Thread: Cameron on Corbyn Board: Oblivion / Ship of Fools.


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Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
Just after Jeremy Corbyn was elected, David Cameron sent a message out:

"The Labour party is now a threat to out national security, our economic security, and your families security"

You total and utter, immoral pile of foetid shit.

1. Corbyn opposes nuclear weapons. Apparently that is a threat to our national security - more than your continual aggression towards the middle east.

Nuclear weapons are an irrelevance today. They are a way of you syphoning off more money to your cronies, and not to those who need it - the poor in our society. We are not going to nuke Syria, or Afghanistan, or Calais. Scrapping them is NOT a threat to our national security.

In truth, I believe Corbyn would improve our national security, because he is prepared to talk to people he opposes. A far better way.

2. The biggest threat to our economic security as a nation is you, Mr Cameron. Corbyn is a real threat to the economic security of the very rich, including yourself and a number of members of your cabinet. He is a threat to the bankers, the people - in case you have forgotten - who caused the economic crisis in the first place. He is a huge threat to the economic security of the 1%.

But for the country, for the 99%, he is no threat. I am SICK of the constant talk that a socialist approach to economics is a threat. It is different, it has a different set of success indicators, but it can work. Unless you happen to be in the 1%.

And if you happen to be a corrupt, manipulative, lying bastard, then yes, Corbyn is a threat. The sooner you and your cronies get the fucking you deserve, the better.

3. My families security is under severe threat from your policies. It is your austerity measures, your damaging of our economy that threatens my families security. Having to change job, not being able to retire or be declared disabled. It is your policies that mean my children struggle to find good jobs.

Cameron, you suck. You are desperately scared of someone with principles, morals, ideas, someone who is not scared of you, because Corbyn will show up your utter lack of these. Your only response is, once again, to try to spread fear, uncertainty and doubt.

Rot in hell, you loathsome, vile prick. And when you have rotted there, rot some more.
 
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on :
 
Amen Schroedinger's cat - your words seem mild to me, there are no expletives strong enough to describe Cam-moron's attitudes and actions [Mad]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
It's going to be a long five years for you guys.
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
Doesn't he know? The English don't do melodramatic overreacting. Only when there is a joke in the end.
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
Just after Jeremy Corbyn was elected, David Cameron sent a message out:

"The Labour party is now a threat to our national security, our economic security, and your families security"

I'd be very surprised if anyone who is a Green voter or on the further side of left-wing agreed with anything much Cameron came out with.

quote:

In truth, I believe Corbyn would improve our national security, because he is prepared to talk to people he opposes. A far better way.

Right. I'd like to see him try to engage in a constructive and meaningful dialogue with the "Islamic State" jihadists.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
Someone might want to mention to Mr Cameron that the United States has been talking to Iran, Cuba and the Taliban.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I am waiting to see if Corbyn starts to dissect neo-liberalism, as nobody in Labour has been prepared to do that, which has been a huge lacuna in British politics. If he does, (and surely he will), I will be interested to see Cameron's response. We might actually get a more deep-rooted debate about political philosophies than we normally do. Well, on the other hand, maybe not, if Cameron is involved.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
It is difficult and complex, but talking to others, talking to those who might be allies might - no promises - ease tensions in the longer term.

Yes, I wouldn't expect to agree with Cameron on anything. But he is highlighting his style of politics - nastyness and fearmongering against his opponents. It is an unpleasant style of politicking, and one that I hope Corbyn will help to change.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
It's going to be a long five years for you guys.

Five years? Even that could be optimistic.

The Cameron years aren't the same as the the thatcher years but the reason Labour couldn't break through then is because it made itself unelectable on defence.
If Middle England is ready to lay down it arms come the next election JC might be in with a sniff. Don't hold the breath on that one.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Would this be a good time to remind ourselves that Jeremy Corbyn chaired (in fact, continues to chair) an organisation that effectively called for the killing of British soldiers?

“The Stop the War Coalition reaffirms its call for an end to the occupation, the return of all British troops in Iraq to this country and recognises once more the legitimacy of the struggle of Iraqis, by whatever means they find necessary, to secure such ends.”

[ 13. September 2015, 13:51: Message edited by: Anglican't ]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by rolyn:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
It's going to be a long five years for you guys.

Five years? Even that could be optimistic.

The Cameron years aren't the same as the the thatcher years but the reason Labour couldn't break through then is because it made itself unelectable on defence.
If Middle England is ready to lay down it arms come the next election JC might be in with a sniff. Don't hold the breath on that one.

The Tories also seem to be talking under their breath about war in Syria. I suppose they mean more bombing, grounds troops seem untenable.

It's still a big gamble. How much war are people willing to accept, especially if it seems to be increasing terrorism? I have no idea, but Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, might make one careful about it.

Reminds me of the Falklands factor - I always wondered if Blair thought he might get the same with Iraq, but no. Does Cameron fancy a Damascus factor? He would get it if there was a breakthrough and a deal over Syria. Corbyn would be dead meat.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Would this be a good time to remind ourselves that Jeremy Corbyn chaired (in fact, continues to chair) an organisation that effectively called for the killing of British soldiers?

“The Stop the War Coalition reaffirms its call for an end to the occupation, the return of all British troops in Iraq to this country and recognises once more the legitimacy of the struggle of Iraqis, by whatever means they find necessary, to secure such ends.”

Yes, because British soldiers in barracks in the UK are in such greater danger of death and injury. Yes, I know training accidents happen, but can you explain the logic that says bringing troops out of a barely legal occupation of another country is going to kill them?
 
Posted by leo (# 1458) on :
 
Cameron simply isn't very bright. He thinks in stereotypes.

I am very pleased that Corbyn was elected.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Yes, I know training accidents happen, but can you explain the logic that says bringing troops out of a barely legal occupation of another country is going to kill them?

To clarify, the statement was made in 2004 when an insurgency was taking place in Iraq. I don't think the second-half of the quote is calling only for a return to barracks.
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
Luckily, Corbyn's in opposition, where he can't do any real damage.

The world may look very different in five years' time. I think whether we like it or not or agree to it or not, we are probably on the brink of war.

The jihadists will push for it anyway - it's part of an ancient prophecy that their "Armageddon" will start in one of two named places, either in Syria or Turkey, where the forces of "Rome" will be utterly defeated and after that the Islamic caliphate will reign supreme with Jesus returning to help them. They aren't going to settle for any dialogue with the evil West while they think there's still a chance of that happening.

[ 13. September 2015, 14:58: Message edited by: Ariel ]
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
Cameron simply isn't very bright.

I can't agree here. I don't think Cameron is stupid. I think he assumes everyone else is stupid and patronises them, but I am not going to fall into the same trap of calling him stupid.

I think some part of him is very scared of Corbyn, because he is an adversary with a brain, not just advisors. Corbyn will play the political game how he wants to, not how others want him to.
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Ariel: The world may look very different in five years' time. I think whether we like it or not or agree to it or not, we are probably on the brink of war.

The jihadists will push for it anyway - it's part of an ancient prophecy that their "Armageddon" will start in one of two named places, either in Syria or Turkey, where the forces of "Rome" will be utterly defeated and after that the Islamic caliphate will reign supreme with Jesus returning to help them. They aren't going to settle for any dialogue with the evil West while they think there's still a chance of that happening.

Whoa, you believe this shit?
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by LeRoc:
Whoa, you believe this shit?

I personally don't, but I believe that many of them believe it.

[ 13. September 2015, 15:44: Message edited by: Ariel ]
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
quote:
Ariel: I personally don't, but I believe that many of them believe it.
That wasn't what I was talking about.
 
Posted by Jay-Emm (# 11411) on :
 
quote:
Ariel: The world may look very different in five years' time. I think whether we like it or not or agree to it or not, we are probably on the brink of war.

The jihadists will push for it anyway - it's part of an ancient prophecy that their "Armageddon" will start in one of two named places, either in Syria or Turkey, where the forces of "Rome" will be utterly defeated and after that the Islamic caliphate will reign supreme with Jesus returning to help them. They aren't going to settle for any dialogue with the evil West while they think there's still a chance of that happening.

Yes, Cameron really fucked up there. I suppose we should be grateful they haven't crossed the bosphorus or straits yet.
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by LeRoc:
That wasn't what I was talking about.

Well what then? I'm not interested in trying to figure out one guess at a time precisely what you might have objected to. Either be specific, or leave it.
 
Posted by LeRoc (# 3216) on :
 
What is this "we're at the brink of war" talk? We're already at war with ISIS. Planes both from your country and from mine are bombarding them. So what are you talking about?
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
Full-scale boots-on-the-ground, tanks, etc. I may have missed something but don't think we've quite reached all-out military combat stage yet.

I suppose it's a bit like "I didn't inhale".
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Osborne seemed to be talking up war in Syria, but I can't believe he means troops. So he must mean more bombing, and drone strikes, which won't help Labour, unless there was a big mistake, e.g. bombing weddings, and so on, but even then, I doubt it.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
Cameron has said he'll only step up the war in Syria with cross-party support. This is an abjectly cynical move. He wants to spread the blame when it goes wrong so the tories won't be damaged electorally or be able to blame the opposition for any perceived consequences of not doing it.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Reminds me of the Falklands factor - I always wondered if Blair thought he might get the same with Iraq, but no. Does Cameron fancy a Damascus factor? He would get it if there was a breakthrough and a deal over Syria. Corbyn would be dead meat.

Blair might have been looking for the Falklands factor what he ended up with was the Vietnam factor.
C's road to Damascus experience, if British losses mount up, will be a bad one. JC could, in light of that, come along with a I have in my hand a piece of paper agenda to try and win the next election. Can't see the electorate swallowing it myself.
 
Posted by Doublethink. (# 1984) on :
 
I don't think it will work IRRC both Iraq and Afghanistan were supported by all main parties. Basically, no politician is prepared to be seen not supporting "our boys" once push comes to shove.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
I don't think it will work IRRC both Iraq and Afghanistan were supported by all main parties. Basically, no politician is prepared to be seen not supporting "our boys" once push comes to shove.

I could be wrong, but I suspect that Corbyn might be prepared to stand his ground. He is so much less concerned for soundbite perception, but being prepared to argue properly, state his position in full.
 
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
I don't think it will work IRRC both Iraq and Afghanistan were supported by all main parties. Basically, no politician is prepared to be seen not supporting "our boys" once push comes to shove.

Oh yeah , I'd kinda forgotton 'Our war' , Wooton Bassett and so on. If such a public mood still exists come the next election only a fool would wave a white poppy about in the hope of getting elected.
 
Posted by Adeodatus (# 4992) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
Cameron simply isn't very bright. He thinks in stereotypes.

I am very pleased that Corbyn was elected.

I'm very pleased too. I find it pretty revolting that the man who said that Corbyn is a "threat to your family's security" is the man under whom a million people are having to use foodbanks.

On the other hand, it's difficult to get wound up by this. After all, "Nation. Economy. Family" are just the sounds made by Tory farts after an especially lavish meal.
 
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Yes, I know training accidents happen, but can you explain the logic that says bringing troops out of a barely legal occupation of another country is going to kill them?

