Thread: A misunderstood man? Board: Oblivion / Ship of Fools.


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Posted by Saul the Apostle (# 13808) on :
 
Nigel Farage a libertarian patriot or a racist xenophobe? Who is this man?

This Spectator article looks at the apparent liberal media mud fest that Farage is undergoing at the moment.

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/douglas-murray/2014/05/the-smears-against-nigel-farage-and-ukip-have-reached-spectacular-depths/

What do people make of Nigel?

Saul the Apostle
 
Posted by Martin PC not & Ship's Biohazard (# 368) on :
 
That most dangerous of creatures, because of their rarity: a British populist. A joker, a wildcard in the pack. The Mule in Britain's Foundation.

[ 21. May 2014, 07:00: Message edited by: Martin PC not & Ship's Biohazard ]
 
Posted by goperryrevs (# 13504) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Martin PC not & Ship's Biohazard:
The Mule in Britain's Foundation.

If I didn't know my Asimov, that sentence would come across as very curious.

Personally, I find it difficult to see things from Farage's perspective. We have totally different worldviews.
 
Posted by Signaller (# 17495) on :
 
He's trying to be a politician, but he isn't very good at it.

Regardless of ideology, he's a prat.
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Saul the Apostle
...the apparent liberal media mud fest...

The liberal media's approach is self-defeating. If there is anything likely to increase UKIP's vote it's this dirty tricks campaign. I am amazed at how thick and stupid the mainstream media actually is at times. They must assume that most of us are idiots and we cannot see the obvious fact that if you want to defeat a political party, then take on its arguments and refute them. Anyone with any intelligence can see that personal attacks are an admission that they cannot refute the arguments. Therefore this behaviour effectively becomes a tacit endorsement of their opponent's position.

I imagine that Nigel Farage is positively delighted at this approach by the mainstream media. All it is doing is enhancing his populist appeal.

I am not a supporter of UKIP, but from a purely political point of view in terms of generating sympathy for one's cause, I think Farage is a genius in terms of his manner and relaxed approach. That is not to say that I agree with him, of course. Once you look behind Farage and consider the other representatives of UKIP, then the party looks rather less attractive (and I am not just talking about the nutters who've made headlines)...

[ 21. May 2014, 07:44: Message edited by: EtymologicalEvangelical ]
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
I don't think he's trying to be a politician. He recognises that the electorate are dissatisfied with politicians (with expenses scandals etc) and is trying to present himself as an ordinary bloke. It is, of course, as much a political move as the politicians who employ focus groups to tell them what policies to concentrate on to maximize votes.

It's a bit unfair to say he sucks at being a politician when he doesn't have any significant experience of political office.

I don't have a big problem with Nigel Farage himself. I disagree with practically every aspect of UKIP policy. Some of the "witch hunt" aspects of the media over the last few months disgusts me. But, media handling of politics is generally awful anyway.
 
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on :
 
He's against the EU, so he can't be that bad.
 
Posted by Gareth (# 2494) on :
 
Not a politician - a millionaire who has chosen to get involved in politics.

The one phrase about Margaret Thatcher that explained her (to me) more than anything else was: the first thing she did was marry a millionaire. (I can't find the source of the quote - sorry.)

NF serves money. Everything else is knee-jerk populism designed solely to win votes - and UKIP has decided that the xenophobe vote is one worth harvesting.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
He has a luxurious position at the moment, as he has no power. Ironically, this gives him carte blanche to say all manner of xenophobic things, and just grin. And if his supporters say even more outrageous things, about gays for example, he can still grin, and call them idiots.

So it's all a bit unreal at the moment. I don't know whether a point might come when he becomes sinister - for example, if UKIP did win MPs, and formed a coalition with the Tories. That would probably be a very right-wing govt., but I suppose if the economy keeps improving, it's unlikely.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Is he against the EU? He certainly wants the UK to be independent of the EU. Whether other European nations want to maintain a Union is something UKIP don't seem to have a policy on (and, probably fair enough). It's one of my big issues with UKIP policy, I think the EU needs reform ... but to simply pick up our toys and stomp out doesn't seem to be something that would benefit anyone, neither the UK nor the rest of Europe. Even the European anti-EU parties (some of which are distinctly unpleasant, even more than the BNP let alone UKIP) want to keep the EU but significantly reform it.
 
Posted by Gareth (# 2494) on :
 
One thing is worth stressing, though:

No matter how much you may hate the mainstream political parties (and such hatred is entirely justified IMHO) and no matter how unacceptable the alternatives are, for the sake of whoever or whatever you worship, VOTE!

Spoil your paper. Vote for a no-hoper. Make a protest vote for the candidate you hate the least. Just DON'T stay away from the ballot box.
 
Posted by Yorick (# 12169) on :
 
I've never really understood the call for people to use their vote, even if it has to be a negative thing. I get the difference between voter apathy and antipathy, but what is gained by using one's vote for the sake of it? It seems unlikely we'd ever lose our privilege to elect a government simply by low turnout. Anyone care to educate me on this?
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
Farage is a xenophobe, a racist, and someone whose party policies are vile.

He also comes over as a lovable buffoon. Not unlike Boris, who was funny until he actually got elected.

And he is dangerous, because he might actually get his members elected. They have no policies, other than "we hate others people". Oh and making the Tories look good.

Misunderstood? Yes, because people seem to think he is just a loveable rogue who is working for the ordinary people. Whereas he is a devious, manipulative politician, like so many of the other scum, but worse.

Vote, yes, to keep people like him out.
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's Cat
Farage is a xenophobe, a racist...

I think that might need some qualification.

I find it hard to believe that he hates his wife for being German, and despises the black and Asian members of UKIP (some of whom are actually candidates).
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yorick
I've never really understood the call for people to use their vote, even if it has to be a negative thing. I get the difference between voter apathy and antipathy, but what is gained by using one's vote for the sake of it? It seems unlikely we'd ever lose our privilege to elect a government simply by low turnout. Anyone care to educate me on this?

I think that a high turnout sends a message to politicians not to take the electorate for granted.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
Plenty of misogynists are married, EE. And every racist proverbally has several best friends who are black.

Not that that proves Farage is any of these things; I don't actually think he is, but he does seem to have put together a set of policies that attracts people who are like wasps to jam.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
Farage is a xenophobe, a racist, and someone whose party policies are vile.

The sheer desperation is highly amusing. Liberals having to face up to the fact that their outlook is not the only one around and perhaps it won't prevail.

Leaving the over-the-top ad hominems aside which UKIP policies are so vile? The policies about leaving Europe? Hardly vile to want a different form of political organisation? The ones about immigration? The aspiration to reduce immigration was Labour and Conservative policy in 2010.

Given that they are unlikely to be a party of government their policies are mostly irrelevant. They undoubtedly attract some unpleasant followers but supporters of the other parties have said and done equally reprehensible things in recent times. Very difficult to police all your supporters.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I found it pretty queasy watching Farage talking about Romanian men moving next door, and then struggling to extricate himself, and making it worse really.

This seems to appeal to the most base of human instincts, fear and dislike of the Other, especially from a different nationality or ethnicity.
 
Posted by seekingsister (# 17707) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
I think that might need some qualification.

I find it hard to believe that he hates his wife for being German, and despises the black and Asian members of UKIP (some of whom are actually candidates).

There's just been a huge US news story about the owner of an NBA basketball team who has a history of racism against black people - and yet had a 1/2 black girlfriend, who he encouraged to portray herself as white or Latina instead. Racism is complicated, and in many cases a racist will use any ethnic minorities around them as "evidence" that they are not racist, while maintaining the view personally that those minorities in his or her life are "exceptions."

Farage's entire platform is based on the idea that there are "good" and "bad" foreigners. "Good" ones are Western Europeans, Americans/Canadians/Australians and doctors/lawyers/scientists from any country. "Bad" ones are everybody else. His comments about not wanting Romanians to move next door but being OK with Germans is pretty clear. The jobs issue is a red herring.
 
Posted by que sais-je (# 17185) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
I find it hard to believe that he hates his wife for being German, and despises the black and Asian members of UKIP (some of whom are actually candidates).

I agree. Being a xenophobe (who hates foreigners) is not identical with being a racist. The racist tends to see race as defining characteristics of a particular group ("Roumanians are criminals").

To take a benign example, two Jewish friends of mine moved to a tiny village in the depths of rural Warwickshire. Every one was very friendly. B was invited to join the Cricket Club. It was assumed that as a Jew he wouldn't want to play but might like to be club treasurer as he would be 'good with money', i.e. he was assumed to exemplify stereotypes associated with his 'race'. This seems to me to be at the heart of racism rather than hatred. It is racist to assume that black men are better athletes than white, Jews better with money, or that Christians are more moral than non-Christians.
 
Posted by tomsk (# 15370) on :
 
We have more personality politics nowadays, and Farage is an example of this. He's seen as an anti-politician, a figure in contrast to the liberal political establishment, hence why attacks advocating a liberal establishment position are backfiring.

His/UKiIps success draws support from a number of groups with probably irreconcilable views (working-class labour, right wingers).

I think it is largely a reaction against a sense that the political parties are broadly the same (economically right, socially left), that change is happening (not for the better), exemplified by mass immigration, and that much the same thing will happen whoever one votes for.
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
The basic problem for the Telegraph and Mail and so on is that they've been peddling the UKIP line of bullshit for donkeys years. Now UKIP have come along and are threatening to act on that line of bullshit, and in doing so are threatening to squeeze the Tories. Given that the Tory vote is a bit squeaky at the moment, the right-wing media is suddenly trying to put their genie back in the bottle. Their problem is that Farage is just saying all the stuff that they've been saying, but didn't expect anyone to do anything about.

There was a mayor of Vienna in the interwar years who campaigned on an anti-semitic platform, and then got alarmed when some people actually started taking that stuff he was saying seriously.

The Guardian and Independent aren't entirely blame-free: they've followed the herd in taking UKIP more seriously than the Greens, for example. But the Guardian doesn't need to argue against UKIP: it can presume that the average Guardian reader is diametrically opposed to UKIP on almost everything UKIP actually stands for.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
Farage is a xenophobe, a racist, and someone whose party policies are vile.

The sheer desperation is highly amusing. Liberals having to face up to the fact that their outlook is not the only one around and perhaps it won't prevail.
We know it's the not the only one around. Let's all shout "hurrah for the Blackshirts", give massive tax cuts to the rich, frack everything in sight, roll back justice both here and abroad, gut the NHS and privatise everything that isn't already sold off. But it's okay if you want a massive increase in the armed forces and a doubling of our nuclear weapons. Just who the hell are we supposed to be fighting?
 
Posted by TheAlethiophile (# 16870) on :
 
So long as UKIP don't yield any power, then all they do is suck the right wing nutter vote away from the Tories. And diluting the Conservative vote is just about always a good thing.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by que sais-je:
It is racist to assume that ......Christians are more moral than non-Christians.

Completely absurd statement.

Also absurd is Doc Tor's binary universe in which if you don't agree with him you must be a fracking blackshirt.

There's a certain amount of distortion going on of things that Farage has said. My understanding is that he's been banging on about the threat of Romanian criminal gangs and in that context was asked whether he would prefer to live next to a German family or Romanian men? Whether he is right or wrong about criminality from Romania, I hardly think he is saying that all Romanians are criminals. In fact that would be as absurd as Doc Tor's binary universe or the assertion that Christianity is a race.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by que sais-je:
To take a benign example, two Jewish friends of mine moved to a tiny village in the depths of rural Warwickshire. Every one was very friendly. B was invited to join the Cricket Club. It was assumed that as a Jew he wouldn't want to play but might like to be club treasurer as he would be 'good with money', i.e. he was assumed to exemplify stereotypes associated with his 'race'.

Well haven't you just gone and stereotyped people who live in tiny villages. Do you really think that all of us rural types are completely unsophisticated, dense and xenophobic?
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor
But it's okay if you want a massive increase in the armed forces and a doubling of our nuclear weapons.

In the context of this thread, you seem to be implying that UKIP is militaristic.

Actually it's the liberal establishment which has been fomenting wars for years. Nigel Farage has spoken against this.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Leaving the over-the-top ad hominems aside which UKIP policies are so vile?

Vile isn't a word I'd use, and personally I think you need to start looking at the likes of the BNP to find policies where such language may be applied. There do appear to be some UKIP supporters who would interpret UKIP policies in a particularly vile way.

There are lots of UKIP policies I disagree with. As a brief summary:

Immigration and migration within the EU (two different issues IMO, but if UKIP drag us out of Europe they'll be the same). While I accept there are local issues where immigration into some parts of the country has created local housing and resource (eg: school places) this is a relatively minor problem, and more to do with national population disparities than immigration - why do so many people want to live in London and the surrounding areas? Pursue policies that actively encourage migration of business out of the SE corner of the country and people will follow - easing population pressure in London and increasing prosperity in other parts of the country at the same time. Of course, in Scotland the government is trying to actively encourage immigration to increase the work force to maintain services for the increasing retired population.

Migration in the EU works both ways. UK citizens are free to work elsewhere in Europe, and many do. If it's wrong for Poles to work in Britain, it's equally wrong for Brits to work in Poland. I wonder how many UKIP supporters have second homes in France, and do they realise they'd need visas and stuff to live there in retirement if UKIP drag us out of the EU?

In summary, UKIP policy is driven by the population pressure of a small part of the UK, ignoring the needs of other areas. It's short sighted and fails to appreciate the value of freedom of movement within Europe that so many UK citizens enjoy and benefit from. Where there aren't real issues with resources (most of the UK) UKIP policy only really appeals to various bigots who's objection to immigrants is simply "they're not like us".

Environment. UKIP environmental policy is frankly bizarre. They propose scrapping practically every environmental incentive going - the incentives that make creating renewable generation capacity economically sustainable, fuel duties to discourage excess private car use and support public transport, investment in public transport (it's woefully inadequate as it is, much less if it's chopped even more) including schemes like high speed rail that will help businesses relocate outside the overcrowded SE. As for abolishing CO2 reduction targets, it's almost as though 20+ years of high quality and incontravertable science that shows beyond doubt that human emissions of greenhouse gases are dangerously high doesn't exist.

That's just two issues I have enormous problems with. I've already said I'd like a significant reform of the EU, which isn't UKIP policy.
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
Spawn -

Great posts!
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
There's a certain amount of distortion going on of things that Farage has said. My understanding is that he's been banging on about the threat of Romanian criminal gangs and in that context was asked whether he would prefer to live next to a German family or Romanian men?

If that is the way the question was framed, he was very, very silly to answer it.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Also absurd is Doc Tor's binary universe in which if you don't agree with him you must be a fracking blackshirt.

Nope. There's plenty of perfectly decent people to the right of me. Who knows, you may even be one of them.

But - if you look approvingly at UKIP policies, then yes, I have a problem with that. Why, precisely, do we need another four nuclear-armed submarines at a cost of tens of billions? Why, precisely, do we need to give those earning over £50k a 10p in the pound tax cut? Why, precisely, are we against the European arrest warrant which we use with remarkable regularity to get our old lags back from Spain and into court? Why, precisely, are renewable energy alternatives bad, and coal-fired power stations good? Why, precisely, are they against maternity leave and the job security that comes with it?
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
There's a certain amount of distortion going on of things that Farage has said. My understanding is that he's been banging on about the threat of Romanian criminal gangs and in that context was asked whether he would prefer to live next to a German family or Romanian men?

If that is the way the question was framed, he was very, very silly to answer it.
'Silly' - pretty much the worst thing you can say about him. like Boris, he has a habit of saying silly things. it's the anti-politics thing that people seem to like. But trying to paint him as a bad, evil, or racist man is a step too far.

[ 21. May 2014, 10:54: Message edited by: Spawn ]
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
There's a certain amount of distortion going on of things that Farage has said. My understanding is that he's been banging on about the threat of Romanian criminal gangs and in that context was asked whether he would prefer to live next to a German family or Romanian men?

If that is the way the question was framed, he was very, very silly to answer it.
'Silly' - pretty much the worst thing you can say about him. like Boris, he has a habit of saying silly things. it's the anti-politics thing that people seem to like. But trying to paint him as a bad, evil, or racist man is a step too far.
But the reason I'm saying it's silly is because it opened him up to accusations of racism.

There are two alternatives - either that he really is racist, or that he's too foolish to avoid an obvious trap to depict him as racist. I'm not sure either of those alternatives is a great alternative in politics.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
I don't think we have to paint him as anything. Just hand him the brush, and he'll do a perfectly good job of showing what he's made of, as the recent LBC interview showed.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Nope. There's plenty of perfectly decent people to the right of me. Who knows, you may even be one of them.

But - if you look approvingly at UKIP policies, then yes, I have a problem with that. Why, precisely, do we need another four nuclear-armed submarines at a cost of tens of billions? Why, precisely, do we need to give those earning over £50k a 10p in the pound tax cut? Why, precisely, are we against the European arrest warrant which we use with remarkable regularity to get our old lags back from Spain and into court? Why, precisely, are renewable energy alternatives bad, and coal-fired power stations good? Why, precisely, are they against maternity leave and the job security that comes with it?

Their manifesto counts for diddly-squat because they are a party of protest not power. By all means pick apart their manifesto if they are within sight of forming a government. On taxation plenty of Tories take the same view. To take one example, there is nothing sacred about 50 per cent or even 45 per cent rate. Gordon Brown had a 40 per cent rate for about a decade. I

On the European arrest warrant - this is the party that wants to take us out of Europe? Do you think we'll get to keep the European Arrest Warrant when the whole edifice comes crashing down? One moment they are in favour of fracking everywhere and then you are criticising them for favouring dirty coal. It looks to me that they support a balanced energy policy but who cares because they are not going to be running the country. Same goes for their policy to get rid of some red tape for small businesses. It is not going to happen.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:


But - if you look approvingly at UKIP policies, then yes, I have a problem with that. Why, precisely, do we need another four nuclear-armed submarines at a cost of tens of billions?

See, I sort of agree with where you're coming from. As an ex-RN officer I apply the defence test to party manifestos because it's the thing I have the deepest understanding of. I don't mean that I see whether or not I agree with/approve of what they're saying, so much as does it make sense?

In the case of the UKIP manifesto, what they're not saying here is, we need 8 nuclear armed nuclear submarines at all, they're saying we need to replace the 4 we've got like-for-like at the end of their lives. That's identical to Conservative policy, and when it comes down to it it's identical to Labour policy. It differs from the Lib Dems and Greens.

The Conservatives want it because they think it makes them strong on defence, Labour will do it regardless of internal dissent because when it comes down to it they don't want to be outflanked by the Tories on defence, and neither do they want to make everyone in Barrow in Furness (where they build them), Devonport (where they maintain them), or Faslane (where they're based) redundant at a stroke.

All of which is a totally different argument to whether we should have nuclear weapons at all. So, UKIP aren't saying anything out of the ordinary here, and they're emphatically *NOT* saying double the bomber boat force.

All of which is by the by. Where, applying my defence test, they're getting into the realms of fantasy is much more (off the top of my head, because I've read the 2010 manifesto so you don't have to, and it appears to have been removed from the web but these gems stuck in my mind for four years...):

"keeping open Britain's three naval bases at Rosyth, Portsmouth and Plymouth" - er Nige, I think you mean Faslane, Rosyth closed in the mid 1990s....

So they've got a policy to keep open a closed naval base, or, more charitably, they've just confused it with a different one on the opposite coast of Scotland....

Restoring traditional regiments - loony cap badge politics, but justified by their belief that the regimental amalgamations have been to prepare the forces to be subsumed into "planned European battlegroups" - tinfoil hattery alert...

Interestingly, they appear to have taken down the last defence policy consultation paper that they published earlier this year (or at least they've hidden it very well). That was talking about not renewing Trident at all, but fitting nuclear cruise missiles onto conventional submarines. Actually the LiB Dems have been mulling the same thing, but it suggests (whether or not you want nuclear weapons at all) that they have no idea about
- the comprehensive test ban treaty
- nuclear cruise is outlawed by international treaty because it would increase proliferation and the likelihood of some idiot using the damn things (small payload attacks rather than MAD)
- no one else is doing it so the UK would have to completely re-design a new warhead rather than sharing costs with the US - so it could actually be more expensive than just buying son-of-trident
- a wilful lack of understanding of the difference between bomber boats and fleet boats, and why not routinely arming fleet boats with nukes could actually lead to escalation at times of international tension - making things a whole lot worse.

I could go on.

Anyway, I think wanting to renew Trident is a perfectly legitimate position to take, it's the actual fruitcakery suggesting they don't know what they're talking about or own a map of the UK which bothers me...
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
This is not original to me but I think sums things up perfectly:

Nigel Farage is not a racist is the same way a wasp is not a Coke can.

AFZ
 
Posted by Robert Armin (# 182) on :
 
A thread like this makes me long for ken to burst Farage's balloon with some carefully aimed facts.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
Sorry, I should probably clarify re-reading that that nuclear cruise isn't actually banned per se, but SALT II (or strategic arms limitation treaty II for non-students of the Cold War) does hedge their use to such an extent (for the reasons I gave) that it would be actually more of a waste of money than strategic weaponry.

No one wants to use strategic weaponry, but when it comes down to it we haven't actually signed anything that says we won't. SALT II would make it very difficult to develop, test or use sub-strategic nuclear weaponry (particularly to a new design), and would fly in the face of post Cold War British nuclear docrine since the retirement of the free-fall nuclear bomb from the RAF, and the Lance tactical missile from the British Army.

I'm agnostic about whether or not we should have nuclear weapons, but I do think the conversation should be about maintaining a strategic weapon or not having them; not the apparent UKIP or LibDem (Coalition agreement investigation mode) superficially attractive idea of "let's just have smaller ones as a compromise - I mean, that must be cheaper and safer right?" No to both actually.

