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Source: (consider it) Thread: Purgatory: U.S. Presidential Election 2016
Doc Tor
Deepest Red
# 9748

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quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
Blue big city mouse, red country and suburban mouse.

That's not what the map shows. It shows that there are very, very few red counties. It shows there are very many more blue counties. It shows the vast majority of rural/suburban US as various shades of purple, indicating that most communities are split between voting Dem and Rep, no matter who ends up walking away with the prize at the end of it.

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Forward the New Republic

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ldjjd
Shipmate
# 17390

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I'm totally captivated by tonight's Democratic debate. It may be my bias and/or the traguc events in Paris, but the questions and answers are in stark contrast to the Republican "debates".
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romanlion
editorial comment
# 10325

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quote:
Originally posted by ldjjd:
I'm totally captivated by tonight's Democratic debate.

So who do you like?

Old and white? Or....

Wait, that's the only option....

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"You can't get rich in politics unless you're a crook" - Harry S. Truman

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Dave W.
Shipmate
# 8765

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Look at you with the identity politics!

And 52 is old now?

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romanlion
editorial comment
# 10325

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quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
Look at you with the identity politics!


What could be more dimocratic than that?!

quote:
And 52 is old now?
Ask any Millennial...

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"You can't get rich in politics unless you're a crook" - Harry S. Truman

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Dave W.
Shipmate
# 8765

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quote:
Originally posted by romanlion:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
Look at you with the identity politics!


What could be more dimocratic than that?!
And so your intended criticism evaporates into nothingness...
quote:
quote:
And 52 is old now?
Ask any Millennial...

My 8-year-old nephew thinks pretty nearly everybody is old, but he's a cute kid so I don't hold it against him.

Why do you think should I ask a Millennial? Are you one?

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Og, King of Bashan

Ship's giant Amorite
# 9562

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quote:
Originally posted by ldjjd:
I'm totally captivated by tonight's Democratic debate. It may be my bias and/or the traguc events in Paris, but the questions and answers are in stark contrast to the Republican "debates".

Without denying that the Republican debates have been a little over the top, part of this comes down to the fact that everyone on the stage at the Democratic debates knows who the nominee is going to be. The stakes are much lower.

[ 15. November 2015, 02:30: Message edited by: Og, King of Bashan ]

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"I like to eat crawfish and drink beer. That's despair?" ― Walker Percy

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ldjjd
Shipmate
# 17390

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romanlion:

Reagan was elected a few days short of his 70th birthday and re-elected as a 74 year old.

He was, of course, lilly white although the same cannot be said for certain about the natural color of his hair.

Will you at least make Saint Ronnie [Overused] an exception to your dislike for old white people?

[ 15. November 2015, 05:30: Message edited by: ldjjd ]

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Golden Key
Shipmate
# 1468

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quote:
Originally posted by romanlion:
quote:
And 52 is old now?
Ask any Millennial...
Oh, heck, that's nothing new! In the '60s/'70s, it was "Never trust anyone over 30!" And did you ever see the movie/series "Logan's Run"?

[ 15. November 2015, 09:35: Message edited by: Golden Key ]

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Blessed Gator, pray for us!
--"Oh bat bladders, do you have to bring common sense into this?" (Dragon, "Jane & the Dragon")
--"Oh, Peace Train, save this country!" (Yusuf/Cat Stevens, "Peace Train")

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Crœsos
Shipmate
# 238

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quote:
Originally posted by romanlion:
quote:
Originally posted by ldjjd:
I'm totally captivated by tonight's Democratic debate.

So who do you like?

Old and white? Or....

Wait, that's the only option....

quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
Look at you with the identity politics!

RL has had this particular race-based bee in his bonnet for at least a month now. It seems to be the only thing he's really noticed about the Democratic field.

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Humani nil a me alienum puto

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Niteowl

Hopeless Insomniac
# 15841

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quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by romanlion:
quote:
Originally posted by ldjjd:
I'm totally captivated by tonight's Democratic debate.

So who do you like?

Old and white? Or....

Wait, that's the only option....

quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
Look at you with the identity politics!

RL has had this particular race-based bee in his bonnet for at least a month now. It seems to be the only thing he's really noticed about the Democratic field.

Which is funny 'cause most of the people in the videos of GOP campaign gatherings are old white people.

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"love all, trust few, do wrong to no one"
Wm. Shakespeare

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Og, King of Bashan

Ship's giant Amorite
# 9562

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Jindal Out

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"I like to eat crawfish and drink beer. That's despair?" ― Walker Percy

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Brenda Clough
Shipmate
# 18061

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Thank God. Oh, but wait. Wasn't it God who told Jindal to run? Same as Huckabee, Bush, Cruz, and so on.

