Thread: US election aftermath Board: Purgatory / Ship of Fools.
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Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
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I can't help feeling that the Democratic Party engineered its own defeat with arrogance. If they had run Bernie Sanders rather than someone whose brand they knew was toxic, I wonder how many of the protest votes that went Trump's way would have stayed with the Democrats.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
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The problem was not Clinton's "toxic" brand. The problem was sexism.
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
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quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
The problem was not Clinton's "toxic" brand. The problem was sexism.
How so? Did Mrs Clinton's womanhood cause her, for example, to get a private e-mail server?
[ 09. November 2016, 07:37: Message edited by: Anglican't ]
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
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No more than Colin Powell's manhood caused him to have one.
She had a private email server because the State Dept had crappy IT, because her staff didn't really give it a lot of thought, and because, like her opponent, she is not computer literate.
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
The problem was not Clinton's "toxic" brand. The problem was sexism.
How so? Did Mrs Clinton's womanhood cause her, for example, to get a private e-mail server?
The most over-rated issue in the election. Given that her predecessor (Powell, under Bush) used a private email account as well. Sure, not his own server, so more at the mercy of the security of a third party. At the very least, equally ill-advised, but as someone who has used his own phone for work purposes (reverse solution to same issue), also understood...
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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That's the Bush-Clinton establishment stuffed by the working class.
Clinton LOST.
She never won the working class, not just the lower either.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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Shipmates I'm going to close this thread temporarily and allow analysis of the result to take place in the main thread. I believe in the value of an aftermath thread but that's about "what happens now?" rather than "why did that happen then?"
Barnabas62
Purgatory Host
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
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So with commentators linking this to movements like Brexit, rise in nationalism etc - to what extent is this the logical outcome of years of hearing about (and facing) terrorism?
The rallying call around nationalism, fear of minorities, immigrants etc.... It just feels like maybe this is the black and white view of the world the factions wanted to see.
Which isn't easy. We want security. Is there a move to deciding the way to do that is to close the world off more?
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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Purgatory Hosts have discussed and are in agreement that this thread should now be re-opened for the purpose of discussing the possible consequences of the result of the 2016 election. The main thread will be kept open purely for postmortem analysis of the result e.g. the reason things turned out that way, or the pollsters got it wrong, or the demographics etc.
And you also now have two threads in Hell for venting. So you can be cross, look backwards, or look forwards! Please try to do those things in the appropriate places.
Barnabas62
Purgatory Host
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy in the main thread:
Possibly worth saying that it looks like the Republicans now have a majority in the House of Representatives and the Senate.
Which is a bit of a problem as (presumably) the Republican president will be able to get through anything that appeals to their base. Particularly undoing the climate change promises.
And here is a starter on one of the major forward consequences of the results of the Presidential Election and the Elections for Senate and House.
Posted by Bishops Finger (# 5430) on
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Does that mean that the USA is now in effect a one-party state?
IJ
Posted by George Spigot (# 253) on
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Looks like the Christian right and those in power who pandered to them are going to have blood on their hands.
Posted by anne (# 73) on
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The questions that have been rattling about for me are about our response, as Christians and as Churches.
If this election result is, like Brexit, partly a consequence of fear of "other", how do we address that fear?
There will be millions of Christians who see this result as an answer to prayer - and millions who cannot reconcile their faith with the words and actions of the new President. How do we find common ground in a Gospel that we read so differently?
There are many frightened people in the USA and UK today as a result of democratic decisions that seem to say that they are unwelcome, unwanted or unimportant in the lives of the nation where they live. How do we respond to their fears?
What do I say on Sunday morning? What do I do on Monday?
anne
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
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To quote myself from Hell quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
Firenze said quote:
I see a Zeitgeist. A spirit of fear, retreat and isolationism
I think the 'Kingdom of God' response to that is embodying a spirit of grace, openness and connection.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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One of the aspects of Trump's acceptance speech (before he started to ramble) which surprised me was his "New Deal"-sounding promises on rebuilding infrastructure as a means of putting people back to work. Plus some open-trade-sounding words about global trading.
Warm words, but how are they to be paid for? Made me wonder what his first budget will look like.
Also, my gut feel is that he's going to tell the NATO states that they are going to have to put their own hands deeper in their pockets to pay for collective defence.
Looks like the UK stock market is treading water for the time being. I thought the uncertainty looking forward might give the FTSE a kicking - but not yet. European Markets look as though they've moved down about 1% so far. Early days.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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Amen Eutychus.
anne, we stand with them, we comfort them, we defend them, we
... proclaim good news to the poor.
... proclaim liberty to the captives
and recovering of sight to the blind,
... set at liberty those who are oppressed,
... proclaim the year of the Lord’s favour
[ 09. November 2016, 10:34: Message edited by: Martin60 ]
Posted by betjemaniac (# 17618) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
One of the aspects of Trump's acceptance speech (before he started to ramble) which surprised me was his "New Deal"-sounding promises on rebuilding infrastructure as a means of putting people back to work. Plus some open-trade-sounding words about global trading.
Warm words, but how are they to be paid for? Made me wonder what his first budget will look like.
Also, my gut feel is that he's going to tell the NATO states that they are going to have to put their own hands deeper in their pockets to pay for collective defence.
Looks like the UK stock market is treading water for the time being. I thought the uncertainty looking forward might give the FTSE a kicking - but not yet. European Markets look as though they've moved down about 1% so far. Early days.
FWIW I think the markets are uncertain, and doing the best they can with the statements he's made (none of which I think should be taken as gospel but what else can they do?)
I agree NATO is uncertain, but there again we've (in the UK) swapped a president who said a post-Brexit UK would be at the back of the queue with one who's said it's going to be at the front. You'd expect in the short term the UK to suffer less than some other markets.
However, given we're in the unusual circumstances of hoping that an elected politician isn't going to keep many of his promises, I'd say it's uncertain waters for everyone.
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on
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What do I need to do to live through this? That's my question about the aftermath.
For much of the world outside of the US, I suspect there will be a return to using the coping strategies we all employed to survive mentally during the Cold War.
For myself, if I contemplated what was openly discussed as a possibility, I would not be able to function. My wife is half Estonian. The threat to that region is well laid out and real. Under Trump, Russia can and probably will find a way to walk back into the Baltics. The ramifications of that, to my thinking, are...staggering.
If I allowed contemplation and awareness of that threat to become the focus of my thoughts, along with the other situations that have been discussed, daily living would be just too difficult.
Much like the Cold War threat would make you freeze if you let it.
Coping means compartmentalizing the personal world from the big picture & a return to focusing on the personally doable and attainable when it comes to social justice issues. It also means focusing on taking situations in hand and asking, "So, what are we going to do?" Not "What are we going to think?"
I purged about 1/3 of my twitter feed this morning in an effort to focus on things I enjoy and on places where I can make a difference. I am taking mental steps to move away from big picture discussions of grand schemes. I will also be rethinking where to attempt to make a difference.
That is how I and many others coped before under the threat of imminent nuclear destruction. We focused on what we could do personally, even if within a collective of ourselves.
I don't look upon this as a good thing, just a necessary thing.
So today I go back to work. And I
And I suspect that is how much of the world will be gauging the aftermath - what do I need to do to live through this.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
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Well, we did it! We snatched the title of World's Stupidest Polity from Britain again! You thought you had us, with Brexit, but we topped you!
And now:
Obamacare is history. If you have no insurance, plan not to get sick. If you do, prayer is your only resort.
The Supreme Court is done, for our generation. It is now a partisan perk.
Gerrymandering and voter intimidation are now the rule.
Sorry refugees, you might want to go elsewhere and save on the energy of being deported again.
Latino and Muslim neighbors, I'm sorry for you.
Women, and persons of ethnicity, let's hunker down and hope that no amendments to the Constitution get rammed through.
But there is one indubitable up side. Alex Baldwin now has a steady gig for the next four years. I am so looking forward to this!
[ 09. November 2016, 11:02: Message edited by: Brenda Clough ]
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
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So what does happen with the Supreme Court? The new president gets to appoint the casting vote justice with a nod through the Senate?
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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For those of us who wanted a female leader of the free world, we've got one. Her name is Angela Merkel.
Anyway, it behooves one to be gracious at such moments and to congratulate the winner of this election. So well done Mr Putin.
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on
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Il faut cultiver notre jardin*
A retreat into quietism is probably necessary in the short term, just to recuperate and recharge.
But there has to be a return to activism at some point, because sooner or later the outworkings of the change will have to be opposed (how long do we think before internment camps for Muslims?) or we have to deal with the frustrations of those who find their orange messiah has not delivered what they hoped.
*We must cultivate our garden.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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she's the next domino to fall.
Never again will the political class assume the working class doesn't matter.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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I think the Germans learned the hard way that right-wing nationalism causes more problems than it solves, in the long run.
Incidentally, you appear to have left Blacks and Hispanics out of your analysis of the working class.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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Exit Poll
Look at the breakdown of the voters by income. Look at which proportion of which income groups voted for Clinton. She *won* among the two lowest categories. So can we all stop pretending this was a working class revolt and start using more salient terms for Trump's appeal like 'racism' and 'misogyny'.
Posted by Humble Servant (# 18391) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Never again will the political class assume the working class doesn't matter.
What has happened to the working class? They where the trades unionists. They were the Labour movement. When did they become the agents of the far right?
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
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quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy:
So what does happen with the Supreme Court? The new president gets to appoint the casting vote justice with a nod through the Senate?
Yup. The senate will continue to ignore Obama's nomination, and President Trump will nominate a young Scalia, who will probably be confirmed on a largely partisan vote. Recall that he published his list of candidates, and every one has consistently published anti-abortion, anti-LGBT rights and anti-Federal regulation opinions.
Half the country is now going to be desperately hoping that RBG and the rest of the "old gang" on the supreme court hang on for another four years.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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As you know I'm talking the majority working class. White. Men and their dependent women. For now.
As for Germany: Alternative für Deutschland.
Liberals have to INCLUDE such.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Humble Servant:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Never again will the political class assume the working class doesn't matter.
What has happened to the working class? They where the trades unionists. They were the Labour movement. When did they become the agents of the far right?
This morning. As on June 24th.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Humble Servant:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Never again will the political class assume the working class doesn't matter.
What has happened to the working class? They where the trades unionists. They were the Labour movement. When did they become the agents of the far right?
In this election, at least, they didn't.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
As you know I'm talking the majority working class. White. Men and their dependent women. For now.
As for Germany: Alternative für Deutschland.
Liberals have to INCLUDE such.
Not if the price is pandering to people's racism, we don't.
The AfD won't beat Merkel. The more likely scenario is Le Pen winning in France. If that happens you can kiss the Western Alliance goodbye.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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Callan
I think you are right about the demographics. This thread is about effects going forward. Personally I think Trump's rhetoric has created for him various hostages to fortune. To what extent will he need to appease his angry, disaffected, misogynistic, xenophobic supporters? Particularly if costs and/or legal constraints get in the way.
For example, "lock her up". Now that the FBI have confirmed that there was no criminality found in the further emails, how can further legal questions be pursued. Will he appoint Rudi Giuliano as Attorney General? Will Comey get sacked?
[ 09. November 2016, 12:06: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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I think he will deploy the 'Brexit Shuffle', you know the sort of thing, did we put £350m for the NHS on a bus? Our bad, anyway, we won, get over it.
I think the economic stuff will be harder. Most of the Republicans in the Senate and in Congress are free-marketeers. So spending a shed load of money on infrastructure will come up against a bunch of people who sincerely think that any government spending not on the police or military is basically a waste of money. And stopping illegal immigration from a country with which you share a land border and which is signally poorer than your own is not going to be a walk in the park. But when they turn against him it will be because he didn't deliver military greatness and prosperity, not because he decides not to impeach Clinton.
Assuming, of course, that he doesn't miscalculate and blow us all up or decides after a set of bad mid term results that voting is a bit over rated and that he can manage without democratic legitimacy. Neither of which can be ruled out entirely.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
The more likely scenario is Le Pen winning in France.
Tell me about it
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on
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An excellent article on what Trump's win says about misogyny.
"Trump’s win has trained a spotlight on the extent of the misogyny that runs through America. Importantly, however, it also reveals just how far women’s rights have come; how much has been achieved; how threatened the denizens of a fading America feel. Trump’s victory is the last gasp of a desperate white patriarchy. Clinton may have lost the election but that doesn’t mean women lost on Wednesday morning. Our fight isn’t over.'
I couldn't agree more with Arwa Mahdawi.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
An excellent article on what Trump's win says about misogyny.
"Trump’s win has trained a spotlight on the extent of the misogyny that runs through America. Importantly, however, it also reveals just how far women’s rights have come; how much has been achieved; how threatened the denizens of a fading America feel. Trump’s victory is the last gasp of a desperate white patriarchy. Clinton may have lost the election but that doesn’t mean women lost on Wednesday morning. Our fight isn’t over.'
I couldn't agree more with Arwa Mahdawi.
I'm not sure about the last gasp, but I think a backlash in this way is almost inevitable. For example, Obama is quite a cultured even intellectual guy, and inevitably some people are going to want something quite different, even opposite.
Clinton could not be that, as she was almost an extension of Obama, but then who would expect the shadow to come roaring from the caves in this manner? Well, yes, it does do that. History goes in zig-zags. Still, commiserations to all my friends in the US. Damn Brexit, damn Trump. A period of darkness now, but the opposition will grow.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
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And that's the true answer. At last, there is actually something that is indeed Obama's fault. This is all a reaction to his excellent presidency.
Oh, and I forgot to add. Those brave women who stepped up and testified about pussy grabbing? Canada would be wise. The cases pending against the TFO? Smoke. We will never ever see his tax returns, you bet.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
And that's the true answer. At last, there is actually something that is indeed Obama's fault. This is all a reaction to his excellent presidency.
Oh, and I forgot to add. Those brave women who stepped up and testified about pussy grabbing? Canada would be wise. The cases pending against the TFO? Smoke. We will never ever see his tax returns, you bet.
It's certainly not Obama's fault. But I think politics often proceed via reactions to previous periods, I'm not sure if there have been periods of 12 years with Presidents of the same party? Seems unlikely.
Psychologically, the shadow gets antsy, and wants to emerge. Reason leads to unreason. I don't think anyone has ever found a solution to this, have they, except to oppose unreason?
[ 09. November 2016, 13:05: Message edited by: quetzalcoatl ]
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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Looking at the demographics provides significant evidence of mysogyny. But there is an age differential at work. Rather as there is in attitudes towards LGBT and other minorities.
The aftermath will undoubtedly provide a check, a setback, to the aspirations to do away with glass ceilings - but I am hoping this will be a kind of dying gasp. I'm 73 years old. I may belong to the generation of those for whom supremacy and security go together, but these are not my values. Never have been. The source of my security is elsewhere.
For those supporters of his, the cycle with Donald Trump will be wild enthusiasm, confusion, disillusionment. Let's see how long it takes for those with supremacy attitudes to get disappointed by what they will see as "lack of progress".
And let us not give up. I'm not giving up on the values I hold most dear.
[ 09. November 2016, 13:11: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
Exit Poll
Look at the breakdown of the voters by income. Look at which proportion of which income groups voted for Clinton. She *won* among the two lowest categories. So can we all stop pretending this was a working class revolt and start using more salient terms for Trump's appeal like 'racism' and 'misogyny'.
The problem with your analysis is that there isn't one "working class" that can be defined solely by income. As I said a few days ago, there are stark economic differences between people who on a simple "how much do you earn" analysis appear the same.
So yes, Clinton won 53% of the vote from people earning less than $30k. But look at some of the other measures - she only won 34% of people in small cities or rural areas. She only won 15% of those who think the nation's economy is poor, and they will presumably have judged that on their own experiences. And she only won 19% of people who think their family's financial position is worse today.
There is a difference between poor people who have seen their previous prosperity disappear and poor people who have always been thus and/or who can perceive improvements to their lot. It seems to me that that division falls primarily along the metropolitan/rural axis, and that that more than anything else is why it also falls along racial lines (the majority of ethnic minority citizens tend to live in big cities).
The metropolitan elites have ignored "flyover country" for too long, and I believe that is the main reason why the people of that area have rejected them. The same could be said of many formerly industrial areas of the UK. The establishment right wing doesn't care, and the establishment left wing is focused on increasing prosperity amongst ethnic minority populations. Meanwhile, there's a sizable population of poor white people who can see that neither side of the establishment cares about them. Can you really blame them if that leads them to vote for a non-establishment candidate, be it Trump or UKIP?
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
For those supporters of his, the cycle with Donald Trump will be wild enthusiasm, confusion, disillusionment. Let's see how long it takes for those with supremacy attitudes to get disappointed by what they will see as "lack of progress". And let us not give up. I'm not giving up on the values I hold most dear.
Exactly. We've survived Republican presidents before: Nixon, Reagan, Bush 1, Bush 2 (barely). We'll survive this one too. We just have to be careful.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
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quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I'm not sure if there have been periods of 12 years with Presidents of the same party? Seems unlikely.
Reagan-Reagan-Bush was 12 years.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
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A friend with more foreign-policy chops points out to me that nuclear war in the Middle East is far more likely now, since we are going to trash various treaties and peace plans.
Global warming? Get to know and love it. Safety and environment regulations, goodbye.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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Welcome to The Dead Zone.
There can't be a nuclear war until somebody apart from Israel has (400) nuclear weapons. She would never use first ... unless overrun. But don't worry, Trump will never abandon her.
Iran will have to develop them and be saved from eating grass like Pakistan and worms like North Korea, by Russia. Israel won't be able to do a thing about that and neither will America. NATO won't exist. So yes, the Baltic, Georgia are lost.
Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain will all develop nuclear weapons. America will make a fortune out of that. Israel and Pakistan too. I'm sure China and India will pile in. That's capitalism.
So yes, once that djinn is out of Pandora's box there will be no illusion of the illusion of hope. Any time after 2030 one will go off somewhere for a start. The ultimate Sunni car bomb in a Shia enclave.
Nobody will breathe out that day for sure!
Against a backdrop of inexorable global warming therefore drought, famine, hypercanes, flooding.
Anyone remember the Man of Sin?
[ 09. November 2016, 13:48: Message edited by: Martin60 ]
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I'm not sure if there have been periods of 12 years with Presidents of the same party? Seems unlikely.
Reagan-Reagan-Bush was 12 years.
Fair enough. I would think that for some people Clinton felt like more of the same. Of course, some would like that, and some would not. It's the electoral cycle, but it's also a psychological one, we get tired of the same tune, see the extreme reaction to Blair now. His erstwhile delightful manner now irks, or brings people out in a rash.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
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Bush-Clinton-Clinton-Bush-Bush-Obama-Obama-Clinton would have been the same from the lower white working class perspective.
[ 09. November 2016, 13:53: Message edited by: Martin60 ]
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Bush-Clinton-Clinton-Bush-Bush-Obama-Obama-Clinton would have been the same from the lower white working class perspective.
Don't agree. That is too monolithic. It might have been the same for some of them, and not for others. To find out, you need some very fine-grained empirical research.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
For those supporters of his, the cycle with Donald Trump will be wild enthusiasm, confusion, disillusionment. Let's see how long it takes for those with supremacy attitudes to get disappointed by what they will see as "lack of progress". And let us not give up. I'm not giving up on the values I hold most dear.
Exactly. We've survived Republican presidents before: Nixon, Reagan, Bush 1, Bush 2 (barely). We'll survive this one too. We just have to be careful.
The problem is that all three of them, even Bush jr., were competent. And look at the world after them. Trump can do more damage in four than they did in twelve.
A man who cannot handle twitter will now set policy for the most powerful and influential country in the world.
I have said I do not respect the electorate, but I am deeply saddened to be correct. Turkey, USSR 2.0 Brett and this idiot. The world is so much less safe right now and that is not rhetoric.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
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The readings for Proper 28, this Sunday.
I don't think I have ever been this anxious for Sunday to come.
Posted by L'organist (# 17338) on
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Oh dear.
It will be interesting to see just how many of DT's campaign pledges are implemented and where they take the USA. Maybe we should have a thread on this?
In the meantime, here are some of mine.
WALL won't be built for the simple reason that its unfeasible and no one will work on a project with no guarantee of payment. Caveat this assumes of course that the good people of Mexico don't choose to build one themselves to keep out a flood of people wanting to escape a Trump-led USA.
TAX cuts for the wealthy will happen thus giving everyone a chance to see (again) that so-called trickle-down economics don't work. It would be even better if they worked out why (rich already have money so save, whereas poor would spend) but I'm not holding my breath.
NATO I expect DT to look at getting co-operation deals with strategic countries (Turks, UK, Japan, perhaps Canada) which the military would like to be able to use for operations. Once they've done that, withdrawal could well happen.
UN much more combative approach and likely to pull out of deals to do with climate change, etc.
As someone (mis)quoted on the TV coverage last night Fasten your seatbelts; its going to be a bumpy ride. Of course, the wonderful Bette Davis was only speaking of one night, not four years
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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@ lilBuddha
It will test the strength of the separation of powers. Plus I reckon he may turn out to be a dilettante. It's not clear how dangerous he will turn out to be in practice. Watchful is a good attitude at this stage.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
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Originally posted by L'organist:
quote:
NATO I expect DT to look at getting co-operation deals with strategic countries (Turks, UK, Japan, perhaps Canada) which the military would like to be able to use for operations. Once they've done that, withdrawal could well happen.
Silver lining possibility. If being in Bush's pocket did for Blair's reputation, just think what could happen to Theresa May if she went along with that sort of thing.
Posted by churchgeek (# 5557) on
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quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Bush-Clinton-Clinton-Bush-Bush-Obama-Obama-Clinton would have been the same from the lower white working class perspective.
Don't agree. That is too monolithic. It might have been the same for some of them, and not for others. To find out, you need some very fine-grained empirical research.
The main similarity I see is neoliberalism. Which is a huge similarity...but one that Trump isn't going to change.
Apart from that, there have been some major differences, including many that we don't feel because we have three branches of government. It's a big system that maintains the status quo by default, I think. And it doesn't help that one branch of government has been completely obstructionist under the current President.
So I guess now we'll see what happens with no checks and balances, practically speaking.
Going forward, those of us on the left need to mobilize for the mid-term elections and flip Congress if we can.
Posted by lowlands_boy (# 12497) on
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Naftali Bennett, Israeli education minister, proclaims that Israeli/Palestine two state solution is dead.
Apparently Trump is expected to end US opposition to settlement building. And has also promised to move the US embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, which was previously considered too sensitive to do.
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on
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quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
The problem was not Clinton's "toxic" brand. The problem was sexism.
I voted for four women, but not for her.
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Bishops Finger:
Does that mean that the USA is now in effect a one-party state?
IJ
We were one party rule on a national level after the 2008 election, too, except by a wider majority.
Posted by Mere Nick (# 11827) on
:
My candidate came in third. That's at least better than my beloved Atlanta Braves did this year.
Perhaps the folks on the left will finally wake up and realize how much smug condescension costs them in the voting booth. I doubt they will, but am always willing to be pleasantly surprised.
Anyway, my guy got an astounding 3.3%. We can build on that, mmm hmm.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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The only thing to do is keep our eyes on God and keep doing the next thing, whatever it is.
Given his personality and refusal to accept guidance, he's very likely to crash and burn sooner rather than later. I'm not looking forward to the embarrassing spectacle, particularly as resolving it (via impeachment) will take a million times longer than it should, given that the people who will need to do it are the same people who couldn't bring themselves to deal with him successfully when he was an unwanted nominee.
But I'll be interested to see how the time goes between now and inauguration day. I really don't think he has ever sat down and soberly thought about how he'll do the job. We may see an attempt to run out on it, particularly when it becomes clear that in terms of ego stroking approval ratings, there's only one direction to go from here, and that's down. As it is for all newly elected presidents.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
quote:
Originally posted by Humble Servant:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Never again will the political class assume the working class doesn't matter.
What has happened to the working class? They where the trades unionists. They were the Labour movement. When did they become the agents of the far right?
In this election, at least, they didn't.
I'm delighted the poor didn't.
Gard bless the male, white, Christian, technical, smalltown, straight lower middle class!
[ 09. November 2016, 16:55: Message edited by: Martin60 ]
Posted by SusanDoris (# 12618) on
:
People I've talked to today are shocked and very dismayed at the idea of Trump as President-elect. Approx how many Democrats are there in the two Houses who can oppose him?
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
The GOP has the majority in both houses. Unless some of them peel off and vote with the minority, the party can ram through anything they like. The only upside to this is, now they have no excuse. They must govern. There's no one else to blame.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
As you know I'm talking the majority working class. White. Men and their dependent women. For now.
As for Germany: Alternative für Deutschland.
Liberals have to INCLUDE such.
Not if the price is pandering to people's racism, we don't.
The AfD won't beat Merkel. The more likely scenario is Le Pen winning in France. If that happens you can kiss the Western Alliance goodbye.
Yeah we do. Without pandering. Polarizing, just confronting won't help. We have to subvert.
Merkel's been at the pinnacle for 11 years. Next year is 12. Then how much more? That's beginning to look like time for a change. Overdue already. In a confident democracy.
AfD I hope not, but she has internal, party competition in Jens Spahn.
Posted by sabine (# 3861) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
The only thing to do is keep our eyes on God and keep doing the next thing, whatever it is.
Amen. I am too emotional right now to know anything for sure except that I believe in the presence of the Holy Spirit at the worst times and in the Spirit's ability to be a guide to the eventual opening of a way forward.
quote:
Given his personality and refusal to accept guidance, he's very likely to crash and burn sooner rather than later. I'm not looking forward to the embarrassing spectacle, particularly as resolving it (via impeachment) will take a million times longer than it should, given that the people who will need to do it are the same people who couldn't bring themselves to deal with him successfully when he was an unwanted nominee.
This might be emotionally rewarding in the short term, but it may not result in the kind of healing the nation needs. And then we'd be left with President Mike Pence, a much scarier dude (most people don't pick up on this because he is pseudo-polite and soft-spoken).
quote:
But I'll be interested to see how the time goes between now and inauguration day. I really don't think he has ever sat down and soberly thought about how he'll do the job. We may see an attempt to run out on it, particularly when it becomes clear that in terms of ego stroking approval ratings, there's only one direction to go from here, and that's down. As it is for all newly elected presidents.
Indeed
sabine
[ 09. November 2016, 17:46: Message edited by: sabine ]
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
A joke, reported by a friend:
UK after Brexit: "We are now officially the stupidest country in the world."
USA: "Hold my beer."
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
The more I look at the demographics, the more they bother me. Why aren't the lowest income bands not just half Democrat but 80%? Why didn't the poor and working class KNOW that the Democrats under Clinton are their only hope? That is a catastrophic failure to communicate by the Clinton Democrats. Where were the trade unions?
Why is the only 'outsider' a billionaire? Not a savvy, inclusive, non-demagogic, true working class hero who can win the hearts and minds of the reactionary working class despite themselves? Or the next FDR? Truman?
A beautiful black liberal American woman (hopefully lesbian!) on BBC 24 just acknowledged that the people she wasn't hearing have spoken and that we must all align together. Superb.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Why didn't the poor and working class KNOW that the Democrats under Clinton are their only hope?
Because it's not true, at least not for all of them. They've seen what's happened over the last eight years, and they don't want any more of the same.
Trump won't help them, of course. But he is something different and he said the right things about improving their lives, so they gave him a chance.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Poor fools, putting their faith in a con man.
Here is a post from the son of a friend, explaining why this is so sad.
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
The more I look at the demographics, the more they bother me. Why aren't the lowest income bands not just half Democrat but 80%? Why didn't the poor and working class KNOW that the Democrats under Clinton are their only hope? That is a catastrophic failure to communicate by the Clinton Democrats. Where were the trade unions?
Why is the only 'outsider' a billionaire? Not a savvy, inclusive, non-demagogic, true working class hero who can win the hearts and minds of the reactionary working class despite themselves? Or the next FDR? Truman?
A beautiful black liberal American woman (hopefully lesbian!) on BBC 24 just acknowledged that the people she wasn't hearing have spoken and that we must all align together. Superb.
American unions were eviscerated by the Taft-Hartley Act in 1947 and then by the failure of Operation Dixie and the CIO. It's very hard to start a union organizing drive in the US, for various reasons.
But on Trump, I reserve judgement. I believe he'll revert to type. He's a liar and a cheat, and he will cut and run rather than face the costs of his own actions. I truly believe he was lying about most of what he said in the campaign, it was hyperbole and what people wanted to hear.
He wouldn't be the first president-elect to repudiate their election platform and do a 180: FDR did the same thing in 1932. His 1932 campaign promised nothing of the New Deal, in fact his positions before his inauguration were quite right-wing and isolationist.
Posted by sabine (# 3861) on
:
Trump encouraged people to vent. That can't be underestimated. Sometimes aggressive venting makes people feel better, but it can also cause people to miss the fact that their "leader" may not be taking them in the direction that leads to solutions that are good for them.
sabibe
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
The more I look at the demographics, the more they bother me. Why aren't the lowest income bands not just half Democrat but 80%? Why didn't the poor and working class KNOW that the Democrats under Clinton are their only hope? That is a catastrophic failure to communicate by the Clinton Democrats. Where were the trade unions?
Why is the only 'outsider' a billionaire? Not a savvy, inclusive, non-demagogic, true working class hero who can win the hearts and minds of the reactionary working class despite themselves? Or the next FDR? Truman?
A beautiful black liberal American woman (hopefully lesbian!) on BBC 24 just acknowledged that the people she wasn't hearing have spoken and that we must all align together. Superb.
American unions were eviscerated by the Taft-Hartley Act in 1947 and then by the failure of Operation Dixie and the CIO. It's very hard to start a union organizing drive in the US, for various reasons.
But on Trump, I reserve judgement. I believe he'll revert to type. He's a liar and a cheat, and he will cut and run rather than face the costs of his own actions. I truly believe he was lying about most of what he said in the campaign, it was hyperbole and what people wanted to hear.
The thing is, it's hard to know exactly WHAT Trump was saying in the campaign(primary and general), because on numerous points he contradicted himself.
For instance, when originally asked about the status of Jerusalem, he replied that he couldn't comment on that because, if elected, he might have to mediate negotiations on the dispute. A few weeks later, he told a pro-Israel gathering that he favoured moving the American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
My own guess is that his initial reply was the sincere one, since it wasn't the sort of thing you say in mainstream American politics if you've had any coaching. I also think this probably set a pattern for his positions on other contentious issues, whether he was moving from left to right(as in Jerusalem), or vice-versa(eg. if he eventually backs down on building his wall).
And a haunty salute to Sober Preacher's Kid if he can spot the Canadian historical-political echo in Trump's embassy posturing.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
Thanks MtM, SPK - the beauty is Lisa Osborne Ross, Former Senior Clinton Administration Official.
Of course he 'lied', like FDR, GOOD! The glint, the silver lining of pragmatism. You can see him putting the stump behind him now. As long as he leaves Clinton alone AND Iran. That is critical.
Where's his Condy Rice? His Richard Perle? You don't run a billion dollar empire without HELP.
Clinton would ring Ivy League academics at 4 in the morning. Reagan had an awesome team.
The Bushes DIDN'T.
He could, should start with Lisa Osborne Ross!
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Trump said so many contradictory things, and is often so unclear (the phrase 'word salad' is relevant here) that it is obvious that what he says is not part of his appeal. Rather, his very incoherence allows people to project what they want onto the restless but amorphous surface. So, you hate black people, he's your guy. You think women are uppity, you feel he thinks the same.
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
The more I look at the demographics, the more they bother me. Why aren't the lowest income bands not just half Democrat but 80%? Why didn't the poor and working class KNOW that the Democrats under Clinton are their only hope? That is a catastrophic failure to communicate by the Clinton Democrats. Where were the trade unions?
Why is the only 'outsider' a billionaire? Not a savvy, inclusive, non-demagogic, true working class hero who can win the hearts and minds of the reactionary working class despite themselves? Or the next FDR? Truman?
A beautiful black liberal American woman (hopefully lesbian!) on BBC 24 just acknowledged that the people she wasn't hearing have spoken and that we must all align together. Superb.
American unions were eviscerated by the Taft-Hartley Act in 1947 and then by the failure of Operation Dixie and the CIO. It's very hard to start a union organizing drive in the US, for various reasons.
But on Trump, I reserve judgement. I believe he'll revert to type. He's a liar and a cheat, and he will cut and run rather than face the costs of his own actions. I truly believe he was lying about most of what he said in the campaign, it was hyperbole and what people wanted to hear.
The thing is, it's hard to know exactly WHAT Trump was saying in the campaign(primary and general), because on numerous points he contradicted himself.
For instance, when originally asked about the status of Jerusalem, he replied that he couldn't comment on that because, if elected, he might have to mediate negotiations on the dispute. A few weeks later, he told a pro-Israel gathering that he favoured moving the American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
My own guess is that his initial reply was the sincere one, since it wasn't the sort of thing you say in mainstream American politics if you've had any coaching. I also think this probably set a pattern for his positions on other contentious issues, whether he was moving from left to right(as in Jerusalem), or vice-versa(eg. if he eventually backs down on building his wall).
And a haunty salute to Sober Preacher's Kid if he can spot the Canadian historical-political echo in Trump's embassy posturing.
Joe Clark FTW!
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
The problem was not Clinton's "toxic" brand. The problem was sexism.
How so? Did Mrs Clinton's womanhood cause her, for example, to get a private e-mail server?
No, it caused other people to care deeply about her private e-mail server.
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
So with commentators linking this to movements like Brexit, rise in nationalism etc - to what extent is this the logical outcome of years of hearing about (and facing) terrorism?
The rallying call around nationalism, fear of minorities, immigrants etc.... It just feels like maybe this is the black and white view of the world the factions wanted to see.
Which isn't easy. We want security. Is there a move to deciding the way to do that is to close the world off more?
I don't think terrorism is necessary to have a fear of minorities and immigrants. Besides, you have a chicken-and-egg problem: at what point did minorities and immigrants, to the extent that they are involved in terrorism, become involved? Was it before or after they were demonised and marginalised?
For a long time most of the "Islamic" terrorism we were facing originated in other countries. In fact at first it only occurred in other countries. Then "they" started traveling "here" to commit terrorist acts. It was only after that people living "here" became involved.
And of course, the vast majority of minorities and immigrants aren't involved in any such thing.
Terrorism isn't required to resent a minority.
Mere loss of majority privilege is sufficient.
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Trump said so many contradictory things, and is often so unclear (the phrase 'word salad' is relevant here) that it is obvious that what he says is not part of his appeal. Rather, his very incoherence allows people to project what they want onto the restless but amorphous surface. So, you hate black people, he's your guy. You think women are uppity, you feel he thinks the same.
Correct. The actual person Donald could well be none of the things everyone seemed so keen to accuse him off. He played a very very clever marketing trick.
As you say the "projecting" of tensions by the masses over racial and sexual politics, along with the power of denial on climate change. This is what got him past the winning post leaving most of us bewildered as in --- How in Hell did he do that?
Oldest trick in the book I'm afraid, and his opponent was powerless to stop it.
Posted by W Hyatt (# 14250) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Made me wonder what his first budget will look like.
Just having an actual budget will be a big change since budget deadlock and continuing resolutions have been standard operating procedure. I expect to see big cuts in social programs, increases in military spending, and tax cuts for the top end.
I also expect that the Affordable Care Act will be quickly repealed without being replaced by anything.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Yeah, if you are poor and have no insurance you had better plan never to be ill again.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
Dumping 20K people off of the insurance rolls would be bad, to say the least.
I have heard a number of people claim that they wouldn't do it; either they are going to replace the ACA with something that will keep people who were uninsured prior to the ACA on private insurance, or expand Medicaid to cover those folks. I haven't seen that specifically proposed anywhere, though, so I have to wonder if it will really happen.
What scares the hell out of me is that the few people I know who are trying to tell me that everything is going to be fine tend to couch their assurances with "Oh sure he said that but there's no way he actually goes through with it." I don't find this comforting in the least.
Posted by John Holding (# 158) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by L'organist:
Oh dear.
NATO I expect DT to look at getting co-operation deals with strategic countries (Turks, UK, Japan, perhaps Canada) which the military would like to be able to use for operations. Once they've done that, withdrawal could well happen.
In at least Canada's case, the situation is far more complicated. We have three main links with the US -- the North America Free Trade AGreement (Canada, US and Mexico), which Trump has effecivbely promised to rip up; the North American Defence agreeemnt, which Trump is likely to decide to rip up unless Canada doubles or triples its financial contribution to US defence (we don't actually get anything out of this one -- any missiles incoming over the poles would be shot down over Canada to spare the US); and NATO.
In the context of likely ripping up two major US-Canada agreements, I hardly think Trump is going to attempt to deal with Canada on defence.
John
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
In good news, nuclear war with Russia is obviated when we become their client state.
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
In good news, nuclear war with Russia is obviated when we become their client state.
Harkening back to the cold war days rhetoric, wasn't there some stuff done proving that the explosion of about 3 Hydrogen bombs within a certain radius would tilt the earth's axis beyond repair?
Of course it was news during the cold war, pre web, so hardly something you could refute easily back then. But, given the times, I fully suspect all the cold war fears will come sweeping back across the zeitgeist.
Posted by Stercus Tauri (# 16668) on
:
Daughter just called from New York saying there were people crying in the subway this morning. They are giving up a president who they love and admire for what? - a bag of offal. They are scared of the future, and hate the fact that Trump lives in their city.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Why didn't the poor and working class KNOW that the Democrats under Clinton are their only hope?
Because it's not true, at least not for all of them. They've seen what's happened over the last eight years, and they don't want any more of the same.
Most of the last 8 years America was under a republican senate and house that wouldn't do shit.
quote:
Trump won't help them, of course. But he is something different and he said the right things about improving their lives, so they gave him a chance.
I don't understand how they can be so stupid. He has spent all his career belittling people who are not rich. He will be working with a group of people whose stated motive is to end anything that helps the middle class and poor. People are so stupid.
Posted by Augustine the Aleut (# 1472) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
quote:
Originally posted by L'organist:
Oh dear.
NATO I expect DT to look at getting co-operation deals with strategic countries (Turks, UK, Japan, perhaps Canada) which the military would like to be able to use for operations. Once they've done that, withdrawal could well happen.
In at least Canada's case, the situation is far more complicated. We have three main links with the US -- the North America Free Trade AGreement (Canada, US and Mexico), which Trump has effecivbely promised to rip up; the North American Defence agreeemnt, which Trump is likely to decide to rip up unless Canada doubles or triples its financial contribution to US defence (we don't actually get anything out of this one -- any missiles incoming over the poles would be shot down over Canada to spare the US); and NATO.
In the context of likely ripping up two major US-Canada agreements, I hardly think Trump is going to attempt to deal with Canada on defence.
John
I am reliably informed that Mr Trump knows nothing about the Norad arrangement-- and he is certainly not aware that US forces are under infidel (sorry, Canadian) command for half of each year.
As far as trade goes, I recall some years ago in a previous incarnation seeing a survey that identified 14% of US folk correctly identifying their country's greatest trading partner (Canada, at that time). I suspect that Mr Trump is among the 86%. Given his habit of not receiving briefings....
Posted by Soror Magna (# 9881) on
:
Fortunately for President-elect Fart, there are many resources to help him transition into his new job. He's probably watching old Schoolhouse Rock clips right now. And I'm really, really looking forward to when he tries to impose a tariff on Chinese imports or get out of NAFTA and Walmart sues the USA government for billions of dollars of lost profits.
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
And I'm really, really looking forward to when he tries to impose a tariff on Chinese imports or get out of NAFTA and Walmart sues the USA government for billions of dollars of lost profits.
Please explain how you think that Walmart would have grounds for a lawsuit in such a case? The US government has no obligation to arrange its trade policy for the maximum benefit of Walmart.
Posted by John Holding (# 158) on
:
I'm guessing, but the NAFTA specifically gives companies the right to sue governments for actions that compromise their profit-making capability. Normally, this means that Walmart would sue the Canadian government if it took action that harmed WAlmart. It is within the meaning of the treaty, however, that Walmart could sue the US government for impairing its activity in Canada.
If Trump moves to tear up Nafta, as he has threatened -- not because of Canada, as A the A has pointed out, but because of MExico -- I would guess that there might be grounds for such a suit. WHether Walmart would win is probably a different issue, but that wouldn't stop it trying.
John
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
I'm guessing, but the NAFTA specifically gives companies the right to sue governments for actions that compromise their profit-making capability.
But surely if the US repudiates NAFTA, then any such rights evaporate along with the treaty?
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
I'm guessing, but the NAFTA specifically gives companies the right to sue governments for actions that compromise their profit-making capability.
Boy if this doesn't flag NAFTA as evil. That a corporation should have sovereignty over a nation. Shee-yit.
Posted by Pangolin Guerre (# 18686) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
[QUOTE]Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I'm not sure if there have been periods of 12 years with Presidents of the same party? Seems unlikely.
Reagan-Reagan-Bush was 12 years.
Lincoln-Lincoln-Johnson-Grant-Grant-Hayes-Garfield-Arthur... 1861-1885; McKinley-Roosevelt-Taft... 1897-1913; FDR-Truman... 1933-1953; and supra.
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
One thing I learned a long time ago in political science was that the pendulum swings to the left and to the right.
The underlying current throughout this election was populism. Trump came at it from the right. Sanders came at it from the left.
There is just an overall mistrust of the establishment (something I remember even back in the 70's).
An interesting comment I heard this evening was America is made up of two groups: those who live on the coast, and the fly-over people. For too long the people in the middle, the flyover people, have felt their concerns were not being heard. Now, they have spoken. And America has heard their voice.
What does it mean? Time will tell.
I do know Trump will find it much harder to govern than being a business tycoon. He will have about 100 honeymoon days, and then will come the hard part. He can easily overturn many of the executive orders Obama signed. His cabinet will tweak their respective departments
Obamacare may be history. But I am thinking beyond that, it will be quite hard to get things done.
For one thing, eight Republican Senators did not vote for him. If half of them form a coalition with the Democrats, most of Trump's legislative agenda will not get through. The Supreme Court will remain centrist. Roe v Wade will remain. Equal Marriage will survive.
Give it two years. Then all of the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate will be up for re-election. If history repeats itself, like it did with Obama, I would think both chambers will then flip and then the brakes will be gradually applied.
In four years, if Trump can make it that far (there may be a number of reasons which can be grounds for impeachment), he will then have to answer to the American people. There will be a very strong opposition ready to take him on. Can anyone say Elizabeth Warren?
American has survived these pendulum swings before. It will again. And we will be the better for it.
I have been part of the loyal opposition before. I can be again.
We have been beaten, but we are not defeated.
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on
:
I've just read a very pessimistic piece in The Guardian to the effect that Trump can do what he likes and keep any congressional opposition in line by pointing out his electoral success and its implications for their re-election if they are seen to oppose him.
The element that leaves out is the already manifest discontent of those who didn't vote for him, which is not going to subside if he turns many of his proposals into actions. Plus the enlistment of those presently tolerant or pro when they find their own lives adversely affected.
Extremes provoke extremes. As long as Republican and Democrat operated within a broad consensus, the majority would go along, but if you break that, then... obviously what we hope for is an energised and politicised population who will return a stonking number of Democrats at the mid term and a new President in 4 years. Rather than, say, another Civil War (though with the availability of guns that's always a worry).
Posted by Teekeey Misha (# 18604) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
...keep any congressional opposition in line by pointing out his electoral success and its implications for their re-election if they are seen to oppose him.
Is that likely to be an effective threat when they know as well as he does that he lost the popular vote? Surely, the first time he mentions his "electoral success" they will swiftly retort, "Um, Don - you came second."
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
In good news, nuclear war with Russia is obviated when we become their client state.
It's kind of like saying "well I've seen to it that THAT poisonous snake won't kill you, but I'm thinking about poking some of the other ones".
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Teekeey Misha:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
...keep any congressional opposition in line by pointing out his electoral success and its implications for their re-election if they are seen to oppose him.
Is that likely to be an effective threat when they know as well as he does that he lost the popular vote? Surely, the first time he mentions his "electoral success" they will swiftly retort, "Um, Don - you came second."
A considerable number of members of Congress owe their positions to breathtaking gerrymanders. The Electoral College, despite its perceived faults, is at least based on some kind of rational principle about the federal nature of the country.
There's no basis for electoral boundaries like these ones other than blatant, corrupting conflict of interest.
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
There may well be a swing back - but before there is, there will be 'collateral damage' of people whose lives are wrecked, as there are here.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gramps49:
An interesting comment I heard this evening was America is made up of two groups: those who live on the coast, and the fly-over people. For too long the people in the middle, the flyover people, have felt their concerns were not being heard. Now, they have spoken. And America has heard their voice.
I've been saying something similar since before the election. It seems like the talking heads are finally catching up.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
I'd have more sympathy for them if they'd stop blaming immigrants, Muslims, gays, et alia for the shape the country is in. That they've figured out that the Republican establishment doesn't give a shit about them is awesome. That they've decided the answer is to elect a guy who has made racist whites feel more free to attack and assault people on the street - not so much. (If you haven't seen the reports of this, say so, and I'll post links.)
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
:
There is a nasty smelling odour in the air from certain quarters that is trying to say that no, this isn't that bad and that those who are scared need to just calm down* because he isn't or might not be a racist xenophobic, homophobic arse.
As others have said, these kinds of statements seem only to be coming from the white privileged set who aren't likely to be much affected by a Trump administration.
*given that this is coming from Mad Melanie Philips, it is quite a statement
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
Originally posted by RuthW:
quote:
If you haven't seen the reports of this, say so, and I'll post links.
I was tempted to ignore this because I'm depressed enough already, but better know the worst.
I'm sorely tempted to revert to the archives and remind myself what we were arguing about during the Bush era. This is turning into that line from Crocodile Dundee. "OMG! That's a really bad Republican administration"
"Nah, that's not a really bad Republican administration. THIS is a really bad Republican administration!".
Posted by Firenze (# 619) on
:
I see turnout was below 50%. Of those that did vote, fractionally more favoured Clinton. Of the quarter of eligible voters who supported Fart, say a proportion were merely deluded - the he's-only-saying-that/I-always-vote-Republican/my-neighbour's-cousin-says-he's-a-nice-man brigade.
So on the plus side you might only have 10 or 20% of Americans who are spittle-flecked bigoted loonies.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
I'd have more sympathy for them if they'd stop blaming immigrants, Muslims, gays, et alia for the shape the country is in. That they've figured out that the Republican establishment doesn't give a shit about them is awesome. That they've decided the answer is to elect a guy who has made racist whites feel more free to attack and assault people on the street - not so much. (If you haven't seen the reports of this, say so, and I'll post links.)
Post them Ruth. I haven't been so ashamed to be English until it happened here up to and after Brexit. Including murder.
We must subvert Caesar's tyranny loyally on both sides of the Atlantic now.
Posted by Trudy Scrumptious (# 5647) on
:
As I see US Republican friends on FB claiming that such things have never happened, I would like to see links to reports too. Always nice to have something verifiable to bring into a debate.
Posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider (# 76) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy:
There is a nasty smelling odour in the air from certain quarters that is trying to say that no, this isn't that bad and that those who are scared need to just calm down* because he isn't or might not be a racist xenophobic, homophobic arse.
As others have said, these kinds of statements seem only to be coming from the white privileged set who aren't likely to be much affected by a Trump administration.
*given that this is coming from Mad Melanie Philips, it is quite a statement
If Mad Mel is telling us to calm down, then in reality it's time to stock up the fall out shelter with long life tinned food. Or just run. Run! Run!!!
[ 10. November 2016, 13:40: Message edited by: Karl: Liberal Backslider ]
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
Yes, I caught a bit of Mad Mel last night, my God, what doubletalk. It's not really racist to say that you don't want nasty smelly brown folk next door, making curries, worshiping Baal, and FFS, having funny names that begin with Al.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
It's a new day. I'm alright now. So long as I stay in the house and don't go out where there are people. People talking, people with faces who probably comprise part of the 7,700 in my county who voted for him. And I keep the TV off and have vowed never to watch the news again. Because I don't think I'll ever be able to stand seeing Hewhoshallnotbenamed standing on the White House lawn with The First Bimbo squinting beside him, or God forbid, sitting behind the big desk in the Oval Office. Wait. I've imagined too much. I must go listen to old fifties music by the Platters for awhile.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
The First Bimbo
Nice
Posted by pimple (# 10635) on
:
I woke up yesterday to the first snow of the year (in North Yorkshire) and a fairyland vista through the trees. The night before I had watched the Ripon Hornblower warning all who had ears to hear that the Danes (or was it the Vikings?) were coming.
Then I switched on the TV.
My first (rational) thoughts were, with Britain out of Europe and America out of its mind, perhaps it's appropriate that the first American title to win the Booker Prize is "Sellout".
But wait! Not all Americans are crazy, and the USA is still a democratic country. Isn't it? So may it just be that Americans have chosen the leader they deserve? Time will tell. We've made some mad choices, apparently, this side of the pond. But isn't this absolutely the best argument for the Australian system (IIRC) of compulsory voting? Disasters by default might not...oh, wait another minute! Some of those Australian winners, now...
Posted by Teekeey Misha (# 18604) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
I haven't been so ashamed to be English until it happened here up to and after Brexit. Including murder.
How do you know what happens "after Brexit"? It hasn't happened yet. Things might get hell of a lot worse when it does. Or they might not.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
The boil came to a head in June. Everything else is drainage.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
The First Bimbo
Nice
I actually had First Slut, but changed it to try to be nicer. Forget that. I shouldn't have called her a bimbo, I'm not really sure if she is one, which implies a certain airheaded stupidity. I haven't heard her talk much, at least not using her own words, so maybe she's actually fairly smart. But I do think the slut word is perfectly fair considering how she supported herself (nude modeling, mistress of rich men,) before she landed the big charge account at Tiffany's. This was never a case of third world desperation either, she had started college when she decided to drop out and make easier money. That's a moral choice, just like the moral choice of walking in on pageant girls while they're dressing. She is as responsible for her actions as he is. I know our climate today disallows "slut shaming," (which is, correctly speaking, not this but a form of bullying young girls) but we don't hesitate to call a man like Trump to task for his immoral sexual behavior. I think they should both be held equally accountable or not at all.
In one magazine interview Melania Trump was quoted as saying, "Donald married me for my looks and I married him for his money, what's wrong with that?" I guess it's a matter of opinion whether there's something wrong with that, just like it's probably a matter of opinion whether or not there's something wrong with men indulging in "locker room talk," but I would call both things slutty and a marriage like theirs of the lowest order, demonstrating the shallowest of values.
I still have an ideal in my head where the people in the White House represent higher values than the average person on the street. This couple is a big step below average. I hate to think this woman will be in the same position as Eleanor Roosevelt or Michelle Obama, setting an example for young women as to the goals they should have and the contributions they should strive to make.
It's part of the whole tragedy of this election that we've passed up a chance to show young girls that they can achieve the highest office in the land if they study hard in school and work hard at productive jobs, and have exchanged it for showing them that they can skip all that and just let people take pictures of them with their clothes off and almost end up in the same place.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
One of the reasons why I expect the Trump White House to be a surreal place. There seems to be a built in selfish and self-centred shallowness at work. I said it in another thread but Obama's face and body-language spoke volumes today.
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
And I keep the TV off and have vowed never to watch the news again.
Ditto. If news is important enough to reach me, it can do so by certified mail, return receipt requested.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Well, there's this. I had a job interview this morning for a staff writer position, and came away with this test assignment: "Write a piece about post-election stress."
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Twilight, I hold no brief for Melania, but she didn't ask to be in the White House,* and she will hold no elected position. Why not have mercy on her and bury her in decent obscurity?
* Do you really think the Donald asked for her input?
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Why not have mercy on her and bury her in decent obscurity?
OK, so long as she doesn't have Ikea in to redo the Lincoln Bedroom.
Posted by Bishops Finger (# 5430) on
:
Meanwhile, here's the considered opinion of another well-known world leader:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2YEhNHNydIs&nohtml5=False
I'll get me jackboots...
IJ
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Og--
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
Dumping 20K people off of the insurance rolls would be bad, to say the least.
Maybe "20k" is a typo, or refers to something I've missed. But if you really mean that as the total of people on Obamacare, read this from the official site (Obama Care Facts):
quote:
The Current 2016 enrollment numbers: The current enrollment numbers (as of February 2016) are roughly: 12.7 million in the marketplace, and very roughly 20 million total between the ACA between the Marketplace, Medicaid expansion, young adults staying on their parents plan, and other coverage provisions.
And from HuffPost:
" Trump Renews Call For Obamacare Repeal As Enrollment Begins About that replacement 'plan', though...."
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Twilight, I hold no brief for Melania, but she didn't ask to be in the White House,* and she will hold no elected position. Why not have mercy on her and bury her in decent obscurity?
* Do you really think the Donald asked for her input?
Because Bill Clinton's sexual past and qualifications as First Gentleman have been hashed over and brought up incessantly during this election. She may not have "asked," to be in the White House, however you're picturing that, but she certainly has been front and center during the campaign, speaking about what a good man her husband is and marching up on the stage at every opportunity. I doubt very much that she's wanting to sink into obscurity now.
I'm hearing, from all the people who maintain a hands-off poor Melania position, a bit of the protective, patronizing attitude that says she's just a poor little woman who can't think for herself and as a good wife must follow her husband's path without opinions of her own. As such she's not responsible for her actions, or the positions she endorses, in the same way the man is.
That's the residual 1950's attitude about women that's caused so many Americans to find it impossible to really picture a woman as president.
Posted by simontoad (# 18096) on
:
Stay on the Battlefield
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
The beginning of the end of the First Amendment?
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
I see turnout was below 50%. Of those that did vote, fractionally more favoured Clinton. Of the quarter of eligible voters who supported Fart, say a proportion were merely deluded - the he's-only-saying-that/I-always-vote-Republican/my-neighbour's-cousin-says-he's-a-nice-man brigade.
So on the plus side you might only have 10 or 20% of Americans who are spittle-flecked bigoted loonies.
How very like our own dear Britain, although we do get slightly better turnout. Bang on about the 10-20% though.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
If this doesn't chill your blood, you are made of sterner stuff than I.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is calling for the creation of a new House Committee on Un-American Activities, invoking the infamous "Red Scare"-era congressional body as a blueprint for weeding out American ISIS adherents and sympathizers.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Twilight, I hold no brief for Melania, but she didn't ask to be in the White House,* and she will hold no elected position. Why not have mercy on her and bury her in decent obscurity?
* Do you really think the Donald asked for her input?
Because Bill Clinton's sexual past and qualifications as First Gentleman have been hashed over and brought up incessantly during this election. She may not have "asked," to be in the White House, however you're picturing that, but she certainly has been front and center during the campaign, speaking about what a good man her husband is and marching up on the stage at every opportunity. I doubt very much that she's wanting to sink into obscurity now.
I'm hearing, from all the people who maintain a hands-off poor Melania position, a bit of the protective, patronizing attitude that says she's just a poor little woman who can't think for herself and as a good wife must follow her husband's path without opinions of her own. As such she's not responsible for her actions, or the positions she endorses, in the same way the man is.
That's the residual 1950's attitude about women that's caused so many Americans to find it impossible to really picture a woman as president.
Oh seriously. Because Trump et al have been assholes by bringing up everything regarding Clinton's spouse, therefore it's meet, right and proper that we should be assholes now by attacking Melania?
As for the rest of your post--you haven't got much experience with emotionally abused women, have you. You really think that she has any freaking agency in this marriage?
It doesn't matter what gender you are or what century you live in--if you're married to a partner who holds all the power cards and has no human decency but a great regard for what suits him(her), you're screwed.
When Melania does something clearly of her own accord which is worth skewering, I'll be there. But at this point, all I can see is the major, major mistake of having an affair with and then marrying a narcissistic bastard--and I imagine she has paid for that in full, several times over.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Garrison Keillor weighs in, via the Washington Post:
"Trump voters will not like what happens next."
I particularly like the paragraph beginning "We liberal elitists...". Hmmm...I wonder if heirloom tomatoes can be grown indoors?
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Re Melania:
When watching, a while back, an interview of a man who knew her back home, I got the feeling that maybe Melania saw modeling as the only way to get out. AIUI, that can be a dangerous kind of work, in many ways (drugs, abuse, forced eating disorders...). And she's hardly the first woman to get involved with a powerful, rich man, or men.
I'm hoping that she'll fulfill the traditional first lady role of picking a good-works project. She could do some good on her own, away from her husband.
She should be treated decently, ISTM.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Re Melania:
She should be treated decently, ISTM.
As should all women.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Ok, you know that meme that is going around that shows Trump leaning over Melania at the polls? Really look at the body language. That girl is in trouble.
Posted by W Hyatt (# 14250) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Garrison Keillor weighs in, via the Washington Post:
"Trump voters will not like what happens next."
I particularly like the paragraph beginning "We liberal elitists...". Hmmm...I wonder if heirloom tomatoes can be grown indoors?
I like that - thanks.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Martin--
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
I haven't been so ashamed to be English until it happened here up to and after Brexit. Including murder.
Was the murder that of the woman politician who was shot in the street? (Remembering a little of the news.)
Posted by Soror Magna (# 9881) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
The First Bimbo
Nice
Well, her current title is Third Trophy Wife. Is that any better?
Honestly, I loathe gendered insults, but in Mrs. Trump's case, what word would you use to describes a woman who has made a career and a life letting various people make use of her body and image?
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Re Melania:
She should be treated decently, ISTM.
As should all women.
Memo: D Trump .....
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
mt--
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Re Melania:
She should be treated decently, ISTM.
As should all women.
Thanks. And thanks to all the other men of the Ship who've said supportive things. First, Enoch posted a link to an awesome article by a *man* who really gets it and said it. Then I started noticing several men of the Ship also getting it and saying it.
IME, it's rare for men to do that.
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And she's hardly the first woman to get involved with a powerful, rich man.
Didn't someone named Marilyn Monroe precede her?
Posted by Soror Magna (# 9881) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Ok, you know that meme that is going around that shows Trump leaning over Melania at the polls? Really look at the body language. That girl is in trouble.
OTOH, now that The Donald is President-Elect, he won't be able to trade her in for a Fourth Trophy Wife, at least not while they're in the White House.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Soror Magna--
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
The First Bimbo
Nice
Well, her current title is Third Trophy Wife. Is that any better?
Honestly, I loathe gendered insults, but in Mrs. Trump's case, what word would you use to describes a woman who has made a career and a life letting various people make use of her body and image?
Someone doing work that US popular culture highly values? That fashion houses value? That seemed to be a better choice for her than what was available at home? And possibly someone in a situation she can't get out of?
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Abusive tendancies don't just go away.
