (# 38) on
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quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
How important is the UK to a Germany-dominated EU anyway? Can we foresee that a rising German, Poland and Turkey will be dominant in that part of the world, with the full eclipse of a UK that sheds Scotland and becomes a rump of a quaint England of castles and Euro-trash royalty, dominated by new immigrants, with all of that contributing further devolved nationalism in Wales?
That sort of scenario keeps me awake at nights. But realistically, it overlooks problem no. 1, which is the increasing financial tension caused by differential development rates. Whilst the initial reaction of a move towards fiscal union looks attractive, in the medium term it will make things worse, as resentment at financial institutions (primarily the ECB) will be replaced by political resentment. Matters would likely get very ugly indeed.
Turkey isn't a member of the EU yet of course, though I assume the assumption is that it will be. The extent to which it may dominate things is dependent on many factors. Financially it has an economy that has a reputation for having failed to address inflation - if that continues inside the EU it will be in the same camp as PIIGS group or whatever they are being called now.
Posted by la vie en rouge (# 10688) on
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quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
How important is the UK to a Germany-dominated EU anyway? Can we foresee that a rising German, Poland and Turkey will be dominant in that part of the world, with the full eclipse of a UK that sheds Scotland and becomes a rump of a quaint England of castles and Euro-trash royalty, dominated by new immigrants, with all of that contributing further devolved nationalism in Wales?
Germany isn't the only dominant nation in the EU - you're forgetting the French.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
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We're staying in and Turkey will join and that's great. Get over yourselves you pompous xenophobes.
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
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The thing which frightens me about the eurosceptics is that they don't seem equally americanosceptic. We are already far too dominated by America, culturally as well as economically. Anything which strengthens our ties to our fellow-Europeans should be welcomed. It's not possible for any nation (let alone a small one) to be 'independent' these days. I'd rather we were interdependent with similar nations only a hop away, than dependent on the great Behemoth across the pond.
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on
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Having a referendum now seems pointless because the EU itself is in a state of flux.
ISTM very likely that the Eurozone members will negotiate some kind of new settlement to mitigate the euro's various failings and absurdities. However, until we know what such a settlement looks like, we can't make an informed decision on whether we want to be part of a trans-national body that contains it.
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
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quote:
Originally posted by ken:
We're staying in and Turkey will join and that's great. Get over yourselves you pompous xenophobes.
Am I a xenophobe for liking Europe and the Europeans but hating the EU?
To answer the original question, I think we ought to have a referendum in the next couple of years. Some say that holding referendums is wrong but if we can have a referendum on AV (for which there was little public appetite) I think we can have one on the issue of EU membership, particularly given that a significant minority and perhaps even a majority are in favour of leaving it.
I don't think it's the sort of thing that can held tomorrow, though. What if, for instance, the majority voted to stay in in an In/Out Referendum? Does that mean stay in as we currently are, pursue deeper integration with the other EU members or something else? More than one question might be needed.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
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I think we need a referendum, if only to force the issue. If the Conservatives promise to hold a referendum then that should defang UKIP and help us to win the next General Election outright.
I think we should then call the referendum and campaign FOR staying in the EU, albeit with some mandate to get tougher on some of the EU laws we are asked to apply. I also think it should be a 5 or 6 weeks campaign. There are lots of issues to debate and they need to be put before the public.
My own gut feeling is that once the positions have been discussed and debated in detail, the public will vote to remain in the EU, and by a substantial margin. The “significant” minority of “anti’s” is only significant because they are fed the anti-EU stories in the Daily Mail and so on, and I think those numbers are soft.
In a formal referendum, when campaign literature is sent to their homes, and posters go up, and the debates and party political broadcasts start, and continue for 6 weeks, I think the numbers will shift back to remaining in.
It will also force some of the EU-sceptics in the Conservative party to tow the line as we will have a mandate to remain in.
Why should we get the wrong result, if staying in is the right thing to do? If staying in the right thing to do we should make a case for it and let it stand before the electorate. I think we’ll get the right result because the case is good. I suspect the three main parties will all campaign to stay in, as will the SNP in Scotland.
On the subject of Scottish independence, I listened to a report on the Today programme last week and it said that the EU had confirmed that if Scotland left the UK, it would no longer be in the EU as of right because the EU membership is in the name of the United Kingdom. Scotland would be a new country in the eyes of the EU, and would therefore have to apply to join as a new member. This would mean they would have to join the Euro as well. This is a point that we will be making quite strongly before any independence referendum. I understand the SNP were a little upset about it!
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on
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quote:
Originally posted by deano:
On the subject of Scottish independence, I listened to a report on the Today programme last week and it said that the EU had confirmed that if Scotland left the UK, it would no longer be in the EU as of right because the EU membership is in the name of the United Kingdom. Scotland would be a new country in the eyes of the EU, and would therefore have to apply to join as a new member. This would mean they would have to join the Euro as well. This is a point that we will be making quite strongly before any independence referendum. I understand the SNP were a little upset about it!
/tangent It's my understanding that there has been no official statement from the European Commission yet, although there have been a number of people suggesting that this is their view. It is however disputable under international law - which is why Salmond is clinging to the hope that he may get to stay in, and carrying on muddying the waters. If they don't, then the referendum is a dead duck: Scotland clearly does not have a future outside the EU.
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
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Isn't the case of Catalonia going to clarify this even sooner?
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
We're staying in and Turkey will join and that's great. Get over yourselves you pompous xenophobes.
Am I a xenophobe for liking Europe and the Europeans but hating the EU?
On this subject it's worth recalling that Nigel Farage's wife is German ...
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
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Sorry to double post but I've just thought of this: was Czechoslovakia a member of the EU before it split? And does it depend on relative size: if Scotland leaves the UK, what is left is not the same UK that joined the EU. They are both 'new nations' and so shouldn't both (or neither) have to reapply?
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
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No it wasn't - the Czech Republic and Slovakia both made separate successful applications to join.
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
quote:
Originally posted by Sighthound:
With 20/20 hindsight we should have gone in at the start and helped shape it to suit ourselves.
I thought we were kept out because the French didn't want us.
Only after de Gaulle came to power. The founding six MSs rather hoped we would join them in 1957 but we declined as we still had the Empire, by and large, at that point; the bloody nose of Suez hadn't yet fully registered. Half a dozen years on, decolonisation had firmly begun and we belatedly woke up to the fact that we might just need new trading partners, but were at that point rebuffed by the General's non.
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
The thing which frightens me about the eurosceptics is that they don't seem equally americanosceptic. We are already far too dominated by America, culturally as well as economically. Anything which strengthens our ties to our fellow-Europeans should be welcomed. It's not possible for any nation (let alone a small one) to be 'independent' these days. I'd rather we were interdependent with similar nations only a hop away, than dependent on the great Behemoth across the pond.
Indeed. I used to be pretty Eurosceptic, but then one day I woke up to the point that you've just made (that and the fact that it's managed to keep an increasingly large area of Europe at peace for 60 years and managed on the whole to integrate all sorts of potentially difficult countries, beginning with Germany, into liberal democratic western European norms- which are considerable achievements but ones which we could in principle admire from afar). I suppose the last two major 'neither Brussels nor Washington' people were Tony Benn (and that's still his position AFAIK) and Enoch Powell. But whether it's a tenable position nowadays, when even the Swiss are increasingly conforming to EU norms, may be open to doubt. There are all sorts of ways in which the EU needs reforming, but ultimately it's still a Good Thing and we should be fully engaged.
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
Sorry to double post but I've just thought of this: was Czechoslovakia a member of the EU before it split? And does it depend on relative size: if Scotland leaves the UK, what is left is not the same UK that joined the EU. They are both 'new nations' and so shouldn't both (or neither) have to reapply?
As I understand it, there is a concept of a 'successor state' in International Law. When the Soviet Union broke up, for example, Russia was regarded as the successor state and got the Soviet Union's position on the Security Council, etc. Serbia claimed to be the successor state of Yugoslavia but this was not recognised and she had to make a fresh application to join the UN.
If the United Kingdom were to break up completely into four, fresh countries, there would no doubt be some argument as to which of the four countries is the successor state to the UK. But if only Scotland leaves, the UK continues in a smaller form.
Posted by balaam (# 4543) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
Sorry to double post but I've just thought of this: was Czechoslovakia a member of the EU before it split? And does it depend on relative size: if Scotland leaves the UK, what is left is not the same UK that joined the EU. They are both 'new nations' and so shouldn't both (or neither) have to reapply?
When Greenland split from Denmark it then had to apply to leave the EU. If the same thing followed Scotland and the disUnited Kingdom would both be EU members.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Ender's Shadow:
/tangent It's my understanding that there has been no official statement from the European Commission yet, although there have been a number of people suggesting that this is their view. It is however disputable under international law - which is why Salmond is clinging to the hope that he may get to stay in, and carrying on muddying the waters. If they don't, then the referendum is a dead duck: Scotland clearly does not have a future outside the EU.
By coincidence this is now on the BBC's web site from Manuel Barroso confirming that Scotland would have to apply in her own right post independance...
New States Must Apply to Join EU
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
Sorry to double post but I've just thought of this: was Czechoslovakia a member of the EU before it split?
No. Czechoslovakia was in the Soviet sphere of influence and therefore a member of the Warsaw Pact rather than the EU. Neither of the post-split countries joined the EU until at least 2003.
quote:
And does it depend on relative size: if Scotland leaves the UK, what is left is not the same UK that joined the EU. They are both 'new nations' and so shouldn't both (or neither) have to reapply?
I don't think so, because the UK is a union of four constituent countries. The secession of one would not affect the international standing of the UK, there being the important precedent of the UK having previously 'survived' the secession of Southern Ireland without any effect on the UK's treaty obligations, diplomatic recognition or membership of international organisations.
More recently, the secession of South Sudan also did not make any change to the membership of Sudan in any international organisations, and South Sudan has had to apply for their own membership in international organisations since then.
The dissolution of Czechoslovakia without either state being recognised as the sole successor state is very much the exception, and that exception only worked because it was mutually agreed upon and both states pledged to adhere to Czechoslovakia's treaty obligations. That mutual agreement definitely won't be there for Scotland because the UK has too much at stake to give up just over a Scottish attempt to have their cake and eat it too.
Of course, the other members of the EU could force the issue to reach a different conclusion in that organisation only if they wanted. I would consider that extremely unlikely because the EU needs the UK a lot more than it would need Scotland. And then if it got really nasty, the UK has the even bigger stick of having the right to veto Scotland's attempt to gain membership of the UN.
[ 10. December 2012, 11:38: Message edited by: the giant cheeseburger ]
Posted by Alaric the Goth (# 511) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
The thing which frightens me about the eurosceptics is that they don't seem equally americanosceptic. We are already far too dominated by America, culturally as well as economically. Anything which strengthens our ties to our fellow-Europeans should be welcomed. It's not possible for any nation (let alone a small one) to be 'independent' these days. I'd rather we were interdependent with similar nations only a hop away, than dependent on the great Behemoth across the pond.
Oh, I am at least as Americanosceptic as I am 'Eurosceptic'. And it's EU-sceptic, please. I have nothing, per se. against a continent or its peoples (e.g. I had a rather good week away this summer in Croatia, which is alas, falling into the EU trap). I have a lot against an unelected body like the EU Commission deciding things for me and the 'voters' of EU member states.
Posted by balaam (# 4543) on
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That contradicts what happened with Greenland, so either he's wrong or something has changed.
Does anyone around here understand the Treaty of Lisbon, which seems the likeliest candidate for change in EU policy.
{cross posted = reply to deano}
[ 10. December 2012, 11:50: Message edited by: balaam ]
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
The thing which frightens me about the eurosceptics is that they don't seem equally americanosceptic. We are already far too dominated by America, culturally as well as economically. Anything which strengthens our ties to our fellow-Europeans should be welcomed. It's not possible for any nation (let alone a small one) to be 'independent' these days. I'd rather we were interdependent with similar nations only a hop away, than dependent on the great Behemoth across the pond.
/TANGENT ALERT
That's Jeremy Clarkson's view as well. He is pro-European, a bit anti-EU, and definitely quite scornful of the USA.
That might not come accross in the soundbite telly he does, but in his books he has stated it many times.
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Alaric the Goth:
quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
The thing which frightens me about the eurosceptics is that they don't seem equally americanosceptic. We are already far too dominated by America, culturally as well as economically. Anything which strengthens our ties to our fellow-Europeans should be welcomed. It's not possible for any nation (let alone a small one) to be 'independent' these days. I'd rather we were interdependent with similar nations only a hop away, than dependent on the great Behemoth across the pond.
Oh, I am at least as Americanosceptic as I am 'Eurosceptic'. And it's EU-sceptic, please. I have nothing, per se. against a continent or its peoples (e.g. I had a rather good week away this summer in Croatia, which is alas, falling into the EU trap). I have a lot against an unelected body like the EU Commission deciding things for me and the 'voters' of EU member states.
