Thread: The Roman Catholic Church 100 years from now Board: Oblivion / Ship of Fools.
To visit this thread, use this URL:
http://forum.ship-of-fools.com/cgi-bin/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=70;t=025179
Posted by moron (# 206) on
:
Maybe I'm conflating his take on truth generally with the RCC but whatever
- I enjoy Chesterton:
quote:
It is always easy to let the age have its head; the difficult thing is to keep one’s own.
It is always easy to be a modernist; as it is easy to be a snob. To have fallen into any of those open traps of error and exaggeration which fashion after fashion and sect after sect set along the historic path of Christendom—that would indeed have been simple.
It is always simple to fall; there are an infinity of angles at which one falls, only one at which one stands. To have fallen into any one of the fads from Gnosticism to Christian Science would indeed have been obvious and tame.
But to have avoided them all has been one whirling adventure; and in my vision the heavenly chariot flies thundering through the ages, the dull heresies sprawling and prostrate, the wild truth reeling but erect.
So: what will the Roman Catholic Church be in 100 years?
TIA for any thoughts.
Posted by Desert Daughter (# 13635) on
:
We will all have become Tibetan Buddhists
Believing in the Dalai Lama to reincarnate might look just as outlandish to a rationalist as believing that the Holy Spirit guides a conclave. But at least the Chattering Classes treat Buddhists with respect, because they are... cute
But seriously, tendencies in all faiths unfortunately go to either oblivion or fundamentalism. I fear that our Church will see some schisms within the next 100 years. We will get trad-caths on one side (Opus Dei & their friends), and modernists (who will accept priests who are married and even female
, make sure vwe all hold hands durin the consecration of the Host ) and otherwise will look quite a bit like low-church CofE on the other.
And a forlorn bunch in between who like Bells & Smells, still wrestle with Christology (no happy-clappy Jesus-people here!) , don't think the whole woman business is all that important (they will first push for women to become diacons and the ordination of senior nuns, then see what happens)and wished they'd been born Orthodox (sorry, flippant again...)
Third World Catholicism will radicalise and become more and more Evangelical. Some interesting theological thought likely to emerge from India and Japan, which will be way too abstract to get any significant press which really is a big shame.
What will be lost forever (in a way it already is) is the wonderful fact that as a Catholic you can push the door of any church anywhere in the world and regardless of language you will feel at home.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
The RCC will have remained the largest religious group in the world, and will probably have grown somewhat faster than world population (with world population starting to decrease). Most RCs will live in the "South" and "East", and her presence in the "North" and "West" will have been further reduced. However, her numbers there will have stabilized and typically will have held up significantly better than those of "classical" Protestant churches. In spite of this changed distribution of her lay members and potentially a good number of Southerners and Easterners high in the hierarchy (including the papacy), the "head" of the Church will have remained firmly in the North/West, with no major influence on universal theology or liturgy apparent (yet).
The remaining RCC in the North/West will be considerably more conservative than she is now, doctrinally. The "Reform of the Reform" also will be in full swing in matters liturgical. Most likely there will however not be some sort of "re-unification" with the extraordinary form of the Mass. Instead, this "double usage" will mark the beginning of a considerable diversification (again! to pre-Trent status quo) of the liturgy. This trend will not be as opposed centrally as one might expect, because it proves so convenient for inculturation in the growth zones of the faith.
There will have been a period of a sudden "exodus" of cultural RCs as the increasingly orthodox outlook of the Church crossed a psychological threshold of pain among dissenters. Quite possibly this will have given a final but transient lease of life to some "classical" Protestant denominations. If this exodus has not yet occurred, then it is about to occur. (The later it happens, the less impact on other denominations.)
With regards to the secular setting in the North/West, the RCC will have lost essentially all remaining status. RCs will be roughly in the same position that conservative Muslims are in now, i.e., in an uneasy truce that oscillates between ghetto formation and occasional culture skirmishes. Indeed, one of the difficult issues for Rome will be to maintain at the same time both the pressure on Islam in the growth zones of the faith, and the "brothers in arms" cooperation with Islam in the secular part of the world. In general however, Islam will not have grown as threat as much as a simple extrapolation would suggest now, as a range of factors will reduce its ability to compete.
The one potential modifier to all this will be Pentecostalism. If it continues to be highly successful, then the RCC may at this stage be well on her way to a counter-Pentecostalism, just as once a counter-Reformation was necessary. This will not mean a wholesale adoption though, but rather a combination of both accommodation and new combat strategies. Major innovations in liturgy, doctrine and to a more limited degree even in doctrine may come from this angle, rather than from the simple increase in numbers in the South/East.
There will have been no major reunifications with other denominations. But the Eastern Orthodox will be in all sorts of trouble, both external (secular hostility) and internal (rapid balkanization), and the unthinkable may have become rather thinkable among some of them. And to make a final daring prediction: Buddhism will not have continued its growth in the North/West, and will have resumed dying out slowly.
Posted by fletcher christian (# 13919) on
:
I posit that some time around 3013AD the Orthodox will start to think about having their services entirely in English for those in the english speaking world. By around 4013AD the liturgy should be complete in its translation and the RC church in the West will quake at the sound of its surging.
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on
:
The entire church will be 'triumphant'. Christ can't wait much longer, surely!
Maranatha!
Posted by hatless (# 3365) on
:
2113: The term Roman is dropped, since the church no longer has a centre. The description Catholic usually appears together with Pentecostal.
2103: Translocal congregations become the norm for most worshippers. They are invariably multi-denominational.
2093: Women priests outnumber men by three to one.
2083: Post-colonial theologies prove popular in the economically restructured West. Numbers of worshippers rise strongly.
2073: The church becomes a significant force in global politics by the simple expedient of becoming the most reliable international newsgathering organisation on the planet.
2063: In common with most other denominations, the Roman Catholic church stops holding any financial assets except locally and at very low levels (monthly income x6).
2053: The first women bishops are appointed directly from the laity.
2043: Third and First world dioceses exchange bishops.
2033: Seminaries' theological resources are directed to the laity.
2023: A formal and global process of listening to congregations begins.
2013: The conclave of March 2013 declines to elect a pope.
Posted by Drewthealexander (# 16660) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by fletcher christian:
I posit that some time around 3013AD the Orthodox will start to think about having their services entirely in English for those in the english speaking world. By around 4013AD the liturgy should be complete in its translation and the RC church in the West will quake at the sound of its surging.
Given the trends in global demography, will there be an English speaking world in 3013?
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
My guess is that three quarters of all churches in the West, of all denominations, will be closed. Maybe even more.
Posted by The Midge (# 2398) on
:
The entire church will be sucked up in the rapture. The last words uttered by the pope before departing heavenwards will be:
quote:
Well bugger me! The left behind series was right all along.
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
My guess is that three quarters of all churches in the West, of all denominations, will be closed. Maybe even more.
There's a Canadian sociologist, Eric Kaufmann, whose thesis is that the future will actually be more religious rather than less. He mainly puts this down to demographics rather than conversions. He says that religious people throughout the world, i.e. in the West and elsewhere, tend to have more children than the less religious. This won't just affect 'fundamentalists', but stricter groups will benefit more than the moderately religious because they have more children, and the children are less likely to marry out. (I was surprised to hear that the Amish have grown so much since the early 1900s - as a British person I'd always just assumed they must be on the verge of dying out!) Immigration is important, of course, especially for Islam.
I haven't read Kaufmann's book yet, but there are some interesting videos of his talks on Youtube, e.g.:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H7vCDeKPRSo
Kaufmann doesn't deny the effects of secularisation, and I don't think he's particularly religious himself.
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
I was once struck by an observation, in a scholarly book about 'speaking in tongues' of all things - that the Christian churches as a whole would, in future, be a 'refined form of Catholicism' with a distinct Pentecostal element.
Only today, attending an RC Lent study group, I was struck by the effect/impact of our local Pentecostals on the devout RC ladies who gather there. Without weakening in their Catholicism - although they were suspicious of 'the heirarchy' (of all Churches, not just theirs) and of 'the Vatican' - they paid tribute to the local Penties for their joy and enthusiasm which they said had struck a chord with them and rubbed off.
They observed that as far as they were concerned the local 'Churches Together' initiative - which had brought them into contact with the Penties, the URC and others in the first place - had enabled them to learn from the other Christian traditions represented in the town. That, alongside with regular study of the scriptures through 'lectio divina', they regarded as among the most significant spiritual developments in recent years.
These old girls know their stuff. Some might regard what they're doing as somewhat 'Protestant' but I'm not so sure. It strikes me that they're tapping into aspects of their own tradition but in a more democratic way. Practices that might at one time - certainly in these old ladies' youth - have been seen as the preserve of the 'religious', the monks and nuns - were now more widespread.
Personally, I would love to see the flourishing of a grass-roots, less heirarchical form of Catholicism.
I don't know enough about the RC Church to make any projections, nor do I have a crystal ball as regards anything else. Mudfrog's eschatological hopes may be pious fantasies or they may be on the money - it's easy for him to hedge his bets with this one as he won't be around in 100 years time and neither will any of us. I wouldn't be surprised if we're all still here, though, unless we've wiped ourselves out in some kind of ecological or nuclear disaster.
From what I can pick up from my Orthodox contacts, the feeling there is that the future of Orthodoxy lies with the Slavs as they are the strongest numerically and also the Russians are the ones most likely to seek some rapprochement with Rome - although expect fireworks before that happens. But my informants don't rule out rapprochement with Rome as beyond the realms of possibility.
I don't hold out much hope for 'standard' mainstream Protestantism in the West but I'm also wary of deregulated Pentecostalism as it were as I suspect it will become increasingly syncretic and dumbed down.
We need the Pentecostals, but they also need the rest of us.
Posted by Fr Weber (# 13472) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by hatless:
2013: The conclave of March 2013 declines to elect a pope.
And then you woke up.
Posted by hatless (# 3365) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Fr Weber:
quote:
Originally posted by hatless:
2013: The conclave of March 2013 declines to elect a pope.
And then you woke up.
Sadly it keeps happening. I should stay in bed more.
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
quote:
moron: So: what will the Roman Catholic Church be in 100 years?
Its members democratically decide that a hierarchical structure is at odds with the message of Christ. The last pope resigns. She retires to a nice village on the Italian coast.
Posted by Jon in the Nati (# 15849) on
:
Good gods, the wishful thinking on this thread is making my head hurt.
I generally agree with IngoB, though I am not so pessimistic about the Church's chances in North America and Canada (I agree with him about Europe).
As the church continues to reassert orthodoxy, there will at some point be a very large exodus of cultural RCs over a relatively short amount of time. When this happens, there will be some sot of reorganization (parish mergers on a larger scale, elimination of some of the more superfluous dioceses, etc.). But the church will remain, and may even be stronger (or at least more cohesive) even if it is smaller.
There will not be married priests, there will probably not be women deacons, and there is no way there will be women priests. All of the above would signal a surrender of the church to the pressures of the secular world. It won't happen. And Rome will still be at the heart of the church, even if its body is Africa and Asia.
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
quote:
Jon in the Nati: And Rome will still be at the heart of the church, even if its body is Africa and Asia.
I have this strange impression that there is another continent somewhere with a lot of Catholics. Or are you already giving that one up to the Evangelicals?
Posted by Jon in the Nati (# 15849) on
:
There will continue to be tons of Catholics in South America, but the growth won't be there like it is in Africa and Asia. Then again, I am neither a prophet nor the son of a prophet, who knows?
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
quote:
Jon in the Nati: There will continue to be tons of Catholics in South America, but the growth won't be there like it is in Africa and Asia.
I agree, but I also admit that I find it strangely telling that in most discussions I hear about the future of the RCC, people talk almost exclusively about Africa and Asia. I admit that I'm probably more sensitive to this because I live in Latin America, but this emphasis on growth (as opposed to absolute numbers) seems a bit odd sometimes.
Posted by Augustine the Aleut (# 1472) on
:
I agree with others who feel that we tend to forget South America quite a bit, but perrhaps this is because I am sitting in Argentina as I type.
Other posters have mentioned the protestantizing in stylistic terms of the RCs, and that very much jibes with my observations of the RCC in western Europe and North America, where quite a few of my evangelical friends would have trouble not fitting in. The emphasis on hymns, scripture readings, and increased lay participation suggest that this is a strong grass-roots trend, and one which the hierarchy is only vaguely beginning to grasp.
So I would guess that the future RCC will not be technically really different-- rules and practices will be the same, but more so. I expect that we will have proportionally fewer priests, large numbers of married deacons (Rio alone has 124) doing much of the admin and non-Mass work, and likely more bureaucratized structures. I still think that they will end up with a restricted married priesthood (the viri probati approach). The RCC, being fairly hard-headed, will expend much ecumenical energy on the Orthodox and the Pentecostals, with serious attention only paid to the Anglicans and Lutherans in the warm parts of the world.
I imagine, as well, that we will have some extraterrestrial ecclesiastical jurisdiction and I have some practical ideas on that, should my thoughts be called upon.
Posted by Pancho (# 13533) on
:
I'm gonna look foolish in a hundred years. Heck, I'll look foolish now but I'll give it a go:
The Catholic Church remains the largest single religious body in the world. A period of ferment and renewal occurs over the next 100 years across the Church similar to that which occured in the aftermath of the Council of Trent. Catholics will look back and see the "New Springtime" of the Church which they couldn't see at the time. The explosive growth in Africa is followed by substantial growth in Asia. The number of number of faithful, bishops, priests, deacons, seminarians, and faithful continues to grow worldwide as it does today.
After bottoming out in the next decade the number of male and female "religous" (nuns, monks, etc.) stabilizes and begins to grow again albeit slowly at first.
New religious movements and orders are founded including some cooperative-type communities for lay-folk, especially ones suited for a large aging population. Semi-monastic fraternities appear for Catholic men living in the world (okay, that one is wishful thinking) and contemplative orders of monks and nuns continue to find creative ways to engage the world and evangelize from behind monastery walls while staying true to the law and spirit of their orders.
The medieval scriptorium is now a room full of computers, internet sales continue the support of monasteries with food and crafts, and the world rejoices at the ever-increasing availability of nunish and monkish cake, cheese, wine and beer.
In Asia:
The Philippines becomes even more Catholic than it is now due to a revival in the local church (helped by English language apologetics material being churned out from the U.S.) and growth in formerly Muslim areas of the South disillusioned by armed conflict, as well as the reception of former members of various local, independent churches. Increased visibility worldwide due to influential hierarchs, continued immigration to the rest of the world and increased contacts with Spain and Latin America following a small but influential revival of the Spanish language.
South Korea now has a Christian majority and the Catholic Church remains important and influential. Native Korean orders and missionaries have now spread across the world.
Vietnam is now over a third Catholic. There are areas with a Catholic majority, especially in the South.
Slow but steady growth in Indonesia, especially among tribal and Chinese minorities. East Timor does its part.
Christianity continues to spread in Mainland China by both Catholics and Protestants despite persecution from Communist authorities.
Slow but steady growth in India with spurts in the historic heartlands of Goa and Kerala and notable gains in Orissa, site of the persecutions of 2008. By the end of the century there is a memorial of the Martyrs of Orissa on the calendar.
Iran turns towards the West after the fall of the Islamic regime. While Evangelical churches see some rapid growth the local Armenian, Chaldean, and Latin Catholic Churches also see some growth.
The population of Christians in the Middle-East stabilizes. Chaldean Catholics remain the majority of Christians in Iraq and Maronites have renewed influence in Lebanon. Aramaic is saved from extinction and experiences a small revival among Christians, both among native Middle Easterners and among trendy Westerners taking up the language Jesus spoke.
Decades after the Arab Spring the Coptic Church has reasserted itself. The much smaller Coptic Catholic Church also shows some vigor and from time to time it and the Latin Church attracts a trickle of middle-class Egyptians. It enjoys good relations with its much larger Oriental Orthodox counterpart.
In the rest of North Africa there begin to be signs of growth, especially in certain Berber communities: partly influenced by relatives who immigrated to Europe and became Catholic and partly influenced by the prayers of the Monks of Tibhirine and the now saint Charles de Foucauld. These Catholic Berbers embrace the ancient African saints (Augustine, Monica, Perpetua, Felicity, etc.) as their ancestors in the faith.
The explosive growth in Africa continues. Africans now hold key posts throughout the Church. Africans are teaching in European and North American seminaries and are influential in the sacred arts and become known as spiritual writers. The growth in Francophone Africa has rippling effects in France, Quebec, and the Caribbean.
The Church in Europe stabilizes. The dissenters neither effect change in doctrine nor do they cause schisms (except for small congregations that ocasionaly break off amid fanfare from the media). Like old soldiers, they just fade away. People remember the JPII priests but they forget about the JPII laity. They and their children and their children's children increasingly make up the majority of peeps in the pews, even in Europe.The Church gets its mojo back in Ireland, UK, Spain and Italy with an assist from Poles in Ireland and the Uk and a (smaller) assist from Latin Americans in Spain.
John Henry Newman is declared a saint and a Doctor of the Church. GK Chesterton and Katherine of Aragon are declared Blessed and Venerable, respectively. J.R.R. Tolkien and his mother are declared Servants of God.
The most notable news is a surprising revival of the Church in France spurred by the challenge of the Lefebvrists, the infusion of energy from Francophone Africa, and the founding of some very influential religious orders towards the end of the 20th century such as the Fraternités Monastiques de Jérusalem and Community of St. John. The French bishops gather at Montmartre to once again consecrate the country to the Sacred Heart of Jesus.
The SSPX (Lefebvrists) becomes a niche-church in limbo after rejecting offers of reconciliation one-too-many times. Followers begin to slowly trickle away into diocese-approved traditionalist communities, leaving the hard-core members behind.
(I got carried away and I'm tired. To be continued....)
Posted by Mary LA (# 17040) on
:
While I was in Luanda last month, I was thinking about this, attending Mass at the Cathedral of the Holy Saviour built in 1628. All Sunday Masses packed and overflowing.
Roman Catholicism in 100 years time? Definitely a more hierarchical and conservative Catholic Church in Africa as the eroded and attenuated 'human rights' culture from the West loses traction and we see the rise of Islamic theocratic states.
A slowed trajectory of secularism in Europe and the United States owing to the African diaspora and influence of migrant communities from Latin America (where Pentecostalism will continue to exert considerable influence, less so in Africa or Asia).
And perhaps a increase in significant Catholic, Orthodox and Protestant minorities in unexpected places. Christianity is on the rise in the Middle East -- Juan Cole in his blog Informed Comment commenting on Christian influence in the Middle East notes "About 5% of the French electorate is Muslims, the largest proportion in Europe. But Christians are 10 percent of Egypt, Jordan and Syria, and 22 percent of Lebanon." He sees a more organised and politically outspoken alliance of Christians able to counter the declining Middle East dictatorships.
More persecution, certainly, in the Roman Catholic Church of the 3013 Third World and a corrective to any smug triumphalism. A growing Church, a Church of martyrs, a Church with her back to the wall. And as Chesterton predicted, still the wild truth reeling and erect.
Posted by Desert Daughter (# 13635) on
:
I agree that there will be a strong move towards "grassroots" churches and the great masses will find the pentecostal-style more appealing.
What the RC church will lose is its mysticism. I have been, for better or worse, much exposed to Indian philosophy (n.b. Philosophy!! Not some woolly new age pseudo guru ashram thingy) and since then have my doubts about the primacy of the judaeo-greek thinking model and its glorious outcrops (neo-scholasticism anyone?). I agree that a lot has gone terribly wrong in our church recently.