To clarify, the statement was made in 2004 when an insurgency was taking place in Iraq. I don't think the second-half of the quote is calling only for a return to barracks.
It's like you don't know what the words "such ends" mean.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Yes, I know training accidents happen, but can you explain the logic that says bringing troops out of a barely legal occupation of another country is going to kill them?

To clarify, the statement was made in 2004 when an insurgency was taking place in Iraq. I don't think the second-half of the quote is calling only for a return to barracks.
It's like you don't know what the words "such ends" mean.
I think it's the 'whatever means they find necessary' part that's attracted most attention.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Yes, I know training accidents happen, but can you explain the logic that says bringing troops out of a barely legal occupation of another country is going to kill them?

To clarify, the statement was made in 2004 when an insurgency was taking place in Iraq. I don't think the second-half of the quote is calling only for a return to barracks.
It was the first half of the quote that I was referring to re: returning to barracks. Where else would troops brought back to the UK go? The streets of Glasgow and Edinburgh to suppress Scottish Nationalists seeking to destroy the Union?

During the insurgency, a valid argument could be made (and, frequently was) that withdrawing British troops would result in significant increases in death of Iraqi military and civilians. But, since "our boys" were getting shot at and blown up by road side bombs I can't see how they would be in any more danger in Aldershot than Baghdad. Of all the criticisms that could have been made of the Stop the War Coalition, that the withdrawal they were calling for would kill British troops was probably the most daft.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
I think what they were probably saying was that the people of an occupied country have a right to use force to eject the occupying power if they so choose. That's not the same as supporting the use of force and definitely not the same as calling for particular actions.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Well, I think it goes without saying that the people of an occupied country have the right to seek to end the occupation of their homeland. It's covered by such concepts as "national sovereignty", "self determination" and other similar ideals that we all (I expect) consider to be important. If that's what the Stop the War Coalition were saying then I fail to see what the fuss is about.

But, it becomes a somewhat pointless sentiment if the occupying force has already packed up and gone home (which is what that quote from StWC said they wanted to happen).
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
I read the statement as saying "British troops should leave Iraq, and the Iraqi people have every right to make them if they're not withdrawn voluntarily". Unless you think British troops should be able to take over foreign countries at will and without interference that ought to be an uncontroversial statement. The fact that it is, apparently, controversial tells you everything you need to know about the foreign policy of the "mainstream" political leaders.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Yes, that seems a reasonable understanding of the quoted text.

Another would be that British troops were in Iraq to enforce a regime change acceptable to Western interests, and that we should withdraw to allow the people of Iraq to work out their own solution to the power vacuum we had created. Though, of course, we did that in Libya and created a disaster and we're trying the same in Syria with no more success. Which should be a lesson for Western powers to quit fucking about with the governments of other countries. Saddam Hussein, Muammar Gaddafi, Bashar al-Assad are/were not pleasant people - but, surely their people were better off under their governments than under the chaos we've created by trying to change things.
 
Posted by GCabot (# 18074) on :
 
I am not going to get into the vagaries of what constitutes economic or familial security, but Corbyn did quite plainly say that he cannot think of any scenarios where he would back external deployment of British troops. Unless Corbyn suffers from an incredibly poor and dull imagination, that frightening stance most certainly qualifies as a serious threat to Great Britain's national security.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Why? If there is no threat to UK territory, in what way does not sending troops overseas affect the security of UK territory? If there is a potential threat to UK territory, deploying troops to defend UK territory will not endanger UK security. What evidence is there for pre-emptive military action in another country making UK territory more secure, or failure to so act make us less secure? Certainly military action in Iraq, Syria, Libya, Afghanistan in recent years have not enhanced UK territorial security.
Corbyn would agree
 
Posted by Ad Orientem (# 17574) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
Just after Jeremy Corbyn was elected, David Cameron sent a message out:

"The Labour party is now a threat to out national security, our economic security, and your families security"

You total and utter, immoral pile of foetid shit.

1. Corbyn opposes nuclear weapons. Apparently that is a threat to our national security - more than your continual aggression towards the middle east.

Nuclear weapons are an irrelevance today. They are a way of you syphoning off more money to your cronies, and not to those who need it - the poor in our society. We are not going to nuke Syria, or Afghanistan, or Calais. Scrapping them is NOT a threat to our national security.

In truth, I believe Corbyn would improve our national security, because he is prepared to talk to people he opposes. A far better way.

2. The biggest threat to our economic security as a nation is you, Mr Cameron. Corbyn is a real threat to the economic security of the very rich, including yourself and a number of members of your cabinet. He is a threat to the bankers, the people - in case you have forgotten - who caused the economic crisis in the first place. He is a huge threat to the economic security of the 1%.

But for the country, for the 99%, he is no threat. I am SICK of the constant talk that a socialist approach to economics is a threat. It is different, it has a different set of success indicators, but it can work. Unless you happen to be in the 1%.

And if you happen to be a corrupt, manipulative, lying bastard, then yes, Corbyn is a threat. The sooner you and your cronies get the fucking you deserve, the better.

3. My families security is under severe threat from your policies. It is your austerity measures, your damaging of our economy that threatens my families security. Having to change job, not being able to retire or be declared disabled. It is your policies that mean my children struggle to find good jobs.

Cameron, you suck. You are desperately scared of someone with principles, morals, ideas, someone who is not scared of you, because Corbyn will show up your utter lack of these. Your only response is, once again, to try to spread fear, uncertainty and doubt.

Rot in hell, you loathsome, vile prick. And when you have rotted there, rot some more.

With you on this. Now I think I might well go and say the same thing to our government in Finland.
 
Posted by Alwyn (# 4380) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by GCabot:
... Corbyn did quite plainly say that he cannot think of any scenarios where he would back external deployment of British troops...

Yes, that's part of what he has said about military action. Here's some more:-

quote:
from The Guardian: Asked by Kendall whether there were any circumstances in which he would deploy military forces, Corbyn said: “Any? I am sure there are some. But I can’t think of them at the moment.”

In a Guardian interview last month, Corbyn suggested that the threshold for sanctioning armed intervention by Britain would have to involve a conflict on the scale of the second world war. Asked if he was a pacifist, Corbyn said: “It is hard to define. I am person that has a very high threshold of saying I would not wish to be involved in armed conflict. The question always comes back to the second world war.”

In the Sky News hustings, Corbyn suggested the UN should approve any British military deployment as he explained how he had opposed the Nato campaign in Kosovo on the grounds that it lacked UN approval.

He said: “We should have stuck with the UN and given far more support to the UN. Surely we want to live in a world that is based on the rule of international law. The UN is quintessentially part of international law.”

Corbyn said that any British overseas military action would require UN approval. If someone talks, as he did, about military action requiring UN approval, then it seems hard to argue that he would never support it. I'd see a more cautious approach to military adventures like the invasion of Iraq as 'encouraging' rather than 'frightening'. YMMV.

[ 15. September 2015, 07:13: Message edited by: Alwyn ]
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alwyn:
I'd see a more cautious approach to military adventures like the invasion of Iraq as 'encouraging' rather than 'frightening'. YMMV.

Ah Alwyn, I see where you're going wrong there: you're interested in facts.

You're forgetting that Corbyn is a threat to national security because he is.
You're forgetting that Corbyn is a threat to our economic security because he is.

Do you not see the power of the Prime Minister's argument there?

AFZ
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
For the record, I think British intervention in Kosovo was vital and would never have got UN approval.

And Sierra Leone.

Iraq, of course, is somewhat more problematic.

AFZ
 
Posted by mark_in_manchester (# 15978) on :
 
AFZ

I go to church with Sierra Leonians, who seem to regard UK intervention there as a good thing.

So what was it about SL and Kosovo which worked, whereas all those other cases didn't and don't? Perhaps another thread?

cheers
Mark
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mark_in_manchester:
AFZ

I go to church with Sierra Leonians, who seem to regard UK intervention there as a good thing.

So what was it about SL and Kosovo which worked, whereas all those other cases didn't and don't? Perhaps another thread?

cheers
Mark

Yep, it is definitely worthy of a Purg thread. My analysis is that the interventions in Kosovo and SL (and Kosovo was particularly politically risky for Blair) shaped his thinking in the run-up to Iraq. I think TB learned to trust his leadership in those and hence felt the same would hold out for Iraq - I suspect part of the problem was that he was fighting the previous campaigns.

I have lots of other thoughts too.

AFZ
 
Posted by Wet Kipper (# 1654) on :
 
If Cameron labels Corbyn as "harmless", people may be able to listen to what he says, give him a "bedding in" time, take their own time to listen to him and form an opinion of him. They may end up agreeing with the things he says or does in opposing the government (or at least trying to hold them to account) and may eventually vote for him / Labour at the next election.

Instead, Cameron uses the same scare tactics as was done in the election with the alledged nightmare scenario of SNP and Labour cosying up to each other - by immediately painting Corbyn as a credible yet dangerous foe.
 
Posted by Tubbs (# 440) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by alienfromzog:
quote:
Originally posted by Alwyn:
I'd see a more cautious approach to military adventures like the invasion of Iraq as 'encouraging' rather than 'frightening'. YMMV.

Ah Alwyn, I see where you're going wrong there: you're interested in facts.

You're forgetting that Corbyn is a threat to national security because he is.
You're forgetting that Corbyn is a threat to our economic security because he is.

Do you not see the power of the Prime Minister's argument there?

AFZ

Tory party frightened by demogratically elected opposition leader with actual policies and a brain rather than yet another Blairite wannabe wanting to remake Labour into Tory lite.

I lost patience with the current lot when Harman said that they weren't going to vote against some of the austerity measures because they didn't want to be a party that voted against everything. If you're the opposition and you're not prepared to vote against terrible government policies then what is the actual point of you?!

Tubbs
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
To be fair to Cameron (what???) it is his job as Conservative leader to convince the electorate to support the Conservatives and not the other parties.

That he chooses to do this by a continuation of Project Fear, rather than explain why he thinks the policies of the other parties are wrong or convince us Conservative policies are right is despicable. But, no different than most other leading politicians of recent time.
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
That he chooses to do this by a continuation of Project Fear, rather than explain why he thinks the policies of the other parties are wrong or convince us Conservative policies are right is despicable. But, no different than most other leading politicians of recent time.

Do you genuinely think he's no different?

I have significant bias in this and thus don't trust my own judgment at all but my perception is that Cameron is particularly poor in this regard. When challenged he gets snippy and he seems incapable of constructing an actual argument. To my mind he is notably worse than most other leading politicians of recent times. Accepting that I am biased. (I am one of the sad people who watches PMQs by choice so I know of what I speak... [Biased] )

As a slight tangent - earlier this year one of anaesthetists I worked with was at Oxford with DC and a close personal friend. He told me that Cameron is genuinely very intelligent. I suspect he's much better placed to judge than I. I don't think that intelligence translates to wisdom (how often is that true?) and I think his inability to construct arguments or defences when challenged is not a sign of intelligence so I don't know how square that particular circle.

More to the point, I profoundly disagree with Cameron on policy and his ability to win elections by scaring rather than actually constructing an evidence-based argument is depressing but that's our democracy.

AFZ
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I'm not sure if arguments are used much in British politics now, although I must admit that I don't watch long speeches in the House of Commons. For example, I suspect that there were some sustained arguments in the debate over assisted dying.