Like I say, my test is not "do I agree with what they're saying about something I know about, so much as does what they're saying make any sense?"

UKIP fail it for me, epically.

Other views may differ.
 
Posted by Eliab (# 9153) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
And every racist proverbally has several best friends who are black.

Yes, so they all say.

I think there's a business opportunity there. An organisation for putting right-wing political candidates in contact with members of minority groups (black, Muslim, disabled, all the varieties of queer...) who are prepared to rent out their friendship on a per hour basis. Sort of like an escort agency, but more immoral.

If I could get Farage to endorse it, I'd be made.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Their manifesto counts for diddly-squat because they are a party of protest not power.

Actually, it counts for an awful lot. While they might not be (yet) in a position to put any of it into practice, I can reasonably assume that people who vote UKIP do so because at least some of their policies are attractive to them. I know then who to avoid.

Also, fracking and coal-fired power stations are not mutually exclusive. 'Balanced energy policy' it isn't. Reminds me of the plaintive cry "what if we created a clean, renewable energy future, and we didn't have to?"
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Their manifesto counts for diddly-squat because they are a party of protest not power.

Well, one assumes that they aren't created by amalgamating scribbles on various pieces of paper - so it gives an insight into their thought processes. Whilst not as severely barmy as previous UKIP manifesto it still indicates that a number of members have issues with thinking logically.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
In grossly simplistic terms, every manifesto has two parts - "this what we think is wrong" and "this is how we'll do things better". The "what we think is wrong" is important for all parties. For those with no chance of political power, the "what we're going to do" doesn't mean very much - which is probably why in most cases it's totally unrealistic, they don't need to propose something that will actually work.

UKIP is looking for the protest votes, those who broadly agree with their assessment of what's wrong.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Actually, it counts for an awful lot. While they might not be (yet) in a position to put any of it into practice, I can reasonably assume that people who vote UKIP do so because at least some of their policies are attractive to them. I know then who to avoid.

As usual, Alan puts it a lot better than I do. Quite simply it is what UKIP is against which counts. So you can expect the high point of their polling at council elections and European elections and the low point at General Elections.
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Actually, it counts for an awful lot. While they might not be (yet) in a position to put any of it into practice, I can reasonably assume that people who vote UKIP do so because at least some of their policies are attractive to them. I know then who to avoid.

As usual, Alan puts it a lot better than I do. Quite simply it is what UKIP is against which counts. So you can expect the high point of their polling at council elections and European elections and the low point at General Elections.
Actually Alan's point is rather irrelevant to the current discussion for the reasons that Doc Tor identifies. It still gives you an indication as to the sorts of people their party is comprised of and what their thought processes are.

Imagine two parties both of which wanted out of Europe. One of which proposed a 90% tax and re-nationalisation of all utilities, the other proposes a 20% tax and an end to the welfare state. I'm sure you wouldn't argue that there was no substantive difference between the two.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
Yes, and UKIP are against furrins, clean energy, workers' (especially womens') rights, and anything starting with "Eu-". My point stands.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by chris stiles:
Actually Alan's point is rather irrelevant to the current discussion for the reasons that Doc Tor identifies. It still gives you an indication as to the sorts of people their party is comprised of and what their thought processes are.

Well you hardly need to read a UKIP manifesto to realise that they are of the right. On the other hand, my next door neighbour spends an inordinate amount of time campaigning for them but tells me he's a Socialist. My argument is that the UKIP showing in the polls tomorrow will have nothing whatsoever to do with what's in their manifesto (it's only been read by half a dozen right-wing, swivelling loons and countless scores of drooling left-wing anoraks). It will be to do with an inchoate unease about mass immigration, Europe and politics as usual.
 
Posted by Yorick (# 12169) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
My understanding is that [Farage] been banging on about the threat of Romanian criminal gangs and in that context was asked whether he would prefer to live next to a German family or Romanian men?

Apparently, the percentage of all prisoners in England and Wales who are Romanian (as at 31/12/13) is 0.6%, whereas the percentage of individuals who have served as a UKIP MEP who were subsequently improsoned is 9.1%.

I know who I'd prefer to live next to.
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
My argument is that the UKIP showing in the polls tomorrow will have nothing whatsoever to do with what's in their manifesto

That again is irrelevant. UKIPs manifesto is entirely written by UKIP themselves, and it therefore tells you something about UKIP [Roll Eyes]

In this case, the fact a large amount of it is simply incoherent and/or reactionary is a good indication of how their party is likely to be run.

[ 21. May 2014, 13:47: Message edited by: chris stiles ]
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by chris stiles:
That again is irrelevant. UKIPs manifesto is entirely written by UKIP themselves, and it therefore tells you something about UKIP [Roll Eyes]

In this case, the fact a large amount of it is simply incoherent and/or reactionary is a good indication of how their party is likely to be run.

It might tell you something about the people who wrote the manifesto in 2010 (though probably not as much as you think) but not necessarily a lot about their activists in 2014, and certainly not much about people prepared to vote for them tomorrow.
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
It might tell you something about the people who wrote the manifesto in 2010 (though probably not as much as you think) but not necessarily a lot about their activists in 2014, and certainly not much about people prepared to vote for them tomorrow.

Their manifesto was updated this year, and it's UKIP that are under discussion, not the people who might vote for them tomorrow.
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
The liberal media's approach is self-defeating. If there is anything likely to increase UKIP's vote it's this dirty tricks campaign. I am amazed at how thick and stupid the mainstream media actually is at times.

Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by chris stiles:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
It might tell you something about the people who wrote the manifesto in 2010 (though probably not as much as you think) but not necessarily a lot about their activists in 2014, and certainly not much about people prepared to vote for them tomorrow.

Their manifesto was updated this year, and it's UKIP that are under discussion, not the people who might vote for them tomorrow.
Terribly sorry I didn't realise that the terms of the discussion were yours to set. My mistake.
 
Posted by TheAlethiophile (# 16870) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?

[Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me]
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd
Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?

Why not? The word 'liberal' covers a multitude of sins, as I am sure you know (assuming you know the range of meanings of the word).
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by TheAlethiophile:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?

[Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me] [Killing me]
UKIP are, as has been noted, simply taking the last 10 years of Daily Heil headlines and turning them in policy.

Now the Right-wing vote has fractured, and the Right-wing press is having conniptions over it. You reap what you sow.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd
Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?

Why not? The word 'liberal' covers a multitude of sins, as I am sure you know (assuming you know the range of meanings of the word).
Well, yes, but I'm buggered if I can think of one in unqualified common use that'd cover the Mail, even if you could make an argument for the Torygraph being economically on the side of classical liberalism, at least in its Thatherite incarnation.
 
Posted by Saul the Apostle (# 13808) on :
 
The Daily Telegraph journalist Sean Thomas stated something similar to The Spectator article....

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/seanthomas/100271887/our-political-masters-are-horrified-by-ukip-trouble-is-the-voters-aren t/

Saul the Apostle
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
The liberal media's approach is self-defeating. If there is anything likely to increase UKIP's vote it's this dirty tricks campaign. I am amazed at how thick and stupid the mainstream media actually is at times.

Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?
I don't know if anyone else around these parts is a Private Eye reader, but I've been greatly enjoying its "street of shame" pages over the past couple of weeks, chronicling as they are the newish Editor in Chief of the Telegraph's battles against reality. Allegedly, according to the Eye, not content with "pruning" the journalists on staff, a series of readers' focus groups have been held which, sadly (and unbelievably), have not as hoped supported the belief that it would be possible to reposition the editorial line of the Telegraph as right-on-metropolitan-London-liberal....

For those not totally familiar with how the Eye works, this is being reported in the news pages at the front, *Not* the satire pages at the back - it's really happening...
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Eliab:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
And every racist proverbally has several best friends who are black.

Yes, so they all say.

I think there's a business opportunity there. An organisation for putting right-wing political candidates in contact with members of minority groups (black, Muslim, disabled, all the varieties of queer...) who are prepared to rent out their friendship on a per hour basis. Sort of like an escort agency, but more immoral.


I know you're joking, but, trust me, there are lots of political consultants who, while perhaps not actually hiring out the minorities, are steadfast about advising their right-wing clients to be seen in their company. Not to mention expert at knowing how to arrange the photo-ops.

A couple of years back, a ukip-ish populist party in my home province of Alberta lost an election they had been expected to win, partly as a result of racially offensive comments made by one of their candidates, which were regarded by some as reflecting overall party attitudes.

A few weeks back, their leader decked herself out in a hijab to give a speech on relgiious tolerance to a group of Muslims.

[ 21. May 2014, 15:22: Message edited by: Stetson ]
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Migration in the EU works both ways. UK citizens are free to work elsewhere in Europe, and many do.

If there are so many great jobs for people to do elsewhere in Europe, why are so many people from elsewhere in Europe coming to Britain in search of work? Why aren't they just taking the jobs that exist where they already are?

A Polish HGV driver moving to Britain to drive HGVs must be doing so because either (a) there aren't any HGV-driving jobs in Poland or (b) HGV driving jobs in the UK pay considerably more. So what good will your "just go and work somewhere else" do for the British HGV driver who just lost his job to the Pole?
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Migration in the EU works both ways. UK citizens are free to work elsewhere in Europe, and many do.

If there are so many great jobs for people to do elsewhere in Europe, why are so many people from elsewhere in Europe coming to Britain in search of work? Why aren't they just taking the jobs that exist where they already are?
More of them are going to Germany. And substantial numbers are going to Italy and France. There are proportionally more internal EU migrants in Spain, Sweden, Austria and Belgium than there are in the UK (figures for 2010, so they'll have changed).

In 2012, EU migration was 148,000 to the UK. UK citizens leaving the country was 131,000. I'll let you do the maths, and you can decide if that works out as "so many".
 
Posted by que sais-je (# 17185) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Well haven't you just gone and stereotyped people who live in tiny villages. Do you really think that all of us rural types are completely unsophisticated, dense and xenophobic?

Only some of the members of the cricket club in one small village on one occasion. And certainly there was no xenophobia, nor were they dense or as far as I know unsophisticated. Just, jumping to an unwarranted conclusion on the basis of a single feature. As Mr Farage sometimes does.

The vicar asked B's wife if she would like to sing with the choir since he had heard she sang with a large and successful London choral group and there was nothing equivalent nearby. He said that obviously she might have religious objections, but Jews, like everyone else, have all sorts of views on every subject: she was welcome if she wanted to join but he would understand if she didn't. That seems a very good and sensible response.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
So I will respond.

Racist - he did say he didn't want a Hungarian living next door. That counts as racist to me, and he does seem identify people by their nationalities quite a lot.

Xenophobic - He so often talks about people like "Hungarians and Romanians", dismissing the "others". In fact, he seems to love stoking the fear of "them".

Vile policies - the party does want to roll back employment law by decades. In fact, back to a time when the wealthy did very nicely, at the expense of most others.

It is a very cheap tacky shot to say "You liberals don't like others disagreeing with you". I know other people disagree with me. Everyone disagrees with me. I don't have a problem with that. I have a problem with people who preach hatred, be it the Phelps or the Farage.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Signaller:
He's trying to be a politician, but he isn't very good at it.

Regardless of ideology, he's a prat.

Nevertheless, he is excellent at getting publicity and putting himself up there with parties which actually have MPs.

I am pretty sure that, come the general election, he will diminish the Tory vote, which can only be a Very Good Thing.

So, hateful 'tho all his policies are - I hope he gets lots of votes!
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
So I will respond.

Racist - he did say he didn't want a Hungarian living next door. That counts as racist to me, and he does seem identify people by their nationalities quite a lot.

Xenophobic - He so often talks about people like "Hungarians and Romanians", dismissing the "others". In fact, he seems to love stoking the fear of "them".

Vile policies - the party does want to roll back employment law by decades. In fact, back to a time when the wealthy did very nicely, at the expense of most others.

It is a very cheap tacky shot to say "You liberals don't like others disagreeing with you". I know other people disagree with me. Everyone disagrees with me. I don't have a problem with that. I have a problem with people who preach hatred, be it the Phelps or the Farage.

Problem is though that he's a hell of a lot more sophisticated than that (certainly more so than Phelps). I don't think it's right to say that he preaches hatred, because actually he doesn't - certainly not to the degree Phelps did (and sadly, I do think the question of degree matters - the whole schtick here is that to a worryingly large number of people Farage does come across as reasonable, Phelps by the end couldn't even manage that within his own family). I would agree that he certainly stokes fear, however...

In the spirit of know your enemy (and because it was £2 in The Works), I've read his autobiography. He's an entertaining writer, and, if you let yourself, he's also plausible. I came away really pretty worried, because what he was saying was of course execrable, but at the same time the man's very talented and I could see w
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
god knows where the other half of that has gone...

to summaraise the missing 500 words:

half his followers aren't in the mood to listen to the media or mainstream parties when they attack him, the other half don't care. A worrying number probably think he doesn't go far enough.

never understimate the appeal outside the larger British cities of a talented populist peddling

"backwards to a brighter yesterday"

but hopefully Westminster first past the post next year will be less kind to him than Party List is probably going to be tomorrow.

I'm sure Iwas going to say something else, but can;t remember what it was. In future, I might try writing it up offline first....
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Terribly sorry I didn't realise that the terms of the discussion were yours to set. My mistake.

Set by the OP. [Roll Eyes]
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd
Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?

Why not? The word 'liberal' covers a multitude of sins, as I am sure you know (assuming you know the range of meanings of the word).
The problems with words that cover a range of meanings is that they're terribly prone to the fallacy of ambiguity. For example, the word 'liberal' used of the Daily Mail could mistakenly give the impression that it is meant in some sense in which it would primarily apply to the Guardian.
Supporters of Nigel Farage would like to give the impression that the political establishment has been dominated by Guardianistas for decades, and that no mainstream politicians or newspapers have ever spouted UKIP-style rhetoric.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Migration in the EU works both ways. UK citizens are free to work elsewhere in Europe, and many do.

If there are so many great jobs for people to do elsewhere in Europe, why are so many people from elsewhere in Europe coming to Britain in search of work? Why aren't they just taking the jobs that exist where they already are?
More of them are going to Germany. And substantial numbers are going to Italy and France. There are proportionally more internal EU migrants in Spain, Sweden, Austria and Belgium than there are in the UK (figures for 2010, so they'll have changed).

In 2012, EU migration was 148,000 to the UK. UK citizens leaving the country was 131,000. I'll let you do the maths, and you can decide if that works out as "so many".

None of that has anything to do with what I was saying, which was to point out the craziness inherent in a comment that boils down to "if you're worried about foreigners using EU law to come here and steal your jobs, then why not use the same law to go to their countries and steal theirs?"
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd
The problems with words that cover a range of meanings is that they're terribly prone to the fallacy of ambiguity. For example, the word 'liberal' used of the Daily Mail could mistakenly give the impression that it is meant in some sense in which it would primarily apply to the Guardian.

Supporters of Nigel Farage would like to give the impression that the political establishment has been dominated by Guardianistas for decades, and that no mainstream politicians or newspapers have ever spouted UKIP-style rhetoric.

OK. I concede the point. I shouldn't have used the word 'liberal'. It was hasty and wrong.

"Mainstream media" is the correct term.
 
Posted by Honest Ron Bacardi (# 38) on :
 
Just in case it might help understand demographics -

betjemaniac wrote:
quote:
never understimate the appeal outside the larger British cities of a talented populist peddling

"backwards to a brighter yesterday"

The demographics of UKIP and similar parties in Western Europe have been fairly well put through the academic mill. What seems to come out is that their support is essentially suburban - what Will Self referred to as "flag-waving heartlands" Of course there will be supporters everywhere, but that's where they concentrate most.
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by EtymologicalEvangelical:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd
Can I ask for clarification here: are we including the Mail and Telegraph under liberal media?

Why not? The word 'liberal' covers a multitude of sins, as I am sure you know (assuming you know the range of meanings of the word).
The problems with words that cover a range of meanings is that they're terribly prone to the fallacy of ambiguity. For example, the word 'liberal' used of the Daily Mail could mistakenly give the impression that it is meant in some sense in which it would primarily apply to the Guardian.
Supporters of Nigel Farage would like to give the impression that the political establishment has been dominated by Guardianistas for decades, and that no mainstream politicians or newspapers have ever spouted UKIP-style rhetoric.

I think it's safe to say that, at least in the anglosphere, when the word "liberal" is put in front of the word "media", it is meant to be understood as meaning something like "left-wing media" or maybe "centre-left media"(the latter if the speaker distinguishes between someone like Tony Benn and someone like Tony Blair, which many right-wingers do not). And it's almost always meant pejoratively.

If left-wingers want to criticize the media for being NEO-liberal, they will say "neo-liberal media", or more likely "corporate media" or just plain old "right-wing media". It is extremely rare in popular discussion to hear someone use "liberal" to mean something like "adhering to the economic theories of Adam Smith.

[ 21. May 2014, 17:46: Message edited by: Stetson ]
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
Maybe one could ask what Marta Andreasen what she thinks of Nigel Farage? She was one of the few UKIP-ites I respect.

(Marta Andreasen was an auditor for the European Commission, refused to sign off their accounts and was sacked for whistleblowing. IOW her antipathy towards the EU is based on personal experience and has actually cost her something, unlike Mr Farage who seems to be doing rather well out of his MEP-hood.)
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
Refusing to sign off the EU's accounts is not unusual. AFAIK it is very unusual for the EU accounts ever to be signed off.

Almost as rare as HMRC's accounts, what with the Mapeley STEPS affair under which many crown building maintenance contracts were let to a company based in Bermuda and Guernsey, two countries known for totally above the board and transparent bank regulation.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Migration in the EU works both ways. UK citizens are free to work elsewhere in Europe, and many do.

If there are so many great jobs for people to do elsewhere in Europe, why are so many people from elsewhere in Europe coming to Britain in search of work? Why aren't they just taking the jobs that exist where they already are?

A Polish HGV driver moving to Britain to drive HGVs must be doing so because either (a) there aren't any HGV-driving jobs in Poland or (b) HGV driving jobs in the UK pay considerably more. So what good will your "just go and work somewhere else" do for the British HGV driver who just lost his job to the Pole?

Maybe the Pole is a better driver than available British counterparts?
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Migration in the EU works both ways. UK citizens are free to work elsewhere in Europe, and many do.

If there are so many great jobs for people to do elsewhere in Europe, why are so many people from elsewhere in Europe coming to Britain in search of work? Why aren't they just taking the jobs that exist where they already are?
It is a simple fact that in many countries of eastern europe there isn't enough work, or doesn't pay particularly well. As pointed out, there are many more of those immigrants working in Germany and other EU nations, a small number come to the UK. And, many are on short term contracts and will return home after a short time here, with new skills and some money in their pocket - paying taxes in the UK but not putting much strain on services (no children in schools, no health care needs, no state pensions).

At present there are less UK citizens moving to other parts of Europe, and many of those will be professionals. It wasn't that long ago, however, when the UK was going through economic troubles and lots of relatively low skilled Brits went to other parts of Europe to work - construction workers in Germany were made famous by Auf Wiedersehen, Pet as an example.
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
The whole concept of "stealing people's jobs" is a manifestation of the Lump Labour Fallacy.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Problem is though that he's a hell of a lot more sophisticated than that (certainly more so than Phelps). I don't think it's right to say that he preaches hatred, because actually he doesn't - certainly not to the degree Phelps did (and sadly, I do think the question of degree matters - the whole schtick here is that to a worryingly large number of people Farage does come across as reasonable, Phelps by the end couldn't even manage that within his own family). I would agree that he certainly stokes fear, however...

In the spirit of know your enemy (and because it was £2 in The Works), I've read his autobiography. He's an entertaining writer, and, if you let yourself, he's also plausible. I came away really pretty worried, because what he was saying was of course execrable, but at the same time the man's very talented and I could see w

I think Phelps preached fear which promoted hatred. He eventually started to believe his own words, and became more and more ridiculous.

Farage preaches fear (and I would accept that clarification), which tends to lead to hatred amongst those who listen to him and accept his ideas. the end result is a dangerous hatred of "others".

Yes he a lot more complex than that. He is playing a political game, of pretending to be an ordinary working class man, with a simple idea that want to put over. But he is more than that, (and less than that too) and that is dangerous. He is telling political lies just as much as Cameron is. He knows what he is doing, but pretends he is just an ordinary chap.
 
Posted by leo (# 1458) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
the British HGV driver who just lost his job to the Pole?

Who is this? Employment law does not allow that.

More likely, the Pole took the job that no 'English' bothered to apply for because the wage was too low or he couldn't stomach the anti social hours away from home.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
In the case of lorry drivers, of course a lot of overseas drivers on our roads are employed in their own country. They just happen to have a route that brings them here to deliver/collect goods. It's called free trade.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
None of that has anything to do with what I was saying, which was to point out the craziness inherent in a comment that boils down to "if you're worried about foreigners using EU law to come here and steal your jobs, then why not use the same law to go to their countries and steal theirs?"

Well, I think you're wrong. If the UK, due to its relatively advanced post-manufacturing economy trains more computer programmers than we have jobs for, they're going to go abroad to work. Conversely, we seem to be sadly lacking in people willing to pick fruit and veg, plumbers and dentists (and doctors, if my son's recent tonsillectomy was anything to go by).

So the numbers add up. We're not "stealing each other's jobs", we're enjoying the free movement of labour. Long may it continue.
 
Posted by Yorick (# 12169) on :
 
Lorry driver bollocks. It is well shown that immigration makes an overall positive contribution to the economy. Farage himself admits this, and instead argues that the problem with immigration is a social one, rather than one of employment or economy. The immigrants aren't English. They're different. Different is bad.

Whats so repulsive about the whole thing is just how popular the vile sentiment actually is. I truly despair of the ugly ignorance of mankind.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
None of that has anything to do with what I was saying, which was to point out the craziness inherent in a comment that boils down to "if you're worried about foreigners using EU law to come here and steal your jobs, then why not use the same law to go to their countries and steal theirs?"