But the alternative offered to the masses today is low-brow happy-clappy with a big dose of "spirit" (speaking in tongues
) thrown in for good measure. People love to 'socialise', and so in church the 'community' aspect becomes ever more important. What is a moment of worship becomes (under the guise of "communal" worship) a social event.
But the masses are not the truth. A church is not a political party and not a fashion. We, raised in a world very much influenced (tainted!?) by Habermasian discourse "ethics" refuse to, or simply cannot, see it.
Yes, the RCC has massive problems in 2013. But what we need is a church that is more pastoral, but not one that is more democratic.
You cannot approach church, and faith, in the same way many of us approach the rest of life. Otherwise, what's next? Saint Marc (Zuckerberg, not the other guy!) as a Father of the Church because he introduced Vatican governance and doctrinal issues to be decided by "Like" buttons from the masses held in an ever stronger spell by ever more low-brow media?
This is not a popularity contest. The Vatican is not Loft Story. And the masses need a caring shepherd, not more democracy on issues they ultimately know little about.
I know what I just said flies against the Zeitgeist and is profoundly undemocratic. Sorry for causing offense to anyone.
Posted by PeteC (# 10422) on
:
"Jesus Christ, the same yesterday, today and tomorrow" Hebrews 13:8
I think that, at the beginning of his papacy, Benedict XVI postulated that the Church might be smaller in numbers but would prevail.
Given that I am unlikely to be around 100 years from now, it remains postulation.
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on
:
I think, after reading the above, that what will happen is that individual Catholics will do what they have always done and simply get on with life and their belief and faith in God, and engage with their friends and neighbours as always.
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
As a non-RC I'm finding this thread fascinating.
I suspect that Chesterton was right in that there'll be a steely and resilient continuation despite all the vicissitudes - when have there never been vicissitudes?
This might sound odd, but as a Protestant I would be inclined to take a fairly positive view of the increasing 'Protestantisation' of the RC Church - provided, and it's a big proviso, a very big proviso - that the RCs learn from our mistakes and don't repeat them.
I'm saddened to hear that one poster believes that the Mystical element might be lost. I don't know a great deal about that side but it strikes me as a vital component - if I can put it in such mechanistic terms.
I'd love to see more lay-involvement, grass-roots development and all the rest - but such things that draw at the same time from the vast resources imbedded within the tradition itself - rather than borrowings from elsewhere.
I think there has been a softer 'catholic' influence that is permeating the fluffier end of the Protestant spectrum - a greater emphasis on Patristics (at least at seminary level), contemplative prayer, spiritual direction, social engagement, the arts etc.
I suspect though, that its the shadow of the Vatican and an inherent suspicion (rightly or wrongly) of the RC heirarchy that prevents the rest of us (including the Orthodox as well as Protestants) from going in a more Romeward direction.
If Romeward means homeward, then the RC Church is going to have to put out a few more cushions ... whether it can do that without altering the internal decor beyond recognition is the moot point.
I would have thought, though, that the best RC 'strategy' ecumenically for the RCs would be to demonstrate the wisdom and efficacy of their own tradition to the rest of us. A lot of spring cleaning to do. We all have shit in our Augean Stables.
Posted by fletcher christian (# 13919) on
:
Mary LA:
quote:
While I was in Luanda last month, I was thinking about this, attending Mass at the Cathedral of the Holy Saviour built in 1628. All Sunday Masses packed and overflowing.
I'm not questioning your local experience, but when I hear that where I am, I am always suspicious. I'll give you to examples. One was a Cathedral where the congregation continually asserted that in times past it was always full every Sunday and the really old folk recalled their grandparents telling them the building was always full. Now and again they produced photos as proof. Now the photos turned out to be when they had civic functions and gathered loads in - hence the photo being taken in the first place, but a quick glance at the service records showed that they struggled most Sundays to get above 20 people for the dates in question and for a period when they said it was brimming full (spanning 70 years) there were three recorded baptisms - exactly 33 less than there had been in the year past!
Another parish claimed collectively that in the 40's and 50's thy were brimming full every Sunday and even had weekday services and parish organizations. Again, a quick look at the service records indicated that between 1942 and 1960 - and I kid you not - every last service entry had a note beside it saying, 'no congregation'. The only weekday services they had between this period was when Christmas Day fell on a weekday and even then the same entry was in the book - 'no congregation'.
Posted by Hawk (# 14289) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
My guess is that three quarters of all churches in the West, of all denominations, will be closed. Maybe even more.
And replaced, maybe even more than 1:1, by free evangelical churches.
Denominations are dying, hierarchies and old institutions are distrusted. Old men arguing points of theology in dusty halls in order to decide how the faithful should organise themselves will be a thing of the past. The modern love of people-power and democratic involvement, as well as the free exchange of ideas over the internet will surge congregationalism forward as the most dominant, sucessful and visible form of Christianity.
Christianity will regain its roots as a grass-roots movement of locally focused, largely apolitical, community-based congregations. It will have much less influence on lawmaking, politics and on the world stage, and to most secular people it will appear to have been greatly diminished. But beleivers will recognise that their power to do the work of the Kingdom has never been greater. It will be a voice in the wilderness, but a powerful and effective one.
Regarding the RCC, IMO it will certainly not grow much more than it is today. Any growth in the rest of the world will be met with a massive decline in its European and anglo-speaking heartlands.
Eventually the tensions within the RCC will fail to hold and the arch-conservatives will break away from the liberal reformers. The RCC will wither under these breakaways until eventually it will be just the Vatican and a handful of Bishops scattered around the world performing rites that hardly anyone comes to, with no effect on anything outside the doors. This can continue indefinitely as a largely ignored minor religious cult, seen by others in the same way as most would view the Assyrian Church of the East now. A historical novelty but a modern day anacronism.
This probably won't all happen in a hundred years, but by 2113 I'd imagine we'd already have seen quite a few large breakaways, probably these first ones over OOW and contraception/abortion rights. I'd imagine over the next few decades liberal pressures will encourage the Vatican to set up certain satellite groups (like the current Ordinariate for Anglicans), which gives certain special considerations to people who want the traditions and legitimacy of the RCC but want to maintain a different liturgy and organisation (maybe one for married priests for instance). These special sections of the church will be allowed a measure of autonomy in return for their professed allegiance to Rome. It will be seen as a much needed compromise to diffuse the tensions pulling the RCC apart and maintain unity. But it wont work.
Over time these liberal groups will become more and more loosely affiliated with the Vatican, eventually being Catholic only in name, and these satellite groups will be the most prosperous and well-attended Churches in the RCC sucking up most of the new converts. By 2113 most of these satellite affiliated groups will have given up on the Vatican completely and left, and those who remain in the RCC proper will be even more strictly conservative than Benedict. The arch-conservatives will then ban the experiment of these 'ordinariates' and all special considerations. This will drive even more out of the Church.
Posted by Mary LA (# 17040) on
:
Fletcher Christian, in Cape Town and Johannesburg, South Africa, there are suburban parish Masses not well attended. It varies from place to place so I'm not making a generalisation about the Church in Africa.
But the Catholic Church in Angola is booming. As it is in Nigeria. You could look at Adam Nossiter in the NYT of 23 February, 2013, on the example of the Church of Christ the King in Lagos.
'Six Masses are celebrated here each Sunday for up to 10,000 people, and 102 people were baptized last Saturday. The parish priest, the Rev. Ikenna Ikechi, dreams of building a multistory community center to accommodate his growing flock. “Our only limitation is space,” he said.'
NYT on Church in Africa
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Hawk:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
My guess is that three quarters of all churches in the West, of all denominations, will be closed. Maybe even more.
And replaced, maybe even more than 1:1, by free evangelical churches.
I think free evangelical churches will find that, without mainline denominations to cannibalize anymore, they will succumb to the same trends as every else.
Indeed, that is what they are already finding.
Posted by Jon in the Nati (# 15849) on
:
quote:
quote:
And replaced, maybe even more than 1:1, by free evangelical churches.
I think free evangelical churches will find that, without mainline denominations to cannibalize anymore, they will succumb to the same trends as every else.
Indeed, that is what they are already finding.
I think this is correct. Evangelical megachurchianity may still be the big whipping boy of Christianity (at least for many on this Ship, myself included), but as a percentage of the Christian population the growth of evangelicalism ended in the late 1990s. The movement may be huge and extremely visible, but it isn't really growing anymore. Even many evangelicals are fairly pessimistic about the matter.
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
Don't take that the wrong way- pretty much all of these "predications" are more along the lines of "brazen fantasizing." Maybe I'm just more pessimistic than everyone else.
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
I might get jumped on for saying so, but Hawk and others who are optimistic about a more congregational evangelical future need to consider the history.
Congregationalism, in and of itself, like presbyterianism is no guarantor of orthodoxy. You read any of the accounts/journals of revivalists like the Baptist Christmas Evans in Wales and the various Methodist 'circuit-riders' and lay-preachers and so on and you'll find that they spent a great deal of their time combating Socinianism, Sabellianism and all manner of other isms.
Great swathes of the non-conformity of the 17th and 18th centuries fell into Deism or Unitarianism of one form or other - even some of the big name revivalist chaps also succumbed to this pressure at one time or other - before returning to a more orthodox position.
Obviously, it could just as easily be said that an Episcopal system doesn't, in and of itself, guarantee orthodoxy either - there were Deist and Latitudinarian Anglican bishops back in the day and, from a conservative perspective, it's not as if today's liberals are having their wings clipped by the Anglican episcopacy.
But this idea that all you have to do is rid yourselves of heirarchy in order to march forward into some bright, new, democratic future is bunkum.
Left to their own devices and without the 'wider church' or wider Christendom to draw reference points from the independent congregations are more likely to veer either into extreme fundamentalism or else lose the plot and veer away into doctrinal cloud-cuckoo land. We are seeing this already in 'developing countries.'
I was roundly shouted down by some of the evangelicals on these Boards when I suggested - using facts and figures and statistics - that much of the much-vaunted church growth in China (for instance) came from groups that would be regarded as heretical or skewed by most (if not all) evangelicals.
It might be a creative tension thing, but from what I'm picking up indigenous Christianities in developing countries are developing in a direction that most evangelicals would deplore - only they haven't quite woken up to that yet.
At the same time, I would posit that even more doctrinally 'correct' independent settings are at risk from fads and emphases that threaten to derail or dilute what orthodoxy they possess and retain. Again, I don't believe they've quite woken up to that yet either. Or, if they have, they've reacted by becoming all stringent and even more marginalised.
So, no, I don't believe that the future is rosy for congregationalism per se. It might be flavour of the month, it may fit the zeitgeist but if you are wedded to the spirit of the age you will be widowed to it in the next.
You mark my words.
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
Saying that, and this may appear contradictory, I also think that the future for Christianity (of all stripes) in the West lies in the small unit and the grass-root base-community model.
Andrew Walker, the academic sociologist and theologian (Pentecostal turned Russian Orthodox) said this some years ago - but I think he was right. We need 'plausibility structures' to maintain the faith through the decline of Christendom and just as the monastery performed this function during the 'Dark Ages', a more 'sectarian' or 'gathered' model could well provide the right model this time round.
Self-selecting groups are, arguably, naturally conservative. They aim to preserve their distinctives. It's no accident, I feel, that an Orthodox priest who used to post regularly here (remember him? let the reader understand) once observed (in private conversation not here) that he was finding more 'orthodoxy' among groups like the Church of the Nazarene and the Assemblies of God than he was among Anglicans, Methodists and other more 'mainstream' denominations.
It's the comparative isolation of these groups, he felt, that had preserved them in some kind of Zoar as the white-heat of radical liberalism passed over in a cloud of hot ash and flames ...
It all depends on the perspective, of course, where you're coming from.
Liberals are also quite gleeful at any potential implosion or creaking collapse of heirarchy and privilege. At least the ones I know are.
I'm not saying that's right or wrong. Simply suggesting that a more fluid situation is likely to throw up all manner of flotsam and jetsam and some of it quite messy and not at all along the lines that Hawk and people like him would wish.
That said, I believe in God, the Father, the Son and the Holy Spirit and in his ability to keep things 'on track' and to carve some kind of order out of chaos. But I still believe we need reference points and I'd suggest that, however flawed we may feel it to be, some of those reference points are to be found among the RCs, the Orthodox and others who have preserved and passed on the faith - often at great cost - and often, it has to be said, by dodgy means.
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gamaliel:
It might be a creative tension thing, but from what I'm picking up indigenous Christianities in developing countries are developing in a direction that most evangelicals would deplore - only they haven't quite woken up to that yet.
This assumes that only white, western evangelicalism is the 'right sort'. Haven't we got over that yet? I mean, it's hardly as though heresy doesn't exist in the West! It's the history of Christendom unto the present day!! These days it's just baptised as progress and scholarship, etc., seeping out quietly into the atmosphere and the bloodstream, rather than making a big fuss and naming itself before the world.
If Western Christianity has coped with a perpetual state of heresy of its own, then other parts of the world will do the same. No single culture represents pure, wholesome righteous godliness.
May the Lord have mercy on us all.
Posted by Anselmina (# 3032) on
:
100 years in the perspective of the Roman Catholic Church? It would be astonishing if anything significant changed.
As the old parody of the hymn says: 'Like a mighty tortoise moves the Church of God/
brothers, we are treading where we've always trod'.
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on
:
I see that Catholic church as less Italian, Irish and German, more Asian and African (perhaps having had a few 3rd world Popes by then), past the priest shortage crisis by either modifying its policy on married priests, or making liturgical and structural changes to allow people to either receive the Eucharist less frequently, or having some kind of centralized consecration with Deacons and lay people administering it at a parish level.
I believe the world is heading toward an ecological crisis, mostly because of overpopulation and overconsumption (and think this will come to a head before 2100) and that this will be a game-changer. The fallout of this will turn a least a portion of the population off the materialistic, hedonistic and somewhat nihilistic values we seem to have now. I remain hopeful that the RCC (and all religious communities) find their voice in presenting an alternative message emphasizing stewardship of the planet. While I don't expect the RCC to change its view on contraception (though that would be welcome) it becomes more pragmatic about human nature, perhaps "suspending" the teaching. If the messaging about stewardship, consumption and materialism is done correctly, it could make religion more relevant in the minds of many.
[ 27. February 2013, 13:56: Message edited by: ToujoursDan ]
Posted by Gildas (# 525) on
:
In the 19th Century the arch-conservative Pius IX issued a Syllabus of Errors indignantly repudiating the appalling idea that the Catholic Church could reconcile itself to Parliamentary Democracy, Religious Freedom or the emancipation of the Jews. At the end of the twentieth century the arch-conservative John Paul II spent much of his pontificate lecturing the Communist bloc on the importance of the first two and went to the Wailing Wall to apologise for the Church's history of anti-semitism.
Based on that august precedent I have Pope Bernadette II pencilled into a visit to San Francisco sometime around September 2164.
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on
:
I would plump for a combo of Ingo's and Dan's predictions.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gamaliel:
But this idea that all you have to do is rid yourselves of heirarchy in order to march forward into some bright, new, democratic future is bunkum.
Unfortunately it is a view which is gaining some traction even within the Clergy of the Anglican Church. Whilst attending an ArchDeaconary meeeting, whilst I wont exaggerate and say many, there were at least 3 persons (of which two were clergy and one lay) who stood up and advocated (or agreed with the sentiment) that a destruction of the Episcopal system would be a means to growth and renewal.
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
quote:
Originally posted by Gamaliel:
But this idea that all you have to do is rid yourselves of heirarchy in order to march forward into some bright, new, democratic future is bunkum.
Unfortunately it is a view which is gaining some traction even within the Clergy of the Anglican Church. Whilst attending an ArchDeaconary meeeting, whilst I wont exaggerate and say many, there were at least 3 persons (of which two were clergy and one lay) who stood up and advocated (or agreed with the sentiment) that a destruction of the Episcopal system would be a means to growth and renewal.
They don't have much of a choice in the matter, do they? If there's a shortage of priests, and a huge increase in the size of parishes, then it makes no sense to just to struggle on until the whole thing completely collapses.
Necessity needs to become a virtue.
Posted by Sergius-Melli (# 17462) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
They don't have much of a choice in the matter, do they? If there's a shortage of priests, and a huge increase in the size of parishes, then it makes no sense to just to struggle on until the whole thing completely collapses.
Necessity needs to become a virtue.
To me it is a gross misunderstanding about the history, nature and role of the Episcopate in the church, and for Clergy of an Anglican Church to come out with it shows a complete lack of understanding about the system in which they are ordained, and a complete lack of denominational identity. Necessity does not trump everything, if a particular Church is to go to the wall, I'm not beyond believing that it is part of God's will, but in efforts to avoid this I don't believe that the fundamentals should be given up to a system alien to the understanding of Catholicity and truth within the Anglican church.
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sergius-Melli:
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
They don't have much of a choice in the matter, do they? If there's a shortage of priests, and a huge increase in the size of parishes, then it makes no sense to just to struggle on until the whole thing completely collapses.
Necessity needs to become a virtue.
To me it is a gross misunderstanding about the history, nature and role of the Episcopate in the church, and for Clergy of an Anglican Church to come out with it shows a complete lack of understanding about the system in which they are ordained, and a complete lack of denominational identity. Necessity does not trump everything, if a particular Church is to go to the wall, I'm not beyond believing that it is part of God's will, but in efforts to avoid this I don't believe that the fundamentals should be given up to a system alien to the understanding of Catholicity and truth within the Anglican church.
I think this is the main reason why, despite my appreciation of the Anglican presence in my area (particularly now that I'm a wandering spirit), I could never think of myself as an Anglican. The structure unnerves me.
Perhaps I want to have my cake and eat it, taking advantage of Anglican worship when I need to, but not really taking the structure that enables it to exist. Maybe I'm a bit of a hypocrite. But I do realise that all good (or partially good) things must come to an end.
At least with the RCC, it seems perfectly respectable for the laity to critise the hierarchical set-up while still thinking of themselves as good Catholics. This attitude doesn't seem to work for the CofE, for some reason. It's almost as if these critics are traitors, betraying the authenticity of the church....
[ 27. February 2013, 15:24: Message edited by: SvitlanaV2 ]
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
The RC, like any other Christian group I suppose, needs to address modernity whilst not falling to it. It needs also to realise that the Church is slowly entering the same kind of conditions the Church was in during the first three centuries. Benedict XVI to an extent tried to address both points. So 100 years from now I would like to see the RC having addressed these issues, to have sorted out the whole VII mess (at least that's how I see it) as well as a whole host of other things (from an Orthodox perspective). Will it? I don't know but one can hope.
[ 27. February 2013, 15:32: Message edited by: Ad Orientem ]
Posted by BulldogSacristan (# 11239) on
:
And is it really so much a shortage of good men and women who want to be priests as it is a lack of people to pay them and be ministered to by them?
In dioceses I've been in in the Episcopal Church (I know this isn't the case for all dioceses), the discernment apparatuses regularly turn away well over half of all aspirants.
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by BulldogSacristan:
And is it really so much a shortage of good men and women who want to be priests as it is a lack of people to pay them and be ministered to by them?
In dioceses I've been in in the Episcopal Church (I know this isn't the case for all dioceses), the discernment apparatuses regularly turn away well over half of all aspirants.
More like three quarters, in my diocese anyhow.