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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Crœsos
Shipmate
# 238

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quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Thank God. Oh, but wait. Wasn't it God who told Jindal to run? Same as Huckabee, Bush, Cruz, and so on.

Just because God tells you to run doesn't mean He's saying you'll win. I'm convinced God just needs the lulz.

Still, considering Jindal was polling at something like 0.3% I'm not sure a formal announcement was necessary.

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Humani nil a me alienum puto

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Brenda Clough
Shipmate
# 18061

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Unkindly, over at Slate the headline is "Bobby Jindal Drops Out of GOP Race to the Disappointment of His Four Loyal Supporters."

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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Og, King of Bashan

Ship's giant Amorite
# 9562

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I linked to his twitter because it was the only link I could find without some sort of snarky comment about his small numbers. I report, you decide, or something like that.

I mentioned the news last night to a group of fairly well informed voters, and I got at least one totally unironic "who?"

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"I like to eat crawfish and drink beer. That's despair?" ― Walker Percy

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Alwyn
Shipmate
# 4380

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Donald Trump reportedly said on 30 September "I'm putting people on notice that are coming here from Syria as part of this mass migration, that if I win, they're going back," he said, contending that the so-called Islamic State militants could be hiding among the refugees.(BBC News).

The BBC are reporting that "following the Paris attacks, such a view has become accepted wisdom among the Republican presidential candidates - and Mr Trump is once again taking credit." Is that how it appears to Shipmates in the US - that GOP candidates are standing in line to endorse Mr Trump's policy of sending back refugees to face persecution?

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Post hoc, ergo propter hoc

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irish_lord99
Shipmate
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Not entirely from where I sit. Jeb doesn't seem to support that notion, and I'd be willing to bet John K. doesn't either.

Cruz and Carson, sure.

What's even scarier to me is that Trump is now saying he wants to build a database of Muslims residing in the US, and there are a lot of people supporting that. [Help]

"Anti big, invasive government" my left ass cheek.

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"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." - Mark Twain

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Brenda Clough
Shipmate
# 18061

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There is a steady surge of paranoia and fear around here, which I have not seen since 9-11. I have hopes however that dingbat legislation will not pass. And please God! Donald Trump will not be elected. FWIW he has never yet faced the voters at the ballot box. I hope for great things come the caucuses.

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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Carex
Shipmate
# 9643

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But if trump does NOT get the nomination, he gives the rest of the Republican field an aura of plausible deniability. He can make all sorts of outrageous statements to the party faithful to get them riled up against Muslims (and other folks who aren't really human, after all) without the eventual nominee having to take responsibility for having said it.

While thinking people will likely find it offensive, it goes over well with the Republican core, and energizing them to get out and vote is probably more important in the long run than attracting undecided voters.

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Barnabas62
Shipmate
# 9110

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So ----

The Donald provides yet more evidence that he is an authoritarian nationalist demagogue. And these expressions raise his standing in the GOP candidate polls.

Does this mean that a substantial proportion of GOP activists and loyal voters are attracted to fascism? (Check out the Wiki article on fascism) Or is this just isolationism distorting perspective?

Either way, Ole Abe must be turning in his grave. Who will rescue the GOP from this journey up a dark alley?

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Who is it that you seek? How then shall we live? How shall we sing the Lord's song in a strange land?

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romanlion
editorial comment
# 10325

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quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:

Either way, Ole Abe must be turning in his grave.

Over fascism in the GOP? Not likely, considering he was a fascist.

Over a black man as POTUS? Definitely!

Like a perpetual motion machine...

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"You can't get rich in politics unless you're a crook" - Harry S. Truman

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Golden Key
Shipmate
# 1468

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RL--

In what way was Lincoln a fascist, please?

And yes, as he was then, he would've had a problem with having a black president. But if he came back today, and got a handle on all the changes since his lifetime, he might think differently.

--------------------
Blessed Gator, pray for us!
--"Oh bat bladders, do you have to bring common sense into this?" (Dragon, "Jane & the Dragon")
--"Oh, Peace Train, save this country!" (Yusuf/Cat Stevens, "Peace Train")

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Barnabas62
Shipmate
# 9110

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I wonder how the Gettysburgh address figures in romanlion's thinking?

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Who is it that you seek? How then shall we live? How shall we sing the Lord's song in a strange land?