Well, I think you're wrong. If the UK, due to its relatively advanced post-manufacturing economy trains more computer programmers than we have jobs for, they're going to go abroad to work. Conversely, we seem to be sadly lacking in people willing to pick fruit and veg, plumbers and dentists (and doctors, if my son's recent tonsillectomy was anything to go by).

So the numbers add up. We're not "stealing each other's jobs", we're enjoying the free movement of labour. Long may it continue.

Yes, the classical free movement is of goods, labour, services and capital. The EU is supposed to promote all of those, I suppose.

Withdrawing from the EU might presumably impede all of these, although to stop the movement of goods and capital would snarl up business and seems pretty impossible.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yorick:
Lorry driver bollocks. It is well shown that immigration makes an overall positive contribution to the economy. Farage himself admits this, and instead argues that the problem with immigration is a social one, rather than one of employment or economy. The immigrants aren't English. They're different. Different is bad.

Whats so repulsive about the whole thing is just how popular the vile sentiment actually is. I truly despair of the ugly ignorance of mankind.

Yes, it depresses me. I grew up near Oldham, where there were bad riots between Asian and white areas, and there were all the usual fantasies, that 'they' are getting all the nice houses, jobs, higher wages, benefits, and so on. I suppose Farage is able to milk this kind of sentiment.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by chris stiles:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Terribly sorry I didn't realise that the terms of the discussion were yours to set. My mistake.

Set by the OP. [Roll Eyes]
The OP is specifically about whether Farage is a misunderstood man. That would seem to allow discussion of why people are voting for his policies. So enough rolling of your eyes please.
 
Posted by aunt jane (# 10139) on :
 
I don't think Farage is a "misunderstood man". Following the outburst about Romanians living next door, his views have now been seen for what they are.
UKIP themselves might or might not have a legitimate point of view about whether Britain should be in the EU. That does not excuse the posters they have been displaying near where I live, repeatedly trying to stoke fears about alleged mass immigration from eastern Europe.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
If the UK, due to its relatively advanced post-manufacturing economy trains more computer programmers than we have jobs for, they're going to go abroad to work. Conversely, we seem to be sadly lacking in people willing to pick fruit and veg, plumbers and dentists (and doctors, if my son's recent tonsillectomy was anything to go by).

So the numbers add up. We're not "stealing each other's jobs", we're enjoying the free movement of labour. Long may it continue.

Well maybe, rather than training all those computer programmers we have no use for, we should train some of them as veg pickers, plumbers and dentists. That way we wouldn't have to bugger off to other places and have the people from other places buggering off from there to here.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
Well maybe, rather than training all those computer programmers we have no use for, we should train some of them as veg pickers, plumbers and dentists. That way we wouldn't have to bugger off to other places and have the people from other places buggering off from there to here.

Why not?

I think it's great. My son is nursing in Heidelberg and loving it. Why on Earth shouldn't he?
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
Of course, if we were to precipitously and completely withdraw from the EU, we would be in shtuk.

There are EU workers who enable our agriculture to survive - because local people will not do the work for the money a lot of the time. Good or bad, without them, we would struggle.

So many of the multinationals who have a base here (Toyota, Nissan for example) are here because it provides them a gateway into Europe. If we withdrew, they would not come here, and where possible, would leave, and move to another EU country. That would be a very large number of jobs. And this might include some of the banks or financial institutions.

Smaller companies based in the UK who rely on exports would be disadvantaged - many would go out of business. Today, because we have lost so much of our manufacturing business, this applies to most small businesses.

So a Farage-like withdrawal would be a disaster. We should negotiate, discuss, argue our position, make it work right, but our future has to be as a part of Europe.

So even on his fundamental, core principle, he is wrong.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
So many of the multinationals who have a base here (Toyota, Nissan for example) are here because it provides them a gateway into Europe. If we withdrew, they would not come here, and where possible, would leave, and move to another EU country.

I've genuinely forgotten: can someone remind me which major car manufacturer recently relocated a plant from Britain to Turkey?
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
Why not?

I think it's great. My son is nursing in Heidelberg and loving it. Why on Earth shouldn't he?

It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

Of course, that's what a lot of the pro-EU folk want in the first place...
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Quite. I think Enoch Powell was on to something when he said that there cannot be a European democracy because there is no European demos.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
Well maybe, rather than training all those computer programmers we have no use for

Oooeee. I think you'll find it's the people who want to train as computer programmers. 'We' don't train anyone - unless you're suddenly advocating a command economy with quotas for skilled jobs that have to be met by University #23 (formerly UMIST). Which would be a bit of a Damascene conversion, I have to say.

Folk are free to train in whatever the hell they like, be it hairdressing, phone sanitation or heaven forefend, computer programming. Thank God.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
And, the popularity of courses like computer programming is because they open up the opportunity of working abroad. An awful lot of people like to travel, to experience other cultures, and in a lot of cases to move there - either to work, or to retire. And, an awful lot of people like to live in a multicultural society where they can experience other cultures without having to find a job overseas.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
So many of the multinationals who have a base here (Toyota, Nissan for example) are here because it provides them a gateway into Europe. If we withdrew, they would not come here, and where possible, would leave, and move to another EU country.

I've genuinely forgotten: can someone remind me which major car manufacturer recently relocated a plant from Britain to Turkey?
Ford apparently, but I think there is a longer story here. Ford have been reducing their involvement in the UK for a long time.

Yes this will happen. But some will come to the UK because of our position in the EU. And because we sometimes make it beneficial to be here.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
I love experiencing other cultures. It's called "going on holiday". I just like having a culture of my own to go back home to afterwards as well.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
So many of the multinationals who have a base here (Toyota, Nissan for example) are here because it provides them a gateway into Europe. If we withdrew, they would not come here, and where possible, would leave, and move to another EU country.

I've genuinely forgotten: can someone remind me which major car manufacturer recently relocated a plant from Britain to Turkey?
Ford apparently, but I think there is a longer story here. Ford have been reducing their involvement in the UK for a long time.

Yes this will happen. But some will come to the UK because of our position in the EU. And because we sometimes make it beneficial to be here.

If multi-national companies are willing to relocate from EU countries to non-EU countries anyway, how can you say with confidence that if Britain withdrew 'they would not come here'?
 
Posted by Honest Ron Bacardi (# 38) on :
 
Yes, it was Ford's Southampton Transit van plant.

But I'm not sure how that example helps. Turkey has had a customs/free trade union with the EU since 1995, so it is identical to being in the EU so far as non-agricultural goods are concerned. The UKIP strategy is that we renegotiate tariffs on a bilateral basis. We export around 80 to 90% of the cars we make if I remember the figures correctly, and they tend to be high-end models.

Plus the net trade in car imports vs. exports is only part of the story, as much of the value in cars is in the components and major unit assembly, which like Airbus manufacture is done in many countries as sub-assemblies. And these are not accounted for as cars.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
I love experiencing other cultures. It's called "going on holiday". I just like having a culture of my own to go back home to afterwards as well.

There's a difference in experience between a couple of weeks holiday and working in another country, even on short trips. Someone coming to the Midlands would have a very different experience of the culture if they spend the vast majority of time with hotel and restaurant staff, in museums and other attractions etc than someone spending time with staff in your office. I've been told that the difference in experience is even greater when you spend extended periods working overseas ... in a few months I should be able confirm that.

In what way do you not have a culture to come home to? Does the presence of people with different cultures in your neighbourhood change you and the people you socialise with? Minority groups manage to maintain their cultural identity for generations, if they can do that why should a majority culture feel threatened by a few people with different ways of doing things?
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

Of course, that's what a lot of the pro-EU folk want in the first place...

If people are emigrating in order to find work because of economic disparities between countries, then what we want is a policy that removes those economic disparities. And for all its faults, the EU has demonstrably raised the economies of a lot of the former Eastern Bloc.

Within the UK I agree that it's a Bad Thing that London swallows up so many people trying to get started on a career, but the solution is generally to develop the regions, rather than introducing internal migration controls. So I don't see why that doesn't apply on the European level as well.

If people are moving abroad because they want to, then how is that a problem?
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Does the presence of people with different cultures in your neighbourhood change you and the people you socialise with?

Yes, of course. Everybody is changed by the people they interact with.

A village culture is changed when a load of commuters move there. The culture of a Gaelic-speaking island is changed when a load of southerners move in. The culture of a single-sex school or college changes if it becomes mixed.

None of these changes are total - there will be remnants of the old culture around for a long time - but they are changes.

(And by and large, I think they are good changes, but that doesn't mean that no part of the change is bad.)
 
Posted by Gareth (# 2494) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yorick:
I've never really understood the call for people to use their vote, even if it has to be a negative thing. I get the difference between voter apathy and antipathy, but what is gained by using one's vote for the sake of it? It seems unlikely we'd ever lose our privilege to elect a government simply by low turnout. Anyone care to educate me on this?

There is a famous saying, often repeated: bad politicians are elected by good people who do not vote.

What else is there to say?
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
Why not?

I think it's great. My son is nursing in Heidelberg and loving it. Why on Earth shouldn't he?

It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

Of course, that's what a lot of the pro-EU folk want in the first place...

Why do you say HAVE to? Plenty of people LIKE to move elsewhere, see a different bit of the world.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
UKIP are, as has been noted, simply taking the last 10 years of Daily Heil headlines and turning them in policy.

Now the Right-wing vote has fractured, and the Right-wing press is having conniptions over it. You reap what you sow.

This.

Is it really any surprise that substantial portions of the UK population have become increasingly anti-EU, not for any logical reasons but because they have drunk deeply over many years at the wells of newspapers like the Mail, Telegraph and Express. These papers have been consistently anti-EU in often very covert ways. By that, I mean that it is not just the overt anti-EU articles they publish, but the whole tenor of their editorial policies, which have often tainted articles which have little to do with the EU.

Now when this visceral anti-EU mood was going to benefit the Tory party, all well and good! But suddenly UKIP are here and undesired results now seem impossible to avoid. No wonder some newspapers are panicking. Instead of bolstering the Tory vote, it looks like they will shatter it.

And don't believe the guff that all the UKIP vote in Euro elections will come back to the "normal" parties in 12 months' time. Some will. But if UKIP get enough votes to seem a credible force in UK politics, then it will be easier for them to retain some of those votes in subsequent elections.

But let's not be surprised at all of this. It has been on the cards for some time, due to the poisonous nature of much of the UK press. This is one reason why I was so glad to see the back of the UK and why I would be extremely reluctant to return any time soon. Let me tell you, people - there is a world out there which isn't as twisted and bitter as the world inhabited by most UK journalists. And life is actually fun again.

Another factor which no-one has raised yet is that UKIP have tapped into the underlying xenophobia of Little England that has never really gone away. Back in the 1930's, we weren't that different from Nazi Germany - which is why Hitler could never understand why he couldn't get us into an alliance. The reality is that much of "Little England" still exists. It didn't go away, it just went underground. Nigel Farage is simply expressing what the Little England underground have always thought. UKIP are going to do well tomorrow and will probably bounce from that into a place of serious contention in some constituencies for 2015. You're going to have to live with that, England. Suck it up.
 
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on :
 
Well, that's interesting! I've heard of English people leaving England due to their own xenophobia regarding their changing surroundings, but not due to the xenophobia of their countrymen (or their countrymen's newspapers)!

I suppose the long and short of it is that there's always a good reason to escape from these shores, irrespective of what Nigel Farage and co. might do or say!
 
Posted by Morgan (# 15372) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yorick:
I've never really understood the call for people to use their vote, even if it has to be a negative thing. I get the difference between voter apathy and antipathy, but what is gained by using one's vote for the sake of it? It seems unlikely we'd ever lose our privilege to elect a government simply by low turnout. Anyone care to educate me on this?

It's not a matter of endangering the right to vote but actually making a difference. If everyone votes for the least repulsive option every election, there will be a process of evolution, however slowly, to a less repulsive elected body as a whole. It won't be perfect, as we all value different things, but the worst elements should be reduced, if not weeded out, so that we actually have a representative body of representatives.
If everyone votes, and this is what we get, then this is what we chose and deserve. If those who care don't vote then we are in Edmund Burke territory All that is necessary for the triumph of evil [or self-interest, or mediocrity, or . . .] is that good men do nothing.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
Well, that's interesting! I've heard of English people leaving England due to their own xenophobia regarding their changing surroundings, but not due to the xenophobia of their countrymen (or their countrymen's newspapers)!

I suppose the long and short of it is that there's always a good reason to escape from these shores, irrespective of what Nigel Farage and co. might do or say!

No - not "due to". I had other - more positive - reasons. But once I had left, I quickly appreciated just what I had left behind and how better off I was without it. There is a poisonous attitude in the UK. I had realised this for some time but it is only when you are out of it that you can begin to see more clearly just how poisonous it is and how it infects almost everything.

Farage and UKIP are not the problem. They are just more overt than normal symptoms of the problem. One might even go so far as to say that they should be respected for being open in saying what so many people clearly think, but are too ashamed to admit to thinking.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
quote:
And don't believe the guff that all the UKIP vote in Euro elections will come back to the "normal" parties in 12 months' time. Some will. But if UKIP get enough votes to seem a credible force in UK politics, then it will be easier for them to retain some of those votes in subsequent elections.
I'm interested to see what impact a sizeable UKIP vote will have on the Scottish referendum. Two days ago, Danny Alexander, campaigning for a "no" vote in September said that "The break-up of the United Kingdom would represent a defeat for progressive ideals and a retreat from a shared vision of a multi-ethnic, multi-cultural, multi-national state on these islands."

However, the rise of UKIP gives the lie to the idea that there is a "shared vision" of a "multi-ethnic" Britain.

It's also noteworthy that the mainstream media are giving much more coverage to Farage's frothings than, for example, Danny Alexander's vision of a multi-cultural society.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
quote:
And don't believe the guff that all the UKIP vote in Euro elections will come back to the "normal" parties in 12 months' time. Some will. But if UKIP get enough votes to seem a credible force in UK politics, then it will be easier for them to retain some of those votes in subsequent elections.
I'm interested to see what impact a sizeable UKIP vote will have on the Scottish referendum. Two days ago, Danny Alexander, campaigning for a "no" vote in September said that "The break-up of the United Kingdom would represent a defeat for progressive ideals and a retreat from a shared vision of a multi-ethnic, multi-cultural, multi-national state on these islands."

However, the rise of UKIP gives the lie to the idea that there is a "shared vision" of a "multi-ethnic" Britain.


I'm also interested to be honest - particularly as the polls seem to be suggesting that after today Scotland may well NOT be a UKIP-free zone any longer. Quite apart from anything else that may suggest that the differences between the psyche of England and Scotland may well have been exaggerated by those who have a vested interest in stressing separatism.

Now, clearly the political history is different, but the fact that in the 1950s Scotland was actually majority Tory suggests that really the countries of the UK are not so different under the skin.

Independence for Scotland is a matter for the Scots (although, without haing a vote, it's clearly - given the impact of a yes vote - a matter for everyone else too; just one they can't get involved in until after the vote. I do think the negotiations post a Yes Vote are going to be a gloves-off bunfight to end all bunfights as both sides will have duty to negotiate to the advantage of their own constituents/future population and let what would be good for the other side go hang).

I rather suspect it's difficult to see what exactly is going to be the medium term impact on the politics both sides of the border in the event of a yes vote. I tend to think it may well be good for the Tories north of the border, and Labour south of it.

In future, there may be far more motivation for Labour supporters to get out and vote in rUK at elections (and, as an instinctive current supporter of FPTP, even I think the pressure for change to a more proportional voting system - ideally Irish STV+ - would become irresistible). That's because whilst I don't like the Labour Party I recognise that a lot of people do, and a healthy democracy shouldn't be making it difficult for large numbers of people to carry a point of view.

In Scotland post a Yes vote, unless the SNP becomes a sort of ANC/ZANU/Congress and thus the beneficiary of "we delivered independence so continue to vote for us" it's going to be in the interesting position of having shot its own fox; particularly if the last Scottish elections which gave it a majority were to be taken as a protest vote *against* the other parties rather than a positive endorsement of the SNP and it's policies. Shorn of the Westminster drag, the SNP may struggle to find a voice if people now think it's safe to vote for a purely Scottish Labour, or a purely Scottish Conservatives.

There's a case to be made that even Salmond's career will end, like all political careers, in failure if he delivers independence and kills the SNP in the process. I'm sure that's a bargain he'd probably go for, but even so, there may be a few disappointed people with careers in his party....

Interesting times anyway. In some ways I the referendum could be like one of those polls where people are asked for the best film ever and invariably something released in the last ten years makes the top 10 because people are instinctively short-termist.

A vote to leave the Uk because they believe it's right and the best thing for Scotland is fine.

A vote to leave the UK on the grounds that they don't particularly like the Conservatives, and haven't for the last 20 years is a bit daft given that that's not always been the case since the Act of Union, and may well not be again in the future - it's a snapshot of now.

A vote to leave the UK on the grounds that UKIP have done awfully well at the elections is a bit daft given that independence may well boost the fortunes of such a party in Scotland given that there will no longer be the political focus of independence to consider (which has been bubbling away since the late 1970s) and nature abhors a vacuum.

Just my thoughts - others may well differ. I think you're absolutely right that it's all linked together; it's just that with my psephological hat on I'm not sure that it necessarily links in a positive way, rather than a knee-jerk one.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Does the presence of people with different cultures in your neighbourhood change you and the people you socialise with?

Yes, of course. Everybody is changed by the people they interact with.

A village culture is changed when a load of commuters move there. The culture of a Gaelic-speaking island is changed when a load of southerners move in. The culture of a single-sex school or college changes if it becomes mixed.

But, we're not talking about substantial changes by and large. So, not quadrupling the size of a village by building new homes for commuters. Not loads of people with a different culture moving in. Not enforcing a single sex school to become mixed.

Most immigrants end up in cities (a few seasonal agricultural workers being the exception). In a city of 50,000+ people, a few hundred immigrant, even a thousand, is going to make no difference. People can choose not to interact with them most of the time. If the UK experience so far is a guide, you'll likely find that someone from another culture takes over running the corner store - but you'll still be able to buy your daily paper there, just a different face behind the counter (and, quite often a desire to succeed that has them opening the shop for longer hours).
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
But let's not be surprised at all of this. It has been on the cards for some time, due to the poisonous nature of much of the UK press. This is one reason why I was so glad to see the back of the UK and why I would be extremely reluctant to return any time soon. Let me tell you, people - there is a world out there which isn't as twisted and bitter as the world inhabited by most UK journalists. And life is actually fun again.

Another factor which no-one has raised yet is that UKIP have tapped into the underlying xenophobia of Little England that has never really gone away. Back in the 1930's, we weren't that different from Nazi Germany - which is why Hitler could never understand why he couldn't get us into an alliance. The reality is that much of "Little England" still exists. It didn't go away, it just went underground. Nigel Farage is simply expressing what the Little England underground have always thought. UKIP are going to do well tomorrow and will probably bounce from that into a place of serious contention in some constituencies for 2015. You're going to have to live with that, England. Suck it up.

The mask slips every now and then and we see the depths of contempt and loathing for fellow citizens - remarkably common on the left. The use of terms like blackshirt on this thread contribute to a poisonous atmosphere in which people are smeared and dismissed. And then we have the ahistorical comparisons between 1930s England and Nazi Germany to tar so-called 'little Englanders' with the spectre of the holocaust. I don't see any real difference between the stereotyping of the English with which you indulge yourself and the characterisations of Romanians which you complain about. At least, Farage tends to qualify his remarks by talking about poverty amongst the Romanies and how they have been discriminated against resulting in much greater criminality in the population.

Life can be fun, wherever you live, as long as you enjoy diversity and the many different views that are expressed in everyday life. If you set yourself above all your fellow citizens in your ideologically-pure ghetto of the like minded you'll only ever be miserable.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Betjemaniac:
quote:
Now, clearly the political history is different, but the fact that in the 1950s Scotland was actually majority Tory suggests that really the countries of the UK are not so different under the skin.
I was trying to discuss the different rhetoric re immigration north and south of the border vis a vis Farange, rather than discussing Scottish independence. But I completely agree with the above. If Scotland votes for independence, I'm sure there will be a resurgence of Scottish Toryism. Ruth Davidson, leader of the Scottish Tories, female, state educated, lesbian, doesn't carry with her the "posh-boy" ethos of the Westminster Tories. Free of that baggage, I think a successful Scottish Tory party is a given.

The impression I'm getting here (and, bear in mind, the mainstream media publishes slightly different accounts of the news north and south of the border) is that speeches like Danny Alexander's aren't regarded as vote-winning in the way that Farange's speeches are.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
The mask slips every now and then and we see the depths of contempt and loathing for fellow citizens

quote:
The sheer desperation is highly amusing. Liberals having to face up to the fact that their outlook is not the only one around and perhaps it won't prevail.
was your first post on this thread.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
The mask slips every now and then and we see the depths of contempt and loathing for fellow citizens

quote:
The sheer desperation is highly amusing. Liberals having to face up to the fact that their outlook is not the only one around and perhaps it won't prevail.
was your first post on this thread.

The point you are making.....?
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
Ford withdrawing after being in the UK for a long time - well before we were part of the EU - is not comparable to companies coming here explicitly because we are part of the EU.

OK, they wouldn't pull out immediately. But we would be a whole lot less attractive. The world is not the same as it was 30 years ago. We cannot just roll time back and pretend things are the same.

OK, my analysis of what would happen might not be entirely accurate, but there are significant implications that Farage chooses to dismiss.
 
Posted by EtymologicalEvangelical (# 15091) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn
And then we have the ahistorical comparisons between 1930s England and Nazi Germany to tar so-called 'little Englanders' with the spectre of the holocaust. I don't see any real difference between the stereotyping of the English with which you indulge yourself and the characterisations of Romanians which you complain about.

