Thread: Purgatory: Scottish Independence Board: Limbo / Ship of Fools.


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Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
OK, I'm going to confess straight up that I have not read the White Paper recently released. I admit it, I've not had time to read 600+ pages of stuff. So, I'm going to post based on media statements of what it contains. Hopefully I'll get time to look at the primary document some time.

My initial reaction was disappointment that the document produced was a mix of two different things. We have description of what the Scottish Government wants an indpendent Scotland to be like - how we'd relate to the rest of the UK, EU, NATO etc, what Scottish citizenship would mean, and so on. That's the document I was waiting for, an answer to the "what does an 'Independent Scotland' mean?" question when faced with the ballot box next year.

The other part of the document appears to be an SNP manifesto for what they would do if elected to govern an independent Scotland. Which should, IMO, be something produced in the run-up to the first post-independence election rather than be in this white paper. Unless, of course, the policies they want to enact are contingent on independence ... "we want to do X, but can't because the necessary powers are retained in Westminster". Which, for most of what I've seen mentioned in the media doesn't appear to be the case (I may be wrong there, though).

So, my disappointment is really that I need to wade through stuff that's not about independence to see what independence will mean. And, only then can I think about which way to vote.

And, of course, whether independence will be as described in the relevant parts of the White Paper will still depend on other agencies - for example, will the EU accept Scotland as an independent state on the terms the SNP are proposing. We'll only really know that if there's a yes vote and Scotland actually enters into negotiations with other bodies.

[ 02. April 2014, 19:10: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
 
Posted by Imaginary Friend (# 186) on :
 
Is it too trivial to say that what independence means will be determined by the government of an independent Scotland, after independence has been gained? Perhaps that's more true on the day-to-day level than on the constitutional level, but I think it might be true nonetheless. In that sense, the SNP manifesto and the description of what independence is are very closely linked. When you vote in the referendum, it seems to me that practical reality dictates that you have to bear in mind the proclivities of the likely government just as much as anything else.
 
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on :
 
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

If they want to walk out on the marriage why should they keep all the best stuff in the house?

[ 28. November 2013, 11:59: Message edited by: Mudfrog ]
 
Posted by Anglo Catholic Relict (# 17213) on :
 
I think we should all get a vote, not just those resident in Scotland. I do not understand why the future of the UK is not determined by the whole population.

I am rather fed up with all the complaining that we hear constantly from Mr Salmond, and I am afraid it is not endearing me to an otherwise very lovely country with lovely people.

Therefore, for the sake of that complaining, my vote would be for Scotland to be declared independent, and given Harry for their King, if they want him. And why not? [Smile]
 
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

If there is anything would make independence attractive to me, it would be the thought of a Scottish Republic in the euro zone.

However, I will be voting agin, for largely prudential and practical reasons.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Imaginary Friend:
Is it too trivial to say that what independence means will be determined by the government of an independent Scotland, after independence has been gained?

It's also true to say that what the Union means is determined by the government of the Union. Which, as we know, varies quite considerably over time - every 4-5 years the voters in the Union get the chance to elect a new bunch of people to represent them, and in the process may choose to change the nature of the Union. Is the UK the same under Cameron as it was under Brown or Blair, or even under Thatcher or Major? Of course not?

So, although I agree that what Scotland will be like is going to depend on the policies of the largest party in Holyrood that is an ephemeral gloss over the fundamental constitutional make-up of the nation.

So, by all means tell us what a Holyrood government could do under Independence that it can't do under Devolution, and if the people agree that having powers to change policy in that area is a good thing then that's a plus for the yes campaign. But, why tell us what they'll be able to do whether Scotland is independent or not?
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglo Catholic Relict:
I think we should all get a vote, not just those resident in Scotland. I do not understand why the future of the UK is not determined by the whole population.

Me too. I've long held the opinion that what is needed is a three fold process. An initial referendum in Scotland to determine if, in principle without any specific details, the people of Scotland would want independence. Followed, if the answer to that is 'yes', by detailed negotiations between Holyrood, Westminster, Brussels and other interested parties to define the terms of seperation between Scotland and the rest of the UK, and how Scotland then relates to the EU and other international bodies. This would then be followed by a UK wide referendum to ask whether the constitutional changes to the UK are agreeable to the population of the UK. Admittedly that creates an interesting problem if that last vote is overwhelmingly in favour in Scotland and against in the rest of the UK - though, not possibly as interesting as if Scotland votes no and everyone else votes yes.
 
Posted by Adeodatus (# 4992) on :
 
To start with, I don't think the Union is in good shape, or really ever has been. But I also don't think it's currently a case of England lording it over everybody else - I think it's London lording it over everybody else. All of the dissatisfaction expressed in Scotland about the Westminster government is present in the regions of England too, but it gets less coverage and has less political history tied up with it. But for me, the question is not so much about splitting the Union as it is about getting away from the mentality of "If it's good for London it's good for everyone; if it's a problem for London, it's a problem for everyone."

Having said that, I think what I've heard of the current proposals for Scotland's independence is a mess. One of the key problems, I think, is the currency. It would really make no sense for England to allow Scotland to keep the pound, because if the Scottish economy went down the tubes at some point, it would then drag the rest of the UK economy with it. Why would we want to allow that? So I think Scotland must either go for the euro, or have its own currency.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
If the Scottish want to keep the Queen as head of state and to also keep the pound as their currency, I have to ask, what is the point?

It's not independance. It might be something, but it isn't independance. It's like those 30-odd year olds who still live at home with their parents; whatever they call their living arrangements they are not independant.
 
Posted by L'organist (# 17338) on :
 
If the Scots are going to be independent then the West Lothian question will finally be answered.

And the rest of the UK will have another £4bn or so to either knock-off the deficit or spend on something we need - like schools, hospitals, etc.
 
Posted by goperryrevs (# 13504) on :
 
What will it mean for the politics of the rest of the UK? The Tories aren't too popular up in Scotland right, so does that mean without Scotland the rest of us will be struck Blue indefinitely?
 
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on :
 
But that's the problem isn't it? In order to get the Scottish people to vote yes to independence Salmond is basically saying, 'nothing will change' You'll still have £ Sterling, you'll still have the Queen ...

He knows that if he said 'Scottish Republic, Euro, etc, just like the republic if Ireland, he'd get no support. He wants it both ways.

silly man.
 
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on :
 
I think we should invade and call everything north of the present border 'England' [Biased]

Or else the English should declare independence first.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
As far as keeping the Queen is concerned, when Elizabeth I died, ending the Tudor dynasty, the Scottish king James became king of both Scotland and England. From 1603 to 1707, one monarch reigned over both countries.

Independence would mean a return to the 1603 to 1707 position.

It's not as though the monarchy is entirely "English" given that the Queen traces her descent from the Scottish Stuart line.
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

You'll find she's the Scottish Queen. The Scots are just letting the English share her.

The right of succession passes through Sophia of Hanover, her mother Elizabeth Stuart, and back to James VI of Scotland. James was King of Scotland only when Elizabeth was born.
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Adeodatus:
One of the key problems, I think, is the currency. It would really make no sense for England to allow Scotland to keep the pound, because if the Scottish economy went down the tubes at some point, it would then drag the rest of the UK economy with it. Why would we want to allow that?

Contrariwise, the value of the pound is not going to be set by Scottish interests. It's going to be set by the Bank of England. There's no case in justice for giving an independent Scotland equal input into the decision process with England. So in practice, the Bank of England will consult the interests of the City of London, and maybe in good weather, the rest of the English economy. The Scottish economy will be more tied to the English economy than it is now.

(So I find myself agreeing with both Adeodatus and deano on this. I wonder how often that's going to happen.)

Also, apparently Salmond wants a separate Scottish Broadcasting Association rather than the BBC. I can't approve that idea either.
 
Posted by South Coast Kevin (# 16130) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
...the value of the pound is not going to be set by Scottish interests. It's going to be set by the Bank of England. There's no case in justice for giving an independent Scotland equal input into the decision process with England. So in practice, the Bank of England will consult the interests of the City of London, and maybe in good weather, the rest of the English economy. The Scottish economy will be more tied to the English economy than it is now.

ISTM this is a gaping hole in the SNP's proposal, and I've not seen any proper answer or explanation. I'd understand if the SNP were saying that they'd seek to use Sterling for a limited period but then establish their own currency as soon as possible, but that's not at all what they're saying, is it?

In fact, did I hear rightly that they'd intend to join the EU as an independent nation, and furthermore that this would necessarily entail adopting the Euro? A currency over which they'd have even less influence than they would over the pound. It seems such an incoherent position for the SNP to hold...
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
Re Queen and monarchy:

Queens and kings of the United Kingdom, are also queens and kings of: Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Jamaica, Barbados, the Bahamas, Grenada, Papua New Guinea, the Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Belize, Antigua and Barbuda, and Saint Kitts and Nevis.

So, no. If the Scots want independence they can keep the monarchy or not. It is their choice, not the choice of anyone else.

And for additional information, listen to this:
The Old Sod: there's none more Scots than the Scots abroad.
"For the thistle and the maple leaf
Are the emblems of the free. "

[ 28. November 2013, 14:03: Message edited by: no prophet ]
 
Posted by Imaginary Friend (# 186) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
So, by all means tell us what a Holyrood government could do under Independence that it can't do under Devolution, and if the people agree that having powers to change policy in that area is a good thing then that's a plus for the yes campaign. But, why tell us what they'll be able to do whether Scotland is independent or not?

Because Salmond hope's he'll win by conflating the constitutional issue of independence with the populist issues of the day?

But apart from that mild cynicism, I can't disagree with you.
 
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
I think we should invade and call everything north of the present border 'England'

Aye, that'll work.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

They already do have their own currency and queen.

Why do you assume that those things belong more specially to England than to the other countries in the UK?
 
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

They already do have their own currency and queen.

Why do you assume that those things belong more specially to England than to the other countries in the UK?

Because they want independence, not just devolution.
The Republic of Ireland no longer has the Queen or the Pound; neither does Zimbabwe.

If Scotland wants full independence let it cut all the stings like those 2 examples and have its own currency and its own form of republican government.
 
Posted by shamwari (# 15556) on :
 
and go the way of Zimbabwe?
 
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:
and go the way of Zimbabwe?

It depends on who the President is, surely.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
The proposal is to dissolve the 1707 Union of Parliaments. Prior to that, the Scottish monarchy also ruled over England. If there is a "Yes" vote, then the situation re the monarchy will revert to the pre-1707 position. Elizabeth I of Scotland will simultaneously be Elizabeth II of England and Wales.

Any future monarchs will be crowned in Scotland using the Scottish crown jewels.

Of all the proposals, I would have thought that the position of the monarchy was the least contentious.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
FWIW, when I became a Notary Public, I swore an oath of fealty to my liege lady Elizabeth, Queen of Scots; the wording of the oath had not been changed in 1707, and hence my oath was to the Queen of Scots.
 
Posted by no prophet (# 15560) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
quote:
Originally posted by ken:
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

They already do have their own currency and queen.

Why do you assume that those things belong more specially to England than to the other countries in the UK?

Because they want independence, not just devolution.
The Republic of Ireland no longer has the Queen or the Pound; neither does Zimbabwe.

If Scotland wants full independence let it cut all the stings like those 2 examples and have its own currency and its own form of republican government.

Having been through 2 referendums by Quebec on leaving Canada, it is rather clear that it does not work this way. Your wish to "cut all strings" is not for the English/UK to say. The ideas with separation and independence seem to be win referendum and then figure out what it means. The stark definition of in or out, is exactly not what happens. Negotiation comes later. It is naive to think otherwise.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Of all the proposals, I would have thought that the position of the monarchy was the least contentious.

Me too. The Crown is divisible, isn't it? Making the Australian Crown, the Canadian Crown and the British Crown separate things. If that's true, it surely isn't a stretch to separate out the British Crown?

What's interesting to me are the SNP's proposals re. the pound. Does Scotland intend to continue using pound sterling, in the same way that Ecuador uses the US dollar or Montenegro uses the Euro? Or do they believe that the Bank of England should actively consider Scottish matters in its deliberations?
 
Posted by South Coast Kevin (# 16130) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
What's interesting to me are the SNP's proposals re. the pound. Does Scotland intend to continue using pound sterling, in the same way that Ecuador uses the US dollar or Montenegro uses the Euro? Or do they believe that the Bank of England should actively consider Scottish matters in its deliberations?

Absolutely, and I mentioned this upthread. The SNP position seems totally incoherent to me.
 
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on :
 
Dafyd:
quote:
James was King of Scotland only when Elizabeth was born.
Actually I think you'll find he was not even a twinkle in his father's eye when Elizabeth was born... but he certainly became King of England when she died, at which time he'd been King of Scots for several decades.

It's the SNP's position on currency that I find completely impossible to understand. Of course it could just be a cynical attempt to gain support from the undecided and after the votes are in it will turn out that they were secretly intending to adopt the Euro all along...
 
Posted by BroJames (# 9636) on :
 
The Queen is, of course, by a distinct and separate right the Queen of Scotland as well as Queen of England (which is one reason why the Sun's "Where is our queen? Where is her flag?" headline was offensive to a good many Scots when she was at Balmoral at the time of Diana's death). Whether she remains queen of Scotland (as of e.g. Canada and Australia) is a separate issue from whether Scotland continues to be governed from Westminster.

As for the pound, there is no reason why Scotland cannot do as the Republic of Ireland did for many years, and have a currency pegged at parity with the pound sterling. Whether it would continue to be in Scotland's interests to maintain that connection to a currency no longer under its control is another matter
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Jane R:
Dafyd:
quote:
James was King of Scotland only when Elizabeth was born.
Actually I think you'll find he was not even a twinkle in his father's eye when Elizabeth was born... but he certainly became King of England when she died, at which time he'd been King of Scots for several decades.
Not Elizabeth Tudor - Elizabeth Stuart. Elizabeth Stuart was James VI's daughter.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by South Coast Kevin:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
What's interesting to me are the SNP's proposals re. the pound. Does Scotland intend to continue using pound sterling, in the same way that Ecuador uses the US dollar or Montenegro uses the Euro? Or do they believe that the Bank of England should actively consider Scottish matters in its deliberations?

Absolutely, and I mentioned this upthread. The SNP position seems totally incoherent to me.
Of course they're incoherent. I've seen this entire show before. See Quebec Separation Referendums, 1980 and 1995. The question of currency and other "hard sovereignty" issues like defence were nagging issues in Canada. Quebec economists widely panned the PQ for proposing to keep the Canadian dollar both times. There was some talk of creating a new Quebec currency (to be called the Piastre) but it didn't go anywhere.

Rene Levesque dismissed their concerns as "mere matters of plumbing."

The SNP will waffle as much as it can to try an attract "soft nationalists". The PQ did the same. Once it gets a majority, it's off the races.

The PQ also mused about keeping the Queen too.

Oh well, Sovereignty is dead as a doornail now in Quebec after the PQ just finished alienating and insulting every immigrant in the province. I wouldn't give a piastre (hehe) for their chances on the Island of Montreal next election.

You'll excuse me while I go gouge my eyes out with a spoon, the Scottish Independence Referendum looks like nothing but a bad B-movie rerun of the Quebec Referendums to me.
 
Posted by otyetsfoma (# 12898) on :
 
You did not have to live through the dreadful Thatcher years Soberpreacherskid. No Canadian govt has ever been horrid to PQ!_ they have all leaned over backwards to appease her. even tolerating the ethnic cleansing that brought me here! Were I lining in Scotland I would certainly want to make sure we would never suffer that sort of thing again. As I live in England I hope they don't secede, as England and Wales would be worse off without them, but I couldn't blame them if they go.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
As is usual in these threads, I can't really understand giving up a comfortable status quo for an uncertain future over silly issues like "national pride." I know it's not my country and all, but I just can't fathom why Scottish independence would be worth the bother.

Also, the expectation that countries like Spain would let Scotland just waltz into the EU seems really unrealistic.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
As is usual in these threads, I can't really understand giving up a comfortable status quo for an uncertain future over silly issues like "national pride." I know it's not my country and all, but I just can't fathom why Scottish independence would be worth the bother.

I guess it depends what you mean by "comfortable status quo". After all, if a bunch of separationists hadn't decided to make a go of it 300-odd years ago the USA would still be part of Britain as well...
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I call it a comfortable status quo because I can't see how being part of the UK is much of a burden to the Scottish people. From what I've heard on these threads, more tax money goes north than comes south, and because England doesn't have its own parliament, Scotland has more say in English matters than English MPs have in Scottish matters. Again, the case may be good enough for the Scottish, and I have no horse in the race. I'm only saying that I wouldn't support it if I were Scottish. But I tend to prefer status quos to uncertain futures.

As for the American Revolution, I probably wouldn't have supported independence back then either, since the stories of British oppression of the American colonies were clearly absurd. I live in the home of the Boston Tea Party, and the museum for the event totally leaves out the fact that the tea tax was imposed to pay for a war that the colonies demanded and the British parliament didn't want, and furthermore subsidized the East India Company which brought the colonies cheaper, higher quality tea. But damned if Boston tea smugglers were going to put up with that!
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:

What's interesting to me are the SNP's proposals re. the pound. Does Scotland intend to continue using pound sterling, in the same way that Ecuador uses the US dollar or Montenegro uses the Euro? Or do they believe that the Bank of England should actively consider Scottish matters in its deliberations?

Does it follow that the Bank of England wouldn't? If Scotland retained the pound, a decision by the Bank that buggered up the Scottish economy would also bugger up the pound itself, and thus the English economy too, surely?
 
Posted by TurquoiseTastic (# 8978) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by otyetsfoma:
You did not have to live through the dreadful Thatcher years Soberpreacherskid. No Canadian govt has ever been horrid to PQ!_ they have all leaned over backwards to appease her. even tolerating the ethnic cleansing that brought me here! Were I lining in Scotland I would certainly want to make sure we would never suffer that sort of thing again. As I live in England I hope they don't secede, as England and Wales would be worse off without them, but I couldn't blame them if they go.

England and Wales, hey? What about Northern Ireland?

I think Scottish independence might destabilize N.Ireland badly. Unionists feel much more kinship with the Scots than they do with the English. I think they'd feel "out on a limb" both geographically and culturally. Dangerous, ISTM.

More mischievously, might the English take the opportunity to argue that Northern Ireland should really count as part of Scotland? [Devil]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:

What's interesting to me are the SNP's proposals re. the pound. Does Scotland intend to continue using pound sterling, in the same way that Ecuador uses the US dollar or Montenegro uses the Euro? Or do they believe that the Bank of England should actively consider Scottish matters in its deliberations?

Does it follow that the Bank of England wouldn't? If Scotland retained the pound, a decision by the Bank that buggered up the Scottish economy would also bugger up the pound itself, and thus the English economy too, surely?
At present, the Bank of England has to consider the whole of the UK. If Scotland was to separate, the Bank of England's responsibility would presumably cover only the rUK (to use the abbreviation that's doing the rounds). Of course the affect of any decision that affects Scotland badly and which in turn has a knock-on effect on the rUK would no doubt weigh on the Bank's mind, but they'd presumably be very much an afterthought?

I haven't looked at this closely, but it seems to me that Salmond and co might be arguing that the Bank of England should continue effectively as before, with equal responsibility for the rUK and for Scotland. If this is correct, the SNP aren't really calling for independence at all, so far as I can see.

More broadly, it seems to me that the SNP's entire plans depends on English goodwill. I'm not sure that's guaranteed. It's like a spouse saying 'you've done nothing wrong, but I'm divorcing you and I want you to continue being nice to me after we split. By the way I won't be cancelling all the joint accounts.'
 
Posted by Ricardus (# 8757) on :
 
Dunno. It seems to me that so many English businesses have interests in Scotland that English pragmatism would probably prevail in the absence of English goodwill.

(Though one could then argue that if English and Scottish economic interests are so closely aligned then why separate them at all ...)
 
Posted by Forthview (# 12376) on :
 
Elisabeth Tudor,daughter of Henry VIII was born in 1533.James VI,King of Scots was born in 1567.
The King of Scots became King of England in 1603 upon the death of the 'Virgin Queen'.Even after the expuarlsion of the Catholic Stuarts in 1688 it was indeed through the children and grandchildren of Elisabeth Stuart,only one of whose children was not Catholic,that the present monarchy is descended.

I've often wondered what would happen,were the English to say they wanted independence from the Scots.
 
Posted by Stercus Tauri (# 16668) on :
 
I can't see anything helpful in the White Paper about citizenship - just some offhand waffle about "future Scottish governments will have the power to determine rules on citizenship and nationality". Who will be a citizen? I was born in England (the result of a disagreement between my father and Adolf Hitler), but my children were born in Scotland, where I lived, got some education, and worked for a good many years (and voted in the last referendum). My Dear Old Mother lives there still. Will I get a choice, or will I be a foreigner when I go back to the only place where I feel at home? If I'm a foreigner, then I can give you a good deal on a nearly new Gunn kilt, confound it all.
 
Posted by South Coast Kevin (# 16130) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
At present, the Bank of England has to consider the whole of the UK. If Scotland was to separate, the Bank of England's responsibility would presumably cover only the rUK (to use the abbreviation that's doing the rounds). Of course the affect of any decision that affects Scotland badly and which in turn has a knock-on effect on the rUK would no doubt weigh on the Bank's mind, but they'd presumably be very much an afterthought?

I haven't looked at this closely, but it seems to me that Salmond and co might be arguing that the Bank of England should continue effectively as before, with equal responsibility for the rUK and for Scotland. If this is correct, the SNP aren't really calling for independence at all, so far as I can see.

The major risk I see for Scotland is parallel to what has happened in the Eurozone - Greece et al would have liked to lower their interest rates and devalue their currency a few years ago, but they couldn't because 'their' currency is the Euro and Greece is just a small part of the Eurozone.

If, at some point in the future, the Scottish economy starts to perform much better or worse than the 'rUK' economy, the Scots won't be able to do much about it and will be stuck with whatever the rUK government / Bank of England decide to do. And if Scotland seeks to join the Eurozone then this problem will only be worse because Scotland will be an even smaller part of the overall currency zone that it's in.
 
Posted by daisymay (# 1480) on :
 
And Scotland had much more contact between Ireland and Norway, while England fought often with them. Many of us have all that within us.

And old Elizabeth 1 (that's also why Scots refuse to call the Elisabeth Queen now as "2" ) had her cousin, the Queen on Scotland who had come down to England, to be killed there. Her sun was also Elizabeth's cousin and he became King in England as well as all around.
 
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on :
 
Dafyd:
quote:
Not Elizabeth Tudor - Elizabeth Stuart. Elizabeth Stuart was James VI's daughter.

Oh right! Sorry - misunderstanding caused by Too Many Elizabeths. Nearly as bad as the monstrous regiment of Marys that annoyed John Knox so much...
 
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on :
 
Not so long ago, Wee Eck was talking a lot about the Republic of Ireland as an example. After all, we jumped out of the United Kingdom first and had a bit of prosperity at the time so no surprise there. Of course, not a lot of chat since the C*ltic T*ger dropped dead of a surfeit of cronyism and dodgy pyramid selling of property.

There are plenty of exemplary tales of just how Ireland worked the nuts and bolts of independence, and unsurprisingly it appears how no one in The Other Island has paid any attention to it. For those who really want to see how the previous divorce in the United Kingdom happened, do yourselves a favour and google "shilling off the old age pension", the External Relations Act 1936 and the Ireland Act 1949. Oh and HM the Queen's visit to ROI in 2011.

The Irish precedent regarding the currency was that there was a "Saorstat Pound" created in 1928. The Irish banks all held deposits in London and the Saorstat Pound, later the Irish Pound, was exchangeable on a one for one basis with Sterling right up to when we joined the ERM in 1979 and the UK didn't. No seat in the Bank of England, no say on interest rates.

The only other point I'd like to make is that at some point the Nats after independence will have to make decisions that will break Scottish practice with the UK. Medical Cards are means tested here and there is consequently a much greater dependence on expensive private health insurance (or none at all) here, whereas social welfare provision is far more generous than in the UK. These are the consequences of independence.

By the way, if Scots get fed up with the Scottish Broadcasting Service they can do what Irish people do when they are fed up with RTE. God bless digital satellite and feck the begrudgers!
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ronald Binge:
The Irish precedent regarding the currency was that there was a "Saorstat Pound" created in 1928. The Irish banks all held deposits in London and the Saorstat Pound, later the Irish Pound, was exchangeable on a one for one basis with Sterling right up to when we joined the ERM in 1979 and the UK didn't. No seat in the Bank of England, no say on interest rates.

My knowledge of Irish history may be out here, but isn't a key difference between the Ireland of 1949 - 1979 and Scotland today is that the former was a small, largely agrarian economy, whereas the latter is a much larger, diverse economy including a significant financial sector?
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by otyetsfoma:
You did not have to live through the dreadful Thatcher years Soberpreacherskid. No Canadian govt has ever been horrid to PQ!_ they have all leaned over backwards to appease her. even tolerating the ethnic cleansing that brought me here! Were I lining in Scotland I would certainly want to make sure we would never suffer that sort of thing again. As I live in England I hope they don't secede, as England and Wales would be worse off without them, but I couldn't blame them if they go.

The Conscription Crises in both Wars weren't horrid? The Manitoba Schools Question, Regulation 17 in Ontario, they weren't horrid (they did no favours for Francophones in Manitoba and Ontario)?

No, the real truth is that Canada is like a old married couple: both parties tolerate each others faults, they may be incredibly cranky but when it comes right down to it, there's still love there.

The Dominion Government, in its wisdom, usually makes laws of general application and doesn't single out a particular province or area, unless it's something like Fisheries where you have to and its glaringly obvious that's the way it works.

Sorry you weren't around for the Charter of Rights, otyetsfoma, it put paid to many of the PQ's excesses. It's why nobody in Ottawa is worried about the sick joke that is Quebec's Charter of Values. Everyone with a brain (including Quebec's own lawyers) and those with an internet connection to laws.justice.gc.ca can see that Quebec's ridiculous exercise in discrimination is dead on arrival in the Courts.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
Just a quick correction. Scotland is a net contributor to UK coffers at present - that's partly why the Westminster parties are so desperate, they know that Scotland will be better off financially than the rump of the UK.

As to the Bank of England, it is a nationalised institution and, like other nationalised institutions (not that there are many left now with Royal Mail gone), the appropriate sharing of its assets will need to be decided post independence. Besides, it's not like the BoE currently pays much attention to what is happening in Scotland when setting interest rates. Like the rest of the "national" government it's focus is on London and the South East of England.
 
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Ronald Binge:
The Irish precedent regarding the currency was that there was a "Saorstat Pound" created in 1928. The Irish banks all held deposits in London and the Saorstat Pound, later the Irish Pound, was exchangeable on a one for one basis with Sterling right up to when we joined the ERM in 1979 and the UK didn't. No seat in the Bank of England, no say on interest rates.

My knowledge of Irish history may be out here, but isn't a key difference between the Ireland of 1949 - 1979 and Scotland today is that the former was a small, largely agrarian economy, whereas the latter is a much larger, diverse economy including a significant financial sector?
Indeed, but I am asking readers to look at the "how" of Irish Independence and to compare/ contrast the Scottish situation vis a vis currency, constitutional issues and choices in fiscal policy. As I have a sick father and elderly and erratic mother to look after and do my degree I'm not about to go spoon feeding everyone with information but give them the tools to go digging themselves. All the issues I have cited aren't unique to the Irish situation, form a precedent for Scotland's situation and therefore shouldn't be dismissed.

As it happens, I don't believe independence would be in Scotland's interest.
 
Posted by otyetsfoma (# 12898) on :
 
SPKid the conscription crisr in WW2 at least was another example of appeasement of Quebec - there was no conscription for overseas service, but anglophone Canadians were shamed into "volunteering" whereas Quebecers were not. There were brave francophones who volunteered, but one of yhem told me of his being abused by fellow Quebecers for fighting "for the english".
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Um, sorry, no. Conscription for overseas service was held off until as long as possible in WWII, but it was implemented in 1944.

Such men were called "Zombies".

See Wiki, which reiterates my high school history class.
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
Much of the scaremongering about currency is being done by people who know they'd have to execute a pretty smart 'reverse ferret' if Scotland voted yes to make sure there was a smooth path to Scotland keeping sterling.

For explanation see Iain Macwhirter currency wars playground style


quote:
perhaps the unionists should be careful what they wish for. If Scotland were to achieve full financial freedom, with its own central bank and floating currency, it would knock several tens of billions of pounds off the UK's balance of payments. Oil and whisky exports would no longer be included in the UK national accounts, and since the UK is running the worst balance of payments deficit in 30 years, this could be uncomfortable. Without Scotland's exports it could find itself in an old style balance of payments crisis.


Such decisions are not set in stone - where other countries have parted they have done things like share the same currency for a while and then have separate ones and then join the euro - as happened in the case of the Czech Republic and Slovakia. An independent country can make its own decision - it doesn't have to be what is currently in the White paper, but the reasons for choosing Sterling at least in the short term are sensible ones for both sides.


quote:

But the main reason this debate is offensive is that everyone knows that England would not refuse to allow Scotland to use the pound. Not even Chancellor George Osborne has ever said that it would. Former chancellor, Alistair Darling, chair of Better Together, has said it was "logical and sensible" for there to be a common currency with England after independence...The pound is anyway a joint creation by Scotland and England, as was the Bank of England which was, of course, founded by a Scot.

Personally I would lean more towards an independent currency, as I wouldn't want ties to the Bank of England to lead to a continuation of the bankrupt 'austerity' policies which have been discredited to the point where even the IMF considers them to be a mistake based on very flawed calculations.

It also needs to be remembered by non-Scots that the Yes campaign is multi-party. It is not just the SNP but The Greens, small parties to the left of Labour and ex-Labour supporters, basically everybody who doesn't want to see a continuation of things like this -

Cruel and Desperate:the new world of Scotland's poor

If you look at the electoral geography of England the fate of elections is determined by the key marginals around the edge of the almost solid Conservative voting block below the Tees/Exe line. To win elections Labour has to swing right to take those marginals and hence the Overton window of British politics swings right.

It's a myth that Scotland is the key battleground. The Scottish vote hasn't changed which governing party was elected in England - except very occasionally it would have resulted in a hung parliament - or even more occasionally prevented one and more often than not, this hasn't worked in Labour's favour - figures here.