Ok, I may have brought this up before, but remember that silly romp of a movie, The First Wives' Club? It was based on a rather scathing potboiler by New York socialite Olivia Goldsmith. One of the characters, Gil Griffin, was a serial adulterer on his second wife, and also a serial abuser, as it turned out. He was also depicted as a scorched earth type Wall Street tychoon, who did a lot of the kind of budget fiddling that has now been attributed to Trump.
Ivanka is listed in the opening acknowledgements as one of "The brave women who shared their stories." Some speculate that Gil Griffin is based on Trump.
The reason I bring this up is that the photo of Melania in the meme really reminded me of the descriptions of the trophy wife in the novel, her withdrawn, hunched- shoulder stance. Probably just projection, but it really gave me chills. You'd have to read the book to really understand how unsettling a mental connection that was for me to make.
[ 11. November 2016, 01:48: Message edited by: Kelly Alves ]
Posted by Net Spinster (# 16058) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
Honestly, I loathe gendered insults, but in Mrs. Trump's case, what word would you use to describes a woman who has made a career and a life letting various people make use of her body and image?
Has she hurt anyone by doing so? If not why the insult?
On another note four local Pet Partners brought their dogs on campus today. I think the university libraries organize this about once a month so that stressed out students can pet a dog and usually there are a handful of students at a time. Today each dog was surrounded by a crowd of students (and lapping up the attention).
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Ok, you know that meme that is going around that shows Trump leaning over Melania at the polls? Really look at the body language. That girl is in trouble.
OTOH, now that The Donald is President-Elect, he won't be able to trade her in for a Fourth Trophy Wife, at least not while they're in the White House.
I don't see any reason for that to be the case. There's certainly no legal barrier. And even appeasing voters need not be a concern. If they weren't concerned about his prior adulteries and sexual assaults why would they care about something as garden variety as a divorce. It's not like he was (gasp)
gay married
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
The First Bimbo
Nice
Well, her current title is Third Trophy Wife. Is that any better?
Honestly, I loathe gendered insults, but in Mrs. Trump's case, what word would you use to describes a woman who has made a career and a life letting various people make use of her body and image?
Desperate.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
OK, links about assaults and harassment committed in the wake of Trump's election:
From CNN: racist graffiti and several hate crimes.
If you're on Facebook or Twitter, look up Shaun King - he's compiling these things. Or see some of what he's collected here on popsugar.
Here's a collection on Twitter from people documenting things that have happened in the last day or two. Here's a sample: a young woman writes, "Today, I was harassed by an older white man who presumed I was Mexican. 'I can't wait until Trump asks us to rape your people and send you back over the biggest damn wall we're going to build. Go back to hell, wet back.' After saying all of that, he threw the water in his cup in my face, gave me the middle finger, and ran off. It took every fiber of my being to hold my tongue and not chase him down. I'm in tears right now. I've never been terrified of being a woman and a minority until today."
From The Advocate: Trump supporters smashed a beer bottle in a gay guy's face in Santa Monica, CA (known by those of us in the area as "The People's Republic of Santa Monica" because it so friggin' liberal -- this isn't just happening in red states).
More generally, and still local to me, from the LA Weekly: hate crimes in Los Angeles County declined seven straight years until 2015, at which point they rose 24 percent. Hate crimes against Latinos went up 69 percent last year.
Anyone here who supported Trump: this is on you.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
I will add that I just read on Facebook that a friend from the Ship has a transgender friend who has received a death threat.
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
This morning I had yet to turn off CBS News when my local station switched to the 700 Club.
First thing Dinosaur Robertson said was, "Welcome to day two of the liberation of America."
Sorry, Mr. Robertson, America will be liberated only when Mr. Trump is defeated four years from now.
(Feeling Angry).
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Miss Amanda--
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And she's hardly the first woman to get involved with a powerful, rich man.
Didn't someone named Marilyn Monroe precede her?
And she was underestimated.
I never really understood what all the great fuss surrounding her was about, other than the obvious physical attributes. But people were so *obsessed* with her.
Then I found out 3 things that got me a little interested:
--She was a foster kid, and AIUI had a rough time.
--After she died, I saw a film clip of her bedroom or dressing room. Lots of books. I don't recall the titles, now. But I recall thinking, at the time, that if she was reading those particular books, she sure wasn't the dummy that so many people thought.
--I saw an outtake clip from a movie set she worked on. She was on break, and playing with this little dog. Marilyn was so happy and so natural. That was a Marilyn I would've liked to know.
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
For those of you who are trying to figure out how the American Electoral College works, this is about the best explanation out there.
Posted by Kaplan Corday (# 16119) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Firenze:
I see turnout was below 50%. Of those that did vote, fractionally more favoured Clinton.
I don't like Trump, I'm sorry he won, and I look forward to his term in office with trepidation.
However, I am not sure that psephological analysis is an adequate therapeutic consolation.
After all, Salavdor Allende, who is generally regarded as one of democracy's martyrs, won Chile's 1970 presidential election with the support of only about 20% (1,070,334 of 5,200,790) of those eligible to vote.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Re the hate crimes, etc.:
I feel like I'm in that "Star Trek: TOS" episode where a town follows "the will of L'Andru". (A malfunctioning computer, but they don't know that.)
Anyway, they are very good and very repressed, except for a celebration where they are *mandated* to let out everything they repress the rest of the year--ALL of it. Acting out all those ugly, selfish, evil, uncontrolled things that run around inside us. Murder, rape, and who knows what else. At the end of the "celebration", the survivors go back to their repressed lives, and don't talk about what happened.
I used to think that if the US and allies ever completely pull out of Afghanistan, it would be a very good idea to teach all girls and women self-defense, and somehow arm the women. Against acid attacks, and all that Taliban crap.
The self-defense training might be a really good thing here. I hope we don't need weapons.
I periodically take basic self-defense classes, to make sure I've got the basics. It's been a long time since my last. I should seek out a new one.
[ 11. November 2016, 06:02: Message edited by: Golden Key ]
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
Honestly, I loathe gendered insults, but in Mrs. Trump's case, what word would you use to describes a woman who has made a career and a life letting various people make use of her body and image?
Why are people here so quick to sit in judgement on Melania Trump? Maybe she just hasn't yet collected her alabaster jar
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
So far as Melania is concerned, it's better to aim high, rather than low. I wondered if Michelle Obama had given her phone number - "ring me if it gets tough - for any reason. In confidence. I mean that".
Michelle is a class act; she probably appreciates the unique difficulties Melania is facing.
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on
:
Yep, Golden Key. I always had Gene Roddenberry down as a clairvoyant with some of his futuristic ideas. Him and woody Allen with 'Sleeper'.
I learnt last night just how big an influence Facebook News feeds, along with other Internet outlets, were in regard to the outcome of the presidential election. Trump exploited it to stunning effect, but then it still doesn't escape the fact that the feeling had to be there in the first place.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
Wow, the criticisms of Melania Trump are really ugly. Misogyny is still misogyny, even if you vote Democrat.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
I'm guessing that this is the thread that will continue?
Reading various bits of economic analysis - Clinton lost in the rust belt, because of free trade, and so forth. Trump wants to abolish free trade agreements, and put tariffs up against Chinese goods?
Wow, is this real? Then what?
Also, he is promising big spending on infrastructure - very Keynesian! Should I laugh or cry?
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Re Melania:
She should be treated decently, ISTM.
As should all women.
As should all men? I haven't noticed this board demanding that her husband be treated with respect.
I haven't seen the slightest indication from any source that she has been abused, but some are going to just assume that. Just as some are going to assume that nude modeling, and being the mistress of various men was her "only way out," as though she was living in poverty. She grew up in a middle class home and was attending college when she decided to go another, easier way. Why would anyone think she "powerless?" She is not a hillbilly wife living in the mountains with ten children no money and no literacy and no driver's license. She, like the two wives before her, could leave anytime with millions of dollars if she wanted to.
All the "poor Melanie, the victim" remarks above, starting with the assumption that she deserves to be treated with respect because of her gender, is just what I was talking about.
Women can not expect to have it both ways. We can't pretend that our husbands, or fathers, or society in general have forced us to use our bodies to make easy money if they have not. We can't blame every irresponsible choice on the men in our lives. We cannot expect to be treated with respect if we've not respected ourselves. We can not continue to claim powerlessness if we expect to ever be given powerful positions.
This double standard has to stop. We are either powerful, intelligent agents of our own lives, or we are helpless little ladies who need patronizing protection from the big bad men. We will never have a woman president if we keep pushing the latter.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
Wow, this is ugly stuff, the attacks on Melania. Nude modelling and various boy-friends, so she's a slut? Where are my Victorian smelling-salts?
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
This double standard has to stop. We are either powerful, intelligent agents of our own lives, or we are helpless little ladies who need patronizing protection from the big bad men. We will never have a woman president if we keep pushing the latter.
All well and good, but no justification or need to call her a bimbo.
[ 11. November 2016, 11:22: Message edited by: mdijon ]
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I'm guessing that this is the thread that will continue?
Reading various bits of economic analysis - Clinton lost in the rust belt, because of free trade, and so forth. Trump wants to abolish free trade agreements, and put tariffs up against Chinese goods?
Wow, is this real? Then what?
Also, he is promising big spending on infrastructure - very Keynesian! Should I laugh or cry?
He's basically posturing as an economic populist in the mode of Huey Long or Evita Peron(and I'm trying hard to avoid godwinning the list). I'm rather doubtful that he's gonna do anything signifcant in that direction, though.
I seem to recall Bush Jr. slapping a tariff on steel imports or something, and this being written up as an ideologically atypical appeal to the Rust Belt. Look for Trump to do a couple of similar things, but tweet a bunch of xenophobic slurs while doing so, to make sure his populist gesture stays in the news for a bit longer.
[ 11. November 2016, 11:32: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
To quetz,
Yes, dear. Taking off your clothes for money, posing nude lying alongside another woman, living with men who pay all your expenses. That's trading your body for money. That's pornography and prostitution. Just because she was born good looking enough to be a "mistress," rather than a street walker doesn't change anything, other than the street walker being deserving of pity while she could easily have had many other jobs. It's not a matter of smelling salts, it's a matter of doing work that does nothing to contribute to the world, work that doesn't use her mind but turns herself into an object. Is this what you think young women should aspire to? Not doctor or engineer or teacher, but pornography?
You call criticism of her misogyny. You're just revealing your own prejudice, evidently you think all women are right no matter what they do. It's okay to plagiarize another woman's speech. It's okay to express agreement with her husband's bigoted views of Muslims. It's all okay coming from her because she's a woman and to criticize her is misogyny. She has backed her husband every step of the way, particularly about illegal immigrants, always explaining that she is a legal immigrant.
This notion that she is not responsible for her views, but is just repeating what her husband says goes all the way back to the words of the men who thought women shouldn't have the vote because they would all just vote the way their husbands voted. The really ugly attitude coming from this thread is the one that says this 44 year-old woman is just an appendage of her husband with no mind or power of her own. The wedding ring on her finger is worth one and a half million. If she doesn't agree with the bigoted jerk she married she could walk any time she felt like it.
[ 11. November 2016, 11:47: Message edited by: Twilight ]
Posted by fletcher christian (# 13919) on
:
I guess Britain can breath a sign of relief that it is now the second dumbest country in the room. I know lots who believe in their own little insular world will say that Brexit and Trump doesn't really have any noticeable effect on the rest of the world, but sadly they are wrong. We've now entered a new world where leaders can make all manner of crazy claims against their rivals and make all manner of rash promises to get into power. We've entered a political fog without knowing what direction we are travelling in but in the full awareness that the sea ahead is littered with rocks to flounder on and it's all being driven forward by this new approach. It is an approach that will happily tell bare faced lies to the electorate, make promises they know cannot be kept, make claims they know are not true in any respect, will happily use xenophobia, paranoia, racism, sexism and fear to grab power and control. Only this morning I saw the official Facebook page of a legitimate political party publish a photoshopped picture of a political rival in a compromising situation with the deliberate attempt of raising anger and frustration. This is a whole new era of politics; the politics of lies. I guess you could argue that the nonsense fed in the last twenty years has finally come back to bite us all in the ass, but I feel we are entering a very uncertain time and a deeply troubling future.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
To quetz,
Yes, dear. Taking off your clothes for money, posing nude lying alongside another woman, living with men who pay all your expenses. That's trading your body for money. That's pornography and prostitution. Just because she was born good looking enough to be a "mistress," rather than a street walker doesn't change anything, other than the street walker being deserving of pity while she could easily have had many other jobs. It's not a matter of smelling salts, it's a matter of doing work that does nothing to contribute to the world, work that doesn't use her mind but turns herself into an object. Is this what you think young women should aspire to? Not doctor or engineer or teacher, but pornography?
You call criticism of her misogyny. You're just revealing your own prejudice, evidently you think all women are right no matter what they do. It's okay to plagiarize another woman's speech. It's okay to express agreement with her husband's bigoted views of Muslims. It's all okay coming from her because she's a woman and to criticize her is misogyny. She has backed her husband every step of the way, particularly about illegal immigrants, always explaining that she is a legal immigrant.
This notion that she is not responsible for her views, but is just repeating what her husband says goes all the way back to the words of the men who thought women shouldn't have the vote because they would all just vote the way their husbands voted. The really ugly attitude coming from this thread is the one that says this 44 year-old woman is just an appendage of her husband with no mind or power of her own. The wedding ring on her finger is worth one and a half million. If she doesn't agree with the bigoted jerk she married she could walk any time she felt like it.
No, I don't think criticism of her is misogyny. I think slut-shaming is. Oh, and less of the 'dear'.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
Looking round the internet, loads of slut-shaming of Mrs Trump. I guess some of it is striking back at losing to Trump. And I guess Christians are old hands at it.
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
[QB] To quetz,
This notion that she is not responsible for her views, but is just repeating what her husband says goes all the way back to the words of the men who thought women shouldn't have the vote because they would all just vote the way their husbands voted. The really ugly attitude coming from this thread is the one that says this 44 year-old woman is just an appendage of her husband with no mind or power of her own. The wedding ring on her finger is worth one and a half million. If she doesn't agree with the bigoted jerk she married she could walk any time she felt like it.
From where I'm sitting, I try to give people a chance before castigating them because of an association with someone else. We know what Trump is like because he's said it in public.
It is less clear what Melania is like because we haven't heard much from her. Her views may indeed be vapid and she may indeed be a mirror of Trump's own, but we simply don't know yet.
It is true that she's married to an arse. That, more-or-less, is all we know.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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I think she has said things that can be criticized, echoing Trump's views on immigration, for example. But slut-shaming is different, that's an attack on her as a woman. Shameful.
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
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Ahem. Sorry about that deleted post everyone, I forgot where I was posting.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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Reminds me of a time when I used to go to a little Catholic church round the corner, anyway, a bunch of prostitutes started attending Mass. A group of women from the congregation complained to the priest, and asked him if he could divert them somewhere else. Well, the irony, the irony.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
Honestly, I loathe gendered insults, but in Mrs. Trump's case, what word would you use to describes a woman who has made a career and a life letting various people make use of her body and image?
Why are people here so quick to sit in judgement on Melania Trump? Maybe she just hasn't yet collected her alabaster jar
What has Melania Trump in common with this woman? Have you heard that she has begged Jesus for forgiveness? Has she washed his feet? Does she even believe in him? Do we even know what sort of sin the woman in the parable has committed? You might as well say that Donald Trump hasn't collected his alabaster jar, and ask why we sit in judgement of him.
We can't know what's in the heart of anyone, yet we criticize public figures based on what we know of them all the time. There's no reason why women should be exempt from this when men are not. Also criticism is not the same as "sitting in judgement." No one has called her evil or said she should burn in hell. I don't think she's an admirable woman and as such don't like to have her in such a prominent position for our children to look up to, that's all.
I know some Christians, particularly men and some pastors, have begun to see prostitution as an exalted occupation. Any woman in the Bible who is called sinful is assumed to be a prostitute, never a thief or idolater, and the desire to forgive her is extended to admiration of a kind. I think it's become sort of a sick and rather lascivious thing. The woman in the parable is humble, repentant and a believer. That's why we should try to be like her, not because she is (possibly) a prostitute.
Jesus forgave murderers, it doesn't mean it's a cool thing and we should admire them and never criticize them.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Reminds me of a time when I used to go to a little Catholic church round the corner, anyway, a bunch of prostitutes started attending Mass. A group of women from the congregation complained to the priest, and asked him if he could divert them somewhere else. Well, the irony, the irony.
Has anyone here suggested Melania Trump should not go to church? How false your argument is getting.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Reminds me of a time when I used to go to a little Catholic church round the corner, anyway, a bunch of prostitutes started attending Mass. A group of women from the congregation complained to the priest, and asked him if he could divert them somewhere else. Well, the irony, the irony.
Has anyone here suggested Melania Trump should not go to church? How false your argument is getting.
No, no-one has suggested that, and I haven't suggested that they have. I was using an example of slut-shaming by Christians.
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
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quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I think she has said things that can be criticized, echoing Trump's views on immigration, for example. But slut-shaming is different, that's an attack on her as a woman. Shameful.
Is that necessarily true? Usually, slut-shaming is an example of the old traditional double-standard, but that's not what Twilight was saying.
If Twilight holds the same opinion about attractive young men who are kept as toyboys by rich powerful old women, that would be consistent with her attacks on Melania Trump, and nothing to do with "attacking her as a woman".
Now, we have a rather larger supply of rich powerful old men than we do of equivalent women (because patriarchy), so it's easy to find examples of rich old men with trophy wives, but harder to find their female counterparts. IIRC, Madonna's had her share of young dancers, though - presumably Twilight feels the same about them as she does about Mrs. Trump?
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
If Twilight holds the same opinion about attractive young men who are kept as toyboys by rich powerful old women, that would be consistent with her attacks on Melania Trump, and nothing to do with "attacking her as a woman".
Interestingly when you have a woman in Melania Trump's situation (as defined by Twilight, anyway), she is blamed, as Twilight is blaming her.
On the other hand when you have the situation here described by Leorning Cniht, it's the woman who is blamed, not the young man.
Odd that?
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I think she has said things that can be criticized, echoing Trump's views on immigration, for example. But slut-shaming is different, that's an attack on her as a woman. Shameful.
Is that necessarily true? Usually, slut-shaming is an example of the old traditional double-standard, but that's not what Twilight was saying.
If Twilight holds the same opinion about attractive young men who are kept as toyboys by rich powerful old women, that would be consistent with her attacks on Melania Trump, and nothing to do with "attacking her as a woman".
Now, we have a rather larger supply of rich powerful old men than we do of equivalent women (because patriarchy), so it's easy to find examples of rich old men with trophy wives, but harder to find their female counterparts. IIRC, Madonna's had her share of young dancers, though - presumably Twilight feels the same about them as she does about Mrs. Trump?
I would have thought that would be male slut-shaming, by which I mean, blaming the boy-friend of a richer older woman.
I don't see the difference, although as mousethief points out, it tends to be the woman who's blamed as the cougar, ball-breaker, cradle snatcher, etc.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
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It's the woman's fault either way. Beautiful example of the Patriarchy in action.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
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quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I think she has said things that can be criticized, echoing Trump's views on immigration, for example. But slut-shaming is different, that's an attack on her as a woman. Shameful.
No, it's an attack on her choice of occupation. Only you, in your last sentence have attacked whole people as, "shameful."
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
It's the woman's fault either way. Beautiful example of the Patriarchy in action.
That's just what you said, no one else did.
If Hillary Clinton's husband was a Chippendale dancer I would be just as disappointed and critical of him and for the same reasons. I want us to have a couple in the White House where both can be admired and copied by our children. I would like to see people who studied hard and got degrees for useful occupations rather than simply using their looks to make money. It's true that our society worships models and avidly follows the fashion industry. I don't think that's a good thing that we need to encourage. It values our outward appearance and wealth above anything else.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Looking round the internet, loads of slut-shaming of Mrs Trump. I guess some of it is striking back at losing to Trump. And I guess Christians are old hands at it.
I can't imagine what sites you're using. I found nothing but glowing articles about her in all sorts of online newspapers and magazines. She's being compared to Jackie O and her poor beginnings are being written as an inspiring rags to riches story.
I think she's well on her way to becoming America's Princess Diana; beautiful, with very little to say, all she needs to do is lend her name to a few charities, show up for the occasional photo op holding a sick child, and she can become the beloved First Lady of our hearts.
Posted by orfeo (# 13878) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
It's the woman's fault either way. Beautiful example of the Patriarchy in action.
That's just what you said, no one else did.
If Hillary Clinton's husband was a Chippendale dancer I would be just as disappointed and critical of him and for the same reasons. I want us to have a couple in the White House where both can be admired and copied by our children. I would like to see people who studied hard and got degrees for useful occupations rather than simply using their looks to make money. It's true that our society worships models and avidly follows the fashion industry. I don't think that's a good thing that we need to encourage. It values our outward appearance and wealth above anything else.
And I would like to focus on the person who actually runs for office. Why the hell should family members be relevant? Are there other jobs where you'd like to assess not just the skills and competence of the person occupying the position, but pass judgement on all their relatives?
That's regardless of the gender of the person occupying a job, but I'd particularly quite like to get rid of the idea that a woman is an appendage of her husband and must be taken into account when her husband is in a public position.
But I also don't give a damn if Hillary decided to divorce Bill and go for a Chippendale. "Spouse to the President" is not a job you will find in the constitution.
[ 11. November 2016, 14:30: Message edited by: orfeo ]
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
If Hillary Clinton's husband was a Chippendale dancer I would be just as disappointed and critical of him and for the same reasons. I want us to have a couple in the White House where both can be admired and copied by our children...
Did you want Hilary Clinton in the White House with that paragon of moral virtue, and role model for children everywhere, Bill?
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
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The true thing is that probably nothing Mrs. Trump says or does is by her own will or choice. Certainly every speech she gives or action she takes is controlled tightly by her husband. (There was a picture of them, voting on Tuesday, that shows you what I mean.) She probably had little choice but to marry him (nude modeling is not a career that you can carry into your fifties) and being a model is what you do when you are lovely but haven't any acting talent. She did what she could to stay alive and to get out of Slovenia. We will probably never learn her true feelings or nature; they are well-hidden now for her own safety and in future she is probably bound by prenups that will gag any true confessions. If I were her I would write novels, and publish them under a closely-held pen name.
In the meantime over at the POST columnist Richard Cohen summarizes what Trump will have to do, to unite the country. My fellow genre writers agree that this could be a candidate for one of our short-fiction awards; it is fantasy and will never happen.
And John Pavlovitz calls upon pastors everywhere to speak as Christ to their Trumpery congregations. This is excellent and is a free click. I am informed that about 80 percent of evangelical Christians voted for the pussy grabber. I may have to join the Unitarians.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
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quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
Did you want Hilary Clinton in the White House with that paragon of moral virtue, and role model for children everywhere, Bill?
Let's see. Trump is a racist, xenophobic, sexist, cheating, sexually assaulting, KKK-enabling, philandering, thrice-married homophobic business failure with no government experience.
Hillary used an illicit email account, is married to a philanderer, and has spent her life in public service.
How can I decide? They're exactly the same.
[ 11. November 2016, 14:52: Message edited by: mousethief ]
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
The true thing is that probably nothing Mrs. Trump says or does is by her own will or choice. Certainly every speech she gives or action she takes is controlled tightly by her husband. (There was a picture of them, voting on Tuesday, that shows you what I mean.) She probably had little choice but to marry him (nude modeling is not a career that you can carry into your fifties) and being a model is what you do when you are lovely but haven't any acting talent. She did what she could to stay alive and to get out of Slovenia. We will probably never learn her true feelings or nature; they are well-hidden now for her own safety and in future she is probably bound by prenups that will gag any true confessions. If I were her I would write novels, and publish them under a closely-held pen name.
In the meantime over at the POST columnist Richard Cohen summarizes what Trump will have to do, to unite the country. My fellow genre writers agree that this could be a candidate for one of our short-fiction awards; it is fantasy and will never happen.
And John Pavlovitz calls upon pastors everywhere to speak as Christ to their Trumpery congregations. This is excellent and is a free click. I am informed that about 80 percent of evangelical Christians voted for the pussy grabber. I may have to join the Unitarians.
Well, I can see that you are not slut-shaming her, Chthulu be praised, but I'm curious how you know that 'nothing Mrs Trump says or does is by her own will or choice'. Do you really mean nothing? 'Every action she takes is controlled tightly' - really?
You must have some amazing access to her private life, at any rate.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
And I would like to focus on the person who actually runs for office. Why the hell should family members be relevant? Are there other jobs where you'd like to assess not just the skills and competence of the person occupying the position, but pass judgement on all their relatives?
That's regardless of the gender of the person occupying a job, but I'd particularly quite like to get rid of the idea that a woman is an appendage of her husband and must be taken into account when her husband is in a public position.
But I also don't give a damn if Hillary decided to divorce Bill and go for a Chippendale. "Spouse to the President" is not a job you will find in the constitution.
This is a unique position, it's not like the wife of a CEO or the pastor's wife. Our first lady is the closest we have to a queen or princess. All of our first ladies have been highly visible, some like Pat Nixon have been more retiring than a Jackie O, but still watched by the country and given great respect and attention to everything she says. She doesn't need to be an appendage of her husband and she may work on issues that he has little interest in.
-------------------------
That photo of Trump leaning over his wife in the voting booth does not represent their marriage. The obvious thing is that he is helping her figure out the format and wording on issues which are hard enough for people who have English as their first language -- see "hanging chads and Florida's across-the-seam voting booklet," as examples. Our local issues are always written in convoluted double negative language that seems purposely meant to get the opposite answer as intended.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by orfeo:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
It's the woman's fault either way. Beautiful example of the Patriarchy in action.
That's just what you said, no one else did.
If Hillary Clinton's husband was a Chippendale dancer I would be just as disappointed and critical of him and for the same reasons. I want us to have a couple in the White House where both can be admired and copied by our children. I would like to see people who studied hard and got degrees for useful occupations rather than simply using their looks to make money. It's true that our society worships models and avidly follows the fashion industry. I don't think that's a good thing that we need to encourage. It values our outward appearance and wealth above anything else.
And I would like to focus on the person who actually runs for office. Why the hell should family members be relevant? Are there other jobs where you'd like to assess not just the skills and competence of the person occupying the position, but pass judgement on all their relatives?
That's regardless of the gender of the person occupying a job, but I'd particularly quite like to get rid of the idea that a woman is an appendage of her husband and must be taken into account when her husband is in a public position.
But I also don't give a damn if Hillary decided to divorce Bill and go for a Chippendale. "Spouse to the President" is not a job you will find in the constitution.
All of this. Especially in light of the fact that most of us were very protective of Hillary's right to be judged as a candidate apart from whatever her boob of a husband did.
Why are we even talking about Melania?
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
Because she is a slut, obviously.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
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Why talk about her? Because this is a thread about the aftermath of the election and part of that aftermath is when the new first family takes over the White House.
I wonder how often the "Why are we even talking about her?" crowd has talked about Michelle Obama, praising her and expressing gratitude that we have such a classy, intelligent woman in that position?
[ 11. November 2016, 15:20: Message edited by: Twilight ]
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
That was because Michelle Obama actually got out there and made herself a prescence. She gave us plenty of material to coment on. When Melania does the same, then we can judge her by her actions just as we did Michelle.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
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Is the whole concept of 'first lady' sexist?
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
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quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
If Hillary Clinton's husband was a Chippendale dancer I would be just as disappointed and critical of him and for the same reasons. I want us to have a couple in the White House where both can be admired and copied by our children...
Did you want Hilary Clinton in the White House with that paragon of moral virtue, and role model for children everywhere, Bill?
Bill Clinton was a Rhodes scholar who worked his way up in politics to become one of our best presidents ever. He created millions of new jobs, was great for our economy, improved international relations, increased college attendance, gave the military its highest raises ever, to name a few accomplishments. I think he was a fine role model.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
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It's kind of like "pastor's wife."
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Looking round the internet, loads of slut-shaming of Mrs Trump. I guess some of it is striking back at losing to Trump. And I guess Christians are old hands at it.
Here is a Christian who is saying decidedly the opposite. Please avoid the big brush, would you?
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
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No, that would be "president's wife." What's insulting about "First," anything? Bill was hoping to be called, "First Gentleman."
It's like the plagiarism thing never even happened.
Posted by Nick Tamen (# 15164) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
This is a unique position, it's not like the wife of a CEO or the pastor's wife.
Depends on the church. In African American churches, the pastor's wife is often called "the First Lady," and does hold a unique—and some might say exalted—position in the congregation, comparable to that of the First Lady of the US or of a state.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
It's kind of like "pastor's wife."
Thanks. Good clarification.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
And, just like the FL, people will try to get at her husband by attacking her.
By the way, didn't all kinds of ugly people crawl out of the woodwork and carp on Michelle's muscular arms and the darkness of her skin and her sturdy physique when she came on the scene?
If you don't remember, it was pretty godawful.
[ 11. November 2016, 15:49: Message edited by: Kelly Alves ]
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
Wait till they start on Ivanka. She could become President as well.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
If Hillary Clinton's husband was a Chippendale dancer I would be just as disappointed and critical of him and for the same reasons. I want us to have a couple in the White House where both can be admired and copied by our children.
Twilight, and here's your mistake. Melania Trump was not elected. Mr. Clinton would not have been elected if the election had gone the other way. The spouse of a president is not elected. The presidency is not that person's job. Setting a good example is not that person's job except in so far as it's the job of any adult human being. For all the waffly yiffle yaffle about FLOTUS and potential FGOTUS positions, these are not elected or chosen positions. Nor are they compensated, to the best of my knowledge, though they may be supported with staff, budgets, etc. since the rest of the world stubbornly insists on thinking that marriage to a leader = being a leader oneself, and it would be plain crappy to abandon a presidential spouse to cope with those expectations with no support whatsoever.
If you fall into a job-not-real-job through no choice of your own, you ought not be blamed for any past behavior that censorious persons think makes you unfit to have that job. You didn't ask for it, and you could not reasonably foresee you were going to wind up in it.
It is, in short, the old pastor's wife dilemma.
Melania freely chose one position: that of life as the Orange One's wife. She did not choose the FLOTUS position. I doubt TOO ever mentioned it when he discussed getting married. She has fallen into that position, just as women have done since George Washington's day, and now must make the best of it. And it's going to be very sucky doing so with the kind of past she has. Why do you insist on making things worse?
And don't say "Oh, but she could walk away." Yes, she could--at the cost of her marriage. She has a child. Presumably she has concerns for his relationship with his father. Do you still think it so easy to walk away?
Personally you couldn't pay me to live with TOO. But she has made a different decision, and it's foolish to expect her to ditch him simply because his new position comes with FLOTUS burdens for her. And for you to bitch at her for not having an appropriate past for the FLOTUS position--tell me, just exactly how is she to go back in time and rectify that problem?
Now if she continues to behave in those ways, have at her, by all means. Not because she is an elected official (she still won't be) or chose her job (she still won't have done so) but for general foolishness and lack of prudence and charity when suddenly placed in the public eye.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
It's kind of like "pastor's wife."
Ha.
Great minds...
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Looking round the internet, loads of slut-shaming of Mrs Trump. I guess some of it is striking back at losing to Trump. And I guess Christians are old hands at it.
Here is a Christian who is saying decidedly the opposite. Please avoid the big brush, would you?
... So is that clear yet, quetz?
Btw, LC, spot on.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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Yes, ma'am, clear as fucking mud.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
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Ok, what do you think of LC's actual post? Because I though it was brilliant and I agree with every word.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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Very good. But surely slut-shaming goes with Christianity as Yorkshire pudding goes with roast beef. That doesn't mean I think all Christians do it, especially on a forum like this. See my story about prostitutes at Mass.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
This is behind the paywall, but the headline says it all: Trump says he absolutely wants to register Muslims.
Far elsewhere on the internet someone has a grand idea: If this happens, we all register as Muslims. I think I will do this.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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I see Trump alternately attacked the protesters, and then praised them today for being passionate. Wow, this guy goes beyond chameleon.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
This is a unique position, it's not like the wife of a CEO or the pastor's wife.
Depends on the church. In African American churches, the pastor's wife is often called "the First Lady," and does hold a unique—and some might say exalted—position in the congregation, comparable to that of the First Lady of the US or of a state.
Speaking as a pastor's wife, this is widespread across the U.S. (though I might drop the "exalted" bit. Generally speaking the pastor's wife is expected to be second pastor and all-round bottle-washer-in-chief, and all feel free to criticize her for any reason. Rather like Melania Trump, in fact.
)
There are actually study groups and books made available to future clergy spouses during their spouses' seminary days that aim to prepare us for this reality. And my denomination has set up a kind of mentoring system for pastors' wives, at least within my own district (haven't looked into others).
Not because we hold an official position in any way, which would be hugely frowned on in a denomination that requires an official Call before you take leadership. Rather because they know darn well that people WILL impose these expectations on you and they don't want to see us fall apart under the burden of them.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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Kelly - Hester Prynne? (The Scarlet Letter).
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Very good. But surely slut-shaming goes with Christianity as Yorkshire pudding goes with roast beef. That doesn't mean I think all Christians do it, especially on a forum like this. See my story about prostitutes at Mass.
Oh bullshit. We had prisoners and --well, not quite prostitutes, because she didn't take money, but in every other way-- as members of our church, and nobody batted an eye. That is, until a handful of people left the faith and promptly developed goody-two-shoe-ism.
Our host congregation, too, includes the kind of people most would pillory.
I have never personally met a Christian congregation that made assholes of themselves this way. No doubt they must exist--you seem to have met them--but I see them only in news headlines, which frankly gives me some doubt.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
This is behind the paywall, but the headline says it all: Trump says he absolutely wants to register Muslims.
Far elsewhere on the internet someone has a grand idea: If this happens, we all register as Muslims. I think I will do this.
I must say this is a great temptation.
I have an ethical problem, though, with claiming another religion. Will it do if I say nothing verbally but just show up in a hijab?
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
This is a unique position, it's not like the wife of a CEO or the pastor's wife.
Depends on the church. In African American churches, the pastor's wife is often called "the First Lady," and does hold a unique—and some might say exalted—position in the congregation, comparable to that of the First Lady of the US or of a state.
Speaking as a pastor's wife, this is widespread across the U.S. (though I might drop the "exalted" bit. Generally speaking the pastor's wife is expected to be second pastor and all-round bottle-washer-in-chief, and all feel free to criticize her for any reason. Rather like Melania Trump, in fact.
)
There are actually study groups and books made available to future clergy spouses during their spouses' seminary days that aim to prepare us for this reality. And my denomination has set up a kind of mentoring system for pastors' wives, at least within my own district (haven't looked into others).
Not because we hold an official position in any way, which would be hugely frowned on in a denomination that requires an official Call before you take leadership. Rather because they know darn well that people WILL impose these expectations on you and they don't want to see us fall apart under the burden of them.
Yes, although I think it's fair to point out that the attempt to market these books/seminars to "pastor's spouse" while sweetly gender-inclusive is totally missing the point. As the female pastor with a male spouse and former "pastor's wife", I have to say, being a "pastor's husband" is completely different from being a pastor's wife. A few ways:
1. At this point in time, there are no prior "pastor's husbands" and so no predecessors to live up to. There simply are no expectations for pastor's husband. You can write your own ticket.
2. Pastor's wives have an impossible to-do list, with all sorts of mutually exclusive expectations-- they must be involved in every enterprise & insure it's success, but without "taking over". They must devote hours per day to the church and listen to each and every person who "needs to talk" (even if that is to complain about her husband)-- but not neglect their kids, and oh yeah, pray 20 hours a day. Pastor's husbands, otoh, are considered with something like awe and wonder if they manage to do half of what a pastor's wife does-- "he teaches Sunday School AND he picks his kids up from school!"-- as if they were watching a fish ride a bike.
3. When you tell someone you are a pastor's wife, they will immediately ask you about your husband's church/ministry/work. When you tell someone you are a pastor's husband, they will immediately ask you about YOUR church/ministry/work.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
sorry-- that was a bit of a tangent, but a bit of feminist ranting is perhaps to be expected right now.
Posted by M. (# 3291) on
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Tangent. Lamb Chopped, why don't people just refuse to accept the role of 'pastor's wife'? It's what I did. I have never had a calling to ministry and have a career. I made it quite clear to churches before Macarius was appointed that I didn't accept the 'two for one' expectation.
End of tangent.
M.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
This is behind the paywall, but the headline says it all: Trump says he absolutely wants to register Muslims.
Far elsewhere on the internet someone has a grand idea: If this happens, we all register as Muslims. I think I will do this.
I must say this is a great temptation.
I have an ethical problem, though, with claiming another religion. Will it do if I say nothing verbally but just show up in a hijab?
I am sure you could also show up with some useful and apposite sign. Quoting Jesus, perhaps. A guy notorious for loving strangers.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
This is behind the paywall, but the headline says it all: Trump says he absolutely wants to register Muslims.
Far elsewhere on the internet someone has a grand idea: If this happens, we all register as Muslims. I think I will do this.
I must say this is a great temptation.
I have an ethical problem, though, with claiming another religion. Will it do if I say nothing verbally but just show up in a hijab?
I am sure you could also show up with some useful and apposite sign. Quoting Jesus, perhaps. A guy notorious for loving strangers.
The point though is not just an act of solidarity (although that's valuable) but rather to render the registry meaningless-- much like the (mythical, but based on a very real & effective threat/promise) Lutheran Danes wearing the star of David when under Nazi occupation.
Perhaps this is the solution to my "who/what am I?" thread. We register as Muslim, but when they ask which sect instead of sunni or shiite we write "evangelical Christian". We are evangelical Christian Muslims.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by M.:
Tangent. Lamb Chopped, why don't people just refuse to accept the role of 'pastor's wife'? It's what I did. I have never had a calling to ministry and have a career. I made it quite clear to churches before Macarius was appointed that I didn't accept the 'two for one' expectation.
End of tangent.
M.
Many of us do. But it takes a damn strong-minded woman to do so. Which leads us nicely back to the question of whether Melania could handle doing that.
Some of us have no problems with sliding into the expectations, spotless house and perfect childen all included.
Some of us firmly inform the congregation that we are going to another church and they should not expect to ever see our faces.
Some of us try to pick and choose based on our own particular gifts and interests.
Some of us are fortunate enough to be missionaries in a field where there have been no pastors' wives, and we get to write our own stereotype.
The one I'm writing includes getting a PhD, tutoring teenagers, and doing an ungodly amount of bureaucratic paperwork for people with no English . God help the woman who comes after me.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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There are in fact Muslim-identifying "followers of Isa." They are Christian by any reasonable standard, but cling to the old name.
Posted by mark_in_manchester (# 15978) on
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quote:
This is behind the paywall, but the headline says it all: Trump says he absolutely wants to register Muslims.
That's frightening. I don't remember hearing that he'd spoken on that before.
I woke up from a nightmare last week where I thought I was in a modern-day re-telling of Jews registering in pre-war Germany. What will they do to me if I don't register? What will they do to me if I do register? Can they tell just by looking at me that I'm supposed to register?
Posted by gorpo (# 17025) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I think she has said things that can be criticized, echoing Trump's views on immigration, for example. But slut-shaming is different, that's an attack on her as a woman. Shameful.
Is that necessarily true? Usually, slut-shaming is an example of the old traditional double-standard, but that's not what Twilight was saying.
If Twilight holds the same opinion about attractive young men who are kept as toyboys by rich powerful old women, that would be consistent with her attacks on Melania Trump, and nothing to do with "attacking her as a woman".
Now, we have a rather larger supply of rich powerful old men than we do of equivalent women (because patriarchy), so it's easy to find examples of rich old men with trophy wives, but harder to find their female counterparts. IIRC, Madonna's had her share of young dancers, though - presumably Twilight feels the same about them as she does about Mrs. Trump?
And probably he/she thinks the same about Hilary Clinton, for being married to an abuser and cheater, but still keeping the marriage to increase her popularity?
Or is the indignation selective?
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Very good. But surely slut-shaming goes with Christianity as Yorkshire pudding goes with roast beef. That doesn't mean I think all Christians do it, especially on a forum like this. See my story about prostitutes at Mass.
Oh bullshit. We had prisoners and --well, not quite prostitutes, because she didn't take money, but in every other way-- as members of our church, and nobody batted an eye. That is, until a handful of people left the faith and promptly developed goody-two-shoe-ism.
Our host congregation, too, includes the kind of people most would pillory.
I have never personally met a Christian congregation that made assholes of themselves this way. No doubt they must exist--you seem to have met them--but I see them only in news headlines, which frankly gives me some doubt.
How about my general point? That slut-shaming is closely linked with Christianity historically and culturally?
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
There are in fact Muslim-identifying "followers of Isa." They are Christian by any reasonable standard, but cling to the old name.
So perhaps that's the best way to proceed should the registry be established. The point is to render it useless, to make the data meaningless.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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Frankly, slut-shaming is closely linked historically and culturally with ANY form of establishment, whether of a religion, an aristocracy, or an ethnic group. It is a form of (nasty) social control. If the powers-that-be in that particular culture claim the Christian label, they will of course end up by associating Christianity with slut-shaming in the popular mind. The parallel is true in Islamic countries. The particular form of slut-shaming may take on racial overtones (love across racial lines) or ethnic ones (inter-caste marriage or romance). It's a freaking HUMAN phenomenon not linked to a single religion or other cultural group.
Most unfortunately, there is also a species-wide tendency to focus the blame for it on any religion or group one does not belong to.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
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Clever dodge.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
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quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Very good. But surely slut-shaming goes with Christianity as Yorkshire pudding goes with roast beef.
Yep. Hard to argue with this. It is the love child of Christian attitudes about sex, and hatred for women. Christianity created it. Christianity has to answer for it.
Posted by mark_in_manchester (# 15978) on
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Someone already mentioned something about alabaster jars. Christ didn't shame her, whatever the church, mosque, synagogue, bridge club did, and does, subsequently.
Mind, he did want change for her. Maybe that bugs some of us, these days. Ooooh, the temerity of the man.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Clever dodge.
Should I thank you, or should I demand that you produce a real argument against what I said?
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by gorpo:
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
I think she has said things that can be criticized, echoing Trump's views on immigration, for example. But slut-shaming is different, that's an attack on her as a woman. Shameful.
Is that necessarily true? Usually, slut-shaming is an example of the old traditional double-standard, but that's not what Twilight was saying.
If Twilight holds the same opinion about attractive young men who are kept as toyboys by rich powerful old women, that would be consistent with her attacks on Melania Trump, and nothing to do with "attacking her as a woman".
Now, we have a rather larger supply of rich powerful old men than we do of equivalent women (because patriarchy), so it's easy to find examples of rich old men with trophy wives, but harder to find their female counterparts. IIRC, Madonna's had her share of young dancers, though - presumably Twilight feels the same about them as she does about Mrs. Trump?
And probably he/she thinks the same about Hilary Clinton, for being married to an abuser and cheater, but still keeping the marriage to increase her popularity?
Or is the indignation selective?
Somewhere along the line, for the purposes of their rants, someone decided that I thought Melania Trump should leave her husband. I do not. I think that misconception came along when someone said Melania had no choice but to stay with Donald and I doubted that, that was true. Rich, beautiful women usually have many choices.
I do think she's a bit of a slut based on her past career choices. I would feel the same no matter who she was married to and contrary to Lamb Chopped's long post I don't think it matters at all whether or not she chose her position as First Lady. Still a slut. She may be a very nice person in other ways, a kind soul with a great sense of humor and a special place in Heaven, who knows? But in that one aspect I think she fits the definition. To me, selling your body, for sex or photographs equals slut. YMMV
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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Okay, fine. So according to your definition she is a slut. Now what do you do with that information? That's where the rubber meets the road.
You have used it to blast her on the Internet precisely because you believe a slut ought not occupy the position of president's spouse.
We have challenged you by asking precisely what you expect her to do about it.
You have come up with no answer (bar the theoretical one of "leave her husband," which you have just disavowed).
How precisely do you expect Melania Trump to avoid your scathing criticism? What actions must she take?
Or is the answer "none are possible," in which case you are shooting helpless fish in a barrel?
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
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Twilight wrote:
quote:
To me, selling your body, for sex or photographs equals slut.
Twilight, I know that you claim to be even-handed in your criticism of both genders for selling their physical attributes(eg. Chippendales dancers as well as Playboy centrefolds), and I can give you the benefit of the doubt on that.
But if that is true, I would politely advise you against using the word "slut" to describe people in those occupations. In my experience, that word is closely linked to condemnation of supposedly immoral WOMEN.
So using that word is pretty much asking to be misunderstood.
[ 11. November 2016, 19:25: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
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I expect the answer is 'none is possible.' Women always get the blame; it is her fault, solely. He doesn't believe what I think, that she had no choice. Most prostitutes have no choice, either. They're not streetwalking as a career choice, or from lust. They choose between prostitution, or starvation.
In any case, the discussion is pointless -- as Lamb points out, there's nothing Melania or we can do about any of it. At this moment she, like we, are victims of events. I anxiously await her initiative on cyberbullying.
Here's different aftermath: the effect on the evangelical movement. They are accused of hypocrisy; it's hard to see how for some church leaders it's not true.
Posted by Bishops Finger (# 5430) on
:
This is not an entirely frivolous question, but supposing Mr. Catgrabber is prevented from being sworn in as President by (say) illness, imprisonment, natural death, assassination, or a final descent into complete insanity, who would fill the Orange-shaped hole?
Would you all have to go through the whole ghastly process again?
Would Mrs. Clinton take over, as being second in line with the votes?
Would Mr. Obama have to stay in office pro tem ?
IJ
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
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I suspect Pence might become president. I'm not sure whether he'd pick a new VP, or whether Paul Ryan (Speaker of the House) would move up. The Speaker is next in the line of succession, after the VP.
However, I'd be thrilled if Hillary became president.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Twilight wrote:
quote:
To me, selling your body, for sex or photographs equals slut.
Twilight, I know that you claim to be even-handed in your criticism of both genders for selling their physical attributes(eg. Chippendales dancers as well as Playboy centrefolds), and I can give you the benefit of the doubt on that.
But if that is true, I would politely advise you against using the word "slut" to describe people in those occupations. In my experience, that word is closely linked to condemnation of supposedly immoral WOMEN.
So using that word is pretty much asking to be misunderstood.
I agree with you, Stetson. I don't think I've ever used it until this thread. It all started with me lamenting the day Trump and wife took residence and I called her the First Bimbo. (To me bimbo is not very bad and only means a mental lightweight, my friends and I used to use the word on ourselves all the time.) Marvin complained about "bimbo," so I said, facetiously, well, First Slut then. First Lady who has a past of selling her body didn't have the same ring.
No, there's nothing she can do about it now. (tm Willie Nelson) That's one reason pretty young women are often warned by friends and family not to pose nude for magazines, no matter how much money they offer, because once you do, it's out there and you can't take those pictures back when you get older and want a more dignified image. Likewise we tell them not to take the easy road to comfort by letting rich men fund them in return for sex.
I cannot agree that she had no choice. She lived a comfortable life in her home country with both parents working, and she was a freshman in college when she chose to drop out. Clearly she had the choice of staying in school until she graduated, afterwards getting a good job which her degree would probably have assured her, and then supporting herself -- just like women around the world do. Why should she have as much respect as those other young women? If it's all the same, why shouldn't we tell our teenage daughters to skip college and find a rich sugar daddy to support them? Why not suggest she send some pictures to Playboy and hope for a big check in return for a centerfold?
Christians have a history of disapproving of prostitution because Jesus disapproved of it. He forgave prostitutes and told them to go and sin no more. He didn't say there was nothing to forgive. Pretending that Jesus didn't care about this, for the sake of a 2016 social taboo against "slut-shaming" doesn't make it so. He seemed to think none of us should "fornicate," outside marriage.
Yes, this disapproval is a social control, but not a "nasty," one. By encouraging people to have sex only inside marriage we make it far more likely that the children who result from that sex will have a safe, stable home life. We also keep the sex act more meaningful and more bonding within the marriage.
Posted by Teekeey Misha (# 18604) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
That photo of Trump leaning over his wife in the voting booth does not represent their marriage.
How do you know?
quote:
The obvious thing is that he is helping her figure out the format and wording...
Why is it "the obvious thing"? It strikes me that "the obvious thing" is that the photographer happened to catch the one fraction of a second when he was looking that way; the next most obvious thing is that he's having a sneaky peek at her vote. "Helping her figure out" anything is not only the least "obvious thing", it's so far from "the obvious thing" that it's invisibly, vaguely, obscurely inconspicuously doubtful.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Here's different aftermath: the effect on the evangelical movement. They are accused of hypocrisy; it's hard to see how for some church leaders it's not true.
See my thread "who/what I am now?". The top story in today's
Christianity Today (the most influential evangelical magazine, although their late-in-the-game but in-the-game-nonetheless denouncement of Trump as "impossible" for a Christian to vote for didn't seem to have much effect) is whether or not evangelicals will/ should/ need to split. There is such a deep divide on this-- breaking primarily, but sadly not surprisingly, along both racial and generational lines-- it's hard to even see us as being in the same tent anymore.
The bright side I think is this crystallization of left wing evangelicalism. For most of my life I've felt very much alone in this. I can remember of course election cycles when I was celebrating a Dem win and cycles when I was mourning a tragic loss, but always I felt alone. A few lone leaders of the lefty movement but always marginazlied. That has shifted over the last few years, but I hadn't realized quite how much until Wed. of this week. I saw my facebook feed full with messages-- beautiful, heartbreaking messages from members of my own evangelical church-- mourning the loss and vowing to stand with our African American, Hispanic, GLBTQ, and Muslim neighbors. Forming action plans. For the first time, I feel a part of a community, and not just on the Ship (altho that's pretty awesome too. But it's always nice to have someone to go out for a beer with who's feeling what you're feeling-- as I did yesterday).
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
There is such a deep divide on this-- breaking primarily, but sadly not surprisingly, along both racial and generational lines-- it's hard to even see us as being in the same tent anymore.
But if one simply accepts this, it seems to me it's handing Trump and his ilk more ammunition for their tactic of division, and retreating still further into an echo chamber.
We can disagree about lots of things, but it seems so important to me to keep conversations going across seemingly unbridgeable divides. I think this is the real, and really countrer-cultural, challenge.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
The bright side I think is this crystallization of left wing evangelicalism. For most of my life I've felt very much alone in this. I can remember of course election cycles when I was celebrating a Dem win and cycles when I was mourning a tragic loss, but always I felt alone. A few lone leaders of the lefty movement but always marginazlied. That has shifted over the last few years, but I hadn't realized quite how much until Wed. of this week. I saw my facebook feed full with messages-- beautiful, heartbreaking messages from members of my own evangelical church-- mourning the loss and vowing to stand with our African American, Hispanic, GLBTQ, and Muslim neighbors. Forming action plans. For the first time, I feel a part of a community, and not just on the Ship (altho that's pretty awesome too. But it's always nice to have someone to go out for a beer with who's feeling what you're feeling-- as I did yesterday).
From the other side of the pond ...
cliffdweller, I think it's been much harder for you than for me, and for others of my friends. There isn't this direct political connection in the UK, though if it begins to harden over here, I'll ditch the evangelical identification on the grounds that the word has collected too much baggage. (I think that is what Tony Campolo has felt compelled to do).
It's a great shame, but maybe some kind of realignment is necessary now?
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
The bright side I think is this crystallization of left wing evangelicalism. For most of my life I've felt very much alone in this. I can remember of course election cycles when I was celebrating a Dem win and cycles when I was mourning a tragic loss, but always I felt alone. A few lone leaders of the lefty movement but always marginazlied. That has shifted over the last few years, but I hadn't realized quite how much until Wed. of this week. I saw my facebook feed full with messages-- beautiful, heartbreaking messages from members of my own evangelical church-- mourning the loss and vowing to stand with our African American, Hispanic, GLBTQ, and Muslim neighbors. Forming action plans. For the first time, I feel a part of a community, and not just on the Ship (altho that's pretty awesome too. But it's always nice to have someone to go out for a beer with who's feeling what you're feeling-- as I did yesterday).
From the other side of the pond ...
cliffdweller, I think it's been much harder for you than for me, and for others of my friends. There isn't this direct political connection in the UK, though if it begins to harden over here, I'll ditch the evangelical identification on the grounds that the word has collected too much baggage. (I think that is what Tony Campolo has felt compelled to do).
It's a great shame, but maybe some kind of realignment is necessary now?
Yes. And perhaps that will help us feel less alone, when we stop trying to pretend we are all one big happy family.
I just know that this week has been heartbreaking, disappointing, and sorrowful... and yet I've never felt so connected to my faith community. Whatever we end up calling ourselves.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
There is such a deep divide on this-- breaking primarily, but sadly not surprisingly, along both racial and generational lines-- it's hard to even see us as being in the same tent anymore.
But if one simply accepts this, it seems to me it's handing Trump and his ilk more ammunition for their tactic of division, and retreating still further into an echo chamber.
We can disagree about lots of things, but it seems so important to me to keep conversations going across seemingly unbridgeable divides. I think this is the real, and really countrer-cultural, challenge.
Well, that's a good point, and well worth considering. Perhaps later, when the wound is less raw.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
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Cliffdweller, (I'm on my phone so cutting and pasting is too hard), your post about the crystallization of lefty evangelicalism was very moving. I wish it were easier for lefty Orthodox to raise their heads above the parapet without fear of decapitation. I wonder how, if at all, the next four years will affect this.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I will not quit my church now, because the plan is for us to move in a few years anyway. But when we do move, I'm going to be ISO one of those nice lefty evangelical churches. I don't feel I have much in common with people who can excuse crotch groping.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Kelly - Hester Prynne? (The Scarlet Letter).
... You do realize that this book was written by a Christian man, as a protest against hypocritical attitudes within Christianity, and was widely celebrated within Christianity. Hester was the hero of the story.
If you think of the primordial soup of Middle Eastern/ Medditerranian cultures as what Christianity emerged from, then you'll see that all of them were slut- shaming in one way or another. People in power have generally kept them in place, there has always been a majority of people who just went along, there has always been people who ( in measures large and small) have spoken against it. Nathaniel Hawethorn was one of them.
[ 11. November 2016, 23:50: Message edited by: Kelly Alves ]
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Teekeey Misha:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
That photo of Trump leaning over his wife in the voting booth does not represent their marriage.
How do you know?
quote:
The obvious thing is that he is helping her figure out the format and wording...
Why is it "the obvious thing"? It strikes me that "the obvious thing" is that the photographer happened to catch the one fraction of a second when he was looking that way; the next most obvious thing is that he's having a sneaky peek at her vote. "Helping her figure out" anything is not only the least "obvious thing", it's so far from "the obvious thing" that it's invisibly, vaguely, obscurely inconspicuously doubtful.
First of all, to add to your point, I don't know how it goes in the UK, but voting etiquette here says leaning over someone to look at their ballot is a big no-no. If she was having trouble, he should have left it to the poll staff. I just have a thing about that. At best, it's plain bad manners, IMO.
Second, his posture is one thing, but there was something about the way the young woman was hunching her shoulders-- like she didn't like him looking over-- that made me go all mother bear. I'm inclined to keep my mouth off her past and keep her in my prayers.
Posted by John Holding (# 158) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
This is a unique position, it's not like the wife of a CEO or the pastor's wife.
Depends on the church. In African American churches, the pastor's wife is often called "the First Lady," and does hold a unique—and some might say exalted—position in the congregation, comparable to that of the First Lady of the US or of a state.
Speaking as a pastor's wife, this is widespread across the U.S. (though I might drop the "exalted" bit. Generally speaking the pastor's wife is expected to be second pastor and all-round bottle-washer-in-chief, and all feel free to criticize her for any reason. Rather like Melania Trump, in fact.
)
There are actually study groups and books made available to future clergy spouses during their spouses' seminary days that aim to prepare us for this reality. And my denomination has set up a kind of mentoring system for pastors' wives, at least within my own district (haven't looked into others).
Not because we hold an official position in any way, which would be hugely frowned on in a denomination that requires an official Call before you take leadership. Rather because they know darn well that people WILL impose these expectations on you and they don't want to see us fall apart under the burden of them.
WHat about pastors' husbands? (in whichever of the two ways a man could be the husband of a pastor.)
John
Posted by Anglican_Brat (# 12349) on
:
Just a question from a Canadian:
What is different about voter registration in the United States than in Canada? Here in Canada, I registered as a voter on voting day at my first election by bringing 2 pieces of ID. Even if I didn't have any ID, as long as I had someone with 2 pieces of ID to vouch for me, I could be registered. It was pretty simple and straight forward.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Not because we hold an official position in any way, which would be hugely frowned on in a denomination that requires an official Call before you take leadership. Rather because they know darn well that people WILL impose these expectations on you and they don't want to see us fall apart under the burden of them.
WHat about pastors' husbands? (in whichever of the two ways a man could be the husband of a pastor.) [/QB]
The Lutheran Church - Missouri Synod does not ordain women, something a lot more sexist than condemning Melania Trump for selling herself. It is also homophobic.
[ 12. November 2016, 00:55: Message edited by: RuthW ]
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
In the Orthodox Church the priest's wife has a title (slavonic: Matushka; arabic: Khouria; Greek: Presvytera) and is considered an unofficial spiritual leader in the parish. How this plays out varies from country to country and parish to parish.
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
WHat about pastors' husbands? (in whichever of the two ways a man could be the husband of a pastor.)
John
Mileage will vary, but in cases I have seen where there has been a female pastor with a husband, the church has accepted that "he should have his own career" and not seen him as a freebie extra employee. In those circles (admittedly a small sample compared with the world) it appears to be only pastor's wives who ought to be defined by the pastoral calling of their spouse.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
The Lutheran Church - Missouri Synod does not ordain women, something a lot more sexist than condemning Melania Trump for selling herself. It is also homophobic.
Don't we have a whole thread in Dead Horses for bashing my church body? Sheesh.
If anybody wants to PM me about the whys and wherefores of our non-ordination of women or our stance on homosexuality, you are welcome to. I'm not derailing this thread any further here.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Anglican_Brat:
Just a question from a Canadian:
What is different about voter registration in the United States than in Canada? Here in Canada, I registered as a voter on voting day at my first election by bringing 2 pieces of ID. Even if I didn't have any ID, as long as I had someone with 2 pieces of ID to vouch for me, I could be registered. It was pretty simple and straight forward.
It varies by state, so you have roughly 50 variants. By and large, you have to register some period of time before the actual election day -- a month, a week, whatever. You do have to prove that you live in the jurisdiction. On election day in my state, when you go to your polling place, they have a large printout of all the voters in the district. You march up, announce your name, and they find you on the gigantic list. Usually you have to answer a simple question, like "and what is your street address?" which if you rattle off easily gets you right on in.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
What about pastors' husbands? (in whichever of the two ways a man could be the husband of a pastor.)