Posted by Angloid (# 159) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
At least with the RCC, it seems perfectly respectable for the laity to critise the hierarchical set-up while still thinking of themselves as good Catholics. This attitude doesn't seem to work for the CofE, for some reason. It's almost as if these critics are traitors, betraying the authenticity of the church....
There is a big difference between 'criticising the hierarchical set-up' (i.e.. how episcopacy is worked out in practice), and denying the importance of episcopacy as embodying the apostolic ministry. The C of E has survived, as a more or less effective if ramshackle coalition, until now just because everybody has respected the same structures even if not agreeing on the theological principles behind them.
Posted by k-mann (# 8490) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by hatless:
2063: In common with most other denominations, the Roman Catholic church stops holding any financial assets except locally and at very low levels (monthly income x6).
What other denominations (that fits this bill)? The Church of England? The Episcopal Church? The Church of Norway? The Evangelical-Lutheran Church of America? Willow Creek?
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
Any hierarchy among bishops is merely an administrative convenience. That goes for the ancient patriarchies too.
Posted by hatless (# 3365) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by k-mann:
quote:
Originally posted by hatless:
2063: In common with most other denominations, the Roman Catholic church stops holding any financial assets except locally and at very low levels (monthly income x6).
What other denominations (that fits this bill)? The Church of England? The Episcopal Church? The Church of Norway? The Evangelical-Lutheran Church of America? Willow Creek?
Yes, I expect so, but we'll just have to wait and see for the definitive answer, won't we?
Posted by hatless (# 3365) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
Any hierarchy among bishops is merely an administrative convenience. That goes for the ancient patriarchies too.
I would have thought that the pope advancing O'Brien's resignation showed a distinct difference in power and status.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by hatless:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
Any hierarchy among bishops is merely an administrative convenience. That goes for the ancient patriarchies too.
I would have thought that the pope advancing O'Brien's resignation showed a distinct difference in power and status.
And that, I would suggest, is merely that administrative hierarchy (one born, as I have said, out of convenience) in action, but essentially they're both bishops and neither is any more a bishop than the other. Of course, I speak only from an Orthodox perspective and am well aware that from an RC perspective one would disagree with what I have said.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Drewthealexander:
Given the trends in global demography, will there be an English speaking world in 3013?
As English is by far the most widely spoken language in the world, and pulling ahead of all the others, its far more likely to be around in a thousand years than most other current languages are.
Of course if there is a language called "English" in a thousand years time it would almost certainly be almost unintelligble to us, just as the Enligsh of a thousand years ago is all but unintelligble. Normal processes of language change seem to take about three to five hundred years to alter speech into mutual unintelligibilty.
Short of some apocalyptic destruction killing billions of people, the chances are that in a thousand years time there will be a number of mutually untintelligble languages all descended from English. Just as with the Latin languages nowaqdays. And that the one spoken in Britain will still be called English. Maybe North American English will have fragmented into a number of mutually unintelligble kinds of speech sharing one written form - just like Chinese and Arabic today.
If there is still a global language of business and scholarship in a thousand years it is likely that will then, as now, be either English or Chinese, or possibly both. And if English its written form will grammatically be vaguely similar to simplified internationalised British English nowadays, with a very large number of words borrowed from Chinese and Hindi. (And if its Chinese it'll have words borrowed from English). It will be completely different to the spoken English of the time.
And this will be true even if English is no longer spoken anywhere. International languages survive the political structures that internationalised them. Latin remained the language of scholarship in Western Europe for over a thousand years after the Roman Empire left the West and turned Greek. Greek was an international language in the mediterranean and the Middle East from Alexander's conquests to the rise of Islam, long after the political power of the Grteeks faded. It lived alongside and partly replaced Aramaic - and when did the Aramaeans last have an Empire? The Persian Empire used Aramaic for business, just as the Babylonians and Assyrtians had before them. But when the Arabs destroyed the Persian Empire, Greek and Aramaic weere replaced and the international language of Central Asia by Persian.
Off topic. The future of English is probably easier to make plausible guesses about than the future of the Roman Catholic Church!
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
Here in Poland shall see changes, I believe. The discontent over RC power will increase, so much so that the crucifix will be taken out of parliament and a massive reduction in the money given from the state to the RC church will be called for. If the Russian Orthodox and Protestant churches gets their acts together (largely the latter, due to the connection between Russia and the Russian Orthodox church not being welcome here) some may change confession, otherwise not going to church will be the answer.
There's bound to be a paedophile scandal at some point. I don't say that as part of the tiring "RC=paedophile" prejudice, simply by the law of averages. There are many priests and religious in contact with many children, so some are bound to happen, and at some point this will emerge and people will be shocked to the core.
At the time time, as Dan said, we're bound to have big environmental problems at some point, and something is bound to kick off with Russia at some point (again, using the law of averages, though from a Polish view) and Islamophobia will increase in Poland due to some bungled western war there with increased gobshitery from certain Muslim clerics. Saying that, migration to Poland will increase (thankfully) and more Muslims will be here, something that will both help and hinder the fight against Islamophobia. These factors could help the RC church.
Outside of a reintroduction of the Inquisition, this time in Poland, it is difficult to envisage a more conservative RC church in Poland.
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by BulldogSacristan:
And is it really so much a shortage of good men and women who want to be priests as it is a lack of people to pay them and be ministered to by them?
In dioceses I've been in in the Episcopal Church (I know this isn't the case for all dioceses), the discernment apparatuses regularly turn away well over half of all aspirants.
More like three quarters, in my diocese anyhow.
You have a point. I read on a blog that the numbers of candidates for the ministry is increasing, even though the numbers of churchgoers is decreasing. (This is in the UK.) I can't find the details now, but the explanation given was that individuals often feel that the only way they can serve the church is by being ordained.
If Anglicanism sets such great store by its hierarchical structure (as I've been told above) it's not surprising if some people feel that being part of that structure is the most desirable and effective way to serve the church.
For people who are keen to see change in the Anglican church, ordination must seem very attractive - which is ironic, because one of the jobs the clergy have is maintaining the status quo. But I think this is a tension faced by clergy in most denominations.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
OK, semi-serious guesses about the future of the RCC. Based on the boring old principle of "If this goes on". But as Chesterton also said:
quote:
The human race, to which so many of my readers belong, has been playing at children's games from the beginning, and will probably do it till the end, which is a nuisance for the few people who grow up. And one of the games to which it is most attached is called, "Keep to-morrow dark," and which is also named (by the rustics in Shropshire, I have no doubt) "Cheat the Prophet." The players listen very carefully and respectfully to all that the clever men have to say about what is to happen in the next generation. The players then wait until all the clever men are dead, and bury them nicely. They then go and do something else.
In 2013 the RCC will still be run from the Vatican, by a man called the Pope. It will still hold to small-o-orthodox Trinitarian Chalcedonian Christianity, and it will still be socially conservative. It will probably still hold out against gay marriage. It might even be the last plac e in the world that does.
The nation with the largest number of Roman Catholics will be China. And the Pope is as likely to be Chinese or African as European.
It will be quite usual for priests to be married. There may or may not be ordained women priests - my guess is that there will be - but if there aren't it'll be the subject of continual argument and if there is no sympathy for it from the Vatican there are likely to be oen or more large schisms.
Sometime well before a hundred years have passed, quite likely before even a hundred months have passed, it will become obvious that the numberical decline in churchgoing we've seen in Europe is also happening in both North and South America. Pretty much all "middle class" countries (IYSWIM) will end up with maybe between 1% and 5% of their population associating themselves with Christianity. I expect the decline will bottom out at that sort of figure. But unless something unforseeable happens, its hard to see why those numbers would start rising again anywhere. Sometime between then and a hundred years from now that change will spread to African countries, and quite likely to Asian ones as well.
Roman Catholicism will be in a sense more "spread out" than now. There will no longer be any obvious Catholic countries, in the way that Ireland abnd Spain and Portugal have recently been Catholic countries. There will probably no longer be any majority Catholic regions or provinces or even cities in most countries. But there will be some Catholics pretty much anywhere there are Christians at all. I suspect the same will be true of the major Protestant denominations as well. (*) As IngoB said, cultural Catholicism will cease to be churchgoing Catholicsm.
Catholicism, and all Christianity, will be a very urban religion (back to its roots!) partly because the whole world will be much more urban, partly because the continuing difficulty in recruiting and paying priests will mean that only large parishes in cities will be fully staffed. Maybe there will be a return to the system of a bishop and a staff of priests together in a large central church, and anyone in he city or the surrounding countryside who wants Communion will go there. Very few full-time priests will be permanently attached to non-episcopal parishes, they will be sent out to as occasional visitors.
There might also be some "hunkering down" around major shrines. I can imagine a very public and very ornate sort of traditional ceremonial going on in places we don't see it now, in a kind of defensive posture of "no retreat". Sort of like how the different churches behave in Bethlehem. If yiou have the right for three monks to sing for ten minutes on the third pew from the left on the Sunday before Christmas they bloody well will sing for ten minutes on the third pew from the left - and these days the TV cameras will be there to watch them. Maybe the Roman Catholics of a hundred years time will be dancing through the streets of Westminster waving giant statues of Mary and making as much noise as their small number can, as a way of asserting that they are still here and still important.
As others said, expect no major reunions between Rom and other denominations. Orthodoxy will still be around, and in Russia and Greece still ceremonially important, but the chances are it will have lost its political hold, and there will be as many Protestants and Catholics in those countries as Orthodox and not many of any of them.
Christianity, of all kinds, will be effectively extinct in Arab-speaking countries other than Egypt. Political Islam will be a forgotten memory everywhere except in countries that border Israel. Iran and Turkey will be prosperous, developed countries, mostly secular, with the same 1-5% churchgoing Christians that all the other developed countries have. Turkey is likely to be seen as a normal European country, and if anything like the EU still exists it will be a member. Its possible Iran will be as well, or Iran may have turned East to make itself the cultural centre of a Persian Cultural Sphere. But if it does that, its USP will be Iranianess, not its rather peculiar sort of Islam.
The RC conservative stance on sexual politics will still make it unpopular in many rich countries. Perhaps extremely unpopular. Maybe over the next centuyry there will once again be anti-Catholic riots in Western Europe. But if so they won't be Ulster Protestants or Islamist Muslims doing it, it'll be secular agnostics, many of them ex-Catholic themselves And the reason they don't like Catholics will be moral ones, not theological ones.
(*) And talking of major Protestant denominations, I suspect that the mainstream Reformation denominations - Moravian, Lutheran, Reformed, Anglican, Methodist - will have all entered into a rather informal and loose reunion, with complete intercommunion, but no centralised political structures klike the 19th and 20th century "uniting" churches. Something along the lines of a global Porvoo agreement, with a tinge of the Church of South India. It will be episcopal - though the style of its episcopacy will be one more familiar to American Methodists than to Italian Catholics - it will be definitely Protestant and mostly low-church. It will have women bishops, and most of them will be black. And there will be very little current interest in formal reunion with Rome or Constantinople.
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
quote:
Mary LA: While I was in Luanda last month, I was thinking about this, attending Mass at the Cathedral of the Holy Saviour built in 1628. All Sunday Masses packed and overflowing.
I don't think I can say the same about Mozambique. Churches is mostly half-full at Mass, definitely not 'packed and overflowing'.
I have the feeling that Igreja Universal is growing much faster in Mozambique than the RCC. I lived in a provincial capital of Mozambique, and there were dozens of Brazilian missionaries, of Universal and of other churches.
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Drewthealexander:
Given the trends in global demography, will there be an English speaking world in 3013?
Of course if there is a language called "English" in a thousand years time it would almost certainly be almost unintelligble to us, just as the Enligsh of a thousand years ago is all but unintelligble. Normal processes of language change seem to take about three to five hundred years to alter speech into mutual unintelligibilty.
Short of some apocalyptic destruction killing billions of people, the chances are that in a thousand years time there will be a number of mutually untintelligble languages all descended from English. Just as with the Latin languages nowaqdays. And that the one spoken in Britain will still be called English. Maybe North American English will have fragmented into a number of mutually unintelligble kinds of speech sharing one written form - just like Chinese and Arabic today.
I'd have to disagree with this. If the global media (and to a lesser extent, transport) have done anything, they've standardized languages. Regional accents in the U.S. and Canada are in decline. People in places like the UK, Australia and New Zealand fully understand and often use U.S. slang because of the pervasiveness of American radio, TV and music. People in the U.S. understand British terms they hear on BBC America. Younger Canadians often spell like Americans and are as likely to call the last letter of the alphabet "Zee" as (the correct) "Zed".
Latin evolved into the Romance languages because there was no centralized form of broadcast to keep regional dialects from forming and drifting apart, but I think mass technology has pretty much stopped that.
So while I can see standard English continuing to evolve as new terms enter and leave the lexicon, and perhaps pronunciation drift as a whole, we live in an era of language destruction, not new language construction.
[ 27. February 2013, 19:28: Message edited by: ToujoursDan ]
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
Maybe. The "Northern Cities Vowel Shift," besides sounding hideous, is spreading fast, but only south of the border, and almost exclusively among whites, for reasons not entirely clear. And it's quite distinct from what passes as the standard American dialect.
[ 27. February 2013, 19:36: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
What Zach said. Its not about words, its about accents.
The normal speech of the south-east of England is moving, quite fast, in a different direction from the normal speech of the east coast of the USA. And to some extent (not completely) its dragging the rest of Britain with it. We're all speaking standard English, but we're pronouncing it differently from each other.
Yes Brits and Americans can understand each other easily, because we hear each others accents on TV and in pop music and so on. And there is no sign we'll lost that soon. But our accents are still diverging.
[ 27. February 2013, 19:42: Message edited by: ken ]
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on
:
I still don't any evidence that the English New Yorkers speak and the English Californians speak are diverging.
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
While the media might make for larger linguistic regions, it also has the tendency to vulgarize speech much faster, and that is the driver of language divergence. While proper university British-English is still perfectly comprehensible to Americans, the consonant-less jabbering of British pop-culture is increasingly difficult for us to understand!
[ 27. February 2013, 19:47: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on
:
Probably best for another thread but British pop culture or other British accents have always been difficult for Americans to understand. But with them, as well as other accents, there are strong economic incentives not to use them as they are seen as an impediment to being taken seriously by mainstream society.
In the U.S. and Canada there exist many accent reduction schools, coaches and software that exist to eliminate strong Southern, inner city, African American, Newfoundland and new immigrant accents because non-Standard accents (with some UK accents aside) are widely seen to hurt careers.
[ 27. February 2013, 19:58: Message edited by: ToujoursDan ]
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
So what? Education is always fighting a losing battle against vulgarity. Eventually, monotone mumbling will be the standard American dialect, sing-song, consonant-less jabbering will be the standard British dialect, and the two will be barely intelligible to each other.
Posted by ToujoursDan (# 10578) on
:
Again, disagree. UK shows shown in the US and vice versa will keep that from happening.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
Posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras (# 11274) on
:
Never say never, CL.
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
If we're going to look more generally to religion in 100 years, there's a trend that I see happening now in the American continent that I find interesting for the future.
It's that indigenous and Afro-American religions are becoming more mainstream and accepted now, especially by the middle class. For example some Mayan and other indigenous rituals (which are starting to break away a bit from their New Age image), and expressions like Santería, Vodou, Candomblé...
I have the feeling that this revival is more than a short-lived trend. For the next decades, I could see similar things happening in Africa. (It's no suprise to me that it would take longer there, since Colonialism was much more recent in this continent.)
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
All the same, charity demands that we hope.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
Hopefully you're right and in theory, at least, it's an impossibility.
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
@SvitlanaV2, going back a bit now but to retrieve something from the previous page ...
Yes, I agree that my analysis presupposes the assumption that white Anglo-Saxon evangelicalism is the 'norm' or default option ... and it was deliberate. Because I suspect that this is how Hawk and other conservative evangelicals in the UK see these things and that they fondly imagine that the spread of evangelicalism worldwide is creating more Christians in their own image. I'm suggesting that it won't and that it can't.
Anyhow, that's a side issue in the context of this thread as it's meant to be about the future of the RCC.
I suspect we might all be surprised if were able to see what things would be like 100 years hence. I expect increasing fragmentation. I suspect that Catholic 'spirituality' in broad terms will persist and possibly even grow - becoming more syncretic in some cases.
Perhaps someone ought to start a thread about the future of the Anglican communion (if there hasn't been one already) or Pentecostalism ... how can we expect that to morph and develop?
Posted by Garasu (# 17152) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gamaliel:
Perhaps someone ought to start a thread about the future of the Anglican communion (if there hasn't been one already) or Pentecostalism ... how can we expect that to morph and develop?
But RCC development is interesting precisely because of its centralism...
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
Yes, there is that, Garasu. Pentecostalism could go any which way. When you have a centralised system such as Rome there is an added dimension and dynamic.
Posted by Porridge (# 15405) on
:
100 years from now, a substantial subset of U.S. Catholics (led by the nuns from the Women's Leadership thingie, whatever it's called) will have split from the rest of the (select prefix of choice) Catholic Church.
In this new group, much of traditional Catholic teaching will disappear. Abortion policy will be liberalized, women and gays will be able to become priests, and priests will be able to marry.
Posted by Gildas (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
Frankly, if the Pope can pray at a Mosque in Holy Byzantium anything is possible. I think that Pope Urban or, indeed, Pope Pius XII would have fervently denied that possibility. It happened. Vicars in knickers are as nothing compared to acknowledging the Mohammedans as our new best mates.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gildas:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
Frankly, if the Pope can pray at a Mosque in Holy Byzantium anything is possible. I think that Pope Urban or, indeed, Pope Pius XII would have fervently denied that possibility. It happened. Vicars in knickers are as nothing compared to acknowledging the Mohammedans as our new best mates.
Yes, that caused scandal across the Christian world sowing the seeds of confusion amongst the faithful to the delight of those already on the edge of apostasy. Mind you, Pius XII was an archreformer too.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
The thread is crumbling into sectarian viciousness, which probably shouldn't surprise anyone too much.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
Which bit are you confused about and I can try to explain?
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Porridge:
100 years from now, a substantial subset of U.S. Catholics (led by the nuns from the Women's Leadership thingie, whatever it's called) will have split from the rest of the (select prefix of choice) Catholic Church.
In this new group, much of traditional Catholic teaching will disappear. Abortion policy will be liberalized, women and gays will be able to become priests, and priests will be able to marry.
The future is now if you hadn't noticed, bar for the substantial part. Also in a 100 years 99.9% of the LCWR will have been dead for at least 75 years.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
All the same, charity demands that we hope.
Wishing another harm generally isn't considered charitable.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gildas:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
Frankly, if the Pope can pray at a Mosque in Holy Byzantium anything is possible. I think that Pope Urban or, indeed, Pope Pius XII would have fervently denied that possibility. It happened. Vicars in knickers are as nothing compared to acknowledging the Mohammedans as our new best mates.
What a bizarre strawman. Are you seriously suggesting Benedict was praying to the Mohammedan's Allah rather than the Christian God?
Posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras (# 11274) on
:
CL, your posts never cease to sadden me. I would think we and Mulims worship the one God, even if we see God as a trinity of persons in unity of substance, whilst Muslims view God as a perfectly simple unity. We all agree on the monotheistic principle. There is only one God in whom we all believe and who receives our prayers and worship. The Catholic Church affirms what is true in all religions.