So what happens is this - every couple of elections the Conservatives get elected ( or enabled by the Lib dems) and wreak havoc attacking the poorest and sickest and the provision of public services. Then Labour get in and never manage, or have the will, to reverse all the damage the Conservatives have done. This is getting more and more serious as more and more of our vital infrastructure is sold into foreign hands (railways, utility companies royal mail etc) and then EU law makes re-nationalisation extremely difficult. (so we end up in the hilarious situation where state companies from other countries can own our vital services but we can't!).

Basically without a 'Yes' vote, this is where we're going - to Hell in a hand cart with our vital services wrecked by the Tories. Labour isn't going to reverse this, it'll only occasionally, without much conviction, apply the brakes for a while before the jalopy lurches down the road again towards Toryville.

Before the current election I had vaguely heard of foodbanks - there were a handful of them - there are now hundreds of them. People are actually going hungry ( see the article Cruel and Desperate:the new world of Scotland's poor I mentioned above for the kind of casual cruelty which fuels this). Sick members of our family have been made more ill by the attacks of ATOS (who, let's remember, were originally given their job by Labour).

Unless you're a Tory voter or very rich, anyone who thinks the 'Britain' they're voting for is a vote for safety, is sadly kidding themselves. Even Scotland's separate NHS is not safe as income to Scotland can be choked at any time by another Westminster 'austerity government' and then despite being able to afford it, we might be prevented from funding it, just as currently happens with social security.

As for people who care about the BBC, you really think the BBC is going to survive a few more rounds of cuts and Tory re-election? Dream on. Charter renewal looms.

A No vote is a vote for Foodbank Britain, when we could do so very much better. We're a rich country, we shouldn't be in the shameful position where we can't feed or care for our poor. We didn't vote for that. It's evil. Meanwhile Rachel Reeves the Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions vows to be 'tougher than the Tories on benefits'. Shame on her and shame on the useless Labour party.

Voting No is sadly, pretty much equivalent to voting Conservative, because in effect it's voting for Scotland to continue to be subjected to Tory governments while Labour fail to reverse their effects.

[ 29. November 2013, 02:16: Message edited by: Louise ]
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Countries don't die when they dissolve, break up, or disappear. They die when people stop believing in them. I watched my own country have a near-death experience. I went to bed that night and I didn't know if a recount would force us over a cliff into the abyss in the morning. I never want to feel that way again.

People never stopped believing in Canada. Sadly, people seem to have stopped believing in the United Kingdom.
 
Posted by stonespring (# 15530) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:

Voting No is sadly, pretty much equivalent to voting Conservative, because in effect it's voting for Scotland to continue to be subjected to Tory governments while Labour fail to reverse their effects.

I have heard it predicted that if Scotland goes its own way, given political trends it will be very difficult for Labour to gain majorities in Westminster, given the importance of Scottish Labour seats. It would interesting if, by becoming independent to avoid Tory rule, Scotland wound up subjecting the rest of the UK to even more Tory rule. But I'm a Yank with no dog in this fight anyway.
 
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
Originally posted by otyetsfoma:
You did not have to live through the dreadful Thatcher years Soberpreacherskid. No Canadian govt has ever been horrid to PQ!_ they have all leaned over backwards to appease her. even tolerating the ethnic cleansing that brought me here! Were I lining in Scotland I would certainly want to make sure we would never suffer that sort of thing again. As I live in England I hope they don't secede, as England and Wales would be worse off without them, but I couldn't blame them if they go.

The Conscription Crises in both Wars weren't horrid? The Manitoba Schools Question, Regulation 17 in Ontario, they weren't horrid (they did no favours for Francophones in Manitoba and Ontario)?

..

No, SPK, they were nothing like the Highland Clearings, or the various rebellions, or like what Thatcher did to Scotland. Be careful to not equate historical importance within a country to horribleness. Otherwise, we'll be discussing the Family Compact and the Clergy Reserves and their role in the destruction of the Proto-Proletariat.
[Biased]
 
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on :
 
Democracies with a free media tend to not support long terms of one party controlling things. I suspect that splits on the left and right from within the Tory party would lead to something else winning an election. From what I've read, without the discipline instituted by the potential for electoral loss, it would take a Herculean effort to control the various factions within the Tory party. Heck, its taking quite an effort now.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
The Highland clearances were over 200 years ago. Just saying.
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
Stonespring, I dealt with that point in my post.There is a link where it says "figures here" which gives the data which disproves what you've heard. It actually makes little difference electorally.

[ 29. November 2013, 04:01: Message edited by: Louise ]
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Like what happened to Newfoundland when the Cod ran out? Rivals anything Scotland has suffered, but Newfoundland is still in Confederation.

quote:
Be careful to not equate historical importance within a country to horribleness.
Don't lecture me. The '15 and the '45 were hardly Scots vs. English affairs, Scotland was divided and the Stuarts wanted England. You shouldn't get your history from 19th Century Romantics, Og.

Each of the Canadian episodes was the loss of cultural rights and a direct assault on a community's future. Or in the case of conscription, forced involuntary military service. And Scotland rivals this how, again?

Economics sucks. Believe, I know. But seeing as the pain of economic restructuring has hit every industrial country over the last thirty years, Scotland is hardly unique. I grew up in a town which was built around a major factory that currently employs only 10% of its former staff. And many of the other industrial employers have left too.

Food Banks have been common in Canada for 30 years, much as I am sorry to day.

As for the Poll Tax, I don't see one incident of bad government (which led to said government's downfall and the policy's withdrawal) which was quickly changed as a case for destroying a 300 year old nation. You deal with it, you get over it, you move on. It is the equivalent of trying to swat a mosquito with a 1000 lb. bomb.
 
Posted by stonespring (# 15530) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
Stonespring, I dealt with that point in my post.There is a link where it says "figures here" which gives the data which disproves what you've heard. It actually makes little difference electorally.

Oops. I'm up past my bedtime and high on turkey. Sorry about that.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
The Highland clearances were over 200 years ago. Just saying.

And Mrs Thatcher left office nearly 25 years ago. The fact that both are mentioned in the same breath suggests to me that a sense of perspective left this debate some time ago, too.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
Whether events took place 2, 20 or 200 years ago is irrelevant when their effects are still felt. The iniquity of land ownership in rural Scotland is a direct result of the aftermaths of the '45.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
The Highland Clearances were introduced to this thread as the reason for the Scottish diaspora, of which otyetsfoma forms part. I doubt many Scots who will be voting next year factor the Clearances into their decision.

Tangent // That said, I'm also descended from Clearances Highlanders (Strath of Kildonan)and it's surprising how much oral history still trickles down. My gt gt grandparents (grandchildren of those cleared) were Land Leaguers in the 1880s, and there was still some political activism into the C20th. // end Tangent
 
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on :
 
quote:
It would interesting if, by becoming independent to avoid Tory rule, Scotland wound up subjecting the rest of the UK to even more Tory rule.
Maybe it would, and that's why I am hoping they will vote no. But the Scots have to decide for themselves what is best for Scotland.

I just wish (if they do vote yes) that the North of England could join them, because everything Louise says about the scandal of food banks, lack of investment in infrastructure etc. applies to most of England too. I'd rather be ruled from Holyrood than Westminster - though that's not saying very much.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

1. As far as the Queen is concerned, the UK has granted independence to a lot of countries while allowing them to keep the same monarch. I live in one of them.

2. History suggests that Scotland may have just as much, if not a greater, claim on the monarch than England does. Personal union occurred when the English Tudor dynasty ran out.

3. I would respectfully suggest that the whole view point that 'if something is in London it must be English' would be one of the very biggest factors driving Scottish people to consider independence.

[ 29. November 2013, 09:02: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
The Highland clearances were over 200 years ago. Just saying.

And Mrs Thatcher left office nearly 25 years ago. The fact that both are mentioned in the same breath suggests to me that a sense of perspective left this debate some time ago, too.
The American War of Independence ended about 230 years ago and the Second World War nearly seventy years ago. Let's not repeat history by ignoring it.

If we're considering whether Scotland is a net contributor to the UK economy then isn't that on the basis of what Jo Grimond (sometime MP for Orkney & Shetland) described as "Shetland Oil"? [Biased]
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by deano:
If the Scottish want to keep the Queen as head of state and to also keep the pound as their currency, I have to ask, what is the point?

It's not independance. It might be something, but it isn't independance. It's like those 30-odd year olds who still live at home with their parents; whatever they call their living arrangements they are not independant.

And again, I have to point out, I live in a country that has kept the Queen (or rather the monarcy, including her predecessors) for 112 years since independence, and kept a matching currency for at least 31 years.

The views that some of you are espousing basically mean that the breakup of the British Empire should never have happened. It feels like you're only noticing when it happens to be on your geographical doorstep.

[ 29. November 2013, 09:06: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
Perhaps if Scotland becomes independent, each remaining region of the UK should have a plebiscite on whether to join Scotland or remain with the United Kingdom. It would be amusing to see the UK reduced, perhaps, to a city state or perhaps the south-east of England, and the remainder part of a Greater Scotland.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
..and on a more serious point:

quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:

1. As far as the Queen is concerned, the UK has granted independence to a lot of countries while allowing them to keep the same monarch. I live in one of them.independence.

And I live in another. However, I think the situation in these parts is different to how it would pan out in Scotland. New Zealand is in reality a de facto republic with a locally-appointed governor-general. There is no point in abolishing the monarchy. The Queen rarely visits. It is less of a foreign imposition than some of the trade deals and tax breaks that Uncle Sam forces on us.

A monarchy in an independent Scotland would more obviously shared with those nasty backward types in the South, and as such wouldn't be obviously authentically "Scottish".

[fixed ubb]

[ 29. November 2013, 09:20: Message edited by: Cod ]
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
The Campaign for Mercian Independence starts here!
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
Jest not. The Mercians are on the march, combining militarism, modern-day paganism and young ladies in corsets all under the flag of St Alban.

I expect Scottish nationalism went through this stage too, perhaps back in the 1920s, although doubtlessly the corsets were kept discreetly out of sight.
 
Posted by mark_in_manchester (# 15978) on :
 
Who could resist a link like that!!

The suggestion to get really serious about national predigree, and to let the sons and daughters of Scots planters return to their spiritual roots in a greater Scotland which extends through much of Ulster, is a really nice one.

Joking aside, I'd agree that NI stability is not at all helped by all this.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Cod:
quote:
A monarchy in an independent Scotland would more obviously shared with those nasty backward types in the South, and as such wouldn't be obviously authentically "Scottish".
There's already a separation; our postboxes have an "ER" whereas English postboxes have "ER II"; the Honours of Scotland are on display in Edinburgh Castle; members of the royal family are referred to by their Scottish titles whilst in Scotland (e.g. as the Duke of Rothesay rather than as the Prince of Wales)
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Jest not. The Mercians are on the march, combining militarism, modern-day paganism and young ladies in corsets all under the flag of St Alban.

Yeah, but those guys is crazy, yo. Apart from the corsets thing, of course. Every country needs more of that sort of thing in its daily life [Big Grin] .
 
Posted by lowlands_boy (# 12497) on :
 
I can't understand why anyone would want to adopt independence but retain a monarch, however much they might feel that the monarch is historically "their" monarch and not England's anyway.

If you're going to be independent, use it as an opportunity to to modernise everything, starting with the democratic structure.

Does the white paper say anything about church/state relations?

And, for the Scottish amongst us - what's the actual feeling on the ground? A two second scan of google results for independence polls implies the no campaign are/were ahead, but the last poll was before publication of the paper.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
I'm not sure of the feeling on the ground.

Personally, my preference would have been for increasing autonomy, with independence at some unspecified point in the future, so that the various problems and issues could have been tackled as they arose; more of a "child leaving home" than a "two spouses divorcing" scenario.

As that isn't an option, I'll be a Yes voter, but I'm not going to campaign or try to convince others.

That said, I've been surprised at how many people I know, whom I thought were politically aware but not enthusiastic, who have been posting "Yes" material on Facebook.

16 year olds will have the vote, but they appear to be more likely to vote "no" than "yes."

The UK media seems to be lagging well behind, raising points which have long been sorted here, or attributing the desire from independence to some sort of thoughtless "Braveheart" mentality. I have seen absolutely no appeal to that sort of nationalism whatsoever.

The discussions going on on the ground are dominated by the economy / employment / etc.
 
Posted by Mudfrog (# 8116) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
The American War of Independence ended about 230 years ago and the Second World War nearly seventy years ago. Let's not repeat history by ignoring it.

I'm sorry! How are you going to repeat the American War of Independence? ?
 
Posted by Hawk (# 14289) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
All I would say is 'Get your own currency and get your own Queen!'

You'll find she's the Scottish Queen. The Scots are just letting the English share her.

The right of succession passes through Sophia of Hanover, her mother Elizabeth Stuart, and back to James VI of Scotland. James was King of Scotland only when Elizabeth was born.

Surely the Jacobite line is the true Scottish line since they didn't accept the Orange and Hanoverian usurpers. The Hanoverians were a distant offshoot of the Stuarts that the (English-dominated) parliament chose in their place.

Which would make the current heir to the Scottish throne someone very different. The last direct Jacobite claimant was Henry IX (Henry I of Scotland) who became Cardinal-Bishop in Rome and had no children. His heir was his nephew Charles Emmanuel IV, King of Sardinia, who abdicated in favour of his brother Victor Emmanuel I. As King of Sardinia, his heirs were promoted to kings of Piedmont and then Italy, finishing with Umberto II who lost the throne in 1946. But he died in 1983 so his only son Vittorio Emmanuel of Naples is the current legitimate Jacobite claimant to the throne of Scotland. He's probably expecting a call from Salmond any day now.
 
Posted by Erroneous Monk (# 10858) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Perhaps if Scotland becomes independent, each remaining region of the UK should have a plebiscite on whether to join Scotland or remain with the United Kingdom. It would be amusing to see the UK reduced, perhaps, to a city state or perhaps the south-east of England, and the remainder part of a Greater Scotland.

And then we can get back to the serious argument as to whether the crown belongs to Lancashire or Yorkshire.
 
Posted by stonespring (# 15530) on :
 
Another option might be for Scotland and the rest of the UK to share a military, foreign policy, currency, etc., while being otherwise independent. Maybe they could then show the rest of the EU how it's done [Smile] .
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
That's the other side of my inability to understand the point of independence—I'm rather cynical and don't have high expectations that a Scottish government could run things better than a British government. In the very least, I don't expect that it would resolve 250 year old injustices or prevent mean people from ever being elected. The pro-independence crowd could moderate their expectations, in my opinion.
 
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Mudfrog:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
Let's not repeat history by ignoring it.

I'm sorry! How are you going to repeat the American War of Independence? ?
No one is talking about repeating any specific historical event. But it is possible to have further instances of similar circumstances which led to those events e.g. Colonists manifesting a wish for autonomy from the mother country. The fact that there have not been armed risings against British rule in Canada and Australia shows that something may have been learnt from the American experience. OTOH, India and Africa possibly show the opposite.
 
Posted by lowlands_boy (# 12497) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Erroneous Monk:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Perhaps if Scotland becomes independent, each remaining region of the UK should have a plebiscite on whether to join Scotland or remain with the United Kingdom. It would be amusing to see the UK reduced, perhaps, to a city state or perhaps the south-east of England, and the remainder part of a Greater Scotland.

And then we can get back to the serious argument as to whether the crown belongs to Lancashire or Yorkshire.
[Overused]

Although I thought it was obvious ;-)

Gunfighting
 
Posted by BroJames (# 9636) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Hawk:
Surely the Jacobite line is the true Scottish line since they didn't accept the Orange and Hanoverian usurpers. The Hanoverians were a distant offshoot of the Stuarts that the (English-dominated) parliament chose in their place.

Actually the Scots were divided over the royal line (as were the English) and (e.g.) there were Scots on both sides at Culloden, and plenty of English Jacobites.
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
Both the accession of William of Orange and the then future Hanoverian succession were voted for by the Pre 1707 Scottish parliament. Hence they were Scottish decisions by the relevant Scottish body.


Oddly enough it was that unfortunate spIit with the American Colonies which led to the Westminster parliament asserting its absolute executive sovereignty unchecked by any 'fundamental law' - there was nothing parliament couldn't abrogate by a simple majority vote. Add that to a broken electoral system which concentrates disproportionate power in a handful of geographically close marginal seats and you get the problem that a government with no mandate outside England can do practically unchecked damage to the other UK countries. There aren't sufficient constitutional or electoral safeguards to stop it. Scotland has a far better, fit-for-purpose electoraI system for the Scottish parliament but its decisions only apply to matters not reserved to Westminster. There is a strong movement to develop a modern written constitution for an independent Scotland to, for one thing, address the lack of safeguards in the Westminster system in its current form.

The problem is twofold: a skewed and broken electoral system magnifies the problem that the SE of England has since the 1930s become increasingly different to the rest of the UK and what wins there often cannot gain consent outside England. This plus the constitutional problem of the sheer unlimited power of a Westminster government means that if they elect 'mean people' the other UK countries cannot adequately protect themselves.

If Scotland elected unspecified 'mean people', it would be very unlikely that it would make any difference to Westminster (see electoral results linked above). If a part of an independent Scotland took a penchant for unspecified mean people, the electoral system would go a long way to preventing a small group of marginals becoming decisive and a new written constitution could provide better safeguards against them.

Those are long term issues but in the short term we'd also be able to stop immediately the victimisation of helpless sick, working poor and unemployed people, many of whom are facing cold, hunger and despair.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
The problem is twofold: a skewed and broken electoral system magnifies the problem that the SE of England has since the 1930s become increasingly different to the rest of the UK and what wins there often cannot gain consent outside England. This plus the constitutional problem of the sheer unlimited power of a Westminster government means that if they elect 'mean people' the other UK countries cannot adequately protect themselves.

Scotland is a full member of the Westminster parliament. Are you saying that an independent Scotland would be better able to protect itself from its democratically elected leaders? [Confused]
quote:
Those are long term issues but in the short term we'd also be able to stop immediately the victimisation of helpless sick, working poor and unemployed people, many of whom are facing cold, hunger and despair.
Your last paragraph seems to be looking more for a messiah than independence.

How do you know that Scotland would even end up with this constitution that will solve all these problems? Does the SNP do that great a job looking out for "the helpless sick, working poor and unemployed people" face "cold, hunger, and despair?"
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
In the very least, I don't expect that it would resolve 250 year old injustices
The perception outwith Scotland might be that independence is about "resolving 250 year old injustices" but I can assure you, no-one is talking about that here. The focus here is on the impact Independence would have on our economy, our employment situation and our ability to create a fairer society.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
In the very least, I don't expect that it would resolve 250 year old injustices
The perception outwith Scotland might be that independence is about "resolving 250 year old injustices" but I can assure you, no-one is talking about that here. The focus here is on the impact Independence would have on our economy, our employment situation and our ability to create a fairer society.
Hey, I didn't bring the Highland clearances up. Are you sure this perception is just from "outwith?"
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Zach82:

quote:
Does the SNP do that great a job looking out for "the helpless sick, working poor and unemployed people" face "cold, hunger, and despair?"
The devolved Parliament has a good track record so far; the smoking ban (brought in in Scotland before a similar ban came in in England) has measurably improved some health statistics; the "hungry for change" initiative with school meals (praised by Jamie Oliver when he subsequently promoted something similar in England) has been a success; our NHS doesn't seem to be experiencing the problems faced by the NHS in England (though that might be a sweeping generalisation); "curriculum for excellence" is too new to be assessed yet, but seems a good attempt to improve our education system, and certainly isn't creating the problems that Gove seems to be creating in the education system in England.
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
To add to Firenze, what was learnt was 'responsible government' the term for devolution to the white settler nations which became in the early 20th century Dominion Status. This was beefed up after WWI to firstly make Dominions co-equal with Britain in the Empire and then to give effective independence under the Statute of Westminster in 1931 which meant that while the Dominions retained the Crown and were considered to be entirely British and could easily keep Sterling if they wanted, they became effectively independent. The core of the Statute of Westminster was that Westminster would not legislate for you without your parliament's consent. But thanks to racism this was extended too little, too late to non white colonies.

Dominion Status also applied to the Irish Free state which later rejected it to become a republic. Quite a few people in Scotland wanted it too, and a bill was even introduced for that at Westminster by the Rev. James Barr of the Independent Labour Party.

Many people don't know the history and are missing how close Alex Salmond's proposals are to the historically accepted model of Dominion Status which gave effective independence to the settler colonies - many of them with large Scottish diasporas like Australia, Canada and New Zealand (which was slower to fully adopt it but did after WW2 ).

It's ironic that this was done without any predictions that the sky would fall and that all those Scottish-diaspora infused countries would suddenly be cast into poverty. It puts the modern day dirty politics and scaremongering into a bit of perspective.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
OK, but "We'll be able to sort out our healthcare better" is a much more moderate expectation relief from all cold, hunger, and despair.

Edit: crossposted.

[ 29. November 2013, 14:57: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Good grief Louise, where to start.

First, the Dominions did not partake of a comprehensive Welfare State with Westminster, Scotland does.

Second, the Dominions did not, in general, share a tax base with the UK. Scotland does.

Third, under classic Dominion status, i.e. Canada 1867-1931, Westminster controlled Foreign Affairs and Defence. As every Canadian schoolkid learns, Canada entered WWI when the UK declared war, we had no individual say in the matter nor were we consulted.

You'll never get Trident out the Gareloch under Dominion status!
 
Posted by Hawk (# 14289) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
Both the accession of William of Orange and the then future Hanoverian succession were voted for by the Pre 1707 Scottish parliament. Hence they were Scottish decisions by the relevant Scottish body.

Everyone agreed on William and Anne, but in 1703 the Scottish Estates passed a bill stating that their selection for Anne's successor would not be the same as the English selection unless England agreed to unfettered Scottish trade. England responded by passing an Act massively hampering Scottish Trade and the Scots responded by seeking to remove their soldiers from Marlborough's army. Eventually after some serious arm twisting by the English Parliament the Scottish Parliament agreed to George I's accession in the 1707 Act of Union, which linked the two kingdoms as the single Kingdom of Great Britain.

The accession of George of Hanover went directly against the Scottish Stuart law of hereditary sucession.

I was imagining that if this 1707 Act of Union was reversed, Scotland would want their own monarchy back, based on their own law of direct succession, rather than being forced to agree to the English decision.

[ 29. November 2013, 15:40: Message edited by: Hawk ]
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
You know that constitution thing America has? It's there to protect you from your 'democratically elected leaders'. For weird historical reasons, partly to do with America, Britain is surprisingly deficient in that department.

If you read the article on poverty in Scotland which I linked above you'll get some idea of the arbitrary cruelty being heaped on the poor. Basically a willful and needless assault is going on which takes away basic safety nets. The worst policies are all opposed by the vast majority of the Scots electorate and could be taken off the moment those policy areas stop being reserved to Westminster. No messiah needed to stop this deliberate attack, just a chance to decouple ourselves from a badly broken electoral system and a Union which no longer works, given the different historical development of the area below the Tees Exe line and the lack of constitutional safeguards against what the governments it votes for can do (also the sort of thing you have a US Senate for to prevent similar problems ).

In fact I'd probably be happy if the area below the Tees Exe line (which has developed differently as it wasn't where all the coal, mountains and heavy industry was)declared independence. It's the part of the UK which economic and political research shows to be significantly different. But at the moment we don't have an adequate political system to provide checks and balances so those differences don't overwhelm the rest of the UK, so the best hope is for other UK countries to develop their own protections.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Scotland is a full member of the Westminster parliament.

And a fully outnumbered one.
 
Posted by Hawk (# 14289) on :
 
Update - I was wrong about the Jacobite line of succession. The Italian kings used the Salic law of succession which is different from the Scottish law (which allows women). According to the Jacobites, the hereditary rights of the Stuarts passed down to Francis II of Scotland, currently 80 years old, living in a palace in Munich.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Scotland is a full member of the Westminster parliament.

And a fully outnumbered one.
For a long time Scotland was over-represented in terms of the number of seats compared with population. There was a reduction in seats following devolution, but I still think there's a slight over-representation. I'm not 100% sure though.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
You know that constitution thing America has? It's there to protect you from your 'democratically elected leaders'. For weird historical reasons, partly to do with America, Britain is surprisingly deficient in that department...

I have no doubt that the poor suffer in the British system. I just assume that they will continue to suffer in a Scottish system. As for "checks and balances," the United States is presently learning the consequences of checking government power too much. No one in our government has the power to even pass a budget.

Look, I'm not saying that independence can't have some positive benefits for Scotland. It just seems to me that independence is predicated on messianic expectations. I assume because "Independence for Scotland: vote for a slightly more efficient healthcare system for the future!" isn't quite as compelling a pitch.

[ 29. November 2013, 15:58: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
Not sure what you mean by a Stuart law of hereditary succession, Hawk. From 1689 the Scottish parliament claimed the right to determine who took the Scottish throne. It wasn't a matter of indefeasible hereditary right - that was rejected. It considered James VII's claim and William's and picked William, so later arm twisting or no, it was parliament's decision to make and it ratified a Hanoverian succession.

Nobody apart from a few eccentrics goes in for actual Jacobitism today. Republicanism would be the more likely alternative to the Windsors than Jacobitism
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Scotland is a full member of the Westminster parliament.

And a fully outnumbered one.
For a long time Scotland was over-represented in terms of the number of seats compared with population. There was a reduction in seats following devolution, but I still think there's a slight over-representation. I'm not 100% sure though.
Even if it's a slight over-representation per head of population, on the floor of the House of Commons it's 533 English reps out of a total of 650. It's not hard to see that any time there's a feeling that Scottish interests (or Welsh or Irish ones) differ in some way from English interests, the English interests will prevail.

And you don't have an elected Senate that would counteract that by reflecting regional interests more strongly, as the USA and Australian Senates are intended to do.

[ 29. November 2013, 16:03: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
I have no doubt that the poor suffer in the British system. I just assume that they will continue to suffer in a Scottish system.
Scotland has less inequality in many areas - for example, most children attend a state comprehensive school. Although these vary according to the area they're in, there isn't the same inbuilt social divisions as in areas where state education is only for the poor.

Aberdeenshire, where I live, has 17 state comprehensive secondary schools, and only two fee-paying schools, one of which is a Montessori school, and the other is the international school, aimed primarily at children following a non-Scottish syllabus, because their families are only here short term. So practically every child is state educated.

(Aberdeen city, which is separate from Aberdeenshire, does have fee-paying schools, but only a small percentage of children aren't state educated.)

Generally,I think independence would get us away from the privately educated Westminster elite, which is likely to be good news for the poor.

[ 29. November 2013, 16:12: Message edited by: North East Quine ]
 
Posted by daisymay (# 1480) on :
 
And a bit south of Scotland was the Scottish area too, but later it was taken by England; do the Scots want that bit back or just ignore it?

And Scotland will be doing lots about St Andrews this week and that will be less in England!
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
I'd just come off this thread when I found this very perceptive article by Neal Ascherson - it buries the lede which has a lot of truth in it- here it is

the SNP is the most truly British party in these islands


quote:
The Scotland being here described – or proposed – was the Britain so passionately hoped for by the millions who voted for Tony Blair, back in 1997.

After 18 years of Thatcherism, the longing was for a return to fairness and a stronger regulating and redistributing role for the state. What New Labour did with those hopes is another story. But Salmond's "what sort of Scotland" is also a moderate, statist social democracy...

The yes camp is wider than the official yes campaign. Around Scotland in recent months, I keep meeting people who would never vote SNP or trust Salmond, but who are painfully admitting that they may have to vote yes. This is because they are appalled at the way the British state is heading under Tory or Labour: the downward plunge into the barbarism of neoliberal politics, the contempt for public service, the almost monthly advance of privatisation.

The kind of welfare state Britain was originally based around after World War 2, modernised to deal with modern problems, maybe does seem messianic from an American perspective - but I'm willing to shoot for a version of that, even while falling short, rather than do nothing about the damage caused by having a constitutional and electoral system which isn't designed to handle one part of the UK becoming too powerful and going rogue.

One of the huge advantages of devolution was getting a modern electoral system in Scotland which is a vast improvement on pure first past the post. It's made our democracy better and more responsive. I'd like the resulting parliament to have full power. It's proved itself.

[ 29. November 2013, 16:42: Message edited by: Louise ]
 
Posted by L'organist (# 17338) on :
 
quote:
posted by orfeo
Even if it's a slight over-representation per head of population, on the floor of the House of Commons it's 533 English reps out of a total of 650.

In the case of Scotland it is indeed a slight over-representation in the House of Commons - of the other parts that make up the UK the most over-represented is Wales.

If you look at the percentage of population and then work out the number of MPs to go with that then the representation of the various parts of the UK should be as follows (actual number of seats in brackets):

But that is to ignore the fact the the Scottish Parliament deals with approximately half the law-making / decision taking for Scotland - and the Scottish Parliament has a further 129 MSPs, 73 for set constituencies and 56 as "regional" MSPs.

For Wales, where the Assembly has fewer powers the numbers are 40:20. In Northern Ireland, again with fewer devolved powers, they elect 6 assembly members per constituency, giving them 108 MLAs in all.

There are those who say that the greater number of representatives at devolved level in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland is to make up for the greater number of English members at Westminster.

But if you use the numbers of devolved members per Westminster constituency as your benchmark the figures look hugely different.

If English constituencies were represented at the same level as those of the other 3 parts of the UK then the numbers would be:

Whatever the outcome of the vote in Scotland, it is beyond time for sorting out three issues: the number of MPs overall; the percentage of population represented by each MP; the Westminster representation of the areas with devolved assemblies.
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
Does it really matter if Scotland is over-represented? Get a life.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Does it really matter if Scotland is over-represented?

In a discussion about the position of Scotland within the constitutional framework of the United Kingdom, possibly.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Does it really matter if Scotland is over-represented?

In a discussion about the position of Scotland within the constitutional framework of the United Kingdom, possibly.
Only if you can demonstrate that the over-representation has had more than a theoretical impact. The West Lothian question needs an answer, probably most efficiently having a separate English and British government with non-English MPs not allowed to vote on England-only matters - something the SNP members, to their credit, do voluntarily.
 