John
See my post following closely after Lamb's. In our experience, the two are not at all comparable at this point in time. In a few decades though, when there's 3 or 4 generations of "pastor's husbands" for the newbie to live up to, yeah, they'll probably be in the same boat.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
(I'm not sure what I think of this, but it's probably worth considering.)
In December, the US Electoral College meets to solidify which candidate is president. While electors are assigned to vote a certain way, they can do otherwise. It's been done many times.
So there's a Change (dot org) petition (gone viral) to ask the electors to spare us Trump and cast their votes for Hillary. (Remember: she did win the popular vote.)
As of now, the petition has 3,224,732 supporters!
I know we can't put direct links to petitions in our posts; but the very first sentence of this "People" article has a link to it.
Very much FWIW and YMMV.
NOTE: This petition is for Americans ONLY, in keeping with our laws.
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by gorpo:
And probably he/she thinks the same about Hilary Clinton, for being married to an abuser and cheater, but still keeping the marriage to increase her popularity?
I don't think any of us are in a position to judge why Hillary remains married to Bill. Perhaps she just has old-fashioned views about what a marriage vow means.
And the same goes for Melania Trump. Asking why she married him in the first place is one thing, but asking why she remains married to him is quite another thing. (And yes, this is Trump's third marriage. It's Melania's only marriage, and perhaps she takes her vows a little more seriously than her husband did.)
Posted by Wesley J (# 6075) on
:
GK - what would happen if they did, and she got it?
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Wes--
I think that the final electoral college result would go to Congress for approval...and, of course, Republicans are in power, so they'd *probably* vote it down. (Saw that mentioned in a relevant article.)
But...it could give any of the saner Republicans an out. "Precedent...will of the people...and we know how to deal with a Clinton", etc. Some of them said they wouldn't vote for Trump, and maybe they've begun to sense some of the repercussions of a Trump presidency.
I'd been hoping the electors might change their votes to Clinton. The petition is just a way to try to nudge them.
Worth a try, so I've signed it.
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Bishops Finger:
This is not an entirely frivolous question, but supposing Mr. Catgrabber is prevented from being sworn in as President by (say) illness, imprisonment, natural death, assassination, or a final descent into complete insanity, who would fill the Orange-shaped hole?
Would you all have to go through the whole ghastly process again?
Would Mrs. Clinton take over, as being second in line with the votes?
If something happened to Trump between now and the Electoral College casting their votes, the republican electors would have to cast their votes for someone else. Presumably the republican party would nominate someone (may or may not be Mike Pence). If it was Mike Pence, they'd have to come up with a different nominee for VP.
If something happened to Trump after he became President, Mike Pence would become President, and
would nominate some other person to be VP.
If something happened to Trump between the electoral college vote and the inauguration, I don't think I know what happens. I'd guess you'd inaugurate Pence as President and he would pick a VP.
The only way Paul Ryan gets in the frame is if something happens to both Trump and Pence at the same time. Otherwise the new President picks a VP.
(When Spiro Agnew resigned as VP, Nixon picked Gerald Ford, who became President when Nixon resigned. Ford became both VP and President without being elected to either office.)
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
And the same goes for Melania Trump. Asking why she married him in the first place is one thing, but asking why she remains married to him is quite another thing. (And yes, this is Trump's third marriage. It's Melania's only marriage, and perhaps she takes her vows a little more seriously than her husband did.)
In general I agree. Marriages are complicated and personal things, we really can't speculate. I would speculate however, that the fact that Melania's affair with Trump is what broke up marriage #2 (much like #2 did for #1) that "taking marriage vows seriously" may not be high on either one of their lists.
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
I would speculate however, that the fact that Melania's affair with Trump is what broke up marriage #2
I don't think that's a fact. Whilst Trump didn't get a divorce until after he'd met Melania, he had been separated from Marla for 18 months or so, and dating other women, before he met Melania.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
quote:
Originally posted by John Holding:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Not because we hold an official position in any way, which would be hugely frowned on in a denomination that requires an official Call before you take leadership. Rather because they know darn well that people WILL impose these expectations on you and they don't want to see us fall apart under the burden of them.
WHat about pastors' husbands? (in whichever of the two ways a man could be the husband of a pastor.)
The Lutheran Church - Missouri Synod does not ordain women, something a lot more sexist than condemning Melania Trump for selling herself. It is also homophobic. [/QB]
I dunno. I would think if anyone has a problem with misogynistic language or slut- shaming, they would be encouraged that people from traditionally conservative churches would call it out.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I would think if anyone has a problem with misogynistic language or slut- shaming, they would be encouraged that people from traditionally conservative churches would call it out.
It might be encouraging in some instances, but I find the comparison of the role of First Lady to the role of a pastor's wife in a conservative church weirdly apt, in that these are both highly gendered roles, and also evidence of the continued sexism in both church and state. They both do a hell of a lot of unpaid labor to which they might or might not be suited and they both occupy their positions because of their husbands' positions.
And Lamb Chopped, there are actually at least two threads on which your church can get bashed in Dead Horses, one for the sexism and one for the homophobia, and I don't consider bringing those issues up in this thread to be at all out of line. The sexism that continues to permeate our culture was in obvious display throughout the campaign, and the next VP thinks conversion therapy for gays is a good thing. Churches such as yours are promoting the backward kind of thinking that is going to "make America great again." If churches don't treat women and gay people like full and complete human beings made in the image of God, they simply drag the culture down until people figure out they're completely wrong about these things, whereupon they ditch the churches, which then become culturally irrelevant.
A further thought on the sexism evident in the campaign: I watched two hours of PBS news this evening, full of analysis of how Trump won and Clinton lost, and not one single word was spoken about even the possibility that sexism was a factor. This chimes with something I have long thought: sexism is so ingrained that it is normal and natural and unremarkable, and thus very hard to see, even for women.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I would think if anyone has a problem with misogynistic language or slut- shaming, they would be encouraged that people from traditionally conservative churches would call it out.
It might be encouraging in some instances, but I find the comparison of the role of First Lady to the role of a pastor's wife in a conservative church weirdly apt, in that these are both highly gendered roles, and also evidence of the continued sexism in both church and state. They both do a hell of a lot of unpaid labor to which they might or might not be suited and they both occupy their positions because of their husbands' positions.
Well, when you put it that way, I totally agree with you. But based on LC's post, I suspect she does, too. With a lot of it, anyway.
I left the LCMS church for a lot of the reasons you state, but I would have stood on my head with joy if I heard one of my former church mavens stand up for one of us girls the way LC just stood up for Melania. As it was, boy- coddling and slut- shaming went hand in hand at my old church-- the very boys who were turning the girls into sluts were being groomed for the ministry, every one of them. It doesn't matter what church a girl happens to be in, an older woman condemning her being shamed and supporting her being treated with respect can't but help. So I have enough respect left for my former church to be glad someone like LC, who doesn't brook that shit, is in it.
[ 12. November 2016, 06:08: Message edited by: Kelly Alves ]
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
There is such a deep divide on this-- breaking primarily, but sadly not surprisingly, along both racial and generational lines-- it's hard to even see us as being in the same tent anymore.
But if one simply accepts this, it seems to me it's handing Trump and his ilk more ammunition for their tactic of division, and retreating still further into an echo chamber.
We can disagree about lots of things, but it seems so important to me to keep conversations going across seemingly unbridgeable divides. I think this is the real, and really countrer-cultural, challenge.
Well, that's a good point, and well worth considering. Perhaps later, when the wound is less raw.
I take your point. But I wouldn't slam any doors in your pain.
This may sound needlessly dystopian, but consider how in soviet Russia the authorities constantly played off the registered, party-line-toeing churches against the non-registered ones as a way of neutering Christian influence overall.
(I have a book called Irina which claims to be the semi-fictionalised story of a group of Russian believers who want to challenge the communist system. In it, registered and non-registered baptists, Orthodox, and pentecostals learn to work together to achieve this aim. Of course they also end up in jail, and this cements their ties still further - but that relies on there being at least some back channels in place from the start.)
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
Kelly: I think I see your point, but Melania Trump is not a girl, nor was she a young woman when she married Donald. It's a complicated thing, trying to figure out to what extent any particular woman is a victim of or a perpetrator of the systems of sexism, because it's frequently both.
Hillary Rodham took her husband's name to help his political career - in doing so she was both victim and perpetrator. Michelle Obama gave up her job to be First Lady. I personally think the whole First Lady thing is bullshit and that the President's spouse should be allowed to keep their regular job if they have one. So I see her as a victim of sexism, but I also think every woman who knuckles under the pressure to be the ultimate corporate wife while she is First Lady is perpetuating a very public sexist role.
I also think slut-shaming isn't exactly what Twilight was doing. Slut-shaming is criticizing a woman for having too much sex with too many different people, not criticizing her for selling herself. I think it's fine for women to have lots of sex with lots of different people, but both Twilight and Lamb Chopped would disagree.
Whether it's okay for a woman to sell her body in pornography or prostitution is a very different thing. Traditionally it's held to be a bad thing, but I think the victim/perpetrator dichotomy applies, weighted differently in different circumstances. The woman who doesn't have other good options I see as more of a victim. The woman who could have done other things - she's more of a perpetrator of a sexist system.
[ 12. November 2016, 06:57: Message edited by: RuthW ]
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Kelly: I think I see your point, but Melania Trump is not a girl, nor was she a young woman when she married Donald. It's a complicated thing, trying to figure out to what extent any particular woman is a victim of or a perpetrator of the systems of sexism, because it's frequently both.
Hillary Rodham took her husband's name to help his political career - in doing so she was both victim and perpetrator. Michelle Obama gave up her job to be First Lady. I personally think the whole First Lady thing is bullshit and that the President's spouse should be allowed to keep their regular job if they have one. So I see her as a victim of sexism, but I also think every woman who knuckles under the pressure to be the ultimate corporate wife while she is First Lady is perpetuating a very public sexist role.( snip)
I also think slut-shaming isn't exactly what Twilight was doing. Slut-shaming is criticizing a woman for having too much sex with too many different people, not criticizing her for selling herself. I think it's fine for women to have lots of sex with lots of different people, but both Twilight and Lamb Chopped would disagree.
First of agll, yeah I know Melania is an adult, but I was assuming LC doesn't restrict her repulsion of calling women sluts to Melania, and I repeat, LCMS youngsters need to hear that that is not respectable.
Second-- precise definition of slut shaming aside, how is calling someone First Slut not misogynistic language ?
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
RuthW
A tangent. As a West Wing episode pointed out a dozen years ago, the real security nightmare is the abduction by terrorists of a member of the President's family. There are real additional security risks associated with a President's partner continuing a career if that career involves substantial daily and routine contact with the public.
This isn't an argument against your criticism of the ceremonial supportive role. Some Presidential partners can carry that off with ease and do a lot of good, others not so. But the choice to continue a career may be a lot more difficult than we think.
Posted by Wesley J (# 6075) on
:
TFO 'appears to soften stance on range of pledges'.
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on
:
A Politician gets into power and isn't going to do the things they said they would in the Election campaign. Well knock me down with a feather
Posted by Wesley J (# 6075) on
:
Sorry, rolyn, this has caused a lot of fear, profound grief and even panic among some living in the USA, well-reasoned or not as these emotions may be. Some vulnerable (or perceiving themselves as vulnerable) people have to my knowledge committed suicide since the election.
Whether the fear is based on real events or on a feared, imagined potential outcome does not matter at this point.
Therefore, if the incumbent tones down at least some of his earlier statements, this may help some people perhaps to be slightly less fearful, and see what real change they can help with - which could of course be both with the new Prez and gov't, or in a clearly necessary (even grassroot) opposition.
Anything which somewhat softens the tone of the incumbent's campaign trail madness - which undoubtedly was there -, and its outlandish, even obscene propositions ought to be welcomed. The shock in America, and in parts of the world, has been too big to see any of the TFO's now apparently softening as 'normal', in my opinion.
It may be difficult to trust, but this here to me seems a (small) step in the right direction.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
You have used it to blast her on the Internet precisely because you believe a slut ought not occupy the position of president's spouse.
How precisely do you expect Melania Trump to avoid your scathing criticism? What actions must she take?
Or is the answer "none are possible," in which case you are shooting helpless fish in a barrel?
This plus Kelly's vow to pray for poor Melania, make me wonder where this holier than thou attitude was when you were both "blasting [Donald] on the internet." Where were your sad prayers then? How was he supposed to avoid your scathing criticism? Where was your new rule that says if he can't change his past then he's a helpless fish in a barrel?
Trump looks over at Melania at the polls and he's an abuser, her round shoulders are proof she's afraid of him. I looked over at my husband when we were at the polls the very same way. He is tall, like Melania, and his shoulders were rounded over the low table. My look said, "Are you ever going to be finished?" just like Trump's.
I can't believe the double standard here. Oh yes, she isn't running for President, she didn't grab anyone's crotch, etc. but they are both in the public eye, part of the top establishment, happy to live their lives in front of the media when it comes to GQ and Vogue interviews with flattering covers on the fronts. So why, after 137 pages of Trump criticism,is one word against Melania so cruel?
It simply is not misogyny every time a woman is criticized. Misogyny has to be much more generalized than saying "I don't like Kristen Stewart's acting." It has to be "Women shouldn't have serious roles." We don't have to admire every woman in the public eye. We don't have to like our boss just because she's a woman. Feminism isn't supposed to be like the sort of blind patriotism that carries signs saying,"My country right or wrong." If women have the right to make their own choices then those choices should be as subject to criticism as any man's. I thought we wanted equality, not coddling.
Blasting Donald while praying for Melania. Treating grown women like children who must be protected from imaginary abusers. Writing imaginary, sympathetic scenarios to explain the women's actions while imagining the very worst where the men are concerned -- that's making special rules for the weaker set. That's misogyny in disguise.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
You have used it to blast her on the Internet precisely because you believe a slut ought not occupy the position of president's spouse.
How precisely do you expect Melania Trump to avoid your scathing criticism? What actions must she take?
Or is the answer "none are possible," in which case you are shooting helpless fish in a barrel?
This plus Kelly's vow to pray for poor Melania, make me wonder where this holier than thou attitude was when you were both "blasting [Donald] on the internet." Where were your sad prayers then? How was he supposed to avoid your scathing criticism? Where was your new rule that says if he can't change his past then he's a helpless fish in a barrel?
Trump looks over at Melania at the polls and he's an abuser, her round shoulders are proof she's afraid of him. I looked over at my husband when we were at the polls the very same way. He is tall, like Melania, and his shoulders were rounded over the low table. My look said, "Are you ever going to be finished?" just like Trump's.
I can't believe the double standard here. Oh yes, she isn't running for President, she didn't grab anyone's crotch, etc. but they are both in the public eye, part of the top establishment, happy to live their lives in front of the media when it comes to GQ and Vogue interviews with flattering covers on the fronts. So why, after 137 pages of Trump criticism,is one word against Melania so cruel?
It simply is not misogyny every time a woman is criticized. Misogyny has to be much more generalized than saying "I don't like Kristen Stewart's acting." It has to be "Women shouldn't have serious roles." We don't have to admire every woman in the public eye. We don't have to like our boss just because she's a woman. Feminism isn't supposed to be like the sort of blind patriotism that carries signs saying,"My country right or wrong." If women have the right to make their own choices then those choices should be as subject to criticism as any man's. I thought we wanted equality, not coddling.
Blasting Donald while praying for Melania. Treating grown women like children who must be protected from imaginary abusers. Writing imaginary, sympathetic scenarios to explain the women's actions while imagining the very worst where the men are concerned -- that's making special rules for the weaker set. That's misogyny in disguise.
First of all, Twilight, it would help if you got straight who was saying what. I never accused you of misogyny, nor am I saying that we ought to have special rules for either sex. What I object to is publicly shaming someone who is in the public eye NOT by their own choice for actions/situations they cannot alter. I don't give a damn if it's a man or a woman this applies to.
You bring up Donald. Donald is in the public eye PRECISELY by his own choice, which gives the universe a right to criticize him. He has offered himself up for that purpose. Anyone running for the presidency has pasted a big "CRITICIZE ME" sign on his or her forehead. You never heard a word from me criticizing the (very criticizable) man BEFORE he ran for public office.
You may have noticed that I have not been similarly protective of Hillary Clinton, although I voted for her. That's because she, too, is in the public eye by her own choice. Male or female, if you choose to paint a bulls-eye on yourself, you need to deal with the resulting shots. Including the unfair ones. The way to do that is through vigorous argument, not silence.
Melania is in the public eye because her husband (NOT SHE) has gained public office. She has not taped a bulls-eye on herself--a helluva lot of other people have done so, and she has no realistic way to avoid it. She cannot, for example, resign. She therefore deserves protected status regarding her past from anyone to whom fair play is still a consideration. And I would be saying the same damn thing right here were Trump married to a man.
This is not about gender. This is about justice.
I will make one concession. If Melania or anyone similarly circumstanced is fool enough to CONTINUE behaving in an obviously criticizable manner, go ahead, shoot at her. Because stupidity is not a status protected by decency.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Ruth, I'm surprised at you. Anybody would think that my role on this thread was to defend Donald and attack Melania. I can find no other reason why you think my church membership is at issue.
If you must know, I voted for Hillary. So did a damn lot of other LCMS Christians I know.
And I'm not bloody dragging this thread into another round of Dead Horse issues.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
Melania Trump was in the public eye before she married her husband. Donald Trump was a public figure when she married him. I do think slut and bimbo are misogynistic terms, but I also think there is nothing wrong with Twilight's overall judgement of Melania Trump's choices.
Any institution which does not treat women and gay people as whole and complete people made in the image of God is perpetuating sexism and homophobia. Churches such the LCMS, the Catholic Church, the Southern Baptist Convention, and many evangelical churches are a big part of the reason sexism and homophobia remain normal and acceptable in our society. They are holding us back, and for this I hold them as institutions on contempt. I have zero interest in a Dead Horses debate here or elsewhere, because there is nothing to debate. However individuals have voted, these institutions are supporting sexism and anti-gay bigotry. In the aftermath of this horrific election, they have a portion of guilt for their roles in making it okay for some people to see women and gay people as less than fully human.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
In the poverty-ridden artistic circles I move in the burning issue is health insurance. There is always of course the hope that Trump will not follow through on his promises, but the GOP has been planning to gut Obamacare for years now, so I think it is going to happen.
I am blogging about this issue today, and am collecting accounts of people who were saved by Obamacare, or who cannot now survive without it and the other safety nets. It may be useful someday, to have all these in one place.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Melania Trump was in the public eye before she married her husband. Donald Trump was a public figure when she married him. I do think slut and bimbo are misogynistic terms, but I also think there is nothing wrong with Twilight's overall judgement of Melania Trump's choices.
Any institution which does not treat women and gay people as whole and complete people made in the image of God is perpetuating sexism and homophobia. Churches such the LCMS, the Catholic Church, the Southern Baptist Convention, and many evangelical churches are a big part of the reason sexism and homophobia remain normal and acceptable in our society. They are holding us back, and for this I hold them as institutions on contempt. I have zero interest in a Dead Horses debate here or elsewhere, because there is nothing to debate. However individuals have voted, these institutions are supporting sexism and anti-gay bigotry. In the aftermath of this horrific election, they have a portion of guilt for their roles in making it okay for some people to see women and gay people as less than fully human.
Again, I don't understand how individuals within a sexist/ homophobic institution basically saying no to those things is anything but really good news. When I was a kid, both the ALC and the ELCA held the same basic views on women/ gays that the LCMS did, then one day someone simply declared it was ok to disagree, and ten years later they were ordaining women.
HRC pretty much owned the Catholic vote, if my info is right, and even though Pope Francis is kindly about it, everything you've said about the LCMS can be applied to policies he has verbally reinforced in the Roman Catholic Church. What should we do, toss out all those votes on the grounds of institutional hypocracy?
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
In the poverty-ridden artistic circles I move in the burning issue is health insurance. There is always of course the hope that Trump will not follow through on his promises, but the GOP has been planning to gut Obamacare for years now, so I think it is going to happen.
I am blogging about this issue today, and am collecting accounts of people who were saved by Obamacare, or who cannot now survive without it and the other safety nets. It may be useful someday, to have all these in one place.
I've heard rumors that some where in Trump's sit down with Obama, Obama tried to talk him down off that ledge, and that Trump was holding off on changes to the ACA until further notice. A straw of hope to grasp.
In my personal life, I have noticed this is the dividing line between between " OMG please God let the electoral college turn on him! FML, it's all over!" Dems and "Be at peace and have faith" Dems, Although everyone is in favor of getting loud.
As a contract sub, I rely on the ACA. I am one of the working poor the Dems rail about. Here I am!
But I have had upper middle class, situationally well- appointed, white collar, 401K- bearing liberal Christian Dems say some pretty damn clueless things to me, and others in my position. There is a disconnect between the philosophical idea of the working poor, and a genuine understanding of what it is like to be working poor.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
RuthW
A tangent. As a West Wing episode pointed out a dozen years ago, the real security nightmare is the abduction by terrorists of a member of the President's family. There are real additional security risks associated with a President's partner continuing a career if that career involves substantial daily and routine contact with the public.
This isn't an argument against your criticism of the ceremonial supportive role. Some Presidential partners can carry that off with ease and do a lot of good, others not so. But the choice to continue a career may be a lot more difficult than we think.
I don't think I've seen that episode. But, of course, in The West Wing an abduction is the preferred scenario because it ratchets up dramatic tension and allows for the possibility of a happy ending. If one was a terrorist and wanting to make a dramatic point one could forego abducting the First Spouse and the complicated logistical arrangements that would and settle for something a little less complicated and a little more terminal. And if it's occurred to me, it's also occurred to The Secret Service and to the bad guys as well.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
At any rate, a First Spouse working at a "regular" job would be a security nightmare.
Posted by Chesterbelloc (# 3128) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
HRC pretty much owned the Catholic vote, if my info is right
Apparently not.
quote:
In the run-up to the election, only the IBD-TIPP poll consistently pointed to a Trump win among Catholics, as CRUX noted last week. Almost all the others suggested a significant margin of victory for Clinton.
Now that the voting is over, however, preliminary results indicate Trump decisively won a majority of those self-identifying as Catholics, by 52 to 45 percent.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Ok, maybe just the Catholics I knew. California can be kind of a bubble, politically.
Posted by Chesterbelloc (# 3128) on
:
Sure, Kelly. And, as with the population at large, many Trump voters amongst Catholics were probably shy of saying so out loud.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Good point. The "silent vote" was buzzed about pre election, but I guess the hope was "silent votes" for both candidates would cancel themselves out.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Lots of election demongraphics here, if you scroll down aways. Including the Catholic vote.
As mentioned in the other thread, the killer stat is that over 80% of white evangelicals voted for Donald Trump.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
My sis belongs to one of those huge con-evo megachurches, where they literally put little voting guides on the Bible Study tables during election time. Everyone in her family voted Democrat. These are folk who have voted Republican for years. Like I said, I'll take it.
Some blogger said somewhere that the failure of the lib/dems was to more actively take people's spiritual lives into account, to actually make some sort of active appeal to people from evangelical backgrounds. I think this goes hand in hand with what I said above about the social disconnect with the working poor.
Posted by Soror Magna (# 9881) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Melania Trump was in the public eye before she married her husband. Donald Trump was a public figure when she married him. I do think slut and bimbo are misogynistic terms, but I also think there is nothing wrong with Twilight's overall judgement of Melania Trump's choices. ...
My hyuuuuuge problem with Melania Trump as First Lady is that this election sends a very clear message to girls and women: If you want to get to the White House, don't waste any time or energy getting a law degree and being an activist and running for office. That won't work, no matter how accomplished you are, and many people will hate you for it. Drop out of college, do some modeling and soft porn, and catch the eye of a megalomaniacal real estate heir instead.
And what about her recent, public anti-cyberbullying statement? Is she clueless? Ironic? Trying to communicate with the Cyberbully-in-Chief through the media? Or is she just tossing rocks from a hyuuuuuge glass tower?
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
Y'know, I thought Trump would revert to type, and sure enough he did. He is, at his very core, a bullshitter and a confidence man, pure and simple. He promises everything and delivers nothing.
And his recent announcements that he would leave Obamacare alone are pure type.
The only thing to expect from him is never to expect delivery.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
And what about her recent, public anti-cyberbullying statement? Is she clueless? Ironic? Trying to communicate with the Cyberbully-in-Chief through the media? Or is she just tossing rocks from a hyuuuuuge glass tower?
The campaign wonks probably just told her to come out against cyberbullying in order to distract attention from her husband's own bullying, so she did.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
At any rate, a First Spouse working at a "regular" job would be a security nightmare.
I'm not so sure - after all, children of presidents attend normal(ish) schools alongside civilians without too much trouble. And setting up security in a single location (like an office) might be easier in some ways than doing the same in a multitude of different locations, as is currently required for a First Spouse with a busy travel schedule.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
There is also the point that other countries do it. Isn't there a Mr. Merkel, somewhere?
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
SPK wrote:
quote:
Y'know, I thought Trump would revert to type, and sure enough he did. He is, at his very core, a bullshitter and a confidence man, pure and simple. He promises everything and delivers nothing.
Yep. And I'm expecting him to have many other Road To Damscus conversions, under pressures from both the left, eg. Obamacare, and the right, eg. when the GOP corporate donors take him aside and say "Okay, Hair Boy, we don't care what the hell you got those lunkheads out in Michigan to believe, unless you wanna be back hosting Playboy videos in four years, NAFTA stays on the books."
[ 12. November 2016, 19:45: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
Frankly, that's his attraction for me. He's a RINO (Republican in Name Only): the party elites hate him, he doesn't get along with the GOP's corporate donors, and he has at least as many problems relating to his own party as he does with the Democrats.
I predict he'll settle for a cap on Obamacare rate increases.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Again, I don't understand how individuals within a sexist/ homophobic institution basically saying no to those things is anything but really good news. When I was a kid, both the ALC and the ELCA held the same basic views on women/ gays that the LCMS did, then one day someone simply declared it was ok to disagree, and ten years later they were ordaining women.
It is good news. But the institutions go right on being sexist and homophobic. Maybe the LCMS will change, but it seems more likely to me that Lutherans who feel strongly about sexism and homophobia have by this point defected to other Lutheran churches. The Catholic Church is clearly not going to change. So while I'm very glad for every vote against sexism and homophobia in the political realm, the fact remains that people's participation in and support for sexist and homophobic institutions also has an effect on our society.
In the wake of this election, with the hate crimes piling up every hour, I think people should ask themselves what they can do to ameliorate its effects and also make the outcome different next time. Churches that say women can't lead need to be called out for their bullshit. Every time I heard people wonder if the country was ready for a woman to be president, it reminded me of being on the rector search committee and listening to people wonder if our church was ready for a woman to be rector. When churches don't view women as able to lead them, it matters. It's bullshit, and it has real consequences. This was a close election, and just a few more people being comfortable with a female president could have put Clinton into office.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Frankly, that's his attraction for me. He's a RINO (Republican in Name Only): the party elites hate him, he doesn't get along with the GOP's corporate donors, and he has at least as many problems relating to his own party as he does with the Democrats.
I predict he'll settle for a cap on Obamacare rate increases.
My bet right now is that the worst things he will do(from a progressive perspective) are things that any Republican POTUS would have done. And, to the extent that he deviates to the left on some things(eg. the possible Obamacare turnaround), it'll be because of his idiosyncratic, RINO tendencies which you reference.
The big question-mark is foreign-policy, where, if Trump follows his campaign rhetoric, we should be seeing a dovish approach to Russia, fewer middle-east interventions, and the closing of overseas military bases. But I think that's ONE issue where he is likely to be over-ruled by Republican hawks.
[ 12. November 2016, 20:41: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Teekeey Misha (# 18604) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
There is also the point that other countries do it. Isn't there a Mr. Merkel, somewhere?
Quite so - that Mrs Blair managed to keep raking in the pennies as a lawyer, although I was quick to point out to several people on several occasions that she was not the "First Lady" - there's only one "First Lady" in the UK and she's the one in the sparkly hat on the big gold chair!
[I also once had a conversation with a pupil who thought that the wife of the Prime Minister and First Lord of the Treasury ought not to undertake demeaning work "like working at Costa or something."
"No, dear," I assured her, "Mrs Blair is a barrister. That's not the same as a barista."
"Ohhhh..."]
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
My bet right now is that the worst things he will do(from a progressive perspective) are things that any Republican POTUS would have done.
It's not just him. It's the neonazis and other hategemongers he has unleashed, who are spreading fear and injuries (no deaths we know of yet, although a shooting in Portland looks suspicious) across the country.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
My bet right now is that the worst things he will do(from a progressive perspective) are things that any Republican POTUS would have done.
It's not just him. It's the neonazis and other hategemongers he has unleashed, who are spreading fear and injuries (no deaths we know of yet, although a shooting in Portland looks suspicious) across the country.
Indeed. But I was talking specifically about the policies that he will actually pursue in governing.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Maybe the LCMS will change, but it seems more likely to me that Lutherans who feel strongly about sexism and homophobia have by this point defected to other Lutheran churches.
You know, thanks for fucking nothing. What am I and those like me, chopped liver?
Talk about the LCMS when you actually know something about us.
Posted by molopata (# 9933) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I've heard rumors that some where in Trump's sit down with Obama, Obama tried to talk him down off that ledge, and that Trump was holding off on changes to the ACA until further notice. A straw of hope to grasp.
I too was heartened to hear this development, and that a little sit-down-and-talk with Obama had let him see a glimmer of light. But then that was all blown apart when I remembered that Obama won't have his ear for much longer. if the President Elect is this easily swayed, then woe betide us when the likes of Newt Grinch and Gooliani are the ones barking their view of the world into T's confused little head.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
SPK--
quote:
Originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Frankly, that's his attraction for me. He's a RINO (Republican in Name Only): the party elites hate him, he doesn't get along with the GOP's corporate donors, and he has at least as many problems relating to his own party as he does with the Democrats.
I predict he'll settle for a cap on Obamacare rate increases.
Um...but is Trump emotionally/mentally stable?
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
My former church is full of women who have chosen to keep ties, stay in communion with their church family, and make a loud noise in Bible study. Gay women, feminist- leaning women, mothers of girls who have had abortions. Just because I ultimately decided not to inflict my contrary ideas on my elders, does not mean I don't respect those women's choice to stay with the people they have gotten to know and have formed attachments to. ( and it just happens to be mostly women, in my former church's case).
The least productive thing I can imagIne myself doing, if I want to encourage such women to speak up about the dignity of women, is to say their decision to do so means nothing because of where they take the Sacrament. I wouldn't say that to a Catholic woman, or an Orthodox woman, or an LCMS woman.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
I didn't say it means nothing. I said they are participating in and supporting sexist and homophobic institutions. It's not all they're doing, but it's important. You and Lamb Chopped both have additional values that come into play for you. I don't share them.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Fair enough. Out of curiosity, what values do you mean?
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Um...but is Trump emotionally/mentally stable?
The general description is that he is personality disordered. Narcissist who is the only person who matters, everyone else is an object to be manipulated or used. People are disposable like tissues or plastic bags. None of which explains his totally culpable behaviour. The sort who has left by age 70, probably thousands of casualities in his wake.
William Shakespeare as I misuse him:
quote:
Uneasy lies the head that wears a crown. in his simple show he harbours Treason...the welfare of us all, hangs on the cutting short that fraudfull man.
(Henry IV Part II)
No disorder spares the guilty from their execution.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
The value placed on an individual's attachments to other people and to their church, because to me in the case of homophobia they are sacrificing others' rights to maintain relationships in order to maintain their own, and in the case of sexism they are carving out spaces and making compromises that work for them that might make it possible for them to work from within but that also mean the sexism continues. If women all just walked out of all the voluntary associations where they are subject to sexism, we'd get change a lot quicker. The seemingly endless temporizing and compromising makes me crazy and angry.
I left a sexist, homophobic church. My parents were really not happy about it. But my self-respect mattered more to me than their approval. One minister there preached on Mother's Day about the evils of women working outside the home. My mom thought it was awful, but she stayed. The female church secretary employed there stayed. No one said anything to this jackass. They all just took it, and over 30 years later, they still don't have any female leadership, even on the governing board.
And I am banging on about this on this thread because after this election, I think we must be umcompromising. I am not going to smile to make people like me. I don't give a shit if people like me when respect as a human being is the real issue. We would despise a church that tolerated racism to the extent that some churches tolerate and even promote sexism and homophobia.
You wouldn't ask a woman to leave her church because it's sexist. I would.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
I see my self as encouraging every woman to do the best she can to support other women wherever she is, without requiring her to be where I am at. Meeting people where they are rather than where you want them to be. Bridge building. Network building. Finding common ground and going from there.
If you are a wired differently, so be it, but I'd like to believe I am wired the way I am for a reason.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Don't miss this!!!
"Saturday Night Live" did something truly beautiful tonight. An absolutely perfect tribute to Hillary, to hope, and to someone who died this week.(YouTube) It is one of the best things I've ever seen, anywhere.
The host was comedian David Chappelle, who did a mostly-serious opening monologue about the election. It's longer than usual. There's a link in the sidebar of the page above.
I'm only about 20 min. into the show, and the next sketch is election-related, too. Maybe they all will be.
But please, please watch that first video. It's beautiful.
Posted by MarsmanTJ (# 8689) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I see my self as encouraging every woman to do the best she can to support other women wherever she is, without requiring her to be where I am at. Meeting people where they are rather than where you want them to be. Bridge building. Network building. Finding common ground and going from there.
A year ago, I would have agreed with you wholeheartedly. Now I'm not certain. I think both the Brexit vote and the Trump election have demonstrated that bridge building and finding common ground is currently failing on an epic scale. That we are in a society where demagoguery wins in the face of gentle reason. And that scares me silly. I don't know what the answer to it is, but it seems clear to me at the moment that rationalising, bridge building and networking with a large number of people simply doesn't work.
[ 13. November 2016, 07:24: Message edited by: MarsmanTJ ]
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
That was outstanding. Kate McKinnon is a real trooper; you could tell she was fighting back tears. And not a bad voice at all.
Excellent choice for a cold open. It kind of reminded me of the opening for the 2001 Independant Spirit awards, which was Elvis Costello quietly stepping to the mic with an acoustic guitar and, without fanfare, beginning "What's So Funny 'Bout Peace, Love, and Understanding?"
Remembering that-- and the crowd response-- I kind of wished team SNL had mic'ed the audience-- I'm sure people were singing along.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by MarsmanTJ:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I see my self as encouraging every woman to do the best she can to support other women wherever she is, without requiring her to be where I am at. Meeting people where they are rather than where you want them to be. Bridge building. Network building. Finding common ground and going from there.
A year ago, I would have agreed with you wholeheartedly. Now I'm not certain. I think both the Brexit vote and the Trump election have demonstrated that bridge building and finding common ground is currently failing on an epic scale. That we are in a society where demagoguery wins in the face of gentle reason. And that scares me silly. I don't know what the answer to it is, but it seems clear to me at the moment that rationalising, bridge building and networking with a large number of people simply doesn't work.
It works at a glacial pace, is the problem. And in small batches. So, that approach is frustrating to people who are wanting quick and wide sweeping.
I said in a women's study class once that both approaches really need to be happening simultaneously-- the uncompromising juggernaut of change and the close up, patient growing. Of course people gifted with juggernaut skills are going to be called the heroes, but that's not looking at the big picture, IMO. ( The teacher agreed with me, BTW-- even cited a couple suffragettes to back it up.)
One of the gifts God has kind of thrust on me, via my fantastic family dynamics, is the gift of being able to shut up, listen, and consider where someone is coming from. That giftbis important. I am not Gloria Steinham. I don't have to be Gloria Steinham. Fuck, I think even Gloria Steinham would tell me that I don't have to be Gloria Steinham. And I can be disappointed at a woman capitalizing on her own objectification without calling anyone a slut, and I can support another woman's attempts to promote the dignity of other women without asking her to answer for her entire church body.
[ 13. November 2016, 07:46: Message edited by: Kelly Alves ]
Posted by Wesley J (# 6075) on
:
I hope this BBC Radio 4 programme may provide some insights into the hearts and minds of some Americans just after the election:
'Don't Log Off, Mr President' (30 mins; Podcast available): quote:
Alan Dein talks to his Facebook friends across America about the election of Donald Trump. Just hours after the result, Trump and Clinton supporters alike talk passionately about why they voted the way they did - and share their hopes and fears about the future of the United States. Working through the night, Alan tries to understand what the election has revealed about modern America - from California to Tennessee.
I found this very moving and helpful.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Don't miss this!!!
"Saturday Night Live" did something truly beautiful tonight. An absolutely perfect tribute to Hillary, to hope, and to someone who died this week.(YouTube) It is one of the best things I've ever seen, anywhere.
But please, please watch that first video. It's beautiful.
It's my Sunday morning ritual to watch the SNL clips and I wondered what they could possibly find funny in all this. I'm so glad they didn't try, but instead did that beautiful tribute to Leonard Cohen and Hillary's run for president. Kate McKinnon is a treasure.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
But surely slut-shaming goes with Christianity as Yorkshire pudding goes with roast beef. That doesn't mean I think all Christians do it, especially on a forum like this. See my story about prostitutes at Mass.
I have plenty of great anecdotes about human beings. Shall we swap a few?
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
But surely slut-shaming goes with Christianity as Yorkshire pudding goes with roast beef. That doesn't mean I think all Christians do it, especially on a forum like this. See my story about prostitutes at Mass.
I have plenty of great anecdotes about human beings. Shall we swap a few?
Well, if you really want to miss my point, sure.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I was going to invite people to crash here at my house, when the March on Washington takes place on Jan. 21. But I learn that very many cities (CHicago, Boston) are doing similar marches that weekend. So maybe you don't have to travel, you can march near your home!
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, if you really want to miss my point, sure.
Maybe if you had some evidence I wouldn't miss your point.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
Many of the Japanese "comfort women," who had been forced into prostitution with the military, committed suicide afterward because they could not live with the shame they felt. They didn't learn to feel that shame from Christians.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:
Well, if you really want to miss my point, sure.
Maybe if you had some evidence I wouldn't miss your point.
It would be a heck of a derail. I'm surprised that anyone would dispute that misogyny has been a core theme in Christianity. I will think about a new thread.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
It's a core theme of humanity. Yorkshire pudding goes with beef but not sushi or fruit salad. Misogyny goes with Christianity, but also Islam, Hinduism, Buddhism, the Labour party, video gaming and fashion.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
It's a core theme of humanity. Yorkshire pudding goes with beef but not sushi or fruit salad. Misogyny goes with Christianity, but also Islam, Hinduism, Buddhism, the Labour party, video gaming and fashion.
I don't see how that contradicts what I am saying. But this is surely well o/t.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
We used to have Yorkshire pudding with raspberry vinegar as a starter, allegedly to fill you up.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
I think you are both wrong. Patriarchy was the old social model, within which you could find both kindness and misogyny, sometimes mixed up. Patriarchy was an unfair social model, since the stereotypes it implied simply didn't recognise human diversity, in terms of character, gifts and talents.
But some people just don't want to let go. Included in 'some people' are social conservatives who are not misogynists, and some misogynists who are just that.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I see my self as encouraging every woman to do the best she can to support other women wherever she is, without requiring her to be where I am at. Meeting people where they are rather than where you want them to be. Bridge building. Network building. Finding common ground and going from there.
If you are a wired differently, so be it, but I'd like to believe I am wired the way I am for a reason.
I'm sure you are! And so am I.
I don't like having to compromise. I know a certain amount of compromise is necessary, given the all too apparent reality of how many different views people have in this country. But I keep thinking about how Obama spent so much of his first term trying to compromise with Republicans in Congress who refused to budge an inch. I thought then, and I think now, that it was a huge mistake for him to spend more than a few months trying to compromise with them. After 3-6 months of not getting anywhere, he should have said "fuck it" and shoved the Democratic legislative plan down their throats while the Democrats held both houses of Congress and that was still possible. He gave and gave and gave and got nothing in return.
And while compromise is necessary and sometimes it's the only kind thing to do, sometimes it's simply a betrayal of the things I believe in and of the people who are going to be hurt by compromise.
Trump's planning to deport 2-3 million people, according to excerpts from his 60 Minutes interview already released. People at my church have worked very hard at settling some gay and lesbian refugees from Uganda, people who are legally in the US because their lives were in danger in Uganda because of their sexual orientation. They are now trying to change their African accents to African American accents so they will sound like they were born here, because they are terrified of what will happen next.
None of this puts me in a compromising frame of mind.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
The appointmen of Priebus as Chief of Staff wasn't much of a surprise, might even be seen as quite smart, but the appointment of 'Breitbart' Bannon as Chief Strategist seems to me to have 'look out!' written all over it. Anyone who thinks that campaign rhetoric was just that may be in for a shock.
Rampant Rudi as Attorney General now looks very much on the cards.
Think I'm with RuthW. Compromise doesn't look as though it's going to cut it. Liberal attitudes and reforms are in the cross hairs. And Gingrich spoke favourably during the campaign about the need for some latter day version of the House UnAmerican Activities Committee. The 'hidden enemy' may also be in the cross hairs.
I really hope I'm wrong.
[ 14. November 2016, 03:07: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
Stephen Bannon as W.H. strategist? (WaPo link) Can we stop pretending now (he said to America as a whole) that this is going to be business as usual?
Posted by Joesaphat (# 18493) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
Stephen Bannon as W.H. strategist? (WaPo link) Can we stop pretending now (he said to America as a whole) that this is going to be business as usual?
Yes, we must, Mouse. It's Dr Goebbels all over again. How to fight the disinformation in our days, though? It's happening everywhere: Turkey, Hungary, UK, US, Russia... look at what's left of the Israeli left as well. I'm the son of communist immigrants, Jewish enough to be rounded up by the morons, gay, and a foreigner myself, technically and yes, Latino, though not Mexican or in the US.
I am not usually into competitive victimhood but I'm getting scared, and I'm getting scared of people who keep telling me that I should not get scared, really, it's just a working class political convulsion. Steven Bannon has been spouting poison for decades now. The Le Pen daughter has just accepted his invite to become the French voice of his trolling hub... This is a bit more than mere protest voting across the globe.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
Has America "fallen"?
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Godwin's Law looms, almost inevitability, over the aftermath discussions! But who can blame us? 'Breibart' Brannon's appointment in that role is an act of aggression.
I wonder what effect it might have on some fairly jittery stock markets? Never mind the already rattled Washington circles.
I suppose the 'madman' theory may be in play again. But I doubt it. This looks for real. As mousethief says.
Posted by Joesaphat (# 18493) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
Godwin's Law looms, almost inevitability, over the aftermath discussions! But who can blame us? 'Breibart' Brannon's appointment in that role is an act of aggression.
I wonder what effect it might have on some fairly jittery stock markets? Never mind the already rattled Washington circles.
I suppose the 'madman' theory may be in play again. But I doubt it. This looks for real. As mousethief says.
Screw Godwin, when it walks like a Fascist, quacks like a Fascist, lies, publishes and trolls like a fascist, by G-d, it is a fascist.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
np--
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Um...but is Trump emotionally/mentally stable?
The general description is that he is personality disordered. Narcissist who is the only person who matters, everyone else is an object to be manipulated or used. People are disposable like tissues or plastic bags.
Thanks for the info.
Actually, I'm hoping SPK will respond because s/he seems very much in favor of Trump, and I wondered if SPK perceived the imbalance that many of the rest of us see.
If someone doesn't perceive the imbalance, or thinks it's more or less election performance art (something I heard on the radio), then supporting Trump is a little more understandable.
FWIW.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Ruth--
Re Obama and not compromising:
What, please, do you think he could have done differently? He has only so much direct, executive power. And IIRC the Democrats weren't always happy with him, so he didn't have partnership there, either.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
The view from 'Airstrip One' will not be of much comfort to you, Golden Key.
Seriously, we're not yet at the formation of Neofascist International Inc. but I can well understand the nervousness.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Ruth--
Re Obama and not compromising:
What, please, do you think he could have done differently? He has only so much direct, executive power. And IIRC the Democrats weren't always happy with him, so he didn't have partnership there, either.
I was referring to the first half of his first term, particularly his efforts to get Republicans on board to vote for the Affordable Care Act. He put forward a proposal based on ideas from the conservative Heritage Foundation, single-payer healthcare was never really even on the table, the bipartisan Senate Finance Committee went round and round and round figuring the damn bill out, and in the end not one single Republican voted for it, including the Republicans who had helped write it in the Senate Finance Committee. He started with a willingness to compromise without recognizing that he was dealing with people who had no intention of working with him, and thus gave up valuable ground.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Barnabas--
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
The view from 'Airstrip One' will not be of much comfort to you, Golden Key.
???
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Ruth--
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
He started with a willingness to compromise without recognizing that he was dealing with people who had no intention of working with him, and thus gave up valuable ground.
Hmmmm...I would've thought that attempting compromise makes sense, if no one will work with you.
One of the criticisms of Pres. Jimmy Carter was that he didn't compromise, didn't build up the relationships that would help him develop compromises. He said later that he'd taken seriously the "no more gov't as usual!" message from voters, and tried to do things differently. IIRC, he recognized that as a mistake.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Barnabas--
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
The view from 'Airstrip One' will not be of much comfort to you, Golden Key.
???
Airstrip One is the name of the UK in 1984. Its name presumably indicates its meagre significance in relation to the rest of Oceania(aka the American Empire).
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Ruth--
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
He started with a willingness to compromise without recognizing that he was dealing with people who had no intention of working with him, and thus gave up valuable ground.
Hmmmm...I would've thought that attempting compromise makes sense, if no one will work with you.
You can't compromise with someone who won't compromise in return.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Stetson--
Ah, thanks! For a different take on that kind of thing, read Daphne du Maurier's "Rule, Britannia".
I suspect you'll like it.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Thanks Stetson. Despite confident diplomatic noises in the UK re the Trump Presidency I think 'Airstrip One' might turn out to be more realistic. A different kind of 'special relationship', based on 'we'll get on fine provided you agree wholeheartedly with all our new moves'.
[ 14. November 2016, 06:29: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Stetson--
Ah, thanks! For a different take on that kind of thing, read Daphne du Maurier's "Rule, Britannia".
I suspect you'll like it.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
(This could really go on any of the election threads, but figured this is probably the best.)
Re "what now", coping, understanding the other side (whichever it is), etc.:
Yes! magazine has several relevant articles.
From their "About" section:
quote:
YES! Magazine reframes the biggest problems of our time in terms of their solutions. Online and in print, we outline a path forward with in-depth analysis, tools for citizen engagement, and stories about real people working for a better world.
Powerful Ideas, Practical Actions
Today’s world is not the one we want—climate change, financial collapse, poverty, and war leave many feeling overwhelmed and hopeless.
YES! Magazine empowers people with the vision and tools to create a healthy planet and vibrant communities. We do this by:
--Reframing issues and outlining a path forward;
--Giving a voice to the people who are making change;
--Offering resources to use and pass along.
YES! Magazine is printed on 100% post-consumer waste, chlorine-free paper. We reach more than 150,000 readers quarterly. More than 140,000 people visit our website each month, where we post new stories every day.
IME, it's a really good magazine--just not terribly well known. Worth a read.
Posted by Stercus Tauri (# 16668) on
:
There is a petition circulating to abolish the electoral college, so that the candidate with the most votes can be the winner. I imagine there would be massive opposition to the idea now, and any attempt by the electoral college to change the result now would likely lead to civil war of the most uncivil kind. At least there are a few people for whom hope didn't die last week.
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on
:
Really don't think that petition will come to anything. If you have objections to the methodology of an election, they need to clearly articulated before the result is announced.
Contesting the electoral college system now is nothing more than l'esprit d'escalier.
Posted by Stercus Tauri (# 16668) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Sipech:
Really don't think that petition will come to anything. If you have objections to the methodology of an election, they need to clearly articulated before the result is announced.
Contesting the electoral college system now is nothing more than l'esprit d'escalier.
To be fair, their website does say, "We need to get this done so that the winner of the 2020 election actually reflects the will of the people", so I think they understand that the current election is a lost cause.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I too believe that nothing can be done about the Electoral College. Recall that a constitutional change calls for passage by both houses of Congress, and it is Democratic candidates who always win the popular vote. Can we imagine Republican candidates giving up their toehold? Nah.
And then two-thirds of the states must ratify the change. The EC weights in favor of smaller states. Can you envision Rhode Island, or Wyoming, voting to strip themselves of their slice of power? Impossible.
Posted by Sipech (# 16870) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stercus Tauri:
To be fair, their website does say, "We need to get this done so that the winner of the 2020 election actually reflects the will of the people", so I think they understand that the current election is a lost cause.
Serves me right for not reading the link.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
Are we going to follow the trump presidency on this thread or should there be a new one?
Anyway. Yesterday, I heard on BBC World news that many experts believe Trump's win owes a lot to right wing online "news" sites, like Breitbart. I had never heard of it, but I gather it's quite popular with white nationalists. Today, I read that Trump has given Steve Bannon, who once headed Breitbart, a job as Chief Strategist. This is a terrible sign. Just when I was hoping Trump only used those types to get elected and would distance himself from them now.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
Trump likes people who like Trump. That is all you need to understand.
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
np--
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Um...but is Trump emotionally/mentally stable?
The general description is that he is personality disordered. Narcissist who is the only person who matters, everyone else is an object to be manipulated or used. People are disposable like tissues or plastic bags.
Thanks for the info.
Actually, I'm hoping SPK will respond because s/he seems very much in favor of Trump, and I wondered if SPK perceived the imbalance that many of the rest of us see.
If someone doesn't perceive the imbalance, or thinks it's more or less election performance art (something I heard on the radio), then supporting Trump is a little more understandable.
FWIW.
Whoever said I was in favour of Trump?!?
I am a Canadian New Democrat, I am so far to the left that I am on another planet.
Yes, the man is imbalanced. I would not say in a clinical sense, but he clearly has issues of a literary hubris nature. His character is deeply flawed, to the point where I would say he has a spot on his soul. But what man's soul is pure when your career was in New York real estate development?
But I won't demonize him to death when his compromise could save millions of people's medical bills.
Besides, I refuse to feed the troll. He is a wind-up merchant and a bullshitter. Politics abounds with these people. But it was said to me that in Canada, the Maritimes expected their politicians to be over-the-top and not completely serious in their promises, while central and western Canadians take every word a politician says literally as either a certain promise or an outright lie.
A little perspective goes a long way.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
Are we going to follow the trump presidency on this thread or should there be a new one?
My gut feel is that someone may want to start a long running Hell thread (a kind of "Fred-Phelps-type" watch), but if anyone wants to start a Trump Presidency thread in Purgatory, rather than just continue to rap here, then Inauguration Day might be a good time.
We'd then close this one. But as always, you're all free to start any thread on anything, provided it doesn't lead to duplicate discussions.
How does that sound?
Barnabas62
Purgatory Host
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
SPK wrote:
quote:
Whoever said I was in favour of Trump?!?
[Mad]
Well, you did say earlier something like "One of the attractions that Trump has for me is...". Someone who doesn't know you might be liable to misunderstand that.
Overall, though, I'm inclined to agree with you. As I said, I think the main problem with Trump will turn out to be simply that he is a Republican, and a particularly dupable one at that, vulnerable to the manipulations of his wilier cohorts in the congress and party establishment. Basically, a Ronald Reagan for the generation raised on shock-radio, instead of the generation raised on Leave It To Beaver.
And, since we've gotten onto the subject of dark souls, anyone care to guess who the most high-profile Canadian cheerleader for the Trump-backed Keystone pipeline has been? Yep, it's Justin Trudeau, positioned well to the right of Hollywood liberals and even US Democrats on pipeline issues. I'm sure he still prefers the photo-ops with Barack, but when it comes to business, well, he knows who's buttering his bread.
[ 14. November 2016, 22:28: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
It's all fine with me, I just didn't want to be bringing new stuff to this thread if it was over. Thanks, Barnabas.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Trump calls Alex Jones again, vows to re-appear on show
Pond clarification...
This would be the equivalent of Teresa May calling up David Icke to thank him for his support and offering to be interviewed on the show(again).
As I said above, I think Trump will soon-enough end up as just a clueless dupe of the Republican establishment. But still, those guys must be having a bit of a time figuring out just how they're gonna bring the Donald over to the side of(relative) sanity.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Barnabas--
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
I think you are both wrong. Patriarchy was the old social model, within which you could find both kindness and misogyny, sometimes mixed up. Patriarchy was an unfair social model, since the stereotypes it implied simply didn't recognise human diversity, in terms
of character, gifts and talents.
(Emphasis mine.)
"Was"? "Implied"? Seriously???
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Ruth--
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
He started with a willingness to compromise without recognizing that he was dealing with people who had no intention of working with him, and thus gave up valuable ground.
Hmmmm...I would've thought that attempting compromise makes sense, if no one will work with you.
You can't compromise with someone who won't compromise in return.
It depends if you are talking about compromising with politicians and their policies or compromising with the otherwise conservative Catholic woman down the street who voted blue and has to teach her three boys values to counteract every thing they have heard for the last five months.
While this has drifted away from the comments I made about using misogynistic language to punish women in their husband's stead, I thought I was making it clear I was talking about how we treat individuals with whom we already know we have the common ground of resisting Trump.
I can't believe it would help anything to tell the woman above that she is letting down the team by staying in a sexist institution, or that if she had a problem with the Phrase "First Slut" she isn't really committed. We've had almost a year of every kind of hateful demeaning language thrown at women you can think of; whatever way I am going to fight, it will be in a way that respects the women I am fighting with. They have had enough.
One of the things that felt good to be a follower of Hillary is that women of all kinds of backgrounds seemed united under her banner, or at least contra-Trump, at least in the very diverse area in which I live. The natural thing to me would be to try to think of ways to keep that going. To build on what united us in the first place. To actually find out what that was.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
I can't believe it would help anything to tell the woman above that she is letting down the team by staying in a sexist institution, or that if she had a problem with the Phrase "First Slut" she isn't really committed. We've had almost a year of every kind of hateful demeaning language thrown at women you can think of; whatever way I am going to fight, it will be in a way that respects the women I am fighting with. They have had enough.
This would be wonderful. To take my own case, I've had I don't know how many years of having crap thrown at me from both sides. The Ship used to be a place where I could catch a breath once in a while, but for some time the pressure has been on to conform entirely to one or the other side. I suspect this is why many of our beloved former Shipmates have gone MIA.
You just get tired. Way, way tired.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
The constant thing about politics is that successful politicians create coalitions. You get group A who are concerned about one thing, group B who are concerned about another and so on and so forth and this coalition carries you over the line. These coalitions are invariably unstable and gradually bits fall away until the other lot win. So the task for any defeated political party is to put together a new coalition and the way to do that is to force apart the coalition currently in power.
So Kelly is quite correct not to tell her Catholic friend that she is propping up a sexist institution. That helps precisely no-one. As far as the electorate is concerned it must be remembered that one catches more flies with honey, than with vinegar.
As far as the Senate and the House are concerned, there are two words that the Democratic leadership should have woven into samplers and hung over their beds. Scorched Earth.
When Obama was elected the Republicans announced that their aim was to make him a one term President. The Democrats should return the compliments with knobs on. It was in the interests of democracy that Hilary should concede graciously and Obama should be gracious about the transition. Everyone else should take heed of the good advice of Crowley to Aziriphale in 'Good Omens'; "You're there to thwart the wiles of the devil. You see a wile, you thwart, correct?" The object of the exercise is to break apart Trump's coalition and to force him to choose between the various incompatible goals he has set forth. At some point, some talking head is going to tell the Democrats to be statesmanlike and bipartisan. The Democrats should tell him or her to go and get fucked. At some point a Democratic Senator or Congressman is going to express similar sentences and it should be made clear to them, that this is not how we do things any more. No surrender, no retreat, no compromises.
The electorate were played. The politicians were not. Temper your responses accordingly.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
I understand the reasoning, Callan, but in my naivete I hope the primary goal would remain doing what is best for the nation and the world, even over and above thwarting Trump. I grant you, the two goals may run in tandem.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
I would have thought that the national interest was best served by not having a Russian Asset in the White House. Everything else is a matter of detail.
I don't wish to sound alarmist - bugger that, I wish to sound extremely alarmist. I honestly think that the survival of The West as we have known it since World War II is at stake. Read this. I have a horrible feeling that it may well be too late. But as a wise friend once said to me, in admittedly less geopolitically significant circumstances, if we fight we could lose. If we don't fight we'll definitely lose.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
I didn't vote for the guy, and we have the option of impeachment. I don't want to destroy more of the country's mental infrastructure than necessary in the process of protecting it.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
If I knew what you meant by 'mental infrastructure' I could either agree or disagree with you. I'm not trying to be facetious, just asking for a clarification.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
I mean that if we take illegitimate means to get rid of him, either in the sheerly illegal sense or (more likely) in the "let's change our whole history of how we deal with election results" sense, we will probably end up doing more harm in the long run than if we used traditional means of bridling Trump.
For example, the folks who want to abolish the electoral college. A time of crisis is generally not the best time to make new experiments. It also leads people to consider other aspects of government equally changeable, which is a problem if you want a quiet life and not 15 constitutions in a hundred years.
I'm not against change of any sort. I'm just wary of taking extreme measures now under these circumstances. Better to see if the usual measures (congressional gridlock, protests, Supreme Court checks, etc.) can do the job.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
Ah, in which case I agree completely. The rule of law is one of the things we are fighting for.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
Interesting insight reported in the Economist editorial this week:
Trump's supporters took him seriously but not literally;
Trump's opponents took him literally but not seriously.
Posted by Gwai (# 11076) on
:
Boy is that true! I think it's still hard to tell which statements we should be taking literally.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I doubt if he himself could tell you. The Orange One said anything he needed to, to get the approbation of his audience. It changed, at need, daily if necessary. The idea that people should remember from day to day, or expect him to stand upon a solid principle, startled and enraged him -- even having his statements on videotape had no impact. The only core he has is himself, his own good.
And what this means is that the people who do have a solid principle can sneak in and drive their agenda through. As long as your plan doesn't impact the Donald's bottom line or ego, you're good to go.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Though the problem is watching out for that ego. It could easily become a question of who can flatter him the most.
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gwai:
I think it's still hard to tell which statements we should be taking literally.
People have motives to make ourselves out to be better people than we are. We don't have motives to make ourselves out to be worse people than we are.