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
quote:
Gamaliel: Because I suspect that this is how Hawk and other conservative evangelicals in the UK see these things and that they fondly imagine that the spread of evangelicalism worldwide is creating more Christians in their own image. I'm suggesting that it won't and that it can't.
The number of Evangelicals is still growing in the world of course. But I have a suspicion that the image they are having is more and more that of a Brazilian. I was quite surprised: go to any small town in Malawi and you're sure to find a Brazilian missionary there.
Posted by marsupial. (# 12458) on
:
Not making predictions, but a few thoughts (some of them overlapping with posts upthread...)
- I think one major factor is what happens with the secular world. In the west we live largely in a consumerist, technology-driven world which creates both opportunities and social expectations which can be difficult to reconcile with Christianity generally and Catholicism in particular. This secular vision of the good life may well be unsustainable in the medium to long (how long? I dunno) term. And what people want is generally a function of what options are realistically available for them.
- That said, I get worried about the line of thought which seems to be complacent about the idea that the Catholic Church will be completely marginalized in Europe and elsewhere in the developed world and yet somehow remain the Catholic Church. The risk here is that the the RCC (or "The Catholic Church", if you prefer) will essentially disappear in the west and devolve into a collection of autonomous entities elsewhere in the world with nothing in common except a historical relationship with the RCC as it once was.
- I suspect that to move forward (i.e., not devolve as per the plan above) the RCC is going to have think hard about a number of issues including issues relating to sexuality which often seem to be ultimately issues about authority. I'm not nearly as tuned in to the Catholic world as I was 10 or 20 years ago, but my sense then was strongly to the effect that the magisterium was fundamentally unwilling even to think about issues in sexual ethics lest the entire RC teaching about gender, sex, and the like come unraveled, with a consequent unraveling of the theory of the teaching authority of the magisterium. Yet it seems obvious to many relatively objective observers that this teaching is incorrect as a matter of theoretical accuracy with unfortunate results as a matter of practice.
- The RCC needs to think hard about its relationship with Western culture. At its best the relationship between the Church and western culture seems to be one of creative tension. But as I said above, I doubt the RCC can simply walk away from western culture (as it has developed through the ages) while remaining the RCC.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by marsupial.:
- That said, I get worried about the line of thought which seems to be complacent about the idea that the Catholic Church will be completely marginalized in Europe and elsewhere in the developed world and yet somehow remain the Catholic Church. The risk here is that the the RCC (or "The Catholic Church", if you prefer) will essentially disappear in the west and devolve into a collection of autonomous entities elsewhere in the world with nothing in common except a historical relationship with the RCC as it once was.
That's something the Eastern Orthodox have to worry about. The RCC, not so much. At the worst, the pope will move away from Rome to some new center. That would not mean the end of the RCC, and even that is very unlikely within 100 years.
quote:
Originally posted by marsupial.:
- I suspect that to move forward (i.e., not devolve as per the plan above) the RCC is going to have think hard about a number of issues including issues relating to sexuality which often seem to be ultimately issues about authority. I'm not nearly as tuned in to the Catholic world as I was 10 or 20 years ago, but my sense then was strongly to the effect that the magisterium was fundamentally unwilling even to think about issues in sexual ethics lest the entire RC teaching about gender, sex, and the like come unraveled, with a consequent unraveling of the theory of the teaching authority of the magisterium. Yet it seems obvious to many relatively objective observers that this teaching is incorrect as a matter of theoretical accuracy with unfortunate results as a matter of practice.
Complete bullshit. The "relative objective" observers are anything but. RC teaching in this field is almost done, though there are a few minor questions that need to be settled. But since sex is the religion of the secular mind and since the secular world is hell bent on exploring every possible application of genitals which the human mind can conceive and the human body can bear, we will soon have the most comprehensive and systematic RC exploration of any moral field ever. And RC teaching very much will remain in the face of the secular world there. But in the not too distant future that set of doctrines will become the new golden mean between the "quiverfull" fundamentalists breeding themselves into political control and the fading secular world that smiles on all things sexual except actually having kids.
quote:
Originally posted by marsupial.:
- The RCC needs to think hard about its relationship with Western culture. At its best the relationship between the Church and western culture seems to be one of creative tension. But as I said above, I doubt the RCC can simply walk away from western culture (as it has developed through the ages) while remaining the RCC.
Rather, Western culture cannot simply walk away from the RCC (as she has developed through the ages) while remaining Western culture. But only one of them will last till the end of time, and it is not Western culture.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel:
The thread is crumbling into sectarian viciousness, which probably shouldn't surprise anyone too much.
Indeed.
Posted by Gildas (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
quote:
Originally posted by Gildas:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Anyone who thinks that the Catholic Church will ordain women in 100 years, or a 1,000, or anytime between now and the end of the world, fundamentally doesn't understand the Catholic Church at all.
Frankly, if the Pope can pray at a Mosque in Holy Byzantium anything is possible. I think that Pope Urban or, indeed, Pope Pius XII would have fervently denied that possibility. It happened. Vicars in knickers are as nothing compared to acknowledging the Mohammedans as our new best mates.
What a bizarre strawman. Are you seriously suggesting Benedict was praying to the Mohammedan's Allah rather than the Christian God?
No. I'm just pointing out that for most of the history of the Roman Catholic Church such an action would have been unthinkable. The Vatican does, from time to time, execute discreet 360 degree reverse ferrets. I've no idea what the Catholic Church will look like in 100 years time, and frankly neither does anyone else speculating on this thread, but anyone who maintains that it will be almost entirely identical to the current dispensation is kidding themselves.
Posted by marsupial. (# 12458) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
Complete bullshit. The "relative objective" observers are anything but.
I don't know. As I said in my last post, I was considerably more plugged into the Roman Catholic world 10 or 20 years ago than I am now. I tried to take the Catholic approach to issues in gender and sexuality seriously. Twenty years later, it now just seems to me to be obviously head-in-sand about a number of issues. That is to say, not just wrong (and for that matter, not necessarily wrong on every issue), but not even engaging their critics on the real issues with their position any more. I'm sure I'm not the only one who has had this experience.
quote:
Rather, Western culture cannot simply walk away from the RCC (as she has developed through the ages) while remaining Western culture. But only one of them will last till the end of time, and it is not Western culture.
To be fair, I don't think a divorce between the RCC and western culture would be good for either the RCC or western culture.
Posted by bad man (# 17449) on
:
Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, Professor of the History of the Church at Oxford, has an interesting video essay about the future of the Roman Catholic Church out today.
Link is http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/video/2013/feb/28/pope-benedict-diarmaid-macculloch-video
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, Professor of the History of the Church at Oxford, has an interesting video essay about the future of the Roman Catholic Church out today. Link is http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/video/2013/feb/28/pope-benedict-diarmaid-macculloch-video
Well, that video gets my vote for the dumbest five minutes of soundbites I've heard on the topic yet. Let's see, that sort of bollocks sure sounds a lot like ... google ... yep, he's a gay, liberal, ex-Anglican atheist (agnostic?).
Posted by Thurible (# 3206) on
:
I can't remember whether or not he's a communicant but he's a reasonably regular (couple of times a year) worshipper at a parish church near here. Sings in the choir.
Thurible
Posted by gorpo (# 17025) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Porridge:
100 years from now, a substantial subset of U.S. Catholics (led by the nuns from the Women's Leadership thingie, whatever it's called) will have split from the rest of the (select prefix of choice) Catholic Church.
In this new group, much of traditional Catholic teaching will disappear. Abortion policy will be liberalized, women and gays will be able to become priests, and priests will be able to marry.
Then they will merger with TEC and ELCA (which, but the time must be already merged each other), and later with UCC and the Unitarian Universalist Churches. It will become a group of people with good intentions and a vague religious sense, and numerically very small.
The remaining of the Roman catholic Church will remain not ordaining woman and not allowing gay marriage, but at that time it will cease to be considered a big deal. Religions not accepting gay marriage and female priests will not be seen as intolerant or hateful, that will most likely be seen as an exotic behaviour kind of like Jews not eating pork or 7th day adventists not being able to work on Friday Nights and Saturdays. People will consider it weird, but not write essays about how misoginistic and homophobic they are.
In European protestant countries, the disestablishment of churches and the small number of believers will mean the denominations won´t have much money in their pockets, so in the future being a priest/pastor will not be a very attractive or prestigious job, and might even be just voluntary (priests having a week job to pay their bills, and services happening only at the weekends for the small number of people attending).
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Thanks bad man. Interesting link.
The pragmatist in me says that the issue of celibate priests is the change touchstone. I visited the pilgrimage site of Santiago de Compostella on a recent holiday. Most of my companions for the visit were Catholic. The tour guide, who was also Catholic, provided some information about the shortage of priests in training at the centre in Santiago de Compostella and compared present numbers with historic patterns. She also told the story of an elderly local priest who had been arrested and convicted for drunk driving. Apparently, he had celebrated the Mass at six or seven churches on the same day, and of necessity consumed a lot of communion wine. She described the situation as "the current crisis" - and a lot of my companions on the tour nodded their heads.
I think it's is a big issue all over Europe. And of course it is not just about the celebration of the Mass - there may be ways around that. It is about the life of the local parish.
There is a numbers game afoot, certainly in Northern Europe, which suggests that there will be at least some sort of "give" in the makeup of the priesthood, the responsibilities of deacons, and lay involvement. Necessity will be the mother of invention. I doubt whether there will be a single move to allow priests to marry, but there will be a greater involvement of married men - and women - in the worship and witness within the parish. It will have to be done in such a way as to keep things going and keep conservative Catholics on board. But there's going to be some movement in the direction of sharing at least some of the traditional priestly responsibilities, and for all I know some of that may already be happening. It's that, or a significant decline in parish life (see the observation about France in the second of my links).
Time will tell what the longer term impact of these predicted transitional moves will be on more strategic issues. I suspect that in 100 years time, there may be some major changes in understanding, fueled at least to some extent by this practical sharing of the priesthood. People need time to adjust.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Thurible:
I can't remember whether or not he's a communicant but he's a reasonably regular (couple of times a year) worshipper at a parish church near here. Sings in the choir.
I'm going by the foreword of his recent book. He calls himself a "candid friend of Christianity" and while he thinks that with charity one could regard his fascination with Christian antics as an "apophatic form of the Christian faith", I do not thinks so (or if you like, I am not that charitable).
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on
:
I know this is a thread about Roman Catholicism, but it sure seems no one sees much of a future in Anglicanism or mainline Protestantism. Doesn't anyone trust Jesus when he says "the gates of hell shall not prevail?" Sigh...
Posted by Hawk (# 14289) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, Professor of the History of the Church at Oxford, has an interesting video essay about the future of the Roman Catholic Church out today. Link is http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/video/2013/feb/28/pope-benedict-diarmaid-macculloch-video
Well, that video gets my vote for the dumbest five minutes of soundbites I've heard on the topic yet. Let's see, that sort of bollocks sure sounds a lot like ... google ... yep, he's a gay, liberal, ex-Anglican atheist (agnostic?).
I don't know about his personal faith, but MacCulloch is a very respected and well-studied historian of Christianity, and his knowledge of historical processes and trends of development and change within Christianity is therefore extremely good. His opinion is well-grounded in historical facts and so I think he's got a good handle on what may happen in the future.
His argument that centralisation has been a fatal flaw in modern Roman religion is a good one, and I agree that the RCC stands a good chance of prospering if it can restore its traditional decentralised power structures of the pre-19th century. I don't think this will happen though. Throughout history the centralisation of power mainly continues into stronger and stronger forms of autocracy until it is either violently overthrown, or dies.
Posted by bad man (# 17449) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, Professor of the History of the Church at Oxford, has an interesting video essay about the future of the Roman Catholic Church out today. Link is http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/video/2013/feb/28/pope-benedict-diarmaid-macculloch-video
Well, that video gets my vote for the dumbest five minutes of soundbites I've heard on the topic yet. Let's see, that sort of bollocks sure sounds a lot like ... google ... yep, he's a gay, liberal, ex-Anglican atheist (agnostic?).
First of all, I don't agree that a personal attack on the piety of the learned Professor is a substitute for reasoned engagement with his factual analysis.
Second, he declined to be "dubbed" or to be called "Sir" when he was knighted last year, on the basis that as an ordained deacon and "Reverend" of the Church of England, that would not be appropriate. So he obviously identifies as a member of the Church.
As for him being gay, what is the relevance of that? His analysis doesn't deal with homosexuality at all.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
McCulloch's opinions on the Catholic Church are worthless because they are McCulloch's. He's made a successful media career for himself out of making catty passive-aggressive remarks about the Church.
Posted by Comper's Child (# 10580) on
:
Sometimes the truth hurts.
Posted by hatless (# 3365) on
:
I suppose that if you have a pope it makes you think the value of opinions depends on who says them, rather than the content of the opinions.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Hawk:
I don't know about his personal faith, but MacCulloch is a very respected and well-studied historian of Christianity, and his knowledge of historical processes and trends of development and change within Christianity is therefore extremely good.
Well, what he revealed of this purported historical insight in the video was a one-sided view with enough spin on it to put Shane Warne to shame. Furthermore, while knowing about the past can help predicting the future, knowing about the present helps even more, and there was little indication that he's aware of the actual global condition (healthy growth) of the RCC.
quote:
Originally posted by Hawk:
His argument that centralisation has been a fatal flaw in modern Roman religion is a good one, and I agree that the RCC stands a good chance of prospering if it can restore its traditional decentralised power structures of the pre-19th century.
As I've said, it was a series of really dumb soundbites. Prosper by decentralization? As the Protestants have been prospering in the West? Yeah? Well, we are seeing that in action in the Anglican church. As that denomination decentralizes before our eyes, falls to pieces in slow motion, we will watch how it starts to accelerate into massive growth in Europe. Sure.
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
First of all, I don't agree that a personal attack on the piety of the learned Professor is a substitute for reasoned engagement with his factual analysis.
What factual analysis? Pretending that the Pope was little more than the Bishop of Rome till a few hundred years ago? And I simply have laid out the piety of the learned Professor according to his own words.
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
So he obviously identifies as a member of the Church.
Probably. But not as Christian, other than in some sort poetic-mythical "liking the vibes" sense. Yes, it's absurd that such a man is a deacon. But that's the CofE for you...
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
As for him being gay, what is the relevance of that? His analysis doesn't deal with homosexuality at all.
However, it identifies one more reason why his reading of RC history is biased and his predictions for the RC future is pants. This is a guy who refused to be ordained as priest in the CofE because of how that denomination treats homosexuals. I think it is a fair bet that he sees the RC hierarchy as even more "anti-gay" and that he really, really wishes it to disappear. And so his prediction that it must do so in order to secure the future of the RCC should be taken with a salt mine or two.
Posted by iamchristianhearmeroar (# 15483) on
:
IngoB, you might not like what he says, but one doesn't get appointed Professor of Church History at the University of Oxford by being a complete dullard about said Church, and caring solely about one's media image.
Would you contest, for example, his implication that widespread Ultramontanism is a more recent development in the RC Church?
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
There is a numbers game afoot, certainly in Northern Europe, which suggests that there will be at least some sort of "give" in the makeup of the priesthood, the responsibilities of deacons, and lay involvement.
First, internationally numbers are up. Second, as you can see from this table, in the UK one priest on average serves 847 faithful. In Portugal it is one priest per 2,403 faithful. But that's still far less than for example in Mexico and Brazil, with one priest for 8,441 and 8,630 faithful, respectively. Or in the Philippines with one per 9,493. These are hardly countries that are less Catholic than the UK. Sure, there are effects of population density in this. But still, the UK has a factor three to go even to Portugal. Clearly, one can run a Catholic church with far fewer priests than we are accustomed to, without major innovations.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
I suspect that in 100 years time, there may be some major changes in understanding, fueled at least to some extent by this practical sharing of the priesthood. People need time to adjust.
Whereas I suspect we will simply see more of what we have been seeing: a reduction of the all too ready availability of mass, in particular outside of larger cities, and more priests "imported" from overseas.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
What I see in this thread is a lot of wish fulfilment fantasies that the Church will either wither into irrelevance or capitulate to the liberal Zeitgeist. It will do neither. It will do what it has always done; endure.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
IngoB
Thanks for the post. I'm afraid the second link didn't work for me, even after I used Google to try to access the root website. Also used Chrome, Firefox and Internet Explorer.
Anyone else. I noted one Google entry which said that www.catholic-hierarchy wasn't an officially sacntioned website and a number of other entries to show the site exists. So I'm flummoxed!
Anyone else having this problem?
Posted by Comper's Child (# 10580) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
IngoB
Thanks for the post. I'm afraid the second link didn't work for me, even after I used Google to try to access the root website. Also used Chrome, Firefox and Internet Explorer.
Anyone else having this problem?
Yes.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by iamchristianhearmeroar:
IngoB, you might not like what he says, but one doesn't get appointed Professor of Church History at the University of Oxford by being a complete dullard about said Church, and caring solely about one's media image.
You mean like the previous Professor for Public Understanding of Science at the University of Oxford, one Richard Dawkins? The first few books of his may give us an idea what he conceivably has a serious clue about:
- Suffolk and the Tudors (1986)
- The Later Reformation in England (1990)
- Henry VIII: Politics, Policy, and Piety (1995)
- Thomas Cranmer: A Life (1996)
- Tudor Church Militant: Edward VI and the Protestant Reformation (1999)
- Reformation: Europe's House Divided 1490–1700 (2003)
quote:
Originally posted by iamchristianhearmeroar:
Would you contest, for example, his implication that widespread Ultramontanism is a more recent development in the RC Church?
Yes, that's bollocks. In fact there was a fairly steady rise of the power of popes till it arrived at a proper state in late antiquity / the early medieval period, in tune with the general development of the Church. See for example here. This came to a high point in the High Middle Ages, but like most ecclesiastic goodness, then turned sour in the late medieval / early modern period. "Ultramontanism" is simply a dismissive label attached to the recovery of the proper place of the papacy after the unbridled disaster of the Reformation.
(One should not be anachronistic about this. Obviously, a medieval pope had much more limited "technical" abilities to execute his power. He hardly could send bishops an email, and the faithful could not read his encyclicals in multiple languages on the internet. Also there was be a totally different interplay between temporal and ecclesiastic power back then. Societies were really organised differently to now. But the pope sure had become the ultimate ecclesiastic power in the middle ages.)
Posted by Gildas (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by iamchristianhearmeroar:
IngoB, you might not like what he says, but one doesn't get appointed Professor of Church History at the University of Oxford by being a complete dullard about said Church, and caring solely about one's media image.
Would you contest, for example, his implication that widespread Ultramontanism is a more recent development in the RC Church?
Ingo can answer for himself, and doubtless will*, but the centralisation of authority in Rome over the last couple of hundred years is a direct result of the withering of absolute monarchy. In the c16th and c17th the right to appoint bishops tended to devolve from the Pope to the local monarch in the c19th and c20th it reverted back to the Pope when the authority of the monarch became contested by local republicans and anticlerical types. Now one can deplore the authority of the Pope and, as an Anglican Catholic of sorts, who wishes that the Conciliarists had come out on top at the end of the Middle Ages I generally do. However I note that the centralisation of authority in Rome led to Dignitatis Humanae and Gaudium et Spes whereas the devolution of authority in the early modern period coincided with the Duke of Alva's campaign in the Low Countries and the Revocation of the Edict of Nantes.