I think you have done a good job on this thread of showing that those who accuse others of stereotyping are guilty of the same. PC culture is not about not stereotyping, but rather: "all stereotyping is equally wrong, but some forms of stereotyping are more equally wrong than others"!! Hideous stuff, of course.
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

And yet when the question is how to assure affordable housing for people on low incomes in London, your answer is that they should just move away from their 'communities' to places where they can afford housing and spend all their time commuting.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
It has been on the cards for some time, due to the poisonous nature of much of the UK press. This is one reason why I was so glad to see the back of the UK and why I would be extremely reluctant to return any time soon. Let me tell you, people - there is a world out there which isn't as twisted and bitter as the world inhabited by most UK journalists. And life is actually fun again.

Out of interest, would you be willing to share with us where in the world you now are, where life is fun again?
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
If people are moving abroad because they want to, then how is that a problem?

I just don't understand it. I've lived my whole life (bar university and holidays) within a roughly ten-mile radius of where I was born, and I've never seen any need to leave. I mean, holidays are fine but to actually live somewhere else I'd need to learn a whole new language, learn how to fit in to a whole new culture, and start again from zero in terms of friends I can spend time with. I cannot see the attraction in that at all.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
If one is a Pole, one has probably learnt English as a second language from a very young age. If one is from the West Midlands, one probably hasn't learnt Polish from a very young age. That might well affect the whole 'should I move abroad given all the upheavals' debate in the two countries.
 
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yorick:
It is well shown that immigration makes an overall positive contribution to the economy.

I've never been entirely convnced of this argument. The only ones who really benefit are big business: they get people willing to work for tuppence. Go to a building site in Helsinki and most of the workers a Estonian. Nothing against Estonians (I wouldn't blame anyone for trying to improve their standard of living) but the money they earn is then sent back to Estonia.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Out of interest, would you be willing to share with us where in the world you now are, where life is fun again?

And please confirm that you locked the door and posted your keys through the letter box when you left.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Originally posted by Betjemaniac:
quote:
Now, clearly the political history is different, but the fact that in the 1950s Scotland was actually majority Tory suggests that really the countries of the UK are not so different under the skin.
I was trying to discuss the different rhetoric re immigration north and south of the border vis a vis Farange, rather than discussing Scottish independence.

...

The impression I'm getting here (and, bear in mind, the mainstream media publishes slightly different accounts of the news north and south of the border) is that speeches like Danny Alexander's aren't regarded as vote-winning in the way that Farange's speeches are.

Ah, ok - well that's entirely possible. There is a school of thought, and I'm going to be very careful how I put this, that Scotland tends to pay much more lip service to being welcoming and multi-cultural because it's far less multi-cultural. Ie it hasn't had to confront the massive changes that have happened south of the border so it can feel really good about itself...

If Scotland had more/any cities that were going to be majority non-white Scottish in the next decade or two the debate would be completely different because the chances are the situation would generate the exact same rabble rousers and trouble makers playing on peoples' fears that it does in England.

Scotland is exceptional not because the people are lovely (although obviously the people are lovely), but because the debate *is* different. However, turn Glasgow into Leicester and there's no reason to believe that it very quickly wouldn't be because the economically and socially disadvantaged do tend to fear differences and "the other."

Consequently Danny Alexander's speeches about multiculturalism won't get cut-through south of the border because the debate's moved on, rightly or wrongly to post-multiculturalism and a promotion of integration. In Scotland, I get the impression that multiculturalism is less of a dirty word because the problems of integration are - so far - less pressing, and a lot of it can be talk about being tolerant and welcoming because there isn't as much of a bill.

For the sake of clarity, I'm entirely supportive of England being just as tolerant and welcoming as Scotland, but I can see why the rabble rousers get traction down here, and I'm not sure what the answer is, because a lot of the rabble are increasingly unprepared to listen to reason (at least in the context of "pointless" Euro elections - I'm hopeful that things will subside next year when there's more of a feeling that the vote "counts").
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
The mask slips every now and then and we see the depths of contempt and loathing for fellow citizens

quote:
The sheer desperation is highly amusing. Liberals having to face up to the fact that their outlook is not the only one around and perhaps it won't prevail.
was your first post on this thread.

The point you are making.....?
That your contempt and loathing for your fellow citizens is quite clear.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
The mask slips every now and then and we see the depths of contempt and loathing for fellow citizens

quote:
The sheer desperation is highly amusing. Liberals having to face up to the fact that their outlook is not the only one around and perhaps it won't prevail.
was your first post on this thread.

The point you are making.....?
That your contempt and loathing for your fellow citizens is quite clear.
I thought it said more about my admirable consistency. But hey, you're the one who threw in the blackshirt comment.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
If one is a Pole, one has probably learnt English as a second language from a very young age. If one is from the West Midlands, one probably hasn't learnt Polish from a very young age. That might well affect the whole 'should I move abroad given all the upheavals' debate in the two countries.

Point of order - the West Midlands, Kidderminster in particular - had a massive Polish community long before the EU, because it was where a large part of the Free Polish army was based in the latter years of WW2. I know it's slightly unfair to pick you up, but it's more just that you hit the bullseye of one of the few places in the UK where there's been 70 years of Polish-English intermarriage, high incidence of Kidderminster accent/Polish surname, and one of the few places where bilingualism was relatively common and hearing Polish in the streets has been common for half a century.

In the 1980s, at my primary school we'd got multiple Oborskis, Sikorskys, Michlewskis, etc - to say nothing of all the Italian surnames because their grandads had been POWs in Bewdley and decided not to go home in 1945...

It's also why so many Poles came to the Wyre Forest when Poland joined the EU - they'd got relatives!

I had no Polish relatives, but enough of my friends did that I picked up Polish words, cuisine, and parties/nights out down the White Eagle Club. Obviously if you'd said Belgian you'd have been more accurate - it was just the Poland/W Mids thing was too obvious not to jump in on - sorry! [Biased]
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
I thought it said more about my admirable consistency. But hey, you're the one who threw in the blackshirt comment.

Consistently what, though?

Also, I think you'll find the blackshirt comment was the Daily Mail's, circa 1934.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

And yet when the question is how to assure affordable housing for people on low incomes in London, your answer is that they should just move away from their 'communities' to places where they can afford housing and spend all their time commuting.
Well, you go where the work is, don't you? And you go where you can afford to live. The combo of those two processes should determine where you end up.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
I thought it said more about my admirable consistency. But hey, you're the one who threw in the blackshirt comment.

Consistently what, though?

Also, I think you'll find the blackshirt comment was the Daily Mail's, circa 1934.

And you threw it into the discussion as a smear.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Point of order - the West Midlands, Kidderminster in particular - had a massive Polish community long before the EU

Yeah, but that's Kidderminster. A town noted primarily for dodgy carpets and having a certain analogous resemblance to the contents of a Glastonbury portaloo on Monday morning.

[Razz]
 
Posted by la vie en rouge (# 10688) on :
 
I am one of those British citizens living and working in another EU country. I have exactly zero intention of moving back to the UK because I personally appreciate the quality of life more here.

I think one of the things that skews the migration for work question is the willingness to learn a foreign language. I can earn more here (as a legal assistant) than I would doing a comparable job in London, but the reason is that I speak fluent French. To put it bluntly, very few British people achieve this kind of competency in a foreign language (‘cause everyone speaks English, innit?). Nonetheless a person like me (completely English-French bilingual with several years secretarial experience) can guarantee that they will basically never be out of work in a city like Paris. Last time I put myself on the market, my phone was ringing off the hook.

I think the day is going to come when the general crapness of British language-learning is going to bite the UK in the butt, actually. When we all welcome our new Chinese overlords, I don’t reckon our utter flummoxation in the face of the Mandarin language is going to help us any (joking – but not entirely [Biased] ).

(FWIW, and speaking only for myself, should my compatriots vote to leave the EU, my very first move will be to apply for a French passport forthwith. I am planning to marry a French citizen in the meantime and would have no trouble getting one. Actually I’ve been here so long I could get one of the basis of residence but applying on the basis of marriage involves less paperwork. Being completely selfish for a moment, I have no interest in losing the advantages of being a citizen of an EU member state.)

On a completely different topic – Marine Le Pen’s odious Front National is courting Nigel Farage. She’s too toxic for him to handle (instead he’s been allying himself with a little anti-EU party headed by Nicolas Dupont-Aignan who exactly nobody is going to vote for come Sunday). Nonetheless I shall watch with interest to see whether he is prepared to do deals with the FN once they get into Parliament. The polls suggest that the FN are going to do extremely well – a combination of sticking it to the man, and frustration over unemployment and the economy. Marine Le Pen scares me immensely. She’s taken her father’s obviously xenophobic and racist party and turned it into something that outwardly looks quite modern, professional and respectable. The voter base is la France profonde especially in areas with high unemployment. Bashing migrants and the EU is the FN’s tartine* and UKIP is much closer to them than they like to admit.

* bread and butter
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

And yet when the question is how to assure affordable housing for people on low incomes in London, your answer is that they should just move away from their 'communities' to places where they can afford housing and spend all their time commuting.
Well, you go where the work is, don't you? And you go where you can afford to live. The combo of those two processes should determine where you end up.
What when the intersection of those two sets - the set of place where there's work, and the set of places where you can afford to live, is a null set?
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Point of order - the West Midlands, Kidderminster in particular - had a massive Polish community long before the EU

Yeah, but that's Kidderminster. A town noted primarily for dodgy carpets and having a certain analogous resemblance to the contents of a Glastonbury portaloo on Monday morning.

[Razz]

You make it sound like that's meant to be a bad thing...

Incidentally, the Wyre Forest UKIP candidate has been in the past ex-TVAM chef Rustie Lee, who popularised Caribbean cooking in 1980s England... Personally, I've always found her a really nice person - she lived in Kidderminster and more than once I've been in a car park lift with her) and a hell of a lot more plausible than Farage (not that even when I lived there I voted for her).
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
I thought it said more about my admirable consistency. But hey, you're the one who threw in the blackshirt comment.

Consistently what, though?

Also, I think you'll find the blackshirt comment was the Daily Mail's, circa 1934.

And you threw it into the discussion as a smear.
For a journalist, you have a particularly tin ear for context.

Your observation: liberals have just woken up to the fact that not everybody shares their opinion and it's funny.

My observation: liberals know that not everybody shares their opinion, as evidenced by the fact that they share a world with the Daily Mail, who haven't changed their tune since "hurrah for the blackshirts" was an editorial.

Your hair-trigger response was enlightening, however.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
Doc Tor. I can see what you are saying about context. I've looked back at the post several times and I think it is the fact that the reference to blackshirts comes in a list of UKIP 'policies'. It looked to me that you were making a comparison of UKIP to the blackshirts (evidently down to my 'tin ear'). I accept your explanation that you are not making that comparison.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
I think la vie en rouge has a very important point - that most British people don't actually have the language skills to make a move, and so feel very content at home. Actually, many people across the EU also feel very content at home.

But there is always likely to be more people wanting to come here because they have at least basic English than people from here wanting to go and live and work abroad. Because this has been the case for a while, it does mean that there are enclaves where those with less English can cope - apparently, if you go to East Anglia at harvest season, you may struggle to find anyone who speaks English, because most of them don't need to.
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
If people are moving abroad because they want to, then how is that a problem?

I just don't understand it. I've lived my whole life (bar university and holidays) within a roughly ten-mile radius of where I was born, and I've never seen any need to leave. I mean, holidays are fine but to actually live somewhere else I'd need to learn a whole new language, learn how to fit in to a whole new culture, and start again from zero in terms of friends I can spend time with. I cannot see the attraction in that at all.
Because it's fun. [Razz]

I have worked in both France and the Czech Republic, admittedly on a temporary basis in both cases. I value quite highly my ability to do that again.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
It's bad enough for local communities that people have to move all over the country looking for work. How much worse will it be when people have to move all over the continent? There won't even be a sense of national community any more.

And yet when the question is how to assure affordable housing for people on low incomes in London, your answer is that they should just move away from their 'communities' to places where they can afford housing and spend all their time commuting.
Well, you go where the work is, don't you? And you go where you can afford to live. The combo of those two processes should determine where you end up.
What when the intersection of those two sets - the set of place where there's work, and the set of places where you can afford to live, is a null set?
Commute
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
And when you can't afford the commute, because it's 70 miles?

Tangential, but we have a massive problem with trying to force the population into the SE corner of the country to work in London.

Commuting is part of the problem. The road and rail networks are congested, because we now consider it perfectly reasonable to expect people to live tens of miles from where they work. It's bonkers.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
Australia is still a major point of relocation for people from the UK. In fact I'm fairly sure it's the number one choice, not anywhere in the EU. And conversely, the latest data I could find says that the UK is our largest source of migrants.

Okay okay, so I guess it does take some of you quite a long time to learn the language.
 
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
I just don't understand it. I've lived my whole life (bar university and holidays) within a roughly ten-mile radius of where I was born, and I've never seen any need to leave. I mean, holidays are fine but to actually live somewhere else I'd need to learn a whole new language, learn how to fit in to a whole new culture, and start again from zero in terms of friends I can spend time with. I cannot see the attraction in that at all.

I have this theory. To adopt Le Guin's terms, people are either stabiles or mobiles. One likes familiarity, stability, continuity, tradition, values the things they know because they know them. The others like novelty, experimentation, are adapters and adopters.

I am of the latter type: I never feel 'X is a threat to my way of life' because life to me is essentially fluid. But I do try to imagine what the opposite - such as Marvin has outlined - feels like. Not easy, since after about five minutes I'm bored witless.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
And when you can't afford the commute, because it's 70 miles?


thanks to recessionary office consolidation I no longer have a 10 minute walk to work - it's been replaced for the last 4 years by a daily 80 mile round trip car journey to the outskirts of London.

It's awesome.

Given however I love the job but hate London, I think I'm just stuck with it. I listen to far too much Radio 4 on the way to and from work.
 
Posted by Higgs Bosun (# 16582) on :
 
It is somewhat tangential, but I cannot resist linking this advice for those voting today.
 
Posted by Erroneous Monk (# 10858) on :
 
When I see the contortions politicians from other parties get into now to side-step the question of whether Farage is a racist, whether his party are racists, whether his policies are racist, I am scared about the future of this country.

But then, I'm not white.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
I have this theory. To adopt Le Guin's terms, people are either stabiles or mobiles. One likes familiarity, stability, continuity, tradition, values the things they know because they know them. The others like novelty, experimentation, are adapters and adopters.

That's a good theory. And of course those in the former group have just as much right to campaign and vote for policies that suit them as those in the latter group.
 
Posted by Justinian (# 5357) on :
 
I think Farage is a perfectly understood man. He's a small minded millionaire out for a bigger slice of the pie for other small minded xenophobic millionaires. And the accusations of racism are because at the very least he panders to small minded racist tendencies (and really doesn't like it pointed out that his wife's native language isn't English).

It's hard to find out specifics of UKIP policy - their issues statement is very thin. They want to leave the EU, to cut taxes (especially Inheritance Taxes, thus unsurprisingly and disproportionately benefiting the wealthy), and increase our contribution to global warming. But I think the Yogic Flyers have more specifics in their manifesto. Which is telling.

So I'm going to go with Wikipedia on their policies.

The tax policy is a huge "More for the rich" windfall. Both flat taxes and abolishing inheritance tax are tax cuts that almost entirely benefit the rich. More for the haves, less for the have-nots.

The health policy is attempting to bureaucratise and thereby weaken the NHS. A voucher system meaning that the rich again don't help support the NHS, and adding piles of red tape. Local boards to add even more red tape while dismantling any expertise. Removing matrons from the job they understand to replace the managers who produce a tiny bureaucratic overhead. And fictional savings in procurement. (Of course UKIP have scrubbed the health page from their website since Wikipedia said what they would do). There is not one thing there that would make the NHS either more efficient or more effective at providing care. And a lot that would make it more expensive.

The EU policy is one part what they claim to set out to do (leave the EU) so I don't hold it against them, and one part wishful thinking (that there wouldn't be an effect of "We don't want you anyway" vastly weakening trade with Europe).

UKIP are against human rights. This is my shocked face. Never mind that the ECHR is one of the greatest British achievements of the past century. And one of the places where the small really can stand up to the big.

UKIP's immigration policy is under review. I dislike everything they have to say here but will leave it.

UKIP as a fundamentally reactionary party oppose gay marriage, favouring the unstable compromise of Civil Partnerships. Their reasons for opposing same sex marriage are as likely as Roman Catholics being forced to marry divorcees. But more on this is for Dead Horses.

UKIP are climate change denialists. At this point you need to stick your fingers in your ears and sing "Lalalala I can't hear you." to think it isn't happening. And they think that smokestacks are, for whatever reason, less of an eyesore than wind farms.

And they want to increase defence spending by £16 billion. In order to fund three floating targets that are almost as obsolete as the Battleship was in 1938.


So that's what UKIP's policies are. A giant tax cut for the rich, screwing up the NHS and sending it towards the current US system (the best thing of which can be said is that Obamacare is a vast improvement on what came before) and various degrees of stupid pettiness.

The racist and xenophobic nature of many of UKIP's candidates and at least one of their spokesmen on the other hand speaks for itself and shows what they appeal to.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
When my son first moved to Germany he spoke no German whatever. So the only jobs he could get were very low paid. He got free travel tickets for trains, buses and trams so that he could work at these jobs. So he could work where the work was and travel in.

Why why why why why don't they do that here for essential but low paid jobs?

Now that his German is near perfect he has been able to move on to a professional job (Nurse) and is loving it.

I would hate us to leave the EU - it would mean he'd become a German citizen. I see no point. A bit like the US - each country should be a 'state' of the EU imo.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Erroneous Monk:
When I see the contortions politicians from other parties get into now to side-step the question of whether Farage is a racist, whether his party are racists, whether his policies are racist, I am scared about the future of this country.

But then, I'm not white.

Likewise. I'm not Anglo-Saxon.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Justinian:


And they want to increase defence spending by £16 billion. In order to fund three floating targets that are almost as obsolete as the Battleship was in 1938.



Agree with every word of your post except this para. There was a point in the late 1980s when this was (arguably) true, but current thinking from the coalface is that anti-missile missile technology coupled with phased array radar has progressed to the extent that, in a rare case of technological reversion, it probably isn't true again.

Like a lot of naval warfare in the 21st century, if something hits you, something's gone very wrong. So carriers are absolutely fine, provided the hunter/killer submarines and anti-air-warfare destroyers are doing their jobs properly. Maritime drones is also a new possibility for carriers.

Whether or not the UK wants to have carriers is a legitimate argument. Characterising them as "targets" and therefore comparable to the battleships of pre WW2 actually isn't.

No one wants to be on the wrongend of a Russian sunburn/shipwreck missile, and they could sink a carrier - but not if Sea Archer and Aster/Horizon/Samson has taken out the missile first.

Carrier on its own, absurdly vulnerable (although less so than a land airbase). Carrier in a carrier task group, probably one of the safer places to be in the world.

But, as you say, there's quite enough to excoriate them for without worrying about the fact they're not necessarily wrong on aircraft carriers.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
Sorry, Sea Viper - Sea Archer was out of service before I was born, let alone when I was in the navy...
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
I have this theory. To adopt Le Guin's terms, people are either stabiles or mobiles. One likes familiarity, stability, continuity, tradition, values the things they know because they know them. The others like novelty, experimentation, are adapters and adopters.

That's a good theory. And of course those in the former group have just as much right to campaign and vote for policies that suit them as those in the latter group.
Aye, but when those policies spill over into xenophobia it's perfectly reasonable that that is pointed out. I'm actually in the former group, believe it or not; can't imagine emigrating or even going somewhere as different to what I'm used to as That London, but I do recognise that that's just me and I can't therefore insist that the people in the next house look like me and were born this side of the English Channel, because that's none of my business.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
I would hate us to leave the EU - it would mean he'd become a German citizen.

Why would that be the case? Europeans lived in Britain before she joined the EEC. Australians, Canadians and Russians live in the UK and they aren't in the EU.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
And when you can't afford the commute, because it's 70 miles?

I know many who have to do just that

quote:
Tangential, but we have a massive problem with trying to force the population into the SE corner of the country to work in London.

Commuting is part of the problem. The road and rail networks are congested, because we now consider it perfectly reasonable to expect people to live tens of miles from where they work. It's bonkers.

I agree. Part of the problem though is not just that London is the capital but also that it is close to continental Europe and is becoming part of the "North-East France - Belgium - South Netherlands" uber-conurbation.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
Indeed many do commute distances like that. But unless your work is quite well paid, it's not going to be possible to do it. Could you do it on £14K a year?

You are correct about London's location wrt Europe - this is why I would support HS2 if it allowed through trains from Europe via HS1 to the rest of the UK.. Because it doesn't, it's just a way for the well-off to work in London whilst living in nicer parts of the country (i.e. almost anywhere), which will make the problem worse for everyone else.

[ 22. May 2014, 13:53: Message edited by: Karl: Liberal Backslider ]
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
I agree. Part of the problem though is not just that London is the capital but also that it is close to continental Europe and is becoming part of the "North-East France - Belgium - South Netherlands" uber-conurbation.

That's not really true, except for the small minority of people who travel within that area. There are miles of countryside in the area described.
 
Posted by la vie en rouge (# 10688) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
I would hate us to leave the EU - it would mean he'd become a German citizen.

Why would that be the case? Europeans lived in Britain before she joined the EEC. Australians, Canadians and Russians live in the UK and they aren't in the EU.
Presumably for the same sorts of reasons that I’ve said I would become a French citizen. Namely for the convenience of continuing to be a citizen of an EU member state.

That said, acquiring a French passport wouldn’t necessitate me giving up my British one.
 