Nobody who isn't racist is going to pretend to be racist; nobody who isn't sexist is going to pretend to be sexist; nobody who respects liberal democracy and the rule of law is going to pretend not to respect liberal democracy and the rule of law.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
Nobody who isn't racist is going to pretend to be racist; nobody who isn't sexist is going to pretend to be sexist; nobody who respects liberal democracy and the rule of law is going to pretend not to respect liberal democracy and the rule of law. [/QB]
Umm... unless it is your goal to get those racists, sexists and pocket fascists to vote for you. And of course if you have no morals. Then you say what you need to say, to get them to do what you want. Afterwards, you may or may not throw them over the side. Depending upon your own needs and convenience.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
What Brenda said! Politicians do and say all sorts of things to get elected. You have to wait and see what they actually do in office. Then there are the questions of what deals they've made, who they owe, what their party demands, what their constituents want, and what the politicians actually believe. I think sometimes all of that gets so mixed up that they don't know what's real.
ETA: And, in everyday life, people often act like the bad thing they're not, or allow others to believe that, so they can get through the moment with the people they're around. Ever laugh at a prejudiced joke? Stayed silent? I have.
[ 15. November 2016, 23:08: Message edited by: Golden Key ]
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I do believe that our current president-elect has them all beat hollow, for lying without fear or memory. Even when it's on videotape, he'll change. I wonder if anyone will ever believe a politician ever again.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
quote:
Nobody who isn't racist is going to pretend to be racist; nobody who isn't sexist is going to pretend to be sexist; nobody who respects liberal democracy and the rule of law is going to pretend not to respect liberal democracy and the rule of law.
Umm... unless it is your goal to get those racists, sexists and pocket fascists to vote for you. And of course if you have no morals. Then you say what you need to say, to get them to do what you want. Afterwards, you may or may not throw them over the side. Depending upon your own needs and convenience. [/QB]
I agree. However... if you are willing to say anything to pander to racists & sexists, you're saying racism and sexism aren't very much of a concern for you-- certainly far less than getting elected. And yes, politicians will say/do a lot of disreputable things to get elected. But precisely how far they will go to be elected says a lot. If you're willing to pander to racists to get elected, I say that in and of itself makes you a racist, simply because you're demonstrating that pandering to racists is less significant to you than getting elected. Even if "some of your best friends are black".
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
There are people like this. Who, after an comments that I am sure you will agree are inarguably racist, can still plead: "I am truly sorry for any hard feeling this may have caused! Those who know me know that I'm not of any way racist!"
In other words, their definition of the word is quite different. Perhaps they think of racism solely as lynching black people, or beating them up in the street, and everything that doesn't involve bloodshed doesn't count.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
So the task for any defeated political party is to put together a new coalition and the way to do that is to force apart the coalition currently in power.
So Kelly is quite correct not to tell her Catholic friend that she is propping up a sexist institution. That helps precisely no-one. As far as the electorate is concerned it must be remembered that one catches more flies with honey, than with vinegar.
As a practical matter I think the Catholic Church can be an important part of this coalition. The US Conference of Catholic Bishops has just elected Archbishop Gomez of Los Angeles, a Mexican American immigrant, to be their next VP, and that makes him likely to be their president three years later. I don't imagine he was chosen simply because he's Mexican American, but that does send a message, and he's going to defend immigrants as best he can.
At the same time, though, replace the word "sexist" with "racist" in your statement above and tell me how it would sit with you to consider being in a coalition with an institution you considered racist. Then think about looking a black or brown person in the eye and telling them they needed to just be cool with a racist institution.
I'm going to tolerate being in a coalition with a sexist institution. It's just reality, and I'll have to live with it for the time being. But there is no way on earth I will back down from my position about the sexism in some of the groups I'll be making common cause with over the next few years. I'll do my best not to choke on the irony that sexism is a primary reason we are facing at least four years of shameless kleptocracy, abuse of power, and outright stupidity.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
I'm going to tolerate being in a coalition with a sexist institution. It's just reality, and I'll have to live with it for the time being. But there is no way on earth I will back down from my position about the sexism in some of the groups I'll be making common cause with over the next few years. I'll do my best not to choke on the irony that sexism is a primary reason we are facing at least four years of shameless kleptocracy, abuse of power, and outright stupidity.
A home run. See it soar into the stands.
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
quote:
Nobody who isn't racist is going to pretend to be racist; nobody who isn't sexist is going to pretend to be sexist; nobody who respects liberal democracy and the rule of law is going to pretend not to respect liberal democracy and the rule of law.
Umm... unless it is your goal to get those racists, sexists and pocket fascists to vote for you. And of course if you have no morals. Then you say what you need to say, to get them to do what you want. Afterwards, you may or may not throw them over the side. Depending upon your own needs and convenience.
I quite hope he'll throw them over the side. And I'm sure that if they no longer are of any use to him for either power or money or ego-validation he'll do just that. If he thinks the white supremacists are beginning to take him for granted he'll go all liberal until they're properly grateful again.
But if he has no morals he's hardly going to have much respect for the rule of law.
(Why is this different from the conservatives claiming Obama was going to lock up his political opponents? Well, Obama never said he was going to lock up his political opponents, and Trump did.)
[ 16. November 2016, 10:40: Message edited by: Dafyd ]
Posted by Hilda of Whitby (# 7341) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
Interesting insight reported in the Economist editorial this week:
Trump's supporters took him seriously but not literally;
Trump's opponents took him literally but not seriously.
Peter Thiel, Silicon Valley tech zillionaire and Trump supporter, said this in a speech before it showed up in the Economist.
Interesting viewpoint, but I am rather skeptical. Thiel may just be speaking for himself.
Trump constantly said throughout his campaign that he would personally stop a large manufacturing factory (Carrier) from moving its operations from Indianapolis, Indiana to Monterrey, Mexico. He said this time and again.
There was a front-page article in the NY Times 4 days ago about the employees at the Carrier Indianapolis factory. The jobs at Carrier are high-paying and it will not be possible for the employees to make that kind of money and/or receive those kind of benefits at other jobs in the Indianapolis area. Jobs like working at the local Walmart distribution warehouse, for example--wages there are $12 per hour, and Carrier is paying people $23 per hour --- thanks to unions (United Steelworkers, for one).
Many of the employees voted for Trump precisely because they took him at his word that he'd stop the Carrier factory from moving. They also stated that if it didn't happen, they'd vote for someone else next time. According to the article, it is quite clear that the move to Mexico is a done deal. Trump cannot stop it by fiat. Carrier reports to its stockholders, not the president of the US.
Trump promised he'd bring back manufacturing jobs, build a wall, deport people, register Muslims, crack down on minorities, and so on. Most of these promises will probably turn out to be verbal vaporware, like so much of what comes out of Trump's mouth, but he got into office because of those promises. I think a large number of his voters took him literally and will expect that these promises will come to pass. If not, they'll turn on him.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
(Why is this different from the conservatives claiming Obama was going to lock up his political opponents? Well, Obama never said he was going to lock up his political opponents, and Trump did.) [/QB]
Tch. It is only mid-November. Obama has a good two months, to initiate the Muslim Caliphate, take away all the guns, impose sharia law, make everybody either gay or lesbian, lock up his opponents, and build prison camps in the parking lots of WalMart. But he had better get it in gear. Personally I would be content if he rammed Merritt Garland through into the Supreme Court. There's a petition on, urging him to do that.
Posted by Sioni Sais (# 5713) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
I'm going to tolerate being in a coalition with a sexist institution. It's just reality, and I'll have to live with it for the time being. But there is no way on earth I will back down from my position about the sexism in some of the groups I'll be making common cause with over the next few years. I'll do my best not to choke on the irony that sexism is a primary reason we are facing at least four years of shameless kleptocracy, abuse of power, and outright stupidity.
A home run. See it soar into the stands.
I think we've all seen a team make a home run but lose the game.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
I'm going to tolerate being in a coalition with a sexist institution. It's just reality, and I'll have to live with it for the time being. But there is no way on earth I will back down from my position about the sexism in some of the groups I'll be making common cause with over the next few years. I'll do my best not to choke on the irony that sexism is a primary reason we are facing at least four years of shameless kleptocracy, abuse of power, and outright stupidity.
A home run. See it soar into the stands.
But if the institution that is so fraught with sexism stands to change if we engage with the person in front of us, doesn't it stand to reason to build that person up with good things to take back into that institution with her? Like a sense of her own worth and power, and the respectful interchange of ideas?
Maybe institutions need to be tolerated, but eventually you need to think about how you deal with people. Because people can change.
I stand to go back to my Head Start assignment next week.( Aside-- it's been interesting to me how issues in federal childcare mirror women's rights issues in general). The woman I described in my what- if was not hypothetical, she represents a composite of all the women I will be facing when I go back-- Catholic, Latina, pro- life, pro birth control! Anti- misogyny, definitely anti-racism, anti- Trump, pro- Hillary. Whateverthehell about the institution of Catholicism, they deserve a lot more than my tolerance.
If they are still there. My fear is, despite the soothing words of the state of CA about no change in immigration policies, they might clear out anyway.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
Sioni: the answer in such cases is NOT to stop swinging.
[ 16. November 2016, 14:37: Message edited by: RuthW ]
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
Kelly and Callan: replace "sexism" with "racism" in what you've written on this page and tell me if you're just as comfortable with it. Which racist institutions will you collaborate with for the next four years?
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
None. I was talking about people. I would have no problem at all collaberating with the women I described, and if you knew them, you would't either.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by Callan:
So Kelly is quite correct not to tell her Catholic friend that she is propping up a sexist institution. That helps precisely no-one. As far as the electorate is concerned it must be remembered that one catches more flies with honey, than with vinegar.
Indeed you do. However, the plan appears to be double down on the othering of Trump supporters hoping that this time shame works. Secret ballot makes that problematic. The more Trump's foes demonize Trump and his supporters the less Trump actually has to do. Heck, the mass freakout has already given some Trump voters what they wanted. Already, they are thinking, "What will they do if he wins twice?"
quote:
originally posted by Callan:
When Obama was elected the Republicans announced that their aim was to make him a one term President. The Democrats should return the compliments with knobs on.
No doubt they will. Problem is it won't have the same effect as when the Republicans did it. Republicans knew when they used that tactic the Democrats would return the favor when they were in the minority yet they did it anyway. Why? Republicans don't care about passing legislation as much as Democrats. Plus, Obama set the precedent of overcoming gridlock by using executive order. Now, Trump can accomplish much of what he wants to do by cancelling Obama's executive orders and issuing his own. Most of what he wants to do with immigration won't require a vote from congress. Much of what you fear regarding foreign policy doesn't require a vote from congress. Democrats passed much of ACA using a parliamentary trick. Republicans can use the same trick to repeal it. Wait...it gets worse. Of the things Trump needs congressional approval to implement, much of it is stuff Democrats want to get done more than Republicans (trade, infrastructure, increasing the minimum wage, etc...). Are they going to refuse to work with him on issues important to the voters who switched to Trump after voting Democrat in the last 7 elections? Furthermore, when it boils down to it, Trump is a moderate on most political issues. Trump could play both sides against the middle a la Bill Clinton.
What about the 2010 midterm election where a wave of Tea Party anger swept tons of Republicans into office? Could that happen? It's possible. The presidents party usually loses seats in congress after in midterm elections. Plus, Trump most certainly will do stupid stuff that inspires anger. Now, here is the problem. After 2010, the Republicans won control of a surprising number of state legislatures. They redrew the district maps to create as many safe house seats as possible. In the Senate, 33 seats will be contested. Of those, 33 seats only 8 are currently held by Republicans. Of those 8 held by Republicans, only 1 of them is in a state won by Clinton. Of 25 held by Democrats, 10 of them are in states carried by Trump. You do the math. Again, Trump is the president so it's certainly possible.
quote:
originally posted by Callan:
I would have thought that the national interest was best served by not having a Russian Asset in the White House. Everything else is a matter of detail.
Trump did ask individual nations in NATO to increase their defense spending. Hard to see why the United States should be more worried about Russian encroachment into the Baltic than Germany. Just looking at a map, there is the Atlantic Ocean and every single member of NATO between the US and Russia. I'm thinking the whole rest of Europe can check Russian aggression regardless of what the United States does.
quote:
originally posted by Callan:
Read this.
I love stuff like that, thanks!!! Let me leave you this in return. Start with Open Letter and Gentle Introduction. At least one small corner of the alt right believes exactly what your guy thinks it believes. Conspiracies are so fun!
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
I can't provide a link from the UK, but John Oliver's "Last Week Tonight" (HBO) on Trump's victory, aftermath, and "what to do" is a comic-serious masterpiece.
Posted by W Hyatt (# 14250) on
:
This one?
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
John Oliver and company deserve an assist in getting Trump elected.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
W Hyatt
Probably. Access is denied to that link in the UK.
Beeswax Altar
If true, that would suggest either xenophobia (how dare a Brit make fun of OUR candidate) or a loss of belief in the First Amendment as a freedom for folks of contrary views. And it was on HBO, for goodness sake.
Plus he told the truth. Oh wait. Maybe that was the big error?
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
Oh..John Oliver's company includes Americans as well. Nobody said they didn't have a right to say what they said. Of course, you can't control how others are going to react to what you say. Maybe, continuing to call 60 million people names will work this time. How sure is everybody it will work this time? What if it doesn't? What if Donald Trump is as bad as he can be while obeying the law? What if the name calling is every bit as effective as it was this election? What then?
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar
Now, here is the problem. After 2010, the Republicans won control of a surprising number of state legislatures. They redrew the district maps to create as many safe house seats as possible. In the Senate, 33 seats will be contested. Of those, 33 seats only 8 are currently held by Republicans. Of those 8 held by Republicans, only 1 of them is in a state won by Clinton. Of 25 held by Democrats, 10 of them are in states carried by Trump. You do the math. Again, Trump is the president so it's certainly possible.
Can you help me please. What are the problems with setting up an independent federal electoral commission to draw boundaries, staff polling booths, maintain electoral rolls etc, purely for federal elections of course. Are these legal problems or political?
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Hilda wrote:
quote:
Trump promised he'd bring back manufacturing jobs, build a wall, deport people, register Muslims, crack down on minorities, and so on. Most of these promises will probably turn out to be verbal vaporware, like so much of what comes out of Trump's mouth, but he got into office because of those promises. I think a large number of his voters took him literally and will expect that these promises will come to pass. If not, they'll turn on him.
I dunno. I think Trump's supporters are the kind of people who are easily impressed by symbolic gestures. So, even if he doesn't build that wall, if he throws a bit more money at Homeland Security to fortify the border here and there, and then fires off a few obnoxious tweests about how this is gonna keep out all the rapists and drug-dealers(thus provoking outrage from liberals and Democrats in the media), a lot of his fans will probably think he's really taking action on the issue.
Granted, if you were expecting Trump to save your particular factory, and if that factory shurs down on his watch, you're gonna be pretty disillusioned with him. But if you were just expecting him to protect jobs in general, and he slaps on a tariff on something or other(see GW Bush and steel), and the media reports that this has kept a few factories afloat somewhere in the Rust Belt, you'll probably be satisfied enough to vote for him again.
[ 16. November 2016, 20:32: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Anglican't (# 15292) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Sioni: the answer in such cases is NOT to stop swinging.
The problem with going to the latest post first and then scrolling up is that you might see posts out of context...
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
BA--
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Hard to see why the United States should be more worried about Russian encroachment into the Baltic than Germany. Just looking at a map, there is the Atlantic Ocean and every single member of NATO between the US and Russia. I'm thinking the whole rest of Europe can check Russian aggression regardless of what the United States does.
Pssst...they can also come across the Pacific, you know...
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Gee D--
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
Can you help me please. What are the problems with setting up an independent federal electoral commission to draw boundaries, staff polling booths, maintain electoral rolls etc, purely for federal elections of course. Are these legal problems or political?
There's be cultural problems: distrust of the federal gov't, attitudes about states' rights, hating being told what to do. Those things are really entrenched.
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
AIUI Congress could regulate and run congressional elections, but it cannot regulate presidential elections.
It's an old sport in Canada to think that's nuts, as there has been a single national electoral office, Act of Parliament and staff for federal elections since 1920.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
BA--
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Hard to see why the United States should be more worried about Russian encroachment into the Baltic than Germany. Just looking at a map, there is the Atlantic Ocean and every single member of NATO between the US and Russia. I'm thinking the whole rest of Europe can check Russian aggression regardless of what the United States does.
Pssst...they can also come across the Pacific, you know...
And the Bering Strait between Russia and Alaska is all of 51 miles wide.
[Mind you, I do think other members of NATO should dig more into their pockets to pay for the overall costs.]
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Oh..John Oliver's company includes Americans as well. Nobody said they didn't have a right to say what they said. Of course, you can't control how others are going to react to what you say. Maybe, continuing to call 60 million people names will work this time. How sure is everybody it will work this time? What if it doesn't? What if Donald Trump is as bad as he can be while obeying the law? What if the name calling is every bit as effective as it was this election? What then?
I prefer Oliver's own explanation.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
Thanks Golden Key - I was thinking purely of federal elections, not presidential (which I understand is constitutional) or state.
SPK - we have different commissions for state and federal elections. Much data exchange between them of course and other co-operation. All have independence with judicial oversight.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Gee D--
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
Thanks Golden Key - I was thinking purely of federal elections, not presidential (which I understand is constitutional) or state.
Ok, so you mean members of Congress? Representatives and senators? They represent the (people of) the states, so the same things I mentioned would apply. 2 senators per state, and representatives according to the state's population.
Plus we bundle our elections together, and take care of many things at the same time. So, in the recent election, San Franciscans voted for president, members of Congress, California legislators and officials, California legal measures, San Francisco officials, and San Francisco legal measures.
ISTM that your suggestions would be best implemented by a separate election. That would cost extra. And an extra election would probably draw fewer voters.
FWIW.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
Oh, yes, I know the constitution of the houses of Congress, but am questioning the ability of Congress to establish a federal electoral commission to oversee elections, maintain the rolls, staff to booths, count the votes, draw the electoral boundaries etc. Here, all that is done by such a commission for federal elections, and by state equivalents for state elections.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
{Don't know if anyone's posted this...}
From Hillary's campaign blog, posted the day after the election:
"Thank you. I am so grateful to stand with all of you."
[Tear]
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
:
It is quite telling, in lots of disturbing ways, that Bannon appears to be at very least courting white supremicists and anti-semites whilst at the same time (along with some of those groups) supporting Zionism and Israel.
Indeed, in that radio programme I posted before, Richard Spencer specifically references Israel as a model for his white-only homeland.
It is also pretty telling that even Glenn Beck thinks the alt-right are beyond the pail.
But then Mad Mel and Dershowitz think we should all calm down and give Bannon the benefit of the doubt. So that's ok then.
Posted by anteater (# 11435) on
:
I apologise for using this thread to ask a question which may be off-piste, since I am not generally engaged in the thread. So . .
Does anyone know of research that indicates what effect third-party candidates had on the election result?
I'm just interested.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by anteater:
I apologise for using this thread to ask a question which may be off-piste, since I am not generally engaged in the thread. So . .
Does anyone know of research that indicates what effect third-party candidates had on the election result?
I'm just interested.
Did Gary Johnson and Jill Stein tip the 2016 election?
The answer, according to that article, is no, they did not. I didn't give it that close a read, so can't comment.
[ 17. November 2016, 10:33: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy:
It is quite telling, in lots of disturbing ways, that Bannon appears to be at very least courting white supremicists and anti-semites whilst at the same time (along with some of those groups) supporting Zionism and Israel.
None of which will fly in any cordial relationship between Trump and Putin. But I doubt whether Trump has thought that through. On the evidence of the campaign and his business life, he's not that good at thinking things through. Despite the admitted succcess of his "aim-low" campaign tactics, I think he doesn't have a lot of patience with the complexities of normal diplomatic considerations.
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on
:
Hmm...there is a lot of twitter chatter about the Muslim registry thing being planned. Included in the chatter is a video on Fox New of a surrogate suggesting as precedent Japanese internment camps and saying its OK to take away constitutional rights and protections of some "until we know what the threat is". To Fox news credit, the host told him how wrong the precedent was and how wrong he was about the constitutional rights idea.
If the Trump administration attempts to implement this, there will be a boycott USA backlash. Get ready for adverts saying "How can you go to the Magic Kingdom while America does this?"
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
@ Og overleaf
Not wishing to tempt fate, but the situation on that front feels tinder-dry. All it needs is one provocative attack linked to ISIS and constitutional niceties will fly out of the window.
A pot shot at the Inauguration - or something similar, would light the blue touchpaper.
[ 17. November 2016, 11:14: Message edited by: Barnabas62 ]
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Gee D--
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
Can you help me please. What are the problems with setting up an independent federal electoral commission to draw boundaries, staff polling booths, maintain electoral rolls etc, purely for federal elections of course. Are these legal problems or political?
There's be cultural problems: distrust of the federal gov't, attitudes about states' rights, hating being told what to do. Those things are really entrenched.
Interesting that, with the exception of a few states-rights purists like Ron and Rand Paul, conservative opponents of federal interference never seemed to have much problem with the War On Drugs.
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
There was some angry person from Breitbart tearing into the Today programme this morning on the BBC accusing them of poor journalism because of their suggesting that Bannon was antisemitic. Not doing his own cause any good, except in the ears of his alt-right followers, I should imagine.
He blamed the idea on an accusation from Bannon's divorced wife. "Are you divorced?" he attacked - implying that if not the interviewer could not know that remarks made in divorce cases were lies.
They didn't pick up on the anti-woman stuff.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I can't find the link now, but a legislator in Georgia has proposed banning the hijab. Ladies in my circle are already discussing asking Catholic nuns to weigh in. Also Mennonites (if there are any in Georgia), and someone has produced the relevant text from 1Cor, the one about how women ought to cover their hair.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
I can't find the link now, but a legislator in Georgia has proposed banning the hijab. Ladies in my circle are already discussing asking Catholic nuns to weigh in. Also Mennonites (if there are any in Georgia), and someone has produced the relevant text from 1Cor, the one about how women ought to cover their hair.
Ack. I fear I will need to take up the hijab, something I"m loathe to do but would feel compelled to do as an act of Christian witness should such a ban be enacted nation-wide (fortunately my very blue state is unlikely to do so on a state level). Same as registering on the Muslim registry should such come to pass.
Bleh.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
Hmm...there is a lot of twitter chatter about the Muslim registry thing being planned. Included in the chatter is a video on Fox New of a surrogate suggesting as precedent Japanese internment camps and saying its OK to take away constitutional rights and protections of some "until we know what the threat is". To Fox news credit, the host told him how wrong the precedent was and how wrong he was about the constitutional rights idea. "
Perhaps pointing out to the "starve the beast" "no government spending" GOP budget wonks that that little stunt cost the US $500 million in reparations would be a dash of cold water.
quote:
Originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
If the Trump administration attempts to implement this, there will be a boycott USA backlash. Get ready for adverts saying "How can you go to the Magic Kingdom while America does this?"
Forget about the magic kingdom-- can we be a part of God's Kingdom if we stand idly by?
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Maybe get yourself one with crosses on it just to freak out the ignorant and rude. Bonus points if you can get stars of David mixed in.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Oh fabric, always helpful. I am thinking cards with the ICor passage would also be good to hand out.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by GeeD:
Can you help me please. What are the problems with setting up an independent federal electoral commission to draw boundaries, staff polling booths, maintain electoral rolls etc, purely for federal elections of course. Are these legal problems or political?
The constitution gives the states the power to determine how their representatives are elected but allows Congress to pass laws changing the rules. So, in theory, congress could establish such a commission that drew boundaries, staffed poll booths, and maintained electoral rolls. The problem is political. Not enough people with a vote believe such a commission is in their best interest. So, it won't happen.
quote:
originally posted by Stetson:
So, even if he doesn't build that wall, if he throws a bit more money at Homeland Security to fortify the border here and there, and then fires off a few obnoxious tweests about how this is gonna keep out all the rapists and drug-dealers(thus provoking outrage from liberals and Democrats in the media), a lot of his fans will probably think he's really taking action on the issue.
Bingo
Plus, Trump will deport some people. Any increase in deportations by the Trump Administration will induce freakout. Freakout will convince Trump's supporters that he is keeping his promises and they will be happy.
quote:
originally posted by Golden Key:
Pssst...they can also come across the Pacific, you know...
Depends on what you mean by come across the Pacific. Do you mean the Russians have naval vessels that can make it across the Pacific? Then, yes, they can in fact come across the Pacific. On the other hand, if you mean that the Russians can invade the West Coast of the United States by crossing the Pacific, then the answer is no, no, they can't come across the Pacific.
quote:
originally posted by Barnabas62:
And the Bering Strait between Russia and Alaska is all of 51 miles wide.
Yes, in theory, the Russians could invade Alaska. Invading Alaska would make the Russian invasion of Afghanistan look like a good idea. Putin wants to expand Russian influence in the West not start a suicidal war with the United States.
quote:
originally posted by mr. cheesy:
It is quite telling, in lots of disturbing ways, that Bannon appears to be at very least courting white supremicists and anti-semites whilst at the same time (along with some of those groups) supporting Zionism and Israel.
Bannon runs a clickbait site that attracts all sorts of people. Left wing click bait sites attract people conservatives find beyond the pale also. So what? What argument against Donald Trump can you make that doesn't require a Trump supporter to accept your definition of racism, sexism, and xenophobia? You absolutely can. I'd focus on those.
quote:
originally posted by Barnabas62:
But I doubt whether Trump has thought that through.
I don't know if he did or not. Trump doesn't want to be president. Trump is surprised he is president. Trump really wanted to keep on hosting Celebrity Apprentice. However, there is a reason Trump is the president elect instead of hosting a reality show. Wouldn't be nice if NBC hadn't cancelled Celebrity Apprentice and cut ties with Trump?
quote:
originally posted by Og: Thread Killer:
If the Trump administration attempts to implement this, there will be a boycott USA backlash. Get ready for adverts saying "How can you go to the Magic Kingdom while America does this?"
I'm guessing if we are at the point where Muslims are being rounded up and put into concentration camps that Disney's profit margins won't be high on a list of national priorities.
quote:
originally posted by Penny S:
Not doing his own cause any good, except in the ears of his alt-right followers, I should imagine.
Yes, but alt-right has replaced "tea party" which had replaced "neocon" as the left's new scare label. Basically, it means the vast majority of people who voted for Trump. So, only doing good in the ears of his alt-right followers means doing quite a bit of good. Now, all the people who are actually alt-right could go to Disney World on the same day and the park wouldn't be that crowded. Neoconservatives...now they were bad. Everybody knew they were a cabal of Jewish intellectuals and bureaucrats who seized control of the Republican Party and used the United States to do the bidding of Israel. Wait...is stuff like that anti-semitic now?
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Yes, but alt-right has replaced "tea party" which had replaced "neocon" as the left's new scare label. Basically, it means the vast majority of people who voted for Trump. So, only doing good in the ears of his alt-right followers means doing quite a bit of good. Now, all the people who are actually alt-right could go to Disney World on the same day and the park wouldn't be that crowded. Neoconservatives...now they were bad. Everybody knew they were a cabal of Jewish intellectuals and bureaucrats who seized control of the Republican Party and used the United States to do the bidding of Israel. Wait...is stuff like that anti-semitic now?
Well, in addition to being oversued scare labels, I do think neo-conservative and alt-right have clear meanings, useful for sorting out just who's who on the right side of the spectrum.
Neo-cons, who I believe actually went by that label, were a group of left-wingers in the 1960s, centreed around Commentary magazine, who eventually gravitated to the right, and ended up having some not inconsiderable influence in the Reagan administration, and later Bush II. As you reference, they were uniformly pro-Israel, but did not always take their cue from Likud, eg. they supported Clinton's bombing of Serbia, even though that was opposed by the Israelis.
So-called alt-right(not sure if anyone actually cops to that label) are more pre-occupied with race, in a Bell Curve sort of a way. Their roots seem to be more on the internet, various "white nationalist" bloggers etc. Some of them tend to be anti-Israel and isolationist, in a way that veers into Charles Lindbergh territory. They generally don't care for the people labelled neo-con.
(Tea Party, I think, was never more than a GOP astroturf movement consisting of people who never voted for Obama to begin with, marching around with signs announcing how much they hated Obama.)
Trump, I am predicting, will talk alt-right, but govern neo-con. We'll have a better idea when we see his nominees for State, Defense, UN ambassador etc.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Beeswax Altar:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
originally posted by Golden Key:
Pssst...they can also come across the Pacific, you know...
Depends on what you mean by
come across the Pacific. Do you mean the Russians have naval vessels that can make it across the Pacific? Then, yes, they can in fact come across the Pacific. On the other hand, if you mean that the Russians can invade the West Coast of the United States by crossing the Pacific, then the answer is no, no, they can't come across the Pacific.
O...k... Look, this conversation would be much easier if you'd detail what you mean. E.g., "There's nothing worthwhile enough on the West Coast"; "They'd get tangled in the Great Pacific Garbage Patch"; "Here there be sea monsters".
According to the Pacific Centric World Map (Maps Of World), they really *can* get here from there.
Enlighten us, please.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
Thanks to all for your comments and advice. It's a pity in many ways that there is no federal commission - that would deal with behaviour noted on earlier threads about intimidation, restrictions on voting access and so forth. Also have a more equal drawing of electoral boundaries.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
It would be an excellent thing indeed, and all wiser observers agree that it would be good to implement. Alas, the upcoming regime is unlikely to be interested. They won on the dodgy tactics, and cannot now concede any flaw,
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
So-called alt-right(not sure if anyone actually cops to that label) are more pre-occupied with race, in a Bell Curve sort of a way. Their roots seem to be more on the internet, various "white nationalist" bloggers etc. Some of them tend to be anti-Israel and isolationist, in a way that veers into Charles Lindbergh territory. They generally don't care for the people labelled neo-con.
AIUI alt-right was coined by the people it refers to.
As I understand it, alt-right differs from the traditional far right in being largely atheist, libertarian, pro-elitist, and pro-STEM(*). Basically they're Randwankers.
(*) Science, technology, engineering, mathematics / medicine.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
From everything I can see, the core of alt-right is racism and misogyny. Whatever other flavours mixed into individula recipes, this stock is in its base.
Posted by Dafyd (# 5549) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
From everything I can see, the core of alt-right is racism and misogyny. Whatever other flavours mixed into individula recipes, this stock is in its base.
I think that goes for the far right generally. (And the not so far right. And if we're honest some parts of the centre and the left.) It's the other bits that distinguish the alt-right from the traditional far right.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
I think that goes for the far right generally.
Bzzt! Not so fast.
Marine le Pen
and her niece
Marion Maréchal-Le Pen
Posted by Hiro's Leap (# 12470) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
AIUI alt-right was coined by the people it refers to.
As I understand it, alt-right differs from the traditional far right in being largely atheist, libertarian, pro-elitist, and pro-STEM(*). Basically they're Randwankers.
That's more or less my understanding too, although the term is a bit nebulous. The 'original' alt-right is very much about race and is deeply antisemitic - there's a disturbing trick where alt-right posters will enclose a Jewish person's name in three parentheses, e.g. "General relativity was developed by (((Albert Einstein)))".
There's also a much broader online anti-SJW movement (for lack of a better phrase) which sometimes gets lumped in with them by opponents. This is pretty misleading - many of them identify as disgruntled lefties- but there's some overlap.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
From everything I can see, the core of alt-right is racism and misogyny. Whatever other flavours mixed into individula recipes, this stock is in its base.
I think that goes for the far right generally. (And the not so far right. And if we're honest some parts of the centre and the left.) It's the other bits that distinguish the alt-right from the traditional far right.
Yes, the Far right are as you say, but from right to far right is a spectrum with indistinct lines and dog whistle terminology. Alt-right is a clean wall separation with no hidden agenda.
Well, not a clean wall, covered racist and misogynist graffiti, but a distinct separation.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
"Alt-right" is simply a new name for neo-Nazi white nationalists. Robert Spencer claims to have invented the term. He wants the US to be a safe space for Americans of European descent. He was interviewed on All Things Considered (National Public Radio news show) last night. You can listen or read the transcript here. Try not to throw up.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
"Alt-right" is simply a new name for neo-Nazi white nationalists. Robert Spencer claims to have invented the term. He wants the US to be a safe space for Americans of European descent. He was interviewed on All Things Considered (National Public Radio news show) last night. You can listen or read the transcript here. Try not to throw up.
This bit from the repulsive toad
quote:
SPENCER: Whenever many different races are in the same school, what will happen is that there'll be a natural segregation at lunchtime, at PE, at - in terms of after-school play.
is a clue as to why President-elect Cheeto came to be.
The statement portrays a result as an origin. Uncritical acceptance of such shite draws the bordering, less hardened racist-ish people.
Posted by Wesley J (# 6075) on
:
The TFO appears to have settled a lawsuit relating to his Trump University alleged fraud.
Good thing? Bad thing? Any thoughts on this?
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
quote:
Originally posted by Dafyd:
I think that goes for the far right generally.
Bzzt! Not so fast.
Marine le Pen
and her niece
Marion Maréchal-Le Pen
Serious question - do the Le Pen's show any sign of misogyny? Because I know its possible to be, for lack of a phrase, self-misogynistic.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Wesley J:
The TFO appears to have settled a lawsuit relating to his Trump University alleged fraud.
Good thing? Bad thing? Any thoughts on this?
In the terms of the settlement, IIRC, he does not admit guilt. Therefore can claim it was not because of guilt, but out of expediency that it was done.
Those who support him will believe/not care and those who don't will assume guilt.
The reality is that by the trial being postponed and the case being settled, it has no effect on anything.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
This bit from the repulsive toad
quote:
SPENCER: Whenever many different races are in the same school, what will happen is that there'll be a natural segregation at lunchtime, at PE, at - in terms of after-school play.
is a clue as to why President-elect Cheeto came to be.
The statement portrays a result as an origin. Uncritical acceptance of such shite draws the bordering, less hardened racist-ish people.
I can attest that this is not a universal truth. The school I taught at the last 2 years could have been invented to disprove that claim. The lunchroom was fully integrated, there were no signs of racial antagonism in the hallways or classrooms. Pairs in the halls were of ever conceivable configuration given the make-up of the student body. Black with white, white with hispanic, black with Asian, boy with boy, girl with girl* -- nobody seemed to care who was holding hands with whom. As it should be.
_______________
*A sampling. Complete the chart yourself.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
My early childhood was in an atmosphere were race wasn't a concept. It wasn't "not mentioned", it simply was not a thing. I did not know that colour was "important" until I was exposed to greater society.
Racism is taught. A problem is that adults think they are more subtle than they are. Their attitudes are communicated and passed to their children with words and actions they think children will miss and/or that they do not know they are expressing.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
This is well known. As the song goes, "You've got to be taught to hate and fear; you've got to be carefully taught."
Posted by sabine (# 3861) on
:
Mike Pence received a few boos when he attended a performance of "Hamilton." Then the cast delivered a short statement to him.
Well, our twitter-happy president-elect couldn't resist tweeting about it
So a new twitter meme has emerged Name a Pence Musical
My favorite is "The Lyin' King"
sabine
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
My early childhood was in an atmosphere were race wasn't a concept. It wasn't "not mentioned", it simply was not a thing. I did not know that colour was "important" until I was exposed to greater society.
Racism is taught. A problem is that adults think they are more subtle than they are. Their attitudes are communicated and passed to their children with words and actions they think children will miss and/or that they do not know they are expressing.
My early childhood was spent in 1960s South Africa. Racism was enshrined in law. I was taught to be the opposite, my parents broke the law all the time.
But yes, attitudes to everything are learned from the adults (and peers) around us.
I'm appalled that it looks like the only woman in Trump's line up will be Sarah Palin
It feels like the world has suddenly regressed 70 years. Why did none of us see this coming? Echo chamber effect?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
This is well known. As the song goes, "You've got to be taught to hate and fear; you've got to be carefully taught."
I realise the song is simple to make a point, but in reality one doesn't need to be carefully taught. Your* discomfort with a particular group is apparent even if you never verbally express it. And this is transmitted to your family and friends. Who often have a similar, low/sublimated level of feeling.
And this is why racism, misogyny and xenophobia were a greater factor than many would think of themselves.
*General you, not specifically you
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
It feels like the world has suddenly regressed 70 years. Why did none of us see this coming? Echo chamber effect?
ISTM, the echo chamber effect is part of the reason people bought into the the lies perpetrated by Trump. And Brexit, for that matter. I suppose it also allows people to be insulated from the crazy as well. The idea of self imposed bubbles is so bizarre to me.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
The idea of self imposed bubbles is so bizarre to me.
How much do you hang out on, say, Free Republic as compared to the Ship?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
The idea of self imposed bubbles is so bizarre to me.
How much do you hang out on, say, Free Republic as compared to the Ship?
It is not so much who I hang out with as opposed to who and what I am aware of.
However, if you include the entirety of my circles of interaction (friends, family, and their friends and family; work encounters and chance encounters) I am exposed to quite a variety of opinion.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
Some people undoubtedly have broader social circles than others, but I think it's perilous to entertain the notion that we don't live in a self-imposed bubble ourselves. In real life I try hard not to, for instance by doing assignments in worlds I would normally never go anywhere near, but it takes a positive effort.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
Some people undoubtedly have broader social circles than others, but I think it's perilous to entertain the notion that we don't live in a self-imposed bubble ourselves. In real life I try hard not to, for instance by doing assignments in worlds I would normally never go anywhere near, but it takes a positive effort.
I'm not going to pretend that I don't have cognitive biases or that I am more likely to trust sources that have the a similar POV to mine. I simply find the level that people take these natural inclinations strange. Like Facebook, Twitter, instagram, etc. People are using a tool that allows them to sample the world to isolate themselves further.
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by sabine:
Mike Pence received a few boos when he attended a performance of "Hamilton." Then the cast delivered a short statement to him.
Well, our twitter-happy president-elect couldn't resist tweeting about it
Specifically, because of the current discourse it was equally amusing, sad and ironic that he phrased it as "The Theater must always be a safe and special place."
The booing was a bit crass, but the prepared speech seemed a fairly legitimate response. Someone should tell Pence and Trump that if you go to the theatre sooner or later you are going to have to face ideas that challenge your own.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
As long as it's just ideas.
Trump's tweet seemed to show a misunderstanding about what happened, confirming the impression that he's a man who hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest. 'All lies and jests'.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by chris stiles:
The booing was a bit crass, but the prepared speech seemed a fairly legitimate response. Someone should tell Pence and Trump that if you go to the theatre sooner or later you are going to have to face ideas that challenge your own.
Pence calls for electrocuting gay+ people into being straight. There are a lot of gay+ people in theatre. Getting booed is getting off easy.
Worse things have happened to Republicans who went to the theatre.
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
Worse things have happened to Republicans who went to the theatre.
Posted by Og: Thread Killer (# 3200) on
:
Politicians get booed at sporting events all the time. Including Pence in the past in Indiana, by some accounts I saw today.
Typical how those who claim their opponents have thin skins and can't take criticism are showing an inability to take any criticism.
[ 20. November 2016, 01:03: Message edited by: Og: Thread Killer ]
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
--Re being booed:
Condi Rice, then Secretary of State, was booed when she went to a Broadway play during Hurricane Katrina, and also got a backlash for doing expensive shopping then. Several years later, she said she should've realized that was a bad idea.
--Re Trump and possible conflicts of interest:
All kinds of fun things going on. (HuffPost)
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
Evidently, when Mike Pence attended "Hamilton", he was the least popular vice president in the room. Remember Aaron Burr was onstage.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
Some people undoubtedly have broader social circles than others, but I think it's perilous to entertain the notion that we don't live in a self-imposed bubble ourselves. In real life I try hard not to, for instance by doing assignments in worlds I would normally never go anywhere near, but it takes a positive effort.
The complete and utter shock I experienced when the words "Trump elected president" flashed across my screen was all the evidence I needed that I do in fact inhabit an echo chamber/ bubble
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Amen to that. For me it was the percentage tally at the bottom of the 538 page.
Dave Chappelle's "Election Night" skit on SNL nailed it. Can't link at the moment, but do Google it if you haven't seen it.
[ 20. November 2016, 04:02: Message edited by: Kelly Alves ]
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gramps49:
Evidently, when Mike Pence attended "Hamilton", he was the least popular vice president in the room. Remember Aaron Burr was onstage.
(Wry smile.)
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
cliffdweller--
And I'm still hoping that it's some weird, extended nightmare, and I'll wake up soon.
I'm less driven to look up all sorts of Trump news, but I do come across some of it. I'm watching a lot of retro TV--even Dr. Who, though it was weird to see it on a commercial station!
I hate the way that Trump et al have scared everyone, including little kids who're worried they're going to be shipped off.
I'm also intrigued by all the reality water balloons that are headed Trump's way--illegal nepotism, assorted other protocol and legal problems. I think even the pope made a thinly-veiled reference to him, about being good to immigrants and not walling them out. (Something he reportedly said, in the last couple of days.)
Cue more creative protests, like the "Hamilton" cast's.
I'm not sure whether T's Twitter habit is bad (we have to hear about it, and he may say all sorts of stuff he shouldn't, and give away secrets), or good (the more he talks, the more he spills about himself and his ideas). Probably both.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
I assume that this is the right thread for this. General Flynn has been nominated to be National Security Advisor. That gives Putin a man in the White House, at a very senior level, who has taken his money.
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
I assume that this is the right thread for this. General Flynn has been nominated to be National Security Advisor. That gives Putin a man in the White House, at a very senior level, who has taken his money.
This farce gets more farcical by the day.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Just saw a promo for the new version of "Celebrity Apprentice", hosted by...Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Given various news stories and allegations, back when Arnold was governor here, NBC may not have improved the interpersonal behavior of the host.
Years back, someone in Congress wanted to change the "natural-born citizen" clause, specifically so that Arnold could be president. Fortunately, that didn't get very far.
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Oh God oh God oh God ohGod. I hope this doesn't mean he has dropped his newfound eco- consciousness.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
Iran. What is the US going to do about the nuclear deal? Hopefully it's irrelevant as Europe and Russia will keep to the deal. What would Trump do then? He won't alienate Russia. Will he continue Obama's sanctions on it for Ukraine? I doubt it and I doubt he gives a damn what Europe thinks: he'll just do deals with everybody on a bilateral basis. Win-win like Krupp in the Boer War: supply both sides. The liberal multilateral West is dead. So why not continue the deal with Iran?
[ 20. November 2016, 12:37: Message edited by: Martin60 ]
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Boogie:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
I assume that this is the right thread for this. General Flynn has been nominated to be National Security Advisor. That gives Putin a man in the White House, at a very senior level, who has taken his money.
This farce gets more farcical by the day.
I disagree. The farce is becoming clearer, but no greater.
But it will not change his base; the farce can have a strong influence on the weak minded.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
lilBuddha--
Hmmm...so what we need is for Obi Wan Kenobi to tell the Trump machine "this is not the country you are looking for"?
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Gwai--
quote:
Originally posted by Gwai:
Boy is that true! I think it's still hard to tell which statements we should be taking literally.
Best, I think, to take all of what Trump's said and done both literally *and* seriously. That way, we can be prepared.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
I wonder what Mitt Romney will do about the Sec State offer? Looks like a poisoned chalice to me. But it must be tempting. I'd like to have been a fly on the wall. Here's an imagined snippet
"DT. Well, what do you think?
MR. Who else do you have in mind?
DT. You're first. But I'm still thinking about which job to give to Rudi (Giuliani)
MR. Mr President-elect, you sure know how to pressurise a man."
And in other news, it seems that Melania and youngest son Barron won't be joining the Donald in the White House for several months - schooling cited.
Such "fun" for the security detail - not.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Michelle Obama did the same thing for her daughters, at least until the school year was ended.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Martin60:
Iran. What is the US going to do about the nuclear deal? Hopefully it's irrelevant as Europe and Russia will keep to the deal. What would Trump do then? He won't alienate Russia. Will he continue Obama's sanctions on it for Ukraine? I doubt it and I doubt he gives a damn what Europe thinks: he'll just do deals with everybody on a bilateral basis. Win-win like Krupp in the Boer War: supply both sides. The liberal multilateral West is dead. So why not continue the deal with Iran?
Hard to say. Probably try to renegotiate the deal. If that doesn't work, who knows? My guess is say he tried but Obama and the Europeans negotiated a lousy deal so we just have to live with it. Trump isn't a true believer in neoconservative foreign policy. We may no more when he picks a Secretary of State.
Posted by Martin60 (# 368) on
:
Smart. You and him. Let's hope he is eh? And yeah, he believes in nothing at all but the deal.
[ 21. November 2016, 19:42: Message edited by: Martin60 ]
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
{This is hilarious, straight out of a suspense movie, and very serious--all at the same time. Please bear with me.}
So an AP photographer, a camera, and a candidate to head Homeland Security (and his secret papers) all walk into a bar...ok, walk up to Trump's golf clubhouse.
The HS candidate isn't careful with his papers, and the photographer notices.
You'd almost think it was done on purpose.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
From Time Magazine, a sobering analysis of what supporting Trump has done for evangelicals. For instance, the idea that a candidate has to be moral has completely gone by the board, a 180-degree reversal in direction.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
From Time Magazine, a sobering analysis of what supporting Trump has done for evangelicals. For instance, the idea that a candidate has to be moral has completely gone by the board, a 180-degree reversal in direction.
One of those obnoxious articles that slams shut just as it's getting interesting.
Posted by alienfromzog (# 5327) on
:
Some good news this morning:
President-elect Trump has said that Nigel Farage should be the United Kingdom's ambassador to the United States.
Obviously that's not the good news. In response, Mr Farage said: "If I can help the UK in anyway, I will."
Suggestions on a postcard for how Mr Farage might help the UK..
AFZ
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
And it gets better :
Pence is in the pocket of Big Tobacco, and may try to undo regulations thereof. (Yahoo)
To the extent that his 2000 campaign website said "smoking doesn't kill".
Grrrr.
I think these guys are playing Bingo, and are trying to win with blackout. (Marking off every square on the card.)
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on
:
Evidently we have not yet plumbed the depths of Mr Trump's ignorance. Ambassadors are civil servants, not politicians.
I see the Kippers are being accused of misuse of EU funds now, though I doubt it will bother their supporters.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
What do you all think about the speech made by the "Hamilton," star to Pence? For those who haven't heard anything about it, Mr. Pence attended the play with his daughters. At the end of the play, while the cast was on stage, one of the stars read a prepared speech to Pence as he was getting up to leave with the Secret Service: quote:
We, sir — we — are the diverse America who are alarmed and anxious that your new administration will not protect us, our planet, our children, our parents, or defend us and uphold our inalienable rights,” he said. “We truly hope that this show has inspired you to uphold our American values and to work on behalf of all of us.”
Although I disagree with everything Pence stands for and think he may be even more dangerous than Trump, this doesn't sit well with me at all. The actor has a stage, a captive audience full of rabid fans, and a microphone, while Pence had none of those things and was just trying to see a play with his family.
I hate that I'm on Trump's side about this.
Posted by Hiro's Leap (# 12470) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
What do you all think about the speech made by the "Hamilton," star to Pence?
Twilight, there was a bit of discussion about it on the previous page.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
I don't get the picture of the marginalized, powerless, set-upon VP elect.
If he feels like that even for 4 minutes it would help with insight into how black Americans, gay Americans, Muslim Americans and other groups are going to feel for the next 4 years.
Posted by L'organist (# 17338) on
:
Donald J Trump wants Nigel Farage to be appointed the UK's ambassador to the USA
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Speech is (as of this writing) free in this country. The Tiny Fingered One's complaints about how the media is unfair to him (today on NPR a mention of his complaint that NBC keeps on using a stock photo of him that shows his double chins) are folly. It shows that he has no idea how a free press works, not to mention his obsession with the petty minutiae. (Although I am tell those chins are not exactly minute. Enquiring minds want to know, Mr. Prez -- when are you having a face-lift? Will Pence be in charge while you're under anesthesia?)
It is the job of the president to take the hit and smile. God alone only knows that Obama did. Suck it up, buttercup.
Posted by Hiro's Leap (# 12470) on
:
Yes, I couldn't get too worked up about the theatre. Business as usual for politics.
One issue which *did* make me sympathise with Trump et al was when those naked statues of him appeared in various US cities, and the left (and the media) just sniggered and high-fived each other. So much for being against body-shaming.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I didn't. Because he has been body-shaming helpless people for decades -- those miserable beauty contest women! Let him see how it feels, and maybe notice that it is not so fun.
And word is he's considering one (token) woman for an appointment. She had better bring a big handbag, and hold it in front of her at all times.
Posted by Hiro's Leap (# 12470) on
:
Perhaps "sympathise with Trump" is the wrong phrase. He's not a character I find it easy to feel sympathy for - he's awful, plus I'm not sure what would genuinely hurt him.
But those statues, and the media's reaction to them, still irritated me. It was a massive bit of body-shaming, and if Trump supporters had done that to HC first, the response would have been very, very different.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
I don't get the picture of the marginalized, powerless, set-upon VP elect.
If he feels like that even for 4 minutes it would help with insight into how black Americans, gay Americans, Muslim Americans and other groups are going to feel for the next 4 years.
How far do we carry this though? It's okay to humiliate people in the audience if the stars don't like them? Think they're not nice? Isn't this blaming the victim? Where is the line drawn? Would it be okay to beat Pence up because he's a bigot?
It's not really free speech when only the instigator has a microphone. The right to protest has a proper time and place. Suppose some homophobe had started yelling abuse from the audience during a pivotal scene of the play? Would that have been free speech?
Pence went to a play with his family. He wasn't on the campaign trail or working in any sense of the word.
Suppose Hillary had been in the audience of a Beethoven concert, and she had been called out from the stage as a person who supports abortion when (legend says) Beethoven was almost aborted.
I think it sets a precedent of just more, unescapable, political ugliness.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by twilight:
Although I disagree with everything Pence stands for and think he may be even more dangerous than Trump, this doesn't sit well with me at all.
How do you think it sits with the people who voted for Trump or who were sympathetic to some of Trump's policies but couldn't bring themselves to vote for him?
quote:
originally posted by mdijon:
I don't get the picture of the marginalized, powerless, set-upon VP elect.
You aren't Trump's target audience.
quote:
originally posted by mdijon:
If he feels like that even for 4 minutes it would help with insight into how black Americans, gay Americans, Muslim Americans and other groups are going to feel for the next 4 years.
Trump voters couldn't care less how Broadway actors and a crowd of people who can afford to pay $800 for a ticket feel about politics or anything else. Of course, rich people and Broadway actors don't care much about the feelings of underemployed rednecks in the South or Midwest either. Democrats have basically told their traditional base that they no longer need or even want them and they have no place else to go. Turns out they were wrong. So...who should be listening?
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Speech is (as of this writing) free in this country. The Tiny Fingered One's complaints about how the media is unfair to him (today on NPR a mention of his complaint that NBC keeps on using a stock photo of him that shows his double chins) are folly.
You aren't Trump's target audience either. Nearly everybody who voted for Trump or considered voting for Trump believes that the left cares only about free speech for themselves and have no problem shaming and attempting to destroy anybody who says something they find offensive. Trump isn't going to stop the media or anybody else from talking. Why would he? The media got him elected. No, Trump wants everybody who voted for him or even considered voting for him to take the major networks and newspapers every bit as seriously as you take Fox News and Rush Limbaugh. Yes, I know what Trump said about libel laws. Is it your contention that the UK doesn't have freedom of speech or freedom of the press? Some shipmates from the UK sure do complain about the biased right wing press. Do they need more freedom?
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
(Although I am tell those chins are not exactly minute. Enquiring minds want to know, Mr. Prez -- when are you having a face-lift? Will Pence be in charge while you're under anesthesia?)
So much for going high when he goes low. By the way, Trump wants you to go low. He's counting on you going low. Heck, Trump and his people are pleased as pie at how things are going.
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
It is the job of the president to take the hit and smile. God alone only knows that Obama did. Suck it up, buttercup.
And what if he doesn't? He loses all his support in Washington D.C., New York City, and California? I bet he's going to risk it.
[ 22. November 2016, 15:51: Message edited by: Beeswax Altar ]
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Trump voters couldn't care less how Broadway actors and a crowd of people who can afford to pay $800 for a ticket feel about politics or anything else. Of course, rich people and Broadway actors don't care much about the feelings of underemployed rednecks in the South or Midwest either. Democrats have basically told their traditional base that they no longer need or even want them and they have no place else to go.
Didn't the exit polls make it clear that Hillary won the vote under 50k per year income handsomely?
And wasn't Mike Pence in the audience paying $800 for his ticket?
Making this rich vs poor seems pretty screwed up.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Because he has been body-shaming helpless people for decades -- those miserable beauty contest women!
Oh...I missed this.
Would you call on the Democrats to disavow and condemn all of their supporters and big money donors who participated in body-shaming those miserable beauty contest women? How about the fashion industry that treats women like glorified clothes hangers? How much money do Democrats get from Hollywood? You really want to go there?
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
How far do we carry this though? It's okay to humiliate people in the audience if the stars don't like them? Think they're not nice? Isn't this blaming the victim? Where is the line drawn? Would it be okay to beat Pence up because he's a bigot?
Obviously it wouldn't be OK to beat him up. I really don't see the VP as a victim. To be honest I think round-audience booing is hopeless and not very nice and I wouldn't do it. Delivering a well-written and non-abusive message about very well justified concerns in a dignified manner is perfectly on. In fact that is an exercise in freedom of speech. Freedom of speech doesn't mean everyone in the audience gets a microphone. It means everyone has an opportunity to put together a play and deliver the message they want to.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Would you call on the Democrats to disavow and condemn all of their supporters and big money donors who participated in body-shaming those miserable beauty contest women? How about the fashion industry that treats women like glorified clothes hangers? How much money do Democrats get from Hollywood? You really want to go there?
This false moral equivalence to justify a guy who boasts about sexual assault and boasts about his rating of women isn't seemly.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
I think it sets a precedent of just more, unescapable, political ugliness.
It's not a precedent when the ugliness has already happened, it is a response. It's a loosing of the dogs of a rhetorical war. Once such a beast is unleashed, it is hard for one side to restrain from any form like tactic. Though I haven't heard the group against the elected people mock disabled people, get accused of sexual assault, suggest their opponents be jailed, want to ban a religion, and anything comparable. The attempts to normalize the people who were elected doesn't seem reasonable from the outside when they so clear aren't.
The idea that the theatre should apologise is unbalance I think when the candidate might need to apologise quite broadly to many. Because these elected people are now elected doesn't mean they automagically deserve and command respect when they have been so evil previously.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Trump voters couldn't care less how Broadway actors and a crowd of people who can afford to pay $800 for a ticket feel about politics or anything else. Of course, rich people and Broadway actors don't care much about the feelings of underemployed rednecks in the South or Midwest either. Democrats have basically told their traditional base that they no longer need or even want them and they have no place else to go.
Didn't the exit polls make it clear that Hillary won the vote under 50k per year income handsomely?
And wasn't Mike Pence in the audience paying $800 for his ticket?
Making this rich vs poor seems pretty screwed up.
Yes, the Democrats can reliably count on minorities who make under $50,000 to vote for them in large numbers but not always enough to make up for the poor whites that voted for Trump. Plus, those were the same polls that led the media to predict Hillary winning in a landslide. It isn't so much about rich and poor. It's about elite and non-elite. As long as that's the dichotomy, Democrats are playing Trump's game. Democrats need to make it about rich versus poor. Doing that will require abandoning identity politics. And they aren't willing to do that as of yet. So, Republicans will continue to have home field advantage and Democrats will struggle to regain power. Republicans will probably take the white working class for granted and pander to their wealthy donors leaving Democrats the possibility of returning to power in 2020. Of course, continuing to demonize Trump voters as all manner of phobists will give Republicans more cover to please their donors. Both parties are run by idiots and that's why Trump will be president.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Yes, the Democrats can reliably count on minorities who make under $50,000 to vote for them in large numbers but not always enough to make up for the poor whites that voted for Trump.
But on this occasion the exit polls showed that overall those earning <50k voted for Hillary. Not just minorities earning <50k.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Would you call on the Democrats to disavow and condemn all of their supporters and big money donors who participated in body-shaming those miserable beauty contest women? How about the fashion industry that treats women like glorified clothes hangers? How much money do Democrats get from Hollywood? You really want to go there?
This false moral equivalence to justify a guy who boasts about sexual assault and boasts about his rating of women isn't seemly.
I will give you that the religious right are hypocrites for supporting Trump after calling out Clinton. Problem is all the people calling out Trump gave Clinton a pass. So, in calling out Trump after giving Clinton a pass, they become hypocrites. So...everybody is a hypocrite. Would four more years of George H.W. Bush have been so bad? Democrats have sacrificed a lot for the Clintons. As to Hollywood and treatment of women, does the phrase casting couch mean anything to you?
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Yes, the Democrats can reliably count on minorities who make under $50,000 to vote for them in large numbers but not always enough to make up for the poor whites that voted for Trump.
But on this occasion the exit polls showed that overall those earning <50k voted for Hillary. Not just minorities earning 50k.
So? Democrats need to win more of the white working class. Well, actually, the Democrats could have offset that with more of the Latino vote. Latinos voted for Trump at a higher percentage than they voted for Romney. I'm guessing a large percentage of Latino Trump voters were Cuban and lived in Florida.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
The democrats needed to win more of everybody. So? Well the so is that the Hamilton thing seemed to be cast as a rich vs poor, I pointed out that Clinton won among the poor, I thought you were implying only among the minority poor so I corrected that.
I thought B Clinton was a sleaze bag for what he did and he went on to lie about it. I thought he should have resigned at that point. I don't see moral equivalence though between that and voting in a guy who brags about sexual assault.
So Hillary had a husband who was guilty of sexual harassment at work. And supporters from an industry with a bad record on treatment of women.
Trump bragged about sexual assault.
One is guilty by association the other is actually personally guilty by their own admission.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Because he has been body-shaming helpless people for decades -- those miserable beauty contest women!
Oh...I missed this.
Would you call on the Democrats to disavow and condemn all of their supporters and big money donors who participated in body-shaming those miserable beauty contest women? How about the fashion industry that treats women like glorified clothes hangers? How much money do Democrats get from Hollywood? You really want to go there?
It is clearly impossible to demand that a political party overthrow the entire structure of sexism in the entertainment industry. That's going to be the work of many hands over years. However, Trump is but one man, and he was egregious, calling a woman fat and forcing her to exercise in front of the cameras. Google 'Trump beauty queen' and read about it -- it was ugly. And his oppression is not hidden -- he has boasted of it -- you can see it on tape. He has boasted of going into dressing rooms of teen (underaged) contestants and ogling them while they dress. This is not institutional. It is individual, and so may be addressed by the one man.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
I don't we view everybody who makes over $50,000 as rich. I make over $50,000 and I can't afford a ticket to Hamilton. Besides, Hillary also did well among college students who are unemployed. In other words, that statistic doesn't say much of anything about the Democrats appeal to working class. The electoral map that shows blue collar areas that had voted Democrat for decades turning red says far more about the problem Democrats have with the working class.
Sorry, I'm still not buying Trump being worse than Clinton.