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Kelly Alves

Bunny with an axe
# 2522

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quote:
Originally posted by Alwyn:


The BBC are reporting that "following the Paris attacks, such a view has become accepted wisdom among the Republican presidential candidates - and Mr Trump is once again taking credit." Is that how it appears to Shipmates in the US - that GOP candidates are standing in line to endorse Mr Trump's policy of sending back refugees to face persecution?

This is a great question. Certain contituents notwithstanding, I think the more seasoned GOP leaders are embarrassed by the guy. I read the occasional murmur in this direction, but am not sure why the Repubs are not more strenuous in their distancing-- perhaps they fear the poll numbers. Or maybe they are hoping Trump will send the majority of the GOP fleeing to some more moderate candidate, come actual election time.

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I cannot expect people to believe “
Jesus loves me, this I know” of they don’t believe “Kelly loves me, this I know.”
Kelly Alves, somewhere around 2003.

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Barnabas62
Shipmate
# 9110

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Perhaps distancing from Trump, rather than confronting him, is the best way to avoid alienating potential supporters?

Personally I think confronting Trump is the right thing to do. Whether it would win the candidacy - well, that's a different question isn't it?

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Who is it that you seek? How then shall we live? How shall we sing the Lord's song in a strange land?

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Brenda Clough
Shipmate
# 18061

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It is not really fair to claim or blame a historical figure for a modern point of view. What next, blaming Lincoln for not taking more selfies?

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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Kelly Alves

Bunny with an axe
# 2522

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quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Perhaps distancing from Trump, rather than confronting him, is the best way to avoid alienating potential supporters?

Personally I think confronting Trump is the right thing to do. Whether it would win the candidacy - well, that's a different question isn't it?

The problem is the whole "clown car" trope is no joke-- the Repubs really don't have a non-dorky candidate. Petraeus is out of the picture, McCain won't run (He might take it, even the Dems like him)...

So they can't really confront Trump until someone presents themselves in such a way as to be the face of the republican Anti-Trump. And as you say, those who might be inclined to be moderate are so spooked by the idea of upsetting the Teabaggers that they won't whip out the whoop-ass. The guy/ gal who does will be a hero the GOP.

Oh, and boy, am I sad that that genius Jindal is out of the picture.
[Waterworks] [Waterworks] [Waterworks]

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I cannot expect people to believe “
Jesus loves me, this I know” of they don’t believe “Kelly loves me, this I know.”
Kelly Alves, somewhere around 2003.

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Dave W.
Shipmate
# 8765

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quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Perhaps distancing from Trump, rather than confronting him, is the best way to avoid alienating potential supporters?

Personally I think confronting Trump is the right thing to do. Whether it would win the candidacy - well, that's a different question isn't it?

Distancing yourself from Trump means disavowing his positions - but they're pretty popular among Republicans, so that's problematic for anyone running for the Republican nomination.

According to a recent Bloomberg poll, when asked "Which of the following do you think is the best approach for the U.S. to take with refugees fleeing the civil war in Syria, the results were:
code:
All Reps Dems
28 12 46 Proceed with the plan to resettle 10,000 refugees without religious screening
11 11 9 Resettle only Christian refugees from Syria
53 69 36 Do not accept any Syrian refugees into the U.S.
8 7 9 Not sure


Posts: 2059 | From: the hub of the solar system | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
Pigwidgeon

Ship's Owl
# 10192

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quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
McCain won't run (He might take it, even the Dems like him)...

Not this Democrat! Living in Arizona, I cringe every time I see him mouthing off in the newspaper.

(And anyone stupid enough to choose Sarah Palin as a running mate is too stupid to be President -- or Senator.)

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"...that is generally a matter for Pigwidgeon, several other consenting adults, a bottle of cheap Gin and the odd giraffe."
~Tortuf

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Brenda Clough
Shipmate
# 18061

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Alas, so true. The moment he selected her I knew who I would vote for. That is not a woman who should be a heartbeat away from an ice cream cone, never mind the presidency.

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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Kelly Alves

Bunny with an axe
# 2522

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Yeah, but if someone held a gun to your head and asked you to pick him or Trump, it'd be no contest, right?

Boy, what a fantastic campaign slogan...

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I cannot expect people to believe “
Jesus loves me, this I know” of they don’t believe “Kelly loves me, this I know.”
Kelly Alves, somewhere around 2003.

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Pigwidgeon

Ship's Owl
# 10192

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quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Yeah, but if someone held a gun to your head and asked you to pick him or Trump, it'd be no contest, right?

Boy, what a fantastic campaign slogan...

I'd move to Canada.