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on :
 
Erroneous Monk:
quote:
When I see the contortions politicians from other parties get into now to side-step the question of whether Farage is a racist, whether his party are racists, whether his policies are racist, I am scared about the future of this country.

But then, I'm not white.

I am white (Celt with a dash of Viking) and it scares me too.

Maybe I could apply for Scottish citizenship (on the grounds of marriage) but that will only work if the Scots decide to leave the UK and are allowed to remain in the EU...
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
I would hate us to leave the EU - it would mean he'd become a German citizen. I see no point. A bit like the US - each country should be a 'state' of the EU imo.

So you don't want him to become German, but you're happy for him to become "European"? I fail to see the significant difference, to be honest...
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
Being completely selfish for a moment, I have no interest in losing the advantages of being a citizen of an EU member state.

That's fine, if you think easy travel around the continent is an advantage. As far as I'm concerned it's like being given a free ticket to Runcorn. Sure, it's free travel - but it's to a place where I have absolutely no interest in being, and therefore to me it's both worthless and pointless.
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
I have this theory. To adopt Le Guin's terms, people are either stabiles or mobiles. One likes familiarity, stability, continuity, tradition, values the things they know because they know them. The others like novelty, experimentation, are adapters and adopters.

That's a good theory. And of course those in the former group have just as much right to campaign and vote for policies that suit them as those in the latter group.
Sure, but campaigning to stay in the EU won't harm your ability to live in Birmingham. Whereas campaigning against it might well impair my ability to work in Paris or Plzeň.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
I have this theory. To adopt Le Guin's terms, people are either stabiles or mobiles. One likes familiarity, stability, continuity, tradition, values the things they know because they know them. The others like novelty, experimentation, are adapters and adopters.

That's a good theory. And of course those in the former group have just as much right to campaign and vote for policies that suit them as those in the latter group.
Sure, but campaigning to stay in the EU won't harm your ability to live in Birmingham. Whereas campaigning against it might well impair my ability to work in Paris or Plzeň.
Well yes, but creating winners and losers, sometimes at quite fundamental levels, *is* sort of how democracy works....

If enough people want to espouse something that will stop you working in either of those delightful cities with your current ease, well, them's the breaks.

I happen to agree with you, but still...
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
Indeed many do commute distances like that. But unless your work is quite well paid, it's not going to be possible to do it. Could you do it on £14K a year?

No, but where wages are that low, property prices are likely to be low, too. I accept though that there will exist a group of people who cannot do both.

quote:
You are correct about London's location wrt Europe - this is why I would support HS2 if it allowed through trains from Europe via HS1 to the rest of the UK.. Because it doesn't, it's just a way for the well-off to work in London whilst living in nicer parts of the country (i.e. almost anywhere), which will make the problem worse for everyone else.
Agreed. I think the PTBs* have missed a trick there.

[*ETA - or, rather, we as a country have missed a trick; the Powers That Be may have their own reasons for buggering it up like that... [Paranoid] ]

[ 22. May 2014, 16:40: Message edited by: Matt Black ]
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Well yes, but creating winners and losers, sometimes at quite fundamental levels, *is* sort of how democracy works....

Yes, but my point was that the argument as stated created a loss for me without creating a win for Marvin, in that the supposed benefit he put forward is a benefit he can already enjoy.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
So you don't want him to become German, but you're happy for him to become "European"? I fail to see the significant difference, to be honest...

I don't mind him becoming German in the least.

But it would be a completely unnecessary faff for him. I love being able to drive down to visit him, no borders, no restrictions, shared healthcare etc.

The world is getting smaller and I like it that way.
 
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
Well, that's interesting! I've heard of English people leaving England due to their own xenophobia regarding their changing surroundings, but not due to the xenophobia of their countrymen (or their countrymen's newspapers)!

I suppose the long and short of it is that there's always a good reason to escape from these shores, irrespective of what Nigel Farage and co. might do or say!

No - not "due to". I had other - more positive - reasons. But once I had left, I quickly appreciated just what I had left behind and how better off I was without it. There is a poisonous attitude in the UK. I had realised this for some time but it is only when you are out of it that you can begin to see more clearly just how poisonous it is and how it infects almost everything.

Farage and UKIP are not the problem. They are just more overt than normal symptoms of the problem. One might even go so far as to say that they should be respected for being open in saying what so many people clearly think, but are too ashamed to admit to thinking.

As a non-white person I'm curious to know where your racial paradise is. Just for future reference! (I'm planning to work abroad later in the year actually, but I don't really expect to find myself in a country that's more racially harmonious than this one....)

Regarding the politics, I'm not entirely convinced that leaving the EU would make things worse for the ethnic or racial minorities already entitled to be here. Ironically, it might make things better for them in the sense that there'd be less ongoing competition for the kinds of jobs that they and their children frequently have to do.

Going to the extent of voting for Mr Farage is a bit much, though I suspect that the ethnic minorities who are considering UKIP might well be doing so for the above reasons.


quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:

I think one of the things that skews the migration for work question is the willingness to learn a foreign language. I can earn more here (as a legal assistant) than I would doing a comparable job in London, but the reason is that I speak fluent French. To put it bluntly, very few British people achieve this kind of competency in a foreign language (‘cause everyone speaks English, innit?). [...]
I think the day is going to come when the general crapness of British language-learning is going to bite the UK in the butt, actually. When we all welcome our new Chinese overlords, I don’t reckon our utter flummoxation in the face of the Mandarin language is going to help us any (joking – but not entirely [Biased] ).

And the British willingness to study foreign languages is actually getting worse, which is quite sad.

As a linguist myself, and someone who trained to teach languages, I find it hard to blame reluctant schoolchildren for this when the surrounding culture valorises language learning so little. Our popular culture has even less space for Francophone film and music than it did when I was a girl. Language learning here is now almost entirely a matter of inclination and ability rather than necessity or desirability.

The irony is that our society is becoming ever more multicultural, and more and more languages are represented in British playgrounds. But this doesn't seem to have led to any linguistic benefits for children as a whole. Middle class parents frequently see heavily multilingual playgrounds as a problem rather than an opportunity.

Anyway, Mr Farage has a German wife, and probably bilingual children, so he can't quite be accused of being a 'Little Englander' himself. I doubt that he's tried very hard to learn German himself, but I could be wrong.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:

The irony is that our society is becoming ever more multicultural, and more and more languages are represented in British playgrounds. But this doesn't seem to have led to any linguistic benefits for children as a whole. Middle class parents frequently see heavily multilingual playgrounds as a problem rather than an opportunity.

The odd counterpoint to this is the boom in Gaelic medium education in Scotland. We can't recruit Gaelic speaking primary staff here because they can all get jobs in the central belt with the new schools opening. Middle class parents in Glasgow and Edinburgh seem to be desperate to have their kids be bilingual. And this with a language that is primarily of cultural rather than functional importance (and I say this as a Gaelic learner who fully supports efforts to sustain the language).
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Well yes, but creating winners and losers, sometimes at quite fundamental levels, *is* sort of how democracy works....

Yes, but my point was that the argument as stated created a loss for me without creating a win for Marvin, in that the supposed benefit he put forward is a benefit he can already enjoy.
Sure, but, presumably, he's hypothecating that the overall benefits of leaving the EU to UK society outweigh the loss of freedom of movement.

It's not being advocated just because he doesn't think you shouldn't live abroad because he doesn't want to (I assume).
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
Thank you SvitlanaV2 for that contribution to the discussion. I hope Oscar the Grouch replies to the points you make.

On the subject of teaching languages, it seems to me that this is about confidence. In extremis I could communicate in Urdu and German (and probably Latin, not that there's much call for it) but would doubt my ability to actually do so. I've always had the ability to ask for a beer and an ashtray (interestingly enough) in several other languages. As a governor of a primary school I keep looking at the issue of what makes us so useless at speaking languages in this country. I'm convinced it is something simple. Perhaps if we taught sign language at an early age - a practical subject which parents would support and encourage. - we could teach confidence to communicate.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Out of interest, would you be willing to share with us where in the world you now are, where life is fun again?

Canada

Life isn't perfect here (Rob Ford????) but it's a world away from the UK.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Out of interest, would you be willing to share with us where in the world you now are, where life is fun again?

Canada

Life isn't perfect here (Rob Ford????) but it's a world away from the UK.

I'm sorry, Oscar it is probably the country I'm most familiar with and in terms of general attitudes it's not that different fro. Britain. I envy you because I'd quite happily live there but you are not living in a non-racist environment without its own share of little Canada issues. How amusing.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
Btw, Conrad Black's Canadian. And you had a go at the British media.
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Btw, Conrad Black's Canadian. And you had a go at the British media.

He renounced his Canadian citizenship in 2001, and as far as I know has not reclaimed it as of yet.

I'm not sure on what basis he was allowed to return to Canada after getting out of jail in the US. Wikipedia lists his wife's nationality as British, but maybe if she was still resident in Canada, that titled the weight in favour of Conrad's return. But I am speculating.

[ 23. May 2014, 00:32: Message edited by: Stetson ]
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
As for Canada Vs. the UK on racism issues, I am going to say, with a few caveats, that I think Canada probably does a little better.

Anti-immigration sentiment is a mile-wide in Canada, but an inch deep. Since the old Reform Party got collapsed into the Conservatives, there really isn't a major political party whose stock-in-trade is old-school xenophobia. The Conservatives, in fact, despite being led by an old Reformer, have made a partitally-successful effort to reach out electorally to "new stock" immigrant groups, finding particular success in southern Ontario.

Caveats...

The impression I have is that Canadian immigration policy is somewhat more restrictive than the UK's, focussed more on ensuring that people moving to the country were economically viable. So, more business-oriented immigrants, less easily stereotyped by the demagogues as impoverished riff-raff.

Canadian society, as a whole, treats First Nations people(aka Indians, natives) like absolute crap. But, obviously, they are not immigrants, so technically can't be weighed into the comparison under discussion.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
Canada is one of the more multicultural 'Western' countries. Though Australia outstrips it. A look at the percentage of foreign born people in each country is instructive. The 2013 list on Wikipedia puts the UK at 12.4%, US at 14.3%, Canada at 20.7%, New Zealand at 25.1% and Australia at 27.7%.

Mind you, I wouldn't extol Australia as a complete bastion of racial tolerance. It's patchy. But the point is that anyone in the UK who thinks their particular country is somehow being overwhelmed by foreigners doesn't have a very firm grip on how the UK compares to other places, and is ignoring the fact that other countries seem to cope with a much greater proportion of foreigners than the UK currently has.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Out of interest, would you be willing to share with us where in the world you now are, where life is fun again?

Canada

Life isn't perfect here (Rob Ford????) but it's a world away from the UK.

I'm sorry, Oscar it is probably the country I'm most familiar with and in terms of general attitudes it's not that different fro. Britain. I envy you because I'd quite happily live there but you are not living in a non-racist environment without its own share of little Canada issues. How amusing.
I never said it was non-racist.

What I said was that the overall atmosphere was very different and in general, it is. Hugely different in my experience.

And your comment about Conrad Black is beside the point. As far as I can see, Canadian media in general is no where near as poisonous as the UK.

(I did add some other comments here but decided that I really couldn't be bothered. Why should I let Spawn try and kill my buzz?)
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
A look at the percentage of foreign born people in each country is instructive. The 2013 list on Wikipedia puts the UK at 12.4%, US at 14.3%, Canada at 20.7%, New Zealand at 25.1% and Australia at 27.7%.

An important factor to take into account is population density. All those countries have population densities in the 10s, 20s or 30s of people per square kilometre. Britain's is 262. That's going to have an effect on how keen each country is to have more people turning up.
 
Posted by la vie en rouge (# 10688) on :
 
Yes and no. Large parts of Australia are made up of rather uninhabitable desert.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
Yes and no. Large parts of Australia are made up of rather uninhabitable desert.

Correct. Australia is one of the world's more urbanised countries. Most people are concentrated in a narrow habitable band.

The country most similar to us in this respect is Canada.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Thank you SvitlanaV2 for that contribution to the discussion. I hope Oscar the Grouch replies to the points you make.

On the subject of teaching languages, it seems to me that this is about confidence. In extremis I could communicate in Urdu and German (and probably Latin, not that there's much call for it) but would doubt my ability to actually do so. I've always had the ability to ask for a beer and an ashtray (interestingly enough) in several other languages. As a governor of a primary school I keep looking at the issue of what makes us so useless at speaking languages in this country. I'm convinced it is something simple. Perhaps if we taught sign language at an early age - a practical subject which parents would support and encourage. - we could teach confidence to communicate.

I think the problem is that of "which language".

For much of the world it's an easy question to answer. English. It's the language of most of the internet, much of the entertainment industry, of the massive North American continent, and because of the Empire it's a second language across much of the world. It's a bit of an obvious choice. The Anglophone has a less clear path. Without being able to see the future when a brilliant job opens up in Milan, he doesn't know how useful Italian might be. And if that job opens up in Budapest instead, it wouldn't be any use at all. To get the same advantage as many people across the world get from learning English, the Anglophone must learn many other languages. Traditionally, we learn French. Which is useful in France, Canada and a few places in North Africa, but not in the USA, the rest of Europe, the Far East... unless at the age of 8 we already have a burning desire to work in Marseilles one day, it's hard to demonstrate the value of it. Children in Germany learning English already know the value - accessing all that English language UK and US entertainment output, if nothing else.

I think that underlies a lot of it. I gave up and learnt Welsh instead.

[ 23. May 2014, 08:30: Message edited by: Karl: Liberal Backslider ]
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
Yes and no. Large parts of Australia are made up of rather uninhabitable desert.

There are some pretty hefty parts of the UK that aren't particularly suitable for large-scale habitation as well.

Not that it matters in this discussion. I get the impression that there are a few people on this thread who would still be arguing in favour of immigration if the entire country - moors, mountains and all - was full of twenty-storey tower blocks holding two families to an apartment.
 
Posted by Spawn (# 4867) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
I never said it was non-racist.

What I said was that the overall atmosphere was very different and in general, it is. Hugely different in my experience.

And your comment about Conrad Black is beside the point. As far as I can see, Canadian media in general is no where near as poisonous as the UK.

(I did add some other comments here but decided that I really couldn't be bothered. Why should I let Spawn try and kill my buzz?)

Canadian newspapers are very worthy but too boring to read. Of course the atmosphere is different in Canada. You have this feeling of space over there. The immigration policy is much more controlled than we have in crowded Europe. It's the sort of immigration policy that the UK needs.

I wish you well in enjoying the buzz of a new home country. Your elitist contempt for and stereotyping of the country you left behind is unhealthy.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
Yes and no. Large parts of Australia are made up of rather uninhabitable desert.

There are some pretty hefty parts of the UK that aren't particularly suitable for large-scale habitation as well.

Not that it matters in this discussion. I get the impression that there are a few people on this thread who would still be arguing in favour of immigration if the entire country - moors, mountains and all - was full of twenty-storey tower blocks holding two families to an apartment.

No Marvin, not to anything LIKE the same degree. Your idea of 'hefty' is unlikely to make any sense over here.

The figures for cultivated or arable land I've found all put the percentage in the UK at around 24 or 25%. The percentage in Australia is around 6%.

EDIT: You might also find this instructive. Like anywhere else in the world, technology has helped us be more productive and make more use of the land we've got, but the practical reality is that very large parts of this continent aren't capable of sustaining significant populations in a way that has no parallel in Europe.

[ 23. May 2014, 09:10: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
Yes and no. Large parts of Australia are made up of rather uninhabitable desert.

There are some pretty hefty parts of the UK that aren't particularly suitable for large-scale habitation as well.

Not that it matters in this discussion. I get the impression that there are a few people on this thread who would still be arguing in favour of immigration if the entire country - moors, mountains and all - was full of twenty-storey tower blocks holding two families to an apartment.

You do realise that the total built environment - houses, shops, factories and all the infrastructure takes up just 7% of the land in the UK? 10% in England? Under 2% in Scotland? That there's more land under trees than under bricks and tarmac?

I get the impression that some people on this thread have an entirely false idea of their own country, let alone anyone else's...
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
PS I don't know which reports this person is using, but they put the amount of habitable land at 10% of Australia and 70% of the UK.

You simply can't look at Australia and say 'oh, you've got a really low population density' as if we could all just spread out across the whole country.

Also instructive is the Wikipedia list of countries by real population density (which I can't link to because of the URL), which assesses population density by reference to the capacity to grow food for the population. While it does still indicate we've got more room available, the degree of difference isn't remotely like saying we can all just spread out, and the population figure that it uses is out by a factor of about 25%!
 
Posted by Lucia (# 15201) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:

I think the problem is that of "which language".

For much of the world it's an easy question to answer. English. It's the language of most of the internet, much of the entertainment industry, of the massive North American continent, and because of the Empire it's a second language across much of the world. It's a bit of an obvious choice. The Anglophone has a less clear path. Without being able to see the future when a brilliant job opens up in Milan, he doesn't know how useful Italian might be. And if that job opens up in Budapest instead, it wouldn't be any use at all. To get the same advantage as many people across the world get from learning English, the Anglophone must learn many other languages.

I think that underlies a lot of it. I gave up and learnt Welsh instead.

However I believe that there is some evidence that learning a second language makes it easier to learn a third and so on. So maybe if we learnt a second language well from a young age it would give us the tools and perhaps develop the parts of our brain that are needed to learn another language more easily if that became appropriate.

I speak as someone who has been trying to acquire two new languages fairly simultaneously over the last few years!

[ 23. May 2014, 09:23: Message edited by: Lucia ]
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
I daresay it's of benefit. Hard sell to a 10 year old though.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
PS I don't know which reports this person is using, but they put the amount of habitable land at 10% of Australia and 70% of the UK.

So using those figures Australia has 768,685 square kilometers of habitable land, and the UK has 170,527 (243,610 x 70%).

Using the total populations given here, that results in a population density (people per square kilometer of habitable land) of 374 for the UK and 31 for Australia. Or to put it another way, it makes the UK even more overpopulated compared to Australia than I had originally said.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
it makes the UK even more overpopulated compared to Australia than I had originally said.

Dude, have you ever been to Australia? Not only is it gobsmackingly huge, it's almost completely empty in a way that England never was. These are a people who think going shopping, then taking in a dinner and a show, involves a 14 hour round trip. It's the equivalent of me driving from Tyneside to London because London is the nearest city with a theatre.

That doesn't make the UK 'overpopulated', any more than comparing the UK to Singapore makes it underpopulated. Just deal with the actual national figures as they stand.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Dude, have you ever been to Australia?

Only Melbourne, Sydney, Surfer's Paradise (including some of the surrounding countryside) and Brisbane.

quote:
Not only is it gobsmackingly huge, it's almost completely empty in a way that England never was.
Yes, I know. That's the exact point I'm making here.

quote:
That doesn't make the UK 'overpopulated', any more than comparing the UK to Singapore makes it underpopulated.
I've been to Singapore as well. It's OK, but has far too many people in far too small an area.

quote:
Just deal with the actual national figures as they stand.
If actually quoting the national figures in my posts doesn't count as doing that, I don't know what does.
 
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Thank you SvitlanaV2 for that contribution to the discussion. I hope Oscar the Grouch replies to the points you make.

On the subject of teaching languages, it seems to me that this is about confidence. In extremis I could communicate in Urdu and German (and probably Latin, not that there's much call for it) but would doubt my ability to actually do so. I've always had the ability to ask for a beer and an ashtray (interestingly enough) in several other languages. As a governor of a primary school I keep looking at the issue of what makes us so useless at speaking languages in this country. I'm convinced it is something simple. Perhaps if we taught sign language at an early age - a practical subject which parents would support and encourage. - we could teach confidence to communicate.

I think the problem is that of "which language".

For much of the world it's an easy question to answer. English. It's the language of most of the internet, much of the entertainment industry, of the massive North American continent, and because of the Empire it's a second language across much of the world. It's a bit of an obvious choice. The Anglophone has a less clear path. Without being able to see the future when a brilliant job opens up in Milan, he doesn't know how useful Italian might be. And if that job opens up in Budapest instead, it wouldn't be any use at all. To get the same advantage as many people across the world get from learning English, the Anglophone must learn many other languages. Traditionally, we learn French. Which is useful in France, Canada and a few places in North Africa, but not in the USA, the rest of Europe, the Far East... unless at the age of 8 we already have a burning desire to work in Marseilles one day, it's hard to demonstrate the value of it. Children in Germany learning English already know the value - accessing all that English language UK and US entertainment output, if nothing else.

I think that underlies a lot of it. I gave up and learnt Welsh instead.

I agree that the choice of a second language is less obvious for children in the UK than for those in other European countries, but this doesn't really seem to imply the British are thus at a disadvantage with respect to finding foreign employment.

After all, those English-learning continentals aren't all emigrating to English-speaking countries. If the ability to speak English can help a German get that good job in Milan, the native English speaker should have even more of an advantage; and if knowing English isn't generally helpful, the German faces the same difficulty of choice that the Brit does.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Just deal with the actual national figures as they stand.

If actually quoting the national figures in my posts doesn't count as doing that, I don't know what does.
But you're making comparisons against other countries which are vastly different to the UK.

You say the UK is overpopulated: okay, what figure do you think it should be, and why?
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Spawn:
Thank you SvitlanaV2 for that contribution to the discussion. I hope Oscar the Grouch replies to the points you make.

On the subject of teaching languages, it seems to me that this is about confidence. In extremis I could communicate in Urdu and German (and probably Latin, not that there's much call for it) but would doubt my ability to actually do so. I've always had the ability to ask for a beer and an ashtray (interestingly enough) in several other languages. As a governor of a primary school I keep looking at the issue of what makes us so useless at speaking languages in this country. I'm convinced it is something simple. Perhaps if we taught sign language at an early age - a practical subject which parents would support and encourage. - we could teach confidence to communicate.

I think the problem is that of "which language".