Trump bragged that because he was rich and famous women were more sexually available to him. A quote often attributed to Kissinger is that power is the best aphrodisiac. Now, outside of the Kennedy family, nobody, and I mean nobody, takes advantage of that fact more than Bill Clinton. Yes, Clinton bragged about it. When Clinton confidant, Vernon Jordan was asked what he and the president talked about he said...well...something very similar to what Trump said.
Democrats and many in the media went out of their way to excuse Bill Clinton and downplay what he did. They didn't not hesitate to slut shame all of the women who came forward to accuse Bill Clinton. James Carville said if you drag a dollar bill through a trailer park you never know what you will get. He hasn't had problems finding work since then.
quote:
originally posted by mdijon:
So Hillary had a husband who was guilty of sexual harassment at work. And supporters from an industry with a bad record on treatment of women.
Guilt by association? Hillary was worried about "bimbo eruptions" and aided in discrediting every woman who came forward. She isn't guilty by association. She is his accomplice. As to her supporters, the industry is the entertainment industry and they provide the Clintons with a ton of money. To then expect those who aren't already supporting her to believe she and her supporters within the entertainment industry really care about other women or are shocked by Trump's behavior is a bit much.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
It is clearly impossible to demand that a political party overthrow the entire structure of sexism in the entertainment industry.
Yeah, the entertainment industry would stop giving them money then, huh?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
Originally posted by Beeswax Alter:
quote:
The electoral map that shows blue collar areas that had voted Democrat for decades turning red says far more about the problem Democrats have with the working class.
It is a weird problem. Because the blue collar Republican voters are voting against their own financial interests. What some blue collar voters object to with the Democrats is about the promotion of the freedom of others.
How are the Democrats supposed to balance that?
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
No, the blue collar workers voted for a candidate running on a platform that moderate to liberal Democrats were running on when blue collar workers reliably voted for them in every election. Democrats are in a bit of a pickle. Middle and working class white people could start voting as a block now. They have one of two options. One, drop the identity politics and out populist Trump which will cut into their support from minorities. Two, buy off the poor and middle class by drastically raising taxes and establishing a welfare state that makes the Swedes jealous. All the cool rich people will then join the Koch Brothers and Peter Thiel in voting for and more importantly financing Republicans. Option three is to wait for the
Republicans to take the working class for granted and get thrown out of office. Odds are they will. However, if Trump and the Republicans play his first two years in office right, the Democrats could be in the wilderness for a long, long time.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
No, the blue collar workers voted for a candidate running on a platform that moderate to liberal Democrats were running on when blue collar workers reliably voted for them in every election.
No they didn't. Trump's "platform" was largely racist and xenophobic sound bytes with pandering to religious conservatives. One of the few actually defined planks of his platform was his economic policy which favours the rich.
If you could define his platform, it would be fear-based.
Identity politics. A dogwhistle for repeal right for minority groups.
Not saying all Trump supporters are racist. But many of those that are not fear that preference is given to minorities and fear for their own jobs. This isn't a practical reality, but it is a perception the Republicans have played on for years. Trump is less a result of Democratic missteps than it is a fruition of Republican strategy. Though not, perhaps, exactly as they intended.
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
I think it sets a precedent of just more, unescapable, political ugliness.
It's not a precedent when the ugliness has already happened, it is a response. It's a loosing of the dogs of a rhetorical war. Once such a beast is unleashed, it is hard for one side to restrain from any form like tactic. Though I haven't heard the group against the elected people mock disabled people, get accused of sexual assault, suggest their opponents be jailed, want to ban a religion, and anything comparable. The attempts to normalize the people who were elected doesn't seem reasonable from the outside when they so clear aren't.
The idea that the theatre should apologise is unbalance I think when the candidate might need to apologise quite broadly to many. Because these elected people are now elected doesn't mean they automagically deserve and command respect when they have been so evil previously.
I don't think the theatre should apologize. I think Pence shouldn't have been called out in this venue in the first place, but I would never suggest an apology was in order.
I can't think of anytime when Obama attended a play or concert and had someone from the stage question his policy and advise him on what they hoped he would do. Nor any other president or VP that I know of, ever. It is certainly not politics as usual, because politics are not usually played out from the stage to an individual in the audience.
I don't think it's a matter of "respect," deserved or otherwise. No one suggested he stand for applause. I just think he should have been left alone like everyone else in the audience.
*Pence was in the audience, not Trump. He was in no way there as a representative of Trump.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
OK...keep telling yourself that voters who voted for Obama twice voted for Trump because they are all stupid racist xenophobes. Trump would like nothing better than for Democrats to double down on the same strategy that made his election possible. How many judges do you want Republicans to appoint before the Democrats get back in power? Think you will get any David Souters or even Anthony Kennedys this time?
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
OK...keep telling yourself that voters who voted for Obama twice voted for Trump because they are all stupid racist xenophobes.
So be careful with this argument; we just do not know to what extent the 'swing' seen was a result of voters who voted for Obama voting for Trump vs voters who voted for Obama staying at home and a different set of voters being energised into going to the polling stations and voting for Trump.
Ironically I actually agree on your wider point; anti-racism is best dog-whistled when campaigning - better to build a coalition of people who are attracted to a anti-racist set of policies than wasting energy accusing the opposition of racism. [*]
[*] which is completely different from saying that racism should be ignored.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
An issue that has not been addressed so much is how we now are going to get a Republican Congress. This is not going to be pretty.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
An issue that has not been addressed so much is how we now are going to get a Republican Congress. This is not going to be pretty.
Oh believe me, those of us in the blue states are discussing it. A lot.
And thinking ahead to '18...
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
quote:
Originally posted by Twilight:
I think it sets a precedent of just more, unescapable, political ugliness.
It's not a precedent when the ugliness has already happened, it is a response. It's a loosing of the dogs of a rhetorical war. Once such a beast is unleashed, it is hard for one side to restrain from any form like tactic. Though I haven't heard the group against the elected people mock disabled people, get accused of sexual assault, suggest their opponents be jailed, want to ban a religion, and anything comparable. The attempts to normalize the people who were elected doesn't seem reasonable from the outside when they so clear aren't.
The idea that the theatre should apologise is unbalance I think when the candidate might need to apologise quite broadly to many. Because these elected people are now elected doesn't mean they automagically deserve and command respect when they have been so evil previously.
I don't think the theatre should apologize. I think Pence shouldn't have been called out in this venue in the first place, but I would never suggest an apology was in order.
I can't think of anytime when Obama attended a play or concert and had someone from the stage question his policy and advise him on what they hoped he would do. Nor any other president or VP that I know of, ever. It is certainly not politics as usual, because politics are not usually played out from the stage to an individual in the audience.
I don't think it's a matter of "respect," deserved or otherwise. No one suggested he stand for applause. I just think he should have been left alone like everyone else in the audience.
*Pence was in the audience, not Trump. He was in no way there as a representative of Trump.
Although I think Pence was being singled out for his own homophobic policies/statements, as opposed to being a stand-in for Trump. In terms of policy, Pence is not much different from Trump. In terms of temperament-- huge difference, as evidenced by their very differing responses to the speech. I have some sympathy for Pence-- not a lot, but some-- being caught off guard in a social setting, not expecting even the very restrained speech of the cast (much less the booing of the crowd). Yet he responded calmly and appropriately. The Donald-- with all the benefits of distance and opportunity for reflection-- not so much.
I probably wouldn't have given the speech, but I don't think they should apologize. It was an act of resistance, and that's never comfortable. But it was done with restraint and with some respect.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
And done within the style of the show, from the clip I saw--more or less in character.
The booing was probably too much, at this point--though, as I said earlier, Condi Rice went through it, too.
IMHO, the speech (with full cast) was a chance to *peacefully* get a message directly to someone in power, creatively.
When you do something like that, it's important to think first about possible consequences, have a safety net, and go in with your eyes open. I think it was basically a good thing to do. I just hope they don't suffer for it.
IIRC, Trump tried to be involved with theater, when he was young. (Maybe as a producer??) It didn't work out. I wonder if that fed into his reaction?
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Beeswax Altar
You've changed the terms of the discussion. At least so far as I am concerned. What happened in the UK over Brexit was political pandering. There was a legitimising of racist and xenophobic instincts amongst the have nots. Instead of an argument which says 'We recognise that many of you have been ignored and we will do better for you' the anger was focused against 'them'. Those who are different. 'They come here and benefit from our taxes and services. The fat cats take our jobs and sell them overseas to the cheapest sources'.
It becomes about 'them'. And that is precisely what Trump did. And in the process he legitimised the worst racist, xenophobic and misogynistic instincts out there. He mobilised deplorable instincts. Of course not all his supporters have deplorable instincts. But we saw the rallies and can be satisfied beyond contradiction that a sizeable element do. Without the deplorables, he would not have won. Without Hillary lumping them all together under the deplorable label, he also may not have won.
That being said, it is undoubtedly true that the Clinton campaign lost those key Northern States because it did not speak clearly and constructively enough to the legitimate rust bucket grievances. It allowed the debate to go 'low' so far as that was concerned, rather countering by aiming 'high'.
The crowning irony of this is that the GOP is the traditional party of free trade, low taxes and balanced budgets. The Democrats are the party of 'New Deal' investments in jobs and infrastructure and similar Keynesian type approaches.
How the hell Trump produces any kind of budget to meet the aspirations he has generated I really can't say. New Deals involve borrowing from the future you hope to generate to enable an escape from an intolerable present. But without some kind of neo-Keynesianist approach, the rust bucket states will find they have voted for a pig in a poke. If free trade kills jobs at home, protectionism kills jobs all over the world.
The end result is more fuel for the growing fires of racist and xenophobic nationalism. The genie has been let out of the bottle and we will pay a price for that which goes way beyond political party arguments.
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
:
It seems like the President-elect has been having a bit of a think and has decided a few things.
- He's not going to prosecute Clinton. She's suffered enough
- He doesn't like the alt right
- He thinks he might do something about Climate Change after all
- He quite likes reading the NYT
- Yeah, maybe not with that Mexico wall thing
- He doesn't want to see photos of his double chin in the papers
- He thinks he can advise other countries on which diplomats to send to DC
- He says there is no conflict between being President and his business empire. Because.
You've just elected someone who doesn't care what he said in the election and is making up shit as he goes along.
Perhaps less frightening than the idea that he'd spend his days pandering to the neo-Nazis, but still rather worrying that the US President is going to be following whichever way the wind blows on any given day.
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy:
[*]He thinks he might do something about Climate Change after all
Possibly. It isn't really reflected in terms of appointments though.
quote:
You've just elected someone who doesn't care what he said in the election and is making up shit as he goes along.
Or he craves the approval of the wealthy and powerful and so his views are just a reflection of whoever he met last.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
What my dream is, is that Trump will fall prey to pride and vanity. Even more overweening pride and vanity, that is to say, because it's not like those aren't already familiar to him.
He will contemplate the idea of a failed presidency, and his soul will scald. He will do good things, not because he is in any way interested in doing anything in particular, but because otherwise he will go down in history as a Loser President, down there with Millard Fillmore.
To peel off the name Obamacare and slap on a new label Trumpcare would be perfectly fine, as long as it is the same or improved underneath. To put a plaque onto every single renovated bridge and rebuilt highway with his name on it, bliss. To save Medicare and Medicaid so that old people cheer his name, he would adore it. To go to war with random nations (Mexico? Britain? Finland?) would make him wince -- what, be another crummy little Bush Jr? Ew. Poverty must be combated, because otherwise how will they love me?
He wants to be admired and adored. If he would only see the path to that state!
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
He wants to be admired and adored. If he would only see the path to that state!
But he primarily wants to be admired and adored by the people directly in front of him at any given moment. Then when he's in front of other people, he wants to be admired and adored by them.
That's why it's so horrific that he has packed his cabinet with white supremacists and big business lackeys and other people whose wants and desires are inimical to the good of our nation and its people. Those are the people he will be "playing to" most of the time. And they're smart enough to play him like a violin by preying on his insecurities.
Posted by Marvin the Martian (# 4360) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
If free trade kills jobs at home, protectionism kills jobs all over the world.
If you give me a choice between my job being killed or six jobs in the rest of the world being killed, take a wild guess which one I'll vote for.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
He wants to be admired and adored. If he would only see the path to that state!
But he primarily wants to be admired and adored by the people directly in front of him at any given moment. Then when he's in front of other people, he wants to be admired and adored by them.
That's why it's so horrific that he has packed his cabinet with white supremacists and big business lackeys and other people whose wants and desires are inimical to the good of our nation and its people. Those are the people he will be "playing to" most of the time. And they're smart enough to play him like a violin by preying on his insecurities.
I have a powerful imagination. And so I can see the solution to this. It lies in the fact that Sasha Obama has not yet graduated from high school. This has forced her parents to stay in DC for at least a while. And that means that Barack Obama will be in town to be consulted: the only man who knows the job.
Posted by quetzalcoatl (# 16740) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
If free trade kills jobs at home, protectionism kills jobs all over the world.
If you give me a choice between my job being killed or six jobs in the rest of the world being killed, take a wild guess which one I'll vote for.
I thought that in the end, protectionism will kill jobs at home and abroad. There is however, a brilliant solution to this, and a traditional one, indeed a hallowed one: war.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
This is why so many women I know are afraid. And why a Women's March on Washington spontaneously generated, independent of things like funding or permits.
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on
:
I think what we will see is a confused mix of Brenda's dream and mousethief's nightmare, combined with plenty of warmongering.
Ho hum. The old curse has come true 'May you live in interesting times'.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Boogie--
Yes, I'm search of whoever uttered that curse.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Marvin the Martian:
quote:
Originally posted by Barnabas62:
If free trade kills jobs at home, protectionism kills jobs all over the world.
If you give me a choice between my job being killed or six jobs in the rest of the world being killed, take a wild guess which one I'll vote for.
All over the world includes at home.
Unless you go "North Korean".
Of course, there are half way houses. Governments may act to protect strategic interests, invoke penalty arrangements for covert protectionism by others. Mostly what they can do is aid the transition.
But in general trying to stop the tide of free trade is like imitating King Canute (as I said earlier). All citizens need to do is examine the labels on their clothes, their hi-tech goods, white goods, cars etc.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
The TransPacific Partnership looks dead, a real slap in the face for the Aust Govt which had been trying hard to sell the treaty here. There was a lot of opposition founded upon such matters as increased costs of pharmaceuticals, the ability of US companies to force their will on the Aust government and so forth. So some good from a Trump victory.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Is it known to what extent free trade is responsible for the economic problems of the rust-belt? A report I read recently suggested that automation was a factor accounting for 85 per cent of the job losses. Protectionism may slow down job losses but discourage innovation and increase prices. More importantly, what do Trump and the Republican Congress think about this, and what will they do?
Posted by Gillmck (# 12870) on
:
Thanks for all of this ... For more ethical dissection of the US Election, there's a discussion of the result, implications, the role of US evangelicals, that sort of thing here: http://www.smallvoice.org.uk/podcast-extra-the-last-trump/
P.S. I have a vested interest as part of the the smallVOICE podcast production team, but we keep being nominated for awards, so other people think it's quite good too!
Posted by mr cheesy (# 3330) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gillmck:
Thanks for all of this ... For more ethical dissection of the US Election, there's a discussion of the result, implications, the role of US evangelicals, that sort of thing here: http://www.smallvoice.org.uk/podcast-extra-the-last-trump/
I wanted to hate this, but it is actually pretty good. If you could bring some of the ideas and comments from your podcast here to discuss rather than a hit-and-run link, that'd be much more helpful.
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on
:
A sliver of hope?
"Curiosity about Wisconsin has centred on apparently disproportionate wins that were racked up by Trump in counties using electronic voting compared with those that used only paper ballots.
Use of the voting machines that are in operation in some Wisconsin counties has been banned in other states, including California, after security analysts repeatedly showed how easily they could be hacked into."
Posted by Bishops Finger (# 5430) on
:
On a rather whimsical note...
...the idea of our beloved Nigel Kipper Garbage emigrating to the US of A (as if you poor folk haven't enough to put up with) rather reminded me of the bit in Lord of the Rings where the weaselly traitor Wormtongue (Garbage) is condemned to be immured in the Tower of Orthanc (Trump Tower?) with the would-be Dark Lord Saruman (The Orange One)...
IJ
Posted by Gillmck (# 12870) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mr cheesy:
quote:
Originally posted by Gillmck:
Thanks for all of this ... For more ethical dissection of the US Election, there's a discussion of the result, implications, the role of US evangelicals, that sort of thing here: http://www.smallvoice.org.uk/podcast-extra-the-last-trump/
I wanted to hate this, but it is actually pretty good. If you could bring some of the ideas and comments from your podcast here to discuss rather than a hit-and-run link, that'd be much more helpful.
Thanks Mr Cheesy - and point taken!
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Trump would not have had my vote had I been an American,
But...........
Clinton: smug, self-satisfied, self-righteous, sense of entitlement. Candidate of Wall Street, candidate of the Democratic and Republican elite consensus, candidate with no fire in her belly, candidate with no dragons to slay, candidate without charisma, candidate for all America seeking a miserly 269+1. Feminist without sisters, mother without sons, perpetually buttoned up in a botoxed (?) cocoon.
Let's face it, shipmates, she missed an open goal. She bombed!
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
Feminist without sisters? You need to clean your glasses. Your need for tidy parallelisms has dragged you into untruth.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
candidate for all America seeking a miserly 269+1. Feminist without sisters, mother without sons, perpetually buttoned up in a botoxed (?) cocoon.
Kwesi, you made all of one post on the election thread about 2 years ago; faced with the grotesque that is President-elect Donald Trump, this is what you're moved to write?
WTF?
"seeking a miserly 269+1" As if she were carefully trying to avoid winning by more than the barest minimum.
"mother without sons?" Yes, how dare she consider herself a valid candidate - a female whose claim to motherhood consists only of a solitary daughter!
"botoxed (?)" What's with the question mark? You don't know, but can't miss the opportunity to take a swipe at her appearance?
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Brenda--
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
He will do good things, not because he is in any way interested in doing anything in particular, but because otherwise he will go down in history as a Loser President, down there with Millard Fillmore.
AIUI, Fillmore is known for putting the first bathtub in the White House.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
All right, let's have something fun. Here is the Amazon listing for a Trump Christmas ornament. Go down and read the comments. There must be thousands of them, all of them LOL funny. This is as good as the Binder Full of Women reviews.
Posted by Robert Armin (# 182) on
:
Brenda
Posted by Twilight (# 2832) on
:
Brenda has some sort of magical Trump-shit detector thing going on. I love that link! Amazon just wants to seriously sell the ornament, but humans have turned it into a free form parody. I have hope.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
In those dear dead days beyond recall, when Mitt Romney boasted of his binders full of women, a cheap ordinary 3-ring binder on Amazon was designated as That Binder. The reviews must have numbered in the thousands, page after page of complaints about how it was not pink, how women did not have three-hole punches, etc. etc. You could laugh until you fell off your desk chair.
Pure crowd-sourced humor. It is delightful to see that some traditions do not die.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
there are also apparently Trump diapers and menstrual pads.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Dave W quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
candidate for all America seeking a miserly 269+1. Feminist without sisters, mother without sons, perpetually buttoned up in a botoxed (?) cocoon.
Kwesi, you made all of one post on the election thread about 2 years ago; faced with the grotesque that is President-elect Donald Trump, this is what you're moved to write?
WTF?
"seeking a miserly 269+1" As if she were carefully trying to avoid winning by more than the barest minimum.
"mother without sons?" Yes, how dare she consider herself a valid candidate - a female whose claim to motherhood consists only of a solitary daughter!
"botoxed (?)" What's with the question mark? You don't know, but can't miss the opportunity to take a swipe at her appearance?
269+1. The office which Hilary Clinton was seeking was that of President of the United States, to represent all Americans. That vision seemed absent from campaign tactics aimed to mobilise identified gender and ethnic categories to achieve narrowly what was necessary to win. Her reference to “deplorables" to described supporters of Trump betrayed the mindset, just as Romney indicated the Republicans could forget 47 percent of the electorate when he ran against Obama. Candidates, of course, are aware of the importance of sectional difference and the importance of core supporters, but there needs to be a vision for all. Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Ronald Reagan Bill Clinton, were happy warriors who loved America and its people. The trick is to have a campaign focus that stretches beyond core support and offers a vision, however vacuous (“Morning in America”, “Shining City..” “We can do it,... and all that) was remarkably absent from the Democrats’ appeal in 2016. Sectional appeals, the politics of tactics, are lost without a generally optimist, hopeful, and inclusive appeal. That should not have been difficult in 2016 for Clinton against an offensive and divisive Trump, but even he saw things getting better for everyone (even a beautiful wall), once America united behind “getting our country back.”
My further comments are specifics on my general point.
“Mother without sons.” I’m not criticising Hilary for not having given birth to a son, but she seemed aware that a large number of women have sons for whom they have aspirations. She talked about mothers having daughters who might become President etc., but not about the possibilities for sons whose disadvantages of social background, particulary in the black community, were far greater than the glass barrier she was assaulting.
“Feminist without sisters.” Hilary campaigned hard to attract the female vote, emphasising the misogyny of the egregious Trump and her desire to become the first female president. Not only was this unlikely to appeal to male voters, who might have concluded they were not part of the script, but she failed to enthuse young women and was less attractive to female white voters than her macho opponent.
“Botoxed (?)”. This was not intended as a reflection on Hilary’s appearance in a sexist sense, and is more aptly applied to John Kerry in a cosmetic context. Rather I was reflecting more on her literally buttoned-up appearance, and the general lack of spontaneity in her expressions and uncertain rapport on the stump. Meeting the people seemed difficult for her. Compare her, for example, with Bill Clinton and predecessors such as Harry Truman and Ronald Reagan, and even Donald Trump whose outrageous performances were undertaken with relish and received with popular enthusiasm.
Posted by L'organist (# 17338) on
:
So now there is a recount in Wisconsin, and potentially recounts in 2 other states. Should The Donald be worried? After all, we already know(ish) that he polled 2 million fewer votes than Hillary.
Does the system need an overhaul?
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
This is like Remainers trying to challenge the outcome of the Brexit referendum, except with any chance of succeeding in overturning the result an order of magnitude or two smaller.
All it is likely to do is make the transition more troubled and bitter.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Dave W quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
candidate for all America seeking a miserly 269+1. Feminist without sisters, mother without sons, perpetually buttoned up in a botoxed (?) cocoon.
Kwesi, you made all of one post on the election thread about 2 years ago; faced with the grotesque that is President-elect Donald Trump, this is what you're moved to write?
WTF?
"seeking a miserly 269+1" As if she were carefully trying to avoid winning by more than the barest minimum.
"mother without sons?" Yes, how dare she consider herself a valid candidate - a female whose claim to motherhood consists only of a solitary daughter!
"botoxed (?)" What's with the question mark? You don't know, but can't miss the opportunity to take a swipe at her appearance?
269+1. The office which Hilary Clinton was seeking was that of President of the United States, to represent all Americans. That vision seemed absent from campaign tactics aimed to mobilise identified gender and ethnic categories to achieve narrowly what was necessary to win. Her reference to “deplorables" to described supporters of Trump betrayed the mindset, just as Romney indicated the Republicans could forget 47 percent of the electorate when he ran against Obama. Candidates, of course, are aware of the importance of sectional difference and the importance of core supporters, but there needs to be a vision for all. Harry Truman, Lyndon Johnson, Ronald Reagan Bill Clinton, were happy warriors who loved America and its people. The trick is to have a campaign focus that stretches beyond core support and offers a vision, however vacuous (“Morning in America”, “Shining City..” “We can do it,... and all that) was remarkably absent from the Democrats’ appeal in 2016.
I don't think your description of her campaign message is even remotely close to the content of her typical stump speech. quote:
Sectional appeals, the politics of tactics, are lost without a generally optimist, hopeful, and inclusive appeal. That should not have been difficult in 2016 for Clinton against an offensive and divisive Trump, but even he saw things getting better for everyone (even a beautiful wall), once America united behind “getting our country back.”
For everyone? Ok, evidently you weren't paying any attention to the Trump campaign either. Once again - Donald Trump is standing right in front of you, big as life and twice as ugly, and yet somehow you think Clinton is the one who deserves criticism for not being an inclusive happy warrior? quote:
“Mother without sons.” I’m not criticising Hilary for not having given birth to a son, but she seemed aware that a large number of women have sons for whom they have aspirations. She talked about mothers having daughters who might become President etc., but not about the possibilities for sons whose disadvantages of social background, particulary in the black community, were far greater than the glass barrier she was assaulting.
Again, WTF? (See previous link for what she actually talked about.) The idea that this criticism (weak as it is, in my opinion) could be expressed as "mother without sons" is still repellent to me. quote:
“Botoxed (?)”. This was not intended as a reflection on Hilary’s appearance in a sexist sense, and is more aptly applied to John Kerry in a cosmetic context. Rather I was reflecting more on her literally buttoned-up appearance, and the general lack of spontaneity in her expressions and uncertain rapport on the stump. Meeting the people seemed difficult for her. Compare her, for example, with Bill Clinton and predecessors such as Harry Truman and Ronald Reagan, and even Donald Trump whose outrageous performances were undertaken with relish and received with popular enthusiasm.
"You can say what you want about that Hitler fellow, but he sure knows how to get a crowd excited!"
It's hardly news that Clinton isn't a charismatic speaker - but the implication that this might be due to the use of a chemical widely derided as an expression of female vanity is, once again, your infelicitous choice of expression.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
This is like Remainers trying to challenge the outcome of the Brexit referendum, except with any chance of succeeding in overturning the result an order of magnitude or two smaller.
All it is likely to do is make the transition more troubled and bitter.
Except it's not the Remainers who are instigating it. Jill Stein didn't lose the election, Hillary did.
Posted by George Spigot (# 253) on
:
I think this short speach says a great deal about how many people are feeling now.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
Except it's not the Remainers who are instigating it. Jill Stein didn't lose the election, Hillary did.
The Clinton campaign has signed up to the effort.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Eutychus:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
Except it's not the Remainers who are instigating it. Jill Stein didn't lose the election, Hillary did.
The Clinton campaign has signed up to the effort.
It has now, yes, but had not when you made your comment.
[ 27. November 2016, 03:20: Message edited by: mousethief ]
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
I saw a headline that some computer experts asked Hillary to consider challenging the election results. Didn't read further.
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
In my mind, there are four states that stand out for closer examination: Wisconsin; Michigan; Pennsylvania
The total vote difference of these combined states is 107,000 more for Trump. Wisconsin has a difference of 27,000. Michigan is actually still counting its votes, but their is a 10,000 vote lead for Trump. Pennsylvania has less than a 75,000 vote difference. Yet, the national tally shows Clinton is currently ahead by 2 mil votes.
Wisconsin turned away 300,000 voters for not having proper ID. That is huge.
Pennsylvania has no paper trail to cross check the voting machines. But the finally tally did not match what the exit polls were saying, so computer experts are wondering about the anomaly.
If, for some reason Clinton can win the recount in these three states she would become the president elect.
But a larger question remains about Trumps large business holdings across the world. Some people feel if he does not put his assets in a blind trust he will be running up against the foreign gifts clause which says:
quote:
Article I, Section 9, Clause 8: No title of nobility shall be granted by the United States: and no person holding any office of profit or trust under them, shall, without the consent of the Congress, accept of any present, emolument, office, or title, of any kind whatever, from any king, prince, or foreign state.
Deal of it is, I have never seen such a contested election result.
It is not over yet and probably will not be over for a very long time (even though the Orange One may hold the office for four years, if he is lucky)
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by L'organist:
So now there is a recount in Wisconsin, and potentially recounts in 2 other states. Should The Donald be worried? After all, we already know(ish) that he polled 2 million fewer votes than Hillary.
Does the system need an overhaul?
I can throw peanuts from another country here, because that's how I roll.
An overhaul may happen, but it seems to me there's a deliberate design here. This is the "United States" we are talking about, and the President is elected by the states in that union, not by popular vote. That may be something people want to change, but any such change may change the nature of State identity and how the states interrelate. This could be an improvement, but it could undermine state identity. And as an outsider, something in me finds it kinda cool how Americans tend to introduce themselves by state, like there's a pride in that.
And the union of diverse states, for all its flaws, has merit. IMHO
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Kwesi--
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Trump would not have had my vote had I been an American,
But...........
Clinton: smug, self-satisfied, self-righteous, sense of entitlement. Candidate of Wall Street, candidate of the Democratic and Republican elite consensus, candidate with no fire in her belly, candidate with no dragons to slay, candidate without charisma, candidate for all America seeking a miserly 269+1. Feminist without sisters, mother without sons, perpetually buttoned up in a botoxed (?) cocoon.
Let's face it, shipmates, she missed an open goal. She bombed!
I know you gave explanations down thread. But, frankly, you still said all these extremely misogynistic, hateful things.
Your words here put your explanation in doubt, IMHO. And you said you wouldn't vote for Trump, but you're talking like him.
So...is what you said above your personal opinion? Is it somehow cultural? Or are you purposely posting rude and obnoxious comments?
Kwesi, do you get that this situation *MATTERS* to Americans? It affects other people, too--but we Americans and American Shipmates have to live with this, up close and personal, every moment.
Are you familiar with Trevor Noah? He's a bi-racial talk show host and comedian from South Africa. He took over the American "Daily Show" from Jon Stewart. He said, quite seriously, that Trump makes him think of African despots.
I proudly, enthusiastically, and thoughtfully voted for Hillary--as did many other people. (She *did* win the popular vote, you know, as of Nov. 8th. And it's *still* being counted.) But many other people voted for her to keep Trump out.
If you had a very difficult and dangerous election in your country, between a potential despot and someone who drew mixed opinions, would you want Americans--esp. American Shipmates--throwing around insults about the 2nd candidate, and how awful and ugly they are?
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gramps49:
Pennsylvania has no paper trail to cross check the voting machines. But the finally tally did not match what the exit polls were saying, so computer experts are wondering about the anomaly.
Can I ask for a source for that? The reasons I have seen put forward for recount was the fact that counties that used electonic voting returned substantially different proportions from those that used paper and scanner, introducing the possibility of hacking. The word Russians was thrown in there because why not. I'd think that the electronic booths would be well tested and protected from hacking (hacking an email account is one thing, a specifically designed federal election pooling booth another - unless the design was shonky.)
Since I asked you for a link regarding the exit polls, it only seems fair to link my source showing the county differences as a reason for recount.
Of course the other explanation for the variation in outcome is that the different technologies used in different counties in part reflects different demographics.
quote:
It is not over yet and probably will not be over for a very long time (even though the Orange One may hold the office for four years, if he is lucky)
My worry is that an overturned result from this process could be even more inflammatory and divisive than a Trump presidency. Which is odd, as my thinking thus far throughout this campaign/election has been naive and optimistic to the extreme.
[ 27. November 2016, 05:14: Message edited by: Goldfish Stew ]
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Re electronic voting, etc.:
Check out Black Box Voting.
Posted by Boogie (# 13538) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
My worry is that an overturned result from this process could be even more inflammatory and divisive than a Trump presidency. Which is odd, as my thinking thus far throughout this campaign/election has been naive and optimistic to the extreme.
Yes, I could see some redneck 'anti establishment' gun toting idiots feeling the need to take up arms
Posted by rolyn (# 16840) on
:
Inclined to think there may have been more danger of that if trump had lost the 8th.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
I know you gave explanations down thread. But, frankly, you still said all these extremely misogynistic, hateful things.
Your words here put your explanation in doubt, IMHO. And you said you wouldn't vote for Trump, but you're talking like him.
I am reminded of Sam in The Scouring of the Shire, speaking about fellow-hobbits: "All right, all right! That's quite enough. I don't want to hear no more. No welcome, no beer, no smoke, and a lot of rules and orc-talk instead."
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Kwesi, do you get that this situation *MATTERS* to Americans?
It matters to the world. America is not a tiny nation tucked away where abuses are mostly internal. Whether any like it or not, the rest of the world is affected.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
I don’t think my remarks have been fully understood. True, they were deliberately couched in a provocative manner, but i would argue they are substantially true.
My beef is that the defeat of the Democrats in the 2016 respecting the Presidency and both houses of Congress rests to a significant extent on the Democrat campaign leadership (mostly blokes, I assume) and the unsuitability of the candidate at the top of the ticket. Of course it matters that Trump thus far has proved himself an utterly unsuitable person to lead the United States both at home and abroad. If I were an American I would be embarrassed by both his success in the primaries and in the election proper, especially if I were a Republican. Clearly, I don’t have to argue that with the contributors to this thread. My irritation, anger, if you like, is that the Democratic leadership has failed to protect both America and its friends and foes overseas from such a man. Trump’s unsuitability was so egregiously demonstrated by the candidate himself that it is a disgrace that his opponents with all their money and organisation were unable to defeat him. Given that he was so bad what does it tell us about Hilary Clinton? She and her advisors have let us down badly, and that is why they are in the dock.
As to Trump being like an African dictator I think the contexts and political circumstances between the USA and African states are too diverse for a useful comparison to be made . He is more like Berlusconi, who used his premiership of Italy to keep himself out of prison and advance his media interests. Fortunately, one believes the administrative, political and legal institutions of the USA will prove too strong to bow to any attempt by Trump to impose his personals rule by intimidation and bribery.
Trump may turn out to be a surprisingly good president, my guess his leadership will lack focus and end in frustration, or even impeachment if he messes up his roles of president and businessman. For what it’s worth, the leader i most admire in the modern world is Angela Merkel.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
My irritation, anger, if you like, is that the Democratic leadership has failed to protect both America and its friends and foes overseas from such a man.
This is not complete. Trump is also the result of Republican fear-mongering and rabid anti-Obama rhetoric. The media have also played this card and gave Trump free campaign commercials.
quote:
Trump’s unsuitability was so egregiously demonstrated by the candidate himself that it is a disgrace that his opponents with all their money and organisation were unable to defeat him. Given that he was so bad what does it tell us about Hilary Clinton?
Clinton is perceived to be part of the Establishment that many Americans are tired of. She did not distance herself from this and she has little telepresence.
She and her advisors have let us down badly, and that is why they are in the dock.
quote:
As to Trump being like an African dictator I think the contexts and political circumstances between the USA and African states are too diverse for a useful comparison to be made . He is more like Berlusconi, who used his premiership of Italy to keep himself out of prison and advance his media interests.
ISTM, he is a combination and it is only circumstance that pushes him to the milder comparison.
quote:
Trump may turn out to be a surprisingly good president,
I do not think this is possible. He will either fall in line with the Republican agenda or they will fight him.
That is aside from the fact that he has not the temperament for the office.
Posted by Soror Magna (# 9881) on
:
On November 8, 50% of USA citizens didn't care enough about their country to vote. On November 11, the country paid respect to those who gave their lives to save their country. Maybe if the dates had been reversed, more people might have voted.
I don't really care what the percentages would have been without Johnson, or with Sanders, or whatever, when 50% of the electorate didn't show up, even with a racist, fascist, sexist grifter on the ballot. Obviously the biggest factor in this election was irresponsibility.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
On November 8, 50% of USA citizens didn't care enough about their country to vote.
There are places people risk their lives to vote. This is disgraceful.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
lB--
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Kwesi, do you get that this situation *MATTERS* to Americans?
It matters to the world. America is not a tiny nation tucked away where abuses are mostly internal. Whether any like it or not, the rest of the world is affected.
And I said as much in the next sentence.
Kwesi said particularly vile things--on-purpose provocation, according to a more recent post. IMHO, there's a difference between saying "wow, your election seems really complicated, and so-and-so seems unqualified/dangerous, and that may affect me and my country", and saying "that so-and-so is mean and ugly and doesn't have sons".
This is an echo of the gun thread in Hell, and many Purg threads: Americans are stupid, evil, and there's no possible reason for the way they do things. If they all followed our lead, everything would be kittens and rainbows and dancing in the fields.
If we try to explain, particularly on the gun thread, we're flat-out told we're wrong. If we fight back, sometimes things calm down--then the cycle starts over again.
Off the top of my head, I don't recall other countries being treated that way here. The US may be an empire, God help us and everyone else, but we're still human beings--and Shipmates.
When we went through this around the time of the election, I and others others pointed out that weren't really being allowed to express our grief and turmoil and concern about our own country, and that non-American posters didn't seem to really care. People started apologizing, and one said many posters had assumed we'd just *know* that people were concerned for us. And things got better, for a while.
Going through this over and over, on many threads, is both tiring and profoundly disheartening.
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
Exit poll anomaly source http://www.inquisitr.com/3719288/exit-polls-indicate-hillary-clinton-might-have-won/
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
I don’t think my remarks have been fully understood. True, they were deliberately couched in a provocative manner, but i would argue they are substantially true.
Oh? Who were you trying to provoke, and why? What did you hope to accomplish with your weird talk of "mother without sons" and Botox?
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gramps49:
But a larger question remains about Trumps large business holdings across the world. Some people feel if he does not put his assets in a blind trust he will be running up against the foreign gifts clause
Trump can't put his assets in a blind trust. His assets are a large number of buildings with "Trump" written on them in big letters. He knows where they are, and everyone else knows where they are. Nobody can credibly pretend that they think that a big "Trump" building has nothing to do with him.
It is, I think, a genuine puzzle what the "correct" behaviour is in his case. Suppose one were to ask him to sell all his holdings and place his money in an actual blind trust. One could do that, but that would leave the Trump organization owned and run by his children. And again, everyone knows that. All the same potential conflicts of interest exist.
So do you make them quit and sell up too?
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
I've wondered what he'd do if given the stark choice of a) keeping his assets, but giving up the presidency; and b) being president, but selling off all his assets, along with divesting the kids of any control over them.
An empire that's taken him decades to build, or "most powerful man in the world" for 4 years?
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
On November 8, 50% of USA citizens didn't care enough about their country to vote.
The Americans I know who don't vote tell me that they don't vote because they don't think voting really matters; rich and powerful people will remain rich and powerful and the rest of us will get screwed no matter what.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
quote:
Originally posted by Soror Magna:
On November 8, 50% of USA citizens didn't care enough about their country to vote.
The Americans I know who don't vote tell me that they don't vote because they don't think voting really matters; rich and powerful people will remain rich and powerful and the rest of us will get screwed no matter what.
By not voting they guarantee they will make no difference. It takes more than just voting, it takes being informed and getting involved. And the lack of willingness to but in that effort is what will doom democracy.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
What will doom American democracy is them being right to a certain degree.
More encouraging news about the direct aftermath of the election: women are deciding they need to run for office. I can't find the article I was reading earlier today, but here's the USA Today article.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
And, if you pair what Ruth said with people being exhausted, over-worked, financially-challenged, "the sandwiched generation" (taking care of both their parents and their own kids), etc., it makes sense.
What are the voting rates in other Shipmates' countries? IIRC, the rate for Brexit was unusual.
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
What are the voting rates in other Shipmates' countries? IIRC, the rate for Brexit was unusual.
Here's a chart for post-war UK general elections. Turnout plummeted to 60% in 2001 and has recovered a bit since.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Leorning Cniht:
It is, I think, a genuine puzzle what the "correct" behaviour is in his case. Suppose one were to ask him to sell all his holdings and place his money in an actual blind trust. One could do that, but that would leave the Trump organization owned and run by his children. And again, everyone knows that. All the same potential conflicts of interest exist.
Policies that benefit (or potentially harm) the interests of family members, especially spouses or children, are usually considered conflicts of interest.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
By not voting they guarantee they will make no difference. It takes more than just voting, it takes being informed and getting involved. And the lack of willingness to but in that effort is what will doom democracy.
There's a standard line of "if you don't vote, you don't have a right to complain". (Often said somewhat humorously.)
That's helped nudge me, on occasion, when I felt the way Ruth described or I was borderline too sick to go out.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
According to Wikipedia, voter turnout dropped rather dramatically in Canada and then went back up again in 2015 (which is for some reason not on the chart). Even the low numbers were higher than in the US.
Posted by Uncle Pete (# 10422) on
:
From my Country to the North of You, we are all terribly confused and upset by messages of healing, which are fairly presidential mixed with a lot of Oooooh looka me on Twitter taking on the establishment. Great start. I love all his far-right wing billionaire friends he has placed in his cabinet and in other places of power. And the poor and disenfranchised think he is on their side? Fat chance, I say. Your rich will get richer and your middle class and poor will get poorer. Make America Great Again? A slogan for a hat would be: Let the 1% get richer!
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
Make America Unequally Fat Again.
Posted by Uncle Pete (# 10422) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
Make America Unequally Fat Again.
MAUFA - Mafia with I
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Over where I work we are trying to come up for a collective super-villain name for Tiny Fingers' cabinet. "Basket of Deplorables" is last month, and "Legion of Super Villains" is protected by trademark. We are thinking of combining them to be "Legion of Deplorables," which would give us a nice logo for their Secret HQ building. (In spite of being secret these things always have huge gaudy logos.) Next up: the costumes and combat armor.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Uncle Pete:
And the poor and disenfranchised think he is on their side? Fat chance, I say.
Maybe we'll get lucky and he'll be another Castro.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
hosting/
Hell is that way =>
/hosting
Posted by Gramps49 (# 16378) on
:
I think the electoral college actually discourages the vote.
For instance, in my state it has voted Democrat ever since Richard Nixon. I live in a part of the state that is heavily Republican, but it always gets out voted by the western part of the state--the city vote. Therefore, I can understand how other people may think their vote doesn't count.
Myself, I always vote and most often vote Democratic.
States with smaller populations actually have more power in the electoral college. On average, a state is awarded one electoral vote for every 565,166 people. However, Wyoming has three electoral votes and only 532,668 citizens (as of 2008 estimates). As a result each of Wyoming's three electoral votes corresponds to 177,556 people. Understood in one way, these people have 3.18 times as much clout in the Electoral College.
So, why should a citizen in California want to vote if the election is decided or or small state has more voting power than a larger state?
Posted by Leorning Cniht (# 17564) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gramps49:
I think the electoral college actually discourages the vote.
For instance, in my state it has voted Democrat ever since Richard Nixon.
Is that different from anyone that lives in a safe parliamentary constituency? You might be right that electing a President by strict popular national vote would increase turnout a bit in safe states (in 2012, swing states had a 7% higher turnout than safe states).
By contrast, I don't find a significant correlation between security of constituency and turnout in the UK.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gramps49:
I think the electoral college actually discourages the vote.
The electoral college also provides perverse incentives for voter suppression by giving each state the same electoral "weight" regardless of whether 99% of its eligible voters actually vote or only 1% do. Some state-level Republicans have actually used this as a deliberate strategy, making voting more onerous and bureaucratic in ways that disproportionately affects likely Democratic voters. The key there is "disproportionately". They're willing to slightly depress their own supporter's turnout if they can depress their opponent's turnout to a greater degree. This works if you're controlling the entire voting system (like in a state-level election), but would be disadvantageous in a national popular election when competing with states that do not inflict a lot of needless red tape on their voters.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Dave W quote:
quote: Kwesi:
“Mother without sons.” I’m not criticising Hilary for not having given birth to a son, but she seemed aware that a large number of women have sons for whom they have aspirations. She talked about mothers having daughters who might become President etc., but not about the possibilities for sons whose disadvantages of social background, particulary in the black community, were far greater than the glass barrier she was assaulting.
Dave W Again, WTF? (See previous link for what she actually talked about.) The idea that this criticism (weak as it is, in my opinion) could be expressed as "mother without sons" is still repellent to me.
My reference to “Mother without sons” was not a reference to some sort of social reproductive deficiency on Hilary Clinton’s part, but to her political lacuna. She made a strong pitch on grounds of her sex and on expanding opportunities for girls. My point is that she ignored the fact that almost half the children born are male, and that women, mothers, have aspirations for their sons looking for jobs in the rust belt as well as for their daughters. Could it be that her difficulty in persuading most white women to vote for her was partly that her feminism in this regard made her blind to that fact? Where did male voters fit into the script? Similarly, Michelle Obama, who was the star performer of the campaign, talked about the future of her daughters. Fair enough, but the really disadvantaged group in the USA are black sons who seem to be shot with impunity by the police and persecuted by a racially- biased penal system that hands out severe sentences and crams them disproportionately into jails. Who spoke for them? Where was the outrage one should expect from the Democratic Party?
On a somewhat different point shipmates have rightly raised the question of turnout, but I would suggest have tended to draw the wrong conclusions. Blaming the electorate for Clinton’s defeat on the failure of Democrat sympathisers to vote is to miss the point. The real question is why so many Democrats were so unenthused, and culpability for that lies less with the electors than those responsible for the party’s campaign. It was quite clear from Sanders remarkable insurgent performance in the primaries that Hilary Clinton, awash with money and organisation, failed to inspire. Truman retained the presidency in 1948 in response to the request: ”Give ‘em Hell, Harry!” The Democrat base in particular needs to feel that the election is some sort of crusade promising better times, and especially so in the context of 2016. Unfortunately, Hilary Clinton, with her impressive curriculum vitae and establishment endorsement across the political spectrum (tacit in the case of the Republicans) offered nothing new, and temperamentally she is not a campaigner. She was not a good candidate for a contest, given the grotesque choice of the GOP, that should have been a cake-walk for the Democrats.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
My reference to “Mother without sons” was not a reference to some sort of social reproductive deficiency on Hilary Clinton’s part, but to her political lacuna. She made a strong pitch on grounds of her sex and on expanding opportunities for girls. My point is that she ignored the fact that almost half the children born are male, and that women, mothers, have aspirations for their sons looking for jobs in the rust belt as well as for their daughters. Could it be that her difficulty in persuading most white women to vote for her was partly that her feminism in this regard made her blind to that fact? Where did male voters fit into the script? Similarly, Michelle Obama, who was the star performer of the campaign, talked about the future of her daughters.
Yeah, because men have traditionally been completely left out of political discussions. Do you have any notion of how sexist your stance is? Saying people who talk specifically about opportunities for girls don't care about boys is on a par with saying that women's history classes make it sound like men aren't historically significant.
quote:
Fair enough, but the really disadvantaged group in the USA are black sons who seem to be shot with impunity by the police and persecuted by a racially- biased penal system that hands out severe sentences and crams them disproportionately into jails. Who spoke for them? Where was the outrage one should expect from the Democratic Party?
From April 2015:
quote:
Hillary Clinton called on Wednesday for broad criminal-justice reform and renewed trust between police officers and communities, reflecting the former first lady’s evolution from supporting the policies instituted by her husband two decades ago in a period of high crime rates.
Clinton called for body cameras in every police department in the country, as well as an end to an “era of mass incarceration.” Her speech came two days after the funeral in Baltimore of Freddie Gray, a 25-year-old black man who died while in police custody, and amidst ongoing civil unrest in that city.
...
The views Clinton expressed Wednesday aren’t new. In her first presidential campaign, Clinton called it a “disgrace” that “so many more African Americans” were incarcerated than whites, and as early as 2000 decried policing practices that appeared to target African Americans and Latinos. “Let us start by recognizing that crime is down dramatically — and lives have been saved in this city — because every day, brave men and women put on a uniform and place themselves in harm’s way to protect us,” she said in 2000. “And let us also recognize that far too many people believe they are considered guilty simply because of the color of their skin.”
Hillary Clinton didn't lose because of a lack of passion. Have you looked at the popular vote? She won it by over two million votes, and they're counting absentee ballots in California, which will go to her by better than 2-1. She lost because her votes are concentrated in urban areas. And she lost because sexism is still so unbelievably ingrained in our culture that people can't even see it when it's right there in front of them.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
What Ruth said, in spades.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
My reference to “Mother without sons” was not a reference to some sort of social reproductive deficiency on Hilary Clinton’s part, but to her political lacuna. She made a strong pitch on grounds of her sex and on expanding opportunities for girls. My point is that she ignored the fact that almost half the children born are male [snip]
It remains a repulsive phrase in service of a ridiculous caricature. quote:
It was quite clear from Sanders remarkable insurgent performance in the primaries that Hilary Clinton, awash with money and organisation, failed to inspire.
It may have escaped your notice but Sanders lost the nomination by a lot of votes (though I don't suppose you ever would have faulted him for not having any daughters.)
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Dear Accusers,
What we are trying to discuss here is why the Democrats failed to win the presidency in 2016 when confronted with a GOP candidate who was eminently unsuited to the office. That discussion must in some measure raise issues concerning the appeal of the Democratic candidate. Inevitably, that must include attitudes of the candidates towards gender issues, and why, given the publicity regarding Trump’s disgusting remarks about women, that white women were more likely to vote for him than Hilary Clinton. It was also observed that young women were not particularly enthused by her candidacy. The Centre for American Women and Politics concluded:
“With such factors at play (along with more generic electoral trends, like how tough it is for either party to win a “third term”), Clinton couldn’t just lure white women to the blue team based on a sense of sisterhood. She needed to inspire them. And that’s not what Clinton does. Even those who love her acknowledge that she is a lackluster candidate. She is too private, too reserved, too cerebral. It’s a key reason that Obama, with his scant political experience, beat her in 2008.” <http://presidentialgenderwatch.org/author/kdittmar>
That judgement regarding Hilary Clinton on gender issues, to my mind, can be applied to other issues influencing the core traditional Democratic base, which you may feel I’m pressing ad nauseam. Evidently you don’t like this messenger, but electoral politics is a brutal business and harsh question however unpalatably expressed have to be posed in defeat. Don’t assume that the messenger is at all happy with the content and tone of his/her message.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
OK, what Kwesi said represents something that is messed up, but it doesn't completely conflict with RuthW's conclusion.
Men who think they are threatened by a strong female are whiny little bitches. But those whiny bitches voted. And they voted for Trump. Not because he is admirable or strong, but because he did not threaten their fragile manhood.
Clinton did not represent a real threat, but some will have perceived it that way.
I am not sure, though, what she could have said if reality wasn't enough. A black president didn't erase racial inequity, so a female president certainly wouldn't marginalise men.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Evidently you don’t like this messenger, but electoral politics is a brutal business and harsh question however unpalatably expressed have to be posed in defeat. Don’t assume that the messenger is at all happy with the content and tone of his/her message.
Whoa there, pardner, you might want to learn to ride before getting on that high horse.
Your presentation is the problem.* You could have made your point without contentious and insulting language.
*And some inaccuracies, but tone is what kicked it of.
[ 29. November 2016, 04:59: Message edited by: lilBuddha ]
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
What lB said.
Kwesi, your continuing posts show no acceptance of responsibility for your rudeness, no apology--just a sense of being annoyed that *we're* annoyed.
That makes this discussion more difficult.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
hosting/
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
What lB said.
Kwesi, your continuing posts show no acceptance of responsibility for your rudeness, no apology--just a sense of being annoyed that *we're* annoyed.
That makes this discussion more difficult.
That is why Hell exists. If you (plural) want to take Kwesi to task for his attitude, do so there.
/hosting
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Eutychus quote:
That is why Hell exists. If you (plural) want to take Kwesi to task for his attitude, do so there.
At least if I end up there the righteous can gain solace from my endless torture!
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Ok, let me try and draw a line under this. i would defend my right to offend, but not to be offensive. If I have transgressed that line, particularly in my original post, i unreservedly apologies. (Sensitivities in these matters operate differingly from culture to culture). You will appreciate that first post was pithy in order to avoid a lengthy discourse and to shift the focus of blame from Trump and his supporters to the failings of the Democrat campaign. I regret, too, any inaccuracies, as must always be the case, misunderstandings of intent, and agree that I should dismount the horse of self-pity. I stand by my charges, however, though they might have been more moderately expressed, and would welcome a chance to defend them in a less emotionally charged manner.
It is difficult the defend myself against the charge of misogyny as only women who know me can do that, but i like to think I am not so. What more can I say?
2016 has not been a good year for the open-hearted and the congenitally optimistic, as i see myself. Its been a year of barbed wire in Europe, the rise of divisive nationalism (Brexit , anti-immigrant sentiment, and the rise of the far right generally), and a “beautiful wall” between the USA and Mexico, together with the exacerbation of a variety of cultural and identity differences. The hope was that the USA would offer a ray of hope with the rejection of Trump. It was not to be. As Yeats wrote of his time, so in ours:
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;
Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,
The blood-dimmed tide is loosed, and everywhere
The ceremony of innocence is drowned;
The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity.
It’s that, not misogyny, that drives my mood, sisters and brothers.
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
I have just been watching an African production of Julius Caesar. (Cinna the poet dies with a South African burning tyre around him.)
It joins up with the Noah comparison of Trump with African dictators, making the comparison itself of them with Julius Caesar.
One wonders what Shakespeare was comparing the events with - it seems rather glib to suggest a fear of the return of the Wars of the Roses, it seems more immediate than that. Who did he know who spoke like that?
And I am toying with a rewrite of Brutus' speech, full of beautifuls and bests and yuges, and sound and fury signifying nothing.
And then, 'The noble Donald has told you Clinton was ambitious - if it were so, it were a grievous fault, and grievously has Clinton answered it.'
[ 29. November 2016, 16:01: Message edited by: Penny S ]
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
2016 has not been a good year for the open-hearted and the congenitally optimistic, as i see myself.
I am hardly little miss sunshine, but you are not alone in feeing dragged down by this year. The Ship is more liberal than conservative, so there are quite a few people here who feel the same frustration.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I went to my doctor for some minor issues, and they are doing something new: a two-question depression survey. The question was, "Have you felt very sad in the past few weeks?" I replied, "Of -course- I felt very sad the past few weeks!" The nurse admitted that this was not a good time to do the screening.
In other downers,
Obamacare is doomed. There'll be a lot more poor sick people in America.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
2016 has not been a good year for the open-hearted and the congenitally optimistic, as i see myself.
It has been much improved in Canada. Not perfect, but much much better since our federal election.
On a different USA election aftermath issue, if Russia and USA are now going to be closer, and Trump and Putin will soon pose, shirts off (shudder), horse riding or spearing some animal, does Russia deport Snowden into Trump's welcoming, ahem, hands?
[ 29. November 2016, 21:07: Message edited by: no prophet's flag is set so... ]
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Brenda Clough quote:
I went to my doctor for some minor issues, and they are doing something new: a two-question depression survey. The question was, "Have you felt very sad in the past few weeks?" I replied, "Of -course- I felt very sad the past few weeks!" The nurse admitted that this was not a good time to do the screening.
Not wishing to give Trump the honours of victory he thinks he deserves, I console myself with the observation of Marx: "“History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce." Hope it doesn't relate to a two-term presidency!
Posted by art dunce (# 9258) on
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I do not post here anymore and so accept my apologies for entering the thread at this point. I wrote a post but realized Jay said it better. No reason to sugar coat it.
Jay Smooth
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
On a different USA election aftermath issue, if Russia and USA are now going to be closer, and Trump and Putin will soon pose, shirts off (shudder), horse riding or spearing some animal, does Russia deport Snowden into Trump's welcoming, ahem, hands?
In the name of all that's holy, please refrain from painting such mental pictures, at least until the invention of giant brain scrubbers.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
It is difficult the defend myself against the charge of misogyny as only women who know me can do that, but i like to think I am not so. What more can I say?
I said your stance was sexist, not that you are a misogynist. The distinction is important.
You claim that she lacked passion - is that because Clinton's most passionate and meaningful appeals were to women and talked about girls? I wonder if you can even feel the appeal of that, not being one of us she was talking to. I was more than once moved to tears. You accuse her on the basis of her appeals to women of ignoring men and boys, as if caring especially about the future of people drastically under-represented in the American political process meant she didn't care about the ones who have been over-represented throughout our history.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Ruth, you were clearly inspired by Hilary Clinton's campaign. That does not, however, appear to have been the general experience of white women according to the CAWP (Centre for American Women and Politics) at Rutgers, as I earlier reported:
“With such factors at play (along with more generic electoral trends, like how tough it is for either party to win a “third term”), Clinton couldn’t just lure white women to the blue team based on a sense of sisterhood. She needed to inspire them. And that’s not what Clinton does. Even those who love her acknowledge that she is a lackluster candidate. She is too private, too reserved, too cerebral. It’s a key reason that Obama, with his scant political experience, beat her in 2008.” <http://presidentialgenderwatch.org/author/kdittmar>
What I'm asking you is why you think most white women reacted differently to yourself.
On a different point, I don't think it sexist to point to the judicial treatment of young black men, who seem to be more exposed than their sisters? Nor is it unfair to show concern for the situation of poor young white men who have been denied the work opportunities available to their fathers and grandfathers. It is not unfair and pragmatically advisable for candidates to show concern for their blighted aspirations. Not a few mothers would say amen to that.
In democratic politics it is advisable to make as wide a democratic appeal as possible. My question respecting the Hilary Clinton campaign is whether its overt feminism, however justified, failed to cover both gender bases. I don't think that's a sexist observation. At the same time i agree that males are over-represented in the political process so that too many ordinary brothers crowd out gifted sisters to the detriment of all. The defeat of Hilary Clinton, for me, is regretted not because she would have broken a glass ceiling but because she was the more able and better reflected my values to put it mildly. Of course, others may think differently.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
Kwesi: may I quote a young family member re Hilary:
"I thought they were getting getting a woman president. Instead they got a man who sexually assaults women."
You don't have to be inspired to get that. Merely a human being.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
No Prophet, I would have thought so, too, but not sufficiently so according to Rutgers, respecting white females.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
With the election, it's prosperity gospel for the win! Two out of three Americans identify with some of its tenets.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
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A lot of the elect have been deceived, Brenda. The electorate too. Trump looks increasingly like a man who really didn't think it would come to this.
I wonder who is really going to be in charge?
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
According to Wikipedia, voter turnout dropped rather dramatically in Canada and then went back up again in 2015 (which is for some reason not on the chart). Even the low numbers were higher than in the US.
Three reasons for that.
1) Canada has a multi-party system, and each riding has its own distinct culture. There are ridings which are Liberal/Tory battlegrounds (suburban Toronto), NDP/Liberal fights (Downtown Toronto), three-ways (BC Lower Mainland and Southwestern Ontario) and NDP/Tory contests (most of the Prairies and BC).
So each riding can get the competitors it wants, it doesn't have to stick with two national parties.
2) Canada has a strong history of waves with large turnovers of elected officials federally and in most provinces.
3) Riding boundaries are exclusively set by federal and provincial boundary commissions, chaired by a Superior Court Judge with academics as the co-commissioners. The chances of getting a blatantly partisan boundary proposal through are nil, I have presented to one of those commissions. Your proposal either makes sense geographically and fits the population quota or it will be dismissed, period.
Posted by Stercus Tauri (# 16668) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
I went to my doctor for some minor issues, and they are doing something new: a two-question depression survey. The question was, "Have you felt very sad in the past few weeks?" I replied, "Of -course- I felt very sad the past few weeks!" The nurse admitted that this was not a good time to do the screening.
In other downers,
Obamacare is doomed. There'll be a lot more poor sick people in America.