More generally autocracies are generally about as good as the reigning autocrat and since Leo XIII (discuss!) the RCC has been blessed with a reign of reasonably competent Popes. Now it could be that the Cardinals elect a complete duffer this time round, in which case the wheels will come off. But it's not clear that the Bishops Conferences would handle things with spectacular competence if the authority of the Pope was delegated to them. Certainly, Irish traditionalists were wont to argue that what Ireland needed was more Papal authority than less after the child abuse thing blew up in their faces and certainly, given a choice between Cardinal Brady and Pope Benedict on the whole child abuse thing, I'd rather have Pope Benedict all things considered.
Professor McCulloch thinks that if the Catholic Church embraced the ethos of the C of E it would solve its problems. This is true to a certain extent but it would also acquire the C of E's problems and it's not immediately apparent that this would be an improvement.
*Oh, he has.
[ 28. February 2013, 18:38: Message edited by: Gildas ]
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Comper's Child:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
IngoB Thanks for the post. I'm afraid the second link didn't work for me, even after I used Google to try to access the root website. Also used Chrome, Firefox and Internet Explorer. Anyone else having this problem?
Yes.
Weird, sometime I get this page, sometimes not. It may actually be in my browser's cache, or something.
Anyway, here is the Google chache of it, does that work for you?
Posted by Anselmina (# 3032) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
Well, that video gets my vote for the dumbest five minutes of soundbites I've heard on the topic yet. Let's see, that sort of bollocks sure sounds a lot like ... google ... yep, he's a gay, liberal, ex-Anglican atheist (agnostic?).
You must've thought all your Christmases had come at once, IngoB, when you read that rap sheet of Catholic bete-noirs. What a shame he wasn't a woman, too. You would've had a full house
.
One of my favourite OT stories is from 2 Kings 7.
There's the city full of God's chosen people, and their king. Starving to death because they're under seige from the enemy. But that's okay, isn't it - because they're God's people, so something's gonna turn up, isn't it?
At the city gates are the outcasts of God's chosen people - the lepers; because outside the city is the place these chosen people put their unwanted human rubbish, the people who aren't to be reckoned as up to much, worth the effort etc. Their human condition makes them too 'imperfect' lawfully to be permitted to share the approval of the holy community or its God.
The lepers decide their best chance of staying alive is with not their own people, but the enemy, the Arameans. So they hike off to throw themselves on the mercy, not of God's chosen people, but of the enemy of God's chosen people - to the Aramean camp.
Funnily enough God does something unexpected. He must've given himself permission to go off and be merciful and godly outside of the walls of the city of his special people. And before the lepers arrive, he scares off the enemy, so the lepers have food, drink and riches at their disposal. Wasn't that nice of God? He didn't do that for the beseiged city full of his chosen people.
Astonishly, the lepers say to themselves 'we're not doing the right thing. This is good news and we're keeping it to ourselves. Let's go to the city and tell them.' They turn their own good fortune - given them direct from God's own hand - into a blessing for those who rejected them.
So the lepers give the good news to the king in the city. And the people are relieved from their famine. The rejects, the unworthies, have brought the good news of what God has done - to the people of God, who were blissfully unaware, unconscious of what God was doing. Isn't it as well they could be bothered to listen?
Every Church community/communion needs to listen to the outside voice - because that is just as often where God is. From many posts on this thread the message seems to be that not only must any 'outside' voice be ignored or silenced, but even if God were to be acknowledged as working beyond the walls of the holy city, it can only be in a way which is somehow not doctrinally or dogmatically licit.
So if that is so, then the Roman Catholic Church in a hundred years time will certainly still be the city full of God's chosen people - but starving, beseiged by imaginary enemies, and apparently ignoring the 'good news' of the outsiders telling them that God has been at work, and would they like to share in that new freedom?
Please don't see this as getting at Rome, however! This is also the case, imo, for the Anglican communion, too. And for any Church that structures God so tightly we become unable to see beyond the edges of our own theology to where God is equally active. And where licitness lies not in the approval of doctrine or orthodoxy, but with the fruit of the Spirit.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Thanks, IngoB, works for me. Will post tomorrow, need to do a bit of digging.
But I take your points; given the global scope of the Catholic Church, there are probably lots of regional variations.
By developed western standards one priest to several thousand faithful sounds very strange. I suppose the reaction I got at Santiago de Compostella were based on relative change away from what folks were used to. The global stats seem to provide a different perspective.
Maybe it's yet another example of global inequity of "supply/availability"? More later.
Posted by Edgeman (# 12867) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
What I see in this thread is a lot of wish fulfilment fantasies that the Church will either wither into irrelevance or capitulate to the liberal Zeitgeist. It will do neither. It will do what it has always done; endure.
Indeed, it seems like the general idea among posters that the future is for it to be a somewhat more successful version of the ECUSA.
I simply do not see that happening, not out of personal bias, but simply that among the observant, the church is going in exactly the opposite direction.
In my own area, there is exactly one parish which is growing, and it's the more conservative, traditional one. The parish is staffed by a tradition-oriented religious order, offers the tridentine mass and is known for orthodoxy. In the 9 years since they took over the parish, the parish has grown so much that it has 3-8 times the weekly attendance of the nearby parishes. Many of the parishioners are "refugees" from the two closest parishes, which are known to be liturgically "creative" and not entirely sound on Catholic doctrine. Both of those are slated to close this month.
It's my personal belief that the Catholic Church right now is in the midst of or soon going to see some very interesting changes, as far as the way things are going on the ground. Rather than a more liberal, more relevant utopia, I think what's more likely to happen is that the hierarchy will accept that many observant Catholics are really more interested in a strong, conservative Catholic identity, and they will be more willing to provide options for them.
This will definitely mean the disappearance of things such as territorial parishes. The future will be more like the Episcopal Church in that people will go to the parishes where they feel fed, and not so much the ones they are canonically obligated to be registered at. Similar to how there are low, high, and middle parishes on the other side of the Thames, Rome will see parishioners aligning themselves with the parishes that meet them where they are doctrinally and liturgically. This is already happening, but I expect it to be the norm, rather than the exception.
I am sure that the combination of low diocesan vocations and a high number of vocations among certain men's religious order will see many bishops inviting these same orders into their dioceses to take over parishes. It is much easier for a bishop to give a parish or a few parishes to, say, the Franciscan Friars of the Immaculate, with the knowledge that the liturgy and teaching there will change, but they will at least not have to spread their own resources thin to staff parishes. This is technically already occurring in some dioceses, but again, I think it will be more widespread.
While priestly vocations worldwide are on the rise, I think that diocesan seminaries will likely be phased out for regional seminaries for the time being. At this point, there really is no need for every diocese to have it's own seminary. Metropolitan archdioceses should have their own, and smaller diocese ought to send their seminarians to theirs.
I am certain that as some point in the future ether both Roman Missals will be combined into one new missal, or both will be revised. There are admitted problems in both missals, and Rome has already spoken of the possibility of revising the missal and breviary of Paul VI. The existence of two forms of the Roman rite is sort of an odd thing, and I don't see it as a long term solution to the problems that plague Catholic liturgy.
I would like to see the extension of the ministires of Acolyte and Lector into normal parish life. The entire rationale behind the suppression of the minor order (and the major order of the subdiaconate) was that they could not be given to laymen, and were present only in seminaries. Right now, Acolytes and Lectors, which replaced them, are still only found in seminaries, and not in parishes as they were intended.
I do think the church in the U.S. will have to commit to a single model of running parishes. Currently, the situation is that on paper, the pastor has the final say in all decisions regarding the parish, despite what various parish councils or committees may say.The pastor runs the parish. That model, however, dates from a time when pastors were always appointed for life, and more than likely died pastoring the parishes they were given as their first parish to pastor. Right now, pastors are appointed to six year terms and generally moved after two terms.
This had led to parish councils effectively running the parishes, with the tacit approval of many bishops on the U.S. The pastor may think he runs the parish, but he will be gone in six years, or 12, or even less, and a new priest will come, and he will do things the way we've always had them done, and then he'll be gone after six years, etc.
Either they will have to commit to the old model, or they will commit to a new model that gives lay parishioners more control over the assets or the parish and various other decisions. The current model only leads to tensions.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
Every Church community/communion needs to listen to the outside voice - because that is just as often where God is. From many posts on this thread the message seems to be that not only must any 'outside' voice be ignored or silenced, but even if God were to be acknowledged as working beyond the walls of the holy city, it can only be in a way which is somehow not doctrinally or dogmatically licit.
In case you didn't notice: It was Elisha who made the actual prophecy, so an inside voice. The actual outsiders, the Syrians, were indeed attacking the insiders. And they did so without mercy, and in spite of the mercy that was previously shown to them. They were driven off by the Lord, who was stripping them even of their belongings. The marginal lepers went to the Syrians because they merely saw a choice between certain death (starvation upon being admitted inside, starvation caused by the Syrians) and likely death (at the hands of the Syrians). They were gambling on pity for their sorry state. And what did they do when they found that the outsiders had been routed by the Lord and left all their stuff? The reported it right back to the insiders.
So if you want to do some rad trad eisegesis on 2 Kings 7 instead: The Lord will smash secular society and leave all its goods to the faithful. This will have been announced by the prophetic traditional voice in the Church, but ignored out of fear at first by the hierarchy, leaving it to the rat trad communities - often treated like lepers by the rest of the Church - to take first spoils from the secular world. But in their faithfulness they will then come back with their converts and show to the hierarchy that the secular world is ripe for the taking, and finally Christendom will be re-established.
Not that I believe that nonsense either. Just a little demonstration that anybody can play the silly eisegesis game. It is just not meaningful. In fact, the bible as a whole is not meaningful if approached in this manner.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Edgeman:
I am certain that as some point in the future ether both Roman Missals will be combined into one new missal, or both will be revised. There are admitted problems in both missals, and Rome has already spoken of the possibility of revising the missal and breviary of Paul VI. The existence of two forms of the Roman rite is sort of an odd thing, and I don't see it as a long term solution to the problems that plague Catholic liturgy.
You're right in saying it's odd that two different forms of the the Roman liturgy exist side-by-side. It will have to be resolved. I sincerely hope they're not merged. You're also right in saying that there are problems with both though if I were to keep one it would be the older. This subject would make for an interesting discussion as it is a personal interest of mine, or at least used to be when I was still an RC. Related to this is also the problem of ultramontanism.
Posted by Brother Oscar (# 17227) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Hawk:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
quote:
Originally posted by bad man:
Sir Diarmaid MacCulloch, Professor of the History of the Church at Oxford, has an interesting video essay about the future of the Roman Catholic Church out today. Link is http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/video/2013/feb/28/pope-benedict-diarmaid-macculloch-video
Well, that video gets my vote for the dumbest five minutes of soundbites I've heard on the topic yet. Let's see, that sort of bollocks sure sounds a lot like ... google ... yep, he's a gay, liberal, ex-Anglican atheist (agnostic?).
I don't know about his personal faith, but MacCulloch is a very respected and well-studied historian of Christianity, and his knowledge of historical processes and trends of development and change within Christianity is therefore extremely good. His opinion is well-grounded in historical facts and so I think he's got a good handle on what may happen in the future.
His argument that centralisation has been a fatal flaw in modern Roman religion is a good one, and I agree that the RCC stands a good chance of prospering if it can restore its traditional decentralised power structures of the pre-19th century. I don't think this will happen though. Throughout history the centralisation of power mainly continues into stronger and stronger forms of autocracy until it is either violently overthrown, or dies.
My beef was certainly with his analysis of the centralised structure of the Catholic and its future, rather than about his personal faith. The centralisation of the Catholic is an issue that is being addressed and will be addressed. However, who in their right mind thinks that a return to secular rulers exercising power in the church is a good thing?
Other historians and commentators have pointed to the rise and centralisation of the papacy as a protection against the interference of secular rulers in the church. If this development has been exaggerated, the answer is not a return to the situation pre-19th Century but to a greater collegiality between bishops and greater representation of lay apostolates.
Or if you want to see an example of what Diarmaid MacCulloch is advocating witness Patriarch Kirill and Putin.
Posted by Anselmina (# 3032) on
:
IngoB, yes, I did notice that that big word beginning with E and ending with lisha, was Elisha. Just as I managed to read and understand the literal meaning as you have, so usefully - though forgive my saying so, so needlessly - given in your first paragraph.
I'm a bit sorry you didn't believe the bit you did on interpreting that passage in another way. I would've respected your opinion and admitted there was certainly merit in it. But I see it was just a 'silly' game to you, as you put it. It really wasn't for me. I do think there is some truth in the concept of God's use of the apparent profane to speak to the apparent religious. The rejected, to the rejectors (if that's a word.) And I think this is a point which applies to Church institutions. Such as your Church and mine.
So honestly you don't have to create or quote eisegesis for me to prove you can play silly games with the Bible. If you tell me you can, I certainly believe you.
The 'silly' eisegesis, by the way, was originally Walter Brueggemann's. Given in a lecture in Lichfield round about 1999 or so. In his application of it at that time, he thought it likely the prophetic outsider voice would be the gay voice that the Church refused to listen to. But, of course, as a theologian who doesn't agree with you, naturally he would be a very 'silly' theologian! Along with all the others. And there must be so many others.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
I would've respected your opinion and admitted there was certainly merit in it.
Sigh. Yes, that's what it all is about. You say one thing, I say something completely different. Then we respect each other's opinion, and live happily ever after in disagreement.
I tell you where and when that works. It works if it doesn't matter anyway. Maybe you consider arbitrary meaninglessness to be the hallmark of faith, but I don't. I respect your faith enough to consider it wrong.
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
So honestly you don't have to create or quote eisegesis for me to prove you can play silly games with the Bible. If you tell me you can, I certainly believe you.
I was actually proving to you that you are playing silly games with the bible. The problem is that you may not be able to do anything else, if the bible is the only authority concerning faith that you recognize.
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
The 'silly' eisegesis, by the way, was originally Walter Brueggemann's. Given in a lecture in Lichfield round about 1999 or so. In his application of it at that time, he thought it likely the prophetic outsider voice would be the gay voice that the Church refused to listen to.
Surprise, surprise.
Posted by Enoch (# 14322) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
You're right in saying it's odd that two different forms of the the Roman liturgy exist side-by-side. It will have to be resolved. ...
Why is this a problem? In our communion, most provinces have their own liturgies. There are plenty of problems in the communion, which get debated frequently on the ship, but that isn't one of them.
Having or not having more than one form of liturgy is not going to win the apostate multitudes back into the kingdom. They have got better things to worry about.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
quote:
Originally posted by Edgeman:
I am certain that as some point in the future ether both Roman Missals will be combined into one new missal, or both will be revised. There are admitted problems in both missals, and Rome has already spoken of the possibility of revising the missal and breviary of Paul VI. The existence of two forms of the Roman rite is sort of an odd thing, and I don't see it as a long term solution to the problems that plague Catholic liturgy.
You're right in saying it's odd that two different forms of the the Roman liturgy exist side-by-side. It will have to be resolved. I sincerely hope they're not merged. You're also right in saying that there are problems with both though if I were to keep one it would be the older. This subject would make for an interesting discussion as it is a personal interest of mine, or at least used to be when I was still an RC. Related to this is also the problem of ultramontanism.
They won't be merged. The Pauline Missal will be gradually be revised out of existence. The Johannine Missal will see restorations of pre-1955 elements, incorporation of one or two positive elements of the PM and will be made available substantially in the vernacular along the lines of the English Missal/1965 Interim Roman Missal. There will be more widespread use of Latin too I believe.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
Why is this a problem? In our communion, most provinces have their own liturgies. There are plenty of problems in the communion, which get debated frequently on the ship, but that isn't one of them.
Having or not having more than one form of liturgy is not going to win the apostate multitudes back into the kingdom. They have got better things to worry about.
It's odd because until recently it was unheard of. There was only ever one rite in Rome just as there was only ever one in Milan, or Canterbury, or Byzantium etc. What you are referring to are local rites, which is a different thing. The above are all local rites, or at least that's where their origins lie. I have no problem with that. It needs to be resolved because the two Roman rites are so radically different. One might even argue that they teach two different faiths.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
quote:
Originally posted by Edgeman:
I am certain that as some point in the future ether both Roman Missals will be combined into one new missal, or both will be revised. There are admitted problems in both missals, and Rome has already spoken of the possibility of revising the missal and breviary of Paul VI. The existence of two forms of the Roman rite is sort of an odd thing, and I don't see it as a long term solution to the problems that plague Catholic liturgy.
You're right in saying it's odd that two different forms of the the Roman liturgy exist side-by-side. It will have to be resolved. I sincerely hope they're not merged. You're also right in saying that there are problems with both though if I were to keep one it would be the older. This subject would make for an interesting discussion as it is a personal interest of mine, or at least used to be when I was still an RC. Related to this is also the problem of ultramontanism.
They won't be merged. The Pauline Missal will be gradually be revised out of existence. The Johannine Missal will see restorations of pre-1955 elements, incorporation of one or two positive elements of the PM and will be made available substantially in the vernacular along the lines of the English Missal/1965 Interim Roman Missal. There will be more widespread use of Latin too I believe.
Let's hope so. Barring a few bits here and there I think you're speaking my language. Another thing that needs to be addressed is papal interference in the liturgy of which two good examples are Pius X's reform of the breviary Psalter and Pius XII's Holy Week reforms which gave a precedent for the VII reformers.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
One might even argue that they teach two different faiths.
An extreme view (par for the course among Sedevacantists; see Fr Anthony Cekada) but not without merit. The PM is "serviceable" when done strictly in accordance with the (meagre) rubrics and in Latin. Doing otherwise results in a mess, so unfortunately a mess is what one usually gets.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
One might even argue that they teach two different faiths.
An extreme view (par for the course among Sedevacantists; see Fr Anthony Cekada) but not without merit. The PM is "serviceable" when done strictly in accordance with the (meagre) rubrics and in Latin. Doing otherwise results in a mess, so unfortunately a mess is what one usually gets.
Agreed.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
quote:
Originally posted by Edgeman:
I am certain that as some point in the future ether both Roman Missals will be combined into one new missal, or both will be revised. There are admitted problems in both missals, and Rome has already spoken of the possibility of revising the missal and breviary of Paul VI. The existence of two forms of the Roman rite is sort of an odd thing, and I don't see it as a long term solution to the problems that plague Catholic liturgy.
You're right in saying it's odd that two different forms of the the Roman liturgy exist side-by-side. It will have to be resolved. I sincerely hope they're not merged. You're also right in saying that there are problems with both though if I were to keep one it would be the older. This subject would make for an interesting discussion as it is a personal interest of mine, or at least used to be when I was still an RC. Related to this is also the problem of ultramontanism.
They won't be merged. The Pauline Missal will be gradually be revised out of existence. The Johannine Missal will see restorations of pre-1955 elements, incorporation of one or two positive elements of the PM and will be made available substantially in the vernacular along the lines of the English Missal/1965 Interim Roman Missal. There will be more widespread use of Latin too I believe.
Let's hope so. Barring a few bits here and there I think you're speaking my language. Another thing that needs to be addressed is papal interference in the liturgy of which two good examples are Pius X's reform of the breviary Psalter and Pius XII's Holy Week reforms which gave a precedent for the VII reformers.
Many, including Fr John Hunwicke, trace todays problems as far back as Urban VIII's buggering up of the Divine Office in 1632 by inserting a bunch of faux Horatian hymns into the Breviary hymnal.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
Many, including Fr John Hunwicke, trace todays problems as far back as Urban VIII's buggering up of the Divine Office in 1632 by inserting a bunch of faux Horatian hymns into the Breviary hymnal.