For much of the world it's an easy question to answer. English. It's the language of most of the internet, much of the entertainment industry, of the massive North American continent, and because of the Empire it's a second language across much of the world. It's a bit of an obvious choice. The Anglophone has a less clear path. Without being able to see the future when a brilliant job opens up in Milan, he doesn't know how useful Italian might be. And if that job opens up in Budapest instead, it wouldn't be any use at all. To get the same advantage as many people across the world get from learning English, the Anglophone must learn many other languages. Traditionally, we learn French. Which is useful in France, Canada and a few places in North Africa, but not in the USA, the rest of Europe, the Far East... unless at the age of 8 we already have a burning desire to work in Marseilles one day, it's hard to demonstrate the value of it. Children in Germany learning English already know the value - accessing all that English language UK and US entertainment output, if nothing else.

I think that underlies a lot of it. I gave up and learnt Welsh instead.

I agree that the choice of a second language is less obvious for children in the UK than for those in other European countries, but this doesn't really seem to imply the British are thus at a disadvantage with respect to finding foreign employment.

After all, those English-learning continentals aren't all emigrating to English-speaking countries. If the ability to speak English can help a German get that good job in Milan, the native English speaker should have even more of an advantage; and if knowing English isn't generally helpful, the German faces the same difficulty of choice that the Brit does.

No, but learn one and you can probably pick up another one. Those children learning English for the purpose of films and rock music might find it easier to then, later in life, learn Italian or whatever.

Grow up monoglot, with no obvious-to-a-teenager reason to learn anything else, and your always trying to add one to English, not x to native plus English.

If I was interviewing only two candidates for a job in Milan for which English was useful but Italian was necessary and they were a monoglot Englishman and a German who spoke English, I would definitely (all other points being equal between them) go for the German, because I'd have more confidence that the Italian would come in time.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
The population density argument is, to use a term regularly employed by a recently departed shipmate, bollocks. Britain lies 51st (according to Wikipedia) in the population density league, and these aren't all Singapores, Maltas and similar crowded little former colonies. At least four countries geographically larger than Britain have greater populations and population density.

What matters is the attitude people have to one another. My view, for what it's worth, is that many who live in the UK (I can't comment on Ireland), which is supposedly famed for tolerance and freedom, are just too damn choosy about their neighbors and use flimsy excuses about unchecked immigration ruining the country when they simply want people just like themselves next door.

Farage and his pals are tapping into this sentiment. I'm waiting to see what happens whjen they do get some power. Fringe parties have a record of poor performance and I don't expect UKIP to do much better, on the basis of their performance in the European Parliament.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
But you're making comparisons against other countries which are vastly different to the UK.

I'll grant you that. But I didn't start it - that would be all those who were saying "other countries have a higher percentage of immigrants, so what are you complaining about?"

If the comparison is invalid one way, it's invalid both ways. Conversely, if it's valid one way then it's valid both ways. I'm happy to go with either option.

quote:
You say the UK is overpopulated: okay, what figure do you think it should be, and why?
I think any time a country's population density gets over about 200 people per square kilometer (or per square kilometer of habitable land if you prefer, though that number will be reached far sooner) it's starting to get full. That would mean that of 244 countries or dependent territories in the world, around 60 are full (12 of which are smaller than 100 square km in size and 2 of which are Macau and Hong Kong). Source.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
The population density argument is, to use a term regularly employed by a recently departed shipmate, bollocks. Britain lies 51st (according to Wikipedia) in the population density league, and these aren't all Singapores, Maltas and similar crowded little former colonies. At least four countries geographically larger than Britain have greater populations and population density.

Yes - Vietnam, The Philippines, Japan and India. Which of those would you like the UK to turn into?

quote:
What matters is the attitude people have to one another. My view, for what it's worth, is that many who live in the UK (I can't comment on Ireland), which is supposedly famed for tolerance and freedom, are just too damn choosy about their neighbors and use flimsy excuses about unchecked immigration ruining the country when they simply want people just like themselves next door.
By all means, play the "it's because they're all filthy racists" card. I'll take it as a victory.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
I think any time a country's population density gets over about 200 people per square kilometer (or per square kilometer of habitable land if you prefer, though that number will be reached far sooner) it's starting to get full. That would mean that of 244 countries or dependent territories in the world, around 60 are full (12 of which are smaller than 100 square km in size and 2 of which are Macau and Hong Kong). Source.

You realise that this is an entirely arbitrary number. London has a population density of over 5,000/km2, so clearly 200/km2 isn't at a point where people go mad and cats and dogs are doing it in the street.

Why 200?
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
You realise that this is an entirely arbitrary number.

Of course.

quote:
London has a population density of over 5,000/km2, so clearly 200/km2 isn't at a point where people go mad and cats and dogs are doing it in the street.
Maybe not, but I'd hate to live there. And I wouldn't want the whole country to be like London. Would you?

And yes, I do live in the West Midlands conurbation (pop. density just over 4k). But I've always lived on the outskirts, within very easy reach of nice open countryside where I can go if I need some space to breathe.

quote:
Why 200?
It's a nice round number that neatly divides the top quartile of countries from the rest in terms of population density. I fail to see the problem with it, given that even if it was accepted worldwide the vast majority of industrialised nations would still be very much open to new immigrantion.
 
Posted by la vie en rouge (# 10688) on :
 
And FWIW, Paris has a population density of 15 000 per km² i.e. approximately three times higher than London. (Which is not a widely known fact: it is the mostly densely populated city in the Western world and our apartments are all cupboards.)

[x-post]

[ 23. May 2014, 15:26: Message edited by: la vie en rouge ]
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by la vie en rouge:
and our apartments are all cupboards

Yet another reason to favour lower population densities.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
Maybe not, but I'd hate to live there. And I wouldn't want the whole country to be like London. Would you?

And yes, I do live in the West Midlands conurbation (pop. density just over 4k). But I've always lived on the outskirts, within very easy reach of nice open countryside where I can go if I need some space to breathe.

There is a series of maps, which I'm singularly failing to find, of what the UK would look like if we all lived in one city. IIRC, we can all fit in a 1k stretch on the south coast, at Manhattan density. The rest of the country is completely uninhabited. So you'd live 1k from open fields, no matter where you lived.

Britain is not full. That's a meaningless phrase. Any figure you put on it is arbitrary and based solely on how 'full' you feel it is. And the point is that the 8.3 million people who live in London do so, mostly without killing each other.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
One aspect of the issue of controlling immigration that has never made sense to me is that it is typically the free-market ideologues who are most in favour of restricting immigration.

But if you believe in the free market, surely you believe in the free labour market as well? If one of your core beliefs is that government should interfere as little as possible with the freedom of businesses to carry out their business, why should you then place restrictions on a key part of any business - its work force.

From a theoretical and purely economic point of view, right wing freetraders should be lining up to defend the freedom of people to move across boundaries in search of work. Or have I missed something?
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
IIRC, we can all fit in a 1k stretch on the south coast, at Manhattan density.

Why on earth would we want to live at Manhattan density though?
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
The problem with Europe is that it doesn't do 'theoretical' .
In theory Europe should not have invited the misery of two world wars. But it did . In theory Europe should now function like the United States of America. But it won't .
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
Oscar wrote:

quote:
One aspect of the issue of controlling immigration that has never made sense to me is that it is typically the free-market ideologues who are most in favour of restricting immigration.


Actually, I think most free-market PURISTS are in favour of unrestricted immigration, which they think will keep wages low and, on a loftier moral ground, enhance the individual's right to free movement.

Here, for example, is a right-wing libertarian magazine from the US attacking Farange's anti-immigration stance...

The UKIP Was Wrong About Immigration

However, for complex reasons, in practical politics, free-marketers have formed a political alliance with social-conservatives and what you in the UK call "Little Englanders", which means market-oriented views on immigration get shunted to the side in order to play to the nativist crowd.

It's sort of like how free-marketers SHOULD be the biggest supporters of pornography publishers, because they are independent businesses that stay afloat by selling a product that the consumer wants to buy. But, of course, conservatives have to appeal to the Religious Right as well, so...
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
IIRC, we can all fit in a 1k stretch on the south coast, at Manhattan density.

Why on earth would we want to live at Manhattan density though?
Why wouldn't we? You already live in a high density city: you'd not notice.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Here, for example, is a right-wing libertarian magazine from the US attacking Farange's anti-immigration stance...

The UKIP Was Wrong About Immigration

In most metrics, right libertarians see right authoritarians (aka 'national socialists') as wrong.
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
Doc tor wrote:

quote:
Why wouldn't we? You already live in a high density city: you'd not notice.


Yeah, I live in Korea, where the density is off-the-charts. The South alone has more people than Canada, while being geographically smaller than a mid-sized Canadian province.

But you don't really notice it on an everyday level. They build vertically, with most people living in high-rise apartment blocks, so residential isn't really taking up that much space. And it's not like there are people awarming all over the place. Some parts of the cities I've lived in can seem quite barren most of the time.

That said, compared to my hometown, and Canada generally, there isn't a lot of green space. You can't really go out to the country and look around without seeing some nearby sign of human habitation. But I'd imagine you get the same thing in most European countries.
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Here, for example, is a right-wing libertarian magazine from the US attacking Farange's anti-immigration stance...

The UKIP Was Wrong About Immigration

In most metrics, right libertarians see right authoritarians (aka 'national socialists') as wrong.
Which gets to something else I was wondering about...

Does the UKIP present itself as a free-market party? I know they're against regulation from "Brussels", but do they advocate things like protective traiffs and social-welfare spending undertaken by the UK government, for the supposed benefit of "Britons"?
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Does the UKIP present itself as a free-market party?

It does, as far as I can gather . So it strikes me as somewhat odd that UKIP finds favour among farmers and landowners . Price support for agricultural produce has come from the EU since WW2, presumably this would be withdrawn if Britain broke free from the EU. Whatsmore prices would fall if food could be freely sourced from anywhere in the world.

This is but one example of the irrationality of far right politics and, more importantly, the places from whence it's support arises.
Having said that I voted UKIP last night in the Euro election . So the question is ... Why have I , (a life-long liberal), and thousands like me , been moved to vote for far right politics ?
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
Thanks, for the info, Rolyn.

quote:
Having said that I voted UKIP last night in the Euro election . So the question is ... Why have I , (a life-long liberal), and thousands like me , been moved to vote for far right politics ?


Umm, I dunno. Presumably there is only one person here who can answer the question about why you voted UKIP, and he/she has chosen to remain silent on the matter.

This Guardian column articulated some things that I've long thought about right-wing populist parties. I share the writer's dismissive attitude toward the word "community" as a left-wing shibboleth, since it's an empty concept that doesn't really mean much more than "a group of people sharing a common purpose or space". A bloke running around with the St George's Cross yelling "Pak*s out!" has as much a sense of community as someone attending a trade-union meeting in Manchester.

[ 23. May 2014, 18:38: Message edited by: Stetson ]
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
Thanks for that link Stetson .

Indeed, if Farage's smile becomes even broader after next year's General Election then all sneering will cease .
Far Right politics is on the rise across Europe . I'm not popping champagne corks over that . On the contrary, I believe a very dangerous state of affairs could be on the horizon .
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
IIRC, we can all fit in a 1k stretch on the south coast, at Manhattan density.

Why on earth would we want to live at Manhattan density though?
Why wouldn't we? You already live in a high density city: you'd not notice.
Manhattan's population density is over six times that of Birmingham. I'd notice.
 
Posted by stonespring (# 15530) on :
 
A lot of voters for parties of the populist right want those parts if the welfare state that affect them (especially old age pensions) to remain untouched. Is the UKIP typical of this?
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
They build vertically, with most people living in high-rise apartment blocks, so residential isn't really taking up that much space.

I prefer having a garden from which I can see the sun for most of the day. Can't get that in the middle of a forest of skyscrapers.

quote:
That said, compared to my hometown, and Canada generally, there isn't a lot of green space. You can't really go out to the country and look around without seeing some nearby sign of human habitation. But I'd imagine you get the same thing in most European countries.
No, pretty much all of them have nice big areas of countryside where you can be miles away from anything and anyone.

[ 23. May 2014, 19:34: Message edited by: Marvin the Martian ]
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
No, pretty much all of them have nice big areas of countryside where you can be miles away from anything and anyone.

If that's the case, I stand corrected.
 
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
I never said [Canada] was non-racist.

What I said was that the overall atmosphere was very different and in general, it is. Hugely different in my experience.

[...] As far as I can see, Canadian media in general is no where near as poisonous as the UK.

I have relatives in Canada, but have never visited myself.

Certainly, in 'young' country of migrants (apart from the much reduced indigenous population) it would hardly make sense for white Canadians to present themselves as the authentic repository of Canadian culture and industriousness. Moreover, Canada's a huge country with a relatively small population, so the unease some might otherwise feel at being outnumbered in certain cities and large towns is perhaps less of an issue.

I also get the impression that on the whole Canada attracts a better educated and better off international immigrant overall than the UK does, which obviously helps with acculturation and community cohesion. I don't know how well it compares with the UK as a destination for immigrants who are poorer and less qualified.

Regarding British newspapers, I think they seem worse online than they do in reality. This is because the internet often attracts commentators who are more wary of immigration than the newspapers themselves. This is just as true for 'The Guardian' as it is for 'The Daily Mail' or 'The Telegraph'. And none of these papers has come out as pro-Nigel Farage, as far as I'm aware!

To end on a multicultural note, let's remember that London is now described as one of the most (if not the most) ethnically diverse cities in the world. White Britons are now in the minority in four English and cities, and others (including mine) are set to follow. People have come here in unprecedented numbers over the past 15 years because it's an appealing place to be - and it makes sense for politicians, newspapers and businesses to appeal to an increasingly important constituency.

[ 23. May 2014, 22:39: Message edited by: SvitlanaV2 ]
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
But you're making comparisons against other countries which are vastly different to the UK.

I'll grant you that. But I didn't start it - that would be all those who were saying "other countries have a higher percentage of immigrants, so what are you complaining about?"

If the comparison is invalid one way, it's invalid both ways. Conversely, if it's valid one way then it's valid both ways. I'm happy to go with either option.

They're not all the same comparison, though. Saying 'the comparison' is trying to suggest that every kind of comparison is relevant to the issue.

The percentage of people that are immigrants is highly relevant to any kind of 'having too many immigrants disrupts things' argument.

Announcing that we have more room, as if we could cart all the immigrants off to a nice empty spot and dump them there instead of having them distributed across the general population, strike me as completely IRrelevant. People live where they live. They quite frequently gravitate to places where other people also live. The percentage of immigrants is a sensible comparison because it reflects what proportion of the people you see around you are likely to be foreigners.

If you're just bothered about HOW MANY people you see around you, and don't care whether they came from nearby or far away, then that's not racist, but it doesn't have all that much to do with immigration either because the majority of people you're running into are born in your country. It's your own bedrooms that are crowding you out, not the adult arrivals.
 
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
I agree that the choice of a second language is less obvious for children in the UK than for those in other European countries, but this doesn't really seem to imply the British are thus at a disadvantage with respect to finding foreign employment.

After all, those English-learning continentals aren't all emigrating to English-speaking countries. If the ability to speak English can help a German get that good job in Milan, the native English speaker should have even more of an advantage; and if knowing English isn't generally helpful, the German faces the same difficulty of choice that the Brit does.

No, but learn one and you can probably pick up another one. Those children learning English for the purpose of films and rock music might find it easier to then, later in life, learn Italian or whatever.

Grow up monoglot, with no obvious-to-a-teenager reason to learn anything else, and your always trying to add one to English, not x to native plus English.

At this point I think any UK disadvantage appears extremely attenuated. I doubt fluency in three languages is sufficiently common to count as a significant advantage for non-UK Europeans.
quote:
If I was interviewing only two candidates for a job in Milan for which English was useful but Italian was necessary and they were a monoglot Englishman and a German who spoke English, I would definitely (all other points being equal between them) go for the German, because I'd have more confidence that the Italian would come in time.
This is kind of an absurd hypothetical. If the ability to speak Italian is necessary, it sounds like neither of your two candidates is acceptable; and if you're hypothesizing some other aspect of the job that disqualifies every Italian, I think you've sufficiently narrowed the scope of the example to render it irrelevant.
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
Robert Fulford, a conservative Canadian columnist, has a theory about the psychological underpinnings of anti-EU sentiment.

Paragraphs 9, 10, and 11

That's from the National Post, founded by the aforementioned Conrad Black. It's owned by someone else now, but Black still writes for them and mantains a "spiritual grip" on the paper.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
To end on a multicultural note, let's remember that London is now described as one of the most (if not the most) ethnically diverse cities in the world. White Britons are now in the minority in four English and cities, and others (including mine) are set to follow. People have come here in unprecedented numbers over the past 15 years because it's an appealing place to be - and it makes sense for politicians, newspapers and businesses to appeal to an increasingly important constituency.

And it is worth noting that the council election results have shown that London is the place where UKIP has failed to make much of an impact.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I think anti-EU sentiment has less appeal in London, as so many companies use London as a gateway to Europe, so probably, quite a lot of people see leaving EU as a disaster for jobs. Also, I suppose since London is already so mixed in terms of nationalities, people aren't so fussed about it.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Also, London is a left-leaning city and UKIP is a right-wing party.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:
And it is worth noting that the council election results have shown that London is the place where UKIP has failed to make much of an impact.

No coincidence that the London bubble zone, unlike the rest of the UK, is beginning to enjoy that post-recession feeling.

If the tories pray hard enough for a general Countrywide recovery then maybe, just maybe they'll be able to halt the advance of a previously obscure political party.

An electorate with a full purse is so much more easily pacified.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by rolyn:
No coincidence that the London bubble zone, unlike the rest of the UK, is beginning to enjoy that post-recession feeling.

If the tories pray hard enough for a general Countrywide recovery then maybe, just maybe they'll be able to halt the advance of a previously obscure political party.

An electorate with a full purse is so much more easily pacified.

I think this the key. The tory right wing are part of the story, but the bigger issue are the same white working class folk who were seduced by the BNP a few years ago. They've seen no improvement in living standards pretty much since the 70s. Cheap electronics, sure, but it's got no easier to afford food, heat, power and rent. Fascists are able to exploit this by blaming it on immigration, rather than the (actually culpable) Thatcherite consensus that has meant only the rich have got the benefits of economic growth. The good news is that British fascists are lousy at running things, so once people have had 5 years of useless UKIP councillors they'll drop them, just as they did the BNP.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
quote:
Originally posted by rolyn:
No coincidence that the London bubble zone, unlike the rest of the UK, is beginning to enjoy that post-recession feeling.

If the tories pray hard enough for a general Countrywide recovery then maybe, just maybe they'll be able to halt the advance of a previously obscure political party.

An electorate with a full purse is so much more easily pacified.

I think this the key. The tory right wing are part of the story, but the bigger issue are the same white working class folk who were seduced by the BNP a few years ago. They've seen no improvement in living standards pretty much since the 70s. Cheap electronics, sure, but it's got no easier to afford food, heat, power and rent. Fascists are able to exploit this by blaming it on immigration, rather than the (actually culpable) Thatcherite consensus that has meant only the rich have got the benefits of economic growth. The good news is that British fascists are lousy at running things, so once people have had 5 years of useless UKIP councillors they'll drop them, just as they did the BNP.
Totally agree with your reading of the runes, but categorising UKIP as fascist is both wrong and part of the problem. I don't doubt they've got some unsavoury supporters but it's an odd definition of fascist that pulls together social conservatives and extreme libertarians. Now, if UKIP tacks towards its northern working class supporters and away from Essex Man in the future it could represent a more corporatist entity - akin to authoritarian regimes in Spain or Portugal - than it in any way currently does, and then one could call them fascist.

At the moment, slinging accusations of fascism around at what is basically a viewpoint that would have been legitimate strands of both Tory and Labour thinking well into the 1950s just gets these people's backs up and pushes them more into the UKIP camp. They're not fascist, they don't believe they're voting for a fascist party (which is not something that could have been said about those voting BNP in the 1990s), and they certainly do not become more enamoured of the political mainstream when that mainstream goes out of its way to call them deluded, fascist, or below the salt.

UKIP can dig its own grave with its hilarious view that failure in London was down to its lack of appeal to the educated and cultured young!

I've knocked on enough doors canvassing in the past couple of weeks to know that UKIP are a serious problem, but assuming that they're fascist and are thus doomed to failure is very dangerous. My worry is that they're on a LibDem like trajectory through local government, but in this case without the bien-pensant liberal views (obviously). This is ground up rage which has actually found a focus and is getting traction the BNP could only have dreamed of. The BNP never had a couple of hundred councillors or looked on course to win the Euro elections for a start.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
I've got to chip in to agree with betjemaniac. UKIP has had some racist candidates and I have no doubt that some more have been elected. They attract quite a lot of the "racist vote" although the hardline racist vote is split between Britain First, the BNP and the English Democrats. UKIP councillors won't be as useless as those elected under the BNP banner because some will have served previously, mostly as Conservatives.

None of those parties are organised or disciplined enough to be described as fascist though, hence the splits in British far-right parties and keeping UKIP united will be a real test in the next few years.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
I've knocked on enough doors canvassing in the past couple of weeks to know that UKIP are a serious problem, but assuming that they're fascist and are thus doomed to failure is very dangerous. My worry is that they're on a LibDem like trajectory through local government, but in this case without the bien-pensant liberal views (obviously). This is ground up rage which has actually found a focus and is getting traction the BNP could only have dreamed of.

Ukip , IMO, has succeed in becoming the 'thinking person's' BNp.

That "ground up rage" which you describe is highly apt.
Where has it come from ?
'Kettling' students to prevent a legitimate protest maybe ? Or being unable to stop post-crash bankers from continuing to award themselves ridiculous bonuses and leaving the masses to carry the can ?
Or could even general fear over climate chaos be a driver ?