I'm as pro-EU as Alaric is agin' it but as far as the EU Commission is concerned we're of one mind. The members must be directly elected, rather than superannuated party hacks from the constituent contries, and they must take their lead from the European Parliament not the Brussels machine.
Imagine the British Cabinet formed exclusively from members of the House of Lords, legislation being formulated and put to it by civil service policy branches and the House of Commons being relegated to a debating chamber with no executive power whatsoever.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
I'm as pro-EU as Alaric is agin' it but as far as the EU Commission is concerned we're of one mind. The members must be directly elected, rather than superannuated party hacks from the constituent contries, and they must take their lead from the European Parliament not the Brussels machine.
Imagine the British Cabinet formed exclusively from members of the House of Lords, legislation being formulated and put to it by civil service policy branches and the House of Commons being relegated to a debating chamber with no executive power whatsoever.
I completely understand your position, but the elected legislature was originally conceived with the inherent weaknesses deliberately built in.
If the European Parliament had more authorities, it would be able to claim a mandate and introduce legislation usurping sovereign parliaments and governments. Thus it is individual Governments have to supply commissioners, and the EU Parliament can be ignored.
I doubt whether there will be any appetite anywhere to build more democracy into the EU, as it would undermine the sovereign governments and legislatures. Can you imagine the Germans agreeing to that?
At least the current system allows us to elect or leaders here in the UK, and we then allow them to choose who should be the commissioners in the EU, and we can change them at will. It actually enables more control by sovereign governments. Giving a legitimate mandate to the EU will reduce that control.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
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quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet:
How important is the UK to a Germany-dominated EU anyway? Can we foresee that a rising German, Poland and Turkey will be dominant in that part of the world, with the full eclipse of a UK that sheds Scotland and becomes a rump of a quaint England of castles and Euro-trash royalty, dominated by new immigrants, with all of that contributing further devolved nationalism in Wales?
Germany isn't the only dominant nation in the EU - you're forgetting the French.
The EU is increasingly a German sphere of influence with the French playing second fiddle. Hollande recently tried to position France in defiance of German austerity demands and very soon had to back down. I think on a split between performing Euro countries (the northern group) and non-performing Euro countries (the southern med group) France would probably fall into the latter group.
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on
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Maybe you could consider what Iceland did earlier this year?
Is Iceland loonie to start using Canada’s currency?
Since Canada and the EU are doing free trade talks, we could perhaps see all of you?
Humour aside, or maybe seriousness aside, we do have to figure out how to get along as nations and while in this age of Mammon (our current emphasis among the seven deadlies) consuming, trade and economics are apparently everything, there is more at stake than mere cash isn't there?
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
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The problem of what to do with Germany is far older than the EU!
One of the causes of the First World War was a large, economically and militarily powerful Germany wanting to exert more influence over Europe, as befitting her status as the most important state in continental Europe.
One of the causes of the Second World War, was the fallout from trying to tie down Germany and weaken her and to stop her exerting such a powerful influence over Europe.
The EEC was started in order to tie France and Germany together in order to once again restrict Germany from exerting an influence over Europe, and of course it helped that Germany was divided for most of her post-war history.
Now Germany is reunited and is a large, powerful, economically successful country, who has inordinate power over Europe.
What goes around comes around. How do you control a powerful Germany? France has been involved in all the previous attempts to restrict her power and has failed miserably. The only way Germany can reduce her impact on her neighbours is if Germany voluntarily agrees to do so, and if she chooses to not restrict herself, well… ask Greece how much Germany is able to influence Europe in the modern age, and the answer will come back, “completely!”
Posted by Yam-pk (# 12791) on
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I really don't see anything inherently xenophobic or nationalistic in being against unaccountable, unelected bureaucratic European institutions. It's perfectly possible to love being European and hate the EU as it's currently formed.
The main argument should involve scrapping the European Commission and having simply a European Parliament, and a European Executive being made up of MEPS who would be directly accountable to that parliament. Well this would certainly lance the democratic deficit argument!
[ 10. December 2012, 12:20: Message edited by: Yam-pk ]
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Yam-pk:
I really don't see anything inherently xenophobic or nationalistic in being against unaccountable, unelected bureaucratic European institutions.
There isn't but proponents of EU membership are finding it increasingly diffcult to find positive arguments so make fatuous accusations instead.
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on
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Although of course, as was pointed out upthread, the weakness of the European Parliament (not as weak as it was, by the way) reflects the inter-governmental nature of the original ECSC/EEC arrangements. If you want more directly democratic accountability for EU institutions, you're accepting the EU as a supranational body.
On the question of Germany: of course it's going to dominate Europe. Its big, centrally placed, hardworking, clever, and rich. There is no-one else in Europe to match it on all these counts. The ECSC/EEC/EC/EU has been the best go yet at getting Germany to work with its neighbours rather than against them. You're bothered about German domination of Europe now? Just take a mo to think how much worse it could be- and has been.
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
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And equally, xenophobic nationalists can hide behind logical-sounding objections to the EU. It cuts both ways.
Obviously the EU is in great need of reform. But abandoning our voice within it seems a strange way of achieving this.
[reply to yam-pk and aumbry]
[ 10. December 2012, 12:31: Message edited by: Angloid ]
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on
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quote:
Originally posted by balaam:
That contradicts what happened with Greenland, so either he's wrong or something has changed.
Does anyone around here understand the Treaty of Lisbon, which seems the likeliest candidate for change in EU policy.
{cross posted = reply to deano}
Greenland is not independent. Denmark is still sovereign and has control of foreign affairs.
See Wikipedia.
Posted by Honest Ron Bacardi (# 38) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Although of course, as was pointed out upthread, the weakness of the European Parliament (not as weak as it was, by the way) reflects the inter-governmental nature of the original ECSC/EEC arrangements. If you want more directly democratic accountability for EU institutions, you're accepting the EU as a supranational body.
On the question of Germany: of course it's going to dominate Europe. Its big, centrally placed, hardworking, clever, and rich. There is no-one else in Europe to match it on all these counts. The ECSC/EEC/EC/EU has been the best go yet at getting Germany to work with its neighbours rather than against them. You're bothered about German domination of Europe now? Just take a mo to think how much worse it could be- and has been.
Germany is all those things, as you say, Albertus. But I think you are overlooking the enormous fiscal boost it has received from being a member of a unified currency area. Being successful, hardworking etc. would normally cause its currency to rise in value internationally, so would ultimately make more marginal German industry less competitive. Being a member of the euro means that doesn't happen. It's the direct opposite of what has happened to the PIIGS countries.
[ 10. December 2012, 13:04: Message edited by: Honest Ron Bacardi ]
Posted by agingjb (# 16555) on
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Random thoughts (from a "don't know"):
Japan isn't part of China; Sri Lanka isn't part of India; Cuba isn't part of the USA. There's a case for substantial islands remaining apart from a dominating neighbouring continent.
I've been known to argue that the only natural political units are the parish and the planet.
But then I'm a rather unemphatic Wessex Nationalist at heart.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
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quote:
Originally posted by agingjb:
Random thoughts (from a "don't know"):
Japan isn't part of China; Sri Lanka isn't part of India; Cuba isn't part of the USA. There's a case for substantial islands remaining apart from a dominating neighbouring continent.
And the Republic of Irelkand isn't part of the UK (the chances are that Scotland won't be soon either) and Britain isn't part of any Europe-wide nation state because there isn't one to be part of.
So your point is?
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
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quote:
Originally posted by agingjb:
Random thoughts (from a "don't know"):
Japan isn't part of China; Sri Lanka isn't part of India; Cuba isn't part of the USA. There's a case for substantial islands remaining apart from a dominating neighbouring continent.
I've been known to argue that the only natural political units are the parish and the planet.
But then I'm a rather unemphatic Wessex Nationalist at heart.
Blimey - unless they have two members you must be Alexander Bath.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
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For my part, either the EU has to go from being what it is to a supra-national federal democratic state or we need to get out.
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on
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quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by agingjb:
Random thoughts (from a "don't know"):
Japan isn't part of China; Sri Lanka isn't part of India; Cuba isn't part of the USA. There's a case for substantial islands remaining apart from a dominating neighbouring continent.
And the Republic of Irelkand isn't part of the UK (the chances are that Scotland won't be soon either) and Britain isn't part of any Europe-wide nation state because there isn't one to be part of.
So your point is?
And in fact Japan dominated China, or tired to, for a spell; India didn't dominate Sri lanka because they were both under colonial or quasi-rule and then India had quite enough to be getting on with elsewhere; and the USA thoroughly dominated Cuba for the first six decades of the C20 and most of the USA's subsequent bad feeling has been about the impertinence of the Cubans in wanting not to be so dominated rather than about Castro's Communism (which was only declared after the USA started throwing its toys out of the pram at having its favourite gambling resorts put off limits).
So, as ken says, so what?
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Britain isn't part of any Europe-wide nation state because there isn't one to be part of.
Yet. But it's coming - Germany will keep insisting on greater and greater control over the PIIGS economies until it gets to the point that it may as well just be running those countries anyway. Then it will just take them over. France won't last a whole lot longer, and the Eastern European countries probably won't even bother putting up a fight. Someone will point out that as the continent is one single country now they may as well move the political capital to the same place as the central bank (i.e. Germany), and Bob's your uncle - the Germans have finally succeeded in taking over the whole continent.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
...and this time without firing a shot. If only the Kaiser had waited, eh?
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on
:
You know - a series of posts about how the Germans are secretly intent on continental domination really doesn't help dispel the accusation that Euroscepticism is just veiled xenophobia ...
[ 10. December 2012, 14:45: Message edited by: Ricardus ]
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
As a German taxpayer I'd feel warm and fuzzy inside to see that paying through the nose to prop up failing economies around Europe is accepted with such fine grace. It must make it feel almost worth it for them.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
Not a secret intent so much as a geo-econo-political inevitability.
[cp with mdijon]
[ 10. December 2012, 14:59: Message edited by: Matt Black ]
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
a series of posts about how the Germans are secretly intent on continental domination
Who said anything about "secretly"?
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
I'm from Britain. I live in Poland. I have a business in Germany, where I do a lot of work. In Germany I am treated fairly equally. Here as well, though I cannot register myself for more than a year, and things like health insurance have to go through my wife. The tri-national dimension of my life does in fact raise complications regarding registration, health insurance and pension, but slowly things are getting sorted.
But all in all, being class 1 EU helps me.
If Britain was to leave the EU my life would get much more complicated. It would also leave to a greater anti-British prejudice, something that would effect me. Already people tell me that "Brits are arrogant" and "think they are better than us" and the such.
The EU is simply a convenient scapegoat, used by various politicans to distract from real issues (jobs, workers' rights, health, schooling, the environment) and whipped up by a sales-hungry media, going down the nationalist line.
That's not to say that all criticism of the EU is nationalist. There are sound left-wing reasons for criticising the EU. Thing is, the media doesn't give voice to those reasons, choosing rather to invite some right-wing soundbite producer.
British business by the way is massively against GB leaving the EU.
Posted by Robert Armin (# 182) on
:
Some time ago a friend who is MUCH better versed in international politics than I, told me that the French forced the Euro on Germany as the price for accepting reunification - his overall argument being that the entire Euro exercise was part of the overall French strategy of running Europe. Most of the comments on this thread go directly against his idea. Does it seem plausible to anyone?
Posted by Sighthound (# 15185) on
:
It seems to me that the only way to make the EU satisfactory is to turn it into something like the USA. On that analogy, the capital would need to be somewhere like Luxembourg, not in one of the major states.
The snag is I am pretty sure the majority of the people of Europe don't want this, and I'm even more sure the people of the UK don't.
Much that is otherwise inexplicable about this 'institution' can be understood if you accept that the elite have been trying to take baby steps towards this objective all along.
I actually think such a union would be preferable to the present mess. In principle I would love to go back to an independent UK, I just don't think it's practical. So I'd prefer a proper, democratic Euro state with defined rights for the constituent states - maximum devolution, or subsidiarity, or whatever you like to call it. I have reluctantly come to think that's the best of a bad set of options.
Won't happen though as the Daily Mail won't approve.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sighthound:
It seems to me that the only way to make the EU satisfactory is to turn it into something like the USA.
Why? What for? Who wants to do that? What would be the point?
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
Even if that sort of 'half-way house' ('confederal'?) situation is to happen, there has to be much much more democratic accountability for the governing institutions than we presently have.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Armin:
Some time ago a friend who is MUCH better versed in international politics than I, told me that the French forced the Euro on Germany as the price for accepting reunification - his overall argument being that the entire Euro exercise was part of the overall French strategy of running Europe. Most of the comments on this thread go directly against his idea. Does it seem plausible to anyone?