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Get a life.

hosting/
This thread has been doing amazingly well at staying out of the danger zone and is much the better for it. Don't compromise that by heading down the road of personal insults.
/hosting
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Get a life.

hosting/
This thread has been doing amazingly well at staying out of the danger zone and is much the better for it. Don't compromise that by heading down the road of personal insults.
/hosting

Not an insult, a statement of fact. Why anyone would begrudge the Scots their devolved Psrliament, highly successful since 1999, plus representation at Westminster for non devolved matters eg defence (where Scotland carries more than its fair share of the burden eg Faslane/Coulport) genuinely beats me. But I'm probably deemed too thick to understand.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
If Britain were divided along political lines, the true border would run a long way south of the Tweed. In the last general election, the Tories achieved 43% of the vote and 191 of 270 seats across southern England and London. Outside that area, they achieved only 110 of 380 seats and 28% o the vote.

The Tories have managed to corner the right-wing vote in England, including a lot of non-free market traditionalists, such as exist in Scotland too. I find it interesting that no party there has been able to scoop them up, and wonder who former supporters of the Scottish Unionist party switched to, or whether they have just been staying at home ever since.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:

People never stopped believing in Canada. Sadly, people seem to have stopped believing in the United Kingdom.

This. No one can reasonably deny that Scotland, England, Wales and Northern Ireland have their own traditions.

But they also have centuries of common heritage, some good, some bad, but there nevertheless. I'm English, but my family is made up of people from all those parts, and I suspect the same is true for pretty much a majority of British people. Having lived in Scotland and, subsequent to that, half my life outside the UK, I reflect on just how similar the Scots are to people from the rest of the UK and find it astonishing that so many shared values are being passed over or dismissed.
 
Posted by Jay-Emm (# 11411) on :
 
[in reply to L'organist, having managed to forget the intervening posts]
What you say makes a fair bit of sense until you start giving England's devolved government powers over Britain (i.e. saying we need 3000MP's), which is just silly.
To add my opinion:

An English assembly would make sense getting rid of the way the current system is unfair to England* (when 'too much' is done at the regional level and there is 'too much' Scottish influence at English regional government compared with vice versa)**

But until a fair way of working (one way would be to send everything local, unless everyone agrees to co-operate-i.e. independence) it leave the way the current system is unfair to Scotland (when 'too much' is done at the Great-British level).

*better yet split, but the boundaries in England as less well defined.
**the actual number of MEnP's doesn't technically matter (at least not that directly), but one would consider it odd if the systems were unequally fine/course.

[ 29. November 2013, 18:18: Message edited by: Jay-Emm ]
 
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Not an insult, a statement of fact.

Hosting/
"Get a life" is not a statement of fact. It is an insult directed at another poster. If you want to dispute that, take it up in the Styx. If you carry on ignoring or contesting hostly interventions on this thread, expect attention from an admin.
/Hosting

[ 29. November 2013, 18:22: Message edited by: Eutychus ]
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
I really don't see what's wrong with the current system.

England doesn't need its own parliament. All that is needed is a convention that Scottish MPs at Westminster don't vote on matters peculiar to England, and I understand such a convention already exists.

Scottish worries about being dominated by England can be dealt with by delegation of legal powers to its own Parliament. Oh look, that's been done too. What I don't understand is how many more special arrangements need to be made to mitigate that.

What I don't see the point of is the creation of a huge constitutional edifice that will achieve little apart from slowing the legislative process, creating uncertainty in the law, and hence plenty of work for lawyers.

Actually, perhaps it's not such a bad idea after all. [Devil]
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
I really don't see what's wrong with the current system.

England doesn't need its own parliament. All that is needed is a convention that Scottish MPs at Westminster don't vote on matters peculiar to England, and I understand such a convention already exists.

Tell that to those of us who lived South of the border when top-up fees for university tuition were introduced by a 4 vote margin comprised of Scottish Labour MPs whose constituencies would be unaffected by the change. It has been a rare occurrence, but it does happen. If such a convention existed there would be no need for the lib dems to be part of a coalition at Westminster on anything except policies that affect the whole of the UK. As it is they've been backing up the tories on health and education too.
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
Talk of different constitutional arrangements short of Scots independence became irrelevant when Unionist parties refused to countenance a third option, so called Devo Max, on the ballot paper.

A large group of Scots would probably have gone for a meaningful Devo Max option. It is now becoming clear however that a NO vote would be rewarded with no additional powers for the Scottish Parliament and most likely a reduction in the block grant allocated by Westminster.

I think a YES is likely in 2014 and will certainly be voting that way myself, for the very reasons that Louise has articulated so eloquently in her posts.
 
Posted by Wulfstan (# 558) on :
 
Louise, the article purporting to prove that Scotland’s impact on elections is minimal is arrant nonsense. The figures quoted therein prove precisely the opposite. You wouldn’t have had Labour governments in 1964 or after either of the elections in the 1970s, John Major would have had a solid majority in 1992 and wouldn’t have had the parliamentary problems he did have, not least at the end in the run up to the 1997 election. This is hardly insignificant: the post-war history of the UK would have been massively different without Scotland, these figures prove it beyond doubt. Most importantly the 2010 election would have been an outright win for the Tories, which due to the treachery of the Lib Dems might not have affected policy much but would have improved Tory morale no end.

As for “the Tories get in every few years”, well they haven’t won a majority at a general election for over 20 years now. The problem runs rather deeper than that. Labour continued the Thatcherite agenda with catastrophic results, but Scottish MPs were a part of that too: tuition fees in England only got through parliament with the support of Scottish MPs, whilst Salmond was as keen to schmooze Murdoch as Blair was. No-one was seriously criticising the neo-liberal economic agenda, just tinkering a bit at the edges at best.

As for this:
“Labour isn't going to reverse this, it'll only occasionally, without much conviction, apply the brakes for a while before the jalopy lurches down the road again towards Toryville.”
How is this possible? Do you really think it is actually possible for the current situation to go on indefinitely? Ever increasing personal debt, ever higher house and energy prices, food poverty on an unprecedented post-war scale? Only an ardent Tory could believe that. We’re heading for another economic crash if we carry on like this, the question is what happens then. At the moment the Tories are deeply divided, facing real problems from UKIP, their key policies are failing and they haven’t won an election outright in over 20 years. Scottish independence would give them a get out of jail free card, partially because of the loss of Labour supporters, but also because of the national squabbles that would result, and don’t doubt there would be plenty of them.

As for the SNP, they have had devolved government for some time now, a more generous allocation of funds per head than the rest of the UK courtesy of the Barnet formula and the right to increase income tax (by 3% IIRC). Have they done much with this? When INEOS was threatening to close Grangemouth, did they suggest nationalising it? Have you any evidence to support the idea that Salmond would seriously tackle any of the problems you raise? How would austerity end if Scotland is keeping the pound and therefore having the BofE as its lender of last resort? It would be restricted by any borrowing limits the BofE chose to impose.

And I know all about ATOS. I’ve personally been through their “assessments” several times already and am currently waiting to go through it all again. According to you however that doesn’t matter as I’m not living in the same part of the country as you. So if Scots independence boosts the Tories, and it will, that’s just my tough luck for living in the wrong place. Thanks a heap.

Scottish independence is only a solution if the problem is the English (or possibly the Welsh). Since the problems you describe however are plaguing most of Europe, not to mention the US, I really don’t see that that’s true.
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
quote:
Scottish worries about being dominated by England can be dealt with by delegation of legal powers to its own Parliament. Oh look, that's been done too.
No, that hasn't been done too. Too much was reserved to Westminster, including vital areas like welfare policy, immigration, and fiscal autonomy, when asked to tackle that by devo max (delegating everything except defence and foreign policy) the Westminster government refused to even allow the question to be put on the referendum.
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
quote:
Wulfstan:
As for the SNP, they have had devolved government for some time now, a more generous allocation of funds per head than the rest of the UK courtesy of the Barnet formula and the right to increase income tax (by 3% IIRC). Have they done much with this? When INEOS was threatening to close Grangemouth, did they suggest nationalising it? Have you any evidence to support the idea that Salmond would seriously tackle any of the problems you raise? How would austerity end if Scotland is keeping the pound and therefore having the BofE as its lender of last resort? It would be restricted by any borrowing limits the BofE chose to impose.

Scots get £1200 more per head in UK spending allocation as a result of the Barnet formula. However, £1700 more per head is raised in taxation from Scotland than from the rest of the UK.
Using the "right to raise income tax by 3%" would result in a corresponding drop in the block grant, meaning zero benefit from raising tax.
When INEOS "threatened Grangemouth, Salmond and Swinney worked tirelessly to save it even after the closure announcement while Labour focussed on fiddling candidate selection in Falkirk.
Scotland, as well as rUK, would be subject to borrowing limits imposed by the BoE. Since Scotland would have a lower deficit than rUK it would be well-placed to operate within those constraints. However, it would be free to boost growth by completely restructuring and simplifying the taxation system.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
I think it's clear that Scotland could fund itself to the level of the average developed country at least.

I hope, however, no one thinks Scotland is entitled to greater public spending because it is a net contributor to UK coffers.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Generally,I think independence would get us away from the privately educated Westminster elite, which is likely to be good news for the poor.

But less good for anyone who isn't poor? How many of the better-off Scots will relocate south if the border?
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Generally,I think independence would get us away from the privately educated Westminster elite, which is likely to be good news for the poor.

But less good for anyone who isn't poor? How many of the better-off Scots will relocate south if the border?
Very few? How many individuals beyond the super rich migrate solely for tax purposes?
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
Much as I sympathise with you, I think you’re wrong.

quote:
You wouldn’t have had Labour governments in 1964
Yup, one out of 18, as noted in the figures I linked to.

quote:
or after either of the elections in the 1970s,
Not that I can see, only a change after the second 1974 election to a hung parliament - and quite possible for Labour to make a non Tory coalition - there were 13 liberals at least.


quote:
John Major would have had a solid majority in 1992
- doubt it would have made much difference, except if he’d been brought down early there might have been a Labour win sooner. What specifically are you saying he’d have done that he didn’t do anyway?


quote:
Most importantly the 2010 election would have been an outright win for the Tories, which due to the treachery of the Lib Dems might not have affected policy much but would have improved Tory morale no end.
I remember thinking at the time it might make a difference that the parliament was hung- sadly it made bugger all difference. The Lib Dems didn’t blink about the destruction of the English NHS, the introduction of the bedroom tax - not a thing. The Orange Bookers turned out to actually be Tories. I remember my surprise after the election at finding an interview Nick Clegg gave some years previously saying that the NHS should be broken up. Nobody pointed it out during Cleggmania when many were taken in by him. Morale is pretty theoretical - in practice though no difference that I can see except for electoral reform being set back by years thanks to idiot Clegg.


quote:
As for the SNP...Have they done much with this?
See previous poster on the tax issue, but as for what they’ve done… no tuition fees, reformed right to buy to protect social housing, extra £1.2 billion for the NHS, building hospitals with public money like the £840 million new South Glasgow Hospital., opposing privatisation in the NHS, and there will be plenty in the health and education world I’m not up on.

Ah yes and they nationalised Prestwick airport. They couldn’t nationalise Grangemouth because energy policy is a reserved matter. The subject certainly did come up. see here.

But remember a Yes vote is for an independent Scotland in which people could vote for any party and in which the Scottish Labour party could throw off unpopular policies designed to appeal to the marginals down South. Scottish Labour introduced the policy of free personal care in Scotland, there’s no reason why they couldn’t return more to their roots in an Indy Scotland and become less right leaning.

And, nope the problems I’m describing of actually going for all out attacks on the unemployed and the sick and destroying public provision, don’t plague the North of Europe to nearly the same extent. If you want to understand how poor Britain’s services and social safety net are by comparison I recommend Lesley Riddoch’s book ‘Blossom’.

quote:
Do you really think it is actually possible for the current situation to go on indefinitely? Ever increasing personal debt, ever higher house and energy prices, food poverty on an unprecedented post-war scale? Only an ardent Tory could believe that. We’re heading for another economic crash if we carry on like this, the question is what happens then. At the moment the Tories are deeply divided, facing real problems from UKIP, their key policies are failing and they haven’t won an election outright in over 20 years.
And if we have another crash - we’ll likely get told we need er.. more austerity and bank bail outs. Also the rise of UKIP is not helping Labour. The Labour vote in the places where UKIP are making inroads is too low for Labour to make much hay from it. A close friend is a Labour party activist in Sussex, so I follow this closely with him. The Tories don’t need to win outright elections anymore, now the Liberals have turned blue, and if UKIP get a serious presence in parliament - a Tory/UKIP coalition based on an anti-Europe stance is sadly not unthinkable. The big point is constitutional - we have no way of safeguarding ourselves in the other nations against whatever the South East of England vote for, and they are indeed politically and economically different to the point where safeguards are needed.

Labour introduced ATOS (James Purnell’s doing) so losing Scots Labour MPs isn’t going to be any help with that. As I pointed out above Rachel Reeves the shadow minister is boasting how she’s going to be tougher than the Tories. You or others would quite possibly have the opportunity of moving to an independent Scotland to escape this, but if you insist on dragging us down with New Labour, then nobody gets to escape. Scotland has, as someone pointed out up thread, only 8.4% of UK population. We’re not in a position to save you from your fellow countrymen and women but it’s not impossible that we could offer some measure of asylum. English people are the biggest minority group in Scotland, a situation that’s likely to continue.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
Generally,I think independence would get us away from the privately educated Westminster elite, which is likely to be good news for the poor.

But less good for anyone who isn't poor? How many of the better-off Scots will relocate south if the border?
Very few? How many individuals beyond the super rich migrate solely for tax purposes?
If I ever manage to earn enough money to supersede Mrs Tor's wage, we'll probably be heading north of the border.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
At the moment, Prestwick airport is a loss-making enterprise. Its owners were going to shut it down if they couldn't sell it. Let's hope the Scottish goverment gets a better return out of it.
 
Posted by Wulfstan (# 558) on :
 
Louise, your comments on the elections don't take any account of the actual situations. The 1964 election was crucial: it was the first Labour had won in 13 years and set up the platform for the '66 victory which was done at a time of Wilson's choosing. These governments passed critically important legislation like the legalisation of homosexuality, abortion, liberalisation of divorce, and taking the first steps against racial discrimination. The 70s governments passed a load of disability legislation as well as the equal pay act. These aren't insignificant and wouldn't have been possible without Scotland's Labour MPs. To say they could have formed a coalition ignores the instability of the short lived Lib-Lab pact as well as the small number of Liberal MPs several of which were Scottish as well.
Major would have been a more confident PM and not succeptible to having legislation blocked by rebels in the Commons. He would have appeared far less weak and wouldn't have been struggling with a minority in the Commons in his last months and so reliant on the Ulster Unionists to get bills passed. Again, that's not nothing.
Secession will unquestionably boost the Tories as it will deprive Labour of a load of safe seats while they lose next to zero, indeed it will probably hand them the next election with the opportunity to gerrymander the constituencies in the way that was blocked by the Lib dems: about the only useful thing they've done, but again something that would have gone through had they won outright in 2010.
The idea of UKIP making serious in roads in parliament is at present a pipe dream: they haven't got one MP yet.
Your comments about more austerity don't address the point: it isn't working even within its own terms do you really think people will just take this indefinitely? I seem to remember a least one poll suggesting a majority in favour of nationalising the energy companies, something unthinkable only a few years ago. Ten years ago people would have thought the current situation unthinkable, how can you confidently predict the indefinite future?
And as for Europe, I was thinking more of the south, you know small countries that don't control their own currencies, that sort of thing.
You're gambling that independence will produce a government you prefer but guaranteeing that the remaining UK will stay Tory, and assuming a small Scotland, particularly with the pound and under the sway of the BofE, will be able to hold off the pressures of international finance, that have wrecked Ireland, Greece, Portugal, Iceland, Spain, etc etc is a hell of a risk. Scotland could take a crucial role in trying to steer the UK back to some kind of sanity. Splitting apart could screw both our chances.
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
quote:
Cod:
I hope, however, no one thinks Scotland is entitled to greater public spending because it is a net contributor to UK coffers.

My point was that Wolfstan had described Barnet as a "generous" formula to Scotland. It clearly is not as it results in a £500 per head subsidy from Scotland to rUK.

This is used, amongst other things, to invade foreign countries illegally, maintain a nuclear arsenal and to build a high speed rail link that will never go anywhere near Scotland.

These are all policies highly unpopular in Scotland, decided upon by a Government which has little Scottish support. What I think Scotland (indeed any body politic) is entitled to is to have its resources spent in ways that are democratically representative.
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
Wulfstan, you argue that "secession" would boost the Tories but at the same time that more austerity will become politically unacceptable.
Some contradiction there surely. If Tory policies become politically unacceptable, people will stop voting for them in large numbers. Won't they?
I don't see why Scottish seats are needed to (occasionally) make a slight difference.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Full of Chips:
These are all policies highly unpopular in Scotland, decided upon by a Government which has little Scottish support. What I think Scotland (indeed any body politic) is entitled to is to have its resources spent in ways that are democratically representative.

Ok. If the Scots vote for independence and the English naysayers are right, and Scotland soon runs out of money funding a bloated welfare state on the never-never, do you think that English taxpayers would be within their rights to refuse any subsequent bail out of the Scottish economy?
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Full of Chips:
These are all policies highly unpopular in Scotland, decided upon by a Government which has little Scottish support. What I think Scotland (indeed any body politic) is entitled to is to have its resources spent in ways that are democratically representative.

Ok. If the Scots vote for independence and the English naysayers are right, and Scotland soon runs out of money funding a bloated welfare state on the never-never, do you think that English taxpayers would be within their rights to refuse any subsequent bail out of the Scottish economy?
That would surely depend on whether bailing out Scotland would be in the interests of the UK at the time.

That's the point of seceding from the UK and forming a new sovereign state, isn't it? Surely the SNP politicians and other pro-secession advocates only voted in favour of the plebiscite after making a sober assessment of all the relevant data and concluding that a post-secession Scotland would be able to meet the responsibilities of a sovereign state as well as enjoying the privileges?

quote:
Originally posted by Full of Chips:
This is used, amongst other things, to invade foreign countries illegally, maintain a nuclear arsenal and to build a high speed rail link that will never go anywhere near Scotland.

I thought HS2 is going halfway to Scotland, will be a perfect launching point for a future extension to go further north and will see improvements in cross-border travel even without a future extension?
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
I assume Anglican't that you are referring to the difficulties of a currency union should Scotland and England's economies diverge significantly post independence, In that case it may well make sense to decouple and allow the ailing member to devalue - much like the UK has been doing to the pound through quantitative easing since the financial crash.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Full of Chips:
These are all policies highly unpopular in Scotland, decided upon by a Government which has little Scottish support. What I think Scotland (indeed any body politic) is entitled to is to have its resources spent in ways that are democratically representative.

Ok. If the Scots vote for independence and the English naysayers are right, and Scotland soon runs out of money funding a bloated welfare state on the never-never, do you think that English taxpayers would be within their rights to refuse any subsequent bail out of the Scottish economy?
I imagine that the Scots (if they have any sense) will be exporting so much electricity and drinking water to England that they won't need to.
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
quote:
I thought HS2 is going halfway to Scotland, will be a perfect launching point for a future extension to go further north and will see improvements in cross-border travel even without a future extension?
It's not particularly convincing all spelled out like that is it?
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Full of Chips:
quote:
I thought HS2 is going halfway to Scotland, will be a perfect launching point for a future extension to go further north and will see improvements in cross-border travel even without a future extension?
It's not particularly convincing all spelled out like that is it?
So you oppose the building of something that will be good for both Scottish people and English people purely because the bit which benefits only Scottish people will have to come later? That's a pretty weak position in my book, and it has me very concerned over the ability of the average pro-secession person to make any rational decision instead of giving in to emotions.

I reckon it's a pretty decent deal, in the same way it would be in my interests for me to support full federal funding of a high speed rail project wholly constructed in Victoria if it made for improvements in SA-Victoria cross-border rail travel which is currently three hours longer than going by car.

[ 29. November 2013, 23:15: Message edited by: the giant cheeseburger ]
 
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on :
 
Two questions related to keeping the monarchy of Scotland:

How much does the current crown family provide to Scotland in terms of GDP?

How much of the upkeep of said family would the Scottish government be expected to pay?
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
How much does the current crown family provide to Scotland in terms of GDP?

Wouldn't that be able to be roughly approximated by working out the current benefit to the whole of the UK (primarily the tourism income flowing into the economy) and multiplying that by the percentage of general revenue which flows specifically to Scotland?
quote:
How much of the upkeep of said family would the Scottish government be expected to pay?
That would depend on the level of involvement that the royal family would have, and the nature of their replacement if that happened.

Should a post-secession Scotland decide that it's good enough to be a constitutional monarchy with a Governor-General representing the Queen similar to Australia, regular ongoing expenses for the "upkeep" of the royal family would be close to non-existent. They could get away with even less if they simply employed a courier to take bills to London for the Queen to grant Royal Assent, and once HS2 is in operation the courier would even get there faster!

If Scotland was to become a parliamentary republic with a president holding only reserve powers as the head of state, I can't see how presidential elections and paying for the upkeep of the president could possibly be cheaper than a Governor-General.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
quote:
Scottish worries about being dominated by England can be dealt with by delegation of legal powers to its own Parliament. Oh look, that's been done too.
No, that hasn't been done too. Too much was reserved to Westminster, including vital areas like welfare policy, immigration, and fiscal autonomy, when asked to tackle that by devo max (delegating everything except defence and foreign policy) the Westminster government refused to even allow the question to be put on the referendum.
Quite right too, in my opinion. Scotland has always had its own legal system, education system and, until it became an anachronism, its own established church. Now it also has its own parliament, its own government, not to mention an oddly high level of per capita public spending. Within the Union, Scotland enjoys a very privileged position; yet there are many who think it is entitled to even more than that. Demanding control of fiscal and mmigration policy (not to mention foreign policy and defence) but clearly without sole responsiblity for its outcomes is the classic example of wanting to have one's cake and eat it.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
Immigration would seem to be a rather odd issue to demand be handed over to local authority. Are there really that many people in Scotland who would like to see internal borders and passports to account for different immigration policies in different first-level political divisions of the UK?
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
You know that constitution thing America has? It's there to protect you from your 'democratically elected leaders'. For weird historical reasons, partly to do with America, Britain is surprisingly deficient in that department...

I have no doubt that the poor suffer in the British system. I just assume that they will continue to suffer in a Scottish system. As for "checks and balances," the United States is presently learning the consequences of checking government power too much. No one in our government has the power to even pass a budget.

Look, I'm not saying that independence can't have some positive benefits for Scotland. It just seems to me that independence is predicated on messianic expectations. I assume because "Independence for Scotland: vote for a slightly more efficient healthcare system for the future!" isn't quite as compelling a pitch.

Of course it's messianic; most modern independence movements are based on romanticism at heart.

An an example, here's the Wiki Article on the Quebec Sovereignty Bill, which was complete bunny fluff and fantasy: Bill 1 of 1995, Quebec National Assembly

Very little planning for a "Yes" vote was done in Ottawa, but one conference was held of non-Quebec cabinet ministers, ironically in Hull, on the Quebec side of the Ottawa River. It was decided by that Cabinet group that in the event of a "Yes" vote the prime Minister (a Quebecker at the time) would be relieved and all Quebec cabinet ministers dismissed.

I strongly doubt any concessions would have been made by what remained of Canada to Quebec, not after being slapped in the face like that. Quebec was in no position to ask for or dictate terms.

It would have been messy and ugly. And Quebec's politicians have denied that reality consistently for the last fifty years in their Quixotic quest for "Sovereignty".
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by L'organist:
quote:
posted by orfeo
Even if it's a slight over-representation per head of population, on the floor of the House of Commons it's 533 English reps out of a total of 650.

In the case of Scotland it is indeed a slight over-representation in the House of Commons - of the other parts that make up the UK the most over-represented is Wales.

If you look at the percentage of population and then work out the number of MPs to go with that then the representation of the various parts of the UK should be as follows (actual number of seats in brackets):

But that is to ignore the fact the the Scottish Parliament deals with approximately half the law-making / decision taking for Scotland - and the Scottish Parliament has a further 129 MSPs, 73 for set constituencies and 56 as "regional" MSPs.

For Wales, where the Assembly has fewer powers the numbers are 40:20. In Northern Ireland, again with fewer devolved powers, they elect 6 assembly members per constituency, giving them 108 MLAs in all.

There are those who say that the greater number of representatives at devolved level in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland is to make up for the greater number of English members at Westminster.

But if you use the numbers of devolved members per Westminster constituency as your benchmark the figures look hugely different.

If English constituencies were represented at the same level as those of the other 3 parts of the UK then the numbers would be:

Whatever the outcome of the vote in Scotland, it is beyond time for sorting out three issues: the number of MPs overall; the percentage of population represented by each MP; the Westminster representation of the areas with devolved assemblies.

We've been over this before, when I told you that it was complete nonsense to look at different levels of government and add them together, and I'm going to tell you that again. There is simply no rule lying around that says the 'correct' number of representatives is x parts per million, or something. What matters is that the size of each electorate is roughly equal for a specific legislature. What's done in another legislature is completely irrelevant.

The fact that the Australian Capital Territory has 2 members in Federal Parliament, and has done almost its entire history, has precisely zero bearing on whether the ACT's own legislative assembly should be 17 members as currently or 21 or 25 as is being debated. And no-one cares how that relates per head of population to the other Australian States and Territories, the US state of Vermont, or the Isle of Man. They care whether it's appropriate for the workload of the legislative assembly of the ACT.
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
Wow, so it's a 'privileged' position to have ever more people forced to use foodbanks and to have the anti-immigrant policies beloved of Daily Mail readers forced on us too! I'll be happy to vote Yes and be shot of 'privileges' like that.

We're not a colony to be told that having the ordinary powers of a country is a 'privilege' for us to be grateful to someone else for. Nor does a proposed currency union which suits both sides represent one country 'having its cake and eating it'.

Also we're not Quebec. The Scottish White Paper has been published. If people want to prove that Scottish independence is X, Y or Z thing they hate about Quebec nationalism, then please quote the relevant bit from the Scottish white paper and demonstrate it.

Coming back to Wulfstan I wasn't going to revisit that tonight, but I might as well.

A couple of links from widely differing sources.

I'm not normally a fan of the International Socialist group - but they've posted some good electoral graphics and more details on the subject and looked at the question


http://internationalsocialist.org.uk/index.php/2013/05/will-scotland-leave-england-to-generations-of-tory-rule/

On 1964 they conclude "It is likely that any Conservative government would not have lasted a full term given the fragility of their parliamentary position. Even a coalition with the then Liberal party would only gain them an additional five seats." So this could possibly have held up the legislation mentioned but sounds like it was unlikely to have prevented it for long.

On 1974 they find the Tories "Without the Scottish seats they would have needed 282 MPs to achieve an absolute majority – however with only 276 rest-of-UK seats they would have been six short." - so no Tory majority. More difficult maybe - but if a government goes to the polls again to get a better majority, rather than work with a tricky hung parliament, there's no crystal ball to say what would have happened - but at any rate it doesn't lead to Tory majority.

On 2010 they note that without Scottish seats the Tories would have had "an overall majority of nine" if they chose to go it alone without a coalition. Again not a huge change.


But what do the Tories think?

This 'No' voting Conservative led think-tank are a little bit more chipper, but even they don't see a Great Age of Tory Rule awaiting:


Would the Conservatives benefit from Scottish independence?


quote:
The last three Labour governments in particular have all enjoyed comfortable overall majorities, which the loss of Scottish seats would not have overturned. In 1997 Labour’s majority was 178, of which only 56 were Scottish seats; in 2001 their majority was 166, of which 55 seats were Scottish; and in 2005 Labour’s majority was 65, of which 40 were Scottish seats.[6]

Nor does Labour’s recent electoral record in England suggest that the Tories would possess an innate advantage there. In 1997, for example, Labour obtained a majority in England alone of 127; in 2001 they had a majority there of 117; and in 2005 they secured a majority of 43.

(though of course this is New Labour we're talking about - more of that later)

Their most upbeat assessment is "All this suggests that although the Conservatives may not have as much to lose from Scottish independence as Labour, the precise benefits for them are hardly clear-cut." and in coming to this conclusion they pointed out something interesting which I had forgotten


quote:
Admittedly, where a Labour government may have greater difficulty as a result of Scottish independence might be in getting contentious bills passed in Parliament. On two occasions in recent memory a Labour government has had to rely on its Scottish support to help pass bills in the face of a rebellion from its own English backbenchers.

When the Government’s Health and Social Care (Community Health and Standards) Bill 2003-2004, was returned with amendments from the Lords...The Government would have lost by 4 votes if only the English and Welsh MPs had voted on this bill. Similarly in 2004 the Government’s Higher Education Bill, which implemented ‘top-up fees’, passed at its second reading by 316 votes to 311. If only English and Welsh MPs had voted on this bill it too would have failed

Both those bills were pieces of New Labour business which were forced through with Scottish Labour lobby fodder.

In plainer English

quote:
"There are two occasions on which this influence has been clear. Without Scottish MPs, the 2003 introduction of Foundation Hospitals, and the 2004 introduction of £3,000 top-up fees, would not have passed. Neither of these policies impacted significantly on the Scottish constituents of the MPs who forced them through: both health and education are devolved to Holyrood.
(from Bright Green Scotland)

So basically Scotland only has a small influence in Westminster and ironically, through the Labour MPs it's not necessarily been progressive. This sort of New Labour policy is a big part of how they lost power in Scotland.

So basically in return for maybe once every thirty years thwarting Tory rule in England we are faced with at best, New Labour, and at worst a wholesale Tory assault - when what many of us aspire to is something very different from New Labour: the kind of low inequality, high public service provision, which is more like that of our Northern neighbours - the sort of policies being proposed by Commonweal. I don't see any way we can really move towards that short of independence.

We don't have enough impact on English elections to go in the direction many of us want to go in while continuing in a Union with England. We're also not influential or numerous enough to save non-Tory voters in England from their fellow country men or women, except very occasionally, and even when we do our reward for it is a Labour party who are far to the right of what very many Scots vote for and who, remember, promise to be as 'tough as the Tories' on people on benefits.