But Cameron does seem snippy. It will be interesting to see if Corbyn will be able to mount arguments, although PMQs seems a bit of a bun fight.

I suppose Cameron and Osborne have realized that frightening people, and presenting cartoon images of their opponent, works well enough. It's the lingua franca today, I guess.

Interesting point made by alienfromzog that some kind of economic crisis is inevitable, but will Labour be able to take advantage? Dunno. I lost faith in Labour a long time ago, and although there are glimmers of hope, as John Cleese said, hope is the worst thing of all.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by alienfromzog:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
That he chooses to do this by a continuation of Project Fear, rather than explain why he thinks the policies of the other parties are wrong or convince us Conservative policies are right is despicable. But, no different than most other leading politicians of recent time.

Do you genuinely think he's no different?

I have significant bias in this and thus don't trust my own judgment at all but my perception is that Cameron is particularly poor in this regard. When challenged he gets snippy and he seems incapable of constructing an actual argument. To my mind he is notably worse than most other leading politicians of recent times. Accepting that I am biased. (I am one of the sad people who watches PMQs by choice so I know of what I speak... [Biased] )

Well, it's a matter of degree. The whole of British political discourse has gone into sound bites, personal attacks and non-arguments. Cameron is no different, just "better" at that style of politics. As you say, it's a sad indictment against the British electorate that it's a style of politics that seems to win elections.

PMQs is a disgrace IMO. It's nothing to do with politics, it's school yard antics, a circus of the worst kind. Perhaps we need to reintroduce a feature of Roman circuses and let a few lions loose in the Commons. But, again it's a manifestation of the rest of the Commons. The Scottish Parliament has largely avoided the school ground practices, and made the chamber a place for (reasonably) civil discussion of issues. It says something that the Speaker in the Commons told off the SNP MPs for politely applauding points well made [Roll Eyes]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
It will be interesting to see if 'expansionary contraction' leads to some kind of crisis, but I suppose that the Tories will in any event, mount a fierce propaganda campaign to convince people that contraction is actually expansion, or something like that. Whether Labour can reveal the nakedness of the emperor, in such a situation, who knows, or will anyone believe them.
 
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on :
 
I have thought there is a mismatch between what is reported of Cameron's intelligence at Oxford (a tutor was reported as saying he was the most intelligent student he had had) and how he presents himself politically, and a-from-z has now added to that.

It has occurred to me that he does resemble, in some degree, two men I have met who were good at intelligence tests (both made well-known their membership of a group which makes that ability the criterion for membership), but who did not present as intelligent in everyday life. Both tried to take advantage of others, without paying attention to what those others were like. (The assumption that because those others aren't in your group they aren't up to your level enables the others to run rings around them if necessary.) They were able to impress some people. They weren't good at dealing with people who played by different rules. People aren't supposed to answer back to Cameron.

I've only just thought of this comparison, so it needs more examination.
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
It says something that the Speaker in the Commons told off the SNP MPs for politely applauding points well made [Roll Eyes]

Yes indeed. What it says is that politeness is context-dependent. In most UK contexts, applause is indeed polite. It would not usually be considered polite, however, to applaud a well-delivered funeral address, and it is not considered polite to applaud in the House of Commons.
 
Posted by Baptist Trainfan (# 15128) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
The whole of British political discourse has gone into sound bites, personal attacks and non-arguments. Cameron is no different, just "better" at that style of politics. As you say, it's a sad indictment against the British electorate that it's a style of politics that seems to win elections.

Or is it that the politicos (and their advisers) have convinced us that this is what wins elections? ITSM that there must be millions of folk out there who just want a sensible discussion, with those involved daring to agree where there is common ground and explaining their position where there is genuine difference.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
In the House, polite takes second seat to jeering, shouting and other behaviour we teach our children is the total opposite to polite and civilised behaviour.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
In the House, polite takes second seat to jeering, shouting and other behaviour we teach our children is the total opposite to polite and civilised behaviour.

There is serious debate in the Commons, as well as jeering. Considering our Purg and Hell boards, perhaps the place isn't so different to this site...?
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
It says something that the Speaker in the Commons told off the SNP MPs for politely applauding points well made [Roll Eyes]

My memory of it was it came across as a bit intrusive and too frequent, and also done in a bit of a point-scoring way. I don't remember them applauding any well made points they didn't support. But then perhaps they didn't count any points they didn't agree with as being well made.
 
Posted by GCabot (# 18074) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alwyn:
quote:
from The Guardian: In a Guardian interview last month, Corbyn suggested that the threshold for sanctioning armed intervention by Britain would have to involve a conflict on the scale of the second world war. Asked if he was a pacifist, Corbyn said: “It is hard to define. I am person that has a very high threshold of saying I would not wish to be involved in armed conflict. The question always comes back to the second world war.”

In the Sky News hustings, Corbyn suggested the UN should approve any British military deployment as he explained how he had opposed the Nato campaign in Kosovo on the grounds that it lacked UN approval.

He said: “We should have stuck with the UN and given far more support to the UN. Surely we want to live in a world that is based on the rule of international law. The UN is quintessentially part of international law.”

Corbyn said that any British overseas military action would require UN approval. If someone talks, as he did, about military action requiring UN approval, then it seems hard to argue that he would never support it. I'd see a more cautious approach to military adventures like the invasion of Iraq as 'encouraging' rather than 'frightening'. YMMV.
So, basically, the only state of affairs dire enough to move Cobyn to support foreign military intervention is something of equal magnitude to three totalitarian world powers bent on pitiless conquest and wholesale genocide, which instigated the deadliest conflict in human history. And even then, he would wait for the U.S., U.K., France, Russia, and China to all collectively endorse a course of action before he finally had enough to salve his poor conscience and agree to act. I stand corrected—a quite sensible foreign policy doctrine indeed.
 
Posted by Doublethink. (# 1984) on :
 
Well, y'know Putin swallowing countries and ISIL trying to wipe out the Yazidis, it is not beyond the bounds of possibility.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
In the House, polite takes second seat to jeering, shouting and other behaviour we teach our children is the total opposite to polite and civilised behaviour.

There is serious debate in the Commons, as well as jeering. Considering our Purg and Hell boards, perhaps the place isn't so different to this site...?
Of course, and as this is Hell I'm permitting myself the liberty of stretching the point a little. Though, the chamber of the House is a pretty poor place to conduct serious business of government (the same goes for any other similar chamber in any Parliament, Congress, Assembly, Senate etc anywhere else). There isn't even space for all the MPs to turn up, and even if they did how many would be able to ask questions and make suggestions about amendments to the bill in front of them? The serious work of the House is done in select committees, through written questions and responses ... the debate in the chamber is mostly just the last chance for a small number of members representing the main positions held by members to summarise their positions. There is a strong element of theatre, playing to the cameras. It does give us a chance to see whether our representative is there, and whether or not they're taking a snooze.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Ariel:
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
It says something that the Speaker in the Commons told off the SNP MPs for politely applauding points well made [Roll Eyes]

My memory of it was it came across as a bit intrusive and too frequent, and also done in a bit of a point-scoring way.
Yeah, like shouts of "hear! hear!" can't be intrusive and frequent, and be done in a way to score points.

When convention in the Commons bans the most common way people have of expressing appreciation then it shows a lack of connection to the people they are supposed to be representing. I didn't go in for school debates and the like much, but I'm pretty sure shouts of "hear! hear!" (much less jeers and taunts) during speeches would not have been tolerated, but a round of applause at the end of an address would have been perfectly normal.
 
Posted by Cod (# 2643) on :
 
But rounds of applause during an address, or even a debate does interfere in way that "Hear hear" (which only lasts a second or two) does not. If it happens repeatedly, it becomes rather like the sheep in Animal Farm bleating "Four Legs Good, Two Legs Bad" repeatedly.
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
Exactly. That was how it came across to me.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Well, of course, things can be taken to excess. I'm not saying a standing ovation after every speech should be normal. Much less the stupidity of judging the quality of a speech by how long the ovation lasts. This is Parliament, not some party conference or rock concert.

But, ripples of applause are not that disrupting. When I go to listen to a jazz band (far too rarely these days) an improvised solo will gain a round of applause, without putting off the band as they continue the tune. A politician making a speech has the chance to pause if there is applause (or the yobs yelling "hear hear") so that some of the speech isn't drowned out, and gentle applause can be spoken over without too much difficulty (especially given the microphone set up in the Commons) whereas shouts from the back are much harder to screen out.

I don't really want to see a lot of anything unnecessarily disrupting Parliamentary procedure, whether cheers, jeers or applause. So, moderation in all those things would be great. But, a ban on societies main method of expressing appreciation in favour of something many would think somewhat impolite is just another sign of how out of touch politicians are.
 
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on :
 
Corbyn's questions have lasted 13 of the first 15 minutes of PMQ. That's quite a change on its own.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by leo:
Cameron simply isn't very bright. He thinks in stereotypes.

I am very pleased that Corbyn was elected.

Cameron's smart enough. Osborne OTOH is pretty dim, and he's in the job where intelligence really is needed. Vince Cable would have been a far better Chancellor of the Exchequer, on the grounds that he knew the subject, but the Tories wouldn't have stood for that. He was (and I'll bet the farm on this) therefore offered the post of Chief Secretary to the Treasury, which is often the brains behind the Chancellor, but shovelling shit after Osborne didn't appeal.

There are any number of ministers who are thicker than Cameron: I'm struggling to find one who isn't.
 
Posted by Chapelhead (# 21) on :
 
Perhaps MPs should do 'jazz hands'. Less of an interruption, more pc and probably more interesting to watch.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:


There are any number of ministers who are thicker than Cameron: I'm struggling to find one who isn't.

I like a challenge... Pre-2015 election I might have offered Dominic Grieve. There's actually a fair amount to be said in favour of Philip Hammond.

I agree though that to describe Cameron as not very bright is at best inaccurate and at worst wishful thinking.
 
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
Cameron's smart enough. Osborne OTOH is pretty dim, and he's in the job where intelligence really is needed.

I differ. Osborne is politically-savvy, even though he's economically illiterate. He's the brains behind how the Conservatives operate.

Cameron has some similarly savvy advisors, but he's not a particularly sharp tool himself. It's why today's PMQs was the closest he's come in 5.5 years to having to face a genuine question from the public. To Cameron, the British people are faceless, nameless mass to be appeased through soundbites. It is unfathomable to a man of his privilege that an ordinary citizen should (or even could) ask him a question; to hold him to account for his mismanagement of the high office of public service with which he is charged.

To him, this job was a right, and he gets very very angry when someone points out that he is far from the best person for it.
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
Cameron puzzles me. I now think he's potentially a clever man- they don't just bring round firsts in PPE at Oxford with the rations, even to Etonians- who doesn't really use his brain because he's actually pretty comfortable with how things are and deep down he's frightened of what might happen if he started to ask questions. (This explains his anger when questions are asked, and is IME quite common among people on the right.) I used to think that Osborne had probably been dropped on his head as a baby but I've come round to thinking that he is indeed politically extremely savvy: he has an enormous amount of low cunning and skill at gamesmanship.