Who knows . We'll have to await the General Election to see if renewed interest in far right politics is a merely a blip or an unstoppable trend.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Well, presumably a general election will compel UKIP to produce some more policies, about which they seem rather coy at the moment. I suppose basing an election on anti-EU and immigration will work at the moment.

I keep hearing noises about other UKIP policies - e.g. getting rid of maternity benefit, employment laws, more privatization in the NHS, and so on. I don't know how real these are, as it seems quite difficult to find out!

But this might make a difference in a general election. Presumably, Labour would be able to counter-attack on some of these issues - do people really want maternity benefit and paid holidays got rid of?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
A while ago, there was admission that UKIP didn't have any credible policies and they planned to approach think tanks to, effectively, buy them in. I don't know whether that ever came to anything.

I some respects, having policies on anything other than the EU seems a little strange. Given that UKIP pulls its support from both left and right (though admittedly not in equal measure) I wonder whether it can realistically produce a set of domestic policies that will hold it together?

There might be some merit in just saying 'we'll campaign for withdrawal from the EU and, once this has been achieved, we'll dissolve ourselves'.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by rolyn:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
I've knocked on enough doors canvassing in the past couple of weeks to know that UKIP are a serious problem, but assuming that they're fascist and are thus doomed to failure is very dangerous. My worry is that they're on a LibDem like trajectory through local government, but in this case without the bien-pensant liberal views (obviously). This is ground up rage which has actually found a focus and is getting traction the BNP could only have dreamed of.

Ukip , IMO, has succeed in becoming the 'thinking person's' BNp.

If you know them to be the thinking person's BNP - why on earth did you vote for them ?
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:

There might be some merit in just saying 'we'll campaign for withdrawal from the EU and, once this has been achieved, we'll dissolve ourselves'.

Well, sure, and that makes sense from some points of view, but what is your hypothetical UKIP MP going to do about all those bits of parliamentary business that aren't about arranging a referendum?

It's not unreasonable for people to want to know.

(It might actually be reasonable to have no party discipline on this at all, and leave it to individual members - so that you could in principle have a "Tory" UKIP MP who voted for withdrawal from the EU and also for IDS-style welfare reforms etc., and you could have a "Labour" UKIP MP who voted for withdrawal from the EU and for increased power for the unions.)
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
quote:
Originally posted by rolyn:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
I've knocked on enough doors canvassing in the past couple of weeks to know that UKIP are a serious problem, but assuming that they're fascist and are thus doomed to failure is very dangerous. My worry is that they're on a LibDem like trajectory through local government, but in this case without the bien-pensant liberal views (obviously). This is ground up rage which has actually found a focus and is getting traction the BNP could only have dreamed of.

Ukip , IMO, has succeed in becoming the 'thinking person's' BNp.

If you know them to be the thinking person's BNP - why on earth did you vote for them ?
I've been wondering that myself since at least 23 May, 2014 14:37. Rolyn has taken the curious posture of being both a supporter of the UKIP, and a diagnostician of its "irrationality".

quote:
This is but one example of the irrationality of far right politics and, more importantly, the places from whence it's support arises.
Having said that I voted UKIP last night in the Euro election . So the question is ... Why have I , (a life-long liberal), and thousands like me , been moved to vote for far right politics ?



 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
(It might actually be reasonable to have no party discipline on this at all, and leave it to individual members - so that you could in principle have a "Tory" UKIP MP who voted for withdrawal from the EU and also for IDS-style welfare reforms etc., and you could have a "Labour" UKIP MP who voted for withdrawal from the EU and for increased power for the unions.)

That might not be a bad idea. Whenever I've heard a Ukipper who isn't Nigel Farage interviewed, I've always got the impression that he's saying the first thing that pops into his head, rather than party policy. Why not formalise that arrangement?
 
Posted by Hiro's Leap (# 12470) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
the hardline racist vote is split between Britain First, the BNP and the English Democrats.

Not sure about that. I was walking past a BNP rally the other day and one of the main speakers was saying "UKIP aren't perfect, but I'll definitely be voting for them".

Wish I had it on video for YouTube.
quote:
Originally posted by rolyn:
Or could even general fear over climate chaos be a driver ?

That would be an odd reason, considering how anti-climate science they are. UKIP even had arch crazypants climate skeptic Lord Monkton as science adviser until recently.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
On the question of policies, it strikes me that they are a classic small businessman's party, hence, cut corporation tax, have a flat tax, get rid of sick pay and maternity pay - these all fit the 'small business' ethos, don't they?
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
A thick small businessman's party, if they haven't noticed europe is important for trade.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Isn't the point that UKIP makes repeatedly is that trading with Europe and being a member of the EU aren't the same thing? There can be discussion, sure, about the details of that (how would it work? Would there be advantages? Would there be disadvantages?) but holding that basic belief doesn't make one 'thick', does it?
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
At the moment, I think a referendum on Europe would be pro, partly because enough people would be scared of the unknown implications. OK, you can argue that UK would still trade with the world, and so on, but people have actually got used to Europe, even if they moan about it.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Isn't the point that UKIP makes repeatedly is that trading with Europe and being a member of the EU aren't the same thing? There can be discussion, sure, about the details of that (how would it work? Would there be advantages? Would there be disadvantages?) but holding that basic belief doesn't make one 'thick', does it?

I think the assumption that will Britain will be able to throw its weight around successfully in such negotiations, is just as naive as the Scottish nationalist's assumption that they can walk straight into the same agreements the UK currently has.

Weird, in a way that those actually seeking full blown independence from the UK wish to join the EU - whilst a party waving around the independence tag for rhetorical reasons does not wish to remain.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
If we want to trade with the current members of the EEA (the EU plus the old EFTA) then it will all have to be negotiated, which will provide an opportunity for the EU nations to drive a very hard bargain indeed. We might no longer then have our people at the European Commission, Council of Ministers and European Parliament, but we would still be subject to any directives and legislation that is trade related. All of that with no representation or participation whatsoever. Great. Well done UKIP and the other Euro-sceptics, you will have saved Britain's sovereignty.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, presumably a general election will compel UKIP to produce some more policies, about which they seem rather coy at the moment. I suppose basing an election on anti-EU and immigration will work at the moment.

I keep hearing noises about other UKIP policies - e.g. getting rid of maternity benefit, employment laws, more privatization in the NHS, and so on. I don't know how real these are, as it seems quite difficult to find out!


In fairness, a quick perusal of the other party websites shows a similar current disinclination to talk about policy in more than the broadest sense at the national level.

I don't think there's anything too sinister in it - it's where we are in the electoral cycle; no party has yet gone to market so to speak with what they're going to campaign on in 2015, but at the same time they've all got a vested interest in not highlighting what they stood for in 2010 in case they get called on it, and especially on any differences in the fine print between what they were saying then and the sort of noises they are making now.

Until about last year you could get the Labour, Tory, LibDem and UKIP manifestos for 2010 quite easily from their respective websites.

UKIP had a full manifesto in 2010 with as complete a set of policies across all departments as any of the other parties. It was drivel, but it existed.

The fact that Farage admittted a month or two ago that it was drivel,

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-25879302

and that he'd put his name to it in 2010 *without having read it* may go some way to explaining why it now isn't on their website.

BTW, broadly all the policies you hint at were indeed correct the last time they went into a General Election. A lot of it was based around Direct Democracy blended with US style localism (elected county health, policing and education boards; health and education vouchers; privatisation of pretty much anything left in state ownership).

PS the main reason I know this is that those of us who do the legwork have to pretty well read everyone's manifesto so you can be prepared for where people you speak to on the doorstep are coming from. The 2010 UKIP manifesto was particularly memorably amusing - but then, in 2010 we weren't being forced to take them quite as seriously.....
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
BTW, and this is as close as you can easily get on the internet to the 2010 UKIP manifesto comedy gold:

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jan/23/the-ukip-politices-disowned-by-nigel-farage

highlights include:
- a return to proper dress in hotels, restaurants and theatres
-reintroduction of Pullman trains
- the resurrection of the Great Western Railway (last seen before nationalisation in 1948) - apparently just because really...
- government mandated return to traditional railway liveries
-banning university level European Studies courses

Also, there's some really quite sinister stuff in there as well, but you've got to take the laughs where you can get them otherwise this would be all really quite worrying
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
quote:
a return to proper dress in hotels, restaurants and theatres

Well, in fairness, the article says that the UKIP promised to "encourage" proper dress in those places.

It's not unheard of for governments to engage in persuasion campaigns of that sort. My home province used to run ads advising people to smile more, in order to make tourists feel more comfortable.

And, while it wasn't an official campaign, I clearly recall candidate Barack Obama, circa 2008, blasting young males who walk around with low-hanging pants that reveal their underwear. Probably he wanted to be seen as tough-on-urban-punks, for the benefit of white voters.

The UKIP's proposal explicity situates itself in concerns about "Britishness", which would probably come off as more kitschy than anything else. I'd imagine that anyone under the age of 45 would consider it ridiculous to attend an entertainment venue dressed like the pictures in a Ladybird book.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
If you know them to be the thinking person's BNP - why on earth did you vote for them ?

There have been a couple times in the past when I've been tempted to vote BNP but pulled back at the last minute . Without going into great detail it was all rage orientated .

In answer to Stetson's point. When it comes down to it I'd describe myself as apolitical . Voting Liberal since coming of age was pretty much influenced by my late parents who, in hindsight, tended to be anti-establishment/closeted tories.
I confess to being peanut gallery dweller really, and doubt very much that where I place a cross on a ballot paper will change the course of history.

Coming back to the fortunes of Ukip. If it keeps gaining ground then what must be addressed is the medium in which it has come to thrive . I'm guessing the media is also currently playing devil's advocate on this one . Politics has become so incredibly dull of late that even the news readers and analysts look half asleep.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think the assumption that will Britain will be able to throw its weight around successfully in such negotiations, is just as naive as the Scottish nationalist's assumption that they can walk straight into the same agreements the UK currently has.


The UK is the world's sixth-largest economy. I think with the right team an amicable divorce is quite possible. We might debate how realistic that is, but I wouldn't have thought anyone arguing for or against that position was 'thick'.

(Also, it seems to me a perfectly acceptable negotiating tactic even if one prefers to remain in - saying 'I'd like a better deal, please, but if I don't get it I'll still remain a member of the club, don't worry' always struck me as an odd position to take.)

quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
highlights include:
- a return to proper dress in hotels, restaurants and theatres
-reintroduction of Pullman trains
- the resurrection of the Great Western Railway (last seen before nationalisation in 1948) - apparently just because really...
- government mandated return to traditional railway liveries
-banning university level European Studies courses

These do seem quite attractive, I have to say (except for the last one, though I'm suspicious of any course with 'studies' in the title). Wasn't it Evelyn Waugh who complained that the problem with the Conservative Party is that they don't conserve anything? That once elected to power they never try to turn the clock back to how things were?
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
Tempted to vote BNP !?!

Possibly there is not a lot of point in our having a conversation. Because there is no way on God's green earth that was ever your only option for a protest vote.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
I think the assumption that will Britain will be able to throw its weight around successfully in such negotiations, is just as naive as the Scottish nationalist's assumption that they can walk straight into the same agreements the UK currently has.


The UK is the world's sixth-largest economy. I think with the right team an amicable divorce is quite possible. We might debate how realistic that is, but I wouldn't have thought anyone arguing for or against that position was 'thick'.

Possibly I was being too harsh.

But I do not understand how anyone sincerely believes that UKIP is somehow not essentially a racist party - piloted by a group of self-interested cynical bigots.

Looking at the history of the party tells you that, listening to the statements made by the candidates make tells you that, relying on claims debunked 5 years ago tells you that, taking money from the EU by tithing their MEPs to fund their own party tells you that, I could go on, at great length.

It is rather like my bafflement that anyone believed in the integrity of Jeffrey Archer or Neil Hamilton.

I strongly disliked and disagreed with Norman Tebbit, and likewise Thatcher - but I believed in their personal authenticity.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
The UK is the world's sixth-largest economy. I think with the right team an amicable divorce is quite possible. We might debate how realistic that is, but I wouldn't have thought anyone arguing for or against that position was 'thick'.

An amicable divorce is certainly possible. But it is highly unlikely that the terms of this will end up being more favourable to the UK than what we currently have. I can't imagine the Germans or the French saying "of course you can leave the EU. And your trade arrangements will be just the same as before."

Trade with the EU would almost certainly become more difficult and more expensive. Red tape (as abhorred by UKIP et al) would INCREASE. And there is no return to the world where the UK trades more with Commonwealth countries in compensation.

On any economic and business model, leaving the EU will cost the UK dearly. Which is why the Tories, for all their bluster, have never really been in favour of leaving. The eurosceptics may rant, but deep in its heart, the Tory party knows what is ultimately good for business. And that - ultimately - is what matters most for them.

UKIP are dangerous in that their drive to leave the EU is purely ideological and has no basis in reality. "What happens after the UK leaves the EU?" is not a questions that they have answered in any serious sense.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
And watch this, he captures something I can't quite articulate.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
I agree that the pros and cons haven't really been debated properly and it would be nice to see the arguments either way put to the test. Some EU-sceptics seem to think everything will be fine and dandy and problem-free outside the EU. Some EU-philes seem to think supplies of claret will dry up if we were to leave. I think both exaggerate their cases and a proper debate is to be welcomed.

While I've long been ambivalent about the EU, I used to think 'on balance we should stay in'. Since the Eurozone crisis, I've noticed that those who champion Britain remaining in the EU are exactly the same people who thought the British economy would be doomed if we didn't join the single currency. In some cases the words are exactly the same except they've substituted 'EU' for 'Euro'. I now reckon we probably wouldn't be that much worse off outside and we should give it a go.

I think the interesting paradox about Farage is that while he has been very successful in putting EU membership on the political agenda, he's really not the man to make the case for withdrawal. If UKIP remains on the political scene until 2017, we could see UKIP help secure a referendum and then be responsible for losing it.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
Tempted to vote BNP !?!

Possibly there is not a lot of point in our having a conversation. Because there is no way on God's green earth that was ever your only option for a protest vote.

A protest vote and a rage vote are not the same thing . If you've never experienced the type of rage, which is unique in attracting someone to far right politics, then I agree we'll probably not find any joint understanding of it.

Having said that it is a phenomenon the two main parties will urgently have to get their heads around before next May . I don't somehow think photo shoots on hospital wards, shaking hands with a few pensioners, and patting the odd baby on the head is quite going to cut it next time around.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
I still don't get why you'd vote for them, or wish to, over any other non-mainstream party. They are one of a great many non-mainstream parties - what are you enraged about ?
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
Don't really want go into my rage DT, past or present, other than say it peaked with the farm protests of 98 or thereabouts.
Why do some angry people gravitate towards Nationalist/semi Nationalist politics ? I don't know, better leave that for the psychologists to answer .

On the broader issue, I'm not sure that decades of trying to demonise British nationalism has been particularly good for the spiritual health of the British people.
It was certainly a foolish tactic to try and brand ordinary, law-abiding folk concerned about mass immigration as foaming-at-the-mouth, Union Jack wrapped racists . Add that to the after effects of a recession and there you have your problem -- that's presuming one believes the growth in support for a far right party is a problem.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
What effect of mass immigration ?

The recession is not, and was not, caused by immigration. The idea that some how our jobs are being stolen, is not based on fact. And believe me, enough people have tried looking*.

So what problem is the BNP meant to solve ?

(*If you want, I can provide you sources.)

[ 25. May 2014, 21:14: Message edited by: Doublethink ]
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
Also, what's the issue with suggesting people could be racist - the vast majority of the UK population were until at least the latter part of the twentieth century - its not like you could throw a switch and change the attitudes of centuries overnight.

(I am struggling to understand on what basis you describe yourself as liberal btw.)

[ 25. May 2014, 21:19: Message edited by: Doublethink ]
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
What effect of mass immigration ?

The recession is not, and was not, caused by immigration.

I know that .

Unfortunately a popular perception is now growing that the effect of mass immigration is detrimental to the UK. It matters not whether it's real or imagined because it's what a growing number of people are coming to believe.
Why the freakin hell else do you think both main parties are now being panicked into muttering about try to reduce it ?!
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
When what they should be doing is trying to change the perception not pandering to it - if they know it to be false.

If they knew it to be true, that would be a good reason to try to reduce immigration.

(Especially as there is good evidence that immigration improves economic performance, and we need all the help we can get in that direction.)

[ 26. May 2014, 08:30: Message edited by: Doublethink ]
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
Rupert Myers, a Guardian writer who seems to have have been somehow involved with left-of-centre campaigns in the election(though it's not clear in what capacity), argues that racism is of comparitively minor importance among the reasons for UKIP's electoral appeal.

He also makes the related observation that the UKIP's lack of support in London is not because London is more tolerant, but because it is more affluent.
 
Posted by Oscar the Grouch (# 1916) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
(Especially as there is good evidence that immigration improves economic performance, and we need all the help we can get in that direction.)

It wasn't that long ago that there was much wailing about a decreasing workforce that would not be able to sustain the growth in pensioners dependent upon state aid.

The blunt truth is that without the immigrants (be they Polish, Romanian, Pakistani or whoever) coming and working here, the UK would not be able (in the long run) to generate enough tax to pay pensions etc. The economic necessity of immigration is pretty overwhelming.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Rupert Myers, a Guardian writer who seems to have have been somehow involved with left-of-centre campaigns in the election(though it's not clear in what capacity), argues that racism is of comparitively minor importance among the reasons for UKIP's electoral appeal.

He also makes the related observation that the UKIP's lack of support in London is not because London is more tolerant, but because it is more affluent.

Yeah, but my argument would be that jumping to blame immigrants for the housing problem *is* either dumb or racist. Much as it pains me to cite the Dail Mail (I originally got heads up about Cahill's work from BBC radio) this might interest you - the book can be found here. Britain is a long, long, long way from being full. The housing shortage is a choice.

[ 26. May 2014, 17:46: Message edited by: Doublethink ]
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
(I think this has been updated recently, but I couldn't find the link.)
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
While we're at the housing shortage, here are the latest stats from the Empty Homes campaign.
 
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Oscar the Grouch:


The blunt truth is that without the immigrants (be they Polish, Romanian, Pakistani or whoever) coming and working here, the UK would not be able (in the long run) to generate enough tax to pay pensions etc. The economic necessity of immigration is pretty overwhelming.

The problem some commentators note, though, is that immigrants themselves grow old and need care. They'll have fewer children, who will in any case become 'assimilated', thus becoming unwilling or unable do the jobs their parents did; so yet more immigrants will be needed. Meanwhile, the basic structural and cultural issues in society that created the shortages in the first place will remain unaddressed. The situation doesn't sound sustainable in the long run.
 
Posted by Lucia (# 15201) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
When what they should be doing is trying to change the perception not pandering to it - if they know it to be false.

If they knew it to be true, that would be a good reason to try to reduce immigration.

(Especially as there is good evidence that immigration improves economic performance, and we need all the help we can get in that direction.)

The Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration of University College London has just produced this interesting paper entitled "What do we know about migration?" which has a lot of interesting statistical information about the situation in the UK.

A lot of it seems quite contrary to the public perception. I wish the public debate was based more around this kind of information than ill-informed opinion forming a thin veneer over underlying prejudice.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
The recession is not, and was not, caused by immigration.

Has anyone actually claimed this to be the case? This is a new one on me.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
Research shows that people become more anti-immigration during economic downturns. The "they are nicking scarce jobs" phenomenon.
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
The problem some commentators note, though, is that immigrants themselves grow old and need care. They'll have fewer children, who will in any case become 'assimilated', thus becoming unwilling or unable do the jobs their parents did; so yet more immigrants will be needed.

Well, in the case of EU immigrants, they are generally here for shortish periods of time and then return to their home country, especially if they are doing low skilled work. So the above doesn't necessarily apply.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
If people become more anti-immigration during a recession, it doesn't follow that anyone has claimed that immigrants caused the recession, surely?

Also, I thought it was pretty much widely accepted that the vast majority of new jobs created in Britain in the 2000s actually went to immigrants? (Some estimates put the figure at over 90%.) While that's not exactly 'they're nicking our jobs' one can see how it might create some degree of resentment.
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
It is not a low profile claim.

My problem with current politics on all sides of the political spectrum is the idea that, people think such and such a thing (often because such and such a media outlet is pushing the idea) therefore we will respond as if it were true - regardless of whether we have evidence supporting said opinion. Politicians don't make meaningful arguments for their views anymore.

It is quite literally an example of one definition of bullshit - in that it is a concern over appearances that is indifferent to what reality may actually be.

[ 26. May 2014, 22:51: Message edited by: Doublethink ]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
The only relevant, direct quote in that article is this, by the Prime Minister:

quote:
'Remember what we started with in the UK: an economy built on the worst deficit, the most leveraged banks, the most indebted households, the biggest housing boom and unsustainable levels of public spending and immigration.'
While debate can be had as to whether large-scale, uncontrolled immigration is the problem or the solution, I struggle to make the leap from this quote to the claim that 'immigrants caused the recession'.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Especially as the UK is now emerging from recession, by most accounts. Does this mean then that immigration has slowed down, thus leading to a mild recovery? I don't think anybody believes that.
 
Posted by Lucia (# 15201) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:

Also, I thought it was pretty much widely accepted that the vast majority of new jobs created in Britain in the 2000s actually went to immigrants? (Some estimates put the figure at over 90%.) While that's not exactly 'they're nicking our jobs' one can see how it might create some degree of resentment.