Aye, that too. I used to read Fr. Hunwicke's blog. He had a lot of good, interesting things to say on liturgical issues.
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on
:
quote:
IngoB: Mexico and Brazil, with one priest for 8,441 and 8,630 faithful, respectively. Or in the Philippines with one per 9,493. (...) Clearly, one can run a Catholic church with far fewer priests than we are accustomed to, without major innovations.
I personally know quite a number of Latin American padres who'd heartily disagree with you. They don't have the feeling that they are 'running' their parish, they barely get by. They work far too many hours, with too little funds, too many problems, going from place to place putting out fires without really being able to get a grip on it. And often with a Bishop who doesn't understand what they're going through. The love for what they're doing keeps them going, but it's almost impossible to work like that.
Is this the future you envision for the RCC?
Posted by Edgeman (# 12867) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
You're right in saying it's odd that two different forms of the the Roman liturgy exist side-by-side. It will have to be resolved. ...
Having or not having more than one form of liturgy is not going to win the apostate multitudes back into the kingdom. They have got better things to worry about.
I would disagree completely, knowing many converts from irreligion whose experience with certain liturgies was a huge thing that sparked their conversions, myself included. If I had not experienced reverent catholic liturgy as I did when I was 15, I would not even be a Christian.
Remember that the dismantling of the liturgy as most Catholics experienced it during and after Vatican II led to a lot of disaffected Catholics leaving the church and many others to become so distraught and confused that they simply gave up. It wasn't all candy and roses. I have known some, including myself, whose experience of the way that most RC parishes celebrate the liturgy lead to thoughts of "They don't even really believe any of it, why should I bother?"
I don't want to stray too far into Ecclesiantics territory, but the Liturgy is supposed to be the Church's way of publicly worshiping God and proclaiming her faith, if we can't even get that much right there's a lot more we're going to screw up.
Posted by Anselmina (# 3032) on
:
IngoB. You respecting my faith, enough to consider it wrong? What do you know of my faith? You may have a good knowledge of the Church Communion to which I belong, and I know pretty well how much that is respected by you - which is barely at all, if past posts are anything to go by! Certainly, there must be many wrong things about my understanding of God and matters of faith. But my faith, itself? I wonder, genuinelly, if you could even come close to knowing what that word means to me.
However, if by 'faith' you mean the particular method one employs to worship God; I certainly do think the Church to which you prefer to be affiliated is often wrong. Much as I admire it and respect it in many other ways. As for whether your faith is wrong or not. That's between you and the Almighty.
And please don't tell me I'm playing silly games when I know I'm not. I wasn't playing anything when I made that post. Again, you don't know me or my faith well enough to make that judgement call. All you know is that I've favoured a particular interpretation of scripture - which may be wrong or right - with reference to a particular application for this thread. And you don't like it. Just because you have the smarts to play silly games yourself, doesn't mean other people want to. I didn't want to, and I wasn't. I was serious. And if that's worth your ridicule of my abilities, and an incorrect dig at a sola scriptura position I'm supposed to have, I reckon I can live with that. Please feel free to bolster your intellectual superiority at my expense!
Though, thank you for the entirely predictable response to Brueggemann. If I'd run a book on it, I could be a rich woman!
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
You respecting my faith, enough to consider it wrong? ... I wonder, genuinelly, if you could even come close to knowing what that word means to me.
I'm certainly not doubting your sincerity or depth of feeling, merely some of the content it is about. And while I have my preferences, it's not about worship styles.
(Indeed, I think Ad Orientem's little comment about two faiths from the current two (main) liturgies of the RCC is historically ignorant, theologically false and ecclesiastically suspect of heresy and schism. It's more or less the same "silly game", just applied to the liturgy instead of the bible...)
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
And please don't tell me I'm playing silly games when I know I'm not. I wasn't playing anything when I made that post.
I know that you were serious. If I thought you were intending to play silly games, I would but chuckle. My point was that your method turns the bible into a canvas on which to paint your opinions. That is a silly game. (Actually, it' s a dangerous game.)
quote:
Originally posted by Anselmina:
Though, thank you for the entirely predictable response to Brueggemann.
Well, I have to admit that I'm feeling a bit smug about having detected the typical fudge even though the original gay agenda had been carefully stripped away. A test for my spider senses, and they sure did tingle...
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
Rather depends upon how one views liturgy. Your use of the term "worship styles" says it all, whereas I would take a much more patristic view. Lex orandi lex credendi!
[ 01. March 2013, 07:35: Message edited by: Ad Orientem ]
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
quote:
[QUOTE]Originally posted by Anselmina:
Though, thank you for the entirely predictable response to Brueggemann.
Well, I have to admit that I'm feeling a bit smug about having detected the typical fudge even though the original gay agenda had been carefully stripped away. A test for my spider senses, and they sure did tingle...
IngoB, does being always right necessitate being a complete cad?
I have other far more important stuff in real life to deal with right now but I won't let that bit of smartarsery on Anselmina pass without comment.
Posted by PaulTH* (# 320) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
They won't be merged. The Pauline Missal will be gradually be revised out of existence. The Johannine Missal will see restorations of pre-1955 elements, incorporation of one or two positive elements of the PM and will be made available substantially in the vernacular along the lines of the English Missal/1965 Interim Roman Missal. There will be more widespread use of Latin too I believe.
This is exactly where I would like to see the Church going, liturgically speaking. How much of it I'll live to see is another matter, seeing how slowly the Church moves on these things. EPIII is something I'd like to see preserved from the PM, and it's right that the JM with appropriate tweaking, should be available both in the vernacular and in Latin. I, too, would like to see more use of Latin in the future.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
IngoB
As promised, a considered response to your "numbers" post.
To make things easier, I'm going to repeat the other link I made in my "Santiago" post. This one, from the Irish Association of Catholic Priests.
So far as numbers go, here is the excerpt which encouraged me to link it.
quote:
This year just 12 students entered Maynooth to study for the priesthood. None of them is from a western diocese. That must be something of a record. In my first year in Maynooth I was one of 20 students from the western dioceses and there were 84 altogether in my class. In all now there are 64 students in Maynooth studying for the priesthood. In my time the total number of students was around 400.
It’s not a happy picture. And of course the same applies across the developed world: Britain, Germany, Italy, USA. France is even worse, of course, a template of the future. The Church has virtually disappeared in vast areas of rural France as aged priests struggle to cope with a multiplicity of parishes. The future of the Catholic Church in Ireland looks like France, I’m afraid.
The Maynooth picture was strikingly similar to the historical trends of numbers in training at Santiago de Compostella and the comment about aged priests coping with a multiplicity of parishes was very similar to a comment by the Catholic tour guide.
On the numerical question, have you found more detailed tables showing the trends of priests in training in the developed world? Repeating your earlier link, it does show a short term decline in Europe, but the impression I get from the ACP link (and from the Santiago de C experience) is that numbers in training, certainly in Ireland and Spain, and possibly in general in Europe, have been in long term decline. Is that wrong?
The ACP article shows ways in which priestly duties are in practice being more "shared out" - and that's a good thing. It also hints at discussions re the celebration of the Mass and the distribution of the Host by those other than priests, (I'm reminded of the "reserved elements" approach within the C of E which enables communion in rural parishes to be distributed by Readers and Deacons) And there are some poignant words about funerals as well.
I suppose this may be a "local difficulty" when viewed in global terms, but it appears to be causing stress and distress. And gloomy predictions. Like this
quote:
So what’s going to happen? The trajectory will be something like this. As priests age and die out, lay ministers will hold week-day Communion Services in situations where priests are not available. It will start with Communion Services conducted by laymen and women in parishes where there used to be Mass and now there’s no priest to say it. Gradually this practice will extend to weekend Masses. People will either opt to travel to some more populated centre for Mass or stay in their home parish for a Communion Service. In all probability parishes will not be amalgamated or churches closed – as that would cause a lot of bother – but effectively parishes will become paper entities and churches will become dilapidated and eventually close. And like in Liverpool, a series of specific ministries (like Funeral Ministers) will be introduced to fill in for a declining and aged remnant of priests.
This is "insider" talk. Is the author talking out of his hat? (BTW I presume Weekday Communion is some secondary distribution of the Host, but I'm not clear on that)
I accept that my earlier argument (essentially that a greater sharing out of priestly duties is likely to lead to long term change) is predicated on such info I had about long term decline in numbers in training. The overall global picture does look better, and so it may only be Europe (or parts of Europe anyway) that have major causes of concern.
But there is another way of looking at the numbers Table you provided. Given the comparative ratios of priest to population, is it really fair for Europe to see the "importing" of priests from the developing world as fair to the developing world? Some of that will be fine and cross-fertilisation is always a good thing, but if it becomes a pattern it also feels like a subsidy of the comparatively less needy by the comparatively more needy.
And to judge from the Irish link (and comments) the needs of the "comparatively less needy" are pretty serious. The "insiders" foresee substantial changes in parish life. I was impressed by the final sentence.
quote:
Don’t mention the war. Don’t mention it. I won’t tell a soul.
This is "coalface" feedback from Ireland and has something to say about elsewhere in Europe. How do you, and other Catholic contributors here, assess it? Just a whinge? Or a siren voice? Or what?
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
Rather depends upon how one views liturgy. Your use of the term "worship styles" says it all, whereas I would take a much more patristic view. Lex orandi lex credendi!
I was still mostly responding to Anselmina, who talked about "the particular method one employs to worship God". As for "lex orandi, lex credendi" ("the law of prayer is the law of belief") - indeed, that's precisely why I suspect your comment of heresy and schism. While we are doing the Patristic boogie on the liturgical minefield, does "Roma locuta est, causa finita est" ("Rome has spoken, the case is closed") ring a bell?
quote:
Originally posted by Ronald Binge:
I have other far more important stuff in real life to deal with right now but I won't let that bit of smartarsery on Anselmina pass without comment.
I'm all about making other people feel good, so you are most welcome to your brief flash of righteousness.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
IngoB
As promised, a considered response to your "numbers" post.
To make things easier, I'm going to repeat the other link I made in my "Santiago" post. This one, from the Irish Association of Catholic Priests.
So far as numbers go, here is the excerpt which encouraged me to link it.
quote:
This year just 12 students entered Maynooth to study for the priesthood. None of them is from a western diocese. That must be something of a record. In my first year in Maynooth I was one of 20 students from the western dioceses and there were 84 altogether in my class. In all now there are 64 students in Maynooth studying for the priesthood. In my time the total number of students was around 400.
It’s not a happy picture. And of course the same applies across the developed world: Britain, Germany, Italy, USA. France is even worse, of course, a template of the future. The Church has virtually disappeared in vast areas of rural France as aged priests struggle to cope with a multiplicity of parishes. The future of the Catholic Church in Ireland looks like France, I’m afraid.
The Maynooth picture was strikingly similar to the historical trends of numbers in training at Santiago de Compostella and the comment about aged priests coping with a multiplicity of parishes was very similar to a comment by the Catholic tour guide.
On the numerical question, have you found more detailed tables showing the trends of priests in training in the developed world? Repeating your earlier link, it does show a short term decline in Europe, but the impression I get from the ACP link (and from the Santiago de C experience) is that numbers in training, certainly in Ireland and Spain, and possibly in general in Europe, have been in long term decline. Is that wrong?
The ACP article shows ways in which priestly duties are in practice being more "shared out" - and that's a good thing. It also hints at discussions re the celebration of the Mass and the distribution of the Host by those other than priests, (I'm reminded of the "reserved elements" approach within the C of E which enables communion in rural parishes to be distributed by Readers and Deacons) And there are some poignant words about funerals as well.
I suppose this may be a "local difficulty" when viewed in global terms, but it appears to be causing stress and distress. And gloomy predictions. Like this
quote:
So what’s going to happen? The trajectory will be something like this. As priests age and die out, lay ministers will hold week-day Communion Services in situations where priests are not available. It will start with Communion Services conducted by laymen and women in parishes where there used to be Mass and now there’s no priest to say it. Gradually this practice will extend to weekend Masses. People will either opt to travel to some more populated centre for Mass or stay in their home parish for a Communion Service. In all probability parishes will not be amalgamated or churches closed – as that would cause a lot of bother – but effectively parishes will become paper entities and churches will become dilapidated and eventually close. And like in Liverpool, a series of specific ministries (like Funeral Ministers) will be introduced to fill in for a declining and aged remnant of priests.
This is "insider" talk. Is the author talking out of his hat? (BTW I presume Weekday Communion is some secondary distribution of the Host, but I'm not clear on that)
I accept that my earlier argument (essentially that a greater sharing out of priestly duties is likely to lead to long term change) is predicated on such info I had about long term decline in numbers in training. The overall global picture does look better, and so it may only be Europe (or parts of Europe anyway) that have major causes of concern.
But there is another way of looking at the numbers Table you provided. Given the comparative ratios of priest to population, is it really fair for Europe to see the "importing" of priests from the developing world as fair to the developing world? Some of that will be fine and cross-fertilisation is always a good thing, but if it becomes a pattern it also feels like a subsidy of the comparatively less needy by the comparatively more needy.
And to judge from the Irish link (and comments) the needs of the "comparatively less needy" are pretty serious. The "insiders" foresee substantial changes in parish life. I was impressed by the final sentence.
quote:
Don’t mention the war. Don’t mention it. I won’t tell a soul.
This is "coalface" feedback from Ireland and has something to say about elsewhere in Europe. How do you, and other Catholic contributors here, assess it? Just a whinge? Or a siren voice? Or what?
The ACP are not an unbiased source and representative of a great deal of those responsible for the current mess in Ireland. Willie Walsh could be their poster child.
Posted by Lyda*Rose (# 4544) on
:
Barnabas62: quote:
But there is another way of looking at the numbers Table you provided. Given the comparative ratios of priest to population, is it really fair for Europe to see the "importing" of priests from the developing world as fair to the developing world? Some of that will be fine and cross-fertilisation is always a good thing, but if it becomes a pattern it also feels like a subsidy of the comparatively less needy by the comparatively more needy.
Maybe the "less needy" are spiritually "more needy". As St. Philip Neri was the Apostle to Rome when the city was in something of a spiritual malaise, so perhaps some developing world saints will come to convert the hearts of RC Europeans and Euro-descendants where they are no longer on fire.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
I was still mostly responding to Anselmina, who talked about "the particular method one employs to worship God". As for "lex orandi, lex credendi" ("the law of prayer is the law of belief") - indeed, that's precisely why I suspect your comment of heresy and schism. While we are doing the Patristic boogie on the liturgical minefield, does "Roma locuta est, causa finita est" ("Rome has spoken, the case is closed") ring a bell?
Well, as an example I would point you to the prayers for the Jews in both forms. Have a look and tell me they don't teach different things, but then I have no alleigence to the Roman bishop speaking only from an Orthodox perspective.
Concerning primacy even the most grandiose language of the Fathers cannot be reconciled with the claims made in Pastor Aeternus. The Petrine ministry is, I would argue the Great Lie of the post schism Roman Church (though the rot started even earlier). Primacy as it existed in the Early Church is not something we would deny but if the bishop of Rome wants to discuss it the position of Orthodoxy remains the same: first confess the orthodox faith.
BTW, I'm saddened that Benedict has resigned. I rather liked him. He was a breath of fresh air.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Lyda*Rose
I get that and I would never argue against anyone following a call from wherever to wherever. Just as long as there isn't a strategic assumption that "importing" will be used to alleviate the European shortage.
CL
Of course I recognised the possibility of some kind of group bias, which is why I asked the question. But I'm trying to avoid Bulverising witnesses here.
Are the concerns voiced in the ACP link unfounded? The fact that from some folks' POV "they would say that" - maybe because those folks see some kind of agenda at work - does not set aside the possibility that at least some of their concerns may be justified.
On long term decline of Catholic ordinands in Europe, that's a matter of fact which can be resolved by detailed data. If it is happening, it needs a considered, serious, strategic response.
I read the ACP link as providing evidence of need which would not exist if there were more priests. Is that just about inefficiency, or laziness, amongst those who are in office? Or is the "struggling to cope without getting much by way of help" the underlying source of the discontent?
I don't automatically take the side of protesters, don't automatically assume that they are groaning under the weight of complacent, top down, management just telling them to "get on with it". But I don't automatically dismiss their voices either. People also protest for good and objective reasons, not just because they have problems with submission and authority and perseverance.
Are there good, objective reasons behind a proper cause for concern here? If so, what do they imply for the longer term? These seem valid questions in the context of this thread.
Posted by Triple Tiara (# 9556) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
Concerning primacy even the most grandiose language of the Fathers cannot be reconciled with the claims made in Pastor Aeternus. The Petrine ministry is, I would argue the Great Lie of the post schism Roman Church (though the rot started even earlier). Primacy as it existed in the Early Church is not something we would deny but if the bishop of Rome wants to discuss it the position of Orthodoxy remains the same: first confess the orthodox faith.
Such assertions always amuse me because they are so devoid of fact and yet so firmly and fervently adhered to. The great lie of the post-schism Church has been that the good, clean Orthodox were trying to prevent the Roman Primate from expanding his power. The truth of course is rather different: successive Roman Primates had been trying to clip the wings of successive Bishops of Constantinople, who had trying to puff themselves up with titles like "Universal Bishop" (less controversially, though I'm not sure why, translated as Ecumenical Patriarch) and issuing instructions or even trying to depose other bishops, ultra vires. So it suits them to assert that they were really just opposing Roman ambition, as a way of undermining the person who was calling them to heel. Except it just ain't so.
Nice try though.
[ 01. March 2013, 11:26: Message edited by: Triple Tiara ]
Posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras (# 11274) on
:
What one might more historically consider is that the hierarchy in both Rome and Nova Roma became highly politicised following imperial recognition and eventual Christianisation of the Western and Eastern empires; and that both bishoprics would understandably have been engaged in a sort of sibling rivalry from their respective imperial capitals -- the crumbling old seat of empire on the one hand, and Constantine's vigorous new imperial capital built up on the site of an old fishing village. Excessive and OTT claims, pretenses, and precipitous action would hardly be surprising in such circumstances.
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Lyda*Rose
I get that and I would never argue against anyone following a call from wherever to wherever. Just as long as there isn't a strategic assumption that "importing" will be used to alleviate the European shortage.
CL
Of course I recognised the possibility of some kind of group bias, which is why I asked the question. But I'm trying to avoid Bulverising witnesses here.
Are the concerns voiced in the ACP link unfounded? The fact that from some folks' POV "they would say that" - maybe because those folks see some kind of agenda at work - does not set aside the possibility that at least some of their concerns may be justified.
On long term decline of Catholic ordinands in Europe, that's a matter of fact which can be resolved by detailed data. If it is happening, it needs a considered, serious, strategic response.
I read the ACP link as providing evidence of need which would not exist if there were more priests. Is that just about inefficiency, or laziness, amongst those who are in office? Or is the "struggling to cope without getting much by way of help" the underlying source of the discontent?
I don't automatically take the side of protesters, don't automatically assume that they are groaning under the weight of complacent, top down, management just telling them to "get on with it". But I don't automatically dismiss their voices either. People also protest for good and objective reasons, not just because they have problems with submission and authority and perseverance.
Are there good, objective reasons behind a proper cause for concern here? If so, what do they imply for the longer term? These seem valid questions in the context of this thread.