Our daughter put it quite simply. "Barack Obama gave us health care. Donald Fart will take it away".
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
No Prophet, I would have thought so, too, but not sufficiently so according to Rutgers, respecting white females.
Abortion played a part in the conservative states. Also in those states, a significant number of women think their place is below that of men's. So those women were not going to vote for Clinton anyway.
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
With the election, it's prosperity gospel for the win! Two out of three Americans identify with some of its tenets.
Still amazes me. The prosperity gospel is not only anti-Jesus, trickle down prosperity is demonstrably false.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Ruth, you were clearly inspired by Hilary Clinton's campaign. That does not, however, appear to have been the general experience of white women according to the CAWP (Centre for American Women and Politics) at Rutgers, as I earlier reported:
“With such factors at play (along with more generic electoral trends, like how tough it is for either party to win a “third term”), Clinton couldn’t just lure white women to the blue team based on a sense of sisterhood. She needed to inspire them. And that’s not what Clinton does. Even those who love her acknowledge that she is a lackluster candidate. She is too private, too reserved, too cerebral. It’s a key reason that Obama, with his scant political experience, beat her in 2008.” <http://presidentialgenderwatch.org/author/kdittmar>
What I'm asking you is why you think most white women reacted differently to yourself.
No. It was not "most white women". It was a subgroup of white women in particular battleground states. This was electoral math at it's finest. The majority of white women voted for Hillary.
I'm not suggesting that that does or should change the outcome-- unless some shenanigans, intentional are not, are proven to be at play (an incredibly slim chance). Those were the rules we signed on for. But it bears repeating that this is NOT what the majority of Americans, the majority of whites, the majority of women, or even the majority of evangelicals believe or want. Any notion that there's a "mandate" of any sort, even within one of those subsets, is simply not warranted. To get any sort of majority you really have to get very sub-sub group: "white rural evangelical men in the Bible belt".
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
Is there a Misery Gospel?
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
Any notion that there's a "mandate" of any sort, even within one of those subsets, is simply not warranted. To get any sort of majority you really have to get very sub-sub group: "white rural evangelical men in the Bible belt".
Trump won the majority of counties in the United States as highlighted in this map. That extends in to almost all areas except the coastal edges. I don't know what proportion he won of lower income brackets, but I would not be surprised if he captured a majority of people earning less than $50,000. Clinton certainly won the largest and most prosperous counties.
None of that is to say there is a mandate, although I think mandate is a nebulous idea. Executive action (widely used now and presumably will be under President Elect Trump) combined with a filibuster proof majority in Congress (a distinct possibility in 2018), would be the most effective mandate.
[ 01. December 2016, 01:02: Message edited by: Alt Wally ]
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
I don't know what proportion he won of lower income brackets, but I would not be surprised if he captured a majority of people earning less than $50,000. Clinton certainly won the largest and most prosperous counties.
According to these exit poll results, Clinton won the majority of votes of those earning $50K or less.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
Any notion that there's a "mandate" of any sort, even within one of those subsets, is simply not warranted. To get any sort of majority you really have to get very sub-sub group: "white rural evangelical men in the Bible belt".
Trump won the majority of counties in the United States as highlighted in this map.
But counties don't vote, people do. The constituent pieces of a country are its people. The majority of counties in this country are all but empty, actually.
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
According to these exit poll results, Clinton won the majority of votes of those earning $50K or less.
Thanks, that's an interesting infographic. Looks like he got the majority of $50,000 to $90,000. It's interesting that the upper brackets are almost evenly split.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
Clinton certainly won the largest and most prosperous counties.
Here in the largest county in the country, Los Angeles County, almost 25% of the people under 18 live below the federal poverty line -- which of course being a national benchmark does not take into account how freakin' expensive it is to live here. Tell me again about our prosperity.
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Ruth, you were clearly inspired by Hilary Clinton's campaign.
I was not. I found her specific references to the future of young girls very moving. But as I am an ultra-liberal pacifist, I wasn't inspired by the centrist hawk.
quote:
That does not, however, appear to have been the general experience of white women according to the CAWP (Centre for American Women and Politics) at Rutgers, as I earlier reported:
Yeah, I read it the first time. It's opinion, not fact.
quote:
What I'm asking you is why you think most white women reacted differently to yourself.
What cliffdweller said.
And about the white women who did vote for Trump -- plenty of them are to one degree or another sexist and/or racist, or at least willing to tolerate sexism and racism in their tribal loyalty to the Republican party, no matter how shitty the candidate is.
quote:
On a different point, I don't think it sexist to point to the judicial treatment of young black men, who seem to be more exposed than their sisters? Nor is it unfair to show concern for the situation of poor young white men who have been denied the work opportunities available to their fathers and grandfathers. It is not unfair and pragmatically advisable for candidates to show concern for their blighted aspirations. Not a few mothers would say amen to that.
It is sexist to say that because she made special and very appropriate pleas to female votes and discussed girls' futures, she doesn't care about men. And you have ignored the link I posted about what she said about the mass incarceration of black men in April 2015.
You also don't seem to have been paying attention to the economic plan she put forward that was in fact intended to create economic opportunities for all sorts of people who aspirations have been blighted. Of course, the white working class wasn't either, being too busy chanting "lock her up!" or too uninformed to realize Trump can't bring back jobs from China that have actually been lost to mechanization.
quote:
In democratic politics it is advisable to make as wide a democratic appeal as possible.
Oh really? Is that how Trump won the presidency? Is failing to do so how Clinton won the popular vote?
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Here in the largest county in the country, Los Angeles County, almost 25% of the people under 18 live below the federal poverty line -- which of course being a national benchmark does not take into account how freakin' expensive it is to live here. Tell me again about our prosperity.
RuthW, I did a quick google search for median household income and it appears Los Angeles County is slightly above national average. Similar for San Benardino and Riverside. Orange and Ventura appear to be well above the national average. I would not be surprised if California as a whole fits this pattern, with many around the median and several well above it.
Donald Trump did not win the areas of the country that are economically advantaged, that's outlined in the Washington Post.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
Here in the largest county in the country, Los Angeles County, almost 25% of the people under 18 live below the federal poverty line -- which of course being a national benchmark does not take into account how freakin' expensive it is to live here. Tell me again about our prosperity.
RuthW, I did a quick google search for median household income and it appears Los Angeles County is slightly above national average. Similar for San Benardino and Riverside. Orange and Ventura appear to be well above the national average. I would not be surprised if California as a whole fits this pattern, with many around the median and several well above it.
Now do a google search of housing prices/ rents in L.A. county compared with the rest of the nation and get back to me.
Ruth's analysis was spot on. Median income has to find the midpoint between that 25% below the poverty line and those living in Bel Air/ Beverly Hills/ San Marino/ Malibu/ Flintridge. Within a few miles from my home is the largest concentration of homeless in the country-- more than 5000 living on the streets in a few square blocks. In addition to Skid Row, the suburb where I serve had more than 600 at our last homeless census--it's even higher in other suburbs.
It's a very very diverse county.
[ 01. December 2016, 04:49: Message edited by: cliffdweller ]
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
Now do a google search of housing prices/ rents in L.A. county compared with the rest of the nation and get back to me.
This map indicates to me there is diversity of income levels in Los Angeles County spread across the various neighborhoods, with many above and below the national median. Housing prices being 50% above the national average which is what google reports back tells me there is a concentration of wealth in Los Angeles County (same with Seattle, Honolulu, San Francisco, etc.) that can support such prices, even if that wealth is not evenly distributed within the county. The Washington Post article indicates that the areas of concentrated wealth on both coasts went to Clinton, and the fact that Clinton lost with the support of the most economically advantaged sections of the country is unprecedented.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
Housing prices being 50% above the national average which is what google reports back tells me there is a concentration of wealth in Los Angeles County (same with Seattle, Honolulu, San Francisco, etc.) that can support such prices,
Well, no. There is a concentration of people that can. Yes, there are rich pockets, but there are a lot of homes designed for single families that house multiple families, flats that are well over design capacity. The LA area is the part of the America with which I am most familiar and there are large amounts of poor and low income people.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
Now do a google search of housing prices/ rents in L.A. county compared with the rest of the nation and get back to me.
This map indicates to me there is diversity of income levels in Los Angeles County spread across the various neighborhoods, with many above and below the national median. Housing prices being 50% above the national average which is what google reports back tells me there is a concentration of wealth in Los Angeles County (same with Seattle, Honolulu, San Francisco, etc.) that can support such prices, even if that wealth is not evenly distributed within the county. The Washington Post article indicates that the areas of concentrated wealth on both coasts went to Clinton, and the fact that Clinton lost with the support of the most economically advantaged sections of the country is unprecedented.
"Unprecedented"? Who won the west coast and the northeast in 2000 and 2004?
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
Sky-high housing prices mean a lot of people are paying half their income or even more in rent. You need to make over $30 an hour to afford the average LA apartment. Minimum wage is $10. I make roughly $24, at a decent job in a slightly cheaper city, and the only reason I can afford to live in my neighborhood and also save for retirement is because I've been in my apartment over 20 years and for some unknown but blessed reason my rent increases have not kept up with the market. (My guess is the elderly landlady doesn't know what the place is worth and I'll be screwed after she dies.)
The point is, it is not just rich people in LA who make this county go blue. The graph cited above measures prosperity by GDP. It doesn't mean the people here share all that prosperity. The US GDP is huge, but there are still plenty of people in poverty. Same with the country's largest county. 20% of the people in my city live in poverty. That's a hell of a lot of poor people, and that's just the very poor - the tranche of folks just above them are not experiencing prosperity.
So when we're supposed to forgive poor people in other parts of the country for voting for a completely unqualified gasbag who doesn't believe in the principles of our democracy - no. Not going to happen, not on my end. Poor people where I live managed on the whole to figure out what a despicable asshole he is.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
Housing prices being 50% above the national average which is what google reports back tells me there is a concentration of wealth in Los Angeles County (same with Seattle, Honolulu, San Francisco, etc.) that can support such prices,
Well, no. There is a concentration of people that can. Yes, there are rich pockets, but there are a lot of homes designed for single families that house multiple families, flats that are well over design capacity. The LA area is the part of the America with which I am most familiar and there are large amounts of poor and low income people.
Yes. You can't just jump from "rents are higher in LA" to "therefore people in LA must be wealthy to afford them." For some people, yes-- as I said, there are pockets of significant wealth-- mostly on the Westside. But (particularly in central and eastern LA) there are pockets of extreme poverty. As a lifelong LA resident, the 25% figure Ruth cites sounds about right to me. Higher rents do not automatically equal greater wealth, in many cases higher rents just mean those below the poverty line have an even greater struggle to make ends meet-- which was the point I thought would be obvious when I suggested you look at that. Which is why, as I noted in my post above, we have a greater concentration of homeless persons-- as well as whole families living in substandard conditions (e.g. not-up-to-code garage conversions).
[ 01. December 2016, 14:38: Message edited by: cliffdweller ]
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
I focused more on rent rather than housing prices per se, since most lower income persons in LA are renters-- having been priced out of the housing market.
But there are huge inequities there as well, as noted by billionaire Warren Buffet. California property taxes are tied to the value of the property at time of purchase, not the current value or financial circumstances of the owner.
This means that for the home Buffet purchased in the 1970s in tony, upscale Laguna Beach, currently valued in excess of $4 million, Buffet pays only $2000 annually in property taxes. In contrast, a small 2-bedroom condo in less tony Santa Ana or Anaheim would cost at least $600,000-- with an annual tax of $6,000-- 3x what Buffet pays. We are subsidizing old wealth with new (relative) wealth-- someone born to poverty working the way up the ladder to home ownership is subsidizing services to older, often inherited wealth.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
someone born to poverty working the way up the ladder to home ownership is subsidizing services to older, often inherited wealth.
In the Panama Papers scandal, there were relatively few American found to be investing offshore in those papers is because the US is inordinately friendly to the rich. The US is a tax haven.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
Well this [PDF] is interesting:
quote:
We believe there is additional information concerning the Russian Government and the U.S. election that should be declassified and released to the public. We are conveying specifics through classified channels.
The signatories are all the Democratic members of the Senate Intelligence Committee except Diane Feinstein. According to The Guardian Feinstein did sign the classified version of the letter. Also according The Guardian "this is the first declassification request by eight senators in at least twelve years".
So apparently there's something these senators think the American public needs to know, and that the need to know it is of greater importance than whatever justified the information being classified in the first place.
I expect much rampant speculation.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
An exhaustive analysis of what happened in the election now that the dust has settled a little.
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
"Unprecedented"? Who won the west coast and the northeast in 2000 and 2004?
The part that appears to be unprecedented is the fact that Clinton carried counties that are responsible for about 65% of U.S. economic output, and still lost. We are seeing a first. The concentration of wealth in the coastal areas has accelerated since 2004. Presumably this economic disparity, if it continues, could continue to have unexpected consequences. I think that is a lesson of this election.
In regards to Los Angeles County, I don't believe I anywhere stated that it is uniformly or even majority high income. I'm simply saying it has a concentration of wealth, and is one of the types of counties Clinton carried. Looking at the LA times neighborhood income map, it appears to me Los Angeles has roughly the same number of neighborhoods with median family income above $90,000 as it does below $40,000. That to me indicates both a concentration of wealth, as well as significant numbers of haves and have nots with a wide disparity between them.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
In regards to Los Angeles County, I don't believe I anywhere stated that it is uniformly or even majority high income. I'm simply saying it has a concentration of wealth, and is one of the types of counties Clinton carried. Looking at the LA times neighborhood income map, it appears to me Los Angeles has roughly the same number of neighborhoods with median family income above $90,000 as it does below $40,000. That to me indicates both a concentration of wealth, as well as significant numbers of haves and have nots with a wide disparity between them.
Yes, that's precisely what Ruth and I have been saying. But of course, as is usually the case with urban poverty, the lower income neighborhoods are significantly denser/ more populous than the high income neighborhoods. So the implication that only wealthy west coasters voted for Clinton just isn't warranted.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
"Unprecedented"? Who won the west coast and the northeast in 2000 and 2004?
The part that appears to be unprecedented is the fact that Clinton carried counties that are responsible for about 65% of U.S. economic output, and still lost. We are seeing a first. The concentration of wealth in the coastal areas has accelerated since 2004. Presumably this economic disparity, if it continues, could continue to have unexpected consequences. I think that is a lesson of this election.
But that's where most of the population is! They're responsible for a lot of economic output primarily because they have a lot of people, not because they're simply full of rich people.
You seem determined to try to find some interpretation, however strained, which makes the Democrats out to be the party of the rich elite. But acreage doesn't vote, counties don't vote - people do. And the exit polls I linked to before show the only income ranges the Democrats won were below $50k.
This is hardly new - check out these plots of party identification by income quintile, 2000-2009 (from here), and see how Democratic ID falls with income and Republican ID rises. Same story in similar plots for Democratic presidential vote by income quintile, 1980-2000.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
Clinton lost, in part, due to the over-representation of areas low in population, IIRC. It seems that the electoral college, instead of being balanced, skews towards empty space.
If I understand it correctly.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
After lilBuddha above:
Bias in the electoral college is conventionally understood as the difference between the outcome in the college and the popular vote. Consequently, the critical factor is not the distribution of the vote between urban, suburban and rural locations, but the efficiency of the vote distribution between states. The bias towards the Republicans and Democrats has varied over time, though the winner has almost always won in both the college and in the popular vote. At present, however, the system is biased towards the Republicans, which seems to have become critical in closely-fought contests, occasioning the defeat of the more popular Democrats, Al Gore and Hilary Clinton. Clearly, the credibility of the system will come into question increasingly if the more popular candidate regularly loses in the college.
As I pointed out earlier, however, one has to bear in mind the rules under which elections are conducted because they affect the campaign strategies of the parties and voting behaviour. One cannot, therefore, assume that Gore and Clinton would have won if their contests had been based on the outcome of the popular vote. Trump, for example, would have fought more vigorously in the heavily-populated blue states, especially in California. In many ways, however, the discussion is academic because one cannot see how practically the system could be reformed.
More reformable, however, is access to the electoral register and the opportunity to vote. The Southern states in particular make voter registration and voting difficult and restrictive. The number of registration offices are minimal and their hours of opening limited to conventional office hours. Similarly, polling stations there are fewer and close earlier than elsewhere. Action by a liberal Supreme Court (if ever!) interpreting the Voting Rights Acts more astringently could produce progress in these matters. The outcome, of course, is likely to advantage the Democrats in terms of the popular vote but increase the Republican bias in the college.
I don’t know the answer, but how many congressional districts having Republican Congressmen (women) voted for Hilary Clinton? That could have consequences for the first half of Trump’s first term.
The issue of urban, suburban and rural locations is more important in terms of power within states, as the more conservative rural areas tend to be over-represented in their legislatures, which has important consequences for the decennial re-districting process for the U.S. Congress.
It all goes to show that the USA has had great difficulty in becoming a democracy even in the most conventional sense of equal opportunity of access to the ballot.
Posted by Erik (# 11406) on
:
Following on from lilBuddha's post about the electoral college being biased towards empty space...
If I understand correctly, the number of electoral college votes assigned to each state was originally based on the population of those areas. Has the number of electoral votes a state has ever been altered to reflect changes in population?
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
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Yes, because the number of House seats awarded to a state is re-calculated every ten years on a population basis. There is, however, a bias towards the smaller states due to each state having two senators. (The number of college votes equals the combined number of Representatives and Senators it has).
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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As a reminder from stuff way upthread by now--
The bias in the electoral college (and Congress) was intentional to avoid having low-population states overwhelmed. Without this intentionally-created bias certain states (notably the farming ones, but also islands and Alaska) would have basically no voice. I mean, do you really want a U.S. ruled almost wholly by Texas, Florida, and California? (stop and think about that combo, if you know the cultures--it'd make for some REALLY interesting fights in Congress, as well as some odd alliances)
That's what you'd get if you did everything by population alone.
And I love California (my native state) but I don't imagine for a moment they are saints enough to refrain from pushing their particular interests through at the expense of the rest of the country. Nor any state, really.
Posted by barrea (# 3211) on
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Why don't they just have a simple voting system like over here UK. the person with the most vote wins?
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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That's a joke, right? You didn't see my last post?
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
The bias in the electoral college (and Congress) was intentional to avoid having low-population states overwhelmed. Without this intentionally-created bias certain states (notably the farming ones, but also islands and Alaska) would have basically no voice.
A reminder that when LC says "no voice", she means "a voice proportional to population". As always, the reason why some constituencies need to be given a disproportionate amount of power in a given political system is left vague, other than some stereotypes about urban corruption and rural virtue.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
I mean, do you really want a U.S. ruled almost wholly by Texas, Florida, and California? (stop and think about that combo, if you know the cultures--it'd make for some REALLY interesting fights in Congress, as well as some odd alliances)
That's what you'd get if you did everything by population alone.
And I love California (my native state) but I don't imagine for a moment they are saints enough to refrain from pushing their particular interests through at the expense of the rest of the country.
Yeah, like that.
Like many things about the U.S. Constitution, the electoral college wasn't some coherent, philosophically necessary system dictated by overall structure of the rest of the Constitutional order, it was an ad hoc compromise designed to fit the political expediencies of the day. In this case, the expediencies were a sweetener for the slave-intensive states of the South and an acknowledgement of the political realities of decentralized, state-based centers of political power. But it should be remembered that it was controversial even in its day. James Madison (sometimes known as the "Father of the Constitution") preferred a direct, national election for the President. Others proposed that the President be selected by Congress. The electoral college was, as I said earlier, an ad hoc compromise rather than any philosophically necessary system.
Still, when you advocate for something other than "whoever gets the most votes wins", I think the onus on you is to provide a more substantial case for minority rule than "those bastards in populous states can't be trusted". It's not very far from there to Why the South Must Prevail [PDF].
[ 02. December 2016, 17:15: Message edited by: Crœsos ]
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
That's what you'd get if you did everything by population alone.
But what you get now is the majority held hostage to isolated ignorance. That the shift is in the reverse is not a better thing.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
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From an article discussing the electoral college:
quote:
Some will defend the Electoral College on the grounds that it requires presidential candidates to pay more attention to small states. But there is little reason to give small states, already overrepresented somewhat in the House and massively overrepresented in the Senate, yet another thumb on the scale. Besides, if it were a good idea in theory, it doesn’t work in practice. As Ari Berman of The Nation observes, “94 percent of campaign visits and money went to just 12 states.” To defend the Electoral College on the grounds that it broadens the scope of presidential campaigning is truly perverse.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
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Would a compromise of one electoral vote for each state work?
I have a cold, so that may well not make much sense. I lean towards getting rid of the EC, even though I don't generally like to mess around too much with what the founding guys set up. Except for human rights issues...and this, arguably, could be one.
But if we need the EC for checks and balances, would one electoral vote per state do that? All states would be equal. Though we could still wind up in the current popular/electoral situation.
We could have each state's popular winner automatically be their electoral choice. But states currently do their own thing. There'd be a huge fuss over states' rights.
Any changes would take a long time to put together, approve, and implement. Probably wouldn't be done for the next presidential election.
what a mess.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Would a compromise of one electoral vote for each state work?
That's not really a compromise; that's lurching further in the direction of overrepresentation of small states.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
As a reminder from stuff way upthread by now--
The bias in the electoral college (and Congress) was intentional to avoid having low-population states overwhelmed. Without this intentionally-created bias certain states (notably the farming ones, but also islands and Alaska) would have basically no voice. I mean, do you really want a U.S. ruled almost wholly by Texas, Florida, and California? (stop and think about that combo, if you know the cultures--it'd make for some REALLY interesting fights in Congress, as well as some odd alliances)
Time to give up the experiment. The left coast, or at least the west half of the left coast states, would make an awesome sovereign nation. Where do I sign?
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Would a compromise of one electoral vote for each state work?
As mousethief already pointed out, it wouldn't.
Allow me to propose a counter-compromise: each state has a number of electoral votes equal to the number of U.S. citizens over the age of eighteen residing within its borders and these votes are divided up as per the preferences of those same citizens.
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
But if we need the EC for checks and balances, . . .
That's rather begging the question, isn't it? Does the electoral college contribute in any significant way to the American system of checks and balances? I don't see that it does. Is the lack of such a system in every other election conducted in the U.S. evidence that tyranny is nigh? Quite frankly, the fact that no other election (in the U.S. or elsewhere) is conducted in this manner speaks volumes against all the pragmatic "reasons" advanced for the electoral college.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Would a compromise of one electoral vote for each state work?
As mousethief already pointed out, it wouldn't.
Allow me to propose a counter-compromise: each state has a number of electoral votes equal to the number of U.S. citizens over the age of eighteen residing within its borders and these votes are divided up as per the preferences of those same citizens.
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
But if we need the EC for checks and balances, . . .
That's rather begging the question, isn't it? Does the electoral college contribute in any significant way to the American system of checks and balances? I don't see that it does. Is the lack of such a system in every other election conducted in the U.S. evidence that tyranny is nigh? Quite frankly, the fact that no other election (in the U.S. or elsewhere) is conducted in this manner speaks volumes against all the pragmatic "reasons" advanced for the electoral college.
Yes.
It seems like the EC is established to "balance" power between populous urban areas and less populous rural areas (which conveniently also aligned with the balance between northern and southern slave states). The suggestion being that those rural areas are disadvantaged in ways that require special pleading to let their voices be heard.
And in some ways that might be true. Certainly the result of the election appear to suggest rural whites feel "unheard"-- and that there is some truth to that, given that the rest of the country, even the pollsters, didn't see Trump's victory coming. So we have a real minority with concerns and/or fears that are, at least in their minds, significant, and are not being addressed or even heard by the majority of Americans.
The question, though, is whether THIS minority is any more deserving of special pleading than any other minority group. Do rural whites need to be protected from urban diversity any more than racial, religious, or LGBT minorities need to be protected? By singling out just one "minority" group and giving it this special status we have made the marginalizing of all these other groups all the greater.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
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The voting systems for Senate and the EC in the US, and the Senate here, give disproportionate weight to votes of those in smaller states. A referendum to amend the constitution here has to be passed by a majority of voters in a majority of states; again, that gives disproportionate weight to votes in smaller states. At least we can vote for the Senates - unlike Canada where Senators are appointed, and the House of Lords in the UK with a strange system combining those appointed for life with the remainder voted in by an extremely limited franchise.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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I'm going to sit on my temper real hard here.
Look, the premise of the United States is that we are not organized only as individuals, but as -- wait for it -- actual STATES. That is, communities of people whose geographical location causes them to share certain interests. And those interests are NOT purely slavery, thank-you-very-much. In fact, the least-populated states are just as much in the North or middle as in the South. More so, if you consider Texas and Florida to be in any way "South."
There is nothing wrong with shared interests. There is nothing wrong with seeking consideration for those shared interests on a federal level. That's why we have the United States, rather than 50 independent states. The intention was some sort of cooperation. And cooperation ought to flow more than one way.
It's damnably rude to characterize all of rural America as "ignorant." It also makes any reasonable discussion go right down the crapper. Rural America did not elect Donald Trump on its own. Some of rural America voted blue. Some of heavily-developed America voted red. And it isn't rural America that has him holed up in a tower right now, planning God-knows-what kind of shit.
If you want to get rid of the electoral college, I have one question for you: If this election had turned out the other way (and how I wish it did!), would you honestly still want the EC gone?
Times change. Killing the EC because you're pissed about two elections is silly. (Don't anyone tell me you're still angsting about Benjamin Harrison.)
If you're going to kill the thing, first figure out how you're going to handle fairness to places like Alaska.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Look, the premise of the United States is that we are not organized only as individuals, but as -- wait for it -- actual STATES. That is, communities of people whose geographical location causes them to share certain interests.
And that made more sense in a time where it took days or months to communicate between areas.
quote:
The intention was some sort of cooperation. And cooperation ought to flow more than one way.
Being divided into states that seek to protect their POV, regardless of whether or not it is actually threatened, isn't conducive to cooperation.
quote:
It's damnably rude to characterize all of rural America as "ignorant."
I did not characterise all of rural America as ignorant. But I find it hard to find reasons people voted for Trump other than racism, misogyny, xenophobia and ignorance.
quote:
Rural America did not elect Donald Trump on its own.
This population density map is very similar to this voting map.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
I'm going to sit on my temper real hard here.
I'm not sure how much of that is a response to my prior post and how much is others', but I'll respond/ take responsibility for my share as best I can:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Look, the premise of the United States is that we are not organized only as individuals, but as -- wait for it -- actual STATES. That is, communities of people whose geographical location causes them to share certain interests. And those interests are NOT purely slavery, thank-you-very-much. In fact, the least-populated states are just as much in the North or middle as in the South. More so, if you consider Texas and Florida to be in any way "South."
Sure. My comment about slavery was re the original compromise that led to the EC-- at least as I understand it. There is a lot that has been written speculating on why the founding fathers gave us this particular compromise, but it is clear at least that it was a compromise, and in fact, primarily a compromise between north and south. Of course, at the time of the constitution, slavery was legal in both north and south, and much of the country on both sides of Mason/Dixon was agricultural-- and more people lived in small towns than large cities. But... the plantation system with large numbers of slaves was more unique to the South, and that has been suggested as a rationale for the EC/differing interests.
None of which is really relevant today- as you rightly point out. I brought it up merely as a historical point when replaying the history, but failed to make that clear.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
It's damnably rude to characterize all of rural America as "ignorant." It also makes any reasonable discussion go right down the crapper.
Agreed. I'm not sure that argument has been made here, but it certainly has in the wider media.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Rural America did not elect Donald Trump on its own. Some of rural America voted blue. Some of heavily-developed America voted red. And it isn't rural America that has him holed up in a tower right now, planning God-knows-what kind of shit.
I'm having a hard time getting a handle on who DID elect Trump-- just as I did all thru the election. Which goes of course to the echo chamber effect. But the best I can see is that "rural white evangelical male" was the best predictor of being a Trump voter-- with at least three of the four needing to be in place to be an accurate assessment. So it certainly isn't "rural" alone, just as "white" isn't and neither is "evangelical". Similar to what I said earlier when it was laid at the feet of white women and/or evangelicals. And of course, there are outliers on both sides of that equation.
fwiw, the largest agricultural producer in the country is, as you no doubt know, blue-state California (although the San Joaquin valley is a red enclave within our blueness).
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
There is nothing wrong with shared interests. There is nothing wrong with seeking consideration for those shared interests on a federal level. That's why we have the United States, rather than 50 independent states. The intention was some sort of cooperation. And cooperation ought to flow more than one way.
Sure. And both parties play that by cobbling together coalitions with shared interests. My question-- and it was purely off-the-cuff musing that may not bear up to scrutiny-- was whether the ONE particular "shared interest" being protected by the EC-- i.e. the shared interests of voters in less-populated vs more-populated areas-- need or should be protected any MORE than other sorts of shared interests-- e.g. the shared interests of racial minorities, or immigrants, or LGBT folks? Why does this ONE group need special protection?
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
If you want to get rid of the electoral college, I have one question for you: If this election had turned out the other way (and how I wish it did!), would you honestly still want the EC gone?
Certainly a fair question, and one that has been asked all along, as well it should. One I've asked myself.
And to be honest, I doubt I would feel as strongly about it if it weren't having this outcome, and particularly if we hadn't seen such a dramatic shift from the popular vote. We have all lost elections before, but this election was experienced differently by liberal voters in blue states because of the echo-chamber effect and the misleading predictions. We went into it so, well, cocky & sure of ourselves (which, of course, is one of many, many factors to blame in the whole mess) that we were blindsided by the result. Which then is amplified when we hear the results of the popular vote.
Really, it can probably best be described as the "five stages of grieving", and we're all at different stages. There was/is a lot of denial-- which is feeding conspiracy theories and possibly the calls for recounts/accusations of Russian tampering, etc. Then there's bargaining-- the EC debate probably comes under that. Not very many of us have gotten to "acceptance" yet. Perhaps we never will.
I was just sharing with a RL friend today that I haven't really figured out for myself what a healthy response to the election would look like. I am aware of this huge disconnect between my own experience and that of Trump voters-- that I don't get them, don't understand them, and am not hearing their voices represented in the media I consume. So, on the one hand, I feel a responsibility to read/listen more widely. Yet, otoh, that sort of wider conversation seems (for me personally) to only feed the unhealthy responses-- fear, anger, bitterness-- on my part. It just hasn't been healthy for my soul. But then (if I'm allowed a 3rd hand) I'm thinking about how to organize to protect/ advocate for the interests I'm concerned about-- the things that motivated my lefty vote in the first place. I'm still wrestling with all of that on a personal level, much less trying to think about what it should look like for the DNC or lefty voters as a whole.
So, your question is well-placed, but for me personally, just a drop in a bigger morass of soul-searching.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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It's not you, Cliffdweller. You have nuance and tend to see both sides.
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Look, the premise of the United States is that we are not organized only as individuals, but as -- wait for it -- actual STATES. That is, communities of people whose geographical location causes them to share certain interests.
And that made more sense in a time where it took days or months to communicate between areas.
Tell me, lilBuddha, are you an American? Because you don't seem to get the point of having states. Your problem appears to be, not so much with the electoral college, as with the concept of states per se.
You might want to go and do some thinking on why we bother with states at all, as opposed to countries who keep everything in a single population group.
Hint: States are NOT simply convenient administrative units. Nor are they gerrymandered district lines--their origins are more organic than that.
Which is why the EC takes notice of states and not merely individuals.
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
But that's where most of the population is! They're responsible for a lot of economic output primarily because they have a lot of people, not because they're simply full of rich people.
I don't really think it's either. There areas with high population, and high population density that have low economic output. I also don't think I've said anything along the lines of economic output being tied to the presence of a bunch of "rich people". Rather, what seems to be happening as evidenced in the Brookings Institution research, is the economic output is being shifted to a narrower slice of geography and that this is also creating a concentration of wealth. I don't think this is actually due to a population shift, rather it seems to be an economic shift. The shift being to technology and services focus and away from manufacturing. This has been going on for a while, and seems to have reached a tipping point in this election. The losers in the new economic climate seemed to have said they have had enough, and were willing to elect someone who in any other circumstances would be seemingly unelectable (and who it seems tried to do everything possible to ensure his own defeat).
quote:
You seem determined to try to find some interpretation, however strained, which makes the Democrats out to be the party of the rich elite. But acreage doesn't vote, counties don't vote - people do. And the exit polls I linked to before show the only income ranges the Democrats won were below $50k.
I really don't feel like I'm straining to find an interpretation here, I'm looking at the numbers (not that it matters, but I am a registered independent who did not vote for Trump or Clinton), so I also don't think I'm trying to advance anyone's agenda.
You did earlier point out in the exit poll data that my guess that Trump may have carried the sub $50k median income range was wrong. I did mention earlier I was surprised at how close the upper income brackets were in terms of the split between Trump and Clinton in that exit poll data. Where Trump did have the largest edge in the poll data you posted was in the $50 to $90k range, and that was really where his victory probably came from. In most other circumstances, those $50 to $90k range voters in Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania would probably vote Democratic. That was the deciding factor.
quote:
This is hardly new - check out these plots of party identification by income quintile, 2000-2009 (from here), and see how Democratic ID falls with income and Republican ID rises. Same story in similar plots for Democratic presidential vote by income quintile, 1980-2000.
The plots are very interesting and seem to line up with the exit poll data you posted. You are correct about the falling and rising with the party affiliation graphs, but there is an interesting shift within the numbers. If you look at the third and fourth quintiles (income brackets probably normally considered middle class), you see the number who identify as Democrat started to dip, it appears around 2007/2008 as I make out the x axis. In the highest quintile, there has been a steady rise in those who identify as Democratic starting in around 2004. It's an interesting shift, and I think lines up with what I was saying earlier. In the who votes column charts you posted you can see the proportion of those who voted Democratic in 1980 that were in the highest income bracket was 35%, and it went up to 43% in 2000.
I really enjoyed looking the numbers you found, so thanks for posting them.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
If you want to get rid of the electoral college, I have one question for you: If this election had turned out the other way (and how I wish it did!), would you honestly still want the EC gone?
I think it’s fair to say that had the election gone to Clinton, there would not be a murmur about the electoral college. Whether we wish it gone or not, it is incredibly unlikely if not essentially impossible that it will be going away. If I were in the Clinton camp I would not waste time with sour grapes over this, I would try and figure out how a slam dunk was bricked.
One thing I do think should change, although I doubt will, is the nominating process.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
You might want to go and do some thinking on why we bother with states at all, as opposed to countries who keep everything in a single population group.
The states are precisely administrative units. That is why they were developed.
No country is homogeneous. And yet many manage to have a more centralised government. I am suggesting that states are less necessary now than in the past.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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I repeat--are you an American? Because your bare assertion is remarkably unconvincing if not.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
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Either my statement has merit or it does not. If it does not, can you explain why it does not?
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
But that's where most of the population is! They're responsible for a lot of economic output primarily because they have a lot of people, not because they're simply full of rich people.
I don't really think it's either. There areas with high population, and high population density that have low economic output. I also don't think I've said anything along the lines of economic output being tied to the presence of a bunch of "rich people". Rather, what seems to be happening as evidenced in the Brookings Institution research, is the economic output is being shifted to a narrower slice of geography and that this is also creating a concentration of wealth.
No - from your own WaPo link: quote:
But it's not the case that the counties Clinton won have grown richer at the expense of the rest of the country — they represent about the same share of the economy today as they did in 2000.
quote:
The losers in the new economic climate seemed to have said they have had enough, and were willing to elect someone who in any other circumstances would be seemingly unelectable (and who it seems tried to do everything possible to ensure his own defeat).
Only if the definition of "losers" somehow manages to exclude the people at the bottom of the income distribution, most of whom supported the Democratic candidate (as per usual.) quote:
quote:
You seem determined to try to find some interpretation, however strained, which makes the Democrats out to be the party of the rich elite. But acreage doesn't vote, counties don't vote - people do. And the exit polls I linked to before show the only income ranges the Democrats won were below $50k.
I really don't feel like I'm straining to find an interpretation here, I'm looking at the numbers (not that it matters, but I am a registered independent who did not vote for Trump or Clinton), so I also don't think I'm trying to advance anyone's agenda.
A favored but unsupported theory doesn't necessarily have to be someone else's agenda, or even your own agenda. But if, after you find yourself surprised by facts that seem to contradict what your narrative would have lead you to expect, you then find yourself still looking for support in ever smaller features of the data, perhaps it's a sign that what you took to be useful view of what's going on isn't as helpfully explanatory as you thought it might be.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
Either my statement has merit or it does not. If it does not, can you explain why it does not?
I can and will, but not over this crappy wifi. Are you going to answer, or keep evading the question?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
Either my statement has merit or it does not. If it does not, can you explain why it does not?
I can and will, but not over this crappy wifi. Are you going to answer, or keep evading the question?
I don't do much in the way of direct biographical information. But I do not see how that matters to this bit of this discussion.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
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Not American then. Right.
I'll make it as clear as I can.
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
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hosting/
Lamb Chopped, persisting in trying to elicit personal information from another Shipmate when they have already made it clear they don't want to divulge it qualifies as a personal attack from my perspective. Back off.
/hosting
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
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ISTM the two-vote state element in the college is of no great importance, and has far as I am aware has not been decisive in determining the outcome of any presidential election, at least in recent times. It's a red herring.
Surely, more problematical in democratic terms is the composition of the Senate.
The democratic credentials of US institutions are also called into question by the Supreme Court, which exercises considerable political power but is unaccountable to the public for its decisions.
The US, in short, is a funny sort of democracy, aint it?
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
No - from your own WaPo link: But it's not the case that the counties Clinton won have grown richer at the expense of the rest of the country — they represent about the same share of the economy today as they did in 2000.
Right, but I don't believe that actually contradicts anything I've said. To quote the fuller section
This appears to be unprecedented, in the era of modern economic statistics, for a losing presidential candidate. The last candidate to win the popular vote but lose the electoral college, Democrat Al Gore in 2000, won counties that generated about 54 percent of the country's gross domestic product, the Brookings researchers calculated. That's true even though Gore won more than 100 more counties in 2000 than Clinton did in 2016. In between those elections, U.S. economic activity has grown increasingly concentrated in large, “superstar” metro areas, such as Silicon Valley and New York. But it's not the case that the counties Clinton won have grown richer at the expense of the rest of the country — they represent about the same share of the economy today as they did in 2000. Instead, it appears that, compared to Gore, Clinton was much more successful in winning over the most successful counties in a geographically unbalanced economy.
To sum up what the analysis is saying can be described this way
1. There is a long standing imbalance in the economy which is manifesting itself in an increasingly divided geography.
2. The imbalance is being further exacerbated by a concentration of the parts of the geography not just doing well, but doing really well.
3. Clinton took 100 fewer counties than Gore, but 10% more of the economic output of the country. This has never happened before.
4. To quote again "the Democratic base aligning more to that more concentrated modern economy, but a lot of votes and anger to be had in the rest of the country."
My own interpretation of the other numbers you posted is that
1. The lower income brackets remain solidly blue.
2. The middle tiers are dipping in blue affiliation.
3. The upper tier is rising as a blue demographic.
San Francisco might be a microcosm of this.
Overall, in light of this concentration, the electoral college now seems suddenly incredibly relevant for the foreseeable future.
quote:
Only if the definition of "losers" somehow manages to exclude the people at the bottom of the income distribution, most of whom supported the Democratic candidate (as per usual.)
My apologies for lack of clarity there. The economic losers whose interests are typically thought to be solidly blue, but that went red. A breaking point seems to have been reached in this election because they don't feel like their economic concerns were being addressed.
quote:
But if, after you find yourself surprised by facts that seem to contradict what your narrative would have lead you to expect, you then find yourself still looking for support in ever smaller features of the data, perhaps it's a sign that what you took to be useful view of what's going on isn't as helpfully explanatory as you thought it might be.
I have not seen the contradictory facts, but I am absolutely open to an alternate explanation of what's going on utilizing the data at hand. Focusing on the subsets of data would indeed be wrong, if done at the exclusion or without reference to the larger data set. The averages are important, but so are the deviations and outliers. They do not negate each other. Looking for the small changes in the overall picture helps you figure out the part we can't see, and that's what the model will look like going forward. I am quite curious to hear your interpretation of what happened, again based on what the data makes available to us.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
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quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
No - from your own WaPo link: But it's not the case that the counties Clinton won have grown richer at the expense of the rest of the country — they represent about the same share of the economy today as they did in 2000.
Right, but I don't believe that actually contradicts anything I've said.
It contradicts this: quote:
what seems to be happening as evidenced in the Brookings Institution research, is the economic output is being shifted to a narrower slice of geography and that this is also creating a concentration of wealth.
According to the WaPo article, those counties haven't grown relatively richer since 2000.
The problem may simply be incoherence in the WaPo article itself: quote:
In between those elections, U.S. economic activity has grown increasingly concentrated in large, “superstar” metro areas, such as Silicon Valley and New York.
In what sense has economic activity grown increasingly concentrated if the counties in question have about the same share of the economy as before?
This whole WaPo/Brookings attempt to explain the results through the lens of county-level income seems dubious to me. The WaPo article seems to have no link to any Brookings publications on this, if there are any; I'd be reluctant to place a lot of weight on an article which contains apparently contradictory statements about what's supposed to be a key explanatory factor for which historical trends aren't presented. The article says Brookings researchers found this while "sifting the election returns"; without the context of any previous supporting analyses, it sounds suspiciously like data dredging. quote:
My own interpretation of the other numbers you posted is that
1. The lower income brackets remain solidly blue.
2. The middle tiers are dipping in blue affiliation.
3. The upper tier is rising as a blue demographic.
I think the blue lines in the party ID graphs are remarkably steady - I highly doubt you could find any significant trends that would support this interpretation. (The only consistent trend over time that I see is an apparent shift in ID from Republican to independent, which seems to be common across all quintiles.) quote:
quote:
But if, after you find yourself surprised by facts that seem to contradict what your narrative would have lead you to expect, you then find yourself still looking for support in ever smaller features of the data, perhaps it's a sign that what you took to be useful view of what's going on isn't as helpfully explanatory as you thought it might be.
I have not seen the contradictory facts,
I was referring to your surprise that Clinton won low income voters, a fact that contradicted what you said you expected. quote:
[snip]
I am quite curious to hear your interpretation of what happened, again based on what the data makes available to us.
And if I had a compelling interpretation, I'd be happy to share it with you! Sadly, I haven't heard one yet. And if I had, I doubt it could be entirely based on "data" - certainly not just on things at the level of county wealth statistics. It would have to take into account such things as the fact people's preference for Trump over Clinton was better predicted by their belief that Obama is a Muslim than by their level of economic anxiety, the collapse of the Republican party establishment's role as gatekeeper to its own nomination process, and the Democratic party's own severe but different failures in that process.
The result of the election was decided by very thin margins in a few swing states. That suggests there are probably a large number of factors which could have made the difference if they had been slightly different; in such circumstances, it's probably not meaningful to point at any one of them and say "This explains it!"
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
ISTM the two-vote state element in the college is of no great importance, and has far as I am aware has not been decisive in determining the outcome of any presidential election, at least in recent times. It's a red herring.
How is it NOT a factor in this election? Is this not precisely the reason that HIllary lost, despite being ahead more than 2 million votes in the overall tally?
Posted by Augustine the Aleut (# 1472) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
You might want to go and do some thinking on why we bother with states at all, as opposed to countries who keep everything in a single population group.
The states are precisely administrative units. That is why they were developed.
No country is homogeneous. And yet many manage to have a more centralised government. I am suggesting that states are less necessary now than in the past.
I have always been a bit (not a lot) puzzled as to why there has been no serious move to redraw state boundaries. The logic for a number of states no longer exists, either because the politics of their formation no longer applies (e.g., Nevada) or the improvement in communications renders their continuance wasteful (why two Dakotas?). Surely Alabama and Mississippi could be united? as could Idaho and Montana, saving a substantial sum in state government. Bits of states could be hived off to form a more natural entity, such as northern Minnesota and Wisconsin with the Upper Peninsula of Michigan.
Posted by Prester John (# 5502) on
:
How would a similar proposal be met in Canada? Particularly if Quebec was involved?
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
It's kind of immaterial anyway. You fight elections with the electoral system your country's got, not the sort that you would design if you were allowed to start from scratch.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
cliffdweller quote:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
ISTM the two-vote state element in the college is of no great importance, and has far as I am aware has not been decisive in determining the outcome of any presidential election, at least in recent times. It's a red herring.
[Confused] How is it NOT a factor in this election? Is this not precisely the reason that HIllary lost, despite being ahead more than 2 million votes in the overall tally?
Trump 30 States = 60 college votes
Clinton 20 States = 40 college votes
If the 2- vote state element is removed the result is:
Trump 306-60 = 240 votes
Clinton 232-40 = 192 votes
Therefore Trump still wins without the 2- vote per state element
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Yes, Eutychus.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
Combining small states would reduce their representation in Congress so would never be allowed. Same with dividing up big states - chop up California into several pieces and we'd have more Senators. It's not administrative convenience or sense that matters, it's power.
Trump has now gone against decades of carefully worked out US foreign policy and had a chat with Taiwan's president. I am no huge fan of much is US foreign policy, but I do appreciate that people generally sit down and think about it before making a move. If Trump persists in conducting it on the fly, he stands a good chance of getting us all killed.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Trump 30 States = 60 college votes
Clinton 20 States = 40 college votes
If the 2- vote state element is removed the result is:
Trump 306-60 = 240 votes
Clinton 232-40 = 192 votes
Therefore Trump still wins without the 2- vote per state element
This is because Representatives are not, in fact, doled out among the states based on equal numbers of population. In California each Representative represents 465k people. In Arkansas, 29k. So the House is skewed toward smaller states also. Grossly so.
Source
[ 03. December 2016, 16:34: Message edited by: mousethief ]
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Mousethiief, I think you are confusing the ratio of population per state senator not United States Senator. That has nothing to do with the distribution of electors in the electoral college. (Check your source).
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
House representation isn't as skewed as that, and it's not so clearly in favor of small states; the most over-represented per (voting) House seat are in small states (RI, WY, WV) but so are some of the most under-represented (MO, DE, SD). Basically it's a small-integer problem - states just under the cutoff for getting a second rep will be under-represented; states just over will be over-represented.
But even if you equalized the representation so that each state got a number of electors strictly proportional to its population, Trump still would have won if all the states were winner-take-all, as nearly all of them now are: although she won a plurality of the popular vote overall, the 20 states Clinton won have 43% of the population.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Mousethiief, I think you are confusing the ratio of population per state senator not United States Senator. That has nothing to do with the distribution of electors in the electoral college. (Check your source).
Here is a mjor flaw in how the electoral college is set up.
quote:
most states have an all-or-nothing approach to the Electoral College. A candidate can win a state by just a handful of votes but get all the electors. That happened in 2000, when George W. Bush, after much dispute, won Florida by 537 votes out of about 6 million and got all 27 electoral votes. He won the presidential election but lost the national popular vote that year.
{From a Huffington Post article on the 2012 election.)
So not only is the electoral college a misrepresentation of the population in general, but of many states as well.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
The thing about states is that they are essentially 50 tiny (or not so tiny) cultures. Each has its own origin story (one of the thirteen colonies? Part of the Louisiana Purchase? Spanish or Russian history?). Each came into the Union at different times and under different circumstances—Texas was briefly an independent republic; California history involves a military “do-over” if I recall correctly, in which someone raised a flag a couple days early and had to take it down, then officially do it right a few days later. Hawaii had royalty. Pennsylvania had a considerably more relaxed history of religious tolerance than its neighbors with a lot of Quaker influence. Missouri was one of the states that came into the Union in pairs, one slave and one free, in order to keep the numbers balanced.
As a result, each state has its own local cultural traditions (including food, language, architecture, etc.) California is heavily influenced by Spain and Mexico, of course, but also by Asia (Chinese laborers were IRC the first big influx). School flyers always came home in Spanish as well as English. Oklahoma had Indian territory, where some of my ancestors lived. Louisiana of course has a heavy French influence.
Civil War history divides the states still. There are Northern states, former Confederate states, and states like Missouri, where you can find monuments to both sides—the result of being caught in the middle. There are also states like California for whom the Civil War is largely “something that happened elsewhere” and does not loom nearly so large in the public consciousness as it does elsewhere.
There are climate and weather differences—desert, coastal regions, forest, Great Plains. There are industry differences—Michigan with its auto industry has had very different concerns to Iowa with farming, or California with fruit growing and Silicon Valley and communications/media.
The point I’m trying to make is that these 50 cultures grew from the bottom up to form the United States—it was never the case that someone in the federal government simply marked out 50 administrative divisions which were more or less arbitrary and called it good. Which is why it is virtually impossible to imagine simply redrawing state boundaries or combining states without a huge mess. The people would refuse. Imagine what it would be to expect, say, Scotland, Wales, and England to give up their own distinctness and form one big blob. Not happening.
(This, by the way, is why the people of Washington D.C. just voted to petition for statehood. They did not vote to ask to be absorbed by either neighboring state, which would have made more sense, administratively speaking. They have their own culture, their own industry (government, ach!) and want to be treated as the states are. But separately, on their own.)
And this (the culture thing) is the deepest reason why the electoral college (and Congress) give every state a guaranteed allotment of representatives. It is not, and has never, been about simply dealing with individuals in the population as a whole. The U.S. has always had to give voice, not just to persons, but to each of those 50 cultures I mentioned—that is, the states. It is the states which built the Union. It was never the other way around. Even within the gigantic semi-empty-slate territories, it was left to the local people to get their act together, establish a government, and petition for admission as a state—or not, as they chose. The proto-state had to start it.
No state is going to accept the federal government hacking away at it. (It MAY accept its own population choosing to redraw stuff, but those weirdos from Washington? Heck no.) No state is going to give up its precious two senators in Congress, or the corresponding bare minimum number of electors in the college, no matter how low its population. A state is a living community, a group organism of sorts, if you will. And it’s not going to accept being voiceless. (IMHO the only people who would consider such possibilities are those who come from high population states, as they know they will have a voice regardless.)
Oh, and it's not going to allow the feds to dictate how its electors get used either. Whether all its electors vote as a bloc, or whether they get apportioned to reflect the state popular vote--and what happens in the case of a faithless elector--those are local state considerations, and the federal government gets no say in it. You'd probably need a Constitutional amendment to rip that decision out of individual state hands.
[ 03. December 2016, 19:02: Message edited by: Lamb Chopped ]
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
To me that's an argument for precisely why the EC should be eliminated. We aren't apt to redraw the arbitrary state lines, but as long as they are drawn in this way, it means certain interests are over-represented and others are under-represented. Some special interests fall along geographical lines (e.g. rural vs. urban, immigration) but others much less so (disabilities, LGBT issues). The current division amplifies division and advocates for some special interests over others.
Of course, changing anything about the current system which is pretty much impossible-- precisely because it is already stacked with representatives who advocate for those prioritized geographical special interests and therefore have no motivation to change anything to advocate for different (non-geographical interests).
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
If you want to get rid of the electoral college, I have one question for you: If this election had turned out the other way (and how I wish it did!), would you honestly still want the EC gone?
Yes.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
If you're going to kill the thing, first figure out how you're going to handle fairness to places like Alaska.
Again that begs the question. What you're describing as "fair" is that in addition to a slightly disproportionate advantage in the House of Representatives and a massively disproportionate advantage in the Senate, the people of Alaska also need to have a disproportionate amount of influence over the selection of the President. Left unsaid is why this qualifies as "fair". What so special about the 710,231 residents of Alaska (2010 census) that makes it "fair" to boost their electoral influence in a way that's not extended to the 839,631 residents of Kern County, California? I'm not convinced by your argument that an oil rig worker in Kern County (primary economic activities: agriculture and fossil fuel extraction) has a "shared interest" with a computer engineer in Santa Clara County (so they can be lumped together in an electorally disadvantageous configuration) but an Alaskan oil rig worker is so different he needs his vote boosted.
Even if we were to accept that this is in some way "fair", it seems to fail in practical terms. How many visits did each candidates in the last election make to Alaska? What proportion of their advertising budget was spent trying to convince Alaskans that Alaskan concerns would be addressed? If the purpose of the electoral college is to make the president address the concerns of Alaska (and other low-population states), it would seem to fail on those terms.
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
ISTM the two-vote state element in the college is of no great importance, and has far as I am aware has not been decisive in determining the outcome of any presidential election, at least in recent times. It's a red herring.
The 2000 election comes to mind. Without the +2/state boost the final count would have been Gore 224, Bush 211. That seems like "recent times" to me, but YMMV.
Now I'll agree that the +2 EV/state is usually a minor factor, but it's just one of a number of anti-democratic thumbs the electoral college puts on the political scales. A far more serious one is the winner-take-all system, which is not constitutionally mandated but is an obvious logical outgrowth of the development of the party system. If a state's electoral weight all goes to the candidate with a plurality of the votes you can end up with a result where a razor-thin margin in just enough states carries a victory despite massively lopsided losses elsewhere, leading to a winner who received fewer votes than his chief opponent. In other words, the situation in 2016.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
To me that's an argument for precisely why the EC should be eliminated. We aren't apt to redraw the arbitrary state lines, but as long as they are drawn in this way, it means certain interests are over-represented and others are under-represented. Some special interests fall along geographical lines (e.g. rural vs. urban, immigration) but others much less so (disabilities, LGBT issues). The current division amplifies division and advocates for some special interests over others.
Of course, changing anything about the current system which is pretty much impossible-- precisely because it is already stacked with representatives who advocate for those prioritized geographical special interests and therefore have no motivation to change anything to advocate for different (non-geographical interests).
Presumably LGBT and disability populations are spread evenly, as you point out, and therefore should be fine with the current representation. (The responsibility to lobby one's neighbors is a universal one, and not something to duck by gerrymandering borders or Macgyvering election procedures. Particularly because doing so will only set up further problems for an endless set of other special interests, which will then call for new gerrymandering.)
Racial and ethnic stuff is NOT spread evenly,
*****************
Look, as long as we have differences at all (geographical, climate, racial, ethnic, linguistic, sexual, whatever) any system will appear to overrepresent certain interests and underrepresent others. That includes the system of a straight popular vote. Swapping our current system for another (of any stripe) is not going to change the problem. It will just shove it off on to a different set of people. How is that fair?
What we really should NOT do is to visualize the kind of country we personally want to see (left-leaning, Democrat, LGBTwhatever, city-dwelling, and so forth) and then redraw the lines, or the election process, to get what we want. Because a) it's not fair, and b) we'll get screwed in the end anyway, because people change. 100 years from now whatever special interests we are attempting to privilege will have morphed into something else, and we'll have to MacGyver the process again. (For example, it's not completely impossible that the urbanization we see now could reverse itself with the rise of doing-everything-over-the-internet. At which point everything has to be revisited again, with the same dislocation to society. And shouts of unfairness.)
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Look, as long as we have differences at all (geographical, climate, racial, ethnic, linguistic, sexual, whatever) any system will appear to overrepresent certain interests and underrepresent others. That includes the system of a straight popular vote.
How would a straight popular vote over- or under-represent interests?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Presumably LGBT and disability populations are spread evenly,
Well, this is problematic. Even if LGBT people are born with the same percentage in any given area, they will not be treated the same. Let's give the commonly accepted percentage of just under 4%. This means, in lower population density, a lot fewer people and that means less exposure and less influence. It is no accident that acceptance of LGBT+ follows population density. And not only will you have more LGBT+ people, those born in rural areas will more likely move to areas where there is support and acceptance, thereby skewing the numbers further.
[ 04. December 2016, 00:23: Message edited by: lilBuddha ]
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Dave W.:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Look, as long as we have differences at all (geographical, climate, racial, ethnic, linguistic, sexual, whatever) any system will appear to overrepresent certain interests and underrepresent others. That includes the system of a straight popular vote.
How would a straight popular vote over- or under-represent interests?
Okay, let's take a very real example. Imagine you live in California (along with roughly 39 million other people.) You need water, because most parts of the state are undersupplied for the number of people living there and growing fruit etc. You therefore hold certain views about the Colorado River, which supplies much of California's water needs.
Your sister lives in Arizona, along with less than 7 million other people. Her state, too, has an interest in the water of the Colorado (which, incidentally, gets to her state before it reaches yours).
Say we handle this water issue on a straight popular vote. Who do you think is going to win the bulk of the water, hands down, every freaking time?
This is why Arizona needs its two Senators in Congress. In the Senate, no state can simply overpower another one through pure population weight. Arizona gets a hearing just as California does, and the fact that one has vastly more people is accounted for in the House (where California gets 53 and Arizona only 9, as of 2013, anyway).
It's a balancing act.
And it would not be hard to think up parallel scenarios involving theoretical presidential candidates, which is why the number of electors is set equal to total number of reps in Congress, both House and Senate.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Presumably LGBT and disability populations are spread evenly,
Well, this is problematic. Even if LGBT people are born with the same percentage in any given area, they will not be treated the same. Let's give the commonly accepted percentage of just under 4%. This means, in lower population density, a lot fewer people and that means less exposure and less influence. It is no accident that acceptance of LGBT+ follows population density. And not only will you have more LGBT+ people, those born in rural areas will more likely move to areas where there is support and acceptance, thereby skewing the numbers further.
Who said anything about being treated the same? I'm talking about the number of human beings for whom this is an issue, and who can get politically active about it. Moving is a solution to personal needs, but not a solution to changing the country as a whole, which is presumably what you're wanting. And speaking mathematically, I don't see that you're going to be better off with a popular vote as opposed to an electoral vote. Remember, the heavy hitters in the electoral college are the high population states. These are precisely the ones that you are identifying as already LGBT friendly. Won't you get the same result?
Really, if you imagine a rather heartless chess player moving people all over the country at whim, the LGBT community / disabled / mentally ill / immigrants / etc. would be better served to leave the high population states and go and concentrate themselves in the lower ones. There they would quickly become a sizable percentage of the voting population (which is smaller) and be changing a hostile climate, to boot.
As for this,
quote:
Let's give the commonly accepted percentage of just under 4%. This means, in lower population density, a lot fewer people and that means less exposure and less influence.
I think you've got a math problem. If 4% of the population have influence amounting to x, scaling up the population (and the absolute number of people belonging in the 4%) does not translate into extra influence power. That is still x--because the number of people to be influenced has increased at the same rate.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kwesi:
Mousethiief, I think you are confusing the ratio of population per state senator not United States Senator. That has nothing to do with the distribution of electors in the electoral college. (Check your source).
So I see. Sorry about that.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
There are industry differences—Michigan with its auto industry has had very different concerns to Iowa with farming,
Actually they will share a lot more than you suppose. from the US department of Agriculture: quote:
64 percent of all vegetable sales and 66 percent of all dairy sales come from the 3 percent of farms that are large or very large family farms.
This means those "family" farms are actually big business.