Again a reminder that the Yes campaign is not just the SNP. It includes Greens and people to the left of Labour like the Radical Independence Campaign who are looking for something much much better than New Labour, more along Nordic lines. Also within the SNP itself there is quite a spectrum of opinion ranging from centre social democrat to well left of that and the Nordic models and Commonweal policies have become influential there too.

We're not a small impoverished country in the South of Europe with no control of our currency. We're a northern country with a long history of industrial development, education, technology and good natural resources. If sharing Sterling was a problem we could make other choices. As pointed out above, our contribution to Sterling is a useful one which contributes to the stability of the currency. We have a chance to have something much better and also to protect ourselves from the worst excesses of a broken and antiquated parliamentary system which I've sketched earlier in the thread.

We have a major democratic deficit which needs to be addressed. At the last election we voted for exactly one Tory MP yet we are effectively governed by the Tories. The Lib Dems joining the coalition was so unpopular here that in our last election they fell to 8% (constituencies) and 5% (regional list) vote share for the Scottish parliament. This is a major disjunction which needs some level of constitutional protection - it should never happen that a UK country can be ruled by another UK country on such a non-existent mandate.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
Two questions related to keeping the monarchy of Scotland:

How much does the current crown family provide to Scotland in terms of GDP?

How much of the upkeep of said family would the Scottish government be expected to pay?

Which touches on a point which I'm amazed it not discussed more frequently.

Edinburgh is no capital in the real sense of the word. Ambitious business people and civil servants eventually head south by and large leading to a regional brain drain. The high salaries they earn, also from the tax proceeds raised from the UK's peripheries are spent in London. Their children stay in London. Having your own capital would maintain your best brains in the country, because that is where the top is for the ambitious and clever-minded. (Of course even an independent Scotland would have its peripheries, but maybe said independence would be an opportunity to establish a federal structure within Scotland.)

The other point of having your own capital it your international standing. For most European, Edinburgh is just an northern English provincial town. And with some justification. Whereas the capitals and large towns of many small European countries have been able to attract the HQs of various international organisations (Copenhagen, Vienna, Geneva, Lausanne, Zurich Olso, Stockholm...), Scotland has not hosted even a meaningful international jamboree since the G8 in Gleneagles (and even then they weren't the hosts). While it might be true that the occasional Scot, by merit of being a citizen of the UK gets to sit at the big boys' table, he is always seen through the prism of the English.

Independence is the only way for Scots to go if they wish to asset their nationhood. Anything less, given the public display Scots make of themselves at football matches, is only to attest that they are not really a nation in their own right - or they see themselves as one that cannot look after itself and needs the protection of large neighbour (i.e. a very sad identity to buy into).
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Louise: We're not a small impoverished country in the South of Europe with no control of our currency. We're a northern country with a long history of industrial development, education, technology and good natural resources.
I'm not sure how to read this. To me, the recent Euro crisis has shown a lot of prejudice against southern countries. I mean, Greece has a long history of industrial development, education, technology and good natural resources.
 
Posted by South Coast Kevin (# 16130) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:
We're not a small impoverished country in the South of Europe with no control of our currency. We're a northern country with a long history of industrial development, education, technology and good natural resources. If sharing Sterling was a problem we could make other choices. As pointed out above, our contribution to Sterling is a useful one which contributes to the stability of the currency. We have a chance to have something much better and also to protect ourselves from the worst excesses of a broken and antiquated parliamentary system which I've sketched earlier in the thread.

Louise, I've got a lot of sympathy with the SNP and its supporters' fervent desire for self-determination. But ISTM the questions around currency and financial independence have not remotely been answered. I expect there'd be no problem with independent Scotland using the pound, but the point is that Scotland would have very little to no control over that currency. If, at some point in the future, Scotland wanted to devalue its currency (or rUK wanted to do so, and Scotland didn't), well this wouldn't be an option.

The alternatives (again, ISTM; let me know if I've missed anything) are that Scotland seeks to join the Euro - which would make the problem worse as Scotland would be an even smaller part of the Eurozone than of a 'Sterling zone' - or it floats its own currency. But the SNP has no plans to do the latter, has it? In any case, a new Scottish currency would probably (I'd have thought...) be pretty weak to start with, until caution over how this new country would be managed was replaced by confidence that its government was doing a good job.

I do appreciate the resentment of Tory-led government from London, but that won't be the state of affairs for ever (it might well only be the state of affairs for another 18 months!) and such a momentous decision as whether to go independent surely shouldn't be made on such short-term considerations. There's got to be much more serious debate about the longer-term currency and financial management issues, I think, and I don't see the SNP or its supporters seeking to have that debate. The opposite, in fact.
 
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Full of Chips:
These are all policies highly unpopular in Scotland, decided upon by a Government which has little Scottish support. What I think Scotland (indeed any body politic) is entitled to is to have its resources spent in ways that are democratically representative.

Ok. If the Scots vote for independence and the English naysayers are right, and Scotland soon runs out of money funding a bloated welfare state on the never-never, do you think that English taxpayers would be within their rights to refuse any subsequent bail out of the Scottish economy?
The Irish example of having a parallel and exchangeable Irish pound between 1922 and 1979 shows that the Bank of England had zero responsibility for what happened over the Irish border. If Wee Eck and co are smart that is what they will do by creating a similarly exchangeable Scottish Pound. I would vote No if I was in Scotland but using No Scottish use of Sterling as a unionist argument is really bunk.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by South Coast Kevin:
I do appreciate the resentment of Tory-led government from London, but that won't be the state of affairs for ever (it might well only be the state of affairs for another 18 months!)

But, it's not a question of the party in power at anyone time. It's the fact that over the last 30 years all three main UK wide parties have shifted to the right politically. Blue, yellow or red ... they're all shades of Tory. A further general election which results in a New Labour majority won't significantly change that.

Independence will allow Scottish Labour to swing back to the left, which is where the majority of Scottish Labour voters are. Which shold allow an effective opposition to the SNP, who while Labour are centre-right Tories with a red rosette, have larger electoral support than might otherwise be the case (also helped by the perceived betrayal by Clegg).

The only problem is that without Scottish Labour to anchor them to the left, New Labour in rUK are liable to slide further right. And, there are lots of regions of England and Wales outwith the SE corner where that would be as unpalatable to large proportions of the electorate as it is in Scotland.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by South Coast Kevin:
But ISTM the questions around currency and financial independence have not remotely been answered. I expect there'd be no problem with independent Scotland using the pound, but the point is that Scotland would have very little to no control over that currency. If, at some point in the future, Scotland wanted to devalue its currency (or rUK wanted to do so, and Scotland didn't), well this wouldn't be an option.

But Scotland is, functionally, already in a currency union with little real control of currency issue. Taken that way, the SNP policy appears to be one of continuity. Now that might or might not be a wise decision, but that is beside the point. What is relevant is that Scotland, as a sovereign nation, is free to seek what currency arrangement suits her best at any given time, be that a currency union, the Euro, a pegged currency or a free-floating currency. Accordingly, any currency union with the “rUK” need not last forever. Given, of course, that Scots opt for independence.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Isn't the Scottish Labour Party one of the murkiest, most corrupt political organisations in the UK today? I'm surprised that anyone would want independence so that it can be more true to itself.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Isn't the Scottish Labour Party one of the murkiest, most corrupt political organisations in the UK today? I'm surprised that anyone would want independence so that it can be more true to itself.

Compared with the English conservative party they're a beacon of probity.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Isn't the Scottish Labour Party one of the murkiest, most corrupt political organisations in the UK today? I'm surprised that anyone would want independence so that it can be more true to itself.

Compared with the English conservative party they're a beacon of probity.
How many English Conservative MPs have committed suicide as a result of bullying?
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
That's a really bizarre measure of corruption you have there. I'm not even sure to whom you are referring, is this about Gordon McMaster? A case from over 15 years ago the perpetrator of which was suspended from the party?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
That's a really bizarre measure of corruption you have there. I'm not even sure to whom you are referring, is this about Gordon McMaster? A case from over 15 years ago the perpetrator of which was suspended from the party?

I was thinking of Gordon McMaster. I was thinking of 'murky', rather than 'corrupt' when I wrote my post, though.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
I really can't see how you can generalise from the tragic case of one victim of homophobic bullying to the whole of the Scottish Labour party.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
It was one particular example that came to mind when you began to draw comparisons with other parties.
 
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
How much does the current crown family provide to Scotland in terms of GDP?

Wouldn't that be able to be roughly approximated by working out the current benefit to the whole of the UK (primarily the tourism income flowing into the economy) and multiplying that by the percentage of general revenue which flows specifically to Scotland?

Balmoral, for example, is a working GDP contributor, I presume.

[fixed code]

[ 30. November 2013, 21:08: Message edited by: Eutychus ]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by South Coast Kevin:
I do appreciate the resentment of Tory-led government from London, but that won't be the state of affairs for ever (it might well only be the state of affairs for another 18 months!)

But, it's not a question of the party in power at anyone time. It's the fact that over the last 30 years all three main UK wide parties have shifted to the right politically. Blue, yellow or red ... they're all shades of Tory. A further general election which results in a New Labour majority won't significantly change that.

Independence will allow Scottish Labour to swing back to the left, which is where the majority of Scottish Labour voters are. Which shold allow an effective opposition to the SNP, who while Labour are centre-right Tories with a red rosette, have larger electoral support than might otherwise be the case (also helped by the perceived betrayal by Clegg).

The only problem is that without Scottish Labour to anchor them to the left, New Labour in rUK are liable to slide further right. And, there are lots of regions of England and Wales outwith the SE corner where that would be as unpalatable to large proportions of the electorate as it is in Scotland.

Yes, I suppose at the moment, Scottish politics has a strong tinge of social democracy, whereas, the national Labour, Tory and LibDem parties are all shades of Tory, really.

So it might seem unpalatable for some English and Welsh people, if Scotland goes independent, well, the idea that we are then consigned to a variety of right-wing governments under different labels.

But I suppose history often has a habit of surprising us.

It does seem a good incentive for Scots to vote yes - get free of the Tories. On the other hand, a right-wing movement might start up in Scotland, once the honeymoon is over, especially if the economy goes tits up.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
It was one particular example that came to mind when you began to draw comparisons with other parties.

Given that the tories voted against the repeal of section 28, widely known to have exacerbated homophobic bullying in schools, even on that score the tories come off looking worse - the people they drove to suicide with their homophobia may not have been MPs, but they're culpable nonetheless. Whereas the perpetrator in your example was disowned by his party as soon as his behaviour and its impact became known.
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:

How much of the upkeep of said family would the Scottish government be expected to pay?

Presumably responsibility for the security of the Scots royal family would fall on the government of Scotland when HM The Queen or her family were in Scotland (at Balmoral, for example).

What about the Crown Estate? There are, on the face of it, two possibilities: either it remains controlled by the rump UK treasury, and the rump UK parliament pays whatever the successor to the civil list is called, or the portion of the Crown Estate which is in Scotland is transferred to the Scottish treasury, and the Scots parliament pays a fraction of it to HM The Queen along similar lines to the current UK arrangements.

The second of these options seems to make more sense to me.
 
Posted by american piskie (# 593) on :
 
When Yugoslavia was breaking up, and ethnic cleansing was the flavour of the month I used to wonder whether in my old age I would find myself pushing my belongings in a pram up the A1.

Ought I be packing my bags now? If not, why not?
Are my neighbours in England so different from the people of [choose your own FYR]?

(To the last I would have said, of course they are; until I read early posts on this thread.)
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
Are my neighbours in England so different from the people of [choose your own FYR]?

(To the last I would have said, of course they are; until I read early posts on this thread.)

While some comments may have been misguided (e.g. the stuff about the Crown) and some of it perhaps mean-spirited, which posts in particular made you think that at some point in the future your English neighbours will shoot you, rape your daughters and burn your house down?
 
Posted by Full of Chips (# 13669) on :
 
An interesting religious perspective on Scottish Independence can be found here:

http://www.ekklesia.co.uk/node/19517

The Radical Independence Mpvement (RIC) is one of many "YES"-supporting groups that have sprung up independently, showing the depth of the desire for social change and renewal which is fuelling the drive to independence.
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
When Yugoslavia was breaking up, and ethnic cleansing was the flavour of the month I used to wonder whether in my old age I would find myself pushing my belongings in a pram up the A1.

Ought I be packing my bags now? If not, why not?
Are my neighbours in England so different from the people of [choose your own FYR]?

(To the last I would have said, of course they are; until I read early posts on this thread.)

We are a little more civilised! You would be more than welcome to take National Express.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
When Yugoslavia was breaking up, and ethnic cleansing was the flavour of the month I used to wonder whether in my old age I would find myself pushing my belongings in a pram up the A1.

Ought I be packing my bags now? If not, why not?
Are my neighbours in England so different from the people of [choose your own FYR]?

(To the last I would have said, of course they are; until I read early posts on this thread.)

People are planning referendums and publishing White Papers, and you're trying to equate that to a country that had a civil war?

[Disappointed]
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
If Scotland separates, how will that affect the future's view of United Kingdom history, like WWII? It's a bit hard for a country to have one of its finest hours and then disappear seventy years later.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Louise:


We're not a colony to be told that having the ordinary powers of a country is a 'privilege' for us to be grateful to someone else for. Nor does a proposed currency union which suits both sides represent one country 'having its cake and eating it'.

Also we're not Quebec. The Scottish White Paper has been published. If people want to prove that Scottish independence is X, Y or Z thing they hate about Quebec nationalism, then please quote the relevant bit from the Scottish white paper and demonstrate it.

As I said at the time, Devo-Max = Sovereignty-Association, the nonsense the PQ tried to sell to Quebeckers twice.

I will stop treating Scotland like Quebec when Scots stop repeating the very strategies and much of the rhetoric of the Parti Québecois. No wonder Alex Salmond treated Pauline Marois like a bad smell when she visited Edinburgh this spring.

Your first paragraph, though, clearly represents the highly optimistic thinking which characterizes the PQ's rhetoric. Greece and Southern Europe shows exactly what happens when a country does not have control of its currency. Europe has widely varying economic policies and outcomes and has tried to fit a single currency on this. It failed because you can't have an independent fiscal policy under a currency union.

Instead of a soft currency devaluation or mild inflation, a country has a hard internal price decline and economic depression. You get crucified on a "cross of gold". Canada learned this in the 1940's which is why the Canadian dollar usually floated after 1945.

Independence is not cost-free. You have to be prepared to accept customs controls on the Tweed and your own currency or you have no business considering the idea.

I'll get back to you when I finish reading the Executive Summary of the White Paper.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
If Scotland separates, how will that affect the future's view of United Kingdom history, like WWII? It's a bit hard for a country to have one of its finest hours and then disappear seventy years later.

Oh that is utter rubbish. Countries in Europe have been dividing and combining for centuries. Do you seriously think there is any point in time where people said 'wait, we can't do that, our grandfathers and great-grand fathers did quite well as soldiers under the regime that happened to exist at the time'?

If you want to know how countries view themselves as their makeup changes over time, go and do a fact-finding mission in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Austria, Hungary, Slovenia, Croatia, Serbia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovnia, and the FYROM for starters off the top of my head. Oh wait, let's throw in all the former bits and pieces of the Soviet Union, there's another 15 or so for you. Do you think that everyone just went 'but wait, we won't know our history if we alter the borders'?

According to this count, 34 new countries have been created since 1990. 34! My grandmother was born in 1921, so she's probably seen about 100 countries turn up on the map. Admittedly she just missed the creation of Finland. Yes, that horrible new-fangled country. If you're going to treat changes in governing arrangements as some kind of inconceivable disastrous event, you're going to have to ignore the fact that it happens on a ridiculously frequent basis.

I just cannot believe the sheer preciousness of people painting all these 'problems' of independence. There are legitimate issues to tackle, but 'what will we put in the history books about the 1940s' is assuredly not one of them.

[ 01. December 2013, 02:14: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
[Roll Eyes]

Read for context, orfeo. Commenters upthread said that although each component of the UK has its own history, they have a combined history too, and that is one of the finer moments of that combined history. Surely you as an Australian understand that national history is part of the national dream, just as I as a Canadian understand it. People believed in the UK then, yet they don't appear to believe in the UK now. Why?

The Scots "Yes" side will win if 60,000 English are not prepared to travel north of the Tweed and hold a giant rally for the continued existence of the UK in Edinburgh.

That's what happened in Canada in 1995. As a Radio-Canada documentary ably stated (in French) the other provinces had been shut out of the process and told to mind their own business. By the end of the campaign they were pulling out hair out and watching the Yes side win. So 60K Canadians did get into a car, a train, a plane and held a Unity Rally in Montreal.

If nobody in England is prepared to do that, then the UK is already lost. It's a fundamental expression that deep down you still care about each other and want to be together.
 
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
If Scotland separates, how will that affect the future's view of United Kingdom history, like WWII? It's a bit hard for a country to have one of its finest hours and then disappear seventy years later.

Wow. That was almost UKIP like, in a passive way.

From an NDPer? [Confused]

Really? You really think that's an issue for Scottish Independence voters to consider? How past history will be seen?

And, just as weirdly, since when does the history of people disappear when part of those people, 70 years later, decide to move off and go their own way?

Your detest for Quebec separatism is colouring your views here to the point where you are talking utter tosh.

From what I've read here, this is not the same scenario as Quebec.

The history is not the same.

The people are not the same.

The situations are not the same.

And, people on the ground in Scotland, on both sides of this debate, have rejected Quebec as an example.

For me, the principle of self-determination precludes me from discussing Scottish independence with anything more then academic interest. Sure, I'll ask a question or two, and maybe comment upon a scenario.

But, that question you gave out is pretty loaded.

As I said, that's UKIP speak. Are you sure you want to go down the route of patriotism?
 
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
[Roll Eyes]

...

The Scots "Yes" side will win if 60,000 English are not prepared to travel north of the Tweed and hold a giant rally for the continued existence of the UK in Edinburgh.

That's what happened in Canada in 1995. As a Radio-Canada documentary ably stated (in French) the other provinces had been shut out of the process and told to mind their own business. By the end of the campaign they were pulling out hair out and watching the Yes side win. So 60K Canadians did get into a car, a train, a plane and held a Unity Rally in Montreal.

If nobody in England is prepared to do that, then the UK is already lost. It's a fundamental expression that deep down you still care about each other and want to be together.

1995 is not today.
England is not the ROC circa 1995, nor the ROC as it is today. Scotland is not Quebec circa 1995, nor the ROC as it is today.

You might have heroic memories of what happened then. But that was 18 years ago, in another country, on another continent, involving much different issue. The Europe of today, of which Scotland and England and the rest of the UK are a part, is very very different from Canada circa 1995.

The world has changed.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Surely you as an Australian understand that national history is part of the national dream, just as I as a Canadian understand it.

Yeah. A big part of our national history involves asserting that the British completely stuffed us around at Gallipoli in 1915, and that we were better off not blindly following them.
 
Posted by L'organist (# 17338) on :
 
tangent alert
quote:
posted by orfeo
A big part of our national history involves asserting that the British completely stuffed us around at Gallipoli in 1915, and that we were better off not blindly following them.

Which is fine and dandy. Australia and New Zealand did suffer large numbers of casualties at Gallipoli - as did the UK, France, India and Newfoundland. In fact, French fatalities outnumbered Australian. And a huge number of casualties at Gallipoli were nothing to do with the fighting and all to do with the climate, appalling sanitation, lack of water and no effective disease control.
 
Posted by Vulpior (# 12744) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
When Yugoslavia was breaking up, and ethnic cleansing was the flavour of the month I used to wonder whether in my old age I would find myself pushing my belongings in a pram up the A1.

Ought I be packing my bags now? If not, why not?
Are my neighbours in England so different from the people of [choose your own FYR]?

(To the last I would have said, of course they are; until I read early posts on this thread.)

People are planning referendums and publishing White Papers, and you're trying to equate that to a country that had a civil war?

[Disappointed]

In a way, a fair question. Are the inter-regional, inter-state or other tensions within a nation state enough that, given the right flashpoint, they could lead to civil war? Fragmented nations are the stuff of apocalyptic dramas, but would it take something less to set us (whoever "us" might refer to) at one another's throats? When you see other nations breaking apart, you do wonder. After all, Yugoslavia/Sudan/Syria/wherever has been on our maps for years; were the simmering tensions that we never heard about really that much worse than those here? Could it happen here?

FWIW, my answer is no.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by L'organist:
tangent alert
quote:
posted by orfeo
A big part of our national history involves asserting that the British completely stuffed us around at Gallipoli in 1915, and that we were better off not blindly following them.

Which is fine and dandy. Australia and New Zealand did suffer large numbers of casualties at Gallipoli - as did the UK, France, India and Newfoundland. In fact, French fatalities outnumbered Australian. And a huge number of casualties at Gallipoli were nothing to do with the fighting and all to do with the climate, appalling sanitation, lack of water and no effective disease control.
I wasn't intending to suggest that the Australian mythos surrounding those events was necessarily accurate. Just that when it comes to 'nation-building' and national history, the perception that we were not British and couldn't rely on the British is a significant component.

It's hard to avoid the irony in SPK's notion of nation-building, in that he thinks it only points one way. It doesn't. One of the main ways you build a new nation is by breaking away from an old one. Apparently that's absolutely fine when it comes to Australia or Canada, but a disastrous proposition when it comes to Quebec or Scotland - or presumably Western Australia if they ever consider leaving again.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Vulpior:
In a way, a fair question. Are the inter-regional, inter-state or other tensions within a nation state enough that, given the right flashpoint, they could lead to civil war? Fragmented nations are the stuff of apocalyptic dramas, but would it take something less to set us (whoever "us" might refer to) at one another's throats? When you see other nations breaking apart, you do wonder. After all, Yugoslavia/Sudan/Syria/wherever has been on our maps for years; were the simmering tensions that we never heard about really that much worse than those here? Could it happen here?

FWIW, my answer is no.

I'm confused, why are we talking about civil wars? It seems to me that triviality is the hallmark of this potential divorce, not long simmering oppression or division.

[ 01. December 2013, 03:40: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Greece and Southern Europe shows exactly what happens when a country does not have control of its currency. Europe has widely varying economic policies and outcomes and has tried to fit a single currency on this. It failed because you can't have an independent fiscal policy under a currency union.

Scotland has no control of currency and fiscal arrangements. and nor does it, under current arrangements, have any power to change this. Independence would at least offer the ability to opt out of whatever arrangements are met with neighbouring countries.

Scotland also has no control of customs and immigration policy. Take tourism, which has a larger footprint on the Scottish economy than that of England. The increasing number of Chinese and Indian tourists to Europe often acquire a Schengen visa, but not a second visa for Britain. This is one area where it might be interesting for Scotland join the Schengen zone at some point, which certainly isn't going to happen in UK context as long as England has other concerns.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Vulpior:
In a way, a fair question. Are the inter-regional, inter-state or other tensions within a nation state enough that, given the right flashpoint, they could lead to civil war? Fragmented nations are the stuff of apocalyptic dramas, but would it take something less to set us (whoever "us" might refer to) at one another's throats? When you see other nations breaking apart, you do wonder. After all, Yugoslavia/Sudan/Syria/wherever has been on our maps for years; were the simmering tensions that we never heard about really that much worse than those here? Could it happen here?

For all its failings, the Westminster government was at least enlightened enough to let the residents of Scotland vote on the matter (although refusing a Devo-Max option due to their own political calculations). This alone largely diffuses the situation compared with all the other examples you quote.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
If Scotland separates, how will that affect the future's view of United Kingdom history, like WWII? It's a bit hard for a country to have one of its finest hours and then disappear seventy years later.

Who has said anything about the UK disappearing?

If the secessionists in Scotland really think that their secession will have any effect on the continued existence of the UK they are either drunk or stupid. The UK will hold all the cards in this, including the absolute right to veto Scottish membership of the EU, NATO and even the United Nations if the secessionists get too greedy.

quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
Scotland also has no control of customs and immigration policy. Take tourism, which has a larger footprint on the Scottish economy than that of England. The increasing number of Chinese and Indian tourists to Europe often acquire a Schengen visa, but not a second visa for Britain. This is one area where it might be interesting for Scotland join the Schengen zone at some point, which certainly isn't going to happen in UK context as long as England has other concerns.

If immigration policy in post-secession Scotland is going to diverge from that of the UK, controls at the UK-Scotland border would come in before too long. Once that happened, turning the border with the UK into a Schengen Treaty zone external border (with mandatory controls on the Schengen zone side in both directions, this is a treaty obligation) would be a small step.

Schengen and Eurozone for Scotland would also be mandatory if they managed to join the European Union as they are for all new member states joining since those treaties commenced. There are too many other EU members (mainly those with potential secessionist regions such as Spain with Catalonia) which would be prepared to veto an attempt for Scotland to get any special exceptions.

The thing with the independence that would come by seceding from the UK is that Scotland would no longer be required to worry about what was in the best interests of the UK before making decisions such as joining the EU/Schengen/Euro.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
If immigration policy in post-secession Scotland is going to diverge from that of the UK,

I'm not sure there's much of an 'if' about that. It's one of the areas where Scottish interests diverge most strongly from the policies set by the Westminster government. Scotland has a small population with significant parts of the economy dependent upon immigrant workers (given that I'm a Sasannach, I'll be one of those post-independence). The Scottish government is actively trying to encourage people to come and work in Scotland, to fill a range of skills gaps. Scottish universities (and, for that matter, English and Welsh universities) are desperate to take on international students with the associated substantial fees they bring with them. Yet, it is arguable that the immigrant population in London and parts of the Home Counties have problems with too many immigrants (an argument that I find very weak, but that's another discussion) and the Westminster government has enacted crippling restrictions on immigration, even on issuing visas for students to attend 1-2 year university courses. That idiotic policy is probably just as damaging to the economies of other parts of the UK, but it's Scotland that has a chance to do things differently by taking control of our own immigration policy.

quote:
controls at the UK-Scotland border would come in before too long.
Perhaps. We may need to have some means to prevent a flood of people fleeing Tory government south of the border to the relative utopia of a social-democratic government in Scotland.
 
Posted by Taliesin (# 14017) on :
 
Can I come?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
1995 is not today.
England is not the ROC circa 1995, nor the ROC as it is today. Scotland is not Quebec circa 1995, nor the ROC as it is today.

You might have heroic memories of what happened then. But that was 18 years ago, in another country, on another continent, involving much different issue. The Europe of today, of which Scotland and England and the rest of the UK are a part, is very very different from Canada circa 1995.

The world has changed.

What's the ROC in this context? What SPK said sounds spot on to me.

Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Taliesin:
Can I come?

Yes!!
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
If Scotland separates, how will that affect the future's view of United Kingdom history, like WWII? It's a bit hard for a country to have one of its finest hours and then disappear seventy years later.

I don't quite understand the flak associated with this question, which seems a reasonable one to me.

That said, I suspect the answer might the 'no affect at all'. The Great War occurred only a few years before the United Kingdom was pulled apart by the loss of most of Ireland, but this doesn't appear to affect how we perceive ourselves in that conflict.
 
Posted by american piskie (# 593) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by Vulpior:
In a way, a fair question. Are the inter-regional, inter-state or other tensions within a nation state enough that, given the right flashpoint, they could lead to civil war? Fragmented nations are the stuff of apocalyptic dramas, but would it take something less to set us (whoever "us" might refer to) at one another's throats? When you see other nations breaking apart, you do wonder. After all, Yugoslavia/Sudan/Syria/wherever has been on our maps for years; were the simmering tensions that we never heard about really that much worse than those here? Could it happen here?

For all its failings, the Westminster government was at least enlightened enough to let the residents of Scotland vote on the matter (although refusing a Devo-Max option due to their own political calculations). This alone largely diffuses the situation compared with all the other examples you quote.
This had been my hope. The emphasis by Mr Salmond et al on "the people of Scotland" and not "the Scots" encouraged me to hope that this was not tribal or ethnic, but about those who live and work in Scotland. But it's depressing how soon it morphs into "the Scots".

Those who disparage the comparison with the dissolution of Yugoslavia seem to forget that there are parts of the UK where there is still a civil war simmering away, and that when it was last really on the boil persons from that part of the UK were subject to well, a certain degree of hostility in England.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
Those who disparage the comparison with the dissolution of Yugoslavia seem to forget that there are parts of the UK where there is still a civil war simmering away,



Ok, but…

quote:
and that when it was last really on the boil persons from that part of the UK were subject to well, a certain degree of hostility in England.
Are there any instances where Englishmen shot, raped or destroyed the property of fellow British subjects on account of them being from Ulster?
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
My view on the ground is that it is "the people of Scotland" not "the Scots." Of course, I live in a part of Scotland where there are many incomers connected to the oil industry, and many Scots have travelled the world, also with the oil industry, so what I see might not be representative of elsewhere. My MSP is SNP member Christian Allard whose English is heavily accented but who is clearly Scottish. As far as I am concerned, and I think this is the general view, the saying "there are two types of Scots, those lucky enough to have been born here, and those intelligent enough to have come" holds true.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
The emphasis by Mr Salmond et al on "the people of Scotland" and not "the Scots" encouraged me to hope that this was not tribal or ethnic, but about those who live and work in Scotland. But it's depressing how soon it morphs into "the Scots".

Though, suggestions of extending the franchise to Scots living outwith Scotland has been repeatedly rejected by the Scottish Government (with the exception of those registered to vote in Scotland, but serving overseas in the armed forces or government service). The Scottish Government, and the yes campaign generally, have been resolute that the question is one for the people living in Scotland rather than being an ethnic one. It's usually the media reporting or others that morph "the people living in Scotland" to "the Scots".
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Though, suggestions of extending the franchise to Scots living outwith Scotland has been repeatedly rejected by the Scottish Government (with the exception of those registered to vote in Scotland, but serving overseas in the armed forces or government service).

Presumably this is partly on the basis that it would be difficult to determine precisely who is a Scot and who isn't?
 
Posted by american piskie (# 593) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
The emphasis by Mr Salmond et al on "the people of Scotland" and not "the Scots" encouraged me to hope that this was not tribal or ethnic, but about those who live and work in Scotland. But it's depressing how soon it morphs into "the Scots".