[ 16. September 2015, 14:03: Message edited by: Albertus ]
 
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on :
 
Osborne's a first class gloating troll. He has an absolute gift for finding forms of words that rub your face in your inability to wipe the smug smile off his face.
 
Posted by Tubbs (# 440) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
...To him, this job was a right, and he gets very very angry when someone points out that he is far from the best person for it.

Therein lies the problem. Cameron comes over as the sort of person who applied for the promotion because they thought they should and it was the logical next step. Having got the promotion and realised the job is shit and the employees are ackward, he doesn't seem to know quite what to do with himself. He never looks like he's having any fun. (Thatcher and Blair always looked like they were having a whale of a time).

And now the opposition has appointed someone who can give as good he gets. And doesn't care Who Cameron Is. PMQs might be worth a watch again. [Big Grin]

And, next time someone points out that Corbyn didn't sing the national anthem at an event, point out that Cameron took a selfie at Mandela's funeral. Like, well, classy!

Tubbs

[ 16. September 2015, 15:02: Message edited by: Tubbs ]
 
Posted by Dark Knight (# 9415) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I am waiting to see if Corbyn starts to dissect neo-liberalism, as nobody in Labour has been prepared to do that, which has been a huge lacuna in British politics. If he does, (and surely he will), I will be interested to see Cameron's response. We might actually get a more deep-rooted debate about political philosophies than we normally do. Well, on the other hand, maybe not, if Cameron is involved.

A very interesting observation. The problem with neoliberalism is that it has so corrupted our political systems that it is now taken to be "common sense" - of course we must rationalise and force all systems in a society to act as if they were economic systems, even if they aren't. We have just seen off one of the most aggressively neoliberal politicians I've ever seen down here - Tony Abbott - a bloke who seemed to see public goods as a kind of piggy bank for him to smash open, while reducing tax rates for the super rich (his biggest financial supporters) as much as he could get away with. It was only because he was not only so blatant, but so bad at what he was doing - bad economically, I mean, being morally bad apparently doesn't matter much - that the electorate lost all confidence in him. The slightly wetter, much more sophisticated neoliberalism of his successor Mal Turnbull will inevitably be seen as much better "for Australia," and things will roll along as usual. We don't have an equivalent of Corbyn anywhere close to power or influence down here, both sides of the house have been thoroughly neoliberalised.
Because neoliberalism doesn't see a place for public goods and services, and entrenches structural inequality by refusing to compel the rich to pay their fair share, it nearly always ends up being neither "economic" nor "rational" - the ballooning deficit down here is case in point. But neoliberalism is completely incompatible with the pending environmental crisis. Which is hardly good news - this moronic form of governance will disappear along with most of the habitable parts of the planet.

[ 16. September 2015, 15:33: Message edited by: Dark Knight ]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Dark Knight - great post. I think people here are still in a state of shock over Corbyn. Nobody really expected that there could be a serious challenge to neo-liberalism, and probably, in the Labour Party, least of all. The Blairites probably don't know whether to stick or twist - strong rumours now of defections to the Tories.

Of course, Corbyn may fail miserably in electoral terms, but I think he has already opened up a debate, which Labour had so signally failed to do before. Helping the rich had become a kind of natural law, unquestioned.

Of course, this is not isolated - we see similar movements around the world.

Part of me is hopeful, that the debate can be prosecuted, part of me fearing the worst - that the right-wing media will drown us all in their excrement.
 
Posted by Tubbs (# 440) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Dark Knight - great post. I think people here are still in a state of shock over Corbyn. Nobody really expected that there could be a serious challenge to neo-liberalism, and probably, in the Labour Party, least of all. The Blairites probably don't know whether to stick or twist - strong rumours now of defections to the Tories.

Of course, Corbyn may fail miserably in electoral terms, but I think he has already opened up a debate, which Labour had so signally failed to do before. Helping the rich had become a kind of natural law, unquestioned.

Of course, this is not isolated - we see similar movements around the world.

Part of me is hopeful, that the debate can be prosecuted, part of me fearing the worst - that the right-wing media will drown us all in their excrement.

Blair’s legacy was always going to be overturned at some point, because ultimately it wasn’t a Labour one. Sooner or later someone was going to take the party back to its roots. And because he managed to piss all over it by entering into an illegal war.

They’re screwed either way. Staying will prove that they actually believed in some of the ideals that Labour was founded on. But does mean sucking it up.

Leaving will prove that most Blairites aren’t interested in Labour. They just joined because they felt they’d do better there than in the Tories. Or simply because they couldn’t bear to be a Tory because its icky and Labour was nicer.

Some of them would be out on their arse in the resulting by-election if they stood on a Tory ticket. They represent constituencies where they were elected because they were Labour.

Maybe it's time for a Circus game ... Which Blairite will change from Red to Blue first?!

The whole thing is just sour grapes. In the words of Frank Field, they looked at the thin Blairite gruel that was on offer and went for the other option. It's actually not Corbyn that rejected them. but the Party. More people voted for Corbyn than for Blair. If some of them were as smart as they make themselves out to be, they want to think about why that was ...! Other countries managed to put up a decent anti-austrity movement. Why can't the UK?!

Tubbs

[ 16. September 2015, 17:16: Message edited by: Tubbs ]
 
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Cameron puzzles me. I now think he's potentially a clever man- they don't just bring round firsts in PPE at Oxford with the rations, even to Etonians- who doesn't really use his brain because he's actually pretty comfortable with how things are and deep down he's frightened of what might happen if he started to ask questions. (This explains his anger when questions are asked, and is IME quite common among people on the right.)

That's almost, for Cameron, a description of something I think is called "Imposter Syndrome", where the sufferer doesn't quite believe their position and expects to be "found out".

Or someone who has grown up always knowing the answers, has never had to deal with a problem they can't instantly solve, and therefore has no strategies to deal with something more difficult than they have met before. (Been there myself, seen ex-pupils with it. Easier to deal with if not dealt with in public.)

[ 16. September 2015, 18:37: Message edited by: Penny S ]
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
Interesting. But of course Cameron's stuff is all, by definition, done in public- and who would be in a position to tell him about it?
I think there's an awful lot of this going on in that sort of social stratum and bit of the political spectrum. You've only got to look at publications like the Times and the Spectator- lots of articles by people who are clearly, on one level, highly intelligent, but whose whole worldview is shaped by sets of comforting (to them) assumptaions that they are never, ever going to question or, if they can help it, to allow anyone to question.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
clearly, on one level, highly intelligent, but whose whole worldview is shaped by sets of comforting (to them) assumptaions that they are never, ever going to question or, if they can help it, to allow anyone to question.

"Exclusive to ALL media outlets 2015"

I mean, quite apart from anything else I could re-write your sentence substituting the Guardian for the Times, and the New Statesman for the Spectator and it would still be true. It's a people problem, not a right/establishment problem.
 
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
I agree though that to describe Cameron as not very bright is at best inaccurate and at worst wishful thinking.

Wishful thinking is right. It's all part of a certain mindset on the left that says anyone of any intelligence would obviously support their side, so anyone on the right must either be stupid or mired in a selfishness-inspired form of denial.

You can see that attitude repeated several times on this page alone. The thought that an intelligent person could honestly think right-wing solutions are better than left-wing ones never even occurs to them.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
Underestimating your enemy is foolishness in the extreme. There's no reason to believe that people on the right are any less intelligent than people on the left.

They may just be evil.
 
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on :
 
I don't think it helps to try to estimate the intelligence of the other side, but it seems fairly clear that ideology frequently gets in the way of making prudent long-term decisions.

For example - large scale solar power is (apparently) at or near parity with other forms of energy generation, and yet the Tory government has cut funding.

I don't think you have to be a socialist to think ahead and see that cheaper forms of long-term energy generation are better than dirty, polluting short-term forms. And that continuing with gas and coal are not going to a) help global warming or b) give long term energy sustainability.

At present its appears that the Tory voting constituency which objects to solar, wind, wave and essentially any form of renewable energy are pushing us towards policies which will actually make things worse (eg continued use of coal and gas) - presumably on the basis that they don't want to physically see wind turbines, whereas they don't have to see large coal power stations out of the windows of their large semi-detached houses in the suburbs.

That has nothing to do with intelligence, and everything to do with ideological blindness.

And yes, of course, I accept that socialists are ideologically blind in other ways.
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
clearly, on one level, highly intelligent, but whose whole worldview is shaped by sets of comforting (to them) assumptaions that they are never, ever going to question or, if they can help it, to allow anyone to question.

"Exclusive to ALL media outlets 2015"

I mean, quite apart from anything else I could re-write your sentence substituting the Guardian for the Times, and the New Statesman for the Spectator and it would still be true. It's a people problem, not a right/establishment problem.

Well, there is something in what you say about the Guardian and the Staggers, and although I read them both regularly some of their writers make me want to go out and join UKIP. Many journalists of all persuasions are of course almost by definition lazy types who like the sound of their own voices but don't want to take responisbility for what they say. But I think that with the lefty press it's something slightly different: I'd describe it as a continuous questioning and stirring up of unease, almost for its own sake (it is sometimes turned against shibboleths and institutions of the left as well as those of the right). I have not time at all for that but it's not quite the same: and there are thoughtful c/Conservatives whom I respect and with some of whom I in general agree much more than I do with many of those who are supposedly on my side. I suppose that if you wanted to caricature the two positions, too many people on the right never really ask questions and too many people on the left never really stop asking questions.
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
I don't think intelligence is the issue. I would suspect that, in any reasonable test, The Unholy Trinity of Cameron, Osbourne and IDS would all rate pretty intelligent.

And, as Marvin said, calling your opponents "stupid" is a cheap trick. People tried it with Boris, and look where it got him.

The problem is not stupidity. It is condescension, combined with a real lack of understanding of what effect their actions actually have. It is not that they are stupid, but that they think everyone else is stupid.

Which is stupid.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
I agree though that to describe Cameron as not very bright is at best inaccurate and at worst wishful thinking.

Wishful thinking is right. It's all part of a certain mindset on the left that says anyone of any intelligence would obviously support their side, so anyone on the right must either be stupid or mired in a selfishness-inspired form of denial.

You can see that attitude repeated several times on this page alone. The thought that an intelligent person could honestly think right-wing solutions are better than left-wing ones never even occurs to them.

You're probably correct about intelligence although Osborne* definitely isn't intelligent enough for the job he's in, but it's a guinea to a gooseberry that the Conservatives, and more especially UKIP, appeal more to those who are selfish than do those who support most of the other parties.
 
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
You're probably correct about intelligence although Osborne* definitely isn't intelligent enough for the job he's in, but it's a guinea to a gooseberry that the Conservatives, and more especially UKIP, appeal more to those who are selfish than do those who support most of the other parties.

This is why there are civil servants. He doesn't have to be.

Emotional intelligence about the effects of his actions is quite a different thing.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
It's an interesting discussion. I don't think right-wing people are stupid, and plenty of left-wing people are. That's not really what it's about.

I'm not sure about emotional intelligence either, I've known plenty of lefties bereft of that, oh boy, I have.

Well, it's made me think about this.
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
My problem is that supposedly intelligent people* say and do some quite stupid things. That means either they've turned their brains off or that they know what they're doing and they don't care. Which is far more worrying.