No, what they say is true for the most part when taken in isolation. What they fail to say is that it is their particular "Spirit of Vatican II" nonsense that is responsible for the empty seminaries. They desacralised the priesthood, the sacraments and the Church and now wonder why no one wants to be a priest. If they don't believe in what they are supposed to be selling, why the Hell would anyone else bother?
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
CL
Thanks, I get that.
I suspect opinions vary within the Catholic Church about both the bad and the beneficial effects of Vatican 2. My own experience of that is very limited. The Catholic priest I got to know best is/was a "Vatican 2" man and the Catholic Church in Norwich which was his responsibility seemed to flourish under his care. I liked him a lot, found him wise and helpful. But that's just one, I know.
I suspect that if folks polarise about the reasons for the emptier seminaries, they will also polarise about what might be done to "re-stock" them. Which might limit progress over remedial action. In any case, it takes time to make good on a longer term "supply deficit". But remedial action there will have to be to cope with the lean years, and their impact on parish life for at least the time being. I suppose time will tell whether the remedial action is a temporary, or more permanent, solution, and how effective it turns out to be.
That persuades me at least that current moves (some of which are outlined in the ACP article) to "share the priesthood" more, whilst preserving for the priesthood that which cannot be delegated, seem like the best practical way to go. I suppose one might argue that is making the best of a bad job, but at least it's not a complacent approach.
[ 01. March 2013, 13:50: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
I've heard people stridently saying that churches should "modernise" in order to gain people back to church. I've also read here people stridently putting the blame of less people in church at the feet of "modernists".
I believe there to be a small, very small element of truth in both points. The bigger point is, though that less people are going to church per se. We can all give examples of the Father who wants Latin masses and daily fasting and the female Priest who sings songs about lesbians being loved by God being a success/having less parishioners. It proves nothing.
I love liturgy and have been at many, many RC services that I have enjoyed. For all the good liturgy, however, the question is, are you a twat?
Posted by Jon in the Nati (# 15849) on
:
quote:
Rosa Winkel wrote: I've heard people stridently saying that churches should "modernise" in order to gain people back to church. I've also read here people stridently putting the blame of less people in church at the feet of "modernists".
There are two big problems with modernising (whatever that may mean in a given context) to try to get people back into the church. Firstly, it assumes that the state of the outside world (its spurious and transient ways of thinking, etc.) should determine how the church does what it does. I can find no support for that, either in scripture or in tradition. Secondly, and more importantly, is that it fails to realise thoroughly modern people (to say nothing postmodern) really have no particular need for the church, whether it is modern or not. When I was in undergrad I got more than my fill of modern/postmodern bullshit from my professors; thank God I didn't have to hear it from my local pulpit as well.
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on
:
I don't think it's much of a surprise, at least not to me, that the priestly and religious societies that are flourishing the most are the traditional ones. A good example is the SSPX in France.
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on
:
I very much doubt that the people talking about "modernising" churches are thinking in terms of "modernism" or "post modernism". They are more likely talking in terms of language and liturgy that people can understand.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
In the Irish context, they seem to be talking about measures to help it to function. Deeper considerations may help you to drain the swamp, but first you have to deal with the alligators.
It's cool to debate underlying principles; you can do it all day if you like. But it's bugger all help to a priest struggling with, and getting exhausted by, maintaining some kind of reasonable "status quo" for the folks he serves.
There are managerial issues here.
[ 01. March 2013, 15:10: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
To make things easier, I'm going to repeat the other link I made in my "Santiago" post. This one, from the Irish Association of Catholic Priests.
That association is not representative of Irish Catholic priests, though it claims to have 25% of their number signed up. One of their founding members is a priest who has been censured by the CDF. Something that actually doesn't happen that often. The organisation asks for revisions of the usual stuff: ordination of women, artificial birth control and priestly celibacy. Whatever ill effects priest shortages may have, I would be happy to see the number of priests in Ireland reduced by up to - say - 25%.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
numbers in training, certainly in Ireland and Spain, and possibly in general in Europe, have been in long term decline. Is that wrong?
No, that's correct on all the data that I have ever seen about it. However, Europe is importing talent, so to speak. Setting the matter of possessions (in particular church buildings) aside, one really has to ask whether the number of priests is falling faster than the number of faithful. Here is the number of priests, as you can see it is falling in Europe. Here is the number of Catholics, as you can see it is also falling in Europe. But here is the more essential number of Catholics per priest. As you can see it is rising, which is bad, but fairly slowly. Over 15 years (1997 to 2002) it has risen by just 7.5%. That's not nice, but not exactly a catastrophe either. (And yes, I would also like to see newer data. But I don't know where to find it so readily compiled.) The main problem the Church has to deal with in Europe is her shrinking base, providing the usual service to this base is so far still possible.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
This is "insider" talk. Is the author talking out of his hat?
I think so and I hope so. This is simply ignoring (or "wishing away") the considerable conservative turn that the Church has had and I believe will continue to have. The envelope of lay participation has already been pushed, hard. Lay "Extraordinary Ministers" of Holy Communion are super-abundant. Most likely further pushes will not be allowed, indeed, I would expect pull-backs. What we will see is simply an end of luxury. Most Catholics in Europe expect that the can fall out of bed on Sunday and find themselves in a Mass with Holy Communion half an hour later (if they so please, which they rarely do). If the numbers reduce much further, this will cease to be the case.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
But there is another way of looking at the numbers Table you provided. Given the comparative ratios of priest to population, is it really fair for Europe to see the "importing" of priests from the developing world as fair to the developing world? Some of that will be fine and cross-fertilisation is always a good thing, but if it becomes a pattern it also feels like a subsidy of the comparatively less needy by the comparatively more needy.
From a pragmatic point of view, money and political power remain concentrated in the North/West. It would be foolish of the Church to let her foothold there slide, and that would be detrimental to her members elsewhere as well. For example, the federation of German dioceses pumped almost 50% of their total budget into the world church and missions, rather than into Germany. At €64 million, that's more than three times what was invested into all pastoral care for Germans (€20 million). The South/East may have the growth, but the North/West remains the engine that powers much of that growth behind the scenes. Now, we can get all romantic about this and dream of spiritual growth in spite of egalitarian poverty. But the truth is that the "cash cows" of the North/West will not be hastily abandoned. And all in all, that is not something that works against the many "hungry calves" in the South/East.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
This is "coalface" feedback from Ireland and has something to say about elsewhere in Europe. How do you, and other Catholic contributors here, assess it? Just a whinge? Or a siren voice? Or what?
Swan songs. Whatever else will happen in Europe, these people will be gone in the medium term.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
I suspect that if folks polarise about the reasons for the emptier seminaries, they will also polarise about what might be done to "re-stock" them. Which might limit progress over remedial action. In any case, it takes time to make good on a longer term "supply deficit".
One key problem here is that family sizes in the West have shrunken so drastically. If you have just one child, a son, then "losing" that son to the priesthood means no grandchildren. If you have ten children, then "sending" a son the priesthood helps a little in keeping your explosively growing tribe from starving.
This is just about the only argument for a married priesthood that I personally take serious. However, the truth is also that this would not be such an issue if Catholics actually obeyed Catholic teaching on sexuality. No, we don't want to get the old times of huge families back, and we would not (NFP has come a long way). But just as the sourcing of priest should be "sustainable", so our reproduction should be. It would be good if Catholic couples had on average about 2.1 kids, or perhaps 3 or 4 while the seculars are still busy contracepting themselves out of existence. If there were such numbers, again, then I'm sure that the number of candidates for the priesthood would go up as well, locally.
Posted by Desert Daughter (# 13635) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Rosa Winkel: We can all give examples of the Father who wants Latin masses and daily fasting and the female Priest who sings songs about lesbians being loved by God being a success/having less parishioners. It proves nothing.
and
quote:
Originally posted by Jon in the Nati:
When I was in undergrad I got more than my fill of modern/postmodern bullshit from my professors; thank God I didn't have to hear it from my local pulpit as well.
Excellent !!
@ Ad Orientem: I take your point on the SSPX and agree. There is also a tendency for new Catholics to be rather conservative. You say you are based in Finland. I lived in Helsinki for 5 years in the late 90s/early 2000s and those were testing times for the small local RC community. Roman Catholicism is not at all rooted in Finland; the Helsinki Parish consisted of either embassy personnel and expats like myself, or of converts. And these converts were very, very conservative indeed. Their zeal was frightening and worrying. They were converts and they practised their new faith with furrowed brows and deadly seriousness. The Parish was run by Opus Dei priests and an archconservative Bishop from Poland. And by "conservative" I do not mean liturgically conservative. We (the born-and bred Catholics of a mostly not very Ultramontanist conviction) felt quite homeless in that parish. Personally, I literally took to the woods, attending mass at a remote Carmelite hermitage in the forests far from town.
So a tendency for a strengthening of "right-wing" catholicism in the future is quite possible in countries where there are many converts.
The Lesbian-hugging, guitar-playing lets-all-stand-around-the-altar-and-hold-hands- type of Catholicism will remain the preserve of Europe and North America. Where Catholicism is dying out.
Posted by Rosa Winkel (# 11424) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
I very much doubt that the people talking about "modernising" churches are thinking in terms of "modernism" or "post modernism". They are more likely talking in terms of language and liturgy that people can understand.
"Modernist" was my word. I thought of writing "PC" or "liberal" or "Vatican II".
I'm pretty sympathetic to what I clumsily called modernists. I think, though, that when we start getting het up about liturgy we need to remember the millions starving in the world, including in our countries, and the system that enables that.
In my life I've met anti-OoW and pro-OoW Anglicans and liberal and conservative RCs. Anyone can be a twat. Anyone can be over-focussed themselves and deny the humanity of people around them. Anyone walk to the other side when they see a homeless guy. Anyone can do nothing when they hear of a husband or wife being beaten.
I'm not saying "liturgy or social work". I'm just saying about attention paid.
Posted by ken (# 2460) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by CL:
What they fail to say is that it is their particular "Spirit of Vatican II" nonsense that is responsible for the empty seminaries. They desacralised the priesthood, the sacraments and the Church and now wonder why no one wants to be a priest. If they don't believe in what they are supposed to be selling, why the Hell would anyone else bother?
This is such complete nonsense that its hard to believe anyone intelligent could believe it. Effectively ALL Christian denominations in culturally European rich developed countries are losing members, and losing vocations to the ministry. All of us. The Pentecostals gained numbers in the 20th century, and to a lesser extent traditional evangelicals did, but they mainly did it by transferring potential worshippers from other denominations (including the Catholics) and anyway they have been loding numbers themselves for a long wile now.
Some countries are further along that road than others - Scandianvia and France - others less far along - mainly the USA, and also some European nations where being Roman Catholic got bound up with national identity. There has been an illusion that Catholic, and particularly traditionalist Catholic, numbers have been holding up in Britain but that's entirely due to us importing Catholics from other countries. The second and third generation adopt the secular agnosticim of the English.
And the reason what you said is nonsense is that the same thing is happenieng to all of us. It can't be the effect of Vatican II because denominations that never had Vatican II and churches who have never heard of Vatican II are also losing numbers. To some extent it might be the effect of theological liberalism because it does seem that more orthodox churches keep their numbers betteer than more theologically liberal ones (and I do mean churches here, not denominations). But it can't [ b]only[/b] be theological linberalism, or even mainly liberalism because the less liberal churches are losing members as well, just not quite as fast.
And it can't be duie to desacralising the priesthood because denominations that don't give a flying fart for the sacramental priesthood are losiong members as fast as those that do. (Or maybe slightly slower - of the large British denominations the Baptists are possibly the one shrinking most slowly)
And it can't be because "they don't believe in what they are supposed to be selling" again because it also happens to those that do belive. And because that period of hyper-liberal theology is over anyway. It kicked off in the 19th century and now its in the past. It probably has very little effect on the ordained ministers of any denomination, Catholic or otherwise, because as you said, why bother? Same as with social churchgoers, cultural Catholics and the rest. They already stopped going to church. They've been staying away in ever-growing droves for over a century now. The practice was almost extinct in my parent's generation. That period of history is over. There are probably fewer unbelievers in our pews now in 2013 than there were in 1913.
Anyway, the point is, that whatever the real reasons are for the decline in churchgoing, most of them are NOT internal to Catholicism, because they affect everybody else as well. They are not purely internal to any churches. And if things change, the reasons they change will be external to the churches as well.
Posted by Gamaliel (# 812) on
:
What Rosa Winkel posted must be worthy of going into someone's sig.
'For all the good liturgy, however, the question is, are you a twat?'
Posted by Russ (# 120) on
:
If there's any truth in the observation that the RC church spent the 19th century in reaction against democracy and the 20th century in reaction against the emancipation of women, then the obvious question is what aspect of modern life it will be most obviously in reaction against during the 21st century.
Environmentalism ? Internationalism / cultural pluralism ? My bet is on neither of these, but on various forms of technology - genetic medicine, man/machine interfaces etc. Google Glass is just the beginning, and it won't be far down that road before the anathemas start flying...
In other words there will continue to be tensions between those who would make the Church a refuge from modern life, and those who want it to be relevant to modern life.
And through it all, God will continue to work, showing Himself in those who love their enemies...
Best wishes,
Russ
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
ken makes a good point about the affect of the external "bad weather", at least in the developed world, on numbers in the churches. We'd probably argue about the components of that "bad weather" - it's an interesting separate topic. But ken is right that it is "raining" on all denominations, to some degree or another. Whatever may be the special challenges facing particular denominations, all have to factor that into their considerations.
IngoB, thanks for your reply. Much good stuff and food for thought there, as usual. I need to reflect a bit on what you've said so I won't be responding immediately. There's something buzzing around in my brain about your reply, but I haven't yet got to the point of pinning down the source of the buzz!
And tomorrow is my wife's birthday. A special day is planned. SofF will definitely be taking a back seat.
[ 01. March 2013, 19:12: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by CL (# 16145) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Russ:
If there's any truth in the observation that the RC church spent the 19th century in reaction against democracy and the 20th century in reaction against the emancipation of women, then the obvious question is what aspect of modern life it will be most obviously in reaction against during the 21st century.
Environmentalism ? Internationalism / cultural pluralism ? My bet is on neither of these, but on various forms of technology - genetic medicine, man/machine interfaces etc. Google Glass is just the beginning, and it won't be far down that road before the anathemas start flying...
In other words there will continue to be tensions between those who would make the Church a refuge from modern life, and those who want it to be relevant to modern life.
And through it all, God will continue to work, showing Himself in those who love their enemies...
Best wishes,
Russ
Posted by malik3000 (# 11437) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Russ:
If there's any truth in the observation that the RC church spent the 19th century in reaction against democracy and the 20th century in reaction against the emancipation of women, then the obvious question is what aspect of modern life it will be most obviously in reaction against during the 21st century.
Environmentalism ? Internationalism / cultural pluralism ? My bet is on neither of these, but on various forms of technology - genetic medicine, man/machine interfaces etc. Google Glass is just the beginning, and it won't be far down that road before the anathemas start flying...
In other words there will continue to be tensions between those who would make the Church a refuge from modern life, and those who want it to be relevant to modern life.
And through it all, God will continue to work, showing Himself in those who love their enemies...
Best wishes,
Russ
Posted by Gildas (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras:
What one might more historically consider is that the hierarchy in both Rome and Nova Roma became highly politicised following imperial recognition and eventual Christianisation of the Western and Eastern empires; and that both bishoprics would understandably have been engaged in a sort of sibling rivalry from their respective imperial capitals -- the crumbling old seat of empire on the one hand, and Constantine's vigorous new imperial capital built up on the site of an old fishing village. Excessive and OTT claims, pretenses, and precipitous action would hardly be surprising in such circumstances.
I seem to recall that at this point in history the Pope's pretensions included inheriting the Western Empire from Constantine I, deposing the Holy Roman Emperor and replacing the rightwise King of England with William the Bastard. He may have been nothing less than punctilious in his dealings with the Patriarch of Constantinople and scrupulous to ensure that no claim was advanced on his behalf that did not do the fullest justice to the claims of the Patriarch but I am somewhat inclined to doubt it.
Posted by Triple Tiara (# 9556) on
:
If only some of the 20th century popes had maintained these "pretensions". Imagine if Pius XII had invoked Article 27 of Dictatus Papae and had "absolved subjects from their fealty to wicked men".
Posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras (# 11274) on
:
Dear Fr TT, I am not at all sure that Pius XIII could have had any real influence on the fascist developments in Germany, Italy, nor probably in Spain and Portugal.
I do not suggest, to be clear, that organic historical dynamics such as the locus and political significance of the See of Rome prima facie invalidate the claims asserted over history by the Roman patriarch. Obviously, God in our world must work through the vicissitudes of material, worldly, human history. However, I would also assert that the ambiguities of history should give ample cause for caution about claims and ascription to claims that are made.
Posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras (# 11274) on
:
Pius XII, obviously. I am on my iPhone and after just going to correct the embarrassing typo, I found that iPhone autocorrect wanted to turn His Late Holiness into a 13th once again -- not sure why.
Posted by Augustine the Aleut (# 1472) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lietuvos Sv. Kazimieras:
Pius XII, obviously. I am on my iPhone and after just going to correct the embarrassing typo, I found that iPhone autocorrect wanted to turn His Late Holiness into a 13th once again -- not sure why.
Perhaps the iPhone operators know something about the upcoming Conclave's results....
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
@ IngoB
Only time for a short response - we've had a lovely day celebrating my wife's birthday but it's definitely time to turn in.
The bee that was buzzing around my bonnet, IngoB, was the mixture of idealism (re family limitation in accordance with church guidelines) and pragmatism (re importing priests from growth areas to make good the decline in ordinands in Europe/US.
I can't quite get my head around that. The logic of your idealistic view is that Europe/USA should stew in their own priest-shortage juice. [CL implied something similar, but blamed Vatican 2 for emptier seminaries. 'They've no one to blame but themselves' was the implication - and if you believe what he says about cause, he's got a point.]
Whichever way you look at it, ISTM that if the fault lies in disobedience to Catholic teaching in our part of the world, it's a pretty rum do to expect other, poorer, parts of the world to bale them out, just because the sufferer from disobedience is richer. Particularly given the much worse priest to people ratios in the exporting areas.
Of course I can see the "cash cow" argument you advanced and as a bit of pragmatism I can see that it works.
But isn't there a certain irony to be found here? The high minded preservation of the priestly celibacy principle (which I don't agree with but understand) leads to an inequitable "import/export market" in priests.
Is priestly celibacy more important than equity?
Posted by Maureen Lash (# 17192) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Ad Orientem:
Aye, that too. I used to read Fr. Hunwicke's blog. He had a lot of good, interesting things to say on liturgical issues.
And on Alsatians.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
The bee that was buzzing around my bonnet, IngoB, was the mixture of idealism (re family limitation in accordance with church guidelines) and pragmatism (re importing priests from growth areas to make good the decline in ordinands in Europe/US.
That's of course an excellent general description of Catholicism: a mixture of idealism and pragmatism.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Of course I can see the "cash cow" argument you advanced and as a bit of pragmatism I can see that it works.