Though, suggestions of extending the franchise to Scots living outwith Scotland has been repeatedly rejected by the Scottish Government (with the exception of those registered to vote in Scotland, but serving overseas in the armed forces or government service). The Scottish Government, and the yes campaign generally, have been resolute that the question is one for the people living in Scotland rather than being an ethnic one. It's usually the media reporting or others that morph "the people living in Scotland" to "the Scots".
I think that goes to the root of my worry. Formally the process is a grown up one, with calls to allow persons with one Scottish grandmother a vote rightly (in my view) rejected: but the media, knowing what plays to the crowd, turn it into a question of tribal loyalties. Us and Them. And if that's the dominant flavour of the discourse, "let them go back to their own country" may be next.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
It's a fundamental expression that deep down you still care about each other and want to be together.

It's because I care about the people of Scotland that I'm willing to support them in their efforts to gain self-determination. Forcing them to stay in a relationship that they clearly feel is no good for them doesn't sound to me like the actions of one who cares for them...
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Scottish universities (and, for that matter, English and Welsh universities) are desperate to take on international students with the associated substantial fees they bring with them.

Interestingly, independence may prove financially damaging to Scottish universities. At the moment they can charge £9,000 per year to rUK students while keeping their fees for Scottish and other EU students lower. They can do that because Scotland is part of the UK (where £9k fees are the standard), but should they become separate countries within the EU then EU rules will force Scottish universites to charge UK students the same fee as they charge to "Home" (Scottish) ones.

On current rates, that works out to somewhere in the region of £7,000 lost per rUK student at a Scottish university. And it's reasonable to assume that a great many rUK students would choose to study in Scotland if the fees remain so much lower than those in the rUK - and Scotland would not be able to stop them.

The Scottish government would be stuck either subsidising a great deal of education for rUK students, banning rUK students from studying in Scotland, or increasing the fees for all Home/EU students to the point where there's no longer the massive incentive for rUK students to go north of the border. The first option would be financially troublesome (and might even require higher taxes from Scottish people purely to pay for educating rUK students), the second would be against EU law, and the third would be electoral suicide. Good luck with that...
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I'm not sure about 'they clearly feel is no good for them', as the polls have consistently shown a no vote, haven't they?
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I know my pessimism about a secession that has nothing to do with me makes no sense, but the pro-independence side here seems to have no concept of anything bad coming out of secession. What man sets out to build a tower without adding up the costs and all that.

So, just to throw this out there, the North Sea Oil reserves, the thing that's supposed to make it all possible, are getting pretty close to being tapped out. Estimates say that 76% of the oil has already been sucked out of the ground. Signs of the fields going dry are a dramatic decline in production coupled by a dramatic increase in cost. Which is exactly what happened in 2012.

Of course, there is probably oil in the ground for decades to come, but within a decade Scotland would be having to ask whether it was cost efficient enough to bother, especially with skyrocketing American production keeping oil prices low.
 
Posted by Jay-Emm (# 11411) on :
 
quote:
Ori]ginally posted by Anglican't:
Are there any instances where Englishmen shot, raped or destroyed the property of fellow British subjects on account of them being from Ulster?

Not sure...Derry, definitely.

[ 01. December 2013, 14:05: Message edited by: Jay-Emm ]
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Scottish universities (and, for that matter, English and Welsh universities) are desperate to take on international students with the associated substantial fees they bring with them.

Interestingly, independence may prove financially damaging to Scottish universities. At the moment they can charge £9,000 per year to rUK students while keeping their fees for Scottish and other EU students lower. They can do that because Scotland is part of the UK (where £9k fees are the standard), but should they become separate countries within the EU then EU rules will force Scottish universites to charge UK students the same fee as they charge to "Home" (Scottish) ones.

On current rates, that works out to somewhere in the region of £7,000 lost per rUK student at a Scottish university. And it's reasonable to assume that a great many rUK students would choose to study in Scotland if the fees remain so much lower than those in the rUK - and Scotland would not be able to stop them.

The Scottish government would be stuck either subsidising a great deal of education for rUK students, banning rUK students from studying in Scotland, or increasing the fees for all Home/EU students to the point where there's no longer the massive incentive for rUK students to go north of the border. The first option would be financially troublesome (and might even require higher taxes from Scottish people purely to pay for educating rUK students), the second would be against EU law, and the third would be electoral suicide. Good luck with that...

Assuming no massive expansion of University provision, it would mean that Scottish Universities, with an increased number of applications, would raise their entry qualifications. Bad news for less academic Scottish students, who would find themselves squeezed out and forced to go outwith Scotland, or forego University altogether, but not necessarily bad news for Scottish Universities, who could expect to see their place in World rankings go up.

One other point, though, is that a Scottish undergraduate degree is a 4 year degree, whereas English undergraduate degrees are 3 years. This might dampen some of the enthusiasm for a Scottish University education. (Scottish students are often 17 or just turned 18 when they finish secondary education and go to Uni, whereas I gather most English students are already 18, or almost 19; the age difference evens out come graduation.)
 
Posted by american piskie (# 593) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:


Are there any instances where Englishmen shot, raped or destroyed the property of fellow British subjects on account of them being from Ulster?

If I had such clear examples I would not have asked my question; I would have my bags packed already, and the National Express tickets bought.

That doesn't help me understand why the dissolution of the UK should not end up as a chaotic mess: in which bad things happen.


But on a lighter note: any bets on how long before someone pricks Mr Cameron's fantasy that somehow the "United Kingdom" would survive as a credible title for England and the annexed Welsh principality with the Scottish colony in Ulster?
 
Posted by Chorister (# 473) on :
 
Son no.1 went north of the border for his university education (St. Andrews), admittedly when fees were lower, but he received a first class education which was well worth it. And the extra year made really sure he knew which was the best subject for him to study for the final three years. I'd be disappointed if potential independence put anyone off.
 
Posted by Ronald Binge (# 9002) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Jay-Emm:
quote:
Ori]ginally posted by Anglican't:
Are there any instances where Englishmen shot, raped or destroyed the property of fellow British subjects on account of them being from Ulster?

Not sure...Derry, definitely.
Quite.
 
Posted by Morlader (# 16040) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by american piskie:
But on a lighter note: any bets on how long before someone pricks Mr Cameron's fantasy that somehow the "United Kingdom" would survive as a credible title for England and the annexed Welsh principality with the Scottish colony in Ulster?

And the annexed Cornish Kingdom/Duchy.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Scottish universities (and, for that matter, English and Welsh universities) are desperate to take on international students with the associated substantial fees they bring with them.

Interestingly, independence may prove financially damaging to Scottish universities. At the moment they can charge £9,000 per year to rUK students while keeping their fees for Scottish and other EU students lower. They can do that because Scotland is part of the UK (where £9k fees are the standard), but should they become separate countries within the EU then EU rules will force Scottish universites to charge UK students the same fee as they charge to "Home" (Scottish) ones.
Well, the White Paper appears to have considered that (presumably with someone more conversant with EU laws than me to check it out).

It describes the current situation as
quote:
this Government had little option but to allow Scottish institutions to set their own tuition fees for students from the rest of the UK at a rate no higher than the maximum annual tuition fee rate charged to such students by universities elsewhere in the UK.

... In 2012/13, the first year of the new arrangements, 4,800 students from the rest of the UK were accepted through UCAS to study at Scottish universities

I don't know what fee was actually charged for those students.

About post-independence, the White Paper says
quote:
Following independence, the Scottish Government proposes to maintain the status quo by continuing our current policy of charging fees to students from the rest of the UK to study at Scottish higher education institutions.

...

Our policy is based on the unique and exceptional position of Scotland in relation to other parts of the UK, on the relative size of the rest of the UK, on the fee differential, on our shared land border and common language, on the qualification structure, on the quality of our university sector and on the high demand for places. We believe that these distinctive characteristics will enable us to justify objectively the continuation of our current policy in a way which is consistent with the principles of free movement across the EU as a whole and which is compatible with EU requirements.


 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
One other point, though, is that a Scottish undergraduate degree is a 4 year degree, whereas English undergraduate degrees are 3 years. This might dampen some of the enthusiasm for a Scottish University education.

It's a reflection of the differences between English and Scottish education systems. GCSE and standard grades are approximately equivalent. But, pupils in Scotland will sit one year highers in more subjects than A levels in England and Wales. Many pupils will take an extra year at school either sitting additional subjects at higher, or taking advanced highers in some (that then get close to A level) especially those wishing to attend university down south.

University intake is based on highers, and will be possible after one year of highers - hence a year earlier than in England. The first year, at least in older universities will be a "College Entrance" rather than subject specific. So, for example, first year students registered for Physics will have classes for physics, chemistry, various engineering subjects, maths ... and if they wish foreign languages, history, etc. At the end of first year they then have free option to choose where they will narrow their subject for the subsequent 3 or 4 years (in many universities, both sides of the border, the standard degree now has an additional year to give a rather misleadingly named "masters" undergraduate degree).

In soem ways it's a compromise between the very narrow education system in England and Wales and the very broad system in the US. It is, in my opinion, a superior system to what I went through in England.
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by L'organist:
tangent alert
quote:
posted by orfeo
A big part of our national history involves asserting that the British completely stuffed us around at Gallipoli in 1915, and that we were better off not blindly following them.

Which is fine and dandy. Australia and New Zealand did suffer large numbers of casualties at Gallipoli - as did the UK, France, India and Newfoundland. In fact, French fatalities outnumbered Australian. And a huge number of casualties at Gallipoli were nothing to do with the fighting and all to do with the climate, appalling sanitation, lack of water and no effective disease control.
I wasn't intending to suggest that the Australian mythos surrounding those events was necessarily accurate. Just that when it comes to 'nation-building' and national history, the perception that we were not British and couldn't rely on the British is a significant component.

It's hard to avoid the irony in SPK's notion of nation-building, in that he thinks it only points one way. It doesn't. One of the main ways you build a new nation is by breaking away from an old one. Apparently that's absolutely fine when it comes to Australia or Canada, but a disastrous proposition when it comes to Quebec or Scotland - or presumably Western Australia if they ever consider leaving again.

Ahem, Canada got an unsubtle push from Westminster, orfeo. The Americans threatened to invade in 1862, Britain rushed in 4000 troops but made clear that they weren't going to fight a war over Canada, and we had better get our act together or start making applications for statehood in Washington. The Fenians aren't known as Fathers of Confederation for nothing.

Furthermore Canada and Australia were never represented in Westminster, and for all the complaining that comes from Scotland about representation on this thread, is the singular difference between Scotland, Canada and Australia over an "independence" situation.

Protestations to the contrary that Scotland isn't represented are disingenuous.

Per Anglican't question, ROC = Rest of Canada, the provinces other than Quebec.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
A technical question: If Scotland opts for independence, would the UK still exist? I.e. would there be such a thing as the rUK, given that the Kingdom is no longer united, and accordingly no longer exists as such? Or would it still one kingdom, but with two sovereign countries (plus a number of other sovereign Commonwealth Nations)? If so, what would the rUK call itself (r-UK being a rather silly name)?
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
One other point, though, is that a Scottish undergraduate degree is a 4 year degree, whereas English undergraduate degrees are 3 years. This might dampen some of the enthusiasm for a Scottish University education.

It's a reflection of the differences between English and Scottish education systems. GCSE and standard grades are approximately equivalent. But, pupils in Scotland will sit one year highers in more subjects than A levels in England and Wales. Many pupils will take an extra year at school either sitting additional subjects at higher, or taking advanced highers in some (that then get close to A level) especially those wishing to attend university down south.
Just a small correction: Advanced Highers go beyond A-Level, rather than get close to. This is acknowledged by their higher UCAS tariff, among other things. Having taught both, I feel fairly confident in saying Advanced Highers are tougher than A-Levels, particularly in Physics.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
So, just to throw this out there, the North Sea Oil reserves, the thing that's supposed to make it all possible, are getting pretty close to being tapped out. Estimates say that 76% of the oil has already been sucked out of the ground. Signs of the fields going dry are a dramatic decline in production coupled by a dramatic increase in cost. Which is exactly what happened in 2012.

Very well, agreed, Scotland should be thinking beyond this whole annoying oil debate to a means to sustain herself without it (the oil will run out with or without independence). Meanwhile, what exactly is the wisdom of staying in the Union and being dependent on the City of London - another volatile and (probably) declining source of income?
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
A technical question: If Scotland opts for independence, would the UK still exist? I.e. would there be such a thing as the rUK, given that the Kingdom is no longer united, and accordingly no longer exists as such? Or would it still one kingdom, but with two sovereign countries (plus a number of other sovereign Commonwealth Nations)? If so, what would the rUK call itself (r-UK being a rather silly name)?

One would presume that it would be the United Kingdom of England, Wales and Northern Ireland. It has been amended before, following the Act of Union with Ireland and again with the creation of the Irish Republic. You can bet your bottom dollar that Wales will insist on being in the full title this time, especially as it has now been recognised as a country in its own right (rather than just a principality as previously). The more interesting question is of flags. Scotland will obviously use the Saltire. What will the UK use, given that the union flag won't really work?
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
So, just to throw this out there, the North Sea Oil reserves, the thing that's supposed to make it all possible, are getting pretty close to being tapped out. Estimates say that 76% of the oil has already been sucked out of the ground. Signs of the fields going dry are a dramatic decline in production coupled by a dramatic increase in cost. Which is exactly what happened in 2012.

Very well, agreed, Scotland should be thinking beyond this whole annoying oil debate to a means to sustain herself without it (the oil will run out with or without independence). Meanwhile, what exactly is the wisdom of staying in the Union and being dependent on the City of London - another volatile and (probably) declining source of income?
Full representation in a democratic government? Connection with one of the most powerful and stable economies in the world? I don't really know—my only feeling in the matter is that it doesn't make sense to gamble away a comfortable status quo on something so uncertain for something so silly like national pride.

One of the ominous things about this whole matter, for me as an American, is that merely looking at the case critically, provokes person offense and occasional comments about 250 years old grievances.

[ 01. December 2013, 19:55: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by Zach82:

quote:
something so uncertain for something so silly like national pride.
Who has said it's a matter of national pride? All the Scots posting on this thread are talking about the economy, politics, the desire for a more socially equal society etc etc.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
That's what I assume is behind comments like "We have a RIGHT to determine our future," which show up now and again on this thread. I also assume it's behind some of the more grandiose visions of what independence will bring Scotland. Speculation, I know, but I don't think terribly outlandish speculation.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
Everyone's got a right to determine their future. There's nothing uniquely Scottish about that.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
Everyone's got a right to determine their future. There's nothing uniquely Scottish about that.

Indeed. The right to self-determination is a pretty fundamental part of the UN charter.
 
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on :
 
The real question, and one alluded to very briefly way upthread, is who comprises the "we" who have the right to determine their future. Is it limited to the Scots, or the entire UK? If the Scots, how is "Scotness" to be determined? Those on the roll for a Scots electorate? That would disenfranchise many who consider themselves Scots, but for the time being are living and working elsewhere in the UK.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I, for one, am not questioning Scotland's right to be independent. I don't reckon much of anyone is. I just don't think that independence is worthwhile all by itself.
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Gee D: The real question, and one alluded to very briefly way upthread, is who comprises the "we" who have the right to determine their future. Is it limited to the Scots, or the entire UK? If the Scots, how is "Scotness" to be determined? Those on the roll for a Scots electorate? That would disenfranchise many who consider themselves Scots, but for the time being are living and working elsewhere in the UK.
I wonder how they did this in other cases, for example the split between the Czech Republic and Slovakia.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by LeRoc:
quote:
Gee D: The real question, and one alluded to very briefly way upthread, is who comprises the "we" who have the right to determine their future. Is it limited to the Scots, or the entire UK? If the Scots, how is "Scotness" to be determined? Those on the roll for a Scots electorate? That would disenfranchise many who consider themselves Scots, but for the time being are living and working elsewhere in the UK.
I wonder how they did this in other cases, for example the split between the Czech Republic and Slovakia.
IIRC Czechoslovakia was the successor to the pre-WW2 Bohemia-Moravia which had been part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire up to 1918, so it was a recently created composite state, which probably made for easier separation.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
A technical question: If Scotland opts for independence, would the UK still exist?

Yes, international law is very clear on this.

One part (Scotland) of a sovereign state (the UK) seceding does not do anything to the sovereign state's continued existence within smaller borders, nor to their membership of international organisations. This would be a very useful moderating influence on any excessive have-cake-and-eat-it demands of the Scottish government when negotiating the transfer of assets and liabilities, given that the UK would have the absolute right to veto any Scottish attempt to join the EU, NATO and even the United Nations.

The sole exception to this in the modern era is the split of Czechoslovakia, in which both states agreed that neither would claim to be the successor state and that both would voluntarily ratify all treaties to which Czechoslovakia was a party before the split. Without that mutual recognition from the UK (which won't happen) there will be no basis to any Scottish claim to be a successor state or that the UK is also a new sovereign state.
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
If so, what would the rUK call itself (r-UK being a rather silly name)?

The name of the UK would be the same as it was before Scotland seceded - the UK.

Whether the UK would make some change to their name (and possibly flag) at some point after Scotland secedes is an internal affair for the government of the UK to self-determine, and not something to be imposed upon them by some other foreign state such as post-secession Scotland.

quote:
Originally posted by LeRoc:
quote:
Gee D: The real question, and one alluded to very briefly way upthread, is who comprises the "we" who have the right to determine their future. Is it limited to the Scots, or the entire UK? If the Scots, how is "Scotness" to be determined? Those on the roll for a Scots electorate? That would disenfranchise many who consider themselves Scots, but for the time being are living and working elsewhere in the UK.
I wonder how they did this in other cases, for example the split between the Czech Republic and Slovakia.
More recently (and more relevantly compared to the exceptional mutual split of Czechoslovakia) there is also the secession of South Sudan just a couple of years ago.

Those living in the rest of Sudan and even in other countries did get a vote.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
The more interesting question is of flags. Scotland will obviously use the Saltire. What will the UK use, given that the union flag won't really work?

I suspect that in the event of independence the Union Jack will be around for a very long time to come. After all, the fleur de lys appeared on the Royal Standard until as recently as 1801!
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by LeRoc:
I wonder how they did this in other cases, for example the split between the Czech Republic and Slovakia.

I remember reading somewhere that the rules for citizenship across the two new countries were fairly flexible, at least in the early years, so that people weren't necessarily stuck with being a citizen of wherever they happened to be living at the time.

[ 02. December 2013, 00:42: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by Louise (# 30) on :
 
By the way, with regard to the Czech Republic and Slovakia and currency, that was mentioned in the article by Iain Macwhirter I posted earlier. The relevant bit is

quote:

When the Czech Republic and Slovakia went their separate ways in 1993, they started with a common currency, then decided to have separate ones, until 2010 when both started negotiations to join the euro. This is how things happen in international finance, where countries must react to changing circumstances and negotiate with supranational entities like the European Union.

Only in Britain do we find this portrayed, offensively, as one country, Scotland, begging at the door of another. Scotland is being scolded for seeking control of its own affairs by people who don't understand how currencies work. Alistair ­Carmichael's posturing is particularly egregious since he is a member of a party, the LibDems, who favour a federal reform of the UK and membership of the European monetary system, which involves complex currency and regulatory issues.

It's neither an insuperable problem nor the bogeyman it's been made out to be.

The pro Union 'Better Together 'campaign made a gaffe earlier this year - they admitted to a journalist that they nicknamed their work 'Project Fear', as their aim was to make voters in Scotland afraid to vote Yes by raising as much doubt and fear as possible. It's been very effective.* Very few people understand much about currencies, so it's easy to scare people, especially in the wake of the recent recession. I know I'm having to learn all this from scratch.

By the way, when I was mentioning Scotland's difference to the various Southern countries which are raised as 'Ghastly Warnings' of the danger of any change in currency arrangement, I was thinking of relatively modern history. Scotland was one of the earliest countries to industrialise and to have free universal education, so it's very different from countries which were predominantly agricultural and less-industrialised until much later.

A small historical digression on Britishness in Scotland- Scotland profited hugely from Empire and slavery, using that money to help kick start the industrial revolution (much more so than England where it's not so significant - this is very recent historical research by people like Tom Devine).

It's not uncommon to get the old victim narrative from the diaspora in Canada, Australia, USA etc, who often think their ancestors were forced out of Scotland by clearances, and in some cases they were, but the bulk of Scottish emigration was not the poorest but the middle classes and non-destitute looking for better opportunities in the empire. Scots were once so keen on being British that they practically invented the concept twice over (James VI's concept and the later 18th century idea that Scots were North Britons and the English, South Britons - which outraged people like John Wilkes!). This was because the empire and the industrial revolution worked so well. By the 19th century Scottish patriotism became identified with British patriotism - the old dual identity of the Unionist party (later the Conservatives).

This was also strongly embraced by the monarchy who embraced the dual identity, swathed themselves in tartan and even changed religion when the crossed the border - Queen Victoria even started taking communion at Crathie church, becoming communicant in both churches - CofS and CofE (others at the top of society did so too - she wasn't unique).

There was a huge crisis of national confidence after World War 1 where Scotland suffered disproportionate casualties, only to suffer a major and devastating slump after the war. What had it all been for? Could we no longer support ourselves? Then the post-war slump shaded into the Great Depression. The confident Dual Nationality took a huge knock, but was revitalised in a different form by World War 2.

As I've mentioned above, the British project was re-invigorated then by the sense of it being a shared assault on want and poverty (funny how certain people don't pejoratively label nationalism which wants to sort out poverty as 'messianic' when it's British!). The loss of empire was compensated for by a perception that Britain was a civilised, technologically-sophisticated, wealthy society which knew how to tackle its social and economic problems. Eradicating TB, building council houses, developing nuclear power stations... This idea of Britishness was torn apart though as some parts of Britain began to reject it and vote for people like Thatcher - low taxes, privatisation and devil take the hindmost.

Britishness is a form of nationalism too. Like Scottish nationalism it has moved from the old romantic ethnic concept of nationalism to striving for a civic concept of nationalism, making it accessible and applicable to people who come to Britain whatever their background or origin.

The weird thing is that people who like to attack Scottish nationalism are strangely blind to the fact that all the things they like to attack are part and parcel of the history of Britishness too. It too is a nationalism with a history once rooted in romantic ethnic nationalism (and the racial theory which used to go with this, defining the Irish as an inferior race, while including most of the Scots as part of Anglo saxon/Germanic race was very big in the late 19th/early 20th century)

Think it ain't so, that Britishness is just another nationalism? Well since borders and national pride and self-determination are such wicked wicked things, let's have a European super state. See how well that goes down with those who like most like to think of themselves as British! What horrid separatists!

I jest.

But there's a weird hypocrisy and blindness here. Some people seem to be implying that what their nations have is not nationalism. Apparently if you're not Scots, your nation has nice benign and fluffy harmless er... fuzzy warm feelings of love of country and its self-government is just normal and safe and natural- but somehow we have that shocking nasty dangerous risky 'N' word!

It's all getting a bit silly. If you're not a bona fide old style Marxist who believes all politics should be along class lines and none of that nasty old self-determination nation state stuff, then you're nationalists too. Just because you have a bigger nation, it doesn't make any difference.

As George Bernard Shaw allegedly put it - "We have established what you are, madam. We are now merely haggling over the price." Big nation nationalism is nationalism in principle, just the same as wee nation nationalism. Let me know when Canada, the US and UK are all going to give up their nationalism to sink their differences in a world government. Until then we've established what you are. [Smile]


* Re 'Better Together', they employ journalists to write up negative stories about independence. These stories are then passed to over-worked skeleton-staffed newsrooms which have few journalists left. Those stories then tend to appear tweaked a bit in your newspaper/medium of choice, so you get a mix of the journalists who still do their own research and also stuff which is pretty obviously worked up from skewed PR releases. You really have to do your own research and work out who is doing their own homework and who is just recycling. If you're believing all the scare stories about currencies, pensions and the EU, these have been a focus for misinformation.

[ 02. December 2013, 01:19: Message edited by: Louise ]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I don't give a handful of crap about Britishness, Louise, and I don't care about "Americanness" either. I care about democratic participation in my government and my ability to make a living.

This turn of your post is particularly offensive and pointless,

quote:
But there's a weird hypocrisy and blindness here. Some people seem to be implying that what their nations have is not nationalism. Apparently if you're not Scots, your nation has nice benign and fluffy harmless er... fuzzy warm feelings of love of country and its self-government is just normal and safe and natural- but somehow we have that shocking nasty dangerous risky 'N' word!
Why on earth would you bring that up while trying to make the case for Scottish independence?
 
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on :
 
Agreed with Zach, that is offensive, Louise. Scotland is certainly free to have as much nationalism as it wants, but bailing on the UK while justifying it with double-talk is what I have criticized. If you want to see what dual nationalism is, come round to Montreal on St. Jean Baptiste Day on June 24th and stick around for Canada Day on July 1st. If you assume that I think that nationalism is a strictly mono thing than you are very, very mistaken.

Speaking of double-talk, the Scotland White Paper is riddled with assumptions that Scotland would get automatic admission to the Commonwealth, NATO and the EU. Big assumption and not guaranteed. The UK, the part certain Scots intend to leave behind, has all the cards (as the Cheeseburger correctly says) and can block Scotland's admission. The UK blocked Ireland's admission to the UN until the 1950's due to bad feelings over Irish neutrality so the idea is not theoretical.

Oh yeah, Canada went through that with Quebec too. NATO Admission, NAFTA membership, the American Alliance, etc. Second Verse, same as the first!

As for the oil, well, substitute hydroelectricity and you've got Quebec. A possibly valuable resource depending on market conditions but the time horizon of a nation is longer than that of any resource. It is more of a distraction than anything else.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I would think Spain would be the bigger obstacle to Scottish entrance to the EU.
 
Posted by Vulpior (# 12744) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Vulpior:
A paragraph of stuff I said previously.

I'm confused, why are we talking about civil wars? It seems to me that triviality is the hallmark of this potential divorce, not long simmering oppression or division.
Because civil wars are what happens when the process goes wrong. When the process goes right, you get democratic decision-making. In the latter way of doing things, there is room for the trivialities to come out.

I don't think the process would be happening at all if there were no some level of "long simmering oppression or division".
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I don't really know—my only feeling in the matter is that it doesn't make sense to gamble away a comfortable status quo on something so uncertain for something so silly like national pride.

Status quo? Comfortable status quo? If anyone thinks that non-independence will maintain a status quo, they are very much mistaken. The policies of the current WM government and the debate south of the border have made that very clear (although of course the official communiqués say something else). The Barnett formula will probably go anyhow, Scottish representation at WM will be curtailed. It is easily possible that Scotland will be dragged out of the EU over a political miscalculation, etc. etc. So accordingly, there is no status quo. This is what makes the outcome of this referendum so important, and why even a "no" is not just a back-to-business-as-usual as Better Together would like to have Scots believe.
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
international law is very clear on this.

One part (Scotland) of a sovereign state (the UK) seceding does not do anything to the sovereign state's continued existence within smaller borders, nor to their membership of international organisations. This would be a very useful moderating influence on any excessive have-cake-and-eat-it demands of the Scottish government when negotiating the transfer of assets and liabilities, given that the UK would have the absolute right to veto any Scottish attempt to join the EU, NATO and even the United Nations.

Is it as simple as that? From the point of view of international law, you are no doubt right, but under various national laws, might it not be different? Surely it would mean that the Act of Union would have to be repealed, essentially dissolving the Union, the unitedness of the Kingdom, and with those the name. Additional laws would then have to be put in place to reinstate the name and the constitutional relationship of the three remaining parties. At this point "United Kingdom" would be calling the country something it is not.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I would think Spain would be the bigger obstacle to Scottish entrance to the EU.

Yes, they would no doubt huff and puff about it (unless Catalonia by this point is also seeking readmittance). However, they would have an helluva time explaining why a country which has essentially been part of the EU, fulfils all its standards and seamlessly seeks to continue both should be left outside. Of late, a whole series of rather more dubious candidatures have been granted membership. Essentially, the Spanish would have to admit to saying that they don't want to let Scotland in because they don't want the Catalonians to seek independence. That would just remind everyone of a playground tantrum. Accordingly, IMO, this Spanish thing is just more scaremongering.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
The real question, and one alluded to very briefly way upthread, is who comprises the "we" who have the right to determine their future. Is it limited to the Scots, or the entire UK? If the Scots, how is "Scotness" to be determined? Those on the roll for a Scots electorate? That would disenfranchise many who consider themselves Scots, but for the time being are living and working elsewhere in the UK.

The vote will be by those currently living in Scotland, or registered to vote in Scotland (e.g. students studying in England, but registered to vote at their parents' address.)

It would be impossible to include those who "consider themselves Scots" living elsewhere.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
international law is very clear on this.

One part (Scotland) of a sovereign state (the UK) seceding does not do anything to the sovereign state's continued existence within smaller borders, nor to their membership of international organisations. This would be a very useful moderating influence on any excessive have-cake-and-eat-it demands of the Scottish government when negotiating the transfer of assets and liabilities, given that the UK would have the absolute right to veto any Scottish attempt to join the EU, NATO and even the United Nations.

Is it as simple as that? From the point of view of international law, you are no doubt right, but under various national laws, might it not be different? Surely it would mean that the Act of Union would have to be repealed, essentially dissolving the Union, the unitedness of the Kingdom, and with those the name. Additional laws would then have to be put in place to reinstate the name and the constitutional relationship of the three remaining parties. At this point "United Kingdom" would be calling the country something it is not.
I would think amending the Act of Union (and other necessary legislation) to excise Scotland and declare it to be a foreign power should be sufficient, dissolving the whole sovereign state and reconstituting it could cause too many legal problems.

It's only one component leaving the UK, I don't see how that would make the name false when it is still a kingdom formed by union of several constituent countries and numerous crown dependencies. It would be no less honest than the precedent set by the "United States of America" which is recognised (i.e. rather than disputed) by all of the other nine sovereign states on the mainland of the North American continent.

Whether the UK changes its name or not will be for the UK to self-determine, and not for foreign powers such as Scotland to decide. Part of seceding and forming an independent state will have to be giving up control over what decisions the UK may make for itself.
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I would think Spain would be the bigger obstacle to Scottish entrance to the EU.