To contextualize that: there is strong evidence that the benefit sanctions so widespread in IDS's DWP 1) Don't achieve what they claim they do (see other thread) and 2) are really dangerous and damaging (a leading cause of needing to use a foodbank).

So it's a stupid policy. Either those insisting on it don't know this or do and have decided to do it anyway.

When you look at the economics, almost everything Osborne says is completely ridiculous. If he believes what he's saying, he's deluded. If he doesn't then he's deeply dishonest. ( Some thoughts on Osborne's chancellorship) - so maybe we'll running out of language. Stupid is as stupid does - not really - very smart people are often very stupid.

AFZ

*see my comments up thread that I know someone who knows Cameron well who described him as very smart.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I think ideology is a big factor. It seems to act as a kind of filter, which actually stops people seeing something, or empathizing with someone.

It operates on the left and the right. I remember during the Iranian revolution, when some left-wing friends of mine were enthusing about it, and I pointed out that they were already persecuting gays, and there was an awkward silence, and somebody said, oh well, there are always teething problems.

Same with those who were enthusiastic about Stalin in Western countries, and dismissed evidence about the Moscow Trials, for example.

Anyway, back to Osborne and IDS. I suspect that they really believe that they are helping the poor, and if there are unfortunate by-products (such as suicides), they are also teething problems, and it will all work out in the end.

Well, since I am psychoanalytically trained, I have to bring in the unconscious also - who knows what lurks in the black lagoon of politicians' psyches? Shudder.

[ 17. September 2015, 12:52: Message edited by: quetzalcoatl ]
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
Oh yes, ideological filters- or at least unacknowledged ideological filters- really stop some people from thinking. I learnt about the essential dishonesty or at best doublethink of some British lefties at the time of the Falklands War- what, you're supporting a takeover of the islands against the inhabitants' wishes by a brutal military-fascist regime, just because it's opposed to the UK government?
But I'm afraid I still agree with what JS Mill said, to the effect that although not all Conservatives are stupid, stupid people tend to be Conservatives. IME that's true, on the whole, except perhaps in pockets where there's an exceedingly strong traditional non-Conservative hegemony.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
My memory of left-wing arguments over the Falklands was that they were often geographical. In other words, Hong Kong is Chinese because of geography. Of course, the same argument is used vis a vis N. Ireland.

There were also arguments about colonialism, and I suppose today, it has all been sharpened by the presence of oil.
 
Posted by Adeodatus (# 4992) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by alienfromzog:
When you look at the economics, almost everything Osborne says is completely ridiculous. If he believes what he's saying, he's deluded. If he doesn't then he's deeply dishonest. ( Some thoughts on Osborne's chancellorship) - so maybe we'll running out of language. Stupid is as stupid does - not really - very smart people are often very stupid.

An acquaintance of mine who's in finance and as Tory as they come told me back in about 2011 that many in the business look on much of what Osborne does with jaw-dropping horror. The consensus seems to be that he has the economic acumen of a bag of hedgehogs.
 
Posted by Adeodatus (# 4992) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
My memory of left-wing arguments over the Falklands was that they were often geographical. In other words, Hong Kong is Chinese because of geography. Of course, the same argument is used vis a vis N. Ireland.

There were also arguments about colonialism, and I suppose today, it has all been sharpened by the presence of oil.

Even the oil is a sideshow. The one interest that Britain has in the Falklands is that large, unplundered continent to the south.

Now, there are all sorts of multi-party treaties preventing exploitation of Antarctica. But every single country that signed one of those treaties is waiting with bated breath to see who breaks them first - so that they can be second. Nobody (yet) wants to be the bad guy who begins the devastation of Antarctica, but nobody would really mind being ahead of the rest of the field. And as long as Britain has the Falklands, there's a ready-written Government statement somewhere that says, "It is appalling that X has flagrantly broken the Antarctic Treaty. Our drilling engineers from BP will be arriving at Halley Base tomorrow."
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
Oil and the Antarctic Treaty notwithstanding, there's also the small matter of the UN committee on decolonisation coming up against the UN principle of self determination.

Having lived down there for a bit, the islanders are well aware of the other incentives the UK government may have for respecting their right to self determination rather than selling them out to Argentina; to be honest it's one of those happy occasions where statecraft actually coincides with the wishes of the locals IMO.

I know it's vanishingly unlikely, but if ever anyone gives you the opportunity to get down there then do go - the Falklands are one of the most lovely places on earth.
 
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
if ever anyone gives you the opportunity to get down there then do go - the Falklands (sic) are one of the most lovely places on earth.

Very windy, though. Friend of mine worked in the Malvinas for a while and the 4x4 she was driving was toppled and rolled over several times by a single gust.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
if ever anyone gives you the opportunity to get down there then do go - the Falklands (sic) are one of the most lovely places on earth.

Very windy, though. Friend of mine worked in the Malvinas for a while and the 4x4 she was driving was toppled and rolled over several times by a single gust.
I managed to drive one into an Argentine minefield (brilliantly, they laid them without mapping them...)! You sort of get 5 or 6 seasons in a day - one minute you're sunbathing, the next you've got 8 layers of fleece on.

Quickest way to start a fight with/ostracise yourself from the locals is to mention the M word by the way (just to keep things hellish). They want peaceful co-existence with Argentina, and nothing else. The last referendum, in 2013, had a grand total of 3 people voting to leave Britain.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by alienfromzog:
My problem is that supposedly intelligent people* say and do some quite stupid things. That means either they've turned their brains off or that they know what they're doing and they don't care. Which is far more worrying.

To contextualize that: there is strong evidence that the benefit sanctions so widespread in IDS's DWP 1) Don't achieve what they claim they do (see other thread) and 2) are really dangerous and damaging (a leading cause of needing to use a foodbank).

So it's a stupid policy. Either those insisting on it don't know this or do and have decided to do it anyway.

When you look at the economics, almost everything Osborne says is completely ridiculous. If he believes what he's saying, he's deluded. If he doesn't then he's deeply dishonest. ( Some thoughts on Osborne's chancellorship) - so maybe we'll running out of language. Stupid is as stupid does - not really - very smart people are often very stupid.

AFZ

*see my comments up thread that I know someone who knows Cameron well who described him as very smart.

There's one level at which the benefit sanctions and the rest of the DWPs policies do exactly what they are intended to do: they are vote winners. Demonising those on benefits as feckless scroungers is one of the runaway successes of modern politics wwhen it comes to getting elected and IDS & Osborne are only following the trend of the last thirty-five years.

There's a chance that Jeremy Corbyn could gain support for a different policy, and that on its own could account for any amount of the peronal attacks as it could take all the wind out of the Tory and UKIP sails.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
if ever anyone gives you the opportunity to get down there then do go - the Falklands (sic) are one of the most lovely places on earth.

Very windy, though. Friend of mine worked in the Malvinas for a while and the 4x4 she was driving was toppled and rolled over several times by a single gust.
Actually, I've just clocked the (sic) on Falklands in your edit of my post. Are there many countries where you go out of your way to reject the name preferred by the people that live there?
 
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Quickest way to start a fight with/ostracise yourself from the locals is to mention the M word by the way (just to keep things hellish). They want peaceful co-existence with Argentina, and nothing else. The last referendum, in 2013, had a grand total of 3 people voting to leave Britain.

It would be very interesting if Argentina decided to set up a colony on a previously uninhabited Scottish island and then hold a vote of self-determination on the island's inhabitants.

I remember those 3 people serving me very well in a pub quiz!
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
if ever anyone gives you the opportunity to get down there then do go - the Falklands (sic) are one of the most lovely places on earth.

Very windy, though. Friend of mine worked in the Malvinas for a while and the 4x4 she was driving was toppled and rolled over several times by a single gust.
Actually, I've just clocked the (sic) on Falklands in your edit of my post. Are there many countries where you go out of your way to reject the name preferred by the people that live there?
Xian, Al-Misr, Al-Liban, Deutschland, Espana. Any more for any more?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Bharat? Saint Reatham?
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
Quickest way to start a fight with/ostracise yourself from the locals is to mention the M word by the way (just to keep things hellish). They want peaceful co-existence with Argentina, and nothing else. The last referendum, in 2013, had a grand total of 3 people voting to leave Britain.

It would be very interesting if Argentina decided to set up a colony on a previously uninhabited Scottish island and then hold a vote of self-determination on the island's inhabitants.

I remember those 3 people serving me very well in a pub quiz!

Isn't that basically what Spain/Argentina did with Argentina? Except it wasn't uninhabited at the time...
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
If it's a Scottish island isn't it by definition part of Scotland...?
 
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
If it's a Scottish island isn't it by definition part of Scotland...?

At the moment, yes.

But that's the issue with the Malvinas. They were Argentinian islands. They were colonised by the British who then redesignated them as the Falklands and stated that the population, planted there by the the British, are the only ones who should determine which country the islands belong to.

It's an international case of squatters' rights.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Even if you're right (and I don't think you are) it's no reason not to call the islands the Falklands when writing in English.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
If it's a Scottish island isn't it by definition part of Scotland...?

At the moment, yes.

But that's the issue with the Malvinas. They were Argentinian islands.

When? Because it certainly wasn't first....
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
If it's a Scottish island isn't it by definition part of Scotland...?

At the moment, yes.

But that's the issue with the Malvinas. They were Argentinian islands.

When? Because it certainly wasn't first....
and when I say "when" - I know there was a when; I think in the great scheme of things they were what, about 5th or 6th to the party?

If you were advocating handing them to France I might think that was the romantically right thing to do...
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
Xian, Al-Misr, Al-Liban, Deutschland, Espana. Any more for any more?

Actually, Liban is the French version so it's Le Liban, or just Loubnan in the Arabic, and just Misr for the Egyptian Arabic. Sorry. Are we pronouncing Paris as Paree now?
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
My memory of left-wing arguments over the Falklands was that they were often geographical. In other words, Hong Kong is Chinese because of geography. Of course, the same argument is used vis a vis N. Ireland.

There were also arguments about colonialism, and I suppose today, it has all been sharpened by the presence of oil.

It was geographical, but there was also a strong element of 'my ciuntry wrong or wrong'. I distinctly reacll a ,lot of people who before March 1982 probably thought that the Falklands were somewhere in the region of the Hebrides suddenly becoming instant experts on the history of the settlement of the South Atlantic in the eraly 1830s.
BTW on the matter of terminiology: if you're writing in Spanish, call them the Malvinas by all means. In French, les Iles Malouines. I will even strecth a point and say that if you are a Spanish speaker writing in English, to write of the Malvinas might be understandable. But in English, the only name is the Falklands, and if you are an English speaker to call them anything else is posturing pretentiousness.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
I thought the Arabs attached the definite article to lots of words so, for example, Japan becomes Al-Yaban. (Appreciate the Egyptians do things slightly differently though...)
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
Depends on the word. Lebanon tends not to be, Jordan usually is for some reason.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Ah, I see. Interesting.
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
If it's a Scottish island isn't it by definition part of Scotland...?

At the moment, yes.

But that's the issue with the Malvinas. They were Argentinian islands. They were colonised by the British who then redesignated them as the Falklands and stated that the population, planted there by the the British, are the only ones who should determine which country the islands belong to.