Therefore I basically stop considering this further. At this point in time, everybody is best served by this arrangement, including the churches in the poor areas. It seems to me that you are doing a bit of individualistic "rights and entitlements" thinking here. As if those priests are theirs, because they "produced" them, and the West is "stealing" their "produce", paying back merely in money. But that's nonsense. Our church is theirs, and their church is ours. It is one and the same vineyard of the Lord. If overall the best results are gained by moving this resource that way and this the other way, then that is good. If they don't like it (and I bet some don't), they can suck it. If we don't like it (and I know some don't), we can suck it. Some people may see good management practice and charity as two completely different things. I say charity is not only St Francis, but also this. Remember the unfaithful steward (Lk 16:8-9)?
Of course, you may say that the current arrangement is in fact not the best overall. That's a different kettle of fish entirely. If something else is arguably better for the Church considered globally, then let's do it, whether churches in Europe die or not. But I do not accept the usual rhetoric of goods applied to churches. We own zilch, we belong to the Lord.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
But isn't there a certain irony to be found here? The high minded preservation of the priestly celibacy principle (which I don't agree with but understand) leads to an inequitable "import/export market" in priests. Is priestly celibacy more important than equity?
"Those are my principles. If you don't like them I have others." That's Groucho Marx, not the RCC. As I've said, Catholicism is a mixture of pragmatism and idealism. It's not all pragmatic either. The pragma serves, enables the ideal. As far as ideals goes, the Church used to have her members eaten by lions instead of giving them up. Again, since celibacy is a discipline not a doctrine, we can in fact discuss what it is worth. But its worth is not determined by equity, fairness or other salary disputes at the end of the vineyard shift. Actually, at the core this question is about the right signs and symbols. But I cannot possibly wish to sacrifice the sexual happiness of priests and the very future of the church in Europe just to maintain some signs and symbols as they should be? Sure as heck I can, if I am sure that they are indeed right. This is not a human game. This is not a spiritual self help book written large. The symbol of this religion is a cross, not a bouncy castle.
The true question for me is in a discernment of spirits. Why are we doing any of this? If it is merely a desperate clinging to the status quo of the Church in our part of the world, then indeed that is to be condemned and doomed. But just because we are shrewd in our worldly arrangements doesn't mean that we have lost our way. We must be wise as serpents and innocent as doves (Matt 10:16), unshakeable ideals supported by ruthless pragmatism. Maybe we can't beat the Serpent at his own game in this world, but we sure shouldn't lose on purpose just to keep ourselves "pure". If one works in the vineyard, one is going to be sweaty and dirty at the end of the day.
Posted by Enoch (# 14322) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
... Is priestly celibacy more important than equity?
Yes, I know there's another thread on this. Equity be b*****d. Is it more important than being able to provide pastoral and sacramental care for the faithful?
Posted by Enoch (# 14322) on
:
Second post
quote:
Originally posted by Triple Tiara:
If only some of the 20th century popes had maintained these "pretensions". Imagine if Pius XII had invoked Article 27 of Dictatus Papae and had "absolved subjects from their fealty to wicked men".
I've never seen or heard of this document before. Against it, the only surprising thing is that it took so long for the Reformation to arrive. Surely it is not still good theology, or part of even the most obscurantist 'more Catholic than the Pope' group's theological claims.
Three thoughts:-
1. There doesn't seem to be much about love in this, yet alone loving ones enemies.
2. quote:
9. That of the pope alone all princes shall kiss the feet.
Not much either of this dodgy stuff about servanthood or washing the disciples' feet.
3. quote:
27. That he may absolve subjects from their fealty to wicked men.
Does that mean that it was (or is still) official teaching that unless the Pope has absolved the subject of his or her duty to a wicked ruler, the defence 'I was just obeying orders' is a good one even for the worst offences against humanity?
Posted by kankucho (# 14318) on
:
Coming a bit late to this, and picking up on some early allusions to Buddhism (as I do)...
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
There will have been no major reunifications with other denominations. But the Eastern Orthodox will be in all sorts of trouble, both external (secular hostility) and internal (rapid balkanization), and the unthinkable may have become rather thinkable among some of them. And to make a final daring prediction: Buddhism will not have continued its growth in the North/West, and will have resumed dying out slowly.
Some interim posts have considered the development of catholicism as a lay entity. My own (Nichiren) Buddhist lay order has gone from strength to strength since a protracted schism with its formerly afflilated priesthood was finalised in 1990 – while the priesthood itself has pootled along as always entertaining the tourists with their refabricated historical temples and rituals. Significantly (<- IMO) some of our greatest numerical advances – exponential, in fact - have occurred in Catholic strongholds such as Italy and Brazil. Around the time of that schism, someone observed that our continued success as a self-supporting lay movement would be viewed as a model for other religious movements when, as is historically inevitable, the laity begin to grow heartily sick of the posturing and hypocrisy of their ordained professionals. The circumstances for that happening have come about much sooner than we imagined at the time.
So I’ll see your prediction and raise you. Buddhism will not only survive but also influence the development of the Catholic Church.
quote:
Originally posted by Desert Daughter:
We will all have become Tibetan Buddhists
Believing in the Dalai Lama to reincarnate might look just as outlandish to a rationalist as believing that the Holy Spirit guides a conclave. But at least the Chattering Classes treat Buddhists with respect, because they are... cute
But seriously…
I don’t speak for the cute Tibetans but you should get along to one of our gatherings in some of the darker recesses of east London sometime. Stripped of the afore-mentioned trappings of tourist Buddhism, a lot of us have perfect faces for a visually anonymous internet message board.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by kankucho:
So I’ll see your prediction and raise you. Buddhism will not only survive but also influence the development of the Catholic Church.
Obviously it will. That's what the Catholic Church does best: appropriate the good, reject the bad, and outlast. As for Buddhism's "explosive growth" in the West: It's easy to grow explosively from zero. It's much harder to sustain growth once you get big. Buddhism in the West has largely the same crowd and hence largely the same problems as liberal Christianity. My prediction is daring only insofar as it assumes that the era of "spiritual but not religious" people will actually come to an end in the West, and that it won't take many generations either. (Although Nichiren may be different for all I know. I only really know the Zen and Tibetan crowds by personal experience a bit...)
Posted by Desert Daughter (# 13635) on
:
@ Kankucho: thanks, I shall stop by your "dark recess" in east London some time.
And yes, one must draw sharp distincions between the different Buddhist schools, and even sharper distinctions between their respective Western "crowds". I also agree with what Ingo B says about the Western adherents of Tibetan Buddhism and Zen.
But there is a level at which Buddhism is indeed actively sought out by committed and rooted Christians as a source of wisdom. I do not know a lot about Nichiren Buddhism, but I am a bit better informed about the dialogue that goes on between Catholic monastics (mostly of the Benedictine tradition, which includes the Cistercians) on one hand and Zen and Tibetan Buddhists on the other. They spend time in each others' monasteries, write quite good papers, and it seems that there is some very profound and worthwhile work being done, light years away from the sort of "liberal" and rather romanticising Christianity that seeks its salvation in front of some butter lamps or in a zendo.
I once went to a Buddhist-Christian retreat where they did away with all the usual trappings (gongs, zafu cushions, incense sticks etc) on purpose so as to concentrate on the "deep" issues. Needless to say that the people attending such an "unromantic" session were of quite a different breed...
I respect, and actually have an aesthetic appreciation for, the iconography and symbolism of Buddhism. I've spent time in Ladakh and must admit to having been quite smitten... ditto for traipsing around Zen temples in Japan...
But here in the West, we must be careful to engage with Buddhism at a much deeper level than the purely aesthetic. And it is at that level where we can indeed learn a lot from that tradition, and be pointed back to some essentials which we, in our Church (at least the RCC) so influenced by the unfortunate age of neo-scholastic thought, should learn to re-discover.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by IngoB:
The true question for me is in a discernment of spirits. Why are we doing any of this? If it is merely a desperate clinging to the status quo of the Church in our part of the world, then indeed that is to be condemned and doomed. But just because we are shrewd in our worldly arrangements doesn't mean that we have lost our way. We must be wise as serpents and innocent as doves (Matt 10:16), unshakeable ideals supported by ruthless pragmatism. Maybe we can't beat the Serpent at his own game in this world, but we sure shouldn't lose on purpose just to keep ourselves "pure". If one works in the vineyard, one is going to be sweaty and dirty at the end of the day.
I agree with that. And thanks for the rest of the reply as well.
My reading of both scripture and Tradition is that equity is seen as a central Christian principle. From its prophetic foreshadowings (eg Amos 1-5, Isaiah 4,) through Mary's song (Magnificat - Luke 1), the announcement of Jesus' ministry (Luke 4), many of the moral challenges in the teaching and example of Jesus, the "all things in common" of the early church (Acts 2), the "God shows no partiality" (Peter and Cornelius, Acts 10), the "all are one in Christ Jesus" (Gal:28-9), there is a consistent indication that equity is a central value. Of the Kingdom which is and is to come.
Equity is not equality; it says something about worth, not talent or gifting or calling.
This issue is probably worth a thread on its own. Here we're talking about it in the context of the future of the Catholic Church. But here is a challenge to us all, from a bit of dialogue in a book by Ursula K le Guin. An envoy in a strange land talking to one of its inhabitants.
quote:
Envoy: The mission I am on overrides all personal debts and loyalties
Inhabitant: (with fierce certainty) If so, it is an immoral mission
I do not expect the Catholic Church to be bound by understandings of equity which are outside scripture or Tradition. What we find inside scripture and Tradition is another matter. What is there ought to be challenging enough to our comfort. It serves an an ongoing reminder of a plumbline against which to measure our personal (and corporate) debts and loyalties. Our responsibilities to others.
All the visible churches (and ecclesial communities) get their hands dirtied by pragmatic response to need, and may treat equity as secondary as a result. But we'd better be wise about the simple fact that when we do so, our trumpeting of the Kingdom sounds an uncertain note. We have explaining to do, to others and ourselves.
So I hope that in a hundred years time, the Catholic Church is not seen to have lost its way over the need for such wisdom over equity. As I hope also for the community to which I belong.
[ 04. March 2013, 14:14: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by fletcher christian (# 13919) on
:
Sorry if this has been covered up-thread, but I read back a bit and didn't see it. Is the Pope a Bishop among Bishops (ie, equal), or is the Pope a sort of Bishop to the Bishops? I've never actually thought about it before and always assumed that he was big chief, but wandered what the official line was.
Posted by Lyda*Rose (# 4544) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by fletcher christian:
Sorry if this has been covered up-thread, but I read back a bit and didn't see it. Is the Pope a Bishop among Bishops (ie, equal), or is the Pope a sort of Bishop to the Bishops? I've never actually thought about it before and always assumed that he was big chief, but wandered what the official line was.
From what I can see, it depends on whether you are talking to the RCs or the Orthodox. For the RCC he's definitely the "big chief". For the Orthodox...well...if the Churches were to rejoin, my guess would be that he would have the privilege of leading any Ecumenical councils or conclaves. Since history has gone as it has, and Rome can claim a Whole Bunch of People under its umbrella, the Bishop of Rome would have a Big Voice even if he weren't the Big Chief in current Catholic terms.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
Equity be b*****d.
You can't bugger equity without buggering a central value of the Kingdom of God. See my post to IngoB.
quote:
Is it more important than being able to provide pastoral and sacramental care for the faithful?
Depends on how you answer the Ursula le Guin challenge. My view is don't be too ready to sacrifice either equity or pastoral and sacramental care. Either way, you endanger the mission.
The current shortage of ordinands is not the only reason for revisiting the Tradition on the celibacy of priests. But it is one reason. If the church can be pragmatic about one kingdom value (equity) why can't it be pragmatic about another (the relationship between celibacy and priestly calling).
Of course I don't have to be pragmatic about the second. I disagree with Catholic understanding on the matter. But I recognise that won't do for Catholics.
You could always try out the pragmatism on something else. Or at the least think about revisiting the principle. You've got good reason to.
Posted by Gildas (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
Second post
quote:
Originally posted by Triple Tiara:
If only some of the 20th century popes had maintained these "pretensions". Imagine if Pius XII had invoked Article 27 of Dictatus Papae and had "absolved subjects from their fealty to wicked men".
I've never seen or heard of this document before. Against it, the only surprising thing is that it took so long for the Reformation to arrive. Surely it is not still good theology, or part of even the most obscurantist 'more Catholic than the Pope' group's theological claims.
Three thoughts:-
1. There doesn't seem to be much about love in this, yet alone loving ones enemies.
2. quote:
9. That of the pope alone all princes shall kiss the feet.
Not much either of this dodgy stuff about servanthood or washing the disciples' feet.
3. quote:
27. That he may absolve subjects from their fealty to wicked men.
Does that mean that it was (or is still) official teaching that unless the Pope has absolved the subject of his or her duty to a wicked ruler, the defence 'I was just obeying orders' is a good one even for the worst offences against humanity?
The Dictatus Papae is a bit of a red herring in this context. It was never actually promulgated, although it was written by Gregory VII, largely I think because it would have gone beyond what most Papalists during this era would have signed up to.
I'm not sure why Father Tiara thinks it's relevant to his thesis that the claims of Gregory VII were modest and defensible as compared to those of the Patriarch of Constantinople. Or why he thinks the age of dictators would have been materially improved by another meglomaniac bent on world domination.
Posted by Enoch (# 14322) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
Equity be b*****d.
You can't bugger equity without buggering a central value of the Kingdom of God. See my post to IngoB. ...
Possibly, but what does 'equity' mean in this context - or for that matter what do you mean by it? And what would be its implications and consequences? What does it say into it? If such be possible, it's an even slipperier word than 'justice'?
[ 04. March 2013, 17:09: Message edited by: Enoch ]
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Enoch
Equity is a social ethic. Its synonyms are impartiality, fairness, evenhandedness. It is a key aspect of justice. I don't think the concept is slippery, its detailed application might be. There are plenty of illustrations in OT and NT, some of which I've laid out in the post to IngoB.
In this particular context I was arguing on the basis of some stats IngoB provided, showing that the ratio of priest to population was significantly greater in the areas of the world where ordinands were on the increase than areas (the developed West) where they were on the decrease.
Given your standard (of pastoral and sacramental care) it's hardly rocket science to argue that it would be fairer to apply the new ordinands first to the areas where the priest to population ratio was greatest. Of course there are other factors at work, but it's not unreasonable to argue that the priest to population ratio is a first indicator of what quality of pastoral and sacramental care can be provide. A priest covering a population of 9,000 has less time per person than a priest covering a population of 900.
[Of course, once you bring in the issue of affordability, another factor arises. But the equitable argument also suggests that the richer developed world should consider supporting the poorer developing world to help improve priest to people ratios.]
Those were the sorts of figures IngoB provided. So I think my argument says there is a case, on equity grounds, for greater evenhandedness over pastoral and sacramental care in a strategic plan based on priest to population ratios.
That argument doesn't strike me as at all slippery, but YMMV.
Posted by IngoB (# 8700) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
My reading of both scripture and Tradition is that equity is seen as a central Christian principle. From its prophetic foreshadowings (eg Amos 1-5, Isaiah 4,)
That's some very obscure foreshadowing you apparently see there...
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
through Mary's song (Magnificat - Luke 1),
Not about equity at all...
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
the announcement of Jesus' ministry (Luke 4), many of the moral challenges in the teaching and example of Jesus,
Not about equity at all...
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
the "all things in common" of the early church (Acts 2),
Perhaps about equity, sort of. But also a rather prominent failure as model for the entire Church, that died out (though was revived later for special communities: monks and nuns) and showed cracks already in the NT (Acts 5).
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
the "God shows no partiality" (Peter and Cornelius, Acts 10), the "all are one in Christ Jesus" (Gal:28-9),
That God offers salvation through Christ to all is not under dispute. But in fact that is not equitable in itself, to the contrary (Matt 20:1-16).
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
there is a consistent indication that equity is a central value. Of the Kingdom which is and is to come.
Well, let's leave the kingdom to come aside. We would first have to say what we even mean by "equity" in that context. But while equity is good, it is not the same as charity, in this world. I have sympathies for a radical social reform, but the truth is that Jesus did not preach that any more than political rebellion. Yet even if we assume that charity can be - or perhaps must be - cashed out in socio-economic equity these days, this does in my mind say nothing about the case we were discussing.
In fact, I think you've completely ignored my main point. Let me state it clearly, and aggressively, again: you are approaching the situation of the Church with a false mindset, namely the "individual rights and entitlement" mindset of the modern West. You are de facto treating this as if it were some kind of economic transaction, perhaps a spiritual flashback to the bad old colonial times. It isn't. Neither is there an us/me vs. them. That's all bollocks. We are all servants of one Lord, and the key concern for us is that His kingdom prosper. The question is what the globally optimal strategy is for that, not what is "fair" to the local communities. Not that fairness somehow has turned sour, it of course remains a good thing if all can be kept fair and square. But it just is not the primary concern.
We are not stakeholders. We are servants. It is not our Church. It is His.
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
So I hope that in a hundred years time, the Catholic Church is not seen to have lost its way over the need for such wisdom over equity.
And I suggest to very carefully consider that Mk 14:10 likely was in response to the inequity of Mk 14:3-9. It just isn't that simple as far as the Church is concerned...
Posted by Enoch (# 14322) on
:
Thank you for that Barnabas62. I had guessed wrong. I thought you might be suggesting that it was or wasn't equity to Catholic clergy to let them have wives, but I couldn't work out which, why this was equity or why that should prevail over pastoral need.
[ 04. March 2013, 20:23: Message edited by: Enoch ]
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
I'd rather avoid an equity word-game, IngoB. I don't think you are correct, for example, in seeing no equity dimension in the stinging criticism of the Northern Kingdom by Amos, for example (climaxing in a rejection of worship on grounds of endemic social injustice). Or that contained in lifting up the lowly and release of oppressed (Luke 1 and 4). But exploring that in depth would derail this thread. So I won't contest your rejection in detail here. We can have a look at the topic in another thread if you like - Kerygmania would probably be a better setting.
Which leaves a couple of points I do want to contest here.
Firstly, the issue of "all servants not stakeholders". I agree the principle. The issue is not about comparative benefits to different groups, it is stewardship. Each of you should look not to your own needs but the needs of others.
I agree that I display an independent mindset, it's the blessing and curse of discussing anything with a nonconformist that you'll come up against that. But on this issue it's hardly a mindset based on concern for individual rights. It is much more about what constitutes selfless stewarding. I presume we agree that selfless stewarding is the correct Christian standard. And exhorting selfless stewarding runs counter to the individualism of the current age. I'm arguing that there is something there for the Catholic Church to consider, based on the priest to population data you provided. What constitutes selfless stewarding in this context? It's hardly a materialistic stakeholder view point to suggest that pastoral and sacramental services work better overall if there is an encouragement to do something about massive differences in priest to population ratios. That's about preferring the needs of others, isn't it?
Secondly, on the issue of Judas and the claimed inequity in Mark 14. I think the reactions of the disciples to the anointing was wrong. It was a materialistic criticism of a deep expression of love and sorrow (using material which the woman owned, and which was her responsibility). The narrative does suggest it was the last straw for Judas but his motives are not known clearly enough. My personal guess is that the adulation of Jesus (the way he had probably seen the anointing) and Jesus acceptance of it repelled him as idolatrous worship. I doubt that it had much to do with notions of inequitable wastefulness. Treasurers do go on about that. Judas' loss of faith in Jesus' mission must have been a lot deeper than that.
Jesus comment "the poor are always with you" is followed immediately by "and you can help them any time you want". Which hardly suggests that stewardship by the disciples should be indifferent to the inequities produced by poverty.
© Ship of Fools 2016
UBB.classicTM
6.5.0