I think that is the accepted wisdom. It seems to have backfired on the French though, in the same way that extending the membership to include Eastern European states was a strategy of the British which seems to have backfired on them. The irony is that when unification came the adoption of the Deutschmark in the East had the effect of overnight deindustrialisation whilst giving the former West Germany an enormous advantage. One wonders why the countries joining the Euro didn't see the dangers being repeated on a much grander scale. The French will quite soon really regret their membership of the Single Currency because the East-West German imbalances were solved by massive capital transfers from West to East but that is never going to happen within the EuroZone without the Germans calling all the tunes.
The Euro is rapidly destroying the EU and any vote on membership will probably be otiose as the EU as it is currently constituted will soon be defunct.
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
The Euro is rapidly destroying the EU and any vote on membership will probably be otiose as the EU as it is currently constituted will soon be defunct.
What do you see taking its place, then, aumbry?
Posted by AberVicar (# 16451) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
I'm from Britain. I live in Poland. I have a business in Germany, where I do a lot of work. In Germany I am treated fairly equally. Here as well, though I cannot register myself for more than a year, and things like health insurance have to go through my wife. The tri-national dimension of my life does in fact raise complications regarding registration, health insurance and pension, but slowly things are getting sorted.
But all in all, being class 1 EU helps me.
If Britain was to leave the EU my life would get much more complicated. It would also leave to a greater anti-British prejudice, something that would effect me. Already people tell me that "Brits are arrogant" and "think they are better than us" and the such.
The EU is simply a convenient scapegoat, used by various politicans to distract from real issues (jobs, workers' rights, health, schooling, the environment) and whipped up by a sales-hungry media, going down the nationalist line.
That's not to say that all criticism of the EU is nationalist. There are sound left-wing reasons for criticising the EU. Thing is, the media doesn't give voice to those reasons, choosing rather to invite some right-wing soundbite producer.
British business by the way is massively against GB leaving the EU.
This.
From someone who knows.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Sighthound:
It seems to me that the only way to make the EU satisfactory is to turn it into something like the USA.
Why? What for? Who wants to do that? What would be the point?
Cos the present situation is shite democratically.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
British business by the way is massively against GB leaving the EU.
British Business in the guise of the CBI was massively in favour of joining the Euro and we don't hear anything from them about that any more. In fact almost every one of the CBI's predictions were wrong in that regard. British business has hardly prospered mightily in the EU where the UK has a massive trade deficit so I would take your assertion with a pinch of salt. British business needs to start trading with the rest of the world and EU regulatory red tape does nothing to help that.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
As far as trade is concerned, we need to be majoring much more on the BRICs than the EU and certainly the PIIGs
[ 10. December 2012, 15:44: Message edited by: Matt Black ]
Posted by Sighthound (# 15185) on
:
As Matt Black says, it would sort out the democratic issues with the EU and bring it under democratic control. It would even be possible (with a central fiscal system) to make the Euro work.
Look, this *really* goes against the grain with me. I have been the Eurosceptic of Eurosceptics. But I am also a pragmatist and a realist, and my general view in life is that if the best solution is impossible, one has to settle for the least worst option. And I believe a proper European State is that. The present set up or anything like it, is just hopeless, and breeds resentment and cynicism. A UK outside the EU would have all kinds of problems to solve - frankly the present breed of politicians are just not up to solving them, they can't even come up with cogent policies to resolve the much more straightforward ones before them now. What is the point of being like Norway, paying the full subscription but not being on the Committee or having a vote at the AGM? I just don't see what we could gain from it.
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
British business needs to start trading with the rest of the world and EU regulatory red tape does nothing to help that.
British manufacturing business hardly exists since the Thatcher era (nb I said 'era', not necessarily apportioning blame), so there is not much to trade with. Either in the EU or elsewhere.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Sighthound:
It seems to me that the only way to make the EU satisfactory is to turn it into something like the USA.
Why? What for? Who wants to do that? What would be the point?
Cos the present situation is shite democratically.
Then fix it. But proposing some sort of centralised "United States of Europe" just plays into the hands of the Little Englanders whoi can say that's what we really wanted all along.
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
..., in the same way that extending the membership to include Eastern European states was a strategy of the British which seems to have backfired on them.
Assuming you mean central European states, it hasn;t backfired. Its been massively successful. Win-win all round.
90% of the benefit of the EU comes from free movement across borders and and the right to live and work in other countries. Most of the rest comes from trade standards. (The Human Rights courts are important too of course, but they aren't EU)
We need to keep up with enlarging the EU as fast as we can - get Turkey in for certain - and weaken rather than strengthen the central institutions.
Also, seriously, as for improving democracy, does anyone really think the US federal electoral system is significantly more open, free, or democratic than than Frane or Germany (or VBHritain minus the House of Lords)? If we have anything to learn about democracy from the Americans its their local politics, which they do much more democratically than we do (jn Britain) not their national politics.
[ 10. December 2012, 16:03: Message edited by: ken ]
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
a series of posts about how the Germans are secretly intent on continental domination
Who said anything about "secretly"?
And even if they are, openly or secretly, why should it bother us? I suspect that a lot of this anti-german stuff is because we know, deep in our hearts, that in almost every respect - education, industrial relations, technology, productivity, constitution- they're better than we are, and it's scant consolation to know that they owe a lot of this to our influence on their postwar reconstruction!
[ 10. December 2012, 16:06: Message edited by: Albertus ]
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
90% of the benefit of the EU comes from free movement across borders and and the right to live and work in other countries.
Benefit for whom?
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
British business needs to start trading with the rest of the world and EU regulatory red tape does nothing to help that.
British manufacturing business hardly exists since the Thatcher era (nb I said 'era', not necessarily apportioning blame), so there is not much to trade with. Either in the EU or elsewhere.
That is just not true. Britain is the sixth largest manufacturing nation in the world. Manufacturing represents 12% if the economy and 83% of exports. It is also the only hope of increasing levels of employment as services and the public sector cannot be expected to show a lot of future growth.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Manufacturing represents 12% if the economy and 83% of exports.
The former figure sounds rather minor, and the latter may simply reflect the fact that we don't export anything very much. I certainly wouldn't expect us to export much in the way of raw materials from the UK, which is presumably the 17% then.
(Next you'll be telling us that we're not xenophobes, since 100% of our exports go abroad).
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
90% of the benefit of the EU comes from free movement across borders and and the right to live and work in other countries.
Benefit for whom?
A benefit indeed for people living in countries with convergent economies were the flow is likely to be both ways but a disaster where this is not the case. This will be massively exacerbated when Bulgaria and Romania get full rights of free movement. These countries can expect to see substantial portions of their skilled workers and youth leaving.
Turkey is unlikely ever to see free movement even if it got some sort of membership because the French and German political classes would never countenance it. However if one compares the performance of Turkey outside the EU with the southern states in the EU one would wonder why the Turks would want membership.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
90% of the benefit of the EU comes from free movement across borders and and the right to live and work in other countries.
Benefit for whom?
Almost everybody.
I like reedom. Its a positive good. Governments and police ought not to tell people where to live or work.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Manufacturing represents 12% if the economy and 83% of exports.
The former figure sounds rather minor, and the latter may simply reflect the fact that we don't export anything very much. I certainly wouldn't expect us to export much in the way of raw materials from the UK, which is presumably the 17% then.
(Next you'll be telling us that we're not xenophobes, since 100% of our exports go abroad).
12% of the economy is actually a bigger slice than the USA it is on a par with countries like France and only below par in comparison with Germany. Britain is a world leading manufacturer in pharmaceuticals and aerospance and is gaining ground in the automotive industries.
The 17% of exports that are not manufactures are services (where did you get the idea that these were raw materials?)and considering that includes the output of the City of London one of the World's leading financial centres it shows how strong manufacturing is. The problem that Britain has is not that it has a failing manufacturing sector but that it lives beyond its means and imports too much.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
90% of the benefit of the EU comes from free movement across borders and and the right to live and work in other countries.
Benefit for whom?
Almost everybody.
I like reedom. Its a positive good. Governments and police ought not to tell people where to live or work.
Except it is not freedom - in most cases it is forced on people by economic necessity. Yours is the freedom of movement of the rich.
Posted by Matariki (# 14380) on
:
I know there are EU Sceptics on the left in the UK (rather like the Scandinavian EU sceptics) but overwhelmingly the agitation for withdrawl seems to be from the right.
It seems on the right of British - no English - politics there remains an element which is not reconciled to the UK being a medium sized power. It is interesting to see how UKIP would also unwind devolution within the UK. I can see that really being a vote winner in Scotland and Wales! EU sceptics have valid issues when they talk about democratic accountability (though I suspect the coherent answer is more Europe not less)but really what seems to motivate them is a hearking back to what seeemd to them to be a more satisfying state of affairs
[ 10. December 2012, 18:29: Message edited by: Matariki ]
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
The value of what we manufacture is higher now in the UK than anytime in our history. Of course we don't make lots of cheap things anymore, we've moved up the value chain and we make a smaller number of high-value goods.
See here.
So we aren't such a bad proposition for investment as some would have us believe.
Yes the current recession is having an effect, but the trend is that we manufacture plenty of stuff and it makes us big profits. Those profits go to the shareholders and investors and they spend that money, either on other investments or on other goods and services.
The article also explains that manufacturing hasn't declined in absolute terms in the UK. Instead other areas of the economy have grown, leading to a relative decline.
But if we do have a referendum, we need time to explain these things to the electorate so they gat to make a decision based on facts, not supposition. Which is why I say a long campaign will be needed.
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Matariki:
It seems on the right of British - no English - politics there remains an element which is not reconciled to the UK being a medium sized power.
I've heard this sort of talk before. I remember vividly Paddy Ashdown saying in 1999/2000 that if Britain didn't join the Euro, the pound would 'be like a cork bobbing in the sea between two ocean liners'. (I think we were meant to interpret that metaphor negatively, not that cork floats and ships can sink.)
A dozen or so years later and you'll now here Paddy Ashdown say that if Britain leaves the EU she will be 'like a cork bobbing in the ocean'.
The fact that EU enthusiasts were so wrong about Britain's membership of the single currency has hardened my thinking that they're wrong about the EU now.
EU enthusiasts seem to talk a lot about Britain as a 'medium-sized power' as if we are Austria or Sweden. We're not. Ok, we're not the United States or China, but we are one of the largest economies in the world, with a strong diplomatic and military presence, which makes me think that we could hold our own in the world, if necessary, without a Brussels bureaucracy behind us.
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on
:
But why should we want to? What's wrong with being like Austria or Sweden (both prosperous, cheerful countries which manage- Sweden, certainly- to make themselves fairly useful in the world without being distracted by the bother and expense of having to live up to a past as a Great World Power TM)?
Posted by Palimpsest (# 16772) on
:
Another way of looking at the current EU and German domination is that they are learning if they take over all of Europe they'll never be able to retire.
Posted by Matariki (# 14380) on
:
I would have thought there is a different impact on the world for a small country of 8 or 9 million like Austria or Sweden, or indeed a country of 4.5 million like my adopted homeland New Zealand and the UK with 60+ million, which must be a medium to large country.
Watching the debate from afar I see a rediscovery of the Commonwealth amongst EU sceptics but the reality is that some 40 years after the UK joined the EEC (as it then was) Commonwealth countries have adjusted to a changed and changing world. Thinly veiled imperial nostalgia cuts no ice over here. When Heath took Britain into the EEC it was based on a level headed consideration of Britain's interests - have those interests really changed?
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
From where I sit, a UK departure from the EU would benefit New Zealand moderately well. New Zealand used to send 80% of its exports to the UK. These were mostly foodstuffs and primary produce such as wool. The UK has now been overtaken by China, Australia and the US amongst others and now only takes (I think) about 8%.
Entry into the EEC put the UK behind a tariff wall, which disadvantaged NZ produce in favour of EU produce. If that were to be removed, one would expect NZ exports to the UK to increase.
However, I can't see what benefit would accrue to the UK from this, except for slighly cheaper lamb, butter and cheap cheese.
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
Ahh.. the delightful debate about whether Scotland will automatically be an EU member.
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
On the subject of Scottish independence, I listened to a report on the Today programme last week and it said that the EU had confirmed that if Scotland left the UK, it would no longer be in the EU as of right because the EU membership is in the name of the United Kingdom.
The UK government have taken legal advice which concurs with this. So, I understand, has the EC. Alex Salmond earlier suggested he had advice to the contrary, but was then forced to admit that he had taken no legal advice at all.
For those interested, this is the position.
1. The UK is a unitary state. That is to say that it is not a collective group of states (like, say, the USA). This point is often missed; because the UK contains historic divisions, people sometimes believe that those divisions (England, Scotland, Wales, NI) retain some sort of latent sovereignty. They don't. The position is this:
- 1536: England ate Wales.
- 1707: Scotland and England amalgamate into a new state called Great Britain.
- 1801: Great Britain and Ireland amalgamate into a new state called the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland.
- 1922: Irish Free State splits off from the UKoGB&I, which then becomes the UKoGB&NI.
Likewise, the Scottish Parliament is in no way a revival of the pre-1707 parliament. It is entirely a new creation by the Westminster Parliament with no inherent sovereignty of its own. Politics aside, the Westminster Parliament could abolish it any time it chose.
2. Therefore if Scotland opts to leave the UK, a new state will be created: there is no basis on which to say that Scotland "resumes" its independence.
3. There is also therefore no basis to say that the 1707 Union has been in any sense 'dissolved'. that Union was in any event succeeded by the 1801 Union with Ireland.
4. In short, the rump-UK will continue with existing rights and obligations. Scotland will start afresh. There are some potential benefits to this - no indebted banks for example. On the other hand, Scotland will also not be party to any treaties.
This is where the EU comes in.
The EU is a creation of treaty: states become members by becoming parties to treaties. They then devolve power upon Brussels to make laws which have effect in the parties' jurisdiction. To give an example, there is in a strict sense no such thing as EU law: all directives and so on have force in the UK by virtue of certain Acts of (the Westminster) Parliament.
What this of course means is that a newly independent Scotland will not be party to any of the EU treaties and will thus have to apply for membership. Of course Scotland might be expected to get it, but it shouldn't be presumed: Spain might want to send Catalonia a message by using its veto. The rump-UK might threaten use of its veto to drive a bargain in respect of North Sea oil or RBS/HBOS debt. One should not assume that the law is abrogated by high politics. It merely becomes an ingredient of it.
For the same reason, Scotland would have no enforceable claim to have input into how sterling is managed, contrary to what Salmond claims.
The nationalists have really got this one wrong.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The UK government have taken legal advice which concurs with this. So, I understand, has the EC. Alex Salmond earlier suggested he had advice to the contrary, but was then forced to admit that he had taken no legal advice at all.
<snipped>
The nationalists have really got this one wrong.
The Scottish Independance issue is now dead in the water.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
From where I sit, a UK departure from the EU would benefit New Zealand moderately well. New Zealand used to send 80% of its exports to the UK. These were mostly foodstuffs and primary produce such as wool. The UK has now been overtaken by China, Australia and the US amongst others and now only takes (I think) about 8%.
Entry into the EEC put the UK behind a tariff wall, which disadvantaged NZ produce in favour of EU produce. If that were to be removed, one would expect NZ exports to the UK to increase.
However, I can't see what benefit would accrue to the UK from this, except for slighly cheaper lamb, butter and cheap cheese.
An excellent point that outside the EU there would be a marked reduction in the cost of foodstuffs in the World Market as well as a revival of the British fishing industry outside the disasterous Common Fisheries Policy. Of course EU countries are unlikely to put up trade barriers against Britain as Britain is a bigger market for their exports than they are for Britain. If they did the countries that would suffer most would be Ireland, France and Denmark.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Matariki:
It seems on the right of British - no English - politics there remains an element which is not reconciled to the UK being a medium sized power.
I for one am perfectly content with Britain being a medium-sized power.
If it came to it, I'd far rather Britain be an insignificant but independent country than an insignificant region of a massive superstate. At least we'd still be able to govern ourselves based on what we want to do rather than what everyone else tells us to do.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
But why should we want to?
Because self-determination is a good thing.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
We're staying in and Turkey will join and that's great. Get over yourselves you pompous xenophobes.
I wouldn't be so keen on Turkey joining the EU if recent history is anything to go by. As a democracy it is incredibly unstable by all accounts, with something like four military coups in the last half a century or so, it has seen a marked turn to suppression of freedom of thought and expression and a slow creep back to radical Islamisation under the AK party. Look to the treatment of the pianist Say for recent events amongst others.
Turkey has as much chance of joining the EU as Makronisos has of becoming the EU industrial hub.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
Presumably you'd therefore support Scottish and Welsh independence on that ground?
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
[Hope people realise that my last post was in reply to Marvin.]
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
Presumably you'd therefore support Scottish and Welsh independence on that ground?
If they want it, yes. I've posted to that effect a number of times.
Hell, I'd be OK with Cornwall becoming an independent country should it so desire.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
Presumably you'd therefore support Scottish and Welsh independence on that ground?
An argument against the EU, and arguments for self-determination, do not then equate to a race to the smallest possible group of people being self-determining (or you could end up with a situation where Llanwrtyd Wells decides it wants to seceed from Wales). The ability of a community to function properly and sustainably is to find the right size of population and territory to adequately provide and maintain it's citizens. Before you go onto point out that there are small nations which function rather well, I will take the example of the Isle of Man and the Channel Islands. Despite being self-determining territories, they have a relationship of mutual support and reliance with the UK due to being too small to fully support themselves adequately. On the flip side if a political area becomes too large it becomes problematic designing and enacting legislation that works effectively and fairly for the large majority of citizens - if you water down legislation to accomodate everyone you end up with legislation which helps nobody and angers everybody.
Finding the right balance of size for a political territory is part of being a community spirited being and does not then rule out cross-boundry mutual relationships and workings for example NATO works perfectly well in the form it has without a supra-national governance.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
The ability of a community to function properly and sustainably is to find the right size of population and territory to adequately provide and maintain it's citizens.
The question is, who gets to decide what that size is? Is it the people in the area itself (be it Wales or Llanwrtyd Wells), is it the people in the wider area from which it would be seceding, or is it the government of the larger area?
Regardless of whether Llanwrtyd Wells could survive as a sustainable independent nation, I am wary of any attitude from the government that says they shouldn't have the right to try if they want to. It starts to sound like "we" can and should override "their" desires (and stay in power over them) for their own good, and that reeks of the worst paternalistic justifications of Empire.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
The ability of a community to function properly and sustainably is to find the right size of population and territory to adequately provide and maintain it's citizens.
The question is, who gets to decide what that size is? Is it the people in the area itself (be it Wales or Llanwrtyd Wells), is it the people in the wider area from which it would be seceding, or is it the government of the larger area?
Regardless of whether Llanwrtyd Wells could survive as a sustainable independent nation, I am wary of any attitude from the government that says they shouldn't have the right to try if they want to. It starts to sound like "we" can and should override "their" desires (and stay in power over them) for their own good, and that reeks of the worst paternalistic justifications of Empire.
I'm not denying that they have the right to try, but it is up to the people of the area wanting to become independent to decide. Determining the appropriate size of territory, population and resources required is an economic factor coupled with the expected standard of living. If an area wishes to do away with all forms of state welfare, have no hospitals etc. etc. adn go back to a self-sufficient form of farming then a small population with a small area of territory will find it relatively easy, however most people in Wales who want independence wish to keep all tehir modern hospitals, the welfare state, government infrastructure programmes etc. etc. and then the debate falls on those wishing independence to prove how the territory can be viable after independence.
Slightly o/t and going away from your actual point: I'm no apologist for the Empire, neither do I feel a need to be wracked with Colonial guilt, I find it demeaning and unnecessary especially since the UK seems to be the only place in the world that continues to apologise for once having had an empire (have you heard the USA apologise for it's historical imperial ambitions?)
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
Slightly o/t and going away from your actual point: I'm no apologist for the Empire, neither do I feel a need to be wracked with Colonial guilt, I find it demeaning and unnecessary especially since the UK seems to be the only place in the world that continues to apologise for once having had an empire (have you heard the USA apologise for it's historical imperial ambitions?)
The Germans are deeply apologetic for their behaviour in South West Africa, whilst embarrassing Belgians over the Congo Free State is shooting fish in a barrel.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ender's Shadow:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
Slightly o/t and going away from your actual point: I'm no apologist for the Empire, neither do I feel a need to be wracked with Colonial guilt, I find it demeaning and unnecessary especially since the UK seems to be the only place in the world that continues to apologise for once having had an empire (have you heard the USA apologise for it's historical imperial ambitions?)
The Germans are deeply apologetic for their behaviour in South West Africa, whilst embarrassing Belgians over the Congo Free State is shooting fish in a barrel.
I'm happy to be corrected - though I'm not sure that wikipedia entrys that detail the atrocities that occured is the same as a continuous national apology and a continued sense of colonial guilt on the issue...
But anyhow I'm happy to take your point and be further educated.
[ 11. December 2012, 12:23: Message edited by: Sergius-Melli ]
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
I find it demeaning and unnecessary especially since the UK seems to be the only place in the world that continues to apologise for once having had an empire (have you heard the USA apologise for it's historical imperial ambitions?)
So if no-one is doing the right thing then the British shouldn't? Strange argument.
In any case:
Hollande ends denials for massacre of Algerians
Belgium PM apologies for assassination in the Congo
Netherlands apologises for Indonesian massacre
Japanese government apologises to South Korea
Berlusconi apologises to Libya
German government apologises for genocide in Namibia
There are plenty examples of German dealing with their "Third Reich" past, of course.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
[qb] I find it demeaning and unnecessary especially since the UK seems to be the only place in the world that continues to apologise for once having had an empire (have you heard the USA apologise for it's historical imperial ambitions?)
So if no-one is doing the right thing then the British shouldn't? Strange argument.
See above.
No, I'm not making a case that because others do not, we should not, but making a case that eventually you leave the history to be just that, history. Don't rewrite, continue to teach it as part of a nations history, but at somepoint you have to stop having outpourings of guilt about the historical events that occured or I may as well use the reductio ad absurdum structure and expect the people of nation X to apologise for the atrocities of some empire thousands of years ago since they are the cultural and biologicl descendents of the people who controlled that empire.
Perversely, the flip side, IMHO, of having a self-enforced colonial guilt is that of having 'colonial' (the word being used loosely now) guilt forced upon you by those you mistreated... surely the anti-semetism of medieval Europe is this guilt being forced on an entire group of people for the actions of a few a thousand years before hand... in someway the people of medieaval europe expected the Jews to feel guilty about their atrocious actions for murdering Jesus, so we shall enforce them to have that sense of guilt and punish them for their actions at the sametime...
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
See above.
Your reply to ES was about wikipedia, something I didn't link to.
quote:
No, I'm not making a case that because others do not, we should not, but making a case that eventually you leave the history to be just that, history. Don't rewrite, continue to teach it as part of a nations history, but at somepoint you have to stop having outpourings of guilt about the historical events that occured or I may as well use the reductio ad absurdum structure and expect the people of nation X to apologise for the atrocities of some empire thousands of years ago since they are the cultural and biologicl descendents of the people who controlled that empire.
Strangely enough I was having a discussion about this last Saturday with an international group who'd visited the House of the Wannsee Conference the day before. We spoke about whether guilt can be inherited. The group came to the view that guilt can not be inherited, but that the consequences of past actions can be. Luckily I know many Germans who take responsibility for the actions done in their name (i.e. the "German" name).
"Outpourings of guilt" is an exaggeration. Simply saying "we regret" or "we apologise" doesn't imply "outpourings". They offer a recognition of what has happened. That in itself (say, with the Hillsborough disaster and the release of documents this September) is healing, the telling of truth. Paying of compensation doesn't offer a writing of wrongs, but the fact is that those who faced hate-crimes in the name of the British empire have been adversely effected by what the British empire did, and some payments for those people and their families (who also suffered through what happened to their family members) is entirely appropriate. GB has a long, long way to go.
I do actually know Germans who call for a "end line" like you call for. They see history as linear, where you can cut off effects of the past. That is wrong, the effects of history live with us whether we think about them or not. It's simply impossible to have an "end line". It also should be noted that any "tax burden" or sense of discomfort caused by addressing the history of ones nation is nowhere near the discomfort faced by those effected, or those who still suffer due to actions of the past. The Brits are not victims of colonial history.
quote:
Perversely, the flip side, IMHO, of having a self-enforced colonial guilt is that of having 'colonial' (the word being used loosely now) guilt forced upon you by those you mistreated... surely the anti-semetism of medieval Europe is this guilt being forced on an entire group of people for the actions of a few a thousand years before hand... in someway the people of medieaval europe expected the Jews to feel guilty about their atrocious actions for murdering Jesus, so we shall enforce them to have that sense of guilt and punish them for their actions at the sametime...
Ironically there is a form of anti-semitism in Germany (also here in Poland to some extent) that goes down this route: "These Jews want to talk about how bad we are in order to get money". Simply calling oneself a victim doesn't amount to being a victim. In fact there was more to medieval anti-semitism than accusations of "killing God". Note that I am not here calling anyone a Nazi, included those modern Germans I mention.
Germany (largely west Germany) does a lot of work with its past. Not a lot know this, but this came due to pressure from outside: The publication of the Anne Frank diaries in 1959, pressure from the French government regarding the first memorial to appear in Dachau and the American "Holocaust" programme, for example. Many Germans saw (some still do) themselves as being "forced" to address their past. I daresay that British people would be pressuring the German people to address bombings in GB during WWII if they hadn't already done so. I see outward pressure as good. That some will see themselves as victims is a minor concern for me.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
The ability of a community to function properly and sustainably is to find the right size of population and territory to adequately provide and maintain it's citizens.
The question is, who gets to decide what that size is? Is it the people in the area itself (be it Wales or Llanwrtyd Wells), is it the people in the wider area from which it would be seceding, or is it the government of the larger area?
Regardless of whether Llanwrtyd Wells could survive as a sustainable independent nation, I am wary of any attitude from the government that says they shouldn't have the right to try if they want to. It starts to sound like "we" can and should override "their" desires (and stay in power over them) for their own good, and that reeks of the worst paternalistic justifications of Empire.
Where this argument breaks down is at what point do you say you are too small a unit to be allowed to do this? The people in Arcacia Drive, Llanwrtyd Wells may consider their interests are not being looked after by the Peoples Republic of Llanwrtyd Wells and call UDI. Where would it end?
What about the minorities?
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
[qb]See above.
Your reply to ES was about wikipedia, something I didn't link to.
You were providing links to examples of national apologies, such links had already been provided and I conceeded the point that they occur.
quote:
Strangely enough I was having a discussion about this last Saturday with an international group who'd visited the House of the Wannsee Conference the day before. We spoke about whether guilt can be inherited. The group came to the view that guilt can not be inherited, but that the consequences of past actions can be. Luckily I know many Germans who take responsibility for the actions done in their name (i.e. the "German" name).
The consequences exist, but the negative consequences die down over time, diluted as they fade into antiquity, and eventually fail to have a modern relevant consequence on the people who inhabit those lands now. British Imperialism of India fails to have serious modern repercussions on the people of India (whilst I would say that the positives such as Parlaimentary democracy, infrastructure, education etc. continue to have a very good influence over the population of the sub-continent) and therefore has now stopped having a relevance for us to feel ‘sorry’ about. ( as an aside: if the nations of the Empire felt so strongly about Colonial wrongs I doubt that they would have joined the Commonwealth of Nations under HM in the first place either.)
quote:
They offer a recognition of what has happened. That in itself (say, with the Hillsborough disaster and the release of documents this September) is healing, the telling of truth. Paying of compensation doesn't offer a writing of wrongs, but the fact is that those who faced hate-crimes in the name of the British empire have been adversely effected by what the British empire did, and some payments for those people and their families (who also suffered through what happened to their family members) is entirely appropriate.
Yes healing should be sought and provided however best, and the modern compensation culture does not provide it as it is about monetary gain as much as a real emotional closure. The only way to gain real closure is to forgive, I'm sure taht's somewhere in my faith... But the act of the aggressor trying to provide closure is only possible once, it can be repeated, but that is superfluous, if I apologise for stealing from you once I have apologised, I can’t add anymore to it but to restate it, it is on the victim to use that apology to find the closure they are looking for in the time they need to take. To demand anymore after the aggressor has provided the opportunity for closure is a sign of falseness in my eyes, an attempt to take as much as possible when it is not required. Eventually, I imagine rather soon, we shall go back to forgetting nationally about Hillsborough, it shall become a part of our past and we will not expect the government and police forces to pre-fix everything they say with an apology about how they treated people in the situation and it’s aftermath. It will become a part of history to be taught, learned from so that it does not happen again, but not something to be eulogised over time and time again.
I added the emphasis as well, you are applying a modern terminology to an historical event. I cannot go back in time and say the Peasants revolt was a communist action, communism did not exist at the time, it resembles what we constitute as a modern communist revolt, but it was not communist. In the same way I cannot go back in time and apply a modern crime to the acts of the past since such a crime did not exist in the legal framework or mind of the world at that time (in the same way that you cannot be prosecuted for an action you committed last week that became a crime today).
quote:
GB has a long, long way to go.
I wonder how far you expect a modern nation to go to atone for the sins of its ancestors. What will constitute a final repayment of the sin-debt that is owed?
quote:
I do actually know Germans who call for a "end line" like you call for. They see history as linear, where you can cut off effects of the past. That is wrong, the effects of history live with us whether we think about them or not. It's simply impossible to have an "end line". It also should be noted that any "tax burden" or sense of discomfort caused by addressing the history of ones nation is nowhere near the discomfort faced by those effected, or those who still suffer due to actions of the past. The Brits are not victims of colonial history.
You present your argument as if I have said we should just forget about these things, which is distinctly opposite from what I have said. We should remember, teach them to our children and learn from the mistakes of the past, but we do eventually have to say enough is enough, it is an aspect of history, a time now for us to treat it as an historical event and not as something we did yesterday and have only just stopped doing. As I said in a post above, if we take it to its absurd, but logical conclusion, I should expect the Italians as the descendents of the Roman Empire to provide reparations for how they treated my Celtic ancestors, the Scandanavians and the French along the English Channel for much the same. But we don’t, we consign them those events to history.
quote:
In fact there was more to medieval anti-semitism than accusations of "killing God".
I full well know that, but it had an impact on anti-semetism throughout history and is an example to illustrate what I was saying.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
You were providing links to examples of national apologies, such links had already been provided and I conceeded the point that they occur.
Oh. Right.
quote:
The consequences exist, but the negative consequences die down over time, diluted as they fade into antiquity, and eventually fail to have a modern relevant consequence on the people who inhabit those lands now. British Imperialism of India fails to have serious modern repercussions on the people of India (whilst I would say that the positives such as Parlaimentary democracy, infrastructure, education etc. continue to have a very good influence over the population of the sub-continent) and therefore has now stopped having a relevance for us to feel ‘sorry’ about. ( as an aside: if the nations of the Empire felt so strongly about Colonial wrongs I doubt that they would have joined the Commonwealth of Nations under HM in the first place either.)
The impact of the British Empire is still felt. The reasons why countries like Jamaica are a lot poorer are complex, but that it was a British colony is one of them.
quote:
Yes healing should be sought and provided however best, and the modern compensation culture does not provide it as it is about monetary gain as much as a real emotional closure. The only way to gain real closure is to forgive, I'm sure taht's somewhere in my faith... But the act of the aggressor trying to provide closure is only possible once, it can be repeated, but that is superfluous, if I apologise for stealing from you once I have apologised, I can’t add anymore to it but to restate it, it is on the victim to use that apology to find the closure they are looking for in the time they need to take. To demand anymore after the aggressor has provided the opportunity for closure is a sign of falseness in my eyes, an attempt to take as much as possible when it is not required. Eventually, I imagine rather soon, we shall go back to forgetting nationally about Hillsborough, it shall become a part of our past and we will not expect the government and police forces to pre-fix everything they say with an apology about how they treated people in the situation and it’s aftermath. It will become a part of history to be taught, learned from so that it does not happen again, but not something to be eulogised over time and time again.
I've seen Soviet survivors of the concentration camp in Dachau being invited to Dachau, being provided accommodation, food, interpreters, a free visit to a doctor and free medical supplies. These are people who are in poverty now, and part of that owes itself to their treatment in WWII (as well as afterwards by Stalin). Emotional "closure" is a luxury for these people. Same with those in former colonies. Say this example in Kenya where they need psychiatric help, help that costs money.
It's not the case that once a government apologies and compensation is paid that everything is done and dusted, even if "closure" is found. Effects live on and that requires dealing with. In any case, this is not just a matter for the victims, as well as for the perpetrators. To add to that, we are Brits have been influenced by a colonial mindset. Even people who want to do good can do it out of this mindset (the "poor black children", those who are "less developed"). "Closure" for us involves a lot of work.
quote:
I added the emphasis as well, you are applying a modern terminology to an historical event. I cannot go back in time and say the Peasants revolt was a communist action, communism did not exist at the time, it resembles what we constitute as a modern communist revolt, but it was not communist. In the same way I cannot go back in time and apply a modern crime to the acts of the past since such a crime did not exist in the legal framework or mind of the world at that time (in the same way that you cannot be prosecuted for an action you committed last week that became a crime today).
Sometimes a crime that isn't a crime or have its terminology can be prosecuted in the future. That was the basis for the Nuremburg Trail(s). Same with the Justice and Truth commission in South Africa. That's just two examples.
quote:
I wonder how far you expect a modern nation to go to atone for the sins of its ancestors. What will constitute a final repayment of the sin-debt that is owed?
That's your words. I repeat that we inherit situations, such as power and riches through actions of the past. Here in Poland I face very little discrimination as (a) I have white skin and (b) I come from a country seen as "cool". I know people with black skin who get attacked and abused regularly and don't feel safe here in Wrocław. This is a hangover from colonial times (not Polish, of course); European racism was heavily formed via colonial times (of course, there are other contributionary factors) and people are still affected now. I am not going out on my knees or anything like that, but I do become increasigly aware of a colonial mindset that formed my impression of the world, such as through me wanting to speak slower and louder to someone from Kenya.
It's an interesting theological point by you, actually. Ideally there would be a "cut-off" point, where "sins were paid". We are not close to this point, though. The British identity (as well as most western European identities) were formed by an European-centric mindset that placed
the others as "less developed".
quote:
You present your argument as if I have said we should just forget about these things, which is distinctly opposite from what I have said.
Sorry, that wasn't my intention.
quote:
We should remember, teach them to our children and learn from the mistakes of the past, but we do eventually have to say enough is enough, it is an aspect of history, a time now for us to treat it as an historical event and not as something we did yesterday and have only just stopped doing. As I said in a post above, if we take it to its absurd, but logical conclusion, I should expect the Italians as the descendents of the Roman Empire to provide reparations for how they treated my Celtic ancestors, the Scandanavians and the French along the English Channel for much the same. But we don’t, we consign them those events to history.
The British state that perpetrated crimes is still in existence. Some of those who did crimes are still alive. There is no comparison.
quote:
In fact there was more to medieval anti-semitism than accusations of "killing God".
quote:
I full well know that, but it had an impact on anti-semetism throughout history and is an example to illustrate what I was saying.
Sorry, I had a point in mind, but can't remember what it was now.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Where this argument breaks down is at what point do you say you are too small a unit to be allowed to do this?
In principle, I'm not sure there is any such point. In practice I doubt any area smaller than a city or county would seriously think it a good idea to secede.
You ask "what about the minorities", but the smaller the state the louder the minority voices get. In your extreme example of a small cul-de-sac being independent every single citizen of that microstate would be known by every other citizen, and when a decision had to be made every single person could have their say and be heard. Every single opinion would actually matter.
Contrast that to modern Britain, where you can raise a hundred thousand names on a petition and still nobody will do anything about it. There are over 600 separate politicians in the House of Commons, meaning that the government can easily ignore any given one. And each single one (already easily ignored, remember) represents tens of thousands of constituents, almost all of whom must perforce be completely unimportant to them. In purely democratic terms it would be infinitely better to be in a tiny state where your own, individual voice is actually heard, and actually matters.
And if most people's views don't even matter to the politicians in a nation the size of Britain, what chance would we have of actually being heard in a nation the size of Europe?
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The UK government have taken legal advice which concurs with this. So, I understand, has the EC. Alex Salmond earlier suggested he had advice to the contrary, but was then forced to admit that he had taken no legal advice at all.
<snipped>
The nationalists have really got this one wrong.
The Scottish Independance issue is now dead in the water.
From where I sit there's a long way to go yet.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
You were providing links to examples of national apologies, such links had already been provided and I conceeded the point that they occur.
Oh. Right.
quote:
The consequences exist, but the negative consequences die down over time, diluted as they fade into antiquity, and eventually fail to have a modern relevant consequence on the people who inhabit those lands now. British Imperialism of India fails to have serious modern repercussions on the people of India (whilst I would say that the positives such as Parlaimentary democracy, infrastructure, education etc. continue to have a very good influence over the population of the sub-continent) and therefore has now stopped having a relevance for us to feel ‘sorry’ about. ( as an aside: if the nations of the Empire felt so strongly about Colonial wrongs I doubt that they would have joined the Commonwealth of Nations under HM in the first place either.)
The impact of the British Empire is still felt. The reasons why countries like Jamaica are a lot poorer are complex, but that it was a British colony is one of them.
quote:
Yes healing should be sought and provided however best, and the modern compensation culture does not provide it as it is about monetary gain as much as a real emotional closure. The only way to gain real closure is to forgive, I'm sure taht's somewhere in my faith... But the act of the aggressor trying to provide closure is only possible once, it can be repeated, but that is superfluous, if I apologise for stealing from you once I have apologised, I can’t add anymore to it but to restate it, it is on the victim to use that apology to find the closure they are looking for in the time they need to take. To demand anymore after the aggressor has provided the opportunity for closure is a sign of falseness in my eyes, an attempt to take as much as possible when it is not required. Eventually, I imagine rather soon, we shall go back to forgetting nationally about Hillsborough, it shall become a part of our past and we will not expect the government and police forces to pre-fix everything they say with an apology about how they treated people in the situation and it’s aftermath. It will become a part of history to be taught, learned from so that it does not happen again, but not something to be eulogised over time and time again.
I've seen Soviet survivors of the concentration camp in Dachau being invited to Dachau, being provided accommodation, food, interpreters, a free visit to a doctor and free medical supplies. These are people who are in poverty now, and part of that owes itself to their treatment in WWII (as well as afterwards by Stalin). Emotional "closure" is a luxury for these people. Same with those in former colonies. Say this example in Kenya where they need psychiatric help, help that costs money.
It's not the case that once a government apologies and compensation is paid that everything is done and dusted, even if "closure" is found. Effects live on and that requires dealing with. In any case, this is not just a matter for the victims, as well as for the perpetrators. To add to that, we are Brits have been influenced by a colonial mindset. Even people who want to do good can do it out of this mindset (the "poor black children", those who are "less developed"). "Closure" for us involves a lot of work.
quote:
I added the emphasis as well, you are applying a modern terminology to an historical event. I cannot go back in time and say the Peasants revolt was a communist action, communism did not exist at the time, it resembles what we constitute as a modern communist revolt, but it was not communist. In the same way I cannot go back in time and apply a modern crime to the acts of the past since such a crime did not exist in the legal framework or mind of the world at that time (in the same way that you cannot be prosecuted for an action you committed last week that became a crime today).
Sometimes a crime that isn't a crime or have its terminology can be prosecuted in the future. That was the basis for the Nuremburg Trail(s). Same with the Justice and Truth commission in South Africa. That's just two examples.
quote:
I wonder how far you expect a modern nation to go to atone for the sins of its ancestors. What will constitute a final repayment of the sin-debt that is owed?
That's your words. I repeat that we inherit situations, such as power and riches through actions of the past. Here in Poland I face very little discrimination as (a) I have white skin and (b) I come from a country seen as "cool". I know people with black skin who get attacked and abused regularly and don't feel safe here in Wrocław. This is a hangover from colonial times (not Polish, of course); European racism was heavily formed via colonial times (of course, there are other contributionary factors) and people are still affected now. I am not going out on my knees or anything like that, but I do become increasigly aware of a colonial mindset that formed my impression of the world, such as through me wanting to speak slower and louder to someone from Kenya.
It's an interesting theological point by you, actually. Ideally there would be a "cut-off" point, where "sins were paid". We are not close to this point, though. The British identity (as well as most western European identities) were formed by an European-centric mindset that placed
the others as "less developed".
quote:
You present your argument as if I have said we should just forget about these things, which is distinctly opposite from what I have said.
Sorry, that wasn't my intention.
quote:
We should remember, teach them to our children and learn from the mistakes of the past, but we do eventually have to say enough is enough, it is an aspect of history, a time now for us to treat it as an historical event and not as something we did yesterday and have only just stopped doing. As I said in a post above, if we take it to its absurd, but logical conclusion, I should expect the Italians as the descendents of the Roman Empire to provide reparations for how they treated my Celtic ancestors, the Scandanavians and the French along the English Channel for much the same. But we don’t, we consign them those events to history.
The British state that perpetrated crimes is still in existence. Some of those who did crimes are still alive. There is no comparison.
quote:
In fact there was more to medieval anti-semitism than accusations of "killing God".
quote:
I full well know that, but it had an impact on anti-semetism throughout history and is an example to illustrate what I was saying.
Sorry, I had a point in mind, but can't remember what it was now.
The trouble with these arguments is that try to judge the past on the standards of the present. A reasonable case could be made that the sins of the British Empire were considerably milder than the sins of some other alternative empires. If the British had not colonised these countries and say the Germans or the Belgians had would the outcome have been better? Almost certainly not but the alternative of nobody colonising these countries was never going to happen.
I believe that a new age of colonialism is coming back with China as the main coloniser first through economic colonisation and eventually the actual physical colonisation. In the overall scheme of things that may not be a bad thing.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
I repeat:
quote:
Sometimes a crime that isn't a crime or have its terminology can be prosecuted in the future. That was the basis for the Nuremburg Trail(s). Same with the Justice and Truth commission in South Africa. That's just two examples.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The UK government have taken legal advice which concurs with this. So, I understand, has the EC. Alex Salmond earlier suggested he had advice to the contrary, but was then forced to admit that he had taken no legal advice at all.
<snipped>
The nationalists have really got this one wrong.
The Scottish Independance issue is now dead in the water.
From where I sit there's a long way to go yet.
The Scottish government will try to do a deal with Europe beforehand, so that Scotland and England+Wales+bits can both continue the UKs EU membership and treaty obligations on independence.
IF it is true that this can't be guaranteed, then the cause is lost already.
So far no-one has said anything that commits anyone either way. The quotes from the EU commissioners above (Sepp Blatter or whichever anonymous person has the job this week) don't commit anyone to anyone. They don't say that there cannot be an continuation of the treaties, merely that it isn't automatic, it needs negotiation. But that negotiation can happen before independance, or at lest be started.
I would imagine that the Tories are trying as hard as possible behind the scenes to prevent such an agreement in order to torpedo the referendum befiore it happens.
So it really boils down to how friendly the Euroburocrats are to the Tory government. If they are feeling in a good mood about them they will help them out by not talking to Holyrood. If they want to take the snooty Brits down a peg or two they will ralise that stalling is in fct interference in British internal affairs - because it scuppers the referendum process - and so they will sit down in own of the famous smoke-filled rooms. Mostly not very smoky any more.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
My understanding is that the EU apparatus would be OK with Scotland joining as their separation from Wales and England would be through negotiation, unlike the case with Catalonia.
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on
:
quote:
I believe that a new age of colonialism is coming back with China as the main coloniser first through economic colonisation and eventually the actual physical colonisation. In the overall scheme of things that may not be a bad thing.
I have very serious doubts about this.
Firstly, the Chinese population is aging and retiring faster than in the West thanks, in part, to the One Child Policy. Their resources are going to be increasingly spent creating and maintaining systems to manage the tsunami of elderly in order to maintain the economic gains they've made and preserve social stability.
Secondly, China has no history of territorial expansion outside its historical nation even when it had the power to do so. It's the Middle Kingdom - people come to it and give them tribute, rather than it going and governing others.
[ 11. December 2012, 16:59: Message edited by: ToujoursDan ]
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
I repeat:
quote:
Sometimes a crime that isn't a crime or have its terminology can be prosecuted in the future. That was the basis for the Nuremburg Trail(s). Same with the Justice and Truth commission in South Africa. That's just two examples.
That is just the law of the winners and is not relevant. The Nuremberg (not -burg) Trials would obviously never have happened if the Germans had won the war. And if they had then no doubt all sorts of things that are currently not crimes would be so now. You cannot judge the past on the basis of the present anymore than you can judge the present on the basis of the future.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
You're repeating youself, and I'll say for the third time that we had that with the Truth and Justice Commission in South Africa. I'll add (for the sake of those losing patience with me having to repeat myself so much) the http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Criminal_Tribunal_for_Rwanda and the trial of Jaruzelski here in Poland.
Each of those trials saw people being tried according to morals of the present. I could give you plenty other examples, but I would hope that you get the point by now.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
My understanding is that the EU apparatus would be OK with Scotland joining as their separation from Wales and England would be through negotiation, unlike the case with Catalonia.
No one is saying that an independant Scotland could'nt join the EU.
The issue is that the Scottish don't want the Euro, and they would have to take it if they had to apply to join the EU post independence.
and of course the UK will have a veto to prevent Scotland joining anyway, should we choose to use it.
The reason the SNP is desperate for Scotland to REMAIN in the EU post Independance is because then they can keep the Pound under the opt out negotiated by the Major Conservative Goverment of the early 1990's.
The ironies are delicious!
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
Someone could claim that both a newly independent Scotland and the rest of the Former United Kingdom were new states and so needed to negotiate new treaties.
It would be easier for everyone if all parts of the FUK simply continued as EU members on the basis of the current treaties, sharing their obligations pro-rata according to population.
And if the current UK government just had the confidence of their position, if they actually believed that they could persuade Scots to vote to stay in for their own benefit, , then they'd do everybody a favour and get the EU to allow that second option before the referendum. And once that was cleared up then they could argue their case on its merits instead of threatening Sotland with such things as they have not yet imagined should they dare to try to leave the UK.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Someone could claim that both a newly independent Scotland and the rest of the Former United Kingdom were new states and so needed to negotiate new treaties.
It would be easier for everyone if all parts of the FUK simply continued as EU members on the basis of the current treaties, sharing their obligations pro-rata according to population.
And if the current UK government just had the confidence of their position, if they actually believed that they could persuade Scots to vote to stay in for their own benefit, , then they'd do everybody a favour and get the EU to allow that second option before the referendum. And once that was cleared up then they could argue their case on its merits instead of threatening Sotland with such things as they have not yet imagined should they dare to try to leave the UK.
But then why doesn't the SNP equally have the courage of their convictions and urge scots to vote for independance in spite of the EU, after all, the right of self-determination is more important than mere squalid wrangling over a currency isn't it?
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Someone could claim that both a newly independent Scotland and the rest of the Former United Kingdom were new states and so needed to negotiate new treaties.
No, no, no.
The precedent of the dissolution of Czechoslovakia shows that would require the UK to agree to that position, an agreement which would not be forthcoming because there is too much for the UK to lose and they have a very big stick to enforce it with (veto power over Scottish UN membership). The secession of Scotland would not be possible as anything other than a secession which leaves the UK carrying on as the sole successor state.
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
The Scottish government will try to do a deal with Europe beforehand, so that Scotland and England+Wales+bits can both continue the UKs EU membership and treaty obligations on independence.
That's half-baked. It is like Ipswich Town Council doing a deal with the EU. Both are in essence branches of the British state: the Scottish government is just a bit bigger.
It is nothing more than a political ruse.
quote:
IF it is true that this can't be guaranteed, then the cause is lost already.
So far no-one has said anything that commits anyone either way. The quotes from the EU commissioners above (Sepp Blatter or whichever anonymous person has the job this week) don't commit anyone to anyone. They don't say that there cannot be an continuation of the treaties, merely that it isn't automatic, it needs negotiation. But that negotiation can happen before independance, or at lest be started.
Given that it is not really in order for Eurocrats to comment on member states' internal political matters, the EC has been positively outspoken.
quote:
I would imagine that the Tories are trying as hard as possible behind the scenes to prevent such an agreement in order to torpedo the referendum befiore it happens.
So it really boils down to how friendly the Euroburocrats are to the Tory government. If they are feeling in a good mood about them they will help them out by not talking to Holyrood. If they want to take the snooty Brits down a peg or two they will ralise that stalling is in fct interference in British internal affairs - because it scuppers the referendum process - and so they will sit down in own of the famous smoke-filled rooms. Mostly not very smoky any more.
Not really, because any such "agreement" would, if it came to fruition, be torpedoed in the courts if that's what the rump-UK government wanted to do.
(edited to fix UBB)
[ 12. December 2012, 03:31: Message edited by: Cod ]
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Someone could claim that both a newly independent Scotland and the rest of the Former United Kingdom were new states and so needed to negotiate new treaties.
They could. But they'd be flat wrong.
quote:
It would be easier for everyone if all parts of the FUK simply continued as EU members on the basis of the current treaties, sharing their obligations pro-rata according to population./
But this isn't about what's easy from whoever's perspective, but legal rights and obligations (or lack of them, in the case of an independent Scotland).
quote:
And if the current UK government just had the confidence of their position, if they actually believed that they could persuade Scots to vote to stay in for their own benefit, , then they'd do everybody a favour and get the EU to allow that second option before the referendum. And once that was cleared up then they could argue their case on its merits instead of threatening Sotland with such things as they have not yet imagined should they dare to try to leave the UK.
Hassling the Scottish Government into agreeing to a referendum sounds confident to me.
(Will write out "use correct UBB" 50 times)
[ 12. December 2012, 03:51: Message edited by: Cod ]
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Someone could claim that both a newly independent Scotland and the rest of the Former United Kingdom were new states and so needed to negotiate new treaties.
No, no, no.
The precedent of the dissolution of Czechoslovakia shows that would require the UK to agree to that position, an agreement which would not be forthcoming because there is too much for the UK to lose and they have a very big stick to enforce it with (veto power over Scottish UN membership). The secession of Scotland would not be possible as anything other than a secession which leaves the UK carrying on as the sole successor state.
Except that the break-up of Czechoslovakia preceded the application for membership of the Czech Republic and Slovakia.
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on
:
The precedent of the breakup of the Soviet Union offers some interesting insights; Russia declared itself independent of the Soviet Union - but still got to keep the assets of the Soviet Union. My own feeling is that an English* declaration of independence if the Scots vote to go - letting Northern Ireland go to the Scots is very attractive...
----
* England as defined as the Kingdom of England, which is the result of the annexation of Wales in the 16th century. For those who enjoy these things, it is a fact that the the proper name is England despite Welsh claims to the contrary.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
My understanding is that the EU apparatus would be OK with Scotland joining as their separation from Wales and England would be through negotiation, unlike the case with Catalonia.
No one is saying that an independant Scotland could'nt join the EU.
The issue is that the Scottish don't want the Euro, and they would have to take it if they had to apply to join the EU post independence.
and of course the UK will have a veto to prevent Scotland joining anyway, should we choose to use it.
The reason the SNP is desperate for Scotland to REMAIN in the EU post Independance is because then they can keep the Pound under the opt out negotiated by the Major Conservative Goverment of the early 1990's.
The ironies are delicious!
Excellent post.
Scotland joining the EU would not have the opt-outs agreed with the UK (the Euro being the most obvious) and they would also be very unlikely to get a rebate on their share of the contributions.
Why the Scots would want to go to all the trouble of exiting the UK followed by tying the knot with the EU is a mystery though.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
But then why doesn't the SNP equally have the courage of their convictions and urge scots to vote for independance in spite of the EU, after all, the right of self-determination is more important than mere squalid wrangling over a currency isn't it?
They understand that a nation that doesn't have control over its own currency doesn't have self-determination.
Give them credit where it's due - they want independence, not simply to swap being ruled by London for being ruled by Brussels.
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
Give them credit where it's due - they want independence, not simply to swap being ruled by London for being ruled by Brussels.
No they don't - they want to leave the UK but continue to be ruled by Brussels. And most of their argument is economic not political; the present devolution settlement has given them all the powers they really want except to go into debt - which would be 'interesting' as I doubt they would get as good a credit rating as the UK given that they would be borrowing in Sterling, which is a foreign currency.
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
But then why doesn't the SNP equally have the courage of their convictions and urge scots to vote for independence in spite of the EU, after all, the right of self-determination is more important than mere squalid wrangling over a currency isn't it?
They understand that a nation that doesn't have control over its own currency doesn't have self-determination.
Give them credit where it's due - they want independence, not simply to swap being ruled by London for being ruled by Brussels.
I'm not entirely sure what the SNP want now. Haven't they said that they would retain the pound sterling if they win independence? So whether an independent Scotland joins the Euro or not, Alex Salmond's idea of independence is a country with a non-native currency and a monetary policy decided in a foreign capital.
I suppose if an independent Scotland joined the Euro the Frankfurt would have to take into account the state of the Scottish economy when setting interest rates. London would be under no such obligation.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
I suppose if an independent Scotland joined the Euro the Frankfurt would have to take into account the state of the Scottish economy when setting interest rates.
It doesn't take account of the needs of (e.g.) Greece as it is, so why would it bother changing things to benefit Scotland?
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ToujoursDan:
Secondly, China has no history of territorial expansion outside its historical nation even when it had the power to do so. It's the Middle Kingdom - people come to it and give them tribute, rather than it going and governing others.
Historically the Chinese kingdom has grown nad shrunk like others, whether through direct action or through the exercise of influence...
At present China is engaging in influence based colonialism in Africa, by pouring finance and investment into Africa for the rights to exploit the continent for the natural wealth that is there. Chinese influence therefore grows and countries owe a greater allegiance toChina than to other countries in the world... it may not look like traditional colonialism such as the Empires but it is still a form of colonialism...
[ 12. December 2012, 10:47: Message edited by: Sergius-Melli ]
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
It doesn't take account of the needs of (e.g.) Greece as it is, so why would it bother changing things to benefit Scotland?
Quite right. My point was that the ECB should - in theory at least - take into account the state of the economies of all the Eurozone members (though I appreciate that it doesn't in practice).
But if an independent Scotland continued to use the pound sterling, the Bank of England would be under no such obligation and would set a rump-UK-friendly interest rate.
On paper, at least, this seems to be an even worse position.
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
Someone could claim that both a newly independent Scotland and the rest of the Former United Kingdom were new states and so needed to negotiate new treaties.
No, no, no.
The precedent of the dissolution of Czechoslovakia shows that would require the UK to agree to that position, an agreement which would not be forthcoming because there is too much for the UK to lose and they have a very big stick to enforce it with (veto power over Scottish UN membership). The secession of Scotland would not be possible as anything other than a secession which leaves the UK carrying on as the sole successor state.
Except that the break-up of Czechoslovakia preceded the application for membership of the Czech Republic and Slovakia.
True, but the difference between the dissolution of Czechoslovakia and a possible secession of Scotland from the UK means we're talking about apples and monkeys.
The decision on how the dissolution of the Czechoslovakian federal state (a union of the Czech Socialist Republic and Slovak Socialist Republic) was to precede was mutually agreed upon before it dissolved. The two resultant states presented a joint statement to the UN which outlined that neither was making a claim to be the sole successor state of Czechoslovakia. The dissolution of the USSR was kind of similar, except that the negotiations resulted in an agreement that Russia would be the sole successor state instead of having no successor state (the course the Czechs took).
That's hardly relevant to the UK, because the secession of Scotland would not be met by the UK agreeing to withdraw any claim to being the successor state as both the Czhech Republic and Slovak Republic did. The UK position would undoubtedly be that Scotland was breaking off while the rest of the UK carried on with business as usual.
[ 12. December 2012, 13:11: Message edited by: the giant cheeseburger ]
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
Well, it's apples and monkeys at least because - and I think this is the third time I've mentioned it - neither Czechoslovakia nor the USSR were EU members when they split up.
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on
:
But I think TGC is addressing the question of "who is the successor state?" rather than specifically the relationship of the successor state concept to continued EU membership.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
Oh, OK
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Not really, because any such "agreement" would, if it came to fruition, be torpedoed in the courts if that's what the rump-UK government wanted to do.
Why would they? The current UK government posturing about EU membership and the Euro is to try to scare Scots away from voting for independence. But if they do so vote then there woudl be no point afterwards in either keeping them out of the EU, or in forcing them to adopt the Euro. So why bother?
Posted by Ender's Shadow (# 2272) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Not really, because any such "agreement" would, if it came to fruition, be torpedoed in the courts if that's what the rump-UK government wanted to do.
Why would they? The current UK government posturing about EU membership and the Euro is to try to scare Scots away from voting for independence. But if they do so vote then there woudl be no point afterwards in either keeping them out of the EU, or in forcing them to adopt the Euro. So why bother?
1) It would be the EU forcing them into the Euro. For any new applicant, it is a requirement that they adopt the Euro.
2) For the Spaniards, to be able to say to their fisiparous regions that they will be excluded from the EU if they break from Spain, is a powerful weapon in their internal politics.
3) For the rump UK government, being able to use EU membership as a negotiating item in the independence discussions that would follow a 'Yes' vote would be very helpful.
So no - they are deeply significant issues.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ender's Shadow:
1) It would be the EU forcing them into the Euro. For any new applicant, it is a requirement that they adopt the Euro.
Yes, but does anyone seriously believe that will ever be enforced? If it was there would be no new applicatants in the near future. Of course, they might no change the rules on paper, but if there is a new country joining then they will find a way to make the "transitional arrangements" last as long as anyone wants them. It is in no-ones interest to force the Euro on anyone. The opposite. Most Eurozone governments are probably wishing they had found a way to stop Greece joinging. And some of them woukld want the same for other countries as well.
Its how people and governments percieve their interests that matters, not the exact wording on the page of the treaties.
quote:
2) For the Spaniards, to be able to say to their fisiparous regions that they will be excluded from the EU if they break from Spain, is a powerful weapon in their internal politics.
For the Spanish government, yes. But not the British government. Or even the rest of the EU. None of the rest of us have anything to lose from an independant Catalunya. Or much to gain from it either. And even Spain would be wounded in the prode rather than the stomach. Maybe the French would worry about Perpignan wanting to shift allegiance. But again, so what? If th3ey want to, let them. Open borders and free trade across them mean there is just much less importance in governments hanging on to every last bit of territory whether or not the people who live there want to be ruled by them. Much easier all round to let them go. When wass the last British government that seriously wanted Ireland to remain part of the UK? Not in our lifetimes. And the EU can make that sort of reordering of boundaries easier, not harder.
quote:
3) For the rump UK government, being able to use EU membership as a negotiating item in the independence discussions that would follow a 'Yes' vote would be very helpful.
In what way? If there is a real chance of Scotland being excluded from the EU the deal is off anyway, so the situation is unlikely to arise. And even if it did, the interests of the FUK would be in getting the thing done as quickly and tidily as possible, and not getting bogged doqwn in stupid negotiations about not much at all.
Posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras (# 11274) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Angloid:
The thing which frightens me about the eurosceptics is that they don't seem equally americanosceptic. We are already far too dominated by America, culturally as well as economically. Anything which strengthens our ties to our fellow-Europeans should be welcomed. It's not possible for any nation (let alone a small one) to be 'independent' these days. I'd rather we were interdependent with similar nations only a hop away, than dependent on the great Behemoth across the pond.
I quite like having Airstrip One as part of Oceania.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Not really, because any such "agreement" would, if it came to fruition, be torpedoed in the courts if that's what the rump-UK government wanted to do.
Why would they? The current UK government posturing about EU membership and the Euro is to try to scare Scots away from voting for independence. But if they do so vote then there woudl be no point afterwards in either keeping them out of the EU, or in forcing them to adopt the Euro. So why bother?
Spite, I hope.
Because there are plenty of us Englishmen who hate the Scots as much as they hate us!
One last kicking to the Auld Enemy, because we can.
But I suspect that we wont be able to do that, so we'll SELL you your entry for the low, low cost of...
1) The oil fields in the North Sea
2) 200 year lease on a Sovereign Base Area at HMNB Clyde (Faslane)
3) Access rights to all inshore and offshore waters In Perpetuity.
There might be more. That will suffice for now as suitable recompense for one of the goalposts at Wembley anyway.
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on
:
Or just for you taking responsibility for HBOS and RBS....
Posted by Honest Ron Bacardi (# 38) on
:
deano wrote: quote:
Because there are plenty of us Englishmen who hate the Scots as much as they hate us!
I see. It may have escaped your attention, but purg. is supposed to be for sensible debate. Or is this another example of your humour?
Of course, the fact that I am of half Scottish, half English ancestry has nothing to do with my dim view of your "argument". Oh no.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
Do you see an emoticon or a disclaimer about humour?
Sorry pal, as far as I'm concerned we should screw you for as much as we can get, seeing as you would have done exactly the same to us if you had the chance.
Posted by Honest Ron Bacardi (# 38) on
:
Who is "you"? I'm not interested in taking sides - if people wish to separate, I just hope they can do so amicably and equitably? Is that so difficult a proposition?
Posted by Robert Armin (# 182) on
:
deano: quote:
there are plenty of us Englishmen who hate the Scots as much as they hate us!
I'm astonished how many of your posts seem to be about hating one group or another. I wasn't aware of the deep hatred you mention, going in either direction, but maybe I don't have the emotional energy for that sort of thing any more.
On a more serious point, I've been listening to "Newsnight" where a bunch of experts have been arguing furiously about Britain leaving the EU would be national salvation or disaster. Increasingly it seems to me that the question is so complicated that it will take a massive amount of skill to get it right. In other words, it's the not the sort of thing to be settled by a tool as blunt as a referendum.
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
ken,
Re the euro:
Recent turmoils notwithstanding, it is tolerably clear that the EU will continue the existence of the Euro if at all possible. It is of particular advantage to Germany - not least because it has not strengthened like the DM might have done, but also because a good many people in that country see their nationhood as bound up in the European project.
It is still the case, more ore less, that to be in the EU with one's own currency is something of an aberration. And while I understand it is not a strict treaty requirement that any new entrants adopt the Euro, an independent Scotland ought, at this point, to be presented with that requirement. No one could seriously compare the likely economic situation of an independent Scotland to that of Greece. It may or may not be a poorer country than at present, but I don't think anyone suggests that it will be in any sort of crisis.
To be frank, if the SNP were really confident about Scotland's economic prospects, they would surely advocate issuing a separate currency, e.g. pound Scots.
Re: the veto.
You say that "it is how people and governments percieve their interests that matters, not the exact wording on the page of the treaties". I agree with this up to a point. Where I depart from you is that where a country's interests coalesce with the wording on the page, it is that exact wording that will be enforced. Currently, member states can veto the entry of any new state, as we all ought to know very well. Why the veto is used is no one else's business. It is hardly beyond contemplation that Westminster should threaten the use of a veto e.g. to obtain compensation for RBS's losses or a cut of the proceeds of oilfields that would presumably be in Scottish waters. It is wrong to assume that the RUK government would simply cut a fair deal: their will be negotiations as to how to divide the domestic assets and I'm sure that an independent Scotland would be pushing for a good deal for its citizens. Likewise, the RUK government should, and I expect would, push back.
The bottom line is that Scotland would need EU membership much more than the RUK would need Scotland to be in it.
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
True, but the difference between the dissolution of Czechoslovakia and a possible secession of Scotland from the UK means we're talking about apples and monkeys.