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"...that is generally a matter for Pigwidgeon, several other consenting adults, a bottle of cheap Gin and the odd giraffe."
~Tortuf

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cliffdweller
Shipmate
# 13338

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quote:
Originally posted by Pigwidgeon:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
McCain won't run (He might take it, even the Dems like him)...

Not this Democrat! Living in Arizona, I cringe every time I see him mouthing off in the newspaper.

(And anyone stupid enough to choose Sarah Palin as a running mate is too stupid to be President -- or Senator.)

There was McCain 1.0-- the warm, funny, reasonable conservative who was a favorite guest of Jon Stewarts for all those reasons. Then there was McCain 2.0-- the guy who after being shafted in the worst way by Rove in 2000 (the warm up to the swift-boating thing) decided to just throw it in and play the game the way the GOP kingmakers wanted-- but then in the end didn't have the stomach for it. Then there's McCain 3.0-- the guy we've seen since-- the bitter old man sitting on the porch yelling at the kids to get off the lawn. It's sad.

But we had a moment this week-- just a moment-- when McCain question how "Christian" it was to turn our backs on the refugees-- when I saw a glimpse of McCain 1.0. ONly a glimpse, though.

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"Here is the world. Beautiful and terrible things will happen. Don't be afraid." -Frederick Buechner

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Kelly Alves

Bunny with an axe
# 2522

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quote:
Originally posted by Pigwidgeon:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Yeah, but if someone held a gun to your head and asked you to pick him or Trump, it'd be no contest, right?

Boy, what a fantastic campaign slogan...

I'd move to Canada.
I have a feeling Canada is battening down the hatches as we speak.

--------------------
I cannot expect people to believe “
Jesus loves me, this I know” of they don’t believe “Kelly loves me, this I know.”
Kelly Alves, somewhere around 2003.

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TurquoiseTastic

Fish of a different color
# 8978

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quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Perhaps distancing from Trump, rather than confronting him, is the best way to avoid alienating potential supporters?

Distancing yourself from Trump means disavowing his positions - but they're pretty popular among Republicans,
According to the poll you quoted they're moderately popular among Democrats as well [Ultra confused]
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Brenda Clough
Shipmate
# 18061

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Canada will, naturally, build a wall. They will get Americans to pay for it. Hey, what's sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander.

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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irish_lord99
Shipmate
# 16250

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Now Trump is issuing approval of beating up a Black Lives Matter protester at his rally. Washington Post article here.

Truly a fascist, can't allow any dissenting opinions or beliefs.

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"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics." - Mark Twain

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Dave W.
Shipmate
# 8765

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quote:
Originally posted by TurquoiseTastic:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Perhaps distancing from Trump, rather than confronting him, is the best way to avoid alienating potential supporters?

Distancing yourself from Trump means disavowing his positions - but they're pretty popular among Republicans,
According to the poll you quoted they're moderately popular among Democrats as well [Ultra confused]
Sure - though perhaps somewhat less popular than in the UK. I'm not sure why you're [Ultra confused] about this.
Posts: 2059 | From: the hub of the solar system | Registered: Nov 2004  |  IP: Logged
Doublethink.
Ship's Foolwise Unperson
# 1984

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Its as if everyone has failed to notice the supposed 'migrant' plot leader was a belgian citizen.

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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Doublethink.
Ship's Foolwise Unperson
# 1984

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quote:
Originally posted by irish_lord99:
Now Trump is issuing approval of beating up a Black Lives Matter protester at his rally. Washington Post article here.

Truly a fascist, can't allow any dissenting opinions or beliefs.

I don't understand why his opponents aren't making more of his previous massive debt problems. Given people's worries about federal economic management.

I mean seriously what individual gets 1 billion dollars into debt ?. The corporate bankruptcies are also pretty massive.

[ 24. November 2015, 06:27: Message edited by: Doublethink. ]

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

Posts: 19219 | From: Erehwon | Registered: Aug 2005  |  IP: Logged
romanlion
editorial comment
# 10325

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quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
quote:
Originally posted by irish_lord99:
Now Trump is issuing approval of beating up a Black Lives Matter protester at his rally. Washington Post article here.

Truly a fascist, can't allow any dissenting opinions or beliefs.

I don't understand why his opponents aren't making more of his previous massive debt problems. Given people's worries about federal economic management.

I mean seriously what individual gets 1 billion dollars into debt ?. The corporate bankruptcies are also pretty massive.

How could debt problems possibly be a dis-qualifier for a candidate?

It's more like a prerequisite, and good luck to the eventual winner if they hope to outdo their predecessor on debt.