This does not include corporate farms or that farmers are beholden to corporations to sell their goods. Or the corporate entities that produce the equipment that family farms use. Or that family farms employ fewer people and can be as automated as they can afford to be.
The image of Ma and Pa farmer is one used politically, but not quite accurate any longer.
quote:
The point I’m trying to make is that these 50 cultures grew from the bottom up to form the United States
I'm not arguing this. I am saying that the reasons less valid today.
quote:
—it was never the case that someone in the federal government simply marked out 50 administrative divisions which were more or less arbitrary and called it good.
This is actually the case for a fair percentage of the states. But the specific reasons for the bordering of certain states are less relevant today and the source of unnecessary division.
quote:
Which is why it is virtually impossible to imagine simply redrawing state boundaries or combining states without a huge mess.
I'm not actually suggesting redrawing the state boundaries, just changing the way they are represented. A simple change that would help would be to assign all electors proportionately to the vote.
quote:
Imagine what it would be to expect, say, Scotland, Wales, and England to give up their own distinctness and form one big blob. Not happening.
This is how things are seen now by some. But remember England itself was many kingdoms.
quote:
The U.S. has always had to give voice, not just to persons, but to each of those 50 cultures I mentioned—that is, the states. It is the states which built the Union.
Not my understanding of US history. There has always been a mix of state v federal. From the country's very inception. The federal government has redrawn state boundaries more than once, it has curbed state ambition more than once.
Given that the lower density states do not wish to cede perceived importance, I think change would be difficult. This is not to say change is not needed or that the current system is equitable.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
I think you've got a math problem. If 4% of the population have influence amounting to x, scaling up the population (and the absolute number of people belonging in the 4%) does not translate into extra influence power. That is still x--because the number of people to be influenced has increased at the same rate.
So, 4 people out of 100 are LGBT+. This means in a group of 10, there may not be any. In a group of 100, there may only be 4. Those 4 will be directly opposing 96 people. In a city of 100,000, there would be 4,000 people. No 4,000 grouping of any sort will have direct contact with all the other 96,000, 4,000n people nhave a greater voice among 100,000 than 4 among 96. Everything scales this way.
BTW, if you are interested in grouping people by culture, here is a map that makes more sense.
[ 04. December 2016, 01:14: Message edited by: lilBuddha ]
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
LC: I think I understand. I take under- or over-representation to be deviation from equal representation, of the one-person-one-vote variety, and so your example seems to me to illustrate exactly the opposite of what you seem to think it does. I'd say you're arguing that certain small groups of people should be over-represented, and certain large groups of people should be under-represented. In your usage, interests are under- or over-represented to the extent that you think they're going to be unfairly disadvantaged or advantaged, but your notion of fairness isn't linked to a principle of numerical equality.
quote:
Say we handle this water issue on a straight popular vote. Who do you think is going to win the bulk of the water, hands down, every freaking time?
Well, the 39 million people who need a lot more water than the 7 million, I should hope! Do you think the water should be split half for one state and half for the other? I don't find this example to be a very compelling argument for giving a small number of people a great deal more leverage. It's not like industrious Arizonans are themselves creating the water and then being robbed of the product of their virtuous labor by those lazy Californians who can't be arsed to make their own damn water.
I grew up in the most populous state and now live in a relatively small one; I don't think the small state bias in the EC is particularly fair, especially since the presidency isn't a regional office unlike those of representative or senator. If reform were on offer, though, I'd get rid of the winner-take-all aspect first in preference to fighting about the extra two electors.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Maybe it's even more fundamental than that. I'm not arguing for "fair" in the sense that one person has one right, which they themselves are fully aware of and control. Because people just aren't that smart.*
Why should California not have all the water? Because a) it's bad for the ecology (only humans get a vote) and b) because the more you divide up water on the basis of current population (rather than, say, logic and foreseeable consequences), the more you encourage people to move to the already highly-populated-and-thus-entitled California. You see the problem? At what point do we call a halt to increasing that supply? The Colorado is not an unlimited supply. But the number of people who would like to move to California if constraints like water are removed is overwhelming. It's a really, really nice place. I'd like to be there myself. And of course I'd be interested in the (population) "might is right" argument. Except for conscience...
* When I say "people aren't that smart," I am referring to the fact that we regularly vote like dumbasses on subjects that will eventually bit us in the butt, like climate change. Some of those issues may be localized (for now). And thus the people most concerned will be making a stink (as they have every right to do). But suppose the issue is in a low population area (like the planned pipeline through sacred sites in North Dakota). Don't you think that a nationwide popular vote on the issue is going to come down to "Eh, it's just a bunch of Indians out in the middle of nowhere. We need that pipeline for the rest of us"? I think it would. But fucking with people's religion and local ecology is a bad principle with bad effects on the whole nation's character. Seen as a moral issue, it has a national impact. But do I trust a straight popular vote to get it right? No. The local people need the voice that their Constitutionally-mandated two senators give them. Otherwise they have nothing but a single representative in the House--that's what low population gets you. And a potentially nation-wide impact gets buried.
Or suppose the local population is yuuuuugge as an unbeloved Person of Interest has it, and they use that population size to push a really iffy solution. That's another time you want to have a state-based vote (and not straight popular). Take the case of Florida--or any other low-lying coastal state. Sooner or later (sooner, if Trump has his way) they are going to face the question of what to do when the ocean comes lapping up their city streets. Move, or attempt shenanigans with dikes and levees and islands and .... ??? all of which are temporary and extremely expensive, not to mention hazardous and destructive of wildlife, and basically doomed in the (not very) long haul anyway.
If the Floridians are like ordinary people, they will naturally prefer the levee/dike solution. It HURTS to move--to leave beloved places behind--to start over. It sucks like a sucky thing. And naturally they will want the federal government (read: the whole United States) to pump money and labor into their preferred solution. Now this is a local problem, but if it's going to happen, it's going to take national resources. Should it happen? That's the question everyone's going to be asking. And the time will come when the sane answer will be "no," and the last people to see it will be the Floridians. Because human.
Do you see why I don't believe every human body should be handed a single vote's worth of power without the checks and balances that states' votes provide?
People don't always think about what's best for them, let alone for everybody. And given the opportunity, they screw their neighbors in the process of (maybe) figuring it out. Better to give those neighbors a fighting chance.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
lilBuddha, given that my understanding is based on study plus lifelong experience, and yours is based on a couple of articles plus I-have-no-idea, it's really hard to keep having this conversation. Essentially you are telling me I don't know what the hell I'm talking about. And since I cannot ask whether you have personal experience of the U.S. or not, it's hard to know what credence to give to you.
I do note that as far as I can see, no known American shipmates are chiming in to say that states are arbitrary and unimportant. They may wish the electoral college gone for other reasons, but I don't see them supporting the the idea that all that matters is one body, one vote, and where that body is located makes no difference. Would someone like to correct me?
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
Regarding representation level, and the perceived over-representation of interests of less populated states, and L.C.s water rights example.
I do have a question as to whether that isn't already addressed at the senate/congressional level? In fact the representatives at that level have an ongoing say on such issues, and so can represent the state interests as the issues arise.
At the presidential level, could it be time to consider the notion of president for the people, by the people? Rather than for the states, by the states? Genuine question from someone outside the system.
As previously noted, I appreciate the unique character of the states, and why the elections are framed as they are now. And I don't know that the system needs radical revamp as reaction to the 2016 election outcome. Every system will spit out odd results. (In fact, a system of direct representation would have meant a different campaign strategy, and different voter turnout in "safe" states.) It would certainly reduce the focus on the half dozen or so swing states.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
It is indeed addressed in Congress--I brought it up as a (sadly long-winded) way of pointing out that you could have parallel problems with a particular presidential candidate. Sheesh, alliteration!
Sorry if I'm being as clear as mud. I'm not saying it would have made a difference this time around, but that in some future race a parallel could arise, and you'd want those less populated areas to have a say.
There's also the fact that the president represents the third branch of our system, the executive, in distinction to the Congress (legislative). Congress has checks and balances between states vs population; one could argue that the executive branch ought to have similar ones. I think they're built into the electoral college.
[ 04. December 2016, 02:46: Message edited by: Lamb Chopped ]
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
lilBuddha, given that my understanding is based on study plus lifelong experience, and yours is based on a couple of articles plus I-have-no-idea, it's really hard to keep having this conversation. Essentially you are telling me I don't know what the hell I'm talking about.
I am not telling you that you do not know what you are talking about. I am telling you I see things differently.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
I can tell that. But I think we've come down to the point of "I say this, you say that" and we're not getting any forwarder. We're into the realm of flat contradiction, and must agree to disagree.
[ 04. December 2016, 03:25: Message edited by: Lamb Chopped ]
Posted by Augustine the Aleut (# 1472) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Prester John:
How would a similar proposal be met in Canada? Particularly if Quebec was involved?
There have been years of proposals to unite the four Atlantic provinces (NS having 920k, NB 751k, PEI 141k, and Newfoundland & Labrador 514k) and occasional mutterings about uniting the three prairie provinces. Québec nationalists used to muse on extending its boundaries into norther New Brunswick & Ontario, with substantial francophone populations). There is a specific constitutional provision against altering provincial boundaries or merging provinces without the consent of their legislatures and I imagine that provincial parliamentarians would be as enthusiastic as would US legislators to merge states.
In the case of either country, mergers and alterations would be highly rational, greatly advantageous, and extremely unlikely. And as one of my polisci friends noted, to even think that state structures should serve the citizenry rather than those who run the structures is downright bolshie.
I have often wondered what would happen if the electoral college, meeting in each state on the 19th December, would do as the authors of the constitution intended, and review the candidates and nominees, and then cast their votes. This is entirely the world of speculative fiction unless, as is not impossible with elderly candidates, of being faced with candidates expiring between the general election and the meetings of electors.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Just a small thing--in the US, at least, the people doing the resisting would be the citizenry, much more so than the legislators (who spend much of their lives out of state, after all, and have the temptations of self-serving gerrymamdering to contemd with). But the citizens are the ones who are emotionally attached. They aren't going to be happy on purely emotional grounds if (having been a lifelong Missouri mule) they wake up one day to find themselves Hawkeyes (Iowans). Think of it--new tax codes, new criminal laws, and worst of all, new football teams! The horror.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
I think the lawmakers would be at least as resistant to changes in the power structure as the citizenry. There's no benefit to legislators in it. Not to mention other state workers. Combining small states would mean fewer state capital jobs of every kind at every level. No one's going to go for that.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
lilBuddha, given that my understanding is based on study plus lifelong experience, and yours is based on a couple of articles plus I-have-no-idea, it's really hard to keep having this conversation. Essentially you are telling me I don't know what the hell I'm talking about. And since I cannot ask whether you have personal experience of the U.S. or not, it's hard to know what credence to give to you.
I do note that as far as I can see, no known American shipmates are chiming in to say that states are arbitrary and unimportant. They may wish the electoral college gone for other reasons, but I don't see them supporting the the idea that all that matters is one body, one vote, and where that body is located makes no difference. Would someone like to correct me?
Um...yes. I'm an American shipmate, and I've been arguing vs your point all along.
I appreciate your greater knowledge, but I simply can't see the argument you're making here. What am I missing?
To review what's already been said so you can show me the step I'm missing: people in under-populated areas have particular interests (water usage, as you note, being a good one). The EC and Congressional rep. systems are "rigged" (to use loaded language, "designed" to be less so) to allow for that and give those areas an "amplified" vote to prevent those interests from being overwhelmed by the majority voters living in more populated areas.
But there are other minority groups which are not dispersed geographically-- disabilities, LGBT, etc. Their interests are just as important to them as the interests of those in underpopulated areas. They have the exact same danger of having their interests (e.g. marriage equality) ignored or trampled over by a majority population with different interests. BUT they are not given the same amplification that under-populated states are given. That seems incredibly unfair, and even though you've been dialoguing consistently with us about that for days, I still am not recognizing your essential argument about why this should be so.
You make the point that minority groups have to make their argument, to "sell" the majority on why their interests should be addressed. I agree. I just don't see why we're going to such extremes to assist one particular group in doing so without doing the same for others.
This scale-tipping seems to magnify the marginalizing effect for the non-geographic minorities. Not only do they have to content with the simple math of being the minority view, they also have to content with the additional multiplication of one interest groups' votes that are not necessarily aligned with their own. Marriage equality would seem to be a good example of this.
If populated/non-populated interests were the only interests that needed preserving, then why aren't we doing anything to preserve those interests within states? As noted above, the San Joaquin Valley in California is the most productive agricultural region in the world-- immensely important, and concerned about things like, yes, water rights. And yet it is sparsely populated, and thus generally outvoted by the vast majority of Californians clumped together in large urban areas along the coastline.
I'm a lifelong Californian, and have lived both in the high-density coastal areas as well as the very rural sparsely populated San Joaquin valley. As others have noted, the sparsely populated population is often portrayed in heroic terms-- the noble, struggling mom & pop farmer unable to come up against the interests of those wealthy big city businessfolks. But today this is not the norm. In many (though of course not all) of these under-populated areas, what you have is massive agri-businesses who's interests are already being amplified by the other major factor "rigging" the system: money. They have the wealth to exert undo influence over the legislature thru lobbying, etc. Which is why, for example, even though populous California gets an undo share of Colorado river water, a disproportionate percentage at a discount price goes to the underpopulated San Joaquin valley. Which might not be a bad outcome, given that we all need the food they grow. But it does show they're not exactly little David coming up against the massive coastal Goliath..
So again, despite all you're written I'm just not seeing the argument for advantaging this one particular special interest above all other special interests.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
to further pile on: if the states were as naturally organic and effective in representing shared interests as you seem to be arguing, I don't think they'd look like what we have. You have states that are very homogenous, able to "speak with one voice" because they are very similar in population. Then you have states (particularly the geographically larger ones) where you have vast differences in interests, economy and lifestyle-- California being a prime example-- it's not hard to choose 3 cities like Compton, San Jose, and Bakersfield that are so vastly different in their interests and needs that they might as well be three different states.
I don't think there's anything "natural" or "organic" about this. I think it began rather capriciously, with states coming into the union at very different times for very different reasons and in very different ways. This then was further manipulated in the normal sort of gerrymandering that political interests will do. But no, I don't see anything natural or essential to the division, especially when it comes to federal elections and federal policies/budgeting.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
The point I’m trying to make is that these 50 cultures grew from the bottom up to form the United States—it was never the case that someone in the federal government simply marked out 50 administrative divisions which were more or less arbitrary and called it good.
I disagree that there are only (and exactly) 50 different cultures in the U.S. and that these happen to map exactly to state boundaries. Nor does it seem reasonable to argue that because each state is so culturally homogeneous its entire electoral weight can be concentrated unanimously in support of one presidential candidate.
To pick a real life example, you seem to be arguing that John Lewis and Lester Maddox lived in the same culture and therefore had the same political interests and views. The assumption could even be made that they both supported George Wallace for president in 1972, since that's who all of Georgia's presidential electors voted for.
I'd argue that reverse; that despite coming from the same state the cultures in which Lewis and Maddox lived were very different indeed, starting with the fact that Maddox could be reasonably certain that his constitutional rights would be respected while Lewis had good reason to believe othewise [violent imagery]. I'd further argue that Lewis lived in a culture much more similar to that inhabited by the rest of the "Big Six", despite the fact that there was only one other Georgian among them besides Lewis, and Maddox had much more in common, both culturally and politically, with non-Georgians like Orbal Faubus and T. E. Connor than he ever had with Lewis. Claiming that Lewis and Maddox share the same political interests because of shared geography is downright perverse.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Presumably LGBT and disability populations are spread evenly, as you point out, and therefore should be fine with the current representation.
Which, in your analysis, means that LGBT people and the disabled do not share a culture and therefore do not have any common political interests. All their political positions are allegedly the product of geography.
[ 04. December 2016, 14:46: Message edited by: Crœsos ]
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
If the state divisions were natural there wouldn't be so many straight state lines. The decision about where to draw California's northern and eastern boundaries was a political one. The southeastern border runs along the Colorado River, so is a natural boundary, but the straight lines are anything but. When they met in Monterey to create the state, they thought about including a lot more territory, but decided that they couldn't go as far east as where the Mormons lived because the Mormons weren't represented at the convention, and they also thought about how much representation the west would eventually have - they rightly figured that more western states would mean more influence for the west in Washington, DC. So they drew straight lines through the Sierras. Dividing Lake Tahoe between California and Nevada is not natural! And the exact line between California and Nevada was only settled in 1980 in the Supreme Court.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Augustine the Aleut:
quote:
Originally posted by Prester John:
How would a similar proposal be met in Canada? Particularly if Quebec was involved?
There have been years of proposals to unite the four Atlantic provinces (NS having 920k, NB 751k, PEI 141k, and Newfoundland & Labrador 514k) and occasional mutterings about uniting the three prairie provinces.
We could unite Manitoba with Kenora and west, separating it from Ontario. They are even in the same time zone.
I liked the idea of the Province of Buffalo which took in a bit of southern Manitoba, all of southern Saskatchean and Alberta. But Laurier had different ideas to prevent dethronement of Ontario and Québec, which may happen anyway.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by RuthW:
I think the lawmakers would be at least as resistant to changes in the power structure as the citizenry. There's no benefit to legislators in it. Not to mention other state workers. Combining small states would mean fewer state capital jobs of every kind at every level. No one's going to go for that.
Agreed. The process TO a more equitable system is fraught, precisely because the system is currently designed for the outcome we see (as is usually the case). I'm not even sure how the citizenry could come together to bring about a change.
But that is a far different question than the question of whether or not there should be a change. I believe, for the reasons outlined above, the current system is rigged in ways that are not only unfair, but unjust and perpetuate a whole host of social ills, of which Trump's presidency is only the most obvious example. I think there are many, many alternative systems of representative government around the world we could turn to for a better system of representing the people as a whole while preserving the rights and interests of ALL minority groups.
What to do about it/how to get there-- well, yes, that's a whole 'nother kettle of fish.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
LC: I'm not at all convinced by your updated water rights argument. While I've got some sympathy for the position that majority rule should be limited to avoid the minority rights from being trampled, I think you've now gone far beyond that.
Now it seems you think the decisions of large numbers of people are inherently worse than those of small numbers of people. Arizona has seen a lot of growth in its population, despite severe water stress - but for some reason you think it makes sense for them to be given the power to throttle the growth of California. Why should the decisions of people in that state be privileged over those of people in California, just because Arizona is smaller? What makes you think small states won't make environmentally disastrous decisions?
Your Florida example is just bizarre. You're arguing that the preferences of people in a large state have to be subordinated to national opinion because "people aren't that smart" and they might be making a bad choice based on misperceptions of their own interest. But this seems to be exactly the kind of majoritarian position you were arguing against when it came to the interests of small states. I can't for the life of me understand why this means small states should have more representation. Aren't they just as likely to make bad choices based on misperceptions of their own interests? At least a one-person-one-vote framework doesn't imply that a person living in Wyoming should have more influence over federal spending in Florida than a person in California.
quote:
I do note that as far as I can see, no known American shipmates are chiming in to say that states are arbitrary and unimportant. They may wish the electoral college gone for other reasons, but I don't see them supporting the the idea that all that matters is one body, one vote, and where that body is located makes no difference. Would someone like to correct me?
For the record - as far as I can tell, you're the only American shipmate who's really pushing the vital importance of unequal representation in Congress or the EC. I think state boundaries are the result of historical contingencies and are largely arbitrary, and I don't think they're particularly meaningful as demarcations of 50 separate cultures. I seriously doubt that there's such a huge cultural distinction between North Dakota and South Dakota that it's imperative for each of them to have 2 senators. There's probably a bigger difference between eastern and western Washington.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
So again, despite all you're written I'm just not seeing the argument for advantaging this one particular special interest above all other special interests.
Obviously I'm doing a crap job of communicating.
I am not saying that one special interest ought to be privileged above all others. I am saying that there is a way (which we are already using, and I don't think we should stop using) to rectify one particular problem with one particular set of special interests.
As for other special interests that don't get this treatment, that sucks. I don't know how to fix those situations, as they are not geographically based. And to avoid dragging dead horses further into this thread, I'm going to talk about disability from this point on.
Disability stuff is a special interest. It needs rectifying, it needs a voice. But it isn't geographically related and it therefore cannot be rectified by giving a geographical area two guaranteed votes in the EC and in Congress. Some other way will have to be found.
But in the meantime, there's no reason we should not go on rectifying the geographical problems. You don't quit treating leukemia because there's no cure for glioblastoma.
That's all I was saying.
Posted by Lamb Chopped (# 5528) on
:
Back to the culture thing.
People, seriously. do you really think I'm such an idiot to think that everyone within a certain state border is going to be little clones of one another?
Apparently you do.
I think I need to bail out of this discussion. I'm making a huge FAIL when it comes to communication. Sorry, folks.
Posted by Dave W. (# 8765) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Back to the culture thing.
People, seriously. do you really think I'm such an idiot to think that everyone within a certain state border is going to be little clones of one another?
Apparently you do.
I think I need to bail out of this discussion. I'm making a huge FAIL when it comes to communication. Sorry, folks.
I understand you're bowing out, but I think it's fair to respond to your complaint that your argument is being unfairly caricatured.
You said:
quote:
The thing about states is that they are essentially 50 tiny (or not so tiny) cultures.
That's what people are contesting, not some nonsense about clones. I don't believe state boundaries are at all significant markers of cultural distinction. And I don't see any reason at all to believe that small states are more likely to make wise decisions - certainly not to the extent that would justify the nine smallest states with a combined population of 8 million having an equal voice to the 20 million residents of Florida, on a matter which (in your hypothetical example) is critical to Floridians and would entail the deployment of resources to which Floridians had made a substantially larger contribution than those small state residents.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
I question whether the Missouri suburbs of St. Louis are more different from East St. Louis, IL, than inner city Chicago is from its more affluent suburbs. Or indeed are Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, and North Dakota all that different culturally from one another, compared to the difference between Watts and Beverly Hills, all within the city limits of Los Angeles? This whole "50 distinct cultures" thing is wishful thinking at best, total crap in reality.
[ 04. December 2016, 18:22: Message edited by: mousethief ]
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Okay, let's take a very real example. Imagine you live in California (along with roughly 39 million other people.) You need water, because most parts of the state are undersupplied for the number of people living there and growing fruit etc. You therefore hold certain views about the Colorado River, which supplies much of California's water needs.
Your sister lives in Arizona, along with less than 7 million other people. Her state, too, has an interest in the water of the Colorado (which, incidentally, gets to her state before it reaches yours).
Say we handle this water issue on a straight popular vote. Who do you think is going to win the bulk of the water, hands down, every freaking time?
This is not "a very real example". The federal government of the United States is a representative democracy, rather than a direct one, and does not submit public works projects or public resource allocations to a referendum or plebiscite. I suppose you could posit a case where the distribution of Colorado River water became the primary campaign issue in a presidential election. Even in that case the pro-California candidate would still have the advantage, 55 electoral votes to 11.
How about an actual "real example"? What if Americans were tasked with selecting someone to administer the powers of the executive branch of the federal government? One way would be conduct this process the same way the chief executive is selected in every other state, county, and municipal election: by having citizens vote and whoever has the most votes at the end of the process wins.
On the other hand you claim that this is unfair (but not so unfair it bothers you about every other elected post in the U.S.) and a more equitable way to proceed would be for citizens to vote by state, for those states to be given a certain weight based mostly (but not entirely) on population, and then for the entire electoral weight of each state to be awarded as a bloc to the plurality winner of that state regardless of electoral margin. And this would be fairer because culture or something.
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Obviously I'm doing a crap job of communicating.
No, I just think that the electoral college system as it presently exists is indefensible in pragmatic or philosophical terms. The flaws are fairly obvious to any mathematical examination and the fact that it's produced two anti-democratic results in the past five elections means that this is a persistent problem.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
So again, despite all you're written I'm just not seeing the argument for advantaging this one particular special interest above all other special interests.
Obviously I'm doing a crap job of communicating.
I am not saying that one special interest ought to be privileged above all others. I am saying that there is a way (which we are already using, and I don't think we should stop using) to rectify one particular problem with one particular set of special interests.
As for other special interests that don't get this treatment, that sucks. I don't know how to fix those situations, as they are not geographically based. And to avoid dragging dead horses further into this thread, I'm going to talk about disability from this point on.
Disability stuff is a special interest. It needs rectifying, it needs a voice. But it isn't geographically related and it therefore cannot be rectified by giving a geographical area two guaranteed votes in the EC and in Congress. Some other way will have to be found.
But in the meantime, there's no reason we should not go on rectifying the geographical problems. You don't quit treating leukemia because there's no cure for glioblastoma.
That's all I was saying.
Yeah, but giving the geographic interests an amplified voice and NOT giving the non-geographic minority interests a similarly amplified voice seems to only marginalize those minority interests all the more. Any group that's in the minority is going to be disadvantaged in a democracy-- as you said before, you've got to advocate loudly or persuasively enough to convince the majority to provide for your interests even if there is no benefit for the majority. That's just inherent to the suckiness of being in a minority position.
BUT-- by privileging this ONE group-- non-densely populated areas-- over all others you really are creating even greater marginalization. The "rectifying" you're talking about really creates an artificial majority voice for the non-densely populated areas-- essentially creating TWO majorities (the actual majority and the artificial one) that any minority interests have to appeal to in order to see their minority needs addressed. You have made life doubly hard for those groups.
Further, the nature of non-densely populated areas is often mischaracterized. In some cases, yes, "sparsely populated" does translate into poverty-- rural areas, small towns where the loss of a key industry has left the town hollowed out, parts of Appalachia or Alaska. They are sparsely populated because those who can get out, do.
But other places are sparsely populated for the exact opposite reason: because they are such attractive places to live that wealthy people come in, buy up huge swaths of land, drive up prices. They are densely populated precisely because the wealthy can afford to buy enough house/land to set them far apart from their neighbors. This for example would be the key difference between East L.A. or South-Central and the Westside. Parts of Wyoming and Montana, some of the less urban areas of Hawaii show this sorts of discrepancy. I'm not sure we need to provide a built-in mechanism to give more political power to the wealthy-- their money has always given them plenty of access, even before Citizen's United. So whatever inequities the EC is designed to address seem to me to be accomplished so clumsily and inaccurately as to create more inequity, not less.
Speaking again, as an American-- albeit one from a large & populous state.
Posted by Alt Wally (# 3245) on
:
Dave W.:
quote:
The problem may simply be incoherence in the WaPo article itself: quote:
In between those elections, U.S. economic activity has grown increasingly concentrated in large, “superstar” metro areas, such as Silicon Valley and New York.
In what sense has economic activity grown increasingly concentrated if the counties in question have about the same share of the economy as before?
It’s possible they were extrapolating that since Clinton won fewer counties than Gore, but more of the economy, economic output has condensed within counties that both Clinton and Gore won. They don’t cite any data and it seems very possible to me Gore won some of the low output counties that Trump took this time and that accounts for the difference. The Brookings article makes no mention of concentration within specific metro areas.
In terms of the outsized place of large metropolitan areas in the economy, and the concentration of income in these areas; I do believe that is going on (irrespective of whether or not that had any effect on the election). The U.S. Department of Commerce numbers for 2012 have the ten largest metropolitan areas responsible for 34% of the national GDP. A 2013 report prepared for the U.S. Conference of Mayors show that the GDP of the top ten metro areas is more than the combined GDP of 36 states. Someone took the data in that report and mapped it here. This article is interesting as well showing the uptick in employment rates in large cities.
None of that may have had an effect on this election. It seems to me inevitable that it will, given the power the Electoral College still has in deciding who is president.
quote:
I was referring to your surprise that Clinton won low income voters, a fact that contradicted what you said you expected.
Trump carrying this demographic was not what I expected (Trump winning was also not what I expected). What I said, having looked at the Brookings tiled map of income by county, is that I would not be surprised if Trump carried median level income voters below $50k given the number of low economic output counties he won. Turns out I was not surprised because he didn’t, but I would also say I was not surprised that Clinton did. So this was not a negation of something I was looking for. Just for clarity.
quote:
And if I had, I doubt it could be entirely based on "data" - certainly not just on things at the level of county wealth statistics. It would have to take into account such things as the fact people's preference for Trump over Clinton was better predicted by their belief that Obama is a Muslim than by their level of economic anxiety, the collapse of the Republican party establishment's role as gatekeeper to its own nomination process, and the Democratic party's own severe but different failures in that process.
Fair enough, but taking in to account there might be errors with the way the economic data is collected or confusing ways to present it, those statistics I think have a lot of reach and depth in terms of what the numbers help us understand; and hopefully minimize subjectivity. The analysis you mentioned is certainly interesting, and gives a lot more credence to vote behavior being dictated by antipathy and not economic self interest. Based on what I read about the underlying data, it came from an online poll of 1,000 individuals carried out around the time of the primaries. I’m sure such data has its own issues in terms of drawing broad conclusions.
I do believe in at least some critical way shifts in the economy played a part in what happened. I have to believe Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania had to have voters in some substantial numbers that went Trump that likely voted for Obama previously (and perhaps more than once).
Changing the subject, I am interested to see where the Democrats go from here. I can’t say so far I’ve seen a lot to indicate any major changes in direction or strategy. Pelosi keeping her position seems to be an indication of maintenance of the status quo.
[ 05. December 2016, 02:02: Message edited by: Alt Wally ]
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
Changing the subject, I am interested to see where the Democrats go from here. I can’t say so far I’ve seen a lot to indicate any major changes in direction or strategy. Pelosi keeping her position seems to be an indication of maintenance of the status quo.
Yeah, that doesn't exactly excite me. And the election for DNC chair doesn't inspire hope -- Howard Dean has pulled out, Keith Ellison turns out to have some very serious baggage, and I've never heard of the other people in the running.
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
I do believe in at least some critical way shifts in the economy played a part in what happened. I have to believe Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania had to have voters in some substantial numbers that went Trump that likely voted for Obama previously (and perhaps more than once).
There is some evidence emerging that fewer voters switched than might look to be the case from looking at the bottom line figures, it looks like there a reasonably large factor was democratic voters staying at home, and more republicans turning up to vote.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
There is an ongoing pattern of red states voting for what will actually do them harm. This cycle we may finally see that to the max.
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
Back to the culture thing.
People, seriously. do you really think I'm such an idiot to think that everyone within a certain state border is going to be little clones of one another?
Nope, I didn't really. As I said about a week ago on this thread, one thing I note (and kind of like) about when I meet someone from the US of A is when introducing themselves they identify by state, with a bit of pride. There's something about state identity which makes it more than just an arbitrary boundary. That plus state laws.
Of course state borders (like national borders) are arbitrary administrative borders. But some administrative divisions are more arbitrary meaning than others. For example, electorate boundaries in NZ get redrawn every few years to reflect population. So there's every possibility that the electorate I am in will change in the next few years. Or even cease to exist. And stuff all people identify with their electorate.
But I don't think anyone was suggesting redrawing state boundaries every 10 years to reflect population changes. Instead, there is suggestion that EC representation be amended to be more or less proportional to population to state populations, or in fact the presidential process be amended to reflect the will of wider population of America
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by chris stiles:
quote:
Originally posted by Alt Wally:
I do believe in at least some critical way shifts in the economy played a part in what happened. I have to believe Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania had to have voters in some substantial numbers that went Trump that likely voted for Obama previously (and perhaps more than once).
There is some evidence emerging that fewer voters switched than might look to be the case from looking at the bottom line figures, it looks like there a reasonably large factor was democratic voters staying at home, and more republicans turning up to vote.
As well as (arguably) the GOP doing a really good job of creating barriers for certain marginalized groups to voting in key battleground states.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
A consequence of non-compulsory voting. Some who were prepared to vote for Obama were not prepared to vote for Clinton and so did not vote at all. Had voting been compulsory, some of those forced to vote may have voted informal or defaced their ballot papers, but perhaps enough would have preferred to vote for Clinton rather than take the risk of a Trump victory.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Alec Baldwin promised to stop his "SNL" impression of Trump...if Trump releases his tax returns! (Yahoo)
Posted by fausto (# 13737) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Lamb Chopped:
It is the states which built the Union. It was never the other way around. Even within the gigantic semi-empty-slate territories, it was left to the local people to get their act together, establish a government, and petition for admission as a state—or not, as they chose. The proto-state had to start it.
I disagree. The original 13 states formed the federal Union, because the more consensual Articles of Confederation had proven to be ineffective, and thereafter the Federal government has always exercised sovereign authority over the states (with the limited exception of the "reserved powers"). The only independent sovereign governments that later joined the Union voluntarily were Vermont and Texas. All the rest were first Federal territories (except Maine, Kentucky, and West Virginia, which were formed by partitions of Massachusetts and Virginia). Yes, they chose voluntarily to convert from Federal territorial status to full statehood, but they were always (and still remain) a creation of the Federal government in the fist instance, rather than vice versa.
Moreover, during and after the Civil War it was Federal authority alone that preserved and rebuilt the Union, whereas advocates of state self-determination had sought to destroy it.
This may seem like a picky point, but it goes to the question of whether an Electoral College (and, for that matter, a bicameral legislature) that was conceived in part to reconcile and balance the interests of a small collection of formerly independent and sovereign states has outlived its purpose in a much larger federation comprised for the most part of arbitrarily created subdivisions of a single sovereign body politic.
Myself, I am less concerned with the inequites in the various states' voting power in the EC as I am with the erosion of the EC's other originally intended function as a safeguard against demagoguery. The framers of the Constitution did not intend the President to be elected by direct popular vote, nor did they anticipate the hegemonic rise of strong political parties. I think the party primary election system, combined with the laws that require a state's electors to be pledged in advance to one party's candidate or the other, have unwisely frustrated the original purpose. Instead of requiring a representative body of locally elected delegates from across the nation to deliberate on the choice, we now have what has become an increasingly vulgar and superficial popularity contest.
I've been saying for years (although nobody ever listens) that, if the EC is to be reformed, it should be reconfigured so that it is comprised of the states' actual representatives and senators in Congress meeting in joint session, rather than an equal number of anonymous electors previously pledged by law to a particular candidate. This would make the relationship between President and Congress more parliamentary and encourage a closer working relationship. It would also work against entrenched incumbency in Congress, and make the parties more responsive to the people rather than beholden to special interests, by making them compete harder in far more local congressional districts, to represent the voters on real issues of the moment rather than on their faithfulness orthodox institutional party ideologies. It would also help restore the original function of the EC to select effective administrators and weed out demagogues.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
Not sure how your changes would be better, fausto.
Though you do not care about the inequities of representation, they are part of the problem and your proposal changes none of those. Short term representatives are no less likely to be beholden to special interests, rather more likely to be.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
fausto quote:
I've been saying for years (although nobody ever listens) that, if the EC is to be reformed, it should be reconfigured so that it is comprised of the states' actual representatives and senators in Congress meeting in joint session, rather than an equal number of anonymous electors previously pledged by law to a particular candidate. This would make the relationship between President and Congress more parliamentary and encourage a closer working relationship.
My immediate reaction to this proposal are two-fold:
1 This system challenges the Separation of Powers because it makes the President dependent for his mandate on the members of Congress.
2. Were this system to be introduced the question of House redistricting would need to come under greater scrutiny, for although the numerical variation in the size of districts has been severely curtailed by Court interpretations of federal electoral law the delineation of boundaries has been left to the partisan preferences of state governors and legislators. In recent years Republican domination of redistricting in most states has been a factor in determining the partisan bias of the House. That bias, under fausto’s proposals, would become reflected in the choice of president as well.
To my mind, if the EC were to be reformed it would be for federal legislation to require that the college votes awarded to each state be distributed in proportion to the popular vote cast for each candidate. (The formula would have to be determined as well as the determination of which candidates should qualify for the distribution of the electoral votes). One problem would be disproportionality in states with few college votes- but there you are! Perhaps the system is unreformable.
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
The separation of powers is overblown.
Parliamentary governments are also known as Responsible Government. The government is responsible to the legislature and is required to hold the confidence of the legislature in order to spend money, features the US lacks.
The US separated from the mainstream of parliamentary development a generation too early.
I much prefer the cut-and-thrust of Question Period to the snooze-fest of the US Congress anyway.
Posted by Kwesi (# 10274) on
:
Sober Preacher's Kid quote:
The separation of powers is overblown
I'm inclined to agree with what you have to say, but I'm not sure that a root and branch reform of the US constitution was what fausto had in mind. Perhaps he did.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
A cri de coeur. He's been a faithful rescuer all these years -- save us once more, Mr. Obama!
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
Some of you may have a vague memory from the job search thread that I was jerked around by a federal agency this summer- I took time off of work to fly out for a training, where I was assigned future work, and informally welcomed aboard. Two weeks later, I got a call that they had decided to go in a different direction.
Well, that agency just got a new boss. Ladies and gentlemen, your new SBA administrator, former pro wrestling queen Linda McMahon!
I don't know whether I dodged a bullet, or am really upset that I won't be witnessing the insanity from the inside.
I guess she has been working with an organization that aids and encourages women business owners, which is part of what the SBA does, so that may be part of it. The fact that she apparently contributed millions to a pro-Trump PAC and to the Trump foundation probably didn't hurt either.
Posted by Palimpsest (# 16772) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
I don't know whether I dodged a bullet, or am really upset that I won't be witnessing the insanity from the inside.
I think the insanity will be quite visible from the outside. From what little I've heard she doesn't sound as horrible as the new Secretary of Education who worked hard to get public school funds diverted to Christian education and managed to make Michigan's abysmal test scores sink lower.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I agree -- you're well out of it.
Over in the Washington POST, their conservative columnist calls upon Trump's evangelical supporters to atone. Poor girl, I do believe she has the process in the wrong order. Before you can atone, you need to admit guilt -- that you were wrong. And before you can admit you were wrong, you have to concede that it -was- wrong. In the words of the rock song, before you can eat your pudding, you have to eat your meat. I see no signs of that happening.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
I wonder how many evangelicals see Jennifer Rubin as a moral authority whose opinion matters?
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
She used to be a major conservative flag-carrier -- her support of Mitt Romney was unflinching. But this cycle she's been steadily anti-Trump, so that I am finding her columns much more sensible.
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
And the comments reveal how useless her pleas will be.
Unless there is some great revival in which all their hearts are remade within them and they recognise the lies they have been told as lies.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
She used to be a major conservative flag-carrier -- her support of Mitt Romney was unflinching. But this cycle she's been steadily anti-Trump, so that I am finding her columns much more sensible.
Evangelicals voted for Romney. Rubin thought the Republicans could abandon social conservatives and populists and win an election. Bless her heart. There just aren't that many rich people and hipster libertarians. Opinion columns are nice. Money is even better. Ultimately, somebody has to go to the polls and vote.
Posted by Hedgehog (# 14125) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
The fact that she apparently contributed millions to a pro-Trump PAC and to the Trump foundation probably didn't hurt either.
<Hedgehog carefully stores comment away for the next time some naive Trump supporter comments how Trump will not be doing politics as usual...>
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Four million to the Trump Foundation, to put it in the black.
This is frightening.
Posted by Pangolin Guerre (# 18686) on
:
In other news.... It has been reported that Trump intends to remain executive producer of The Apprentice.
I look forward to NBC's news coverage, and claims of, "No, no. We're objective."
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I worry about the fate of Saturday Night Live, which is an NBC production. But I trust that SNL makes far more money for the network than Apprentice.
Meanwhile, we know that Trump is a grifter. There may be a reason why he is not divesting himself of his business holdings. He did promise to release his tax returns after he was elected. Of course the word 'after' is very elastic; the year 2100 is after his election.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
And the plot thickens...
"CIA Concludes Russian Interference Aimed To Elect Trump" (NPR).
{Expands fall-out shelter. Adds extra supply of dark chocolate, soft blankets and pillows, and comfort things.}
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And the plot thickens...
"CIA Concludes Russian Interference Aimed To Elect Trump" (NPR).
{Expands fall-out shelter. Adds extra supply of dark chocolate, soft blankets and pillows, and comfort things.}
Don't worry about the Russians bombing us. Why would they destroy what they spent so much time and money to buy?
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
I worry about the fate of Saturday Night Live, which is an NBC production. But I trust that SNL makes far more money for the network than Apprentice.
I should think some other network would pick it up, or create something roughly equivalent.
[ 11. December 2016, 00:44: Message edited by: mousethief ]
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Unusually, no less than Teen Vogue ventures into political analysis and points out Tiny Fingers' fondness for gaslighting.
Posted by Moo (# 107) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And the plot thickens...
"CIA Concludes Russian Interference Aimed To Elect Trump" (NPR).
AIUI the interference consisted of hacking the Democratic National Committee and releasing the results to the public. If this threw the election to Trump, it is because the voters found some of the DNC e-mails objectionable enough that they turned against Hillary.
WikiLeaks says that the Russians were not their source. This may or may not be true. If the Russians could hack the website, it's quite likely that others could too.
It's also possible that nothing on the Republican National Committee website was as damaging as what was on the DNC website.
Moo
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Moo:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And the plot thickens...
"CIA Concludes Russian Interference Aimed To Elect Trump" (NPR).
AIUI the interference consisted of hacking the Democratic National Committee and releasing the results to the public. If this threw the election to Trump, it is because the voters found some of the DNC e-mails objectionable enough that they turned against Hillary.
Not how it works. It is that it fuelled a perception. Elections are not won and lost by proper evaluation, but by perception and preconception. And if there was no bias, everyone's site would have been hacked.
[ 11. December 2016, 17:25: Message edited by: lilBuddha ]
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
From the Atlantic, reports of a boost in church attendance. Clearly the perception that the AntiChrist has tiny fingers is taking hold.
And, the very next article, evangelicals shedding the name now made odious by Trumpkins.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
And, the very next article, evangelicals shedding the name now made odious by Trumpkins.
Boy is that an exercise in doublethink. People who are dropping the name "evangelical" aren't doing so because it means the four basic tenets thingees. They're doing so because they believe it no longer does. The word has moved on; they wish to stay with the four thingees, but "Evangelical" no longer stands for that.
As for Evangelicals (whatever the word means now) holding the Donald's feet to the fire? I want some of what this guy is smoking. Good luck with that, buddy. You're in la-la land.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
From the Atlantic, [URL
And, the very next article, evangelicals shedding the name now made odious by Trumpkins.
Some of us even started a thread asking for suggestions...
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
From the Atlantic, [URL
And, the very next article, evangelicals shedding the name now made odious by Trumpkins. [QUOTE][QUOTE]Originally posted by mousethief:
]Boy is that an exercise in doublethink. People who are dropping the name "evangelical" aren't doing so because it means the four basic tenets thingees. They're doing so because they believe it no longer does. The word has moved on; they wish to stay with the four thingees, but "Evangelical" no longer stands for that.
As one of those anti-Trump evangelicals who has concluded the name has been irrefutably tainted-- yes, you are correctly assessing our position: we self-identified as "evangelical" due to the "Bebbington quadrilateral" of beliefs, we are seeing the name as now signifying something far, far different, so much so that the name no longer signifies something we want to be associated with. How is that "doublethink"???
[ 11. December 2016, 21:38: Message edited by: cliffdweller ]
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
The author of the piece is assuming the word still means the older meaning, and seems to be implying that the former evangelicals rejecting the word still agree that it means the old meaning, and are being bloody-minded.
Posted by Palimpsest (# 16772) on
:
The question is; do they regret what has been done in the name of Evangelical Christians, or this simply a rebranding exercise before continuing the same actions. Trump is a culmination of what the Republican party has become, not an aberration.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Palimpsest:
The question is; do they regret what has been done in the name of Evangelical Christians, or this simply a rebranding exercise before continuing the same actions. Trump is a culmination of what the Republican party has become, not an aberration.
Yeah but reread your post. You're conflating "evangelical" with "Republican" which is precisely the problem and why some of us non-Republican evangelicals are feeling the need to rebrand
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Moo:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And the plot thickens...
"CIA Concludes Russian Interference Aimed To Elect Trump" (NPR).
AIUI the interference consisted of hacking the Democratic National Committee and releasing the results to the public. If this threw the election to Trump, it is because the voters found some of the DNC e-mails objectionable enough that they turned against Hillary.
There's also the allegation that the e-mails released are a combination of authentic and doctored communications. This would be consistent with past Russian kompromat operations. The e-mails released were also fairly selective. Nothing containing opposition research on Donald Trump, for example, has been released. Not proof, but we can infer a lot from that.
quote:
Originally posted by Moo:
WikiLeaks says that the Russians were not their source. This may or may not be true. If the Russians could hack the website, it's quite likely that others could too.
Another possibility is Russian use of intermediaries, something else supposedly commonplace in past kompromat operations.
quote:
Originally posted by Moo:
It's also possible that nothing on the Republican National Committee website was as damaging as what was on the DNC website.
It's also possible that info from the RNC hack is being held back for other reasons. Blackmail is one possibility that comes to mind. I'm still amazed that the one of America's major political parties has been publicly electronically compromised, the other major party has been privately electronically compromised, and the reaction from most Americans is to simply shrug it off.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
I'm still amazed that the one of America's major political parties has been publicly electronically compromised, the other major party has been privately electronically compromised, and the reaction from most Americans is to simply shrug it off.
It's a worry, that. I suppose folks have become desensitised to all things hacking and fail to see the particular significance.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
I think it is that, in part. ISTM, it is also party because it was the parties that were hacked, not government websites and because what was revealed was either no big deal or fit into preconception
Posted by Nick Tamen (# 15164) on
:
I wouldn't discount the effects of election fatigue, news overload and/or news withdrawal, either.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
I wouldn't discount the effects of election fatigue, news overload and/or news withdrawal, either.
And I'd also wager that at least some Democrats are pretty fired up about these allegations. And with the Republicans, at least the Trump-worshippers among them are refusing to believe anything that would call into question the immaculate nature of their hero's ascensrion.
Posted by Moo (# 107) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Moo:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
And the plot thickens...
"CIA Concludes Russian Interference Aimed To Elect Trump" (NPR).
AIUI the interference consisted of hacking the Democratic National Committee and releasing the results to the public. If this threw the election to Trump, it is because the voters found some of the DNC e-mails objectionable enough that they turned against Hillary.
There's also the allegation that the e-mails released are a combination of authentic and doctored communications. This would be consistent with past Russian kompromat operations. The e-mails released were also fairly selective. Nothing containing opposition research on Donald Trump, for example, has been released. Not proof, but we can infer a lot from that.
AFAIK the Democrats never said that any of the released material was faked.
Moo
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Croeses wrote:
quote:
Another possibility is Russian use of intermediaries, something else supposedly commonplace in past kompromat operations.
One thing I read was that the hackers appeared to be observing Russian holidays(which I assume means their hacking stopped on those days). Which made me wonder: Is hacking the kind of job where you observe the regular working schedule, 9 To 5, and holidays off? My guess woulda been that front-line espionage is the kind of job that doesn't really follow those sorta rules.
One thing I thought was that the holiday shutdowns might have been an attempt to make it appear as if the hackers were working for the Russian government, when in fact they were not.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Croeses wrote:
quote:
Another possibility is Russian use of intermediaries, something else supposedly commonplace in past kompromat operations.
One thing I read was that the hackers appeared to be observing Russian holidays(which I assume means their hacking stopped on those days). Which made me wonder: Is hacking the kind of job where you observe the regular working schedule, 9 To 5, and holidays off? My guess woulda been that front-line espionage is the kind of job that doesn't really follow those sorta rules.
One thing I thought was that the holiday shutdowns might have been an attempt to make it appear as if the hackers were working for the Russian government, when in fact they were not.
But the hackers, who are really Russians, knew that you would come to that conclusion, so they faked being non-Russian hackers faking being Russian.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Hoo boy!
"Electoral College Members Request Intelligence Briefing On Russia, Trump." (HuffPost)
quote:
Ten Electoral College members have requested an intelligence briefing on Russia’s meddling in the U.S. presidential election, a week before the group is scheduled to formally certify the results.
The bipartisan group made their case to Director of National Intelligence James Clapper in an open letter Monday, arguing that the information is essential to their duties as electors who are tasked to “elect a president who is constitutionally qualified and fit to serve.”
Citing Alexander Hamilton’s writing in The Federalist Papers, the electors argue Russian interference in the election must factor into their decision. In Federalist #68, Hamilton charged the Electoral College with preventing a “desire in foreign powers to gain an improper ascendant in our councils.”
The article includes quotes from their request, and a link to the Federalist Paper on which it's grounded.
I'm glad they've done this--not only because Trump is already a disaster, and I still hold a for the slight hope of a chance that Hillary might be chosen by the Electoral College. But because they're actually trying to do their job, and not just rubber-stamp the results.
Aside from the intense gravity of the situation, the wrangling could be fun.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
Hoo boy!
"Electoral College Members Request Intelligence Briefing On Russia, Trump." (HuffPost)
quote:
Ten Electoral College members have requested an intelligence briefing on Russia’s meddling in the U.S. presidential election, a week before the group is scheduled to formally certify the results.
The bipartisan group made their case to Director of National Intelligence James Clapper in an open letter Monday, arguing that the information is essential to their duties as electors who are tasked to “elect a president who is constitutionally qualified and fit to serve.”
Citing Alexander Hamilton’s writing in The Federalist Papers, the electors argue Russian interference in the election must factor into their decision. In Federalist #68, Hamilton charged the Electoral College with preventing a “desire in foreign powers to gain an improper ascendant in our councils.”
The article includes quotes from their request, and a link to the Federalist Paper on which it's grounded.
I'm glad they've done this--not only because Trump is already a disaster, and I still hold a for the slight hope of a chance that Hillary might be chosen by the Electoral College. But because they're actually trying to do their job, and not just rubber-stamp the results.
Aside from the intense gravity of the situation, the wrangling could be fun.
I'm not sure if the EC will/would choose Hillary or if they would choose Pence or some other Republican. The electors who would be switching would be Republicans, chosen to represent the Republicans. They may choose Hillary because she won the popular vote-- and because it's the fastest path to a clean & fairly straightforward result. Or they may choose a Republican, just not Trump due to his been unqualified and having colluded with the Russians.
If 37 Trump electors switch, Trump doesn't have enough to win. If enough go to Hillary, she wins, but if instead the Republicans split so that no one gets 270, it goes to the House. Then we'll have to see what the Tea Partiers will do. We could end up with Paul Ryan, which is NOT a very good option for pretty much anyone who isn't rich, white & male-- but at least we wouldn't worry as much about his tweets starting a nuclear war.
Posted by Anyuta (# 14692) on
:
On Russian hackers and holidays... if they are Russian, there's a damned good chance they are drunk on a holiday (I say this as a Russian). Seriously, it's a tradition. There's a reason the government decided to basically shut everything down between New Years and Orthodox Christmas (Jan. 7)... no one was working anyway because, yeah.. drunk.
On whether Trump is better or worse than a more typical Republican (who could potentially be chosen by the EC or the House): I think I'd actually rather have Trump. He's a joke, and I think he'd be treated by the international leaders as such. I don't think he'd be able to actually launch nukes on his own, on our side there are people who would stop him, and on the other side, I think he'd be treated as crazy uncle Harry who shows up at Thanksgiving ranting about how he want to kill all [insert currently demonized racial or religious group]. They would shake their heads and move on with things, because no one really wants a nuclear war just because Trump ran off at the mouth (or Tweet). The less stable world leaders who might react are always a risk anyway, Trump or no Trump.
But then what do I know? I was SURE Hillary would win.
And now I work for an Agency which will be run by a person who has a stated position of opposing pretty much everything we do. It's gonna be a fun time for the next 4 (or God forbid 8) years.
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
A friend made me aware of this petition asking the Supreme Court to invalidate the election and order a new one. I've signed it and I've forwarded the link to everyone I know of like mind.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Anyuta wrote:
quote:
On whether Trump is better or worse than a more typical Republican (who could potentially be chosen by the EC or the House): I think I'd actually rather have Trump. He's a joke, and I think he'd be treated by the international leaders as such.
I can honestly say that, of all the major contenders for the GOP nomination this time around, if one of them had to win, I would rather it be Trump than anyone else. Kasich possibly excepted, but guys like Cruz and the heart-surgeon? Ugh.
And, getting to the appointments, if we HAVE to have a CEO as Secretary Of State, I'd prefer it be someone from a long-standing, high-profile known-entity like Exxon than, say, the creepy multilevel sales cult that Betsy DeVos is married into.
BIAS: My grandfather and both my parents all worked for the Canadian annex of Exxon(or whatever Standard-spin-off preceded it). My folks also did a few, mercifully brief months as Amway distributors. Trust me when I say I know which one is creepier.
Posted by Nick Tamen (# 15164) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
A friend made me aware of this petition asking the Supreme Court to invalidate the election and order a new one. I've signed it and I've forwarded the link to everyone I know of like mind.
While I have sympathy with anything designed to avoid a Trump presidency, the Supreme Court doesn't have the power to do what the petition seeks to have it do. The petition is essentially asking that the Supreme Court act unconstitutionally.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
Oh I see, a sexually assaulting incompetent multi-times business cheat vulture capitalist is the best of the lot. I'm dreaming of a White Christmas for the banana republic. Ctl-alt-delete to that sort of alt-right thinking.
Posted by Anyuta (# 14692) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
Oh I see, a sexually assaulting incompetent multi-times business cheat vulture capitalist is the best of the lot.
Sadly, on the GOP side, yes. At least among the current batch. I'm sure if you dig deep into the party somewhere there is a decent option, but if so they would likely never be supported by the base of the party. The current GOP makes Nixon look like a great guy. I'd trade them all in for Bush senior at this point (except he's old.. so Bush senior as he was when he was prez). not that I think he was great, but in comparison? yeah.
All these little false hope actions, petitions, hopes for faithless electors etc. are rather annoying. It's done. He's going to be president. We'll survive. It will set us back by many years, but we've lived through worse in our history, and we'll rebound. Pretending like it won't really happen just sets us up for another heartbreak when, in fact, it does on Jan 20. And impeaching him after the fact, well, do you really want Pence?? We (liberals) need to figure out how to mitigate, and how to take things back next time around. The wishful thinking really isn't helpful, IMHO.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
While I have sympathy with anything designed to avoid a Trump presidency, the Supreme Court doesn't have the power to do what the petition seeks to have it do. The petition is essentially asking that the Supreme Court act unconstitutionally.
I'm not so sure about that. Courts have the power to overturn elections in cases where the electoral process is hopelessly compromised. In fact, if I recall correctly you reside in a state where a federal court recently exercised exactly that power. This has never been done in the case of a presidential election, but the basic principle is the same. I'm dubious that a strong enough case can be made that the recent presidential race falls into the "hopelessly compromised" category, but saying that this power doesn't apply to this particular case is not the same as arguing that they don't have that power at all.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
A friend made me aware of this petition asking the Supreme Court to invalidate the election and order a new one. I've signed it and I've forwarded the link to everyone I know of like mind.
While I have sympathy with anything designed to avoid a Trump presidency, the Supreme Court doesn't have the power to do what the petition seeks to have it do. The petition is essentially asking that the Supreme Court act unconstitutionally.
Indeed...but for the fun it...let's count the ways.
Way Number 1: The Supreme Court cannot rule on a petition. One party with standing must file suit against another party with standing. This brings us to...
Way Number 2: The Supreme Court only has original jurisdiction in a very few instances outlined by the constitution. In all of those cases, either a state or the United States must be a plaintiff. So, to get to the Supreme Court, individual cases would have to be filed in state court or federal district courts. This brings us to...
Way Number 3: The constitution allows each state to choose the method of selecting their electors. So, one would have to prove that Russian interference violated state election laws or federal law in every single state. Your going to need more than a newspaper article to get that. Instead, you'll need a fact finding trial followed by state and federal appeals to reach the Supreme Court. Let's assume the case reaches the Supreme Court. This brings us to...
Way Number 4: The Supreme Court might theoretically rule that the results of the elections in all fifty states are invalid. However, they cannot set a new election date. The constitution allows congress to set election date. Arguably, the House and Senate could just choose a President and Vice President on January 6th. Theoretically, at most and this would be stretching it, the Supreme Court could order the House and Senate to call for new elections. This brings us to...
Way Number 5: Congress can set new election dates. However, in the meantime, each state can change the way they choose their electors and elect the ones already chosen in the last election. Keep in mind, Republicans control the state legislatures in a majority of the states.
In any event, the case will never reach the Supreme Court. If it does, you would need Anthony Kennedy and the Democratic appointees to all agree. Kennedy often favors the rights of individuals over the rights of the state. However, Kennedy is a federalist in that he almost always favors states rights over the federal government. Remember it was Roberts who saved Obamacare not Kennedy.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Way Number 2: The Supreme Court only has original jurisdiction in a very few instances outlined by the constitution. In all of those cases, either a state or the United States must be a plaintiff. So, to get to the Supreme Court, individual cases would have to be filed in state court or federal district courts.
[nitpicking] Technically Art. III, §2 of the U.S. Constitution states "In all Cases . . . in which a State shall be Party, the supreme Court shall have original Jurisdiction." They need not be the plaintiff. [/nitpicking]
Posted by Nick Tamen (# 15164) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
While I have sympathy with anything designed to avoid a Trump presidency, the Supreme Court doesn't have the power to do what the petition seeks to have it do. The petition is essentially asking that the Supreme Court act unconstitutionally.
I'm not so sure about that. Courts have the power to overturn elections in cases where the electoral process is hopelessly compromised. In fact, if I recall correctly you reside in a state where a federal court recently exercised exactly that power.
Not quite. The court did not throw out the results of any elections. It did order that a special election be held, essentially reducing terms from two years to one year.
But the main distinguishing factor between that and the petition is that there was actually a lawsuit and a trial. Yes, if a proper lawsuit is filed, a number of remedies might be available, whether in the trial court or on appeal.
But the petition simply asks SCOTUS—in the absence of any actual legal proceeding, much less any kind of developed factual record—to step in, declare the election invalid and order new elections.
Federal courts have no constitutional power to do anything unless they have an actual case or controversy, brought by a plaintiff with standing, before them. No such plaintiff has brought a case here, so no ability for any federal court, including SCOTUS, to act. That's why what the petition appears to seek would be unconstitutional.
Also, what Beeswax Altar said.
[ 13. December 2016, 17:21: Message edited by: Nick Tamen ]
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Nick Tamen:
While I have sympathy with anything designed to avoid a Trump presidency, the Supreme Court doesn't have the power to do what the petition seeks to have it do. The petition is essentially asking that the Supreme Court act unconstitutionally.
I'm not so sure about that. Courts have the power to overturn elections in cases where the electoral process is hopelessly compromised. In fact, if I recall correctly you reside in a state where a federal court recently exercised exactly that power.
Not quite. The court did not throw out the results of any elections. It did order that a special election be held, essentially reducing terms from two years to one year.
Given that the election stipulated that the winner would hold office for two years and the federal court threw out that result, that seems a very strained interpretation of not throwing out the results.