If this claim is true (and I'd like to see more concrete evidence before accepting it)the question still remains of why employers would choose to employ immigrants rather than UK born people. Surely everyone is free to apply for the jobs going? And you would have thought that having English as your first language would be an advantage. So is it that there is a shortage of the necessary skills amongst the UK born population? In which case we'd be in trouble without the immigrants. If it is because employers find they are better workers in some way then those who want to be in competition for these jobs need to up their game. If it is that these jobs don't pay enough to attract UK born people as it is not a living wage, that needs to be addressed through campaigning for better minimum wages and employment standards that must be adhered to by employers regardless of where their employees come from (surely this is already true?).

Anyway, the research briefing paper I linked to in my last post suggests that the evidence does not strongly support the claim that immigrant labour pushes wages down.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
Unemployment in the UK is currently just over two million people.

We have had threads on this board in which posters who suggest that those people should go out and get jobs are shouted down on the grounds that there simply aren't enough jobs out there for them all.

And yet the same people saying there aren't enough jobs for all the unemployed people will then turn up on threads such as this one and say that we need more people of working age in the country.

One or other of those arguments must, logically, be false. Either there are plenty of jobs (in which case it's perfectly valid to question why so many people don't want to do them), or there aren't enough jobs (in which case bringing in more immigrants is just going to increase the number of unemployed people in the country).

Which is it?
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Well, the farmer next door to me (anecdote coming up), just says that he employs East Europeans on the land, because the local English youths can't be arsed to bend their back picking the sugarbeet.

He also says that they prefer sitting in their bedroom playing X-box. Somehow, I doubt that, since you can't just draw unemployment pay these days, while sitting on your backside.

Still, it's a common opinion in Norfolk.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
Unemployment in the UK is currently just over two million people.

We have had threads on this board in which posters who suggest that those people should go out and get jobs are shouted down on the grounds that there simply aren't enough jobs out there for them all.

And yet the same people saying there aren't enough jobs for all the unemployed people will then turn up on threads such as this one and say that we need more people of working age in the country.

One or other of those arguments must, logically, be false. Either there are plenty of jobs (in which case it's perfectly valid to question why so many people don't want to do them), or there aren't enough jobs (in which case bringing in more immigrants is just going to increase the number of unemployed people in the country).

Which is it?

This would be so, were there a fixed number of jobs in the economy. There are not; the larger the population, the more jobs there are in it. Inasmuch as immigration increases the population, it also increases the job pool.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, the farmer next door to me (anecdote coming up), just says that he employs East Europeans on the land, because the local English youths can't be arsed to bend their back picking the sugarbeet.

He also says that they prefer sitting in their bedroom playing X-box. Somehow, I doubt that, since you can't just draw unemployment pay these days, while sitting on your backside.

Still, it's a common opinion in Norfolk.

It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.

Yes, like I said earlier, in Germany travel passes are often given by the employer. My son had them for all his low paid jobs for tram, bus and train, it's also much much more bike -friendly there. If we gave travel passes to the unemployed we'd be getting somewhere imo. People simply can't afford to travel to minimum wage jobs.
 
Posted by Ethne Alba (# 5804) on :
 
Local observation: Since the weekend, various people seems to feel that they can be as openly verbally racist as they like. Last week this would not have been the case.

Is anyone else finding this?
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, the farmer next door to me (anecdote coming up), just says that he employs East Europeans on the land, because the local English youths can't be arsed to bend their back picking the sugarbeet.

He also says that they prefer sitting in their bedroom playing X-box. Somehow, I doubt that, since you can't just draw unemployment pay these days, while sitting on your backside.

Still, it's a common opinion in Norfolk.

It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.
But they've always used vans to bring labour in, as yes, there are no buses. 20 years ago, the field workers were all English. There is an argument that furriners accept lower wages, but I don't know about that. Presumably, they get the minimum wage, although you hear horror stories of lower wages.
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, the farmer next door to me (anecdote coming up), just says that he employs East Europeans on the land, because the local English youths can't be arsed to bend their back picking the sugarbeet.

He also says that they prefer sitting in their bedroom playing X-box. Somehow, I doubt that, since you can't just draw unemployment pay these days, while sitting on your backside.

Still, it's a common opinion in Norfolk.

It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.
But they've always used vans to bring labour in, as yes, there are no buses. 20 years ago, the field workers were all English. There is an argument that furriners accept lower wages, but I don't know about that. Presumably, they get the minimum wage, although you hear horror stories of lower wages.
Thing is, the farmer can effectively outsource the entire operation, including the van, to the gangmaster.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Karl

So you are saying that it's cheaper for the gangmaster to use foreign labour? Yes, maybe that's correct. Some of them are housed in horrible huts and cabins, which probably English guys would not tolerate.

[ 27. May 2014, 11:11: Message edited by: quetzalcoatl ]
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Karl

So you are saying that it's cheaper for the gangmaster to use foreign labour? Yes, maybe that's correct. Some of them are housed in horrible huts and cabins, which probably English guys would not tolerate.

Nor would they if they'd known that was what was meant by "accommodation and transport provided" on the ad they answered back in their original country. In some cases, at any rate.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ethne Alba:
Local observation: Since the weekend, various people seems to feel that they can be as openly verbally racist as they like. Last week this would not have been the case.

Is anyone else finding this?

Yes; not just racist but anti-gay and generally anti-liberal/ progressive. It seems that UKIP have tapped into quite a vein of feeling there....worryingly...

[ETA - just a snapshot of RL and online/ social media conversations.]

[ 27. May 2014, 12:00: Message edited by: Matt Black ]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Karl

So you are saying that it's cheaper for the gangmaster to use foreign labour? Yes, maybe that's correct. Some of them are housed in horrible huts and cabins, which probably English guys would not tolerate.

Nor would they if they'd known that was what was meant by "accommodation and transport provided" on the ad they answered back in their original country. In some cases, at any rate.
I was just thinking - low pay, shit conditions, no union membership, no holiday pay, no sick pay, instant dismissal - it's UKIP heaven, isn't it? O Brave New World.
 
Posted by SvitlanaV2 (# 16967) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Karl

So you are saying that it's cheaper for the gangmaster to use foreign labour? Yes, maybe that's correct. Some of them are housed in horrible huts and cabins, which probably English guys would not tolerate.

Nor would they if they'd known that was what was meant by "accommodation and transport provided" on the ad they answered back in their original country. In some cases, at any rate.
I was just thinking - low pay, shit conditions, no union membership, no holiday pay, no sick pay, instant dismissal - it's UKIP heaven, isn't it? O Brave New World.
Why would UKIP want that if it means high immigration?
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Karl

So you are saying that it's cheaper for the gangmaster to use foreign labour? Yes, maybe that's correct. Some of them are housed in horrible huts and cabins, which probably English guys would not tolerate.

Nor would they if they'd known that was what was meant by "accommodation and transport provided" on the ad they answered back in their original country. In some cases, at any rate.
I was just thinking - low pay, shit conditions, no union membership, no holiday pay, no sick pay, instant dismissal - it's UKIP heaven, isn't it? O Brave New World.
Why would UKIP want that if it means high immigration?
I didn't mean that. I mean that low pay and poor conditions etc., is heaven for right-wing employers, whether for the English work force, or the foreign work-force.
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by SvitlanaV2:
Why would UKIP want that if it means high immigration?

There is no necessary correlation between the two issues, and UKIP aren't normally hobbled by such trifling issues as consistency.
 
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on :
 
Doug Saunders argues that the far-right gains are less impressive than they seem at first glance.

Basically, once you sweep away the media hype, most Eurpeans rejected the far-right, no other parties will work with them, and some of the anti-Europe vote actually went to the left. Or so Saunders argues.

[ 27. May 2014, 14:14: Message edited by: Stetson ]
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Doug Saunders argues that the far-right gains are less impressive than they seem at first glance.

Basically, once you sweep away the media hype, most Eurpeans rejected the far-right, no other parties will work with them, and some of the anti-Europe vote actually went to the left. Or so Saunders argues.

The BBC coverage of the local elections was simply shameful, and little better for the European. The majority of Europe kept their heads, didn't swing to the far right, and indeed voted for pro-integration parties. If you want to consider the UK only, Eurosceptic parties gained only about half the vote on a low turnout. If you think that the Tories can renegotiate the terms of the treaties (not impossible) and recommend that we stay in, then there's a massive majority in favour of staying in the EU.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.

Yes, like I said earlier, in Germany travel passes are often given by the employer. My son had them for all his low paid jobs for tram, bus and train, it's also much much more bike -friendly there. If we gave travel passes to the unemployed we'd be getting somewhere imo. People simply can't afford to travel to minimum wage jobs.
It does rather presuppose that there is a bus to use a travel pass on. Without any form of public transport a travel card is a worthless piece of paper.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I was just thinking - low pay, shit conditions, no union membership, no holiday pay, no sick pay, instant dismissal - it's UKIP heaven, isn't it? O Brave New World.

Surely it depends on which Ukippers you speak to...
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
Also, what's the issue with suggesting people could be racist - the vast majority of the UK population were until at least the latter part of the twentieth century - its not like you could throw a switch and change the attitudes of centuries overnight.

(I am struggling to understand on what basis you describe yourself as liberal btw.)

Oh look, my lack of surprise is depressing me. But then, I have had a client who moved back to London on the grounds she wasn't willing to live in a place where a five year old child called her a nigger on a public street . And we have had to advise members of the public that referring to one of our staff members as a fucking black bitch is not acceptable.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Having just seen that reported in the morning news I was just coming here to add a link. I think it almost has to be the case that UKIP gained by tapping into that background of racism, they certainly tapped into the concerns over immigration that the same survey enumerates. I struggle to understand how people can hold racist views, in my mind it just defies all bases of rationalism and I can't get my mind to work in a sufficiently irrational way to understand, but such views are evidently there. We left our last church because of the lack of welcome offered to people who weren't like them - which was hidden when I first arrived because I was sufficiently like them, and I suspect I chose to ignore the signs over several years as others came and didn't get the welcome I'd been offered, the point where it became apparent was when a potential minister preached and people expressed dissatisfaction with his nationality and that his partner is black (the questions about his sexuality were not a surprise, as that's a hot issue in the church ... but I'd expected race to no longer be an issue).
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.

Yes, like I said earlier, in Germany travel passes are often given by the employer. My son had them for all his low paid jobs for tram, bus and train, it's also much much more bike -friendly there. If we gave travel passes to the unemployed we'd be getting somewhere imo. People simply can't afford to travel to minimum wage jobs.
It does rather presuppose that there is a bus to use a travel pass on. Without any form of public transport a travel card is a worthless piece of paper.
And since since Thatcher we've been labouring under the misapprehension that the primary purpose of running a bus company is to make money, rather than to provide public transport, most often there isn't one.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
The BBC report certainly made depressing news to me too. I think that the issue though is perhaps more nuanced than that: I suspect that people who voted UKIP are more concerned about the (perceived) scale of immigration and (perceived) lack of integration (which, although discrete, are perhaps linked) than they are about the fact of immigration or indeed the race of the immigrants.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.

Yes, like I said earlier, in Germany travel passes are often given by the employer. My son had them for all his low paid jobs for tram, bus and train, it's also much much more bike -friendly there. If we gave travel passes to the unemployed we'd be getting somewhere imo. People simply can't afford to travel to minimum wage jobs.
It does rather presuppose that there is a bus to use a travel pass on. Without any form of public transport a travel card is a worthless piece of paper.
And since since Thatcher we've been labouring under the misapprehension that the primary purpose of running a bus company is to make money, rather than to provide public transport, most often there isn't one.
Goes back a wee bit further than that - I refer you to the Reshaping of Britain's Railways (1963); otherwise known around the bazaars as the Beeching Axe.

This was a bit like having a tripartite secondary school system, but never really building the third leg (technical schools).

Concomitant to the line closures was an assumption (on Beeching's part)/promise (on the government's) that all services on all closed lines would be replaced with bus routes.

Which didn't happen.

Even though buses were nationalised at the time.

Hence, whole areas which had rail links suddenly had no links (except private cars).

And the majority of closures happened through 1964, which makes the aftermath (and failure to do anything about it) Harold Wilson's fault. But then he closed more coal mines than Thatcher too....
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
It's probably more a case that it's rather difficult to get to a field ten miles from the nearest bus route somewhere south of Sheringham at 6am, unless you've got a gangmaster filling up a transit van to drive out there.

Yes, like I said earlier, in Germany travel passes are often given by the employer. My son had them for all his low paid jobs for tram, bus and train, it's also much much more bike -friendly there. If we gave travel passes to the unemployed we'd be getting somewhere imo. People simply can't afford to travel to minimum wage jobs.
It does rather presuppose that there is a bus to use a travel pass on. Without any form of public transport a travel card is a worthless piece of paper.
And since since Thatcher we've been labouring under the misapprehension that the primary purpose of running a bus company is to make money, rather than to provide public transport, most often there isn't one.
Goes back a wee bit further than that - I refer you to the Reshaping of Britain's Railways (1963); otherwise known around the bazaars as the Beeching Axe.

This was a bit like having a tripartite secondary school system, but never really building the third leg (technical schools).

Concomitant to the line closures was an assumption (on Beeching's part)/promise (on the government's) that all services on all closed lines would be replaced with bus routes.

Which didn't happen.

Even though buses were nationalised at the time.

Hence, whole areas which had rail links suddenly had no links (except private cars).

And the majority of closures happened through 1964, which makes the aftermath (and failure to do anything about it) Harold Wilson's fault. But then he closed more coal mines than Thatcher too....

sorry, to clarify, 1964 saw the most closures, 1964 to about 1969 (Waverley Route) saw the majority of closures not 1964 by itself.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
I suspect that people who voted UKIP are more concerned about the (perceived) scale of immigration and (perceived) lack of integration (which, although discrete, are perhaps linked) than they are about the fact of immigration or indeed the race of the immigrants.

I think perceptions are very important. The problem is how to dispel perceptions which are not actually based on reality? It's not something the government can easily do, especially not at the moment. A government statement with related research showing that immigrants are not displacing UK born workers (for example) would simply be dismissed as the government trying to knock UKIP back to shore up votes prior to the general election. It could, for that reason, be counter productive and actually increase the perception that "immigrants are nicking our jobs".

I note some of the comments on the BBC article when I read it this morning were pretty much along those lines - the BBC reporting this now as a reaction to UKIP gains in the EP elections, part of the establishment trying to suppress support for a party that threatens the main line parties.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
If the government had acted properly on the architects of the economic collapse, who have largely got away scot-free with all our money and are still able to pay themselves vast wealth they've neither earned or created, then I don't think we'd be having this conversation.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
Oh look, my lack of surprise is depressing me.

Interesting observation about the survey in question - it doesn't have any indication of the ethnic breakdown of the respondents. Quite a glaring omission, I'd have said!

I point this out because here in the West Midlands, apparently the worst area for racism in the country, there is a not-insignificant amount of tension between the Asian (Pakistani/Indian rather than Chinese/Japanese) and Carribbean communities. I've heard some really nasty stuff being said by people from each of those communities about the other, and it wouldn't surprise me if that was responsible for a reasonable amount of the reported prejudice.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
If the government had acted properly on the architects of the economic collapse, who have largely got away scot-free with all our money and are still able to pay themselves vast wealth they've neither earned or created, then I don't think we'd be having this conversation.

It's classic scape-goating. It's not the responsibility of the financiers and bankers who ran up their huge gambling debts (which we have to pay), but the immigrants and the poor!
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
Oh look, my lack of surprise is depressing me.

Interesting observation about the survey in question - it doesn't have any indication of the ethnic breakdown of the respondents. Quite a glaring omission, I'd have said!

I point this out because here in the West Midlands, apparently the worst area for racism in the country, there is a not-insignificant amount of tension between the Asian (Pakistani/Indian rather than Chinese/Japanese) and Carribbean communities. I've heard some really nasty stuff being said by people from each of those communities about the other, and it wouldn't surprise me if that was responsible for a reasonable amount of the reported prejudice.

I agree it would be an issue, and probably one of the reasons for the support of UKIP by some people with an ethnic minority background.
 
Posted by M. (# 3291) on :
 
Originally posted by Doublethink:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:

quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
Oh look, my lack of surprise is depressing me.
Interesting observation about the survey in question - it doesn't have any indication of the ethnic breakdown of the respondents. Quite a glaring omission, I'd have said!

I point this out because here in the West Midlands, apparently the worst area for racism in the country, there is a not-insignificant amount of tension between the Asian (Pakistani/Indian rather than Chinese/Japanese) and Carribbean communities. I've heard some really nasty stuff being said by people from each of those communities about the other, and it wouldn't surprise me if that was responsible for a reasonable amount of the reported prejudice.


I agree it would be an issue, and probably one of the reasons for the support of UKIP by some people with an ethnic minority background.

I half-heard this being discussed with (I think) one of the authors of the report this morning on Radio 4 (as I was getting ready for work) and I think the researcher said that it was indeed the same story among all ethnicities.

M.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
Usage of words such as 'swamped', 'tide', etc when referring to immigration in the media does not of course help public perception. Nevertheless, the perceived problem seems to be less of "they're nicking our jobs" (although that is certainly there) and more of Britain being somehow 'changed' by the level of immigration plus (apparent) lack of integration by the new arrivals - what Trevor Phillips some years ago characterised as 'colonisation'.
 
Posted by Justinian (# 5357) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Rupert Myers, a Guardian writer who seems to have have been somehow involved with left-of-centre campaigns in the election(though it's not clear in what capacity), argues that racism is of comparitively minor importance among the reasons for UKIP's electoral appeal.

He also makes the related observation that the UKIP's lack of support in London is not because London is more tolerant, but because it is more affluent.

Anyone arguing that UKIP lacks support in London and puts that as straight up a consequence of London being special does not know what they are talking about. In the local elections UKIP managed a dozen seats in London (Seven in Havering, three in Bexley, two in Bromley). By the standards of major cities this makes London a bastion of UKIP support. Between Manchester, Liverpool, Preston, Newcastle, Sunderland, Gateshead, Birmingham, Coventry, Wolverhampton, Leeds, and Hull UKIP managed a grand total of two seats. (In Sheffield they managed three).

Mysteriously it's the people living furthest from high density populations, and in the regions with fewest immigrants that are most likely to vote UKIP.
 
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Justinian:

Mysteriously it's the people living furthest from high density populations, and in the regions with fewest immigrants that are most likely to vote UKIP.

Well, this kind of gibes well with the observation that a large percentage of UKIP *voters* as opposed to candidates, are former Tories over the age of 40. It's the classic squeezed middle, who are relatively okay economically but who fear their future after the economic squeeze of the last few years.

So the it's the fear of change rather than necessarily the reality of change that drives them. This is also probably why they put the EU as way down their agenda (compared to the NHS etc).

Given that this runs counter to the euro-obsessive and glibertarian tendency in UKIPs rank and file, it's no wonder that Farage makes up policy on the fly.
 
Posted by Saul the Apostle (# 13808) on :
 
One thought has also crossed my mind, is the UKIP avalanche in the Euro elections a flash in the pan or a genuine shift in the British political landscape?

Personally, I can't work this out.

I am old enough to remember the ''gang of four'' (Shirley williams etc. ) in the 1980s. Much of the hubris does tend to die out after a while; I really don't know with UKIP and Nigel Farage.

What we do know is Farage has handed over much of the work to trusted deputies, so we'll see less of Nigel on our screens and more from his henchmen.

Saul
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
..who will hopefully bog it up.

I think it is a 'surge' rather than a permanent fixture. I remember the SDP too and also the Greens doing very well in the Euro elections I the last decade only to fall back again (that said, they now have a Westminster MP).
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
One feature of fringe (especially mostly single policy) parties is that if they do well in elections then the major parties take notice. Significant electoral success in local and European elections, and a good share of the vote for a general election, says that a lot of people are sufficiently concerned about a particular issue to vote for someone who is very unlikely to actually represent them (a so-called "wasted vote" [Roll Eyes] ). When that happened for the Greens the major parties started to include elements of the Green manisfesto into their own manifestos, the electorate could then put a cross next to a party that at least said it was going to enact environmentally friendly policies and also had a good chance of being in a position to actually do something.

Labour and the Tories are already falling over themselves to be seen as "tough on immigration", suggestions of an in/out referendum on Europe are also a similar effect of UKIP success. The election has shown that these are important issues for a large proportion of the electorate (maybe not the most important), and the major parties want to be seen to be listening to the voters. There will now be a flurry of opinion polls so that Labour and Conservative party bean counters can work out whether they will see a net gain or loss of votes (or, more importantly, seats in Westminster as they look at the demographics of key marginals) if they actively adopt central parts of the UKIP manifesto.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Saul the Apostle:
One thought has also crossed my mind, is the UKIP avalanche in the Euro elections a flash in the pan or a genuine shift in the British political landscape?

They came second in the last round of Euro elections back in 2009, so it's not quite a flash in the pan. But that success didn't translate into a single seat in Westminster in 2010, and I don't expect them to do much better in 2015.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
But a 15% vote for UKIP in marginal seats could have quite an impact; and I don't think it is predictable. At first, the predictions were that Tory votes would be lost, but maybe also Labour votes, with the LibDems crushed. So maybe it has become a lot more unpredictable.
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
Has anyone got a handy graphic as to how it might pan out if the results were repeated at a General Election?
 
Posted by Doublethink (# 1984) on :
 
Like this ?
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
Has anyone got a handy graphic as to how it might pan out if the results were repeated at a General Election?

I don't have it to hand, but I recall reading an article that suggested it would translate to a very small (1 or 2 seats) Labour majority. As far as mid-term elections go, that's probably better news for the Conservatives than it is for Labour...
 
Posted by Matt Black (# 2210) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink:
Like this ?

Er...no, but entertaining nevertheless!
 
Posted by Saul the Apostle (# 13808) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Matt Black:
Has anyone got a handy graphic as to how it might pan out if the results were repeated at a General Election?

Well,

this might help Matt Black

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

The probability is a Labour majority in 2015 - but as they say a week is a long time in politics and well, a year, is an eternity away [Roll Eyes]

Saul
 


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