It's an international case of squatters' rights.

Even if it is, so what? I think you only establish your claim to land if you do something with it- but then of course I'm bit of a lefty. And it ill-behoves Argentina, a country founded on the appropriation of other people's land by a settler population, to get on this pseudo-legalistic high horse. So, as this is Hell, I feel perfectly free to say fuck off, Argies.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I'm not sure if it was pretentious for the left to call the Falklands the Malvinas; it just seemed to make a political point to me, like calling Derry Derry, and not Londonderry. Well, if you really want to push the boat out, Doire Cholmcille.
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
Alright: let's reserve 'pretentious' for English people who talk about Firenze and Livorno and Savoie and Munchen, and go with wilfully perverse and pro-fascist or at least pro-militaristic-nationalistic posturing instead.
 
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Even if it is, so what? I think you only establish your claim to land if you do something with it- but then of course I'm bit of a lefty. And it ill-behoves Argentina, a country founded on the appropriation of other people's land by a settler population, to get on this pseudo-legalistic high horse. So, as this is Hell, I feel perfectly free to say fuck off, Argies.

Right, according to Albertus, the following British territories are open to anyone who feels like invading:

Rockall and other uninhabited islands in Scotland
The South Sandwich Islands
Several islands in the Caribbean
Most of the British Antarctic
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
We have some sort of presence in those places, even if they don't a population; at the very least we take responsibility for navigation and surveying and so forth around them. I mean, I might not avtually live on or even cultivate a piece of land I own but if I see to its fences and drainage and cut the grass occasionally, I reckon that qualifies.
But if you want to bugger off to the South Sandwich Islands and try to colonise them for your foreign regime of choice, matey, I'll gladly wish you bon voyage.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Alright: let's reserve 'pretentious' for English people who talk about Firenze and Livorno and Savoie and Munchen, and go with wilfully perverse and pro-fascist or at least pro-militaristic-nationalistic posturing instead.

Ah yes, imperialism has always said, stick with us, we have liberal principles, whereas your leaders, X, Y, and Z are right-wing nationalists. Very high-minded. I think Napoleon used to use this line.

[ 17. September 2015, 16:21: Message edited by: quetzalcoatl ]
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
But in the case of the Falklands- where we didn't AFAIK evict any native population- we were indeed the comparatively liberal ones, certainly in 1982 when Argentina was under a truly nasty regime. (The fact that Thatch's government had been trying to shunt the islands off Argentina under some dubious 'leaseback' or 'shared sovereignty' fudge in the immediate run-up to the invasion makes no difference to the fact that we were right to geet them back once they had been taken; it just shows up the falsity of Thatch's blustering claims to patriotic glory. Contrast that with Jim Callaghan, solid social patriot and loyal son of the Navy, who quietly saw off the Argies in '77 even though he said later that he recognised quite how big an electoral asset a victorious war could be.)
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
at the very least we take responsibility for navigation and surveying and so forth around them.

Having spent 6 months crashing around the British Antarctic Territory on an icebreaker (among other things rescuing idiot yachtsmen), I can certainly vouch for that.
 
Posted by Doublethink. (# 1984) on :
 
Course, if a multinational needed a reservoir, or business wanted a railway *cough* HS2 *cough*, and it involved the compulsory purchase of a few thousand homes - we'd just give people grants and move them.

One wonders exactly where the differences lie. Though there is definitely something different about the two situations.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Well, for a start, moving people off land to make way for stuff is governed by a legislative framework in a way that putting a landing craft in Port Stanley harbour isn't.
 
Posted by Doublethink. (# 1984) on :
 
Clearly, but the dispute over the sovereignty of the Falklands both pre and post dates the Falklands war.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
There's no dispute as far as I'm concerned. [Biased]
 
Posted by Doublethink. (# 1984) on :
 
We could always sell it off to cut the deficit ...
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
You need to find some wealthy chum to value it at £Xbillion first, then sell it off do said chum can buy it for £X/2 billion before making a fortune selling it on, oh and giving a nice little donation to party funds in the process.
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:

But that's the issue with the Malvinas. They were Argentinian islands.

Well, if you want to be precise, the British control of the Falklands predates the existence of anything called "Argentina".

In other news, the beaker people want their island back.
 
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
Well, if you want to be precise, the British control of the Falklands predates the existence of anything called "Argentina".

In other news, the beaker people want their island back.

I could be wrong, but I don't think that is the only deciding factor under international law. I think there are a lot of international disputes around sovereignty of land to which the country feels it has a stake even though it was not a named country at the time.

It seems to me that Argentina was entitled to try to annex the islands by Conquest, and the British were entitled to defend their claim by war.

Again, I could be completely wrong, but it bothers me that we always get the British version of events without any challenge to the view that Argentina had no rights to make a claim.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy:

It seems to me that Argentina was entitled to try to annex the islands by Conquest, and the British were entitled to defend their claim by war.

Again, I could be completely wrong, but it bothers me that we always get the British version of events without any challenge to the view that Argentina had no rights to make a claim.

As this thread is about politics we shouldn't ignore the political aspects of the 1982 Falklands war. Galtieri, the Argentinian dictator at the time, tried to use the invasion to bolster the failing military regime. When the Falklands venture failed, the military regime failed and Galtieri with it. Meanwhile Margaret Thatcher gained hugely from the British military success in personal terms and it laid the foundation for nearly fifteen years further Conservative government.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais: Galtieri, the Argentinian dictator at the time, tried to use the invasion to bolster the failing military regime. When the Falklands venture failed, the military regime failed and Galtieri with it. Meanwhile Margaret Thatcher gained hugely from the British military success in personal terms and it laid the foundation for nearly fifteen years further Conservative government.
Everyone's a winner!
 
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais: Galtieri, the Argentinian dictator at the time, tried to use the invasion to bolster the failing military regime. When the Falklands venture failed, the military regime failed and Galtieri with it. Meanwhile Margaret Thatcher gained hugely from the British military success in personal terms and it laid the foundation for nearly fifteen years further Conservative government.
Everyone's a winner!
Except all those dead people, of course.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais: Galtieri, the Argentinian dictator at the time, tried to use the invasion to bolster the failing military regime. When the Falklands venture failed, the military regime failed and Galtieri with it. Meanwhile Margaret Thatcher gained hugely from the British military success in personal terms and it laid the foundation for nearly fifteen years further Conservative government.
Everyone's a winner!
Except all those dead people, of course.
And Galtieri.
 
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais: Galtieri, the Argentinian dictator at the time, tried to use the invasion to bolster the failing military regime. When the Falklands venture failed, the military regime failed and Galtieri with it. Meanwhile Margaret Thatcher gained hugely from the British military success in personal terms and it laid the foundation for nearly fifteen years further Conservative government.
Everyone's a winner!
Except all those dead people, of course.
And Galtieri.
And the British people, who ended up with a further 15 years of the Conservative regime.
 
Posted by Adeodatus (# 4992) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Well, for a start, moving people off land to make way for stuff is governed by a legislative framework in a way that putting a landing craft in Port Stanley harbour isn't.

Trust me, when the islands become one gigantic oil refinery, the people will be removed quicker than you can say "General Belgrano".
 
Posted by leftfieldlover (# 13467) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
Just after Jeremy Corbyn was elected, David Cameron sent a message out:

"The Labour party is now a threat to out national security, our economic security, and your families security"

You total and utter, immoral pile of foetid shit.

1. Corbyn opposes nuclear weapons. Apparently that is a threat to our national security - more than your continual aggression towards the middle east.

Nuclear weapons are an irrelevance today. They are a way of you syphoning off more money to your cronies, and not to those who need it - the poor in our society. We are not going to nuke Syria, or Afghanistan, or Calais. Scrapping them is NOT a threat to our national security.

In truth, I believe Corbyn would improve our national security, because he is prepared to talk to people he opposes. A far better way.

2. The biggest threat to our economic security as a nation is you, Mr Cameron. Corbyn is a real threat to the economic security of the very rich, including yourself and a number of members of your cabinet. He is a threat to the bankers, the people - in case you have forgotten - who caused the economic crisis in the first place. He is a huge threat to the economic security of the 1%.

But for the country, for the 99%, he is no threat. I am SICK of the constant talk that a socialist approach to economics is a threat. It is different, it has a different set of success indicators, but it can work. Unless you happen to be in the 1%.

And if you happen to be a corrupt, manipulative, lying bastard, then yes, Corbyn is a threat. The sooner you and your cronies get the fucking you deserve, the better.

3. My families security is under severe threat from your policies. It is your austerity measures, your damaging of our economy that threatens my families security. Having to change job, not being able to retire or be declared disabled. It is your policies that mean my children struggle to find good jobs.

Cameron, you suck. You are desperately scared of someone with principles, morals, ideas, someone who is not scared of you, because Corbyn will show up your utter lack of these. Your only response is, once again, to try to spread fear, uncertainty and doubt.

Rot in hell, you loathsome, vile prick. And when you have rotted there, rot some more.

So true!
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
Well, for a start, moving people off land to make way for stuff is governed by a legislative framework in a way that putting a landing craft in Port Stanley harbour isn't.

Tell that to the Chagos Islanders. They were deported from their homes in the early 1970's when the UK sold rights to the main island to enable the US to build a military base on Diego Garcia. All strictly "legal" especially if you are in possession of the territory (which is itself disputed).

The Chagossians were dirt poor, working on plantations, when they lived there. Now the dirt has gone they are just plain poor and regarded as stateless outsiders wherever they now live, all thanks to civilised nations operating within international law.

[ 18. September 2015, 10:21: Message edited by: Sioni Sais ]
 
Posted by Albertus (# 13356) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais: Galtieri, the Argentinian dictator at the time, tried to use the invasion to bolster the failing military regime. When the Falklands venture failed, the military regime failed and Galtieri with it. Meanwhile Margaret Thatcher gained hugely from the British military success in personal terms and it laid the foundation for nearly fifteen years further Conservative government.
Everyone's a winner!
Except all those dead people, of course.
And Galtieri.
Which means that the Argentinian people were winners too. Grim as the next 15 years here were, I think they'd be nothing compared to what might have happened in Argentina under a revivified and victorious junta.
Oh and of course the treatment of the Chagossians has been disgraceful. Makes no difference to the Falklands business, though.

[ 18. September 2015, 14:46: Message edited by: Albertus ]
 
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on :
 
From Albertus

quote:
a lot of people who before March 1982 probably thought that the Falklands were somewhere in the region of the Hebrides
I was one - though not the Hebrides exactly. And I had an echo of it recently when visiting the Faroes. I knew it was the Faroes, I knew it was geologically very different, but the Far/l beginning, and the sheep, conspired to keep the southern word bouncing up in my mind. Though fortunately never any further. Oddly, it didn't happen in March, but it did happen in August. That was even odder, because in March the guide kept on and on about the war, and in August it was not mentioned.
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
So, the Right Honourable David Cameron was at his eloquent best yesterday.

quote:
The Prime Minister's Conference Speech:
You only really need to know one thing: he thinks the death of Osama bin Laden was a “tragedy”.