Yes, they would no doubt huff and puff about it (unless Catalonia by this point is also seeking readmittance). However, they would have an helluva time explaining why a country which has essentially been part of the EU, fulfils all its standards and seamlessly seeks to continue both should be left outside. Of late, a whole series of rather more dubious candidatures have been granted membership. Essentially, the Spanish would have to admit to saying that they don't want to let Scotland in because they don't want the Catalonians to seek independence. That would just remind everyone of a playground tantrum. Accordingly, IMO, this Spanish thing is just more scaremongering.
The Spanish wouldn't need to huff and puff, explain their motives or admit anything, they could just use their veto and the Scottish would have to bend over and take it.

The same applies to any other EU members which might want to veto the membership application of post-secession Scotland for whatever reason, including the UK.

quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
The real question, and one alluded to very briefly way upthread, is who comprises the "we" who have the right to determine their future. Is it limited to the Scots, or the entire UK? If the Scots, how is "Scotness" to be determined? Those on the roll for a Scots electorate? That would disenfranchise many who consider themselves Scots, but for the time being are living and working elsewhere in the UK.

The vote will be by those currently living in Scotland, or registered to vote in Scotland (e.g. students studying in England, but registered to vote at their parents' address.)

It would be impossible to include those who "consider themselves Scots" living elsewhere.

That is disappointing, maybe Scotland should look to the example of South Sudan on how to run a properly democratic secession referendum.

Is the SNP just afraid that all the people of Scottish birth living in other parts of the UK are likely to vote in favour of keeping those ties?

[ 02. December 2013, 07:25: Message edited by: the giant cheeseburger ]
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I would think Spain would be the bigger obstacle to Scottish entrance to the EU.

Yes, they would no doubt huff and puff about it (unless Catalonia by this point is also seeking readmittance). However, they would have an helluva time explaining why a country which has essentially been part of the EU, fulfils all its standards and seamlessly seeks to continue both should be left outside. Of late, a whole series of rather more dubious candidatures have been granted membership. Essentially, the Spanish would have to admit to saying that they don't want to let Scotland in because they don't want the Catalonians to seek independence. That would just remind everyone of a playground tantrum. Accordingly, IMO, this Spanish thing is just more scaremongering.
The Spanish wouldn't need to huff and puff, explain their motives or admit anything, they could just use their veto and the Scottish would have to bend over and take it.

Technically you're right, but in practice, that's not how it works. A Spanish government could not realistically answer a request as to why they want to veto Scotland's admission with a laconic "because". They would have to come up with some elaborate excuse and then explain why they didn't veto, say, Cyprus, if they don't want to look stupid. (It would probably have something to do with fish.) Directly stating the real reason, namely punishing Scotland to warn the Catalonians, would look similarly stupid. Therefore, my guess is that they would drone on about some kind of technicalities and then finally say "well, ok".
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
How would you decide who had the vote if it was extended to Scots living outwith Scotland? Besides, the people who will be affected by the vote are the people who live in Scotland, regardless of their place of birth.
 
Posted by Lucia (# 15201) on :
 
Who would be allowed to apply for Scots nationality after independence? Would those born in Scotland but currently living in other countries be eligible to request it? Would people be able to hold joint Scots / British nationality? My experience of living overseas suggests that a British passport can be a very useful thing, but a small country like Scotland may not have the same international recognition and clout. So for some it may be advantageous to retain a British passport but would they then be counted as expats living in Scotland even if it was the land of their birth and where they considered to be home?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
Is it as simple as that? From the point of view of international law, you are no doubt right, but under various national laws, might it not be different? Surely it would mean that the Act of Union would have to be repealed, essentially dissolving the Union, the unitedness of the Kingdom, and with those the name. Additional laws would then have to be put in place to reinstate the name and the constitutional relationship of the three remaining parties. At this point "United Kingdom" would be calling the country something it is not.

This post made me think: is there any statute that establishes the name of this country as the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland? Possibly the Statutory Interpretation Act from the mid-70s?

Since there aren't any laws surrounding many aspects of our national identity (e.g. the flag) I wondered if the name of the country has actually been defined anywhere?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
To answer my own question, the Royal and Parliamentary Titles Act, 1927 appears to do this.

[ 02. December 2013, 08:24: Message edited by: Anglican't ]
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
I don't know. I'm sure it's in the White Paper somewhere. I assume that someone like myself (Scottish parents / Scottish born / lived in Scotland all my life) would have a single Scottish passport.

My experience of being a Scot travelling abroad has been entirely positive, but I haven't been anywhere outwith Europe/ America / Canada.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
I don't know. I'm sure it's in the White Paper somewhere. I assume that someone like myself (Scottish parents / Scottish born / lived in Scotland all my life) would have a single Scottish passport.

My experience of being a Scot travelling abroad has been entirely positive, but I haven't been anywhere outwith Europe/ America / Canada.

(in reply to Lucia)
 
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
How would you decide who had the vote if it was extended to Scots living outwith Scotland? Besides, the people who will be affected by the vote are the people who live in Scotland, regardless of their place of birth.

I agree that it is very difficult to decide. I was referring to people who have moved to London to pursue a particular career path for 10 years or so, but who intend to return to Scotland and have indeed retained a house there in their absence south. Would/should they have a vote at the first stage? There was a comment upthread that the SNP fears that such people may vote against independence. That may have been a bit tongue in cheek, but I can imagine that they may like the total absence of control on their movement around the present UK.

As an aside, a person here is an Aboriginal and entitled to vote in elections to such bodies as Local and Regional Aboriginal Land Councils if they identify as being aboriginal. Given the small numbers, that is workable. There would be many more problems in using such a test to determine eligibility to vote as Scots.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:

As an aside, a person here is an Aboriginal and entitled to vote in elections to such bodies as Local and Regional Aboriginal Land Councils if they identify as being aboriginal.

Correction: a person is an Indigenous Australian if they identify as Indigenous and are recognised as Indigenous by an Indigenous people group.
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:

Given the small numbers, that is workable. There would be many more problems in using such a test to determine eligibility to vote as Scots.

The proportion of the UK population in Scotland is about 8%, and it is probably a fair assumption that the proportion of Scottish people (by the same identify as + recognised as definition) living in other parts of the UK is a fair amount lower. If we can go to the effort of working out that stuff for Indigenous populations averaging around 2.5%, for something as big as Scotland seceding it would probably be worth going to a little extra effort to make sure things are done properly.

If the Italian government is able to organise fair elections for the representation of the Italian diaspora, it should be a piece of cake for the more competent administrators of Scotland.

As I said above though, I think the SNP is disenfranchising Scottish people currently not residing in Scotland purely because those who appreciate free movement within the UK are likely to vote against secession.

[ 02. December 2013, 10:30: Message edited by: the giant cheeseburger ]
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by the Giant Cheeseburger:

quote:
As I said above though, I think the SNP is disenfranchising Scottish people currently not residing in Scotland purely because those who appreciate free movement within the UK are likely to vote against secession.
But by the same token, incomers to Scotland will be able to vote and they presumably have the same appreciation of free movement.


What will happen if there is an EU referendum in 2017- will English-born residents abroad get to vote?
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
As I said above though, I think the SNP is disenfranchising Scottish people currently not residing in Scotland purely because those who appreciate free movement within the UK are likely to vote against secession.

That would only be the case if the SNP/Scottish Government ever claimed the question was for Scottish people. They haven't, it has always been a question to be answered by residents of Scotland. Those are two different groups of people.

The Scottish Government has taken steps to enfranchise more people to vote, enacting a reduction in voting age for the referendum to 16 (and, then post independence being able to extend that to all elections, something they are currently unable to do). I've seen no evidence to suggest that such a move benefits the Yes campaign, indeed anecdotally the opposite may be true (ie: 16-17 year olds are more likely to vote No than the 18+ population).
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Well, the White Paper appears to have considered that (presumably with someone more conversant with EU laws than me to check it out).

It describes the current situation as
quote:
this Government had little option but to allow Scottish institutions to set their own tuition fees for students from the rest of the UK at a rate no higher than the maximum annual tuition fee rate charged to such students by universities elsewhere in the UK.

... In 2012/13, the first year of the new arrangements, 4,800 students from the rest of the UK were accepted through UCAS to study at Scottish universities

I don't know what fee was actually charged for those students.

About post-independence, the White Paper says
quote:
Following independence, the Scottish Government proposes to maintain the status quo by continuing our current policy of charging fees to students from the rest of the UK to study at Scottish higher education institutions.

...

Our policy is based on the unique and exceptional position of Scotland in relation to other parts of the UK, on the relative size of the rest of the UK, on the fee differential, on our shared land border and common language, on the qualification structure, on the quality of our university sector and on the high demand for places. We believe that these distinctive characteristics will enable us to justify objectively the continuation of our current policy in a way which is consistent with the principles of free movement across the EU as a whole and which is compatible with EU requirements.


The problem is, they're still thinking in terms of "the rest of the UK". What they seem to fail to grasp is that after independence that's no longer an applicable category - there will be "Scotland" and there will be "the UK". Separate countries, with all that implies. And one of the things it implies is that Scotland will no more be able to charge a different fee to UK students than it will to French or German students. It would be like an English university trying to charge French - and only French - students an extra £10,000 per year just because they're from France.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Lucia:
Who would be allowed to apply for Scots nationality after independence? Would those born in Scotland but currently living in other countries be eligible to request it? Would people be able to hold joint Scots / British nationality?

As NEQ noted the White Paper is quite detailed on this point.

Those who would be automatically granted Scottish citizenship would be: British citizens born in Scotland or habitually resident in Scotland at independence, any children born in Scotland with at least one parent who is a Scottish citizen or has indefinite leave to remain in Scotland at the time of their birth, any child born outside Scotland with at least one parent who is a Scottish citizen (subject to registration of the birth in Scotland). Anyone with a parent or grandparent who qualifies for Scottish citizenship may register for citizenship. Migrants living legally in Scotland or anyone with at least 10 years residence in Scotland and an ongoing connection with Scotland may apply for naturalisation as Scottish citizens.

In regard to dual citizenship, the White Paper says
quote:
The UK allows dual or multiple citizenship for British citizens. If a British citizen acquires citizenship and a passport of another country, this does not affect their British citizenship, right to hold a British passport or right to live in the UK. The Scottish Government will also allow dual citizenship. It will be for the rest of the UK to decide whether it allows dual UK/Scottish citizenship, but we expect the normal rules to extend to Scottish citizens.
Scotland would issue passports, following the EU passport model. Currently issued UK Passports would be honoured until they expire. Under the above quoted section on dual nationality, if the rUK extends normal rules to Scottish citizens then anyone qualifying for British citizenship would still be able to hold a British Passport.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
The problem is, they're still thinking in terms of "the rest of the UK". What they seem to fail to grasp is that after independence that's no longer an applicable category - there will be "Scotland" and there will be "the UK". Separate countries, with all that implies. And one of the things it implies is that Scotland will no more be able to charge a different fee to UK students than it will to French or German students.

As I said, I assume that the Scottish Government in drafting the White Paper took advice on whether their proposals would be legal under EU law, I'm no where near qualified to comment. I don't hold politicians and civil servants to be infallible, but to be so wrong on such a point would demonstrate a level of incompetance that would be beyond what I would expect. Though, you never know.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
If the Italian government is able to organise fair elections for the representation of the Italian diaspora, it should be a piece of cake for the more competent administrators of Scotland.

Untrue. Because the Italian diaspora are identified via Italian citizenship. There is no such thing as 'Scottish citizenship' currently by which to perform an equivalent action.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
Status quo? Comfortable status quo? If anyone thinks that non-independence will maintain a status quo, they are very much mistaken... Yes, they would no doubt huff and puff about it (unless Catalonia by this point is also seeking readmittance). However, they would have an helluva time explaining why a country which has essentially been part of the EU...

I've already gone on record on this thread as thinking that the pro-independence crowd relies on greatly exaggerating the hardships of being in the United, while blithely waving away any possibility of difficulty in being independent.

I've never have been comfortable around gamblers, and I don't reckon I'd ever want to be ruled by one.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
It's hardly surprising that those campaigning for a Yes vote will be optimistic about what independence will bring, and emphasise the problems of being in the Union. On the otherhand, those campaigning for a No vote will emphasise the advantages of being in the Union and be pessimistic about independence.

It's upto the residents of Scotland to decide which side is over-egging their case. Those who vote Yes may be gambling on a future that doesn't turn out as rosy as they think. Those who vote No are also gambling, on the possibility that the bleak future of independence won't happen. If we had a reliable crystal ball that will show us exactly what the future brings life would be much easier. We don't, so we constantly gamble on what the outcome will be. We assess the arguments, balance the odds as we see them and then put our mark on the ballot paper.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Those who vote Yes may be gambling on a future that doesn't turn out as rosy as they think. Those who vote No are also gambling, on the possibility that the bleak future of independence won't happen.
That's a gambler's fallacy if there ever was one—"Voting no is gambling away your winnings!"

Voting "no" is not gambling. It's not putting your chips on the table at all. Despite all the difficulties the pro-independence crowd has offered, they are pretty valuable chips.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
Every time you make a choice which means putting something on the table you might lose, you are risking your winnings. Indeed, you are gambling. You do that every time you purchase something in a shop. Are you really sure that steak pie is not going to turn out to be smelly dog food? You take the risk, i.e. you gamble, because you can reasonably expect the steak pie to be what it says it is, and if it's not, well you can take the loss. The is what is called a manageable risk (but a gamble it is nevertheless). In the case of independence there is (1) the factor of weighing up the likely advantages against the likely disadvantages (and these extend far beyond economic calculations), and (2) being sure that even if misjudged the outcome will not be calamitous one way or another.

Personally, I don't think the outcome will be calamitous one way or another, but that the residents of Scotland and those who call themselves Scots have much to gain from independence. But a gamble it remains - just like everything else in life.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Every time you make a choice which means putting something on the table you might lose, you are risking your winnings. Indeed, you are gambling.
That's the gambler's fallacy I was just talking about. To repeat what I just said, since the Union is the status quo, voting "no" is not putting anything on the table.

As evidence that Scotland is not losing anything if it votes no, if it really does become a hardship to be in the Union, by which I mean "having to put up with a slightly different government than it would have preferred some of the time" then Scotland can always vote again. On the other hand, once it votes yes, its association with the Union is gone forever. It will have been gambled away, for good for for ill.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Those who vote Yes may be gambling on a future that doesn't turn out as rosy as they think. Those who vote No are also gambling, on the possibility that the bleak future of independence won't happen.
That's a gambler's fallacy if there ever was one—"Voting no is gambling away your winnings!"

Voting "no" is not gambling. It's not putting your chips on the table at all. Despite all the difficulties the pro-independence crowd has offered, they are pretty valuable chips.

There is (at least) one big difference between voting and gambling. A gambler has a sure chance of coming out without losing anything, that is to not take part in the game.

Voting doesn't really give you that option - you've got a set number of choices (in this case, "Yes", "No" and "Abstain"), and you have to pick one of them. We're not given the option of not playing the game.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
There is (at least) one big difference between voting and gambling. A gambler has a sure chance of coming out without losing anything, that is to not take part in the game.

Voting doesn't really give you that option - you've got a set number of choices (in this case, "Yes", "No" and "Abstain"), and you have to pick one of them. We're not given the option of not playing the game.

As I said, since voting "No" is to vote for what Scotland already has in hand, it's the same as not gambling at all. Voting "yes" might get Scotland something, it might lose Scotland something, or it might not change much. Which is what makes the "yes" vote the gamble. One thing is certain—"yes" is voting something away that it won't be getting back.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
The "No" vote is also for a change to the present situation, because the current situation will change.

At the very least it's a vote that would make a further referendum in the next 10 years or so, and possibly longer, effectively impossible. The constitutional questions had already been raised, and "yes" or "no" there will be changes in the way national tax income is divided between Scotland and the rest of the UK - the Barnet Formula is almost certain to be changed come what may. If Scotland remains in the Union I wouldn't be surprised if the number of MPs from Scotland in Westminster is reduced (I think there are good reasons to do that given the extra representation offered by the Scottish Parliament).
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Walking by the card table and keeping my dollar doesn't become a gamble just because the dollar might lose value. It's the same gambler's fallacy given more details. The dollar is in my hand, and the money I might win at the table isn't. I am merely voicing a preference for the dollar in my hand to the dollar I might possibly win at the table, since a real dollar can buy a lot more than a potential dollar.

To say the least, the thought that staying in the Union involves just as much risk as leaving seems self-evidently silly to me. But, as I'm sure to be reminded, the choice isn't really mine. Scotland is free to gamble its future, and I'm free to think it's unwise.

[ 02. December 2013, 14:45: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
I'm not sure I would say "just as much risk". But, there are risks both ways.

At the moment the nature of the UK is changing, nothing stays the same. We have been given a second chance to decide on the broad trajectory of that change (previously voting yes to devolution). The status quo is one option we never had before us.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
No, Zach, this is not the case. Now that Scotland has a choice, there is also an opportunity cost in saying no. There is no status quo. Even a no will invite changes (and this is what Better Together hide). To some degree Scotland may choose to opt out of those changes by voting yes. There is a risk, indeed a gamble either way.

Supposing your only means of getting to work are going by bus, then you are compelled to wait for the bus in bad whether and endure whatever timetable changes they impose. But if you suddenly have a choice of leasing a car or buying your next annual bus ticket, then you have a choice. You might reason that by car you could go to work whenever you want, but that you might not always find a place to park. But you also know that that bus timetable is probably going to be thinned out,, but just not by how much.
However, according to your argument, Zach, Scotland should definitely go on taking the bus, even though six months from now it might be very difficult getting to and from work.

[crossposted]

[ 02. December 2013, 14:49: Message edited by: Molopata The Rebel ]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Then go on putting your pounds on the roulette table, and I'll keep mine.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
The UK isn't remaining static, though. There appears to be a general movement to the right. It's not clear whether UKIP might become a serious political party. The Labour party in England is to the right of the Labour party in Scotland, so a Labour-voting Scot will never get the party s/he wants, even if Labour are in a majority in Westminster.

Voting no is to gamble that Westminster won't move further to the right, that the proposed 2017 referendum won't take the UK out of the EU etc etc.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
As I said, my dollar might be subject to inflation or deflation, but I'd still rather keep it than to give it up in hopes of two potential dollars.

Though all that changes if the odds of catastrophic inflation are truly high. Then the pro-independence crowd only has to make the case. It hasn't, but it could.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
The UK isn't remaining static, though. There appears to be a general movement to the right. It's not clear whether UKIP might become a serious political party. The Labour party in England is to the right of the Labour party in Scotland, so a Labour-voting Scot will never get the party s/he wants, even if Labour are in a majority in Westminster.

Voting no is to gamble that Westminster won't move further to the right, that the proposed 2017 referendum won't take the UK out of the EU etc etc.

Yes, this is the argument which I find powerful, although not a Scot. Aren't many Scots tired of being ruled by right-wing politicians, e.g. Blair, Cameron?

I think it can be rebutted by pointing out that there may well be a right-wing shift in Scotland, once the honeymoon is over, as it will be.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Then go on putting your pounds on the roulette table, and I'll keep mine.

Try it. You might find that someone has swiped them out of your back pocket.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Try it. You might find that someone has swiped them out of your back pocket.
Ah, we're back to "those thieving English devils" again. And you wonder why I doubt this divorce will necessarily be amicable. [Roll Eyes]

[ 02. December 2013, 15:30: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
Actually no, we're back to Bible basics. Read Matthew 25:14-30 to find out what happens to people who hoard their cash.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
Actually no, we're back to Bible basics. Read Matthew 25:14-30 to find out what happens to people who hoard their cash.

Now you think the bible recommends independence?
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
[Confused] Maybe you should take more than 5 minutes to read the text thoughtfully and work out what it is saying.

Depending on your translation, the servant's master doesn't necessarily come out with a thick posh English accent.

[ 02. December 2013, 16:06: Message edited by: Molopata The Rebel ]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Not at all—thank you for this new insight into the thinking behind a pro-independence vote.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Aren't many Scots tired of being ruled by right-wing politicians, e.g. Blair, Cameron?

I think it can be rebutted by pointing out that there may well be a right-wing shift in Scotland, once the honeymoon is over, as it will be.

Well, if that happens then it will be a right-wing shift chosen by the voters in Scotland, rather than one chosen by voters in London and the Home Counties.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Aren't many Scots tired of being ruled by right-wing politicians, e.g. Blair, Cameron?

I think it can be rebutted by pointing out that there may well be a right-wing shift in Scotland, once the honeymoon is over, as it will be.

Well, if that happens then it will be a right-wing shift chosen by the voters in Scotland, rather than one chosen by voters in London and the Home Counties.
Scotland already has full democratic representation in its government.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
Anyhow, moving on ...
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Originally posted by quetzacoatl:
quote:
I think it can be rebutted by pointing out that there may well be a right-wing shift in Scotland, once the honeymoon is over, as it will be.

I would envisage a resurgence of the Scottish Conservative party, once it's decoupled from Cameron etc. We have some well-respected Tory politicians - Annabel Goldie was one example - but the party suffers badly from being part of the Westminster Tories.

Though I can't imagine wanting to vote for them, healthy opposition can only be a good thing, and I'd be interested to see how a Scottish Tory party led by Ruth Davidson fares.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Scotland already has full democratic representation in its government.

Well, that's the question isn't it?

Scotland has it's own government with limited powers, and some of the powers deemed necessary for government (by those advocating independence at least) are reserved to Westminister - imigration etc. Is government with limited powers "full democratic representation"?

Scotland is currently part of the UK, and as such elects representatives to the Parliament in Westminster. But, those representatives are a small minority of MPs. And, they are largely politically distinctly to the left of the majority of MPs and so don't fall naturally into any form of coalition for government. Is a parliament domninate by interests other than your own, and often at odds with your own interests, "full democratic representation"?

Of course, those advocating a yes vote for independence would answer "no" to the above questions, we don't currently have "full democratic representation". Those advocating a no vote would answer "yes" and state that we do have "full democratic representation".
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Actually I could add that I'm not sure anywhere in the UK has "full democratic representation". The country is too large and diverse for a single government to actually represent the population fully. Personally, I would be in favour of significantly increased government at a regional or local scale (through increasing powers to existing local authorities and/or creation of regional assemblies/Parliaments) coupled with a reduction in central government. But, that option isn't on the table either.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Scotland already has full democratic representation in its government.

That's the thing, isn't it. Yes, Scotland has full representation in Westminster - but because it is so small in terms of relative population that representation isn't significant enough for the needs or wants of the Scottish people to actually have any meaningful effect on the way they are governed. England can outvote it on every measure.

What the Scots want is the ability for their values and principles to be the ones by which they are governed, rather than the ones that a tiny minority party tries (and usually fails) to make heard over the values and principles of their much larger neighbour. And I heartily support them in that desire - after all, it would be hypocritical in the extreme for me to do otherwise given that I use exactly the same argument in threads about the EU.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
It's fully reresented insofar as "fully represented" doesn't mean "always gets exactly the government it wants." It has just as much say in the government as the equivalent number of people in England or Wales. That's what democracy is—a group of people votes and resolves to live with the consequences of the vote. The losing side isn't disenfranchised—it just lost.

We have our own crowd of people in the United States who cry disenfranchisement every time they don't get the president they want. "That's not MY president!" Fortunately we don't generally take such voices seriously.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
But, in the US you also have regional government (the States) which have significant power. And, as I understand it, even at local level government for cities and counties have more power than equivalent levels of government in the UK.

We're talking about different systems.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Be careful what you wish for. Too much protection of minority voices from less populous states has caused paralysis in the US government again and again throughout history—the present difficulties aren't even the beginning of it.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
But in an independent Scotland, the people who live in Scotland wouldn't be "minority voices"
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Aren't many Scots tired of being ruled by right-wing politicians, e.g. Blair, Cameron?

I think it can be rebutted by pointing out that there may well be a right-wing shift in Scotland, once the honeymoon is over, as it will be.

Well, if that happens then it will be a right-wing shift chosen by the voters in Scotland, rather than one chosen by voters in London and the Home Counties.
Now you used to hear that in Ireland - they're bastards, but they're our bastards!
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
We have our own crowd of people in the United States who cry disenfranchisement every time they don't get the president they want. "That's not MY president!" Fortunately we don't generally take such voices seriously.

That sounds to me like an argument for splitting up the USA. If the Red States consistently vote for one form of government and the Blue States consistently vote for another, then under the current system they each only get the government they want about half the time and spend the other half unhappy. If instead they were two separate countries they could both have the government they want, and everyone would be happy all the time!
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
But in an independent Scotland, the people who live in Scotland wouldn't be "minority voices"

And in that potential government, opposition voters won't be any more disenfranchised than the Scottish vote in the UK is.

Well, one expects anyway.

As I've already said, I completely understand that independence could likely get some Scottish people something they want. I just haven't seen a case that the more credible rewards would be worth the credible risks. I mean, I wouldn't vote for Massachusetts independence just because the state would be free to grant more tourist visas or because the Bible commands it.

With the usual disclaimer, of course, that Scottish people could decide otherwise. The wisdom of taking the risk is up to Scots, but the risk itself is open to examination.
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Marvin the Martian: That sounds to me like an argument for splitting up the USA.
Like this?
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
We have our own crowd of people in the United States who cry disenfranchisement every time they don't get the president they want. "That's not MY president!" Fortunately we don't generally take such voices seriously.

That sounds to me like an argument for splitting up the USA. If the Red States consistently vote for one form of government and the Blue States consistently vote for another, then under the current system they each only get the government they want about half the time and spend the other half unhappy. If instead they were two separate countries they could both have the government they want, and everyone would be happy all the time!
I dunno. Putting regional concerns over the concerns of the common will just sounds undemocratic to me. Indeed, the one sided party identification of American voting districts is caused by profoundly undemocratic processes.

Since I live in a blue state, but come from a red state, I would almost certainly return home in such a division. It would greatly reduce my job prospects and put me in a country that doesn't at all match my political preferences, but I would rather not have an international border between me and my family. Getting the exactly the government I want is not my primary concern in life.

The serenity with which Scots discuss drawing an international boundary through their country, right between them and their friends and families, is quite astounding to me. It seems to me that they can have such serenity by unrealistically diminishing the consequences of such an action.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
My little joke about Ireland above, has reminded me of another argument about Scottish independence, which I heard recently. If Ireland can do it, why not Scotland?

Of course, Ireland and Scotland are very different; none the less, some of the arguments might be the same.

I think there were many arguments against Irish independence, for example, that it was a very small and agrarian country, and possibly some of those arguments on the economic side, were cogent. But against that, Irish nationalism was irresistible.

I don't think Scottish nationalism is as irresistible, but I think its time has come, or it will come ere long. And if not now, when?
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
My little joke about Ireland above, has reminded me of another argument about Scottish independence, which I heard recently. If Ireland can do it, why not Scotland?

Of course, Ireland and Scotland are very different; none the less, some of the arguments might be the same.

I think there were many arguments against Irish independence, for example, that it was a very small and agrarian country, and possibly some of those arguments on the economic side, were cogent. But against that, Irish nationalism was irresistible.

I don't think Scottish nationalism is as irresistible, but I think its time has come, or it will come ere long. And if not now, when?

This argument keeps coming up: "Scotland can be independent, therefore it has to declare independence."
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
No, I think it's more like, Scotland wants to be independent. Well, maybe it doesn't.

In the case of Ireland, there was quite a lot of ambivalence I think - they say that the 1916 rebels were initially booed in the streets, but opinion changed of course.
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
That sounds to me like an argument for splitting up the USA. If the Red States consistently vote for one form of government and the Blue States consistently vote for another, then under the current system they each only get the government they want about half the time and spend the other half unhappy. If instead they were two separate countries they could both have the government they want, and everyone would be happy all the time!

Except that both "Red" and "Blue" states are in reality pretty purple.

Oh, and if it happened, one would see that after several years, either Blue SA or Red SA would be doing noticeably better than its counterpart, and the people with the losing shade of politics would have many arguments as to why this wasn't a fair comparison, and why their shade of politics is in fact better for the country despite the evidence of the opposing shade of country.

This would be true whether Red SA or Blue SA was the country that outperformed.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
No, I think it's more like, Scotland wants to be independent. Well, maybe it doesn't.

In the case of Ireland, there was quite a lot of ambivalence I think - they say that the 1916 rebels were initially booed in the streets, but opinion changed of course.

I really can't reconcile this with what you said or current events. We don't know that Scotland wants independence because they haven't voted yet. Where are you getting this sense of inevitability you express in your previous post?
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
No, I think it's more like, Scotland wants to be independent. Well, maybe it doesn't.

In the case of Ireland, there was quite a lot of ambivalence I think - they say that the 1916 rebels were initially booed in the streets, but opinion changed of course.

I really can't reconcile this with what you said or current events. We don't know that Scotland wants independence because they haven't voted yet. Where are you getting this sense of inevitability you express in your previous post?
Partly through thinking about Ireland, where there were many objections to independence. But once the movement had been set in motion, and of course, aided by the usual English blustering and idiocy, it became a tide.

But Scottish nationalism is not as fervent as Irish, possibly this time it will fail. It's like unwinding history, isn't it? What England has brought together, will be parted asunder.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Independence wasn't inevitable in Ireland and it isn't inevitable in Scotland. I simply reject your argument that Scotland has to be independent just because it's voting for independence.

As for "English blustering and idiocy" towards Scotland, do take your nationalist caricatures with a grain of salt.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
No, the idiocy was towards Ireland.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
We're talking about Scotland.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
We're talking about Scotland.

Yes, and I drew an analogy with Ireland, where nationalism was perhaps lukewarm to begin with, but then was considerably heated up by English idiocy and brutality.

Of course, it's quite different in Scotland, and Cameron is probably not going to send the Black and Tans; then again, perhaps some Scots want to be separate from the big bug down south.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
Hey, what if we just make a one big single world government under the UN? Then nobody gets to be independent. No risk and no fun. That would be fair. What do you say, Zack, eh?
 
Posted by mark_in_manchester (# 15978) on :
 
In the Irish situation, the public were pretty ambivalent to the situation up until the leaders of the 1916 Easter Rising were shot at Kilmainham Goal .

