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» Ship of Fools   » Ship's business   » The Styx   » Can living equines be humanely destroyed? (Page 2)

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Source: (consider it) Thread: Can living equines be humanely destroyed?
Boogie

Boogie on down!
# 13538

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quote:
Originally posted by Rossweisse:
I do miss the "Current chance of rapture: %" numbers on the homepage. I hope Simon will bring that back in the new dispensation.

I’d like to know how the calculation is made [Razz]

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Garden. Room. Walk

Posts: 13030 | From: Boogie Wonderland | Registered: Mar 2008  |  IP: Logged
Alan Cresswell

Mad Scientist 先生
# 31

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It was a feed from a different website, which AFAIK no longer exists. Hence it's absence here.

The first person to suggest that the "chances of Rapture" site was Raptured gets a :groan:

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Don't cling to a mistake just because you spent a lot of time making it.

Posts: 32413 | From: East Kilbride (Scotland) or 福島 | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Boogie

Boogie on down!
# 13538

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Who knows, who knows?

I think we should have a new poll on the New Ship date [Smile]

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Garden. Room. Walk

Posts: 13030 | From: Boogie Wonderland | Registered: Mar 2008  |  IP: Logged
passer

Indigo
# 13329

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quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
Who knows, who knows?

I think we should have a new poll on the New Ship date [Smile]

It's scheduled for the day after the Rapture.
Posts: 1289 | From: Sheffield | Registered: Jan 2008  |  IP: Logged
Rossweisse

High Church Valkyrie
# 2349

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Thanks, Alan. (Couldn't we just make something up to keep the feature?)

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I'm not dead yet.

Posts: 15117 | From: Valhalla | Registered: Feb 2002  |  IP: Logged
Alan Cresswell

Mad Scientist 先生
# 31

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You're assuming the other site wasn't just making something up in the first place.

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Don't cling to a mistake just because you spent a lot of time making it.

Posts: 32413 | From: East Kilbride (Scotland) or 福島 | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Jengie jon

Semper Reformanda
# 273

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I think it would be relatively easy to create one. First pick up some random numbers that are easy to feed into a web app, then program them into a calculating process that turns out values between 0 and 1. Make sure that most of the time it gives a low score (i.e. less 1%) and about twice a year gives a scores somewhere in the region of 10% (statisticians know of probability distributions that can behave like this).

Voila a rapture calculator.

Jengie

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"To violate a persons ability to distinguish fact from fantasy is the epistemological equivalent of rape." Noretta Koertge

Back to my blog

Posts: 20894 | From: city of steel, butterflies and rainbows | Registered: May 2001  |  IP: Logged
Rossweisse

High Church Valkyrie
# 2349

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quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
You're assuming the other site wasn't just making something up in the first place.

Actually, that thought had occurred.

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I'm not dead yet.

Posts: 15117 | From: Valhalla | Registered: Feb 2002  |  IP: Logged
Erroneous Monk
Shipmate
# 10858

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quote:
Originally posted by Jengie jon:
I think it would be relatively easy to create one. First pick up some random numbers that are easy to feed into a web app, then program them into a calculating process that turns out values between 0 and 1. Make sure that most of the time it gives a low score (i.e. less 1%) and about twice a year gives a scores somewhere in the region of 10% (statisticians know of probability distributions that can behave like this).

Voila a rapture calculator.


I'd favour something more [*cough*] scientific. We could collect from scripture all the things that are supposed to be features of impending end times, then for each of these have an external data source that feeds into our overall likelihood calculator.

It'd still be wrong, but it'd be more precisely wrong.

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And I shot a man in Tesco, just to watch him die.

Posts: 2950 | From: I cannot tell you, for you are not a friar | Registered: Jan 2006  |  IP: Logged



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