No. A tragedy is nearly 3,000 people murdered one morning in New York. A tragedy is the mums and dads who never came home from work that day. A tragedy is people jumping from the towers after the planes hit.

My friends – we cannot let that man inflict his security-threatening, terrorist-sympathising, Britain-hating ideology on the country we love.

[Eek!] Wow, is that what Mr Corbyn said? Ok, let's have a look:
quote:
Jeremy Corbyn,
There was no attempt whatsoever that I can see to arrest him, to put him on trial, to go through that process.

‘This was an assassination attempt, and is yet another tragedy, upon a tragedy, upon a tragedy.’

The World Trade Centre was a tradegy, the attack on Afghanistan was a tragedy, the war in Iraq was a tragedy. Tens of thousands of people have died. Torture has come back on to the world stage, been canonised virtually into law by Guantanamo and Bagram.

Can’t we learn some lessons over this?

In the same conversation he said that the solution to terrorism was 'law not war'

Now, Mr Prime Minister, I have three problems with this:

1. That's not what tragedy means. A tragedy has something of the unfortunate to it or the unavoidable. Accidents may be tragic or natural disasters. 9/11 wasn't a tragedy it was horrific. It was cold-blooded murder. I know this is semantics but words really matter here.

2. You are implying that Corbyn was making an equivalence argument. He wasn't. His point was more subtle that that. He was arguing that the only proper way to deal with a criminal like Bin Laden is by not stooping to his level. Not least because he believes to do so is to create a spiral of violence. Corbyn was saying (as is made clear elsewhere in the conversation) that death is a tragedy and he felt very strongly that an assassination was the wrong choice. There are lots of factors which I suspect lead to the US policy of capture/kill rather than put on trial and one could argue that it is tragic that we didn't rise above this. That we lowered ourselves to such a level. Furthermore if the use of violence creates the spiral of more terror and more unrest and violence that is clearly a tragedy upon a tragedy.

You may not agree with his analysis but to characterise his position as sympathy with terrorism is blatantly dishonest.

3. Corbyn has a point. This is an area where well-thought-through policy and approach is vital for the security of us all. To indulge in such a sound-bite slur is deeply irresponsible as well as a blatant lie.

So, Mr Prime Minister: [Mad] [Mad] [Mad]

Sadly, I expected nothing less from you.

AFZ
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
This is a man who despite "being against the death penalty in any form, where ever", just ordered - and boasted about - assassinating two British citizens abroad.

I bet Putin's relieved the heat's off regarding Litvinenko...
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
It's not surprising that Cameron is lying about Corbyn, it's a matter of constructing a narrative, and hoping that it sticks. Its connection with truth is irrelevant.

No doubt the tabloids will support Cameron's lies, but I suspect that Corbyn still has an appeal under the radar, well, I mean, despite these lies. Also, hopefully, he will begin to challenge them.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
Corbyn might well do a simple reiteration of what be actually said, then retaliate with an assessment of how many more people are now living below subsistence level as a consequence of benefit cuts, and the additional early deaths and child mortality that will cause.

As for talking to terrorists, we enthusiastically chum up to China and Saudi Arabia, two of the most violent and oppressive regimes on the planet who routinely kill and mutilate their own citizens. Osborne was out there just a couple of weeks ago and was praised by the Chinese regime for "not stressing human rights issues". What can you say?

If North Korea had the same resources and economic muscle, I'm sure we would suck up to Kim Jong Un too.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
I had to laugh at Hunt praising the Chinese for working hard!

It strikes me that Corbyn hasn't got a rebuttal unit in place yet, but that may be deliberate, as he may not want a slick Blairite PR machine in place. But he has to have some kind of rebuttal staff.
 
Posted by Tubbs (# 440) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I had to laugh at Hunt praising the Chinese for working hard!

It strikes me that Corbyn hasn't got a rebuttal unit in place yet, but that may be deliberate, as he may not want a slick Blairite PR machine in place. But he has to have some kind of rebuttal staff.

It could be part of a cunning strategy. Alot of people I know are geniunely excited about the Corbyn alternative and are engaged in the political process for the first time in ages. Not responding to "Project Fear" could actually work in Corbyn's favour in some circlees. That said, he probably needs to counter some of the more outrageous stuff as some of it's just plain lies. (The fact that this is the best that Cameron can come up with says loads about him and the current state of the Tory party).

The Tories could also be geniuely worried. They sneaked in this time around because the centre Left / Left vote was split between the Greens and Labour. If Corbyn continues to convince them, comes up with some appealing policies AND the Greens still can't find a decent leader, it could be interesting next election. [Big Grin]

Tubbs

[ 08. October 2015, 13:10: Message edited by: Tubbs ]
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
Good points, Tubbs. Part of me feels in despair at times at the amount of lying going on - what kind of example is this to young people? That to govern the country, you need a Ph. D. in mendacity?

Of course, they reckon that you need to fix the image of an opponent early on, and it sticks, thus Corbyn 'refuses to see the Queen' and so on.

But maybe also, it's a sign of worry. Hey boss, shall I smear this guy?
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Tubbs:
The Tories could also be geniuely worried.

I'm just back from the Conservative Party Conference. The Tories aren't worried about Corbyn. Not at all.
 
Posted by Doc Tor (# 9748) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Tubbs:
The Tories could also be geniuely worried.

I'm just back from the Conservative Party Conference. The Tories aren't worried about Corbyn. Not at all.
Good. First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Tubbs:
The Tories could also be geniuely worried.

I'm just back from the Conservative Party Conference. The Tories aren't worried about Corbyn. Not at all.
Good. First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
That's right, which is how Ed Miliband swept to victory. Oh, hang on...
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Doc Tor:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Tubbs:
The Tories could also be geniuely worried.

I'm just back from the Conservative Party Conference. The Tories aren't worried about Corbyn. Not at all.
Good. First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
That's right, which is how Ed Miliband swept to victory. Oh, hang on...
Ed Miliband was indistinguishable from Cameron and Clegg in too many ways so he didn't have anything like the support Corbyn has within the party and without. Moreover Corbyn won't have to resort to telling a pack of lies to get the party faithful and the country behind him.

Given time the Tories will worry, and their main concern will be who replaces Cameron at the head of their own party. I doubt Labour will worry a lot about that.
 
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
Ed Miliband was indistinguishable from Cameron and Clegg in too many ways so he didn't have anything like the support Corbyn has within the party and without.

Yes. Whether or not it was the bacon sandwich what done it, nobody was voting Miliband because
they were excited about him or his policies.

quote:
Moreover Corbyn won't have to resort to telling a pack of lies to get the party faithful and the country behind him.
Whether the country will buy in to Corbyn remains to be seen. He's clearly presenting a very different offering from "We're slightly nicer than the Tories".

My feeling is that there are some individual policies that will be popular, but the whole Corbyn package will be too extreme for Mondeo Man and his fellow floating voters, and that he'll prove to be as popular as Michael Foot. I suspect that the hope of the left that an explosion of millions of disaffected leftist non-voters will turn out to vote Corbyn will turn out to be a damp squib.

But we'll see - five years is a long time in politics.
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Tubbs:
The Tories could also be geniuely worried.

I'm just back from the Conservative Party Conference. The Tories aren't worried about Corbyn. Not at all.
You gotta love the humility of the Tories. They stumble to victory on the basis of lies and fear with a small section of the vote but what makes them really dangerous is that they seem to believe their own propaganda. Corbyn might well not lead Labour to victory but the Conservative party is going to destroy itself.

AFZ
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
How is the Conservative Party going to destroy itself?
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
How is the Conservative Party going to destroy itself?

Because they believe their own propaganda

Our economy is in a very perilous state due to Osborne's idiocy. This is gonna bite them in the next couple of years.

Europe.

They actually believe they're in the centre ground, whilst hammering the poor and vulnerable. Eventually, people will notice.

Europe.

Because they have convinced themselves that they've won the argument. They haven't they've lied and cheated and eventually they will be found out.

The complacency of the party in notable, no astounding actually. Meanwhile Cameron knows that he has to demonize Corbyn from day one as someone who might call him out is actually really dangerous. But if he can make sure that no one listens then he can, once again avoid the argument.

The problem is this nasty thing called truth. It's significantly at odds with nearly all of Cameron's speech.

Oh and Europe.

AFZ

[ 08. October 2015, 18:35: Message edited by: alienfromzog ]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
One of the interesting things I found from the Conference was that the mood wasn't one of self-congratulation at all. Yes, we'd won but already the thinking seemed to have moved on to how the party can consolidate that victory. In many ways it didn't feel like a conference taking place a few months after a general election and nearly five years before the next one.

I agree that the old bugbear of the EU could be problematic.
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
I think this piece by Seamus Milne is spot on.

If it's any consolation, there's a decent chance that the Labour party will implode too. If that happens then the Tories can win by default. But don't bet on it.

AFZ
 
Posted by Schroedinger's cat (# 64) on :
 
I think the alien does have a point - for many years, there has been nobody who has been prepared to say "Cameron, you are lying". Whereas Corbyn seems like he will do that (not in so many words, of course, but in principle).

Milliband planed Camerons game - they both lied, nobody called them out on in, and they homes the story they presented would be acceptable to the electorate. Corbyn won't play that game, and that is an important difference.

I have seen in the last month or so more social media exposing the basic Tory lies. I know my social media profile is very left wing, and has always had some of that, but it has got more. Some people believe in truth, so the fact that Tories lie every time they open their mouth will make a difference.

And Cameron sticking his knob in a pig* has not helped his claim to be a decent, respectable person.

*Allegedly. But as he said he is too busy running the country to take legal action. That is close enough to an admission for me. If it was rubbish, he would have had it protested.
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Schroedinger's cat:
8

I have seen in the last month or so more social media exposing the basic Tory lies. I know my social media profile is very left wing, and has always had some of that, but it has got more. Some people believe in truth, so the fact that Tories lie every time they open their mouth will make a difference.


See, this is what worries me about the 21st century, people are just talking past each other. Your social media is telling you it's all going to be fine. Mine, as an extreme left wing Tory, has been for the last couple of days a stream of "we can't afford to lose this opportunity" and, in the past 24 hours post Cameron's speech, a stream of Labour party voters either announcing their defection to the Tories or, alternatively, lamenting that Cameron has just made a speech they don't disagree with any of and why are they being condemned to years in the wilderness by Corbyn....

To be quite honest, I think that anyone who takes remotely seriously what their social media is telling them (and twitter is the worst here because it's even more self-reinforcing than most given you choose who to follow) needs their head examining. All it does is pump a torrent of wish-fulfilment bilge into the user's brain to an extent never seen before outside the propaganda campaigns of highly organised dictatorships. Problem is, now everyone gets to have their own truth, complete with "evidence."

I don't know about you, but I operate a strict doubling-up on who I follow. If I follow the Tories, I want to follow Labour official; if the LibDems then also UKIP, the Times AND the Guardian, John Rentoul and Dan Hannan.

I also rarely read the same newspaper 2 days running, and tend to buy the ones I know I'll disagree with because that's a better way to calibrate what I think is happening.

Somewhere in the triangulation of what they're all saying (and who they're retweeting) the truth lies.

But what I won't do is reach an opinion based on what the sort of people I like and agree with are saying, because echo chambers hurtle off into self-referential cul-de-sacs far too quickly.

I'm sure you probably do likewise, I mean, it's not rocket science.

But I'm afraid I don't buy Tory triumphalism any more than I currently buy Corbyn's Labour winning a General Election. There's a lot of sound and fury from the social media engaged on both sides, and the great mass of the public getting on with their lives.
 
Posted by Ethne Alba (# 5804) on :
 
Meanwhile the talk from our city's buses today, always interesting as they trundle round, in and out of all the housing estates, was as follows:

"Dunno about this new one , but at least i can understand him"

' I'm right glad that lot have gone. They come here, mess up the centre and for what? Nothing. It's all nonsense'

"Load of posh gits"


' I'm going back to voting Labour now'


The thing is, lots of folk just can't stand rude people and DC comes over as rude.

[ 08. October 2015, 21:21: Message edited by: Ethne Alba ]
 
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on :
 
John Harris in this morning's Guardian saying exactly what I think and was trying to say last night.

This is why he is a journalist and I am not.
 
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on :
 
It's people like Harris who fill me with gloom about the Labour party. I am doubtful that Corbyn can change this, as it seems so deep-rooted.

Harris talks of the Tories 'pretty spectacular demonstration of power' so uncritically, I think I'm listening to the Telegraph. But then the Guardian has increasingly set itself against Corbyn, although give Polly Toynbee her due, she is criticizing the Tories.

Harris finishes with the question, 'what now?'. I would have thought that the answer was obvious: be an opposition, and outline a critique of neo-liberalism.
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
It ought to be a useful warning to the Labour party to keep things civilised and reasonable, which despite the soundbites is what Jeremy Corbyn is. You might not like what he says but he's mostly decent and polite. I'll grant that he gets hot when TV interviewers interrupt and talk over him, but they deserve a cold, severe put-down when they try that with anyone. I think it was Francis Pym who did that many years ago - poor interviewer was totally thrown!
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by alienfromzog:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
How is the Conservative Party going to destroy itself?

Because they believe their own propaganda

Our economy is in a very perilous state due to Osborne's idiocy. This is gonna bite them in the next couple of years.

On reflection, I suppose I do have to allow for the other possibilities...

1) They're right

[Hot and Hormonal] [Paranoid]
Sorry just put this in for completeness... (Where's the Killing Me emoticon when you need it: here's a short list

Left-wing firebrand Martin Wolf describes current economic policy as 'insane'
By all important measures, our economy is fundamentally weaker than in 2010
There was never any danger of the UK becoming like Greece. That was a big fat lie.
At at time of record-low borrowing costs for the government they have squandered it by killing growth and having to borrow vastly more for day to day spending when investment was needed and cheap.

The Health & Social Care Act has made the NHS deeply vulnerable at a time when it faces massive demographic and other demand challenges. It's gonna be a bad winter and the government are worried.

Councils have born a huge part of the burden of cuts... have you noticed the state of repair or our roads? And silently behind closed doors, the most vulnerable have had their vital care taken away. BTW, this is the government who cut benefits for disabled children (2011, look it up!).

The 'spare-room subsidy' or 'bedroom tax' whichever term you prefer is a really stupid policy - even if you agree with the principal it was so badly done its actually likely to cost money and leaves so many of the poorest struggling to pay the rent

Housing policy. Where to begin?

Foreign policy. Oh well, yeah, um, don't get me started...

I'll stop now.

or yeah 2) They are deeply cynical and know exactly what they're doing.

To be fair, that's less dangerous than a government who believes its own propaganda but it is also deeply iniquitous.

As, I said, I tend to the conclusion that they believe their own propaganda. Which is fine but the truth has a nasty habit of coming back to bite you. At the very least, our economy will slow next year; I suspect a recession will be narrowly avoided, personally. But what I'm looking forward to, is the creative excuses Mr Osborne will come up with.

But remember [B} Jeremy Corbyn is a threat to our economic security [/b]

AFZ
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
A lot of it is just posturing. Any party in government has to say "We are great and the opposition is rubbish" and the opposition are equally obliged to say "The government is rubbish and we could do it better." They have to, it's in their job description.

Their supporters tend to be tinged with the same tendency. If you take some of the less overtly identifiable party utterances out of context, rephrase them slightly and offer them to people who would otherwise disagree on principle with anything coming out of Labour/Green/Conservative camps, people do sometimes find themselves agreeing with some of the anonymized utterances which normally, if an attribution had been provided, they wouldn't have done on principle. Spin and the presentation of ideas count for quite a lot more than is generally given credit for.
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
And anyone on the left who points out the significance of spin and propaganda gets sneered at and accused of thinking the public are stupid.
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
And anyone on the left who points out the significance of spin and propaganda gets sneered at and accused of thinking the public are stupid.

Well, the view on here amongst left-leaning folk seems to be that if a left-wing party fails it's either because the leader or policy platform isn't left-wing enough or because the public has been brainwashed by the media, as if they're empty vessels waiting to be told what to think by that morning's tabloids. That does rather create the impression that many on the left think the public are stupid.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Well, clearly large numbers of members of the public are stupid. 35% of them voted Tory last time round. QED.

[and, no I wouldn't make that argument outside Hell.]
 
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on :
 
Which is a fine view to take, if you like. I suppose the problem is that many in the Labour movement think the same way and some of that 35% used to vote Labour. By being branded 'stupid' they're more likely to carry on voting the way they currently are.
 
Posted by Alan Cresswell (# 31) on :
 
Damn. I got out for the afternoon and early evening, drink a load of beer and too much sake, and I still can't post something in Hell that gets an irate response ...
 
Posted by Snags (# 15351) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
That does rather create the impression that many on the left think the public are stupid.

I take your point, but don't think it's particularly limited to those on the left. The utter contempt for truth and accuracy displayed by politicians and the media across the spectrum would tend to indicate that a large majority (or maybe just the loudest voices) either think we're too thick to work it out, or they're too arrogant to care.

And, in a lot of ways, we are stupid. On a lot of hot button issues people believe what resonates with them emotionally, apply enough confirmation bias to bend the truth backwards up its own but, and resolutely shout "la la la la" in the face of actual research, evidence or facts (even if you allow some wiggle room on the lies, damned lies and statistics basis).

When the power game is just that, a game of keeping power, it's in nobody's interests to try to raise the bar or up the level of discourse. Far better to manipulate the ignorant bastards (self included) on their knee-jerk reactions. And thus we get the race to the bottom politics we deserve [Frown]
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Damn. I got out for the afternoon and early evening, drink a load of beer and too much sake, and I still can't post something in Hell that gets an irate response ...

Hee hee.

The thing is though it's a lot more subtle than that. The vast majority of this country have very little interest in politics and minimal engagement. Which is fine, why should anyone be as geeky as me? They vote on vague impression and instinct and hence the effectiveness of propaganda.

I'm very happy to lay out the evidence but we have a situation where the Tories won on a record of economic competence having completely mismanaged the economy.

Lots of wise people keep telling Labour that they lost and therefore need to change their policies. The problem is the public are wrong: austerity is a really bad idea. So the question is what do you do when the electorate are wrong? Or are you (Anclican't mostly) saying that's not possible - that the public are always right?

I think the answer is that you have to fight harder. You have to lay out your argument better. You have to win the argument.

AFZ
 
Posted by Arethosemyfeet (# 17047) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
And anyone on the left who points out the significance of spin and propaganda gets sneered at and accused of thinking the public are stupid.

Well, the view on here amongst left-leaning folk seems to be that if a left-wing party fails it's either because the leader or policy platform isn't left-wing enough or because the public has been brainwashed by the media, as if they're empty vessels waiting to be told what to think by that morning's tabloids. That does rather create the impression that many on the left think the public are stupid.
I don't think I've seen either view expressed. Surely is obvious that the drip-feed of negative stories about immigration, Europe, benefit recipients, teachers etc. must have some impact on public opinion. Take the recent choice by the Mail to mention the London bombings in the context of the Great British Bake Off winner, simply because the winner happens to come from the same city as some of the bombers. It's almost as if there's an attempt to conflate "brown person from Leeds" with "terrorist" in people's minds.
 
Posted by Ariel (# 58) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Well, clearly large numbers of members of the public are stupid. 35% of them voted Tory last time round. QED.

"If you're not a socialist before you're twenty-five, you have no heart; if you're still a socialist after twenty-five, you have no brain."

quote:
Originally posted by Alan Cresswell:
Damn. I got out for the afternoon and early evening, drink a load of beer and too much sake, and I still can't post something in Hell that gets an irate response ...

Hope the above helps. Have a nice day.
[Angel]
 
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Arethosemyfeet:
And anyone on the left who points out the significance of spin and propaganda gets sneered at and accused of thinking the public are stupid.

Well, the view on here amongst left-leaning folk seems to be that if a left-wing party fails it's either because the leader or policy platform isn't left-wing enough or because the public has been brainwashed by the media, as if they're empty vessels waiting to be told what to think by that morning's tabloids. That does rather create the impression that many on the left think the public are stupid.
Horseshit. There are plenty on "the left" who are vain, stupid and/or unable to appreciate that others may not share their views. That argument cuts both ways however and is why we have political parties, to cater for these differences.

OTOH the papers definitely matter. Scare stories work well, especially if they are half-truths consistent with speeches by politicians. Why after all have so many newspaper owners become "Press barons"?
 
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on :
 
quote:
Originally posted by Sioni Sais:
OTOH the papers definitely matter. Scare stories work well, especially if they are half-truths consistent with speeches by politicians. Why after all have so many newspaper owners become "Press barons"?

This piece of research from Ipsos MORI and Kings College London in 2013 illustrate this point brilliantly.
quote:
From their research:
3. Job-seekers allowance: 29% of people think we spend more on JSA than pensions, when in fact we spend 15 times more on pensions (£4.9bn vs £74.2bn).

4. Benefit fraud: people estimate that 34 times more benefit money is claimed fraudulently than official estimates: the public think that £24 out of every £100 spent on benefits is claimed fraudulently, compared with official estimates of £0.70 per £100.

7. Immigration and ethnicity: the public think that 31% of the population are immigrants, when the official figures are 13%. Even estimates that attempt to account for illegal immigration suggest a figure closer to 15%.

I come back to my earlier point. The public are wrong. Consistently. As that wrongness is an electoral advantage to the Tories it is perhaps no surprise that they perpetuate such myths with the help of the supportive segments of the media.

This government's success if not built on competence, it's built on propaganda.

The reason why the Tories should be scared of Corbyn is because more than anyone preceding him, he is prepared to call them on this.

The reason why the Tories aren't worried about Corbyn is because they think their spin machine / cheer-leading biased media will win the argument.

Time will tell. FWIW (i.e. nothing), my view is that things that appear stable right now, aren't and the truth will come back to bite. Labour will win if they manage two things: 1, they have the argument already in front of the public when things unravel and 2, they don't rip-themselves apart in the meantime.

Corbyn is attempting 1. but is really is a huge uphill battle. There are some interesting aspects to it like the Labour economic advisor panel and Corbyn's quiet determination to remain civil and reasonable at all times. This might work. It depends on circumstances. In terms of 2, I'd call it even odds at the moment.

AFZ
 


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