The decision on how the dissolution of the Czechoslovakian federal state (a union of the Czech Socialist Republic and Slovak Socialist Republic) was to precede was mutually agreed upon before it dissolved. The two resultant states presented a joint statement to the UN which outlined that neither was making a claim to be the sole successor state of Czechoslovakia. The dissolution of the USSR was kind of similar, except that the negotiations resulted in an agreement that Russia would be the sole successor state instead of having no successor state (the course the Czechs took).
That's hardly relevant to the UK, because the secession of Scotland would not be met by the UK agreeing to withdraw any claim to being the successor state as both the Czhech Republic and Slovak Republic did. The UK position would undoubtedly be that Scotland was breaking off while the rest of the UK carried on with business as usual.
Quite. It shouldn't escape anyone's attention that Scottish independence will only be triggered if a majority of a group comprising less than one tenth of the UK's population, and who live in an area consisting of geographically much less than half of the UK's land area, vote to leave the UK. Simply put, there appears to be no precedent to Scotland being considered a successor state.
It will have to apply for membership. Given that the Scottish government exercises powers entirely delegated to it by Westminster, trying to do a "deal" with Brussels is possibly - maybe likely - beyond its legal remit, but in any event, it can't hold any water given that the RUK could simply veto it. It is a nice irony that the only organisation legally competant to negotiate some sort of exemption for Scotland (which in any event would probably have to be agreed to by all member states) is the very state the nationalists want to leave.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Armin:
\\Increasingly it seems to me that the question is so complicated that it will take a massive amount of skill to get it right. In other words, it's the not the sort of thing to be settled by a tool as blunt as a referendum.
This sounds like a lack of trust in people to make informed choices about matters related to nationality (which this is largely about, I believe).
I share this lack of trust.
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
Deano is not making sense. Anyone who hated the Scots would do their level best to ensure they remained in the EU. Any sane Scotsman would see forced exit from the EU as the most attractive feature of independence from the UK.
The real difficulty for an independent Scotland is the matter of currency and none of the three alternatives, stay with sterling whilst outside the UK, join the euro or set up a new untested currency seems all that alluring.
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on
:
I am always fascinated about how English Eurosceptics (not British, because Wales/Scotland/Northern Irish aren't as exercised about the EU as they are) completely ignore the fact that they have an open land border with the Republic of Ireland. If the Scottish eventually leave the UK, and I don't believe that they will this time, but will do eventually, the odds are that English voters will support an Out of the EU referendum.
When (not if) that happens, the Republic of Ireland will not follow suit but attempt to get some kind of bilateral agreement with Westminster, otherwise the anamolies of the open border, which was impossible to seal off, even at the height of the Troubles, and the reciprocal citizenship rights of British and Irish citizens in both countries, will have to be dealt with.
The other aspect ignored in England is that Euroscepticism is a phemonenon of the Far Left of the Socialist Workers Party and Radical Nationalism of Sinn Fein in Ireland. The middle classes here are solidly pro-EU because, pre-EU, Ireland's isolationism lead to poverty and the dominance of the Catholic Right in social and personal matters. Farage was consequently a laughing stock here.
Personally, I would like to see as strong ties to Britain as politically possible here, including a return to Sterling parity of the Irish Pound if necessary. All a free floating Irish Pound would lead to would be carpetbagging on a grand scale.
[ 13. December 2012, 10:38: Message edited by: Ronald Binge ]
Posted by aumbry (# 436) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ronald Binge:
Personally, I would like to see as strong ties to Britain as politically possible here, including a return to Sterling parity of the Irish Pound if necessary. All a free floating Irish Pound would lead to would be carpetbagging on a grand scale.
Sounds like Euroscepticism-lite to me and certainly not much of an endorsement of The Project.
As for the Irish middle class considering Farage a laughing stock their own lamentable selection of politicians to represent them (Brian Cowen, Charles Haughey, Bertie Ahern) hardly qualifies them for a prize for political discernment.
Support for withdrawal from the EU stands at 44% in Scotland as opposed to 48% in the whole of the UK so Scotland is not much less eurosceptic than the rest of Britain and like most regions these are larger percentages than those keen on remaining in the EU.
Posted by deano (# 12063) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
Deano is not making sense. Anyone who hated the Scots would do their level best to ensure they remained in the EU. Any sane Scotsman would see forced exit from the EU as the most attractive feature of independence from the UK.
The real difficulty for an independent Scotland is the matter of currency and none of the three alternatives, stay with sterling whilst outside the UK, join the euro or set up a new untested currency seems all that alluring.
It’s my belief that the major incentive to leave the union for the Scottish people, isn’t to realise their dream of self-determination, of living in an independent, sovereign Scotland, but rather to distance themselves from the English.
If England decided to secede from the union, would there be the same appetite in Scotland to then leave the rump union? Personally I doubt it. I believe the Scottish would remain in the Union of Celtic Peoples, as it were.
The clinching argument for me is that there has been a slight hesitation in the drive for independence since the EU announced its decision. If the reason for seceding were to attain independence then no amount of financial issues would stop that. Would William Wallace have said “They can take our lives, but they’ll never take our freedoms… except of course if we have to join the Euro!”?
I would have more respect for Alex Salmond if the SNP simply stated that the EU position was irrelevant and the Scottish people must still vote for independance, rather than trying to obtain "clarifications" from the EU. Those clarification could be sought after a successful referendum.
But if the decision to secede is based on less altruistic motives and is merely to antagonise and distance themselves, from England then money does come into it. The Scottish may well love to humiliate and anger England, but they probably don’t want to cut off their nose to spite their face.
I think Anglo-Scottish enmity runs deep. Certainly I could post anecdotes about what quite a few English people think when this subject comes up (overwhelmingly “Good Riddance”), but that isn’t really going to further the debate. Suffice to say that bad feelings exist across both sides of the border. Nobody is surprised when the Irish bring up grudges they’ve held for centuries against the British, and I don’t think anyone should be too surprised when both the English and the Scottish defend their animus towards each other in a similar vein.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
Spite, I hope.
Because there are plenty of us Englishmen who hate the Scots as much as they hate us!
Reply in Hell. (But it boils down to FOAD)
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ronald Binge:
I am always fascinated about how English Eurosceptics (not British, because Wales/Scotland/Northern Irish aren't as exercised about the EU as they are) completely ignore the fact that they have an open land border with the Republic of Ireland. If the Scottish eventually leave the UK, and I don't believe that they will this time, but will do eventually, the odds are that English voters will support an Out of the EU referendum.
When (not if) that happens, the Republic of Ireland will not follow suit but attempt to get some kind of bilateral agreement with Westminster, otherwise the anamolies of the open border, which was impossible to seal off, even at the height of the Troubles, and the reciprocal citizenship rights of British and Irish citizens in both countries, will have to be dealt with.
The EU doesn't have anything to do with the open border between the UK and Ireland, which is part of the Common Travel Area (also includes the Crown Dependencies).
The normally-open borders through the rest of the EU (plus the non-EU states of Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and Lichtenstein) is a different deal completely - the Schengen Agreement - which Ireland and the UK opted out of despite being members of the EU.
Should either Ireland or the UK decide to join the Schengen Agreement while the other state continues to opt out, the Common Travel Area would come to an end. If both states joined the Schengen Agreement, then the status quo for UK-Ireland travel would remain more or less the same as the Schengen Agreement would supersede the Common Travel Area.
As the Schengen Agreement is now part of EU law, a newly independent Scotland would automatically be required to join the Schengen Agreement if it decided to join the EU. This would lead to Scotland having open borders (via sea or air) with other EU states, but they would be required to conduct border checks for all international travel between Scotland (the border of the Schengen Area) and Ireland or the UK. The prospect of having to go through border security to go to even just Carlisle would be a major pain in the arse for people in Scotland, if this requirement was publicised properly the pro-secession movement would take a huge hit as gaining independence increasingly looked like a minor victory that's not worth the cost..
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
I think Anglo-Scottish enmity runs deep. Certainly I could post anecdotes about what quite a few English people think when this subject comes up (overwhelmingly “Good Riddance”), but that isn’t really going to further the debate. Suffice to say that bad feelings exist across both sides of the border.
Well yes, but amongst a minority. Probably why only a minority support independence.
Posted by Robert Armin (# 182) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Armin:
\\Increasingly it seems to me that the question is so complicated that it will take a massive amount of skill to get it right. In other words, it's the not the sort of thing to be settled by a tool as blunt as a referendum.
This sounds like a lack of trust in people to make informed choices about matters related to nationality (which this is largely about, I believe).
I share this lack of trust.
I have come to realise that I am not competent to make a decision like this (which would have been blindingly obvious to anyone who knows me). Moving on from there, I suspect that the rest of the population is also not competent here.
Isn't this the rationale for parliamentary democracy? We elect able (?) people, who have the time to study complex problems in detail, and then make intelligent decisions on our behalf. In which case, what is the point of having a referendum?
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by aumbry:
quote:
Originally posted by Ronald Binge:
Personally, I would like to see as strong ties to Britain as politically possible here, including a return to Sterling parity of the Irish Pound if necessary. All a free floating Irish Pound would lead to would be carpetbagging on a grand scale.
Sounds like Euroscepticism-lite to me and certainly not much of an endorsement of The Project.
As for the Irish middle class considering Farage a laughing stock their own lamentable selection of politicians to represent them (Brian Cowen, Charles Haughey, Bertie Ahern) hardly qualifies them for a prize for political discernment.
Support for withdrawal from the EU stands at 44% in Scotland as opposed to 48% in the whole of the UK so Scotland is not much less eurosceptic than the rest of Britain and like most regions these are larger percentages than those keen on remaining in the EU.
More like Europhile-Lite, the relationship with Britain though trumps the one with the EU.
Our lamentable choice of politicians is directly related to the classic Irish question before voting, "What's in it for me?". Populist politicians may well be electable but the ability to spout cheap patriotic rhetoric is no guarantee of ability.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Armin:
Isn't this the rationale for parliamentary democracy? We elect able (?) people, who have the time to study complex problems in detail, and then make intelligent decisions on our behalf.
Not really. They are representatives, like a jury. meant to stand up for our interests.
quote:
In which case, what is the point of having a referendum?
To implicate the voters in the process. Like getting new mafia soldiers to kill someone.
[ 13. December 2012, 18:13: Message edited by: ken ]
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Robert Armin:
Isn't this the rationale for parliamentary democracy? We elect able (?) people, who have the time to study complex problems in detail, and then make intelligent decisions on our behalf.
Not really. They are representatives, like a jury. meant to stand up for our interests.
That people are talking about a referendum shows that either the representative process has either failed or that it has succeeded beyond the point they can comprehend. If the representatives had been just delegates who made the decision they were told to make (like the pledged delegates at a US party conference) then there would be no need for talking about referendums - but having delegates in government is not really any different to referenda anyway.
This is NOT a case like the change to the Constitution of Australia where a referendum is defined as being part of the normal process, this is claptrap by people who want to overrule the representative process.
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
In which case, what is the point of having a referendum?
To implicate the voters in the process. Like getting new mafia soldiers to kill someone.
Bullshit, I would believe that if there was some way of ensuring people were properly informed before voting (removing gang colours from ballot papers would be a good start) and they had some way of being held accountable for their vote. As it is, the only form of accountability for voters is if policies impact their quality of life or if the government decides to punish a whole electoral division for voting for the opposition (perhaps by cancelling a much-needed infrastructure project).
[ 14. December 2012, 00:09: Message edited by: the giant cheeseburger ]
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
That's nonsense cheeseburger. Referendums are very common all over the world for major constitutional chanbes, and there are good reasons for it. You know perfectly well that if the government decided to make Scotland independent by an normal act of Parliament, without some out-of-the-ordinary process to gain the approval of the people of Scotland, there would be hell to pay.
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
That's nonsense cheeseburger. Referendums are very common all over the world for major constitutional chanbes, and there are good reasons for it. You know perfectly well that if the government decided to make Scotland independent by an normal act of Parliament, without some out-of-the-ordinary process to gain the approval of the people of Scotland, there would be hell to pay.
The relevance of referendums in this thread is to whether there should be one on the topic of the UK's membership of the EU, not Scottish secession. I'm not sure why anybody thinks it matters because a referendum in the UK carries as much authority as the letters to the editor in the local rag - they are merely non-binding advisory plebiscites to which the parliament does not need pay a scrap of attention.
You are correct in saying that other states all over the world do have procedures for binding referendums at various levels, but the UK is not one of them. This may have its advantages for both the Scottish and EU questions - an ill-informed vote whipped up by misleading SNP or UKIP (depending on which issue) propaganda drowning out the facts could be ignored by the government. The government would be likely to pay for it with a few years in opposition, but, that could be a worthy price to pay for picking the right decision over the popular decision.
This is why, in the UK system where referendums are non-binding and the parliament is sovereign, that getting the representative democracy bit right is more important.
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