So Alex Salmond knows what he needs to do to really get public opinion behind him [Big Grin]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mark_in_manchester:
In the Irish situation, the public were pretty ambivalent to the situation up until the leaders of the 1916 Easter Rising were shot at Kilmainham Goal .

So Alex Salmond knows what he needs to do to really get public opinion behind him [Big Grin]

Yes, I had a vision of Salmond in Glasgow Post Office, manning the barricades, with brave Scots girls running backwards and forwards with messages, and English snipers outside pinging their shots on the crenellated stonework. Does it have crenellated stonework? It bloody well should do.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
Hey, what if we just make a one big single world government under the UN? Then nobody gets to be independent. No risk and no fun. That would be fair. What do you say, Zack, eh?

I have argued that a basically acceptable status quo is preferable to big changes with dubious returns. The morality of national boundaries in of themselves is of no interest to me whatsoever.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I have argued that a basically acceptable status quo is preferable to big changes with dubious returns.

Well, if that attitude ran deep, humanity would still not have come down from the trees.

[ 02. December 2013, 18:38: Message edited by: Molopata The Rebel ]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Well, an acceptable status quo tends to remain the status quo. But perhaps in Scotland more and more people are dissatisfied with it - see the SNP majority in the last election, and the virtual disappearance of the Tories in terms of MPs, and considerable dissatisfaction with Labour. Something is afoot.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Sorry, 'virtual disappearance of Tories' is incorrect. 15 MPs, I think.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I have argued that a basically acceptable status quo is preferable to big changes with dubious returns.

Well, if that attitude ran deep, humanity would still not have come down from the trees.
If you think independence is the next grand step of humankind, mandated by the Holy Scriptures, then go for it. Though such thinking only confirms in my mind that pro-independence expectations are more messianic that realistic.
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, an acceptable status quo tends to remain the status quo. But perhaps in Scotland more and more people are dissatisfied with it - see the SNP majority in the last election, and the virtual disappearance of the Tories in terms of MPs, and considerable dissatisfaction with Labour. Something is afoot.

I believe democracy is the best form of government, but that doesn't mean I think democracies always act wisely or with reasonable motivations. The majority of Scots might very well think that independence will get them what they want, but I just don't see it.

[ 02. December 2013, 18:50: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Zach82: I believe democracy is the best form of government, but that doesn't mean I think democracies always act wisely or with reasonable motivations. The majority of Scots might very well think that independence will get them what they want, but I just don't see it.
But doesn't democratical decision sometimes also mean willingness to take the risk and face the consequences together?
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by LeRoc:
quote:
Zach82: I believe democracy is the best form of government, but that doesn't mean I think democracies always act wisely or with reasonable motivations. The majority of Scots might very well think that independence will get them what they want, but I just don't see it.
But doesn't democratical decision sometimes also mean willingness to take the risk and face the consequences together?
Sure. That's why I think voting for independence so that Scottish leftists are more likely to get the government they want is inherently undemocratic. Which hasn't, mind, really been the central part of my feelings on the matter.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Sorry, 'virtual disappearance of Tories' is incorrect. 15 MPs, I think.

One Scottish Tory MP at Westminster (leading to the oft-repeated statistic that Scotland has more pandas than Tory MPS) There are 15 Tory MSPs at Holyrood, through proportional representation. I don't know offhand how many Tory MSPs there would be under a first-past-the-post system.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Sorry, 'virtual disappearance of Tories' is incorrect. 15 MPs, I think.

You think wrong. They have 1 MP in Scotland. They have a few more MSPs, largely due to the regional lists.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
The voting system in Scotland also means that we have two Green MSPs, whereas Westminster has only one.

The current three main Conservative MSPs, Ruth Davidson, Murdo Fraser and Jackson Carlaw are all "list" MSPs, i.e. not elected under the first-past-the-post part of the vote.

[ 02. December 2013, 19:13: Message edited by: North East Quine ]
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
If you think independence is the next grand step of humankind, mandated by the Holy Scriptures, then go for it. Though such thinking only confirms in my mind that pro-independence expectations are more messianic that realistic.

And your mind appears from what you state to work in weird and wonderful ways! The scriptural quote was in support of the argument that risks must be taken in life and to avoid them is to loose what you have. To somehow establish a singularity between that argument and the case Scottish independence, let alone a postulation of divine providence, suggests that you have become quite carried away. [Votive]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
If you think independence is the next grand step of humankind, mandated by the Holy Scriptures, then go for it. Though such thinking only confirms in my mind that pro-independence expectations are more messianic that realistic.

And your mind appears from what you state to work in weird and wonderful ways! The scriptural quote was in support of the argument that risks must be taken in life and to avoid them is to loose what you have. To somehow establish a singularity between that argument and the case Scottish independence, let alone a postulation of divine providence, suggests that you have become quite carried away. [Votive]
You brought it up. Was it too much to assume that you weren't being irrelevant?
 
Posted by Wulfstan (# 558) on :
 
Louise, the problem with all the political analysis you've linked to is that they insist on isolating the elections from everything else, as if, for example the loss of the '64 election would have had absolutely no lasting effect on anything. This is an absurd assertion. How Wilson's leadership of the party would have been affected is an unanswerable question, but to say it would have had no effect at all is absurd. Ditto the elections in the 70s. You seem to suggest you can answer them though, so how about you flesh out some details? And why were the good bits of legislation in the 60s inevitable then but endless Tory austerity is inevitable now?
It seems however that it has to be asserted in order to justify the sense of victimhood that is central to the SNP's case: that Scotland has been the victim of governments chosen by England, which is rubbish. For most of the last century there were plenty of Scots Tories, or rather "unionists" as they were for most of that time. Scots votes were key to Labour victories in the 60s and 70s because the results were close. That was also why there was a referendum in the late 70s: because the Callaghan govt was weak and needed to cut deals. In '79 the number of Scots Tory MPs went up, and it was only in the 80s there was a shift leftward. It wasn't until '97 that the Tories were ousted completely: in tune with the collapse of their support elsewhere. And of course Scots were key to the whole New Labour project: occupying the treasury and the Attorney general's office, as well as the F.O. at one point, with their MPs being key in their support for tuition fees. While you and I may have been unhappy, loads of Scots kept voting New Labour, when they had more alternatives than in England.
In comparison places like the North-East which really has always been left have tended to be far less well represented in government.
To say however that Scotland hasn't significantly affected British politics is a denial of history.
As for what you're voting for, the problem is, you just don't know. It's not a plan it's a principle: that Scotland should be an independent country. What form that will take hasn't been thrashed out yet so it's inevitably more of a shot in the dark.
Salmond has made clear he wants the pound and the BofE as lender of last resort. What price will he want/need to pay to get it we don't know: neither does he. We don't know if an agreement is actually possible. Ditto NATO membership, only more so. Ditto the EU. All these things are without precedent. To say one side or the other will have to accept something is absurd: neither side has to accept anything if they don't want to, but what then?
Now if you're really saying you don't give a stuff what Scotland has to go through so long as it has a chance to develop its own identity as a nation, I guess that's unanswerable, except to ask why now, when Scotland has more devolved power than in 1978 when it had none? But if you're backing it on the assumption of a particular political outlook being dominant and successful i.e. a left one, that just seems naive.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
If the Italian government is able to organise fair elections for the representation of the Italian diaspora, it should be a piece of cake for the more competent administrators of Scotland.

Untrue. Because the Italian diaspora are identified via Italian citizenship. There is no such thing as 'Scottish citizenship' currently by which to perform an equivalent action.
That is correct, but the SNP have outlined a set of well-defined criteria for who can become a citizen of post-secession Scotland. Surely it would make sense to open up the referendum to the whole of that group which the SNP calls citizens of Scotland?
 
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on :
 
hostly reminder/

Commandment 4 saith
quote:
If you must get personal, take it to Hell
If you get into a personality conflict with other shipmates, you have two simple choices: end the argument or take it to Hell.

There is plenty to discuss here without falling foul of this or any other board guideline or commandment.

Irrespective of your views on Scottish Independence, by posting on this thread you are voting YES to abiding by the Ship's Ten Commandments. If you wish to vote NO, take your disagreement to Hell. Thank you.

/hostly reminder
 
Posted by Palimpsest (# 16772) on :
 
As an outsider, it's hard to imagine British politics without bright young men from Scotland coming down to London to tell the British how they are doing everything wrong. [Smile]

I Has there been any European Union reaction to the Scottish Independence movement? Does it echo in the other European regional independence movements? Does this seem like an attempt to double representation of the UK? Or is it the policy ignore internal national struggles lest your own be discussed?
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
If the Italian government is able to organise fair elections for the representation of the Italian diaspora, it should be a piece of cake for the more competent administrators of Scotland.

Untrue. Because the Italian diaspora are identified via Italian citizenship. There is no such thing as 'Scottish citizenship' currently by which to perform an equivalent action.
That is correct, but the SNP have outlined a set of well-defined criteria for who can become a citizen of post-secession Scotland. Surely it would make sense to open up the referendum to the whole of that group which the SNP calls citizens of Scotland?
I knew you'd say that. Which is why I've prepared my response already: [Big Grin]

There is a fundamental difference between being a citizen, and being eligible to apply for citizenship when the time comes. Unless the SNP is going to make all those people citizens post-independence, whether they want to be citizens or not, then the two lists are not equivalent.

It should be noted that some countries do basically co-opt people into citizenship automatically without consulting the people concerned. Actually, it happens to almost all of us upon our birth... but apart from that, such situations are not especially common.
 
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on :
 
quote:
...it's hard to imagine British politics without bright young men from Scotland coming down to London to tell the British how they are doing everything wrong.
Hey, I hadn't thought of that!

Can I change my mind? If Scottish independence meant getting Michael Gove out of Westminster I would be all for it!
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
I think you'll find that Michael Gove is a product of the English higher education system. Says it all, really.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-25198792
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Michael Gove went to a state primary in Aberdeen and then won a bursary to fee-paying Robert Gordon's School in Aberdeen, before going to Oxford.

I'd love to know which primary school he went to. That appears to be a closely guarded secret.

[ 03. December 2013, 13:03: Message edited by: North East Quine ]
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
Yes, but he was a product of English higher education, as per my last post. Oxford 1985 to 1988, President of the Oxford Union.Says it all.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Yes, but he was a product of English higher education, as per my last post. Oxford 1985 to 1988, President of the Oxford Union.Says it all.

It does indeed. If only all Education Secretaries could be like Michael Gove.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
I'm just curious as to his primary school. Someone told me it was kept quiet because he went to a "really rough" primary and then said they thought it might have been my kids' first primary. So I'm intrigued as to whether Gove started out at the same school as them, and unimpressed if it's regarded as "really rough."
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
Judging by the poor standards in English education, Gove is doing a pretty poor job. Thankfully, Scottish education is a devolved matter so he can't do harm to our much better system.
 
Posted by Yam-pk (# 12791) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:
Thankfully, Scottish education is a devolved matter so he can't do harm to our much better system.

Why can't you take pride in what is yours without showing the pathetic insecurity of such shortbread "nationalism", which likes to pretend a sense of superiority over the English in such matters.
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
I'm English but have taught in both systems in the last 5 years. I would not return to teaching in England.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
Neither the English nor the Scottish education system is particularly good on international measures, insofar as they can be relied upon.

Except in HE, where Gove's alma mater does rather better than anywhere in Scotland
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
Surely it would make sense to open up the referendum to the whole of that group which the SNP calls citizens of Scotland?

It makes no sense from the Yes point of view to do this. I agree with the point made earlier that non-Scots resident in Scotland are more likely to vote Yes than Scots resident outside Scotland.

There is no advantage to the Yes camp in linking their campaign to ethnic nationalism, because they get all its advantages, without being able to be accused pandering to them. Good grief, it is only because an independent Scotland would be an old-fashioned nation-state that this debate is happening at all. It is one of the most monocultural regions of the UK. The "people of Scotland" overwhelmingly, in effect, means ethnic Scots.

Pardon me my cynicism on this one.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The "people of Scotland" overwhelmingly, in effect, means ethnic Scots.

I think you'll find the 2011 census disagreeing with you. On ethnicity (and other stuff) 17% of the population of Scotland were born outside Scotland, 7% of the population born outside the UK. And, of course, many of those born in Scotland would be born of parents who were themselves born outside Scotland. Those numbers would have increased since then.

And, there is considerable cultural diversity even within those who were born in Scotland with parents and grandparents born in Scotland. Just as there would be if I replace "Scotland" with "England" (or, indeed practically any other country). There is more to Scottish culture than tartan, bag pipes and tossing the caber.
 
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on :
 
Tell me, at least, that the defining characteristic is not [Projectile] haggis.
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Surely it would make sense to open up the referendum to the whole of that group which the SNP calls citizens of Scotland?

It makes no sense from the Yes point of view to do this. I agree with the point made earlier that non-Scots resident in Scotland are more likely to vote Yes than Scots resident outside Scotland.

There is no advantage to the Yes camp in linking their campaign to ethnic nationalism, because they get all its advantages, without being able to be accused pandering to them. Good grief, it is only because an independent Scotland would be an old-fashioned nation-state that this debate is happening at all. It is one of the most monocultural regions of the UK. The "people of Scotland" overwhelmingly, in effect, means ethnic Scots.

Pardon me my cynicism on this one.

I consider myself Scottish. I live in Scotland and will be voting for independence in September 2014.

I was born and educated in England (Essex) and am of mixed race (white/ Asian). I love living in Scotland and enjoying all the advantages she offers. It is a far more open and equal society than England and, generally, a far happier place. Yes, there are problems but we are working to overcome these.

Please feel free to express cynicism but preferably only if you have lived and worked in Scotland, and experienced the quality of life offered here.

[please feel free to practice your UBB code]

[ 03. December 2013, 19:59: Message edited by: Eutychus ]
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
Tell me, at least, that the defining characteristic is not [Projectile] haggis.

If it is, I'm in on the grounds of a single visit in 2000. I found it delicious. Mind you, I did try a version in a high class restaurant.
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
Tell me, at least, that the defining characteristic is not [Projectile] haggis.

If you're not keen on a whole plateful of haggis, something like a haggis and mozzarella panini, or chicken breast stuffed with haggis, in a whisky cream sauce, might convince you that haggis is, in fact, delicious.

I wouldn't recommend haggis pizza, though.
 
Posted by Francophile (# 17838) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by North East Quine:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
Tell me, at least, that the defining characteristic is not [Projectile] haggis.

If you're not keen on a whole plateful of haggis, something like a haggis and mozzarella panini, or chicken breast stuffed with haggis, in a whisky cream sauce, might convince you that haggis is, in fact, delicious.

I wouldn't recommend haggis pizza, though.

A fried haggis and chip supper is delicious
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I prefer living in Massachusetts to living in Southern California, but that doesn't lead me to conclude that they must obviously be made separate countries.

I am sure the Canadians will be able to explain how well independence prevents cultural influence seeping north from a larger, wealthier country. Whatever differences a mind can cook up between the Scottish and the English that is.
 
Posted by Vulpior (# 12744) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
Tell me, at least, that the defining characteristic is not [Projectile] haggis.

If it is, I'm in on the grounds of a single visit in 2000. I found it delicious. Mind you, I did try a version in a high class restaurant.
[Tangent] Come out to ours next time we have it. I managed to catch(!) the last available haggis in the city on Friday for our St Andrew's Day meal.[/Tangent]
 
Posted by Yam-pk (# 12791) on :
 
So, basically, the arguments for independence consist of the grievances felt by all regions of the UK, coupled with the positive aspects of much of rest of the UK. But of course as Scotland is a nation, these attributes can be dressed up as this sort of romantic holier-than-thou-Scotland-is-a-more equal-fluffier-and-happier-country-than-England cods-wallop...

Move on people there's nothing see here...

[ 03. December 2013, 21:39: Message edited by: Yam-pk ]
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yam-pk:
So, basically, the arguments for independence consist of the grievances felt by all regions of the UK, coupled with the positive aspects of much of rest of the UK. But of course as Scotland is a nation, these attributes can be dressed up as this sort of romantic holier-than-thou-Scotland-is-a-more equal-fluffier-and-happier-country-than-England cods-wallop...

Move on people there's nothing see here...

So you're full-square behind total European integration then?
 
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I prefer living in Massachusetts to living in Southern California, but that doesn't lead me to conclude that they must obviously be made separate countries.

I am sure the Canadians will be able to explain how well independence prevents cultural influence seeping north from a larger, wealthier country. Whatever differences a mind can cook up between the Scottish and the English that is.

And yet national borders exist. At what point are they justified? Language? But in that case, large parts of both north and South America should run together rather more than they do. History? Borders come and go all the time. Quite a few of the current ones do not reflect the wishes of those living either side of them - hence any number of current wars, insurrections and more or less violent efforts at secession.

How do you come to be the arbiter of nationhood? Jimmy.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Yam-pk:
So, basically, the arguments for independence consist of the grievances felt by all regions of the UK, coupled with the positive aspects of much of rest of the UK. But of course as Scotland is a nation, these attributes can be dressed up as this sort of romantic holier-than-thou-Scotland-is-a-more equal-fluffier-and-happier-country-than-England cods-wallop...

Move on people there's nothing see here...

So you're full-square behind total European integration then?
This absurd argument comes up again and again.

The end of the pro-union argument isn't European integration any more than the end of the pro-independence argument is division of Scotland into 5.3 million completely personalized countries.

[ 03. December 2013, 22:39: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
I prefer living in Massachusetts to living in Southern California, but that doesn't lead me to conclude that they must obviously be made separate countries.

I am sure the Canadians will be able to explain how well independence prevents cultural influence seeping north from a larger, wealthier country. Whatever differences a mind can cook up between the Scottish and the English that is.

And yet national borders exist. At what point are they justified? Language? But in that case, large parts of both north and South America should run together rather more than they do. History? Borders come and go all the time. Quite a few of the current ones do not reflect the wishes of those living either side of them - hence any number of current wars, insurrections and more or less violent efforts at secession.

How do you come to be the arbiter of nationhood? Jimmy.

As I said upthread, I really don't care about the question of the morality of national borders. I am only interested in whether the risks of independence are worth the credible rewards.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Yam-pk:
So, basically, the arguments for independence consist of the grievances felt by all regions of the UK, coupled with the positive aspects of much of rest of the UK. But of course as Scotland is a nation, these attributes can be dressed up as this sort of romantic holier-than-thou-Scotland-is-a-more equal-fluffier-and-happier-country-than-England cods-wallop...

Move on people there's nothing see here...

Come on, you Scottish workers for the yes vote, you could use this post. Just put it up in prominent places; just as football managers put up stuff in the dressing room criticizing the team.
 
Posted by Yam-pk (# 12791) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
quote:
Originally posted by Yam-pk:
So, basically, the arguments for independence consist of the grievances felt by all regions of the UK, coupled with the positive aspects of much of rest of the UK. But of course as Scotland is a nation, these attributes can be dressed up as this sort of romantic holier-than-thou-Scotland-is-a-more equal-fluffier-and-happier-country-than-England cods-wallop...

Move on people there's nothing see here...

Come on, you Scottish workers for the yes vote, you could use this post. Just put it up in prominent places; just as football managers put up stuff in the dressing room criticizing the team.
[Killing me] [brick wall]
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
So you're full-square behind total European integration then?

This absurd argument comes up again and again.

The end of the pro-union argument isn't European integration any more than the end of the pro-independence argument is division of Scotland into 5.3 million completely personalized countries.

And yet the reason it keeps on coming up is that it cuts the ground away under your feet. You want the Scots to be run from Westminster, but you'll be damned if the UK is run from Brussels.

They're the same argument: what's sauce for the EU goose is sauce for the Unionist gander.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
I don't accept that. I feel like I'm a British citizen, with instinctive loyalties and solidarity with other Britons. I don't feel like I'm a European citizen. Certainly not in any political sense.

You might not agree with that position, but there's no inherent contradiction.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
So you're full-square behind total European integration then?

This absurd argument comes up again and again.

The end of the pro-union argument isn't European integration any more than the end of the pro-independence argument is division of Scotland into 5.3 million completely personalized countries.

And yet the reason it keeps on coming up is that it cuts the ground away under your feet. You want the Scots to be run from Westminster, but you'll be damned if the UK is run from Brussels.

They're the same argument: what's sauce for the EU goose is sauce for the Unionist gander.

No, it doesn't. Because of that argument you just ignored.

Furthermore, I would be all for European integration if it had clear benefits. I don't see any inherent value to independence. I value democracy and making a living.

[ 03. December 2013, 23:31: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Hampstonian (# 17912) on :
 
When I have been to SNP/Yes Scotland meetings (listening in as a non-Scot), one issue that did come up a fair deal was the extent to which the City of London (the Square Mile) was alleged to run the rest of the country in quite a colonialist-hegemonic way.

Even within Greater London, the City has a colonialist force over poorer London boroughs, never mind its economic dominance over the regions of England.

It was discussed that part of the message coming out of the demand among a significant number of people for Scottish independence, arose from this sense of economic hegemony of a monied political elite - though maybe not clearly articulated as such.

I don't know, and would be interested to hear the views of others on this thread.

I certainly got the sense that the Yes Scotland campaign had a vision to build a kind of society based on egalitarian values - whether that would be build of viable nation state may be open for discussion. There does though seem to be an element of economic protest informing this question.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
Zach (and others), it's not an absurd argument in either direction because there simply isn't any SPECIFIC level of integration that can be pointed at, on an objective basis, to say "that ought to be a country", or "that is too large to be a country", or "that is too small to be a country".

If the human race should start colonising other planets, one can well imagine a whole variety of governance arrangements springing up from multiple countries on a single planet to a single country on multiple planets. There's nothing to preclude either.

All of the indicators of being a country are descriptors, mostly having to do with independent governance that isn't answerable to a higher level of governance. But none of those indicators are in any way normative.

The only meaningful test of whether something 'should' be a country or not is whether the present arrangements are working. If Massachusetts and California and whatever state is most non-Massachusetts are all coping just fine with present arrangements, then fine, don't change them. If there's a problem, then fine, look at fixing it.

The very essence of a desire for Scottish independence is a sense that present arrangements aren't working satisfactorily. There's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent Scotland, in the same way that there's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent United Kingdom, an independent Vatican City or an independent Flanders.

[ 04. December 2013, 01:37: Message edited by: orfeo ]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Zach (and others), it's not an absurd argument in either direction because there simply isn't any SPECIFIC level of integration that can be pointed at, on an objective basis, to say "that ought to be a country", or "that is too large to be a country", or "that is too small to be a country".
I actually agree, and have clearly said that neither complete European integration or division of countries are necessarily bad.

What's absurd is the argument that support for British unity or rejection of nationalism obliges one to support complete European integration. This is simply false.

quote:
The only meaningful test of whether something 'should' be a country or not is whether the present arrangements are working. If Massachusetts and California and whatever state is most non-Massachusetts are all coping just fine with present arrangements, then fine, don't change them. If there's a problem, then fine, look at fixing it.
You are agreeing with me, but writing like we disagree. [Confused]

quote:
The very essence of a desire for Scottish independence is a sense that present arrangements aren't working satisfactorily. There's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent Scotland, in the same way that there's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent United Kingdom, an independent Vatican City or an independent Flanders.
Where did you get the idea what I thought Scottish independence was wrong?

What I've said, again and again and again, is that, all things considered, Scotland is doing well enough as part of the Union, and no credible promise from the pro-independence crowd seems worth the risk to the status quo.

Of course, that's only a statement of my values. People here seem to feel that independence has a value of its own, because Scotland is so different and oppressed by England. They are free to vote accordingly, but I'm free to think that's a pile of nationalist claptrap and to say so.

[ 04. December 2013, 01:55: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The "people of Scotland" overwhelmingly, in effect, means ethnic Scots.

I think you'll find the 2011 census disagreeing with you.
I think you'll find the Scottish Government's figures agree with me. 88% of Scottish residents identify as "white Scottish". The referendum will, in substance, be a vote conducted by and for white Scots. If they want independence, independence they shall have.

quote:
Originally posted by Francophile:

Please feel free to express cynicism but preferably only if you have lived and worked in Scotland, and experienced the quality of life offered here.

Thank you for your kind invitation, but I decline. I lived in Scotland for half a decade and am now more happily resident elsewhere.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
What I've said, again and again and again, is that, all things considered, Scotland is doing well enough as part of the Union, and no credible promise from the pro-independence crowd seems worth the risk to the status quo.

With respect, I think the very reason that you've got some people's back up is that it's not really your place to offer an assessment. In the same way that it isn't mine.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
What I've said, again and again and again, is that, all things considered, Scotland is doing well enough as part of the Union, and no credible promise from the pro-independence crowd seems worth the risk to the status quo.

With respect, I think the very reason that you've got some people's back up is that it's not really your place to offer an assessment. In the same way that it isn't mine.
I have said things like "But it's not really up to me" in practically all of my posts in recognition of the fact that I don't get a vote, and that Scottish people don't actually have to prove anything to me.

Non-Americans on these boards offer their opinions on American domestic policies all the time. I think gambling a nation's future for something so paltry as nationalism is folly. That's merely my opinion on this line of Scottish affairs. They can take it or leave it.

[ 04. December 2013, 03:01: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
What I've said, again and again and again, is that, all things considered, Scotland is doing well enough as part of the Union, and no credible promise from the pro-independence crowd seems worth the risk to the status quo.

Yes, this point has come through, so it doesn't need to be repeated yet again and again and again. I respect that. Of course, our mutually cherished governance principle (democracy) does also allow for other views to be expressed, and (shudder) perhaps even prevail. In divergence to your assessment, various arguments have been raised, i.a.

1. Scotland could be doing better than it currently is, either as part of the Union (e.g. Devo-Max) or outwith the Union.
2. The pro-independence crowd actually do offer some promising arguments.
3. The risks involved in moving towards independence are manageable and when balanced against possible gains and losses indeed worth it, at least from a current day perspective.
4. There is no status quo.
5. The benefits of independence extend beyond economic considerations to those of identity (e.g. being a Massachusian is a more salient identity feature than being an American would be comparable to the feelings of many Scots - this would probably sound a little absurd to most north-eastern Americans, but it is a perspective which considerably changes a lot of things, including the evaluation of risks and awards of independence).
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Yes, this point has come through, so it doesn't need to be repeated yet again and again and again. I respect that. Of course, our mutually cherished governance principle (democracy) does also allow for other views to be expressed, and (shudder) perhaps even prevail.
Apparently, I do have to keep repeating it, because people keep asking me to answer for positions I don't believe in.

As for your arguments,
1.This is obvious, but as yet the more credible benefits looks pretty small. You proposed the possibility of Scotland offering more tourist visas. Woo?

2.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Strange, I hit "edit," finished the message, then it wouldn't let me post the edit. Anyway,

quote:
Yes, this point has come through, so it doesn't need to be repeated yet again and again and again. I respect that. Of course, our mutually cherished governance principle (democracy) does also allow for other views to be expressed, and (shudder) perhaps even prevail.
Apparently, I do have to keep repeating it, because people keep asking me to answer for positions I don't believe in.

As for your arguments,
1.This is obvious, but as yet the more credible benefits looks pretty small. You proposed the possibility of Scotland offering more tourist visas. Woo? On the other hand, it could be better off in the Union. Not that you or others will even think about the possibility.

2.So I hear? I haven't seen any that would thrill me.

3.I haven't seen much cognizance of risks at all. It seems beyond question, for example, that Scotland will be admitted to the EU, when that is by no means a given, or even very likely.

4.This simply fails to understand that "status quo" means. Nothing in "status quo" means "it will stay this way forever and ever, amen."

5.Ah, "identity." Another word for nationalism. I still consider "we're just so special and different" a poor basis for making policy decisions. You can, on the other hand, have all the identity you like in the union.

[ 04. December 2013, 04:33: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by North East Quine (# 13049) on :
 
Zach82, have you visited Scotland? Or are you of Scottish descent? You're obviously very interested in Scottish independence, and I'm wondering where you're getting your sense of the zeitgeist from?

I live in a part of Scotland that certainly doesn't feel "oppressed." The oil industry is doing well. We have low unemployment, a good quality of life, good state schools. But much of this is despite, rather than because of, current Government policy. The oil will run out one day, and what then? Independence seems to be more forward-looking than Westminster governance in that respect.

Aberdeen currently has more job vacancies than people to fill them. This is partly because most vacancies are for skilled posts requiring specialised knowledge, and most of the unemployed are unskilled. The oil industry is very mobile, and needs to be able to recruit world-wide. Yet Westminster immigration policies are not helpful in this respect.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Zach82, have you visited Scotland? Or are you of Scottish descent? You're obviously very interested in Scottish independence, and I'm wondering where you're getting your sense of the zeitgeist from?
My lack of connection to this affair has been repeated lots and lots of times.

If you're asking because no one but a Scottish person could possibly understand the case for independence, then I'll chalk up another one in "The folly of nationalism" column.
quote:
I live in a part of Scotland that certainly doesn't feel "oppressed." The oil industry is doing well. We have low unemployment, a good quality of life, good state schools. But much of this is despite, rather than because of, current Government policy. The oil will run out one day, and what then? Independence seems to be more forward-looking than Westminster governance in that respect.
It's forward-looking to cut your nation off from a much larger and wealthier economy when the central part of the Scottish economy is about to be tapped out?

OK. Your choice. I don't get it.
quote:
Aberdeen currently has more job vacancies than people to fill them. This is partly because most vacancies are for skilled posts requiring specialised knowledge, and most of the unemployed are unskilled. The oil industry is very mobile, and needs to be able to recruit world-wide. Yet Westminster immigration policies are not helpful in this respect.
I haven't said there aren't any disadvantages to being part of the Union. There are always tradeoffs. Considering a change in immigration policy can be effected with a mere election or two, I wouldn't think the yoke too heavy in this case.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
The point is that the voters in England are noticeably more anti-immigrant than those in Scotland so "an election or two" won't fix the problem because the voters in England don't give a shit about a problem affecting Scotland. And that is the crux of the issue. When it comes to casting votes, Scotland is about as important to English voters as France is. Scotland needs to make these decisions for itself as there isn't enough shared feeling to allow voters in Scotland to trust in the benevolence of voters in England.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The "people of Scotland" overwhelmingly, in effect, means ethnic Scots.