Posted by Nick Tamen (# 15164) on
:
Semantics maybe—I would not describe it as throwing out the results, because all candidates elected will in fact take office. I would describe it reducing, in this article instance, the term of office set by the Constitution from two years to one year. Consider it strained if you like. As you said, this happened in the state where I live, and I haven't heard anyone here describe it as throwing out the results of the election.
But as I said, lots of remedies might be available to a court if the matter is properly before it, including ordering new elections. The problem here is not that a court can never order new elections. It's that this petition doesn't present an actual case or controversy to SCOTUS or any other federal court, so no federal court currently has the power to make order any relief at all.
[ 13. December 2016, 17:46: Message edited by: Nick Tamen ]
Posted by Nick Tamen (# 15164) on
:
I should modify what I said above—some press releases did indeed say that the court order overturned the will of voters expressed in the election. Perhaps I should say that outside of statements such as those press releases, I haven't heard anyone describe it as throwing out the results of the election.
Apologies.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
Oh I see, a sexually assaulting incompetent multi-times business cheat vulture capitalist is the best of the lot. I'm dreaming of a White Christmas for the banana republic. Ctl-alt-delete to that sort of alt-right thinking.
It might be rather worse than that.
Key quote from the end of the article
quote:
When Il Duce claimed that he would further “clarify” matters, his audience understood that “clarification” was a synonym for violence. Ben-Ghiat has been thinking about these words as Election Day nears. On the stump, Trump keeps saying that order will be restored on January 20th, as soon as he takes office. “He means everything he says,” Ben-Ghiat said. “Authoritarians never pivot.”
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by no prophet's flag is set so...:
Oh I see, a sexually assaulting incompetent multi-times business cheat vulture capitalist is the best of the lot. I'm dreaming of a White Christmas for the banana republic. Ctl-alt-delete to that sort of alt-right thinking.
It might be rather worse than that.
Key quote from the end of the article
quote:
When Il Duce claimed that he would further “clarify” matters, his audience understood that “clarification” was a synonym for violence. Ben-Ghiat has been thinking about these words as Election Day nears. On the stump, Trump keeps saying that order will be restored on January 20th, as soon as he takes office. “He means everything he says,” Ben-Ghiat said. “Authoritarians never pivot.”
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
But he did pivot. He was pro-choice, then pro-life. He was for the war on Iraq, then against it. He thought climate change was a hoax, then he never said that, now it looks like it might be again. He was going to "lock her up", then it wasn't worth the trouble. It'll be a real struggle to mean everything he said.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
But he did pivot. He was pro-choice, then pro-life. He was for the war on Iraq, then against it. He thought climate change was a hoax, then he never said that, now it looks like it might be again. He was going to "lock her up", then it wasn't worth the trouble. It'll be a real struggle to mean everything he said.
Games played to get into power. The key issue is what does the authoritarian do when in power?
We may not know the full extent of his real agenda. Based on appointments so far, it will be pursued with authoritarian vigour. Pro-business? For sure. Anti-labour. For sure. Anti-immigration? For sure. America first and bugger the treaties? For sure. Muslims? Not sure, but I think some selective treatment is very much on the cards.
I think the administration will be ruthless.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
In other countries, the army takes over. Could you have a revolution? He is reported to have appointed some ex-generals to his cabinet. Riddle me this: how many grnerals does it take to make a junta?
How did Rome go from republic to emporer?
[ 14. December 2016, 12:16: Message edited by: no prophet's flag is set so... ]
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mdijon:
But he did pivot. He was pro-choice, then pro-life. He was for the war on Iraq, then against it. He thought climate change was a hoax, then he never said that, now it looks like it might be again. He was going to "lock her up", then it wasn't worth the trouble. It'll be a real struggle to mean everything he said.
He says whatever he thinks the person directly in front of him wants to hear.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
And there we come to the key question. Who is Trump, really? The real man? Is all this flipfloppery (remember when that was a dealbreaker, for John Kerry? Those were the days, my friends!) a facade, a cunning cloak for the power grab? Or is Trump actually a feather, tossed by the winds of Twitter and popularity?
They told us character in a President was important. Talk about pivots, that is clearly no longer important to many voters. But it is -- it is possibly the question upon which all this discussion hinges.
Unfortunately the only way now to learn the answer, is time. Tiny Fingers will either drive the country into a ditch, or not. Barack Obama is, now, clearly proven to be uninterested in taking all the guns/setting up a Muslim Caliphate/imposing martial law, etc. etc. We can clearly see it. All the energy wasted in denouncing him for it, buying ammo to defend oneself, or fanatically cooking up signs that sharia law was coming, are now seen to be beating the air, a total waste of valuable and scarce brain cells.
And so I sincerely hope it will be, four years (please God, may it not be eight) from now. There will be a new thread about the incoming President. And we will agree that all the awful things we were worrying about in December 2016 were phantoms. Please, Jesus, let it be so. (And while you're at it, Lord, would you like to read The Better Angels of Our Nature? Lemme know, I'll lend you my copy.)
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Brenda wrote:
quote:
Unfortunately the only way now to learn the answer, is time. Tiny Fingers will either drive the country into a ditch, or not. Barack Obama is, now, clearly proven to be uninterested in taking all the guns/setting up a Muslim Caliphate/imposing martial law, etc. etc. We can clearly see it. All the energy wasted in denouncing him for it, buying ammo to defend oneself, or fanatically cooking up signs that sharia law was coming, are now seen to be beating the air, a total waste of valuable and scarce brain cells.
Actually, I suspect a lot of the people who believed that Barack Obama was a gun-stealing, caliphate-building, Communist terrorist, still believe that, albeit in a compartamentalized sort of a way, ie. it doesn't really impact the way they live their everyday lives.
And the thing is, it's easy to continue believing those things about Obama, because THEY WERE NEVER BASED ON LOGIC OR EVIDENCE TO BEGIN WITH.
So that's a little bit different than the people who believe unflattering allegations about Trump, because for the most part those allegations ARE based on things that he really has said and done. It's not just that some internet cranks are making up stuff about him being Putin's Man In Washington, for example. He really DID go on TV and invite the Russians to hack Hillary Clinton's e-mail account.
That said, I agree that Trump likely won't have sold the USA to Russia, interned all Muslims in concentration camps, or launched televised grope-a-thons from the White House lawn, by the end of his period in office, no matter how long it lasts. My point is just that, unlike the allegations directed against Obama, the stuff said about Trump does have some actual basis in his own words and actions.
[ 14. December 2016, 14:39: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
That's the point. The Mango Molester has said a very great many things indeed, most of it totally incompatible with itself and much of it in denial of physical possibility. (Wall, for example.) The only proof now is action.
We should of course keep on throwing his vile words back into his teeth. Do words have meaning, or not? (It could be argued that if they don't, this is the Sin against the Holy Spirit that Jesus was talking about. You can't have discourse if the words are debased.) I am attending the March on Washington in January, and am mulling over signs. I am thinking "The Future Is Nasty", and also "This Pussy Bites," if only I can find one of my daughter's beany baby cats.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
And there we come to the key question. Who is Trump, really? The real man? Is all this flipfloppery (remember when that was a dealbreaker, for John Kerry? Those were the days, my friends!) a facade, a cunning cloak for the power grab? Or is Trump actually a feather, tossed by the winds of Twitter and popularity?
Hillary Clinton couldn't throw stones at anybody for flip flopping. Keep in mind she did her flip flopping while in office.
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
They told us character in a President was important. Talk about pivots, that is clearly no longer important to many voters. But it is -- it is possibly the question upon which all this discussion hinges.
And everybody told them it wasn't. Bush 41 has character. Bob Dole has character. Didn't matter. We are all hypocrites now. Can't put the genie back in the bottle.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Hillary Clinton couldn't throw stones at anybody for flip flopping. Keep in mind she did her flip flopping while in office.
The Clinton tu quoque has to be the most tired defence imaginable for Trump. It needs to be retired, given a rest home to end all rest homes with "do not resuscitate" emblazoned on its file so it can end its days in peace.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
I'm sorry but if you wanted to throw stones at Donald Trump for lack of character and flip flopping you should have nominated somebody other than Hillary Clinton.
Posted by mdijon (# 8520) on
:
Yeah, it's hard to see where Clinton is on choice, climate change or independence of the judiciary. She got War in Iraq wrong by most estimations, but doesn't try to deny it.
By the way out of interest can you think of a single valid criticism of Trump where you wouldn't say Clinton did something that was morally equivalent and worse?
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
Between Bill and Hillary Clinton?
Not really
Trump takes it to the extreme. However, that was bound to happen. Like I said, the genie was let out of the bottle. All the countries in Europe were laughing at us because we cared about the private life of Bill Clinton. Some saw it as progress that a man with the morals of the French political class could get elected and survive impeachment. Guess what? Now, we have our own Jean-Marie Le Pen too. Only ours won.
4 more years of Bush 41 doesn't seem near as bad as it did in 1992, does it?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
I'm sorry but if you wanted to throw stones at Donald Trump for lack of character and flip flopping you should have nominated somebody other than Hillary Clinton.
IT isn't actually the same thing, though. Clinton's shifting is based on a variety of things, expediency being the most damning. But she operates on the same principles as do most politicians.
Trump's switching seems to have little rational or though out pattern. He shifts within the same speech/conversation.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Between Bill and Hillary Clinton?
Not really
Trump takes it to the extreme. However, that was bound to happen. Like I said, the genie was let out of the bottle. All the countries in Europe were laughing at us because we cared about the private life of Bill Clinton.
Pseudo-morality and fear, the Republican secret sauce. Now they have to pretend to like the flavour.
quote:
4 more years of Bush 41 doesn't seem near as bad as it did in 1992, does it?
Hell of a low standard.
ETA:Pseudo-morality and fear is the secret sauce of the political right, the Americans do not hold the patent unfortunately.
[ 14. December 2016, 18:11: Message edited by: lilBuddha ]
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
What about this?
Energy department issue
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
And there's interesting info in the comments. The saving of data out of his reach, for instance.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Trump walks into the dressing rooms of teenaged girls. He grabs pussy, and boasts of it. This is unforgivable in my book. I will call him on it to my dying day. (Another protest sign idea:
this happens to be an Xmas ornament, but it would transfer well to a large placard.
Bill Clinton (who was not running this cycle, recall) at least dealt with consensual partners, and had the decency or hypocrisy to not brag aloud on camera of his prowess. Tiny Fingers is just vulgar, in addition to being an abuser.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Bill Clinton (who was not running this cycle, recall) at least dealt with consensual partners, and had the decency or hypocrisy to not brag aloud on camera of his prowess. Tiny Fingers is just vulgar, in addition to being an abuser.
Consensual in the easy manner in which there's consent between a young woman just out of college and a president of the US.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Bill Clinton (who was not running this cycle, recall) at least dealt with consensual partners, and had the decency or hypocrisy to not brag aloud on camera of his prowess. Tiny Fingers is just vulgar, in addition to being an abuser.
Consensual in the easy manner in which there's consent between a young woman just out of college and a president of the US.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
You are suggesting that groping is equivalent? Or, perhaps, okay, since the perpetrator is a Republican.
I have suggested that all female Cabinet members buy a large leather handbag. Carry it in front at all times.
[ 14. December 2016, 20:15: Message edited by: Brenda Clough ]
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
The Scots have a design that's hands free. And they aren't all furry. Or equipped with dangly bits.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
You are suggesting that groping is equivalent? Or, perhaps, okay, since the perpetrator is a Republican.
In the eyes of the law, there are degrees, and groping a stranger is, I suspect, worse than the boss getting a BJ from his intern, who happens to be about his daughter's age.
Still, most of us know that you shouldn't do either of those things, and I think that should be your bottom line. "Well, what Bill Clinton did wasn't nearly as bad as what Donald Trump did" isn't a convincing argument to me. It's just all varying degrees of unacceptable behavior.
People always say that Europe looked at Clinton and wondered what the big deal was. Which makes me wonder, how much of a difference is there between patriarchal prudishness on this side of the pond and patriarchal winking and acceptance on the other?
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
You are suggesting that groping is equivalent? Or, perhaps, okay, since the perpetrator is a Republican.
In the eyes of the law, there are degrees, and groping a stranger is, I suspect, worse than the boss getting a BJ from his intern, who happens to be about his [adult] daughter's age.
In the eyes of the law only one of those is actually a crime. Is that what you mean by "degrees"?
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
Yes. But you still shouldn't do either of those things.
Thanks for adding content to my post when replying, BTW.
Posted by Crœsos (# 238) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
Yes. But you still shouldn't do either of those things.
Actually "in the eyes of the law" (your chosen standard of judgment) you only shouldn't do one of those things.
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
Thanks for adding content to my post when replying, BTW.
No problem. It's an important distinction "in the eyes of the law".
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Bill Clinton (who was not running this cycle, recall) at least dealt with consensual partners, and had the decency or hypocrisy to not brag aloud on camera of his prowess. Tiny Fingers is just vulgar, in addition to being an abuser.
Consensual in the easy manner in which there's consent between a young woman just out of college and a president of the US.
An adult is an adult, and I think there CAN be consent between a recent college-grad and a POTUS(workplace harassment issues might come into play here, though no more than in any other office).
However...
What Juanita Broadrick alleged was in no way consensual. Now yes, you can certainly get around her claims by saying that she was lying, but that kind of puts liberal Democrats in an awkward position, eg. was Anita Hill lying, too?
And one more "however"...
While Trump himself did appear with Juanita Broadrick to drive that point home, it wasn't the main basis of his defense. Instead, he said that he had been lying when he bragged about groping women. Which is plausible enough, but kind of misses the point: Even simply wanting people to think that you did those sorts of actions is pretty bad, since it suggests an endorsement.
TL/DR: The Democrats were on shaky ground in attacking Trump on the sexual-assault allegations, but not for the main reasons that Trump put forward.
[ 14. December 2016, 21:11: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
What Juanita Broadrick alleged was in no way consensual. Now yes, you can certainly get around her claims by saying that she was lying, but that kind of puts liberal Democrats in an awkward position, eg. was Anita Hill lying, too?
So if any woman, anywhere, has ever lied about sexual assault, that means every woman, everywhere, who ever cries assault must be disbelieved, otherwise we're hypocrites? Really???
I so thought we were past this crap.
[ 14. December 2016, 21:25: Message edited by: cliffdweller ]
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Crœsos:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
Yes. But you still shouldn't do either of those things.
Actually "in the eyes of the law" (your chosen standard of judgment) you only shouldn't do one of those things.
I think you missed the leap I made from paragraph one, where I discussed the fact that one act was worse than the other (in fact, one is illegal and one is not), and paragraph two, where I intended to go beyond legal discussion, and suggest that either act is something you shouldn't do. Think of illegal behavior as a special subset of things you shouldn't do. When the intern offers you a BJ, you could, I suppose, ask for an ID, confirm she is over 18, and get on with it and sleep like a baby. In my book, you should also consider how it will affect your family life, the likelihood that the intern will develop feelings for you that you cannot reciprocate, etc, and give a polite "please don't be embarrassed when I say this, and I promise I won't tell anyone about this, but no thanks."
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
Consensual in the easy manner in which there's consent between a young woman just out of college and a president of the US.
One wonders just what courses she took at college anyway. Nothing would have stopped her from screaming and running out of the room.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
Consensual in the easy manner in which there's consent between a young woman just out of college and a president of the US.
One wonders just what courses she took at college anyway. Nothing would have stopped her from screaming and running out of the room.
I'm going two ways on this one. While I don't remember any detail suggesting that in the instant case she didn't want to be having sexual contact with the President, I don't think that "nothing was stopping you from screaming and running" is a great standard for consent.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
You are suggesting that groping is equivalent? Or, perhaps, okay, since the perpetrator is a Republican.
I have suggested that all female Cabinet members buy a large leather handbag. Carry it in front at all times.
I was making no comment at all on Trump's behaviour, simply on your assertion that Clinton's was consensual. I have very great difficulty in seeing real consent there.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
Meanwhile, back in 2016...
"Flynn, Trump’s national security adviser, mishandled classified information, Army records show." (Yahoo)
It was judged by a secret investigation to be accidental. The article also reviews various other problems with Flynn.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
What Juanita Broadrick alleged was in no way consensual. Now yes, you can certainly get around her claims by saying that she was lying, but that kind of puts liberal Democrats in an awkward position, eg. was Anita Hill lying, too?
So if any woman, anywhere, has ever lied about sexual assault, that means every woman, everywhere, who ever cries assault must be disbelieved, otherwise we're hypocrites? Really???
I so thought we were past this crap.
No, obviously, it's possible to believe that one woman is telling the truth, while another woman is lying. But then, within the context of a political cut-and-thrust, you can damned well expect that the other side is going to ask you to explain, why you think Hill was telling the truth and Broadrick was lying.
Do you think that's a discussion that any of Bill Clinton's feminist defenders wanted to be having on the campaign trail? In terms of realpolitik alone, the optics are not good at all.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
No, it is clear from the old transcripts that Lewinsky invited the contact. That Bill went along was clearly wrong, but he was thinking with the little brain and not the big brain.
Whereas the Mango Mussolini was clearly battening upon girls who did not consent and in whom he was (as their employer) had huge power. And he has neither repented nor apologized. I doubt if taxing him with it will help -- he is sure to tweet in fury. But I am not the only Nasty Woman out there unwilling to give him a pass. This is NSFW (some female nudity)
[URL=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/haunting-photos-feature-trumps-sexist-comments-drawn-on-womens- bodies_us_584ef639e4b0bd9c3dfddf27]but shows you the sort of outrage that women are feeling.[/URL]
[link broken in line with two-click rule]
[ 15. December 2016, 05:00: Message edited by: Eutychus ]
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Gee D:
Consensual in the easy manner in which there's consent between a young woman just out of college and a president of the US.
One wonders just what courses she took at college anyway. Nothing would have stopped her from screaming and running out of the room.
I'm going two ways on this one. While I don't remember any detail suggesting that in the instant case she didn't want to be having sexual contact with the President, I don't think that "nothing was stopping you from screaming and running" is a great standard for consent.
Well, I took Amanda's "screaming and running" as a synechdoce or a metonym or whatever you'd call it. The basic meaning "There was nothing to stop Lewinsky from refusing Bill Clinton's advances."
Though, as I said earlier, there is still the issue of workplace harassment, if a boss is having sex with his staff.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
What Juanita Broadrick alleged was in no way consensual. Now yes, you can certainly get around her claims by saying that she was lying, but that kind of puts liberal Democrats in an awkward position, eg. was Anita Hill lying, too?
So if any woman, anywhere, has ever lied about sexual assault, that means every woman, everywhere, who ever cries assault must be disbelieved, otherwise we're hypocrites? Really???
I so thought we were past this crap.
No, obviously, it's possible to believe that one woman is telling the truth, while another woman is lying. But then, within the context of a political cut-and-thrust, you can damned well expect that the other side is going to ask you to explain, why you think Hill was telling the truth and Broadrick was lying.
Do you think that's a discussion that any of Bill Clinton's feminist defenders wanted to be having on the campaign trail? In terms of realpolitik alone, the optics are not good at all.
I am a Bill Clinton feminist defender and I would be happy to examine the evidence against Bill alongside the evidence against Trump. Of course, as noted above, Bill was not running for President.
The argument you're making is the argument we've seen throughout the election-- one that was ultimately quite successful. It's false equivalence. Any accusations made against Trump are met with parallel accusations against Hillary (or some surrogate of hers, even though no surrogates were running for office). These accusations are continually presented as equivalent simply because they are both superficially similar accusations even if the gravity of the two crimes or the evidence to support the accusations are quite dissimilar. No they are both presented by both media and Trump supporters as equivalent in the name of being "fair" or "not hypocritical". No exploration of what evidence lies behind the accusations, simply present the rumor, innuendo, accusation and that is enough. And yes, Comey, we're ALL looking at you.
It's pure BS. Sadly for us as a nation, it proved to be highly effective BS.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Brenda Clough:
This is NSFW (some female nudity)
[URL=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/haunting-photos-feature-trumps-sexist-comments-drawn- on-womens-bodies_us_584ef639e4b0bd9c3dfddf27]but shows you the sort of outrage that women are feeling.[/URL]
sigh
See, here is the problem: those images will teach absolutely no one anything. If someone agrees with the message, they do it need to see the images. If they disagree, they will change nothing unless those are their daughters.
[link broken again]
[ 15. December 2016, 05:01: Message edited by: Eutychus ]
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
Given that Russia is involved in your election, why is Pussy Riot and Femen not part of the deal?
I am still wondering if a revolution is possible.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
Cliffdweller, so much more cogent than me!
Posted by Eutychus (# 3081) on
:
hosting/
NSFW warnings are good, but not enough. Our practice is to put any material that might get someone into trouble if it's cached on their drive by virtue of having clicked on a link at least two clicks away from the Ship. That specifically applies to nudity.
Thank you for your cooperation.
/hosting
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Well, I took Amanda's "screaming and running" as a synechdoce or a metonym or whatever you'd call it. The basic meaning "There was nothing to stop Lewinsky from refusing Bill Clinton's advances."
Though, as I said earlier, there is still the issue of workplace harassment, if a boss is having sex with his staff.
Actually, per reports back in the day, it was the other way around: she purposely sought him out. And her "friend" Linda Tripp egged her on, for political reasons.
Personally, I think ML was acting out, due to a "relationship" with her high school teacher. (Not sure if she was underage, but she was still in school.) He and his wife held a press conference, way back when, wherein he said something like "she's a liar; you can't believe anything she says; why yes, we did have a relationship".
It was a bad thing and shouldn't have happened, IMHO. But it reportedly wasn't a matter of him pressuring her.
I now return to 2016.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Cliffdweller wrote:
quote:
These accusations are continually presented as equivalent simply because they are both superficially similar accusations even if the gravity of the two crimes or the evidence to support the accusations are quite dissimilar.
You don't think that Juanita Broadrick's accusations against Bill Clinton were of at least equal gravity to what Trump claimed to have done? Are you aware of what her accusations were?
I partially take the point about evidence, but remember, my comparison was to Anita Hill(as an example). As far as I can recall, there wasn't much more evidence for her allegations than there was for Broadrick's allegations against Clinton. In both cases, we were being asked to take the word of the accuser at face value.
I have to go to work. I'll continue this later.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
FWIW, I personally think that Anita Hill's allegations were true, because they had an air of plausibility about them, and IIRC no one came forward with any evidence that she was part of some covert plan to frame Clarence Thomas.
However, from what I remember, I don't think the things Thomas is alleged to have done(or more accurately, said) at his office were serious enough to keep him off the SCOTUS, though I seem to remember his testimony before the committee being a little shifty.
As for Broadrick, I think it likely that she had some sort of physical encounter with Bill Clinton. Whether or not it was consensual, I have no idea.
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
But it reportedly wasn't a matter of him pressuring her.
Then **he** should have run screaming from the room.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Golden Key:
But it reportedly wasn't a matter of him pressuring her.
Then **he** should have run screaming from the room.
Exactly.
Politico ran a story yesterday purporting to show how Clinton lost Michigan. Union leaders and local organizers are blaming her campaign for sending them to Iowa and ignoring their ground indicators that Michigan was much closer than the five point lead the campaign was sure they had. Apparently when someone called the Brooklyn office on Tuesday afternoon to beg them to organize last-second get out the vote buses, the campaign had already popped the corks on the first celebratory bottles of champagne and was making calls offering folks spots on the transition team.
Sour grapes? 20/20 hindsight? Actual grievances?
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
The reason the election turned as it did does not have a single factor answer. No one thing would have changed the results.
And given that many tiny-fingered, orange votes were driven by imaginary concerns, it would be difficult to address all the issues.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by lilBuddha:
IT isn't actually the same thing, though.
Not to Clinton supporters obviously. To everybody else, it is exactly the same thing.
quote:
originally posted by lilBuddha:
But she operates on the same principles as do most politicians.
So does Trump. However, having not spent his entire adult life in politics, he isn't as smooth as the average politician. Trump learned politics by watching politicians on television.
quote:
originally posted by lilBuddha:
Pseudo-morality and fear, the Republican secret sauce. Now they have to pretend to like the flavour.
Pseudo-morality and fear are everybody's secret sauce. At least you don't have to worry about the Koch brother funded Dominionist Tea Party seizing power and turning the nation into an anarcho capitalistic theocracy that is one half Gault's Gulch and one half Atwood's Gilead. Did I fail to include any Left wing boogeymen?
quote:
originally posted cliffdweller:
So if any woman, anywhere, has ever lied about sexual assault, that means every woman, everywhere, who ever cries assault must be disbelieved, otherwise we're hypocrites? Really???
He's saying just the opposite, actually. Since "rape culture" and the "epidemic of sexual assault on college campuses" have become issues, feminists have insisted that if a woman says she was raped we should believe her. Juanita Broderick claims Bill Clinton raped her. Therefore, she should be believed. Calling her a liar is raping her all over again. Clinton was not acquitted. The charge has not been conclusively proven to be false. Thus, Clinton got away with rape. Just applying the same rules to Bill Clinton that feminists want to apply to a boys in college. I challenge you to look at Juanita Brodderick's claims. Tell me why you believe her claims are false. Then, we can apply that same standard of proof to every single woman who claims to be raped. Fair enough?
Hillary Clinton enabled Bill Clinton's abuse of women for decades. She slut shamed all of his accusers. The whole lot of them were bimbos. What did that make Bill? A feminist icon like Hillary Clinton giving credence to the misogynistic double standard to advance her own political ambition.
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Whereas the Mango Mussolini was clearly battening upon girls who did not consent
Clearly battering upon girls who did not consent? Did you actually listen or read the transcript of what he actually said? I ask because I find it hard to believe you would say clearly from what he actually said. For instance, Trump said he hit on a married woman and she rejected him. Then, he backed off. He then said women would let him get away with touching them because he was famous. In other words, they CONSENTED because he was famous. The whole grab them by the pussy comment was no more a confession to sexual assault than his shoot somebody on 5th Avenue claim was evidence he planned to commit murder.
quote:
originally posted by cliffdweller:
It's false equivalence.
Bill Clinton was accused of the exact same thing. Feminists stood by their man. One said all women should put on their knee pads and do for Bill Clinton what Monica Lewinsky did. Sorry, if you supported Bill Clinton, you don't get to criticize Trump and expect to be taken seriously. That goes double if you enabled him the way Hillary Clinton did. Should have nominated somebody with more credibility on the issue.
quote:
originally posted by lilBuddha:
See, here is the problem: those images will teach absolutely no one anything. If someone agrees with the message, they do it need to see the images. If they disagree, they will change nothing unless those are their daughters.
Nudity bates the clicks. No telling how much money web sites have made showing scantily clad pictures of Ariel Winter under the pretense of defending her from body shamers. Got to admire Ariel Winter for keeping herself in the spotlight. Sophia Vegara taught her well.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
And given that many tiny-fingered, orange votes were driven by imaginary concerns, it would be difficult to address all the issues.
How about this point from the Politico article.
There were fewer tiny-fingered, orange votes cast in Michigan than there were W votes cast in the same state in 2004. W lost, Trump won. Clinton didn't need Obama turnout, she could have won with Kerry turn out.
True, there were a lot of factors at play. But I really hope that we don't look back at this and discover that one factor was the Clinton campaign doing a c-student job of organization.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Beeswax wrote:
quote:
He's saying just the opposite, actually. Since "rape culture" and the "epidemic of sexual assault on college campuses" have become issues, feminists have insisted that if a woman says she was raped we should believe her. Juanita Broderick claims Bill Clinton raped her. Therefore, she should be believed. Calling her a liar is raping her all over again. Clinton was not acquitted. The charge has not been conclusively proven to be false. Thus, Clinton got away with rape. Just applying the same rules to Bill Clinton that feminists want to apply to a boys in college. I challenge you to look at Juanita Brodderick's claims. Tell me why you believe her claims are false. Then, we can apply that same standard of proof to every single woman who claims to be raped. Fair enough?
For the record, I don't know if Hillary Clinton herself subscribes to the blanket notion that all rape complainants have to be believed. I'm pretty sure, though, that among the Democratic voting bloc(a bloc which would include me, were I an American) there are a significant number of people who believe that, or come pretty close in any case.
In Canada, after Jian Ghomeshi was acquitted of sexual assault, numerous activists, including several high-profile politicians, began sporting buttons that read I Believe Victims", which, given the facts of the case they were responding to, would seem to indicate that they didn't think court verdicts in favour of the accused need to be taken into account.
That's a Canadian example, but I'm sure the political culture is not that different south of the border. Assuming such views find any significant degree of support among Democrats, it would make it somewhat awkward for the Clinton campaign to go after Juanita Broadrick.
[ 15. December 2016, 16:51: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
It's the implied belief of the Obama Administration given how they interpret Title IX.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
True, there were a lot of factors at play. But I really hope that we don't look back at this and discover that one factor was the Clinton campaign doing a c-student job of organization.
I think it is undeniable this is the case.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
Whereas the Mango Mussolini was clearly battening upon girls who did not consent
Clearly battering upon girls who did not consent? Did you actually listen or read the transcript of what he actually said? I ask because I find it hard to believe you would say clearly from what he actually said. For instance, Trump said he hit on a married woman and she rejected him. Then, he backed off. He then said women would let him get away with touching them because he was famous. In other words, they CONSENTED because he was famous. The whole grab them by the pussy comment was no more a confession to sexual assault than his shoot somebody on 5th Avenue claim was evidence he planned to commit murder.
[/QB]
I was thinking specifically of his boast that he could go into the dressing rooms of the Miss Teen America contestants and ogle them while they were naked. These were under-aged girls. They were beauty contestants, but had certainly not consented to let a 60-year-old man barge in on them dressing.
I don't have to infer or imply. Tiny Fingers bragged of this himself, in his own words, and was proud of it. Every parent would agree: this is egregious. What if it were your daughter in that dressing room, clutching her underwear? My daughter is no longer a teen (oh, would that I could introduce her to the Mango Mussolini! She is a US Army major, an Afghan war vet, and could snap him in half). But I am still her mother, and on behalf of all mothers everywhere, I am coldly furious.
I think my sign in January should say, "NASTY and PROUD of it."
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
Originally posted by BA:
quote:
feminists have insisted that if a woman says she was raped we should believe her.
In the past, and still in loads of ways, the tendency was to consider the charge with suspicion first and reluctantly admit the possibility when evidence allowed no other rational conclusion.
What feminism* wants is for women's voices to be heard and not automatically dismissed. This is not a wish to eliminate due process or ignore the possibility of false testimony, but a desire to be treated equally.
*In general. There are a variety of opinions, of course.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by Brendan Clough:
I was thinking specifically of his boast that he could go into the dressing rooms of the Miss Teen America contestants and ogle them while they were naked.
Trump never mentioned the Miss Teen USA pageant. Some past Miss Teen USA contestants have said he walked into the dressing room. Other said he did not. Those who said he did not gave two reasons to support their claim. One, the dressing room was secure with numerous adult chaperones. Two, if anything inappropriate involving teenage girls would have happened, there would have been gossip. So, Donald Trump repeatedly walked in on naked underage girls and we didn't hear about it until the October before an election?
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
What if it were your daughter in that dressing room, clutching her underwear?
Like most parents, I'd say something probably to the press. See above.
quote:
originally posted by lilBuddha:
This is not a wish to eliminate due process or ignore the possibility of false testimony
Yes, they do favor a Kafkaesque version of due process for college boys accused of sexual assault.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
quote:
originally posted by Brenda Clough:
What if it were your daughter in that dressing room, clutching her underwear?
Like most parents, I'd say something probably to the press. See above.
[/QB][/QUOTE]
You wouldn't ask your daughter first what she wanted. And you would go to the press? Really? So now your daughter can be confronted by everyone who wants, and is doubly upset, including now at you. Ridiculous. Supportive parents take the lead of their child and support them.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
Because journalists never print stories based on sources that wish to remain anonymous?
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
And your priority would be the journalists of course.
Posted by RuthW (# 13) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Sorry, if you supported Bill Clinton, you don't get to criticize Trump and expect to be taken seriously.
Bill Clinton ran in 1992 and 1996. He was impeached and acquitted in 1999. Juanita Broaddrick made her public claim in an interview with NBC after the impeachment, and NBC didn't air it until after the acquittal. When she was subpoenaed in the Paula Jones case, she went on legal record in early 1998 denying that she had been raped:
quote:
During the 1992 Presidential campaign there were unfounded rumors and stories circulated that Mr. Clinton had made unwelcome sexual advances toward me in the late seventies. Newspaper and tabloid reporters hounded me and my family, seeking corroboration of these tales. I repeatedly denied the allegations and requested that my family's privacy be respected. These allegations are untrue and I had hoped that they would no longer haunt me, or cause further disruption to my family. (Legal affidavit in Paula Jones case published by the Washington Post in January 1998)
People who voted for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 were supposed to believe something Juanita Broaddrick flatly denied until 1999?
She recanted this affidavit when Kenneth Starr gave her immunity for perjuring herself, but Starr decided that the rape she suffered wasn't relevant to his case, since she stood fast in her statements that Clinton had not bribed her to stay quiet.
She had all kinds of good reasons for not wanting to make a public accusation. According to Wikipedia, she told Paula Jones' investigators,
quote:
“[ I]t was just a horrible horrible thing,” ... she “wouldn’t relive it for anything.” ... “[Y]ou can’t get to him, and I’m not going to ruin my good name to do it… there’s just absolutely no way anyone can get to him, he’s just too vicious."
It is precisely because of the kind of thing that Juanita Broaddrick went through that feminists in the intervening years started saying that people should be believed when they claim to have been sexually assaulted. When Clinton raped Broaddrick in 1978, acquaintance rape wasn't an acknowledged occurrence; the phrase hadn't even become current. Had she told more people that Clinton had raped her, had she gone to the police, there was a very good chance that they would have said it was her fault for inviting him into her motel room in the first place. In the 1990s, this was still happening.
You're saying people in the 1990s should have had the ideas and awareness they have today, ideas and awareness that were only developed more recently because of the horrors victims suffered in the wake of being raped.
Yeah, I voted for Bill Clinton in 1992, because I thought his policies seemed slightly more acceptable than George H.W. Bush's. The political judgement I made then, however faulty it may have been, does not automatically invalidate political judgements I make 24 years later.
Posted by chris stiles (# 12641) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
So, Donald Trump repeatedly walked in on naked underage girls and we didn't hear about it until the October before an election?
Not going to comment on the allegation itself, but recent events do not make this kind of defence particularly compelling.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
What Ruth said.
What Hillary supporters have and are saying is simply:
1. Rape allegations, no matter against whom, should be heard.
2. Rape allegations, no matter against whom, should be investigated.
3. Hillary Clinton has not been accused of rape.
re: #3: Whether or not Hillary was kind & nice or mean & nasty to her husband's accusers is entirely irrelevant. One can understand how much more complicated relationally the situation is when it is your own spouse than it is in a case where you are a dispassionate observer. I'm quite happy to give her-- or any other innocent spouse in that scenario-- a free pass, just as I give a free pass to parents whose child has just been murdered to cry "execute him!" even if they were passionate anti-death penalty advocates previously. We are human, and our human relationships will get in the way of perspective. That doesn't give Bill a free pass, but it should give her a pass when the only crime she's accused of is being "nasty" to another woman.
re: #2: It seems to me that Bill's past sexual indiscretions, including this one, have been well investigated. Broderick's recanting was a compelling factor in Bill's not being prosecuted in the case. That may or may not be a just outcome-- we'll never know. That happens in rape cases-- sadly, it can often be hard to prove, and people can, as noted, give false testimony/recant for a number of reasons, some valid, some not. But I'm satisfied that it was investigated, and willing to hold the cognitive dissonance of not knowing as a necessary byproduct of the world we live in, and an innocent-until-proven-guilty judicial system.
Similarly, the very serious rape allegations against Trump should be investigated with the same level of very very intense scrutiny Bill was subjected to. And yes, in the "court of public opinion" I am inclined to believe the accusations vs Trump more than those against Bill. That should not surprise anyone. We all tend to believe the people we like more than the people we dislike. Which is why we attempt to have a judicial system that weeds out jurors who have close relationships, positively or negatively, with either the defendant or the victim. So, sure, I have a bias against Trump-- based on a lot of the things he's said. But that's again, why we have a judicial system in place that is supposed to have some checks and balances in place-- although there is good reason to doubt that it's working as well as it ought.
re: #1: Broderick should be heard. She wasn't heard in the past for the reasons Ruth mentioned. She should be heard now. If her accusations cannot be proven one way or the other (as appears to be the case), we cannot expect Bill to be convicted (either legally or in the court of public opinion). But that doesn't mean we can't support her and also give her the benefit of the doubt. Again, it is possible-- necessary in fact-- to carry some level of cognitive dissonance when dealing with these sorts of situations.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Og, King of Bashan:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
And given that many tiny-fingered, orange votes were driven by imaginary concerns, it would be difficult to address all the issues.
How about this point from the Politico article.
There were fewer tiny-fingered, orange votes cast in Michigan than there were W votes cast in the same state in 2004. W lost, Trump won. Clinton didn't need Obama turnout, she could have won with Kerry turn out.
True, there were a lot of factors at play. But I really hope that we don't look back at this and discover that one factor was the Clinton campaign doing a c-student job of organization.
Oh, I think it's clear that was one factor, along with just the general cluelessness/arrogance of our liberal echo-chamber in general. There were many factors-- a real s**t-storm of them, in fact. There's the apparent Russian meddling, there's Comey's probably treasonous meddling, there's the DNC incompetence and corruption re Sanders, there's the GOP incompetence and corruption that led to Trump's getting the nomination... need I go on? Please say no.
I don't know that Clinton's poor campaign organization tops that list. There are others that grate harder for me. But sure, that was a factor.
Posted by Pangolin Guerre (# 18686) on
:
This is a non sequitur, given the direction in which the discussion has moved, but this is the most appropriate place for my public self-flagellation.
On a different thread, I wrote that I thought that Trump may well not finish his term, for reasons legal, or personal (boredom or being overwhelmed), and that in that there was some hope. Now that we see the composition of his cabinet, I realise that even if I am correct, it matters not a damn. We're screwed, regardless of who is at the helm. Climate change deniers, evolution deniers, homophobes... it really doesn't matter whether Trump is POTUS or not.
If someone would be so kind as to pass me a scourge.
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Pangolin Guerre:
Now that we see the composition of his cabinet, I realise that even if I am correct, it matters not a damn. We're screwed, regardless of who is at the helm. Climate change deniers, evolution deniers, homophobes... it really doesn't matter whether Trump is POTUS or not.
As I understand it, if Trump resigned and Pence came into power, he could change the cabinet. The real reason the situation is messed up is that Pence and Ryan, the next in line, would not be a good thing either.
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
I can't imagine the Predator Elect resigning. Would that not make him a Loser, like Nixon? No no, he may well hole up in his penthouse in New York and let others do all the work. But he'd want to be able to show up at White House dinners, shake the hands of celebs, make incoherent speeches -- all the stuff that he would really enjoy.
I would be willing to believe that Ivanka and Pence would keep him from molesting women or starting a nuclear wars, simply because it would be bad for business. But anything else? Yes. Go look at Kansas, to see what devout conservative principles can do for a polity when applied energetically.
Posted by Pigwidgeon (# 10192) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
As I understand it, if Trump resigned and Pence came into power, he could change the cabinet. The real reason the situation is messed up is that Pence and Ryan, the next in line, would not be a good thing either.
Back around 1973 the same was said about Nixon -- if he's impeached, we're stuck with Agnew. That problem solved itself, and we got rid of both of them.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Pangolin Guerre:
This is a non sequitur, given the direction in which the discussion has moved, but this is the most appropriate place for my public self-flagellation.
On a different thread, I wrote that I thought that Trump may well not finish his term, for reasons legal, or personal (boredom or being overwhelmed), and that in that there was some hope. Now that we see the composition of his cabinet, I realise that even if I am correct, it matters not a damn. We're screwed, regardless of who is at the helm. Climate change deniers, evolution deniers, homophobes... it really doesn't matter whether Trump is POTUS or not.
If someone would be so kind as to pass me a scourge.
Sadly, I am inclined to agree. And Pence's policies are every bit as dreadful as Trump's.
The only slight advantage to a Pence administration would be that I think there will be far less chance that Pence would get us into a nuclear war impulsively at 3 am some night over some perceived slight. Doesn't mean that we won't get into a nuclear war-- just that it won't happen impulsively and personal insults won't be as much of a trigger.
That might allow us to sleep thru the night and stop looking up every time we hear a loud noise, But other than that, yeah, I think you're quite right. We're s*****d.
I had the wise foresight to marry a Canadian 20 years ago, so I may have a hide-hole if the wind currents from our nuclear winter prove favorable...
Posted by Palimpsest (# 16772) on
:
Speaking of Nuclear War, how long before the U.S. is at war with some nation? I'm thinking the first month at the rate Trump is going.
Posted by Humble Servant (# 18391) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Palimpsest:
Speaking of Nuclear War, how long before the U.S. is at war with some nation? I'm thinking the first month at the rate Trump is going.
Or even before he takes office...
Posted by Wesley J (# 6075) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Humble Servant:
quote:
Originally posted by Palimpsest:
Speaking of Nuclear War, how long before the U.S. is at war with some nation? I'm thinking the first month at the rate Trump is going.
Or even before he takes office...
Paywall, Humble Mate. Can't see a thing apart from the headline.
The story is on all news sites though - Chinese nick US underwater drone.
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
I find myself cross referencing odd news stories nowadays. This one, for example: Human ancestors
It is curious, isn't it, how males always interpret groups with one dominant male and a number of mates as if they would be that lucky individual, whereas they wuld probably be one of the discontented hanging around and perpetually challenging the dominant male to take over?
And boy, does that behaviour seem to resurface in places it really shouldn't.
God, why on earth did you pick that sort of being to become us? And how on earth do we sort it out?
Posted by hatless (# 3365) on
:
It's a mind-blowing article. First, can they really tell the sex of a hominid by its footprints? Stride length, I can believe, and therefore likely range of height. Weight, if the impressions are good enough. I doubt you can sex someone with much confidence from 30m of footprints, especially is they belong to a species we know so little about that our type specimen, Lucy, is described in the article as now apparently an outlier.
But even if they are right about the three females, as you say, why assume it's one male and three mates? Why not two parents and three children? Or five members of a larger group? Or an infant queen, her female bodyguard, two of the royal astrologers, and an amusing uncle visiting from down the Rift Valley.
Last night, QI, the British trick question show, had one about wolves: who leads the wolf pack? Wrong answer: the alpha male. It seems that most wolf packs are family groups, and as far as they have leaders it is the parents. The ethologist who came up with 'alpha male' based it on a study of a captive group, and has spent the rest of his career trying to persuade people he was wrong, but no one listens. The concept of the alpha male is very dear to some; very useful.
Posted by Moo (# 107) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Penny S:
It is curious, isn't it, how males always interpret groups with one dominant male and a number of mates as if they would be that lucky individual, whereas they wuld probably be one of the discontented hanging around and perpetually challenging the dominant male to take over?
{tangent alert}
I saw a TV program about mating season among elk or some related species.
It turns out that while the physical fights for dominance are in progress, the smaller and younger males mate with the females. I assume the fighting males don't realize what's going on.
{/tangent alert}
Moo
Posted by Brenda Clough (# 18061) on
:
God knows we have proven, over time, that drawing analogies from other animals to us is not especially helpful. All that stuff about Social Darwinism comes to mind. And that is even assuming that the original observations and theorizing were correct in the first place.
As (hopefully) rational beings with the (optimistically anticipated) ability to reason and (please Lord) alter our behavior, we must hope that the better side of Tiny Fingers' nature will prevail. There is little evidence of that so far, but it's
not for want of exhortation and advice.
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
Trump says "Let them keep it!" after China agrees to return drone he had previously accused them of stealing.
Umm, good job looking out for America's interests?
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Stetson:
Trump says "Let them keep it!" after China agrees to return drone he had previously accused them of stealing.
Umm, good job looking out for America's interests?
Just as he will say "Let them keep it!" when Russia annexes what's left of Ukraine, and maybe Lithuania and Estonia for good measure.
Posted by Soror Magna (# 9881) on
:
Baby Fanta really needs a time out.
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
The Electoral College votes were interesting. After all that talk of electors refusing to vote for Trump, he only lost two votes. But Clinton managed to lose four of hers, double the loss; not to mention another three electors who were ruled out of order because they failed to vote for her when bound to do so.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
The Electoral College votes were interesting. After all that talk of electors refusing to vote for Trump, he only lost two votes. But Clinton managed to lose four of hers, double the loss; not to mention another three electors who were ruled out of order because they failed to vote for her when bound to do so.
Do we know who they were going to vote for? There were some last-minute hail-Mary plays where Clinton electors would vote for a moderate (or at least sane) Republican in hopes of pulling in at least 37 of the republican trump electors
Posted by Moo (# 107) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by cliffdweller:
[QUOTE]Originally posted by David Goode:
[qb] Do we know who they were going to vote for? There were some last-minute hail-Mary plays where Clinton electors would vote for a moderate (or at least sane) Republican in hopes of pulling in at least 37 of the republican trump electors
AIUI the four electors who were expected to vote for Hillary voted for other Democrats, such as Sanders. There was also one vote for an Indian chief.
Moo
Posted by Moo (# 107) on
:
There was also a Democratic elector in Hawaii who did not vote for Hillary.
There were two Republican electors in Texas who did not vote for Trump.
Moo
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
The Electoral College votes were interesting. After all that talk of electors refusing to vote for Trump, he only lost two votes. But Clinton managed to lose four of hers, double the loss; not to mention another three electors who were ruled out of order because they failed to vote for her when bound to do so.
I didn't look at the results closely (read: at all) but I know one of the electors from the great state of Washington had said before the plebescite that she wasn't going to vote for Hils no matter what the popular vote in the state.
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
The Electoral College votes were interesting. After all that talk of electors refusing to vote for Trump, he only lost two votes. But Clinton managed to lose four of hers, double the loss; not to mention another three electors who were ruled out of order because they failed to vote for her when bound to do so.
I didn't look at the results closely (read: at all) but I know one of the electors from the great state of Washington had said before the plebescite that she wasn't going to vote for Hils no matter what the popular vote in the state.
Ah, yes, American democracy. Con hundreds of millions of ordinary people into imagining that they are voting for the next president when they are in fact only voting for the 538 special people, themselves appointed on slates by the very parties standing in the election, who will choose the president; and then, when any of the special people vote the wrong way, discount that vote and replace the recalcitrant voter with another voter who can be relied upon to vote the "right" way.
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
Ah, yes, American democracy. Con hundreds of millions of ordinary people into imagining that they are voting for the next president when they are in fact only voting for the 538 special people, themselves appointed on slates by the very parties standing in the election, who will choose the president; and then, when any of the special people vote the wrong way, discount that vote and replace the recalcitrant voter with another voter who can be relied upon to vote the "right" way.
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on
:
Goldfish Stew: quote:
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
Hey, *we* got it right in 1688 The saving in election costs alone...
BTW, if you're in Aotearoa she's *your* head of state too.
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
Not a meaningful comparison.
Having said that, I'd do away with the monarchy today if it was up to me.
Posted by Jane R (# 331) on
:
David Goode: quote:
I'd do away with the monarchy today if it was up to me.
You *want* a circus like the American Presidential election every umpty years over here?
Also... the Royal Family are not perfect (far from it), but are you willing to take the risk of ending up with Nigel Farrago (or someone even worse, if such a thing be possible) instead? Because I'm not, which is why I am (reluctantly) not a republican.
(with apologies to US shipmates for the tangent)
[ 21. December 2016, 10:47: Message edited by: Jane R ]
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
It doesn't have to be an American style circus. Plenty of other republics manage to do presidential elections without descending to that.
And, yes, it's a risk worth taking, I think.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
David--
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
Not a meaningful comparison.
Having said that, I'd do away with the monarchy today if it was up to me.
All right. Go ahead and fix your gov't. Then report back to us American Shipmates, and we'll take your ideas under advisement.
Posted by Barnabas62 (# 9110) on
:
Vomit warning
I watched a little bit of Bill O'Reilly last night and there was a discussion about Electoral College Reform. The argument was interesting. If the EC was replaced by a simple popular vote majority, this would disenfranchise the white majority. It would also mean that candidates would concentrate on the large urban centres where most of the votes are and ignore the rural areas which have solid white majorities. The discussion also noted that a clear majority of white men have deserted the GOP. It characterised the 'liberal press campaign' for EC reform as essentially racist, based on the argument that the white majority could not be trusted to do the right thing.
I could hardly believe my ears. The EC was defended on racist and sexist grounds on the basis that the campaign for reform was itself racist. And Hillary Clinton's popular vote majority was 'blamed' on California!
All done with a straight face.
Posted by Moo (# 107) on
:
Here is a map showing which states were won by Hillary and which by Trump.
From what I have read, voters were much more influenced by economic issues than race. Economic issues affect people's everyday lives, while race is usually secondary.
The economy is in bad shape, and Washington doesn't realize it. They point to a low unemployment rate while ignoring the fact that there is a lower percentage of people with jobs now than there has been for more than thirty years. Many people have given up trying to find jobs. The economy is growing at a rate of about one percent a year, and the population is increasing at a higher rate.
I just read in our local newspaper that the Volvo truck factory, which is located about twenty miles from me, is laying off its second shift workers. A while back they laid off the third shift. Aside from the local hardship this will cause (especially in an area which is not prosperous at the best of times), it is an indicator of the state of the national economy. The layoffs have come because of a reduced demand for trucks. Since trucks are used to transport goods, the reduced demand means that fewer goods are being transported. Presumably the people who used to produce these goods are now unemployed or underemployed.
If the Democrats had kept their eyes open to the real economic situation, they might have won the election.
Moo
Posted by Stetson (# 9597) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
Not a meaningful comparison.
Having said that, I'd do away with the monarchy today if it was up to me.
The "Head Of State" issue is a red-herring, because the Queen doesn't actually have any real power to enact policy.
Suffice to note that, under the Westminister system, a party CAN actually win a majority government without even winning a plurality of the votes, ie. they can get the majority of available seats in the Commons, even thougn some other party beat them in the popular vote. This has happened numerous times that I can think of in provincial elections, including at least one time when it benefitted the party I support.
So, no, not much better than the Electoral College system, in terms of accurately representing the will of the majority.
[ 21. December 2016, 13:22: Message edited by: Stetson ]
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
And how many people voted for Theresa May?
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
And how many people voted for Theresa May?
Another meaningless comparison. In this country we vote for a local member of parliament (MP), in geographic constituencies with more or less equal numbers of voters. The party with the most MPs elected wins, and forms the government, either on its own, or in coalition with other parties if it doesn't have an overall majority of MPs, and then chooses its prime minister. By convention, that's the person who also happens to be the party's elected leader, though it needn't be.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
How is it meaningless? The United States chooses it's president the way it chooses it's president which is the way it's chosen it's president for over 200 years and that has NEVER been by overall popular vote. Saying that all other democracies choose their governments based on popular vote alone is pure and utter nonsense. You can't live in the UK complain about Trump not winning the popular vote and be OK with the SNP having more members of parliament than the UKIP or Lib-Dems. Don't give me that crap about Scotland being its own separate kingdom either. Scotland and England have far more similarities than New York and Nebraska.
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
How is it meaningless? The United States chooses it's president the way it chooses it's president which is the way it's chosen it's president for over 200 years and that has NEVER been by overall popular vote.
No. The electoral delegates used to be chosen by the state governments. You are wrong. This is NOT the way we have chosen our delegates for over 200 years.
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
Saying that all other democracies choose their governments based on popular vote alone is pure and utter nonsense. You can't live in the UK complain about Trump not winning the popular vote and be OK with the SNP having more members of parliament than the UKIP or Lib-Dems. Don't give me that crap about Scotland being its own separate kingdom either.
Hold tight. I never said a single one of those things.
Posted by David Goode (# 9224) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
How is it meaningless? The United States chooses it's president the way it chooses it's president which is the way it's chosen it's president for over 200 years and that has NEVER been by overall popular vote.
No. The electoral delegates used to be chosen by the state governments. You are wrong. This is NOT the way we have chosen our delegates for over 200 years.
Interesting. Do you know roughly when that change happened, and how it came about?
Posted by mousethief (# 953) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
How is it meaningless? The United States chooses it's president the way it chooses it's president which is the way it's chosen it's president for over 200 years and that has NEVER been by overall popular vote.
No. The electoral delegates used to be chosen by the state governments. You are wrong. This is NOT the way we have chosen our delegates for over 200 years.
Interesting. Do you know roughly when that change happened, and how it came about?
I'm having a hard time researching this. The sites are rather good on the niceties of the legal details, but schtum on the actuality on the ground. Frustrating.
Posted by Callan (# 525) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
Ah, yes, American democracy. Con hundreds of millions of ordinary people into imagining that they are voting for the next president when they are in fact only voting for the 538 special people, themselves appointed on slates by the very parties standing in the election, who will choose the president; and then, when any of the special people vote the wrong way, discount that vote and replace the recalcitrant voter with another voter who can be relied upon to vote the "right" way.
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
We let God* handle it as he happens to have better taste than the American Demos. Unless someone wants to argue that Donald Trump is classier than Brenda.
*Actually, we did have to give God a teensy bit of a helping hand with the Protestant Succession thing and putting the skids under Edward VIII when he turned out to be a bit fash. But, by and large, He's done a pretty good job since 1688.
Posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe (# 5521) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
We let God handle it. . . . By and large, He's done a pretty good job since 1688.
He certainly hit the jackpot with George III so far as we Americans are concerned.
Posted by Goldfish Stew (# 5512) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Jane R:
BTW, if you're in Aotearoa she's *your* head of state too.
Don't remind me
Posted by lilBuddha (# 14333) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
*Actually, we did have to give God a teensy bit of a helping hand with the Protestant Succession thing and putting the skids under Edward VIII when he turned out to be a bit fash. But, by and large, He's done a pretty good job since 1688.
Sure made a mess of things before that, though. Wonder what took him so long to focus?
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
We let God handle it. . . . By and large, He's done a pretty good job since 1688.
He certainly hit the jackpot with George III so far as we Americans are concerned.
George III was not so bad. Neither was the treatment of the colonies. And the revolution was not a populist movement, etc.
Understanding history is bad enough without nationalist propaganda.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by mousethief:
quote:
Originally posted by Beeswax Altar:
How is it meaningless? The United States chooses it's president the way it chooses it's president which is the way it's chosen it's president for over 200 years and that has NEVER been by overall popular vote.
No. The electoral delegates used to be chosen by the state governments. You are wrong. This is NOT the way we have chosen our delegates for over 200 years.
Since 1804, the electoral college functions the same way it functions now. President and vice president were never chosen by popular vote. For the record, with a few exceptions, states have chosen electors by either winner take all or divided their electors by house district for over two hundred years.
Posted by Gee D (# 13815) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Goldfish Stew:
quote:
Originally posted by David Goode:
Ah, yes, American democracy. Con hundreds of millions of ordinary people into imagining that they are voting for the next president when they are in fact only voting for the 538 special people, themselves appointed on slates by the very parties standing in the election, who will choose the president; and then, when any of the special people vote the wrong way, discount that vote and replace the recalcitrant voter with another voter who can be relied upon to vote the "right" way.
And remind me again how the British elect their head of state?
IIRC, those standing as electors from some states are required to say for whom they will vote if successful and may not change unless that person is no longer a candidate.
Don't forget the manner in which the upper house of the British parliament is constituted - some elected by a very small constituency (most hereditary peers), some by long service in their jobs ( the bishops) and others appointed by various governments over the years (all the life peers ). Then there are still 2 who make their way by pure hereditary right. Don't start me on the democratic manner in which the Canadian Senate is constituted - it makes the Senates here and the US look like models of popular election.
Posted by Sober Preacher's Kid (# 12699) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by lilBuddha:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
*Actually, we did have to give God a teensy bit of a helping hand with the Protestant Succession thing and putting the skids under Edward VIII when he turned out to be a bit fash. But, by and large, He's done a pretty good job since 1688.
Sure made a mess of things before that, though. Wonder what took him so long to focus?
quote:
Originally posted by Amanda B. Reckondwythe:
quote:
Originally posted by Callan:
We let God handle it. . . . By and large, He's done a pretty good job since 1688.
He certainly hit the jackpot with George III so far as we Americans are concerned.
George III was not so bad. Neither was the treatment of the colonies. And the revolution was not a populist movement, etc.
Understanding history is bad enough without nationalist propaganda.
Eh, is someone talking smack about His Most Gracious Majesty George III, of late and happy memory?
In my town the very centre is reckoned to be the intersection of George St. and Charlotte St!
Posted by Kelly Alves (# 2522) on
:
Oh, George wasn't such a bad guy.John Adams liked him.
Posted by Beeswax Altar (# 11644) on
:
quote:
originally posted by Sober Preacher's Kid:
Eh, is someone talking smack about His Most Gracious Majesty George III, of late and happy memory?
George III was an usurper. I stand prepared to support Franz of Bavaria should he ever wish to declare himself King of the United States. Support in much the same way Iceland supports NATO military operations. I'll share some Jacobite memes on Facebook or something.
Posted by Penny S (# 14768) on
:
Usurpers don't get invited in by the populace. Constitutional monarchy we have.
Posted by no prophet's flag is set so... (# 15560) on
:
Doesn't the USA president function like a limited term constitional monarch? With a consort queen in a first lady. An adopted crown pence. Though if impeached, doesn't get his head chopped off. Perhaps unfortunately.
Posted by Og, King of Bashan (# 9562) on
:
This seems to be the place to put this.
Some of you may remember that, a week before the election, a church in Mississippi was burned, with the words "Vote Trump" spray painted on the walls.
They have arrested a suspect. The suspect is a member of the church, and at this time, the police believe that the arson was not politically motivated, although it may have been the intent of the suspect to disguise the fire as a hate crime.
It's hard to say what to think of this. I'm sure there are already folks on the radio saying that this proves that every report of a hate crime for the last few months has been made up. And certainly that is not true.
I think the worst thing we could do with this story is hide it or not report it, in fear that it will take credibility away from our narrative.
Any other thoughts? Mostly, I'm sad for the church, and sad about the kind of trouble the suspect has experienced in life that would have caused him to do this.
Posted by cliffdweller (# 13338) on
:
That about covers it. While I agree that we shouldn't hide it, I don't think we need to assume anyone would. At the same time, there really isn't much more to say. Just one of the sad tragic things that happens in life.
Posted by Golden Key (# 1468) on
:
quote:
Originally posted by Kelly Alves:
Oh, George wasn't such a bad guy. John Adams liked him.
Suffered from porphyria, or some such. Hence, "The Madness Of King George".
Posted by Augustine the Aleut (# 1472) on