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"You can't get rich in politics unless you're a crook" - Harry S. Truman

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Soror Magna
Shipmate
# 9881

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quote:
Originally posted by romanlion:
How could debt problems possibly be a dis-qualifier for a candidate?

It's more like a prerequisite, and good luck to the eventual winner if they hope to outdo their predecessor on debt.

It is a disqualifier if the candidate is asking for votes on the grounds that he's a shrewd businessperson. Making money on real estate is one of the easiest ways of making money - my next-door neighbour is about to make $50,000 flipping his apartment after just 3 weeks of renos. It takes a real idiot to run a casino into the ground.

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"You come with me to room 1013 over at the hospital, I'll show you America. Terminal, crazy and mean." -- Tony Kushner, "Angels in America"

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Soror Magna
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# 9881

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quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
Its as if everyone has failed to notice the supposed 'migrant' plot leader was a belgian citizen.

One of the first news reports I heard stated that a Syrian passport was found next to one of the bombers. Because everyone who is going to commit a terrorist attack takes someone else's passport with them, and they put it in a safe spot before blowing themselves up.

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"You come with me to room 1013 over at the hospital, I'll show you America. Terminal, crazy and mean." -- Tony Kushner, "Angels in America"

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Crœsos
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# 238

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quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Certain contituents notwithstanding, I think the more seasoned GOP leaders are embarrassed by the guy. I read the occasional murmur in this direction, but am not sure why the Repubs are not more strenuous in their distancing -- perhaps they fear the poll numbers. Or maybe they are hoping Trump will send the majority of the GOP fleeing to some more moderate candidate, come actual election time.

The problem is that there is no "more moderate candidate" in the GOP field this year. On questions like immigration or race there's not a lot of policy difference between Trump and his GOP competitors. The real difference is that Trump "says the quiet parts out loud", unlike the traditional reliance on dog whistles. The only major policy difference between Trump and the rest of the Republican field is his position on Social Security. Every other candidate wants to cut the program (which is what the Republican leadership wants), while Trump says he wants in preserve or expand the program (which is what the typical Republican voter wants). On that issue he's to the "left" of the Republican field.

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Humani nil a me alienum puto

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Mere Nick
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# 11827

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Vermin Supreme in 2016!

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"Well that's it, boys. I've been redeemed. The preacher's done warshed away all my sins and transgressions. It's the straight and narrow from here on out, and heaven everlasting's my reward."
Delmar O'Donnell

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lilBuddha
Shipmate
# 14333

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quote:
Originally posted by Mere Nick:
Vermin Supreme in 2016!

He's no Screaming Lord Such, but I like him!
Less of a clown than the republican field as well

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I put on my rockin' shoes in the morning
Hallellou, hallellou

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Kelly Alves

Bunny with an axe
# 2522

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quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Certain contituents notwithstanding, I think the more seasoned GOP leaders are embarrassed by the guy. I read the occasional murmur in this direction, but am not sure why the Repubs are not more strenuous in their distancing -- perhaps they fear the poll numbers. Or maybe they are hoping Trump will send the majority of the GOP fleeing to some more moderate candidate, come actual election time.

The problem is that there is no "more moderate candidate" in the GOP field this year. .
Yeah, that's what I meant about the "clown car" jokes being really unfunny. I was allowing for the idea that the moderates are frantically grooming some eleventh hour hero, to be revealed in the future.

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I cannot expect people to believe “
Jesus loves me, this I know” of they don’t believe “Kelly loves me, this I know.”
Kelly Alves, somewhere around 2003.

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Brenda Clough
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# 18061

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From today's Guardian:

"But, one day, [Trump] won’t be able to help himself. He will tell some insolent person waving arithmetic at him that he has some of the best mathematicians in the world, All the best math guys, they know all the very beautiful, very exclusive math, and we know that two plus two is seven.

And somewhere a supporter will think, That can’t be right. Two plus two is five."

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Science fiction and fantasy writer with a Patreon page

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Crœsos
Shipmate
# 238

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quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
The problem is that there is no "more moderate candidate" in the GOP field this year. .

Yeah, that's what I meant about the "clown car" jokes being really unfunny. I was allowing for the idea that the moderates are frantically grooming some eleventh hour hero, to be revealed in the future.
For a brief moment there was a Draft Romney movement, scuttled by Mitt's refusal to consider it. I'm picturing something like this.

quote:
All the whores and politicians will look up and shout "Save us!"...

and I'll whisper "forty-seven percent."



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Humani nil a me alienum puto

Posts: 10706 | From: Sardis, Lydia | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged



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