I think you'll find the 2011 census disagreeing with you.
I think you'll find the Scottish Government's figures agree with me. 88% of Scottish residents identify as "white Scottish".
Your link gives figures for the 2001 census, I'd linked to the 2011 census. Despite ludicrous restrictions on immigration imposed from Westminster there is ongoing net migration to Scotland, so even the 2011 figures will be out of date (but, the most recent available). The corresponding "white Scottish" figure for 2011 is 84% ( Table 2 of this pdf ) - some of whom will be born outside Scotland, of course, so that doesn't necessarily contradict my earlier figures. Certainly, "white Scottish" is the majority, but >15% of the population claiming alternative ethnicity is a substantial figure. I don't have time to find the comparable figures for the rest of the UK, but my gut feeling is that outside London, 15-20% "non-indigenous" (ie: including people moving into the area from other parts of the UK) is probably fairly typical.

Certainly, the claim from the Scottish Government/YES campaign that we live in a multicultural society is well founded. Not just in the numbers from the census. Also from experience, travel around large towns in Scotland and you will see a wide range of ethnic restaurants, often stores catering to particular ethnic groups. Listen to the people on the street and there will be a large range of accents and languages (even after excluding the tourists).
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
And yet the reason it keeps on coming up is that it cuts the ground away under your feet. You want the Scots to be run from Westminster, but you'll be damned if the UK is run from Brussels.

They're the same argument: what's sauce for the EU goose is sauce for the Unionist gander.

No, it doesn't. Because of that argument you just ignored.

Furthermore, I would be all for European integration if it had clear benefits. I don't see any inherent value to independence. I value democracy and making a living.

No, it is the same argument: an absurdist reductionist counter isn't a valid counter.

Which of the current powers reserved by Westminster wouldn't be better served by transferring them to either Holyrood or Brussels? I can think of only one off the top of my head, and that's transnational infrastructure.

For sure, I can think of several that might be best served for further devolution within Scotland to a regional or local level, but none which require an exact UK-sized authority.

The exact same argument applies to the UK as a whole. It's simply the wrong size and too lop-sided to make effective decisions for the whole.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
So you're full-square behind total European integration then?

This absurd argument comes up again and again.

The end of the pro-union argument isn't European integration any more than the end of the pro-independence argument is division of Scotland into 5.3 million completely personalized countries.

And yet the reason it keeps on coming up is that it cuts the ground away under your feet. You want the Scots to be run from Westminster, but you'll be damned if the UK is run from Brussels.

They're the same argument: what's sauce for the EU goose is sauce for the Unionist gander.

quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
I don't accept that. I feel like I'm a British citizen, with instinctive loyalties and solidarity with other Britons. I don't feel like I'm a European citizen. Certainly not in any political sense.

You might not agree with that position, but there's no inherent contradiction.

I think that picks up the main thrust of the comparison with anti-EU instincts in relation to Scottish Independence.

Those who have objections to further European integration, or actively seek the removal of the UK from the EU, raise a set of arguments. They include the one Anglican't used, there are others. A very broad summary (that I recognise doesn't do justice to the arguments) could include:
When it comes to Scotland, the arguments look remarkably similar:

 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
Strange, I hit "edit," finished the message, then it wouldn't let me post the edit. Anyway,

quote:
Yes, this point has come through, so it doesn't need to be repeated yet again and again and again. I respect that. Of course, our mutually cherished governance principle (democracy) does also allow for other views to be expressed, and (shudder) perhaps even prevail.
Apparently, I do have to keep repeating it, because people keep asking me to answer for positions I don't believe in.

As for your arguments,
1.This is obvious, but as yet the more credible benefits looks pretty small. You proposed the possibility of Scotland offering more tourist visas. Woo? On the other hand, it could be better off in the Union. Not that you or others will even think about the possibility.

No, I said Scotland would have the liberty to join the Schengen agreement without consent of WM, if it felt this served its purposes, e.g. for tourism. Please read what was argued. Of course, the argument does not start and stop there as you represent it in this response, it was merely an example.

2.So I hear? I haven't seen any that would thrill me.

Zach, I regret to inform you that your taste is not the measure of all things. The arguments are out there for liking or disliking, and for discussion. They don't pop out existence just because you've decided that you don't want to buy into them.

3.I haven't seen much cognizance of risks at all. It seems beyond question, for example, that Scotland will be admitted to the EU, when that is by no means a given, or even very likely.

What exactly are you saying with this statement? Are you saying that it is virtually impossible that Scotland would be granted admission? If so, I would be curious to your reasoning.

4.This simply fails to understand that "status quo" means. Nothing in "status quo" means "it will stay this way forever and ever, amen."

If I fail to understand the true meaning of "status quo", please do enlighten me. While you're at it, you may also wish to rewrite the entire wikipedia page on the subject.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Status_quo


5.Ah, "identity." Another word for nationalism. I still consider "we're just so special and different" a poor basis for making policy decisions. You can, on the other hand, have all the identity you like in the union.

If you treat "identity" as a synonym of "nationalism", then this may go some way to explaining the one-dimensionality of some of the arguments you have presented here.
Ever heard of religious identity, gender identity, language identity, professional, identity, group identity, ... all things which can be held simultaneously and explain the complexity of the phenomenon?
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Those who have objections to further European integration, or actively seek the removal of the UK from the EU, raise a set of arguments. They include the one Anglican't used, there are others. A very broad summary (that I recognise doesn't do justice to the arguments) could include:
When it comes to Scotland, the arguments look remarkably similar:

Actually, I think you do do justice to the arguments. Besides the economic arguments (which on current record look like ending in stalement), there is risk-aversion/incumbancy, and of course the question of identity. For British, European identity is weak (for many Europe = "the Continent", which they are certainly not), and this might explain a lot of British Europhobia.

Coming to British identity, there is a degree of assymmetry between the English and Scottish perspective. For the English, who make up 95% of the British, British = English with a mild and interesting Celtic flavouring.
For the Scottish, it is essentially Englishness, with a few isolated bits of themselves swimming in it. On the one hand, Britishness entails pride in being part of something bigger with history and global reach, on the other hand, it incorporates the dread of getting lost in it and becoming something one is not.

Ultimately, this might be where the battleground will lie as the referendum date approaches.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Those who have objections to further European integration, or actively seek the removal of the UK from the EU, raise a set of arguments. ... A very broad summary (that I recognise doesn't do justice to the arguments) could include:
When it comes to Scotland, the arguments look remarkably similar:

The arguments are exactly the same, which is why I agree with the "independence" side of both of them.

What I don't get is the fact that there seems to be a large number of people who accept and agree with the arguments when the subject is Scottish independence from Britain, but not when the subject is British independence from Europe. How can the exact same arguments be valid for one cause but not for the other?
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
As one of those who leans towards Scottish independence (though, still in the undecided camp) and would like to see greater European integration the simple answer is that I think neither the UK nor the EU as they are currently structured actually works.

What I would like to see is a Europe in which as much government as possible is maintained at the local scale, and by "local" I mean smaller than nation states - even Scotland in many aspects would be too large an area for some parts of government. I also think that there are some aspects of government that need larger structures.

On the larger scale, I think defence is something that needs large scale. I personally consider the White Papers claims that a Scottish only defense force would be viable to be very poorly argued. I would also say that in the modern world, even the UK as a whole is not able to maintain a military force capable of meeting all potential needs. I think we need to be looking towards some form of European joint defense force; but that also needs a European government able to command that force into action for the good of Europe and individual nations in Europe, without first having to get agreement from all national governments.

There are also economic issues that require large government. Even if Scotland adopts a Scottish currency with a Scottish bank as lender of last resort, rather than maintains the pound/Bank of England system, that's not going to make Scotland economically independent. Scotland is still going to depend on international trade, many businesses in Scotland are still going to be owned by corporations outside Scotland, Scottish products are still going to have meet standards set in other nations. Scotland is still going to have to be part of international government establishing trade rules, common standards etc. The UK as a whole is too small for such a level of government, which is why the UK joined with Europe in the first place.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
What is perhaps slightly different is that the term "European" (unlike the English language usage of the term "American") is currently a geographical term, and not a political one (e.g. a Canadian is not an American by merit of not living in the US, a Swiss is still European despite not living within the EU). "British" is foremostly a political term.

Also, the Brussel has only weak sovereignty over any of its constitutent members. London has full sovereignty over all of the UK's constituent parts.

[crossposted in response to Marvin t. M.]

[ 04. December 2013, 10:22: Message edited by: Molopata The Rebel ]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
All of the indicators of being a country are descriptors, mostly having to do with independent governance that isn't answerable to a higher level of governance. But none of those indicators are in any way normative.

What exactly do you mean by normative? I think Public International Lawyers have criteria for determining whether a state can be a state, but as you say they probably are descriptors. (And without getting side-tracked into a Hartian analysis of PIL, there's arguably no higher level of governance on the issue, either.)

quote:
The only meaningful test of whether something 'should' be a country or not is whether the present arrangements are working. If Massachusetts and California and whatever state is most non-Massachusetts are all coping just fine with present arrangements, then fine, don't change them. If there's a problem, then fine, look at fixing it.

The very essence of a desire for Scottish independence is a sense that present arrangements aren't working satisfactorily. There's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent Scotland, in the same way that there's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent United Kingdom, an independent Vatican City or an independent Flanders.

I don't disagree with this - nations have to be able to function on a day-to-day basis. But isn't this only half the story? Arguments for and against the existence of independent nation states do not only exist on a functional basis but also on an emotional basis, don't they?

Isn't some of the desire for Scottish nationhood based on an emotional desire for it, which may or may not depend on whether the current arrangements are working satisfactorily?
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
What I don't get is the fact that there seems to be a large number of people who accept and agree with the arguments when the subject is Scottish independence from Britain, but not when the subject is British independence from Europe. How can the exact same arguments be valid for one cause but not for the other?

Scotland isn't positing an independence outside of the EU. Anything that involves the UK, however much of it is left, being outside of the EU is ... I'm trying to think of any other way to describe it other than "bat-shit crazy", but I can't.

I'll say to you what I said to Zach/Anglican't: I can't think of any Westminster powers that can't be better served by being devolved up or down other than UK-wide infrastructure projects.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
@ Alan Cresswell

Again I find myself agreeing.
To take thing a bit further (and in doing I do not purport to be representing Alan’s view), Scottish independence makes most sense within a European framework. Scotland going it entirely alone and lost halfway across the Atlantic on its own (a picture that the No camp likes to project) really would not offer a good prospect for independence.
Europe is not sexy at the moment, however closer European union is going to happen, not because Europeans want it, but because Europeans will be forced to pull their weight jointly in light of challenges from other emerging political and economic blocks around the world. In the case of closer European union, Scotland in its current from won’t be a region, but a region of a region, and as such would eventually, at a functionally level, probably be reduced to an English curiosity. This, to me, is one of the most compelling reasons for independence. Of course, with all the argumentional baggage involved in getting the inevitably of closer European across, I can fully understand why Yes Scotland has not made a thing of this perspective.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
What I would like to see is a Europe in which as much government as possible is maintained at the local scale, and by "local" I mean smaller than nation states - even Scotland in many aspects would be too large an area for some parts of government.

I'm all for smaller and more local government.

quote:
I also think that there are some aspects of government that need larger structures.
Here we disagree.

quote:
On the larger scale, I think defence is something that needs large scale. I personally consider the White Papers claims that a Scottish only defense force would be viable to be very poorly argued. I would also say that in the modern world, even the UK as a whole is not able to maintain a military force capable of meeting all potential needs. I think we need to be looking towards some form of European joint defense force; but that also needs a European government able to command that force into action for the good of Europe and individual nations in Europe, without first having to get agreement from all national governments.
Why would we need a defence force at the continent-wide level? Who exactly are we defending against, and why do we need such a massive force to defend against them?

I mean, the only current world armies I can think of that would require a Europe-level force to have any hope of defending against them are Russia, the USA and China. And frankly, if any of those three attacked Europe the continent would be toast either way.

I simply cannot imagine an independent Scotland having so many enemies that a Scottish-only defence force would be insufficient to meet their needs. Other considerably smaller and poorer nations seem to manage without being invaded every other week.

quote:
There are also economic issues that require large government. Even if Scotland adopts a Scottish currency with a Scottish bank as lender of last resort, rather than maintains the pound/Bank of England system, that's not going to make Scotland economically independent. Scotland is still going to depend on international trade, many businesses in Scotland are still going to be owned by corporations outside Scotland, Scottish products are still going to have meet standards set in other nations. Scotland is still going to have to be part of international government establishing trade rules, common standards etc. The UK as a whole is too small for such a level of government, which is why the UK joined with Europe in the first place.
Trade agreements do not require any surrendering of sovereignty. Being part of international agreements does not require being subordinate to international government.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Scotland isn't positing an independence outside of the EU.

Then it isn't positing independence, just trading one set of masters for another. And the new masters will be even bigger, further away and less likely to give a shit than the current ones.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
Scotland isn't positing an independence outside of the EU.

Then it isn't positing independence, just trading one set of masters for another. And the new masters will be even bigger, further away and less likely to give a shit than the current ones.
Your usual binary approach doesn't work here. It's a different relationship, and I'm reasonably certain you know that.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
Why would we need a defence force at the continent-wide level? Who exactly are we defending against, and why do we need such a massive force to defend against them?

I didn't say we needed a massive defense force. As you say, there's no one threatening to invade Europe.

In the current global climate the primary need for a defense force is flexibility rather than size, and usually an ability to operate remote from home. That, to me, seems to basically require a naval force and/or freedom to operate from bases in other nations. And, in a lot of cases a naval force would also need air support, ie: aircraft carriers become vital. Yes, Scotland, and every other nation could operate a navy with a couple of aircraft carriers and associated support vessels. But, most of the time they'll not actually be doing anything. Alternatively, instead of there being dozens of aircraft carrier groups in different European nations doing nothing most of the time there was a European navy then that could provide the same level of protection for the interests of European nations and participation in international peace keeping and humanitarian actions, with a fraction of the number of ships and associated costs.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
[crosspost - replying to Doc Tor]

I know that people say that. I'm unconvinced of the truth of it.

[ 04. December 2013, 13:13: Message edited by: Marvin the Martian ]
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
I didn't say we needed a massive defense force. As you say, there's no one threatening to invade Europe.

Then we don't need to worry too much about defence on the continental level.

quote:
Alternatively, instead of there being dozens of aircraft carrier groups in different European nations doing nothing most of the time there was a European navy then that could provide the same level of protection for the interests of European nations and participation in international peace keeping and humanitarian actions, with a fraction of the number of ships and associated costs.
You mean stuff like invading other countries to secure oil supplies and playing "World Police"? I'd prefer us to stop doing that sort of thing altogether. As far as I'm concerned the only thing we need a defence force for is to defend our nation against invasion.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
You mean stuff like invading other countries to secure oil supplies and playing "World Police"? I'd prefer us to stop doing that sort of thing altogether. As far as I'm concerned the only thing we need a defence force for is to defend our nation against invasion.

What about delivering emergency aid to Filipinos?
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
I would say there are still some roles for a military operating away from home bases. How about protecting shipping from piracy? Or, defending overseas territories?

Also though I'm not ecstatic about some recent military action in Iraq and Afghanistan, there have been other recent peace-keeping missions that have been better formulated (even if the execution was sometime less than perfect, but then asking perfection is possibly a bit too much). Operations in Bosnia, for example.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
You mean stuff like invading other countries to secure oil supplies and playing "World Police"? I'd prefer us to stop doing that sort of thing altogether. As far as I'm concerned the only thing we need a defence force for is to defend our nation against invasion.

What about delivering emergency aid to Filipinos?
I don't see that that has to be the exclusive remit of the armed forces. You could just as easily charter a few container ships on the rare occasion that such disasters warrant an international response.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Container ships aren't generally sitting around doing nothing. They're usually fully loaded on route from one port to another, or rapidly unloading and loading to get going again. They don't make money sitting in port going nowhere. The same with commercial aircraft, except as they're rarely more than a few hours from destination airport they could be loaded with supplies quickly (although, they're then not available for whatever they'd otherwise be doing - eg: moving stuff for courier companies).

Most of the time naval vessels aren't actually doing anything. At least, nothing that couldn't rapidly be abandoned when something more urgent comes up. They also usually have higher top speeds, and are usually equipped with helicopters (or can accomodate helicopters obtained elsewhere) which is often vital in aid situations where international airports and large docks may be either damaged or simply in the wrong place.

There aren't any large organisations with the people, the equipment and the training of military forces. There are small specialist organisations able to get small numbers of people into disaster areas quickly (eg: to search earthquake ruins for survivors). But, apart from airmed forces, no organisations able to airlift bulk supplies, medi-vac casualties, set up emergency medical facilities within a few days.

Whether that justifies having armed forces is another question. But while we have them, they may as well do something useful.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
The only meaningful test of whether something 'should' be a country or not is whether the present arrangements are working. If Massachusetts and California and whatever state is most non-Massachusetts are all coping just fine with present arrangements, then fine, don't change them. If there's a problem, then fine, look at fixing it.

The very essence of a desire for Scottish independence is a sense that present arrangements aren't working satisfactorily. There's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent Scotland, in the same way that there's nothing inherently right or wrong about an independent United Kingdom, an independent Vatican City or an independent Flanders.

I don't disagree with this - nations have to be able to function on a day-to-day basis. But isn't this only half the story? Arguments for and against the existence of independent nation states do not only exist on a functional basis but also on an emotional basis, don't they?

Isn't some of the desire for Scottish nationhood based on an emotional desire for it, which may or may not depend on whether the current arrangements are working satisfactorily?

I didn't restrict whether an arrangement is 'working' to some kind of functional, quantitative analysis. It equally covers whether it is 'working emotionally'. "This isn't working for me" is, I think, both an emotional statement and a practical one.

I suspect the two tend to co-exist.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by DocTor:
No, it is the same argument: an absurdist reductionist counter isn't a valid counter.

Your absurdist reductionist argument deserves an absurdist reductionist answer. Your argument fails even a basic awareness of what I am arguing, since I am not proposing some moral obligation to unity.

And people wonder why I get tired or repeating myself.
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
No, I said Scotland would have the liberty to join the Schengen agreement without consent of WM, if it felt this served its purposes, e.g. for tourism. Please read what was argued. Of course, the argument does not start and stop there as you represent it in this response, it was merely an example.

It was a credible promise of independence, and one of the few offered so far to boot. I can't conceive of why it would make independence entirely worthwhile, but as you remind me, it's not up to me.
quote:
Zach, I regret to inform you that your taste is not the measure of all things. The arguments are out there for liking or disliking, and for discussion. They don't pop out existence just because you've decided that you don't want to buy into them.
Jesus LORD, I have said it's not up to me so many gawddmamn times now. What should really be cause of consternation, for all Scots, is that the arguments for independence do not seem to be open to ANY critical examination from the outside at all.
quote:
What exactly are you saying with this statement? Are you saying that it is virtually impossible that Scotland would be granted admission? If so, I would be curious to your reasoning.
Countries like Spain, who are dealing with their own secessionist movements, have every reason to keep Scotland out. Even then, it's been really difficult for lots of otherwise qualified countries to enter the EU. It seems to me that independence is much more likely to get Scotland out of the EU than a few years of conservative governments.
quote:
If I fail to understand the true meaning of "status quo", please do enlighten me. While you're at it, you may also wish to rewrite the entire wikipedia page on the subject.
The status quo referenced is "Scotland is in the UK." If the circumstances around that status quo change, then Scotland can vote again in a decade or so. It's just silly to think I am arguing that union will benefit Scotland now and forever.
quote:
If you treat "identity" as a synonym of "nationalism", then this may go some way to explaining the one-dimensionality of some of the arguments you have presented here.
Ever heard of religious identity, gender identity, language identity, professional, identity, group identity, ... all things which can be held simultaneously and explain the complexity of the phenomenon?

I treat 'identity' as a synonym for 'nationalism' in this case because the identity referenced is national identity. [Paranoid]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
I'll say to you what I said to Zach/Anglican't: I can't think of any Westminster powers that can't be better served by being devolved up or down other than UK-wide infrastructure projects.

We have state legislatures in the United States.
They are MORE, not less, insanely corrupt and inefficient than the federal government. And I come from one of the most liberal states in the union. It isn't a given, to me, that the legislature 6 miles from my house would do any better than the one 900 miles away.

Though maybe "Scottishness" really is powerful enough to overcome the natural instincts of politicians and monied elite classes. Who knows?

[ 04. December 2013, 14:48: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
Just to introduce some whimsy to a souring argument, the Massachusetts General Court does have one thing over the Congress of the United States. Instead of meeting under God, it meets under Cod.

True story.

[ 04. December 2013, 15:29: Message edited by: Zach82 ]
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:
The status quo referenced is "Scotland is in the UK." If the circumstances around that status quo change, then Scotland can vote again in a decade or so.

But, as said, "Scotland is in the UK" is not a static concept. The details of the relationship between Scotland and the rest of the UK change. Every piece of legislation passed through Westminster or Holyrood changes the relationship, often by only trivial degrees it must be said.

When the Scottish Government passed legislation on university tuition fees that differs significantly from Westminster that changed the relationship between the two countries, the process of getting a university education in Scotland if you're English or Welsh, or for someone from Scotland going to an English or Welsh university changed. Upgrading the A74, improvements to the West Coast mainline and other infrastructure projects have made travel between Scotland and the rest of the UK easier, that has changed the relationship of the Union. Decisions about how many airports BAA can operate, and whether they need to sell off one of the Scottish ones, change the Union. Increasing experience of different electoral systems in Scotland and cooperative government in Holyrood (until the English LibDems sold their party down the river letting in a majority SNP government anyway) changes how people in Scotland view government, that changes the Union. Changes within the EU affect Scotland and the rest of the UK differently, that changes the Union.

To simply declare "Scotland is in the UK" as though it's a fixed and immutable fact is a naive simplification. It's different now than it was 5 years ago, and even if there wasn't a referendum it'll be different again in 5 years time.

And, Scotland will only vote again in a decade or so if there's only a narrow majority for the No campaign with a decent turn out. Low turn out and/or a large No majority will effectively shelve the question for this political generation, in which case we'll be back here debating the question in 25-30 years.
 
Posted by Zach82 (# 3208) on :
 
I am, of course, only saying that the present terms of Scottish membership in the UK seem fair enough , and will probably be so for the foreseeable future. It just seems false to me to insist you have to give up these otherwise fair terms because you won't be able to vote on it again for 10 or 30 years.
 
Posted by Rev per Minute (# 69) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Molopata The Rebel:
Coming to British identity, there is a degree of assymmetry between the English and Scottish perspective. For the English, who make up 95% of the British, British = English with a mild and interesting Celtic flavouring.
For the Scottish, it is essentially Englishness, with a few isolated bits of themselves swimming in it.

The basis of your figures is wrong. According to the Office for National Statistics, the UK population in 2012 was 63.7 million and

"The estimated populations of the four constituent countries of the UK in mid-2012 are 53.5 million people in England (84.0%), 5.3 million in Scotland (8.3%), 3.1 million in Wales (4.7%) and 1.8 million in Northern Ireland (2.8%)."
(from here )

As for "ethnic British", the closest figures from ONS is that for "White British" which was the largest group at 45.1 million (80.5 per cent). 91.0 per cent of the usual resident population identified with at least one UK national identity (English, Welsh, Scottish, Northern Irish, and British) in 2011.
(Reference here )

Both are a long way from 'the English make up 95% of the British'.
 
Posted by Molopata The Rebel (# 9933) on :
 
Thanks for that, Rev. You are entirely correct. That was a typo. I meant to write "85%".
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
The "people of Scotland" overwhelmingly, in effect, means ethnic Scots.

I think you'll find the 2011 census disagreeing with you.
I think you'll find the Scottish Government's figures agree with me. 88% of Scottish residents identify as "white Scottish".
Your link gives figures for the 2001 census, I'd linked to the 2011 census. Despite ludicrous restrictions on immigration imposed from Westminster there is ongoing net migration to Scotland, so even the 2011 figures will be out of date (but, the most recent available). The corresponding "white Scottish" figure for 2011 is 84% ( Table 2 of this pdf ) - some of whom will be born outside Scotland, of course, so that doesn't necessarily contradict my earlier figures. Certainly, "white Scottish" is the majority, but >15% of the population claiming alternative ethnicity is a substantial figure. I don't have time to find the comparable figures for the rest of the UK, but my gut feeling is that outside London, 15-20% "non-indigenous" (ie: including people moving into the area from other parts of the UK) is probably fairly typical.

Certainly, the claim from the Scottish Government/YES campaign that we live in a multicultural society is well founded. Not just in the numbers from the census. Also from experience, travel around large towns in Scotland and you will see a wide range of ethnic restaurants, often stores catering to particular ethnic groups. Listen to the people on the street and there will be a large range of accents and languages (even after excluding the tourists).

I think 15% is insignificant compared to 84% and, with respect, I don't think the existence of a few curry houses in Woodside alters that. I also disagree that the inclusion in that 84% of those born outside Scotland is a point of any significance. There is nothing abnormal for a person born of two Scottish parents in England to consider himself Scottish. It is national identity, rather than place of birth, that really counts in questions like these.

I can't find equivalent stats for "white English" in England, but I note that in the last UK census, "white British" was 91% in Scotland compared to the mid 80s in most of England, and 45% in London. So I think both my points stand: 1. Scotland is comparatively monocultural and 2. white Scots will determine the outcome of this vote without the Yes camp courting suicide by explicitly courting their vote.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Cod:
It is national identity, rather than place of birth, that really counts in questions like these.

Yes, of course. But, place of birth (and, certainly where you were brought up) must surely be a large influence on your national identity. Someone born in England (of Scottish parents) who only moves to Scotland as an adult may identify as Scottish, but their experience will mean that that identity will be different from someone who has always lived in Scotland. They may feel more British than Scottish, they may be wanting to reclaim their Scottish roots and find themselves more Scottish than the average Scot. Who knows? But, for sure their background will be important in how they see their national identity.

quote:
So I think both my points stand: 1. Scotland is comparatively monocultural and 2. white Scots will determine the outcome of this vote without the Yes camp courting suicide by explicitly courting their vote.
Certainly "white Scottish" is the large majority in Scotland, and so will as a result be the key constituency in the referendum. But, the division of "yes", "no", "unsure" in the "white Scottish" group is such that neither side can ignore the rest of the population - and quite a few of the rest, even though they aren't "white Scottish", will vote Yes. Because the reasons for independence are valid (or not, depending on your point of view) regardless of ethnic national identity.

I still consider your claim that Scotland is "monocultural" to be inaccurate. Regardless of the stats for "white Scottish". Simply because "white Scottish" is itself multicultural. Just take language (with the associated songs, stories, poetry etc) as a measure of culture. We have within "white Scottish" at least 3 languages, depending on where you draw the boundary between a language and a dialect - English, Scots, Gaelic, Doric (language or dialect of Scots?) being the four most significant. The variations between the cultural groups with those languages may be less than the variations between those and cultures from elsewhere in Europe or the Indian subcontinent (to take two broad cultural categories both well represented in the population of Scotland), but they are variations and not a single culture nonetheless.
 
Posted by crunt (# 1321) on :
 
Here's a thought. If Scotland leaves the Union, can we PLEASE re-design the flag to include the black and gold cross of St David in place of the Saltire. Seriously though, what would the Union flag look like if Scotland leaves?
 
Posted by deano (# 12063) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by crunt:
Here's a thought. If Scotland leaves the Union, can we PLEASE re-design the flag to include the black and gold cross of St David in place of the Saltire. Seriously though, what would the Union flag look like if Scotland leaves?

A white cross on a white background.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
There was some discussion of this upthread. I suspect it will stay the same for some time (after all, the Fleur de Lys remained on the Royal Standard unti 1801).

That said, the BBC have had some fun guessing what a revised flag might look like.
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Anglican't: That said, the BBC have had some fun guessing what a revised flag might look like.
I vote for this one, a psychedelic mix of the Dutch and the Belgian flag.
 
Posted by the giant cheeseburger (# 10942) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
There was some discussion of this upthread. I suspect it will stay the same for some time (after all, the Fleur de Lys remained on the Royal Standard unti 1801).

Indeed. It would be important for the UK government to take their time with it for three reasons - to make sure they get it right, to demonstrate their continued sovereignity, and to remind the Scottish that seceding means they no longer have any say in when, how and what decisions are made in the UK.

quote:
Originally posted by deano:
A white cross on a white background.

Adopting the flag currently being used by the English Cricket Board would be an interesting move.

[fixed code]

[ 12. December 2013, 11:06: Message edited by: Eutychus ]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by the giant cheeseburger:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
There was some discussion of this upthread. I suspect it will stay the same for some time (after all, the Fleur de Lys remained on the Royal Standard unti 1801).

Indeed. It would be important for the UK government to take their time with it for three reasons - to make sure they get it right, to demonstrate their continued sovereignity, and to remind the Scottish that seceding means they no longer have any say in when, how and what decisions are made in the UK.

I agree. Also, regardless of the symbols on the flag, the Union Jack is a flag to which I - as a British citizen - feel a great deal of allegiance. It's bad enough that my country is potentially going to be broken up without any opportunity to be consulted, but I wouldn't want the flag that I know and love to be changed too.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Zach82:

Though maybe "Scottishness" really is powerful enough to overcome the natural instincts of politicians and monied elite classes. Who knows?

People who have read Scottish history know.

It's hard to think of a more money-grubbing, venal, short-sighted parcel of rogues than the Scottish ruling class in the 18th century.

But that's all irrelevant, just as the economic arguments are irrelevant.
 
Posted by crunt (# 1321) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
There was some discussion of this upthread. I suspect it will stay the same for some time (after all, the Fleur de Lys remained on the Royal Standard unti 1801). That said, the BBC have had some fun guessing what a revised flag might look like.

Oops. I thought I had read all this thread, but now you mention it I do recall the comment about the fleur de lys staying on the royal standard long after the French territories were lost.
 
Posted by ken (# 2460) on :
 
Union flag is a royal one, not a national one. And it came into use before the Act of Union. Brenda will still be Queen of Scots. No reason at all for anyone to stop using it who doesn't want to.
 


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