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Source: (consider it) Thread: Purgatory: Thoughts on Jeremy Corbyn as Labour leader
Doc Tor
Deepest Red
# 9748

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It just strikes me (as of R4's PM programme) that a good chunk of the reporting was about Corbyn's complaint that he's continually being misreported. The reporter reporting about the complaint of misreporting said there was no point in complaining about misreporting, and that reporters were right to complain about being complained about.

Given that, Corbyn clearly has a point. He's going to have to bypass the traditional media's reporting of things he's said, and instead put himself directly and unfiltered in front of as many people as possible.

Which is why I'm going to give up an hour to listen to whole thing myself.

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Forward the New Republic

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shamwari
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May I elaborate on my point out of my own experience?

During the war years in Zimbabwe Robert Mugabe used every opportunity on the world stage to espouse a narrative based upon the Christian principles he imbibed at an RC school. He spoke of justice and the liberation of the oppressed etc etc which resonated with Christian and Liberal values.

Come 1980 and his access to power. Those sound-bytes were ditched overnight. He sent his Korean trained 5th Brigade into Matabeleland and massacred 1000s of black people who supported Nkomo rather than him. Genocide on a grand scale and the West remained silent! Years later he sent his War Veterans (most of whom were semen at the time of the Struggle) to invade commercial farms and thereby wrecked the economy irreparably.

The point is that all his facile "liberalsim" and plausible moral justification was torn up and disappeared into thin air the moment he gained power. Result = today Zimbabwe is a basket case of the first order.

I see little difference between Mugabe and Corbyn in their tactical ploy to win power. Its window dressing to confuse the masses. Once in power all morality is ditched.

The story of Zimbabwe is a salutary lesson for us. Economic ineptitude dressed up in high-sounding moral platitudes and worthy sounbites added to an unacknowledged Marxist-Leninist philosophy is a recipe for disaster.

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Sioni Sais
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quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:


Scrap Trident. Abolish the Monarchy. Print money to finance expenditure on housing etc; tax the rich and middle classes out of existence and create a Marxist-Leninist heaven on earth. Why not come clean at the outset?

You missed out HS2 and the bomb magnets. If you spend money to build and renovate houses you will reduce unemployment and stimulate the economy more than the shiny kit ever will. As for taxing the rich and middle classes out of existence then, well, the current policy is only reducing poverty and disability by killing the poor and disabled. Yes, benefit cuts, especially replacing Disability Living Allowances by Personal Independence Payments, are doing just that.

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"He isn't Doctor Who, he's The Doctor"

(Paul Sinha, BBC)

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Ricardus
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quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:

Scrap Trident. Abolish the Monarchy. Print money to finance expenditure on housing etc; tax the rich and middle classes out of existence and create a Marxist-Leninist heaven on earth. Why not come clean at the outset?

In what way has Mr Corbyn not 'come clean' about his views on Trident and the monarchy? If you mean why didn't he put them in his speech, Mr Corbyn has also been fairly clear that he wants a debate within his party before committing to a position on Trident, and he has also said numerous times that abolishing the monarchy is not a fight he wants to get into.

As for 'taxing the rich and middle classes out of existence', this is the sort of hysteria that The Daily Telegraph dole out to any left-wing leader, such as the revolutionary Communist 'Viva Cuba Libre' Lady Thatcher under whose premiership the top rate was 60p, or the radical far-left Trotskyist Mr Osborne whose first act as Chancellor was to put up VAT (is this right? - Ed.).

As for creating a Marxist-Leninist paradise, you are of course correct to highlight that there is no difference at all between Lenin, Keynes and Stiglitz; you could hardly slip a sheet of paper between them.

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Then the dog ran before, and coming as if he had brought the news, shewed his joy by his fawning and wagging his tail. -- Tobit 11:9 (Douai-Rheims)

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George Spigot

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quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:
I see little difference between Mugabe and Corbyn in their tactical ploy to win power. Its window dressing to confuse the masses. Once in power all morality is ditched.

The story of Zimbabwe is a salutary lesson for us. Economic ineptitude dressed up in high-sounding moral platitudes and worthy sounbites added to an unacknowledged Marxist-Leninist philosophy is a recipe for disaster.

.........Wow.

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Albertus
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Tinfoil hats over here...
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Doc Tor
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quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:
May I elaborate on my point out of my own experience?

You may, because it reveals such a super-abundance of hyperbole - nay, not since the Great Hyperbole Disaster of '02 where literally everybody everywhere died - that we can now safely ignore anything you say, have said or will in future say on this thread and/or topic, forever.

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Forward the New Republic

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lowlands_boy
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quote:
Originally posted by Ricardus:
quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:

Scrap Trident. Abolish the Monarchy. Print money to finance expenditure on housing etc; tax the rich and middle classes out of existence and create a Marxist-Leninist heaven on earth. Why not come clean at the outset?

In what way has Mr Corbyn not 'come clean' about his views on Trident and the monarchy? If you mean why didn't he put them in his speech, Mr Corbyn has also been fairly clear that he wants a debate within his party before committing to a position on Trident, and he has also said numerous times that abolishing the monarchy is not a fight he wants to get into.

As for 'taxing the rich and middle classes out of existence', this is the sort of hysteria that The Daily Telegraph dole out to any left-wing leader, such as the revolutionary Communist 'Viva Cuba Libre' Lady Thatcher under whose premiership the top rate was 60p, or the radical far-left Trotskyist Mr Osborne whose first act as Chancellor was to put up VAT (is this right? - Ed.).

As for creating a Marxist-Leninist paradise, you are of course correct to highlight that there is no difference at all between Lenin, Keynes and Stiglitz; you could hardly slip a sheet of paper between them.

He most certainly did mention Trident in the speech, making extremely clear he thinks it's the wrong thing to do. Then he said he wants to discuss it and persuade people, and also to provide alternative work for all the people currently in the industry.

His problem will come if he can't persuade the party, and he will look extremely compromised. He talked about the media portrayal of "discussion as disagreement, compromise as conflict etc etc" as well.

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I thought I should update my signature line....

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Ricardus
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lowlands_boy - Fair enough, I didn't actually watch the speech, I was just taking shamwari's word for it.

As he seems so well-informed about Mr Corbyn's secret plot to unleash armed thugs against his opponents' farms in the name of V. I. Lenin, I see no particular reason to doubt the accuracy of his account.

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Then the dog ran before, and coming as if he had brought the news, shewed his joy by his fawning and wagging his tail. -- Tobit 11:9 (Douai-Rheims)

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shamwari
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Typical. Responses suggest that I equate Corbyn with Mugabe in all respects.

What I am saying is that both use moralistic soundbytes when out of power in an effort to persuade well meaning people to support them. Nobody could have argued persuasively on moral grounds against Mugabe prior to his coming to power.

But once in power??

I do not question Corbyn's sincerity. But I have serious reservations about some of those backing him to the hilt ( Mclusky et al) and who will financially call the tune.

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chris stiles
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quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:

What I am saying is that both use moralistic soundbytes when out of power in an effort to persuade well meaning people to support them.

[Roll Eyes] You could argue that the current Tory government did just that [and you are after all the one who introduced the Mugabe comparison].

.. and I'm far more concerned about some of the backers of Cameron, most of whom have their hands considerably nearer the levers of power than McCluskey etc.

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Doc Tor
Deepest Red
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quote:
Originally posted by shamwari:
Typical. Responses suggest that I equate Corbyn with Mugabe in all respects.

Certainly in the respects which actually matter:
quote:
I see little difference between Mugabe and Corbyn in their tactical ploy to win power. Its window dressing to confuse the masses. Once in power all morality is ditched.
Have you any evidence whatsoever that Corbyn, an elected MP for decades, an a member of the governing party for many of them, has changed substantially between what he says and what he does?

Indeed, the current complaint from the right is that he's inflexible and intransigent, and needs to compromise and ameliorate his rigid dogma in order to win people over.

He's either one or the other. Make up your mind.

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Forward the New Republic

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lowlands_boy
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Corbyn has put an interesting twist on the Trident renewal debate this morning, by stipulating that if he were Prime Minister, he would never push the button anyway.

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I thought I should update my signature line....

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Karl: Liberal Backslider
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quote:
Originally posted by lowlands_boy:
Corbyn has put an interesting twist on the Trident renewal debate this morning, by stipulating that if he were Prime Minister, he would never push the button anyway.

The possibility of a Prime Minister who understands that mass murder is a Bad Thing is, IMV, rather a promising sign.

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Might as well ask the bloody cat.

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George Spigot

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quote:
Originally posted by lowlands_boy:
Corbyn has put an interesting twist on the Trident renewal debate this morning, by stipulating that if he were Prime Minister, he would never push the button anyway.

Neither would I. Yet another reason to support him.

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C.S. Lewis's Head is just a tool for the Devil. (And you can quote me on that.) ~
Philip Purser Hallard
http://www.thoughtplay.com/infinitarian/gbsfatb.html

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lowlands_boy
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It's certainly the ultimate trump card for him as far as that debate goes, but of course the lifespan of the deterrent would far outlast the potential reign of one PM.

It will be interesting to see how these debates in the Labour party pan out, and in how many of them Corbyn ends up as "the loser" (albeit that he mentioned in his speech that he doesn't see it like that).

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I thought I should update my signature line....

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betjemaniac
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Just for those on here keeping the reports for the day they can look back and say "look, told you the media didn't get it" (can't remember who that is but I think there're a couple), can I offer what I think is a pretty good summary of yesterday's speech from the Economist, which I'm tempted to file under "look, the media did get it" - but obviously will do for yours too?

Economist

I think this just about sums up where Corbyn is currently for me.

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And is it true? For if it is....

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chris stiles
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quote:
Originally posted by betjemaniac:
I think is a pretty good summary of yesterday's speech from the Economist, which I'm tempted to file under "look, the media did get it" - but obviously will do for yours too?

Economist

Whenever I read an editorial from the Economist, I'm reminded of James Fallows critique of the magazine.

[FWIW I'm a past subscriber - though not for several years - but the tendencies Fallows identifies have been exacerbated over time].

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Eutychus
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tangent/

A subscriber of many years' standing, I find myself agreeing somewhat with this assessment, but I've yet to find anything better written.

/tangent

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Let's remember that we are to build the Kingdom of God, not drive people away - pastor Frank Pomeroy

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Enoch
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quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
The possibility of a Prime Minister who understands that mass murder is a Bad Thing is, IMV, rather a promising sign.

Is this merely facile rhetoric or are you suggesting there have been Prime Ministers who have thought mass murder was a Good Thing? If so, can you name them?

There have been political leaders who have thought this. I could name them, and so could you. But fortunately, they haven't been ours. It is something for which we should be grateful.

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Brexit wrexit - Sir Graham Watson

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Doublethink.
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Churchill

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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quetzalcoatl
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Corbyn as a Marxist-Leninist? Farcical. He and McDonnell strike me as moderate Keynesians. It shows how far right the political narrative has gone, that Keynes can be seen as extremist.

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I can't talk to you today; I talked to two people yesterday.

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Karl: Liberal Backslider
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quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
The possibility of a Prime Minister who understands that mass murder is a Bad Thing is, IMV, rather a promising sign.

Is this merely facile rhetoric or are you suggesting there have been Prime Ministers who have thought mass murder was a Good Thing? If so, can you name them?

There have been political leaders who have thought this. I could name them, and so could you. But fortunately, they haven't been ours. It is something for which we should be grateful.

Pressing the button is mass murder. If you're willing to do that, then by definition you're willing to commit mass murder. If you're willing to commit mass murder, presumably you don't consider it a bad thing, or you'd not be willing to do it.

Previous Prime Ministers have been, or claimed they have been, willing to commit mass murder in this way. Therefore, by simple logic, facile or otherwise, none of them thought mass murder was always a bad thing, because all of them have been willing to base a defence strategy on the willingness to do it.

[ 30. September 2015, 12:24: Message edited by: Karl: Liberal Backslider ]

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Might as well ask the bloody cat.

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Albertus
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Mass killing. 'Mas murder' begs the question. You may think it'd be murder, and others might think it'd be murder, but rightly or wrongly quite a lot of established opinion doesn't think that killing lots of civilians by aerial bombing or missile attack in a war is mass murder.
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Alan Cresswell

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That's because people create euphemisms to pretend that killing someone who never raised an arm to harm you is anything other than murder, and the killing of a large number of such people isn't mass murder. It's just 'collateral damage' [Roll Eyes] , that makes it OK doesn't it? [Mad]

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Don't cling to a mistake just because you spent a lot of time making it.

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George Spigot

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quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Mass killing. 'Mas murder' begs the question. You may think it'd be murder, and others might think it'd be murder, but rightly or wrongly quite a lot of established opinion doesn't think that killing lots of civilians by aerial bombing or missile attack in a war is mass murder.

I can understand why some people wouldn't want to call it murder but by any meaningful definition that makes sense and avoids political spin it is murder.
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Enoch
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quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
Pressing the button is mass murder. If you're willing to do that, then by definition you're willing to commit mass murder. If you're willing to commit mass murder, presumably you don't consider it a bad thing, or you'd not be willing to do it.

Previous Prime Ministers have been, or claimed they have been, willing to commit mass murder in this way. Therefore, by simple logic, facile or otherwise, none of them thought mass murder was always a bad thing, because all of them have been willing to base a defence strategy on the willingness to do it.

Big non sequitur alert

No. Sorry. That's a non sequitur on an almost heroic scale.

Virtually everyone who has had to commit their country to war, at least since 1918, and largely even before, has done so regretting it. Apparently even the Kaiser had qualms, and had to be persuaded that it was too late to change his mind.

On World at One about two hours ago, Labour multilateralists were unanimous in saying that one has deterrence in the abiding hope one will never have to use it. Unattractive though this may be to some people's simplistic world view, I'm fairly confident that is the unanimous visceral belief of the leading figures in all the other parties as well, and in virtually all the leaders in other countries. Almost everybody thinks that mass murder, whether done by the state or anyone else is a thorough bad thing. Virtually all leaders hope they will never be faced with a situation where they have to decide between mass murder of other people and mass murder of the people they are supposed to be protecting.

There are a few exceptions. There are leaders who have though that the eradication of undesirable racial groups (e.g. Jews, Armenians - though that was just before my 1918 cut off point), or undesirable social groups, kulaks, most of the population of Cambodia, are legitimate and desirable objectives. But fortunately, most of the time, they are unusual.

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Brexit wrexit - Sir Graham Watson

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quetzalcoatl
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(Reply to Alan Cresswell above).

Yes, Chomsky has written quite a lot on this, including his bizarre dialogue with Sam Harris, wherein Chomsky outlines his well-known argument that collateral damage is often anything but, and refutes Harris's argument that the Western powers 'don't intend to kill large numbers of people, so that's OK'. (Available online, didn't give a link, rather o/t).

[ 30. September 2015, 14:08: Message edited by: quetzalcoatl ]

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I can't talk to you today; I talked to two people yesterday.

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Karl: Liberal Backslider
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quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Mass killing. 'Mas murder' begs the question. You may think it'd be murder, and others might think it'd be murder, but rightly or wrongly quite a lot of established opinion doesn't think that killing lots of civilians by aerial bombing or missile attack in a war is mass murder.

I believe they are wrong. It's not the name, it's the mass death that's the problem.

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Might as well ask the bloody cat.

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Karl: Liberal Backslider
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quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
Pressing the button is mass murder. If you're willing to do that, then by definition you're willing to commit mass murder. If you're willing to commit mass murder, presumably you don't consider it a bad thing, or you'd not be willing to do it.

Previous Prime Ministers have been, or claimed they have been, willing to commit mass murder in this way. Therefore, by simple logic, facile or otherwise, none of them thought mass murder was always a bad thing, because all of them have been willing to base a defence strategy on the willingness to do it.

Big non sequitur alert

No. Sorry. That's a non sequitur on an almost heroic scale.

Virtually everyone who has had to commit their country to war, at least since 1918, and largely even before, has done so regretting it. Apparently even the Kaiser had qualms, and had to be persuaded that it was too late to change his mind.

On World at One about two hours ago, Labour multilateralists were unanimous in saying that one has deterrence in the abiding hope one will never have to use it. Unattractive though this may be to some people's simplistic world view, I'm fairly confident that is the unanimous visceral belief of the leading figures in all the other parties as well, and in virtually all the leaders in other countries. Almost everybody thinks that mass murder, whether done by the state or anyone else is a thorough bad thing. Virtually all leaders hope they will never be faced with a situation where they have to decide between mass murder of other people and mass murder of the people they are supposed to be protecting.

There are a few exceptions. There are leaders who have though that the eradication of undesirable racial groups (e.g. Jews, Armenians - though that was just before my 1918 cut off point), or undesirable social groups, kulaks, most of the population of Cambodia, are legitimate and desirable objectives. But fortunately, most of the time, they are unusual.

There is no "have to use it". There are no conceivable circumstances where using it could be justifiable, or even advantageous. It depends on a threat that cannot possibly be acted on. It's a colossal waste of money based on an immoral threat. The only way its proponents can argue they're not willing to commit mass murder (or mass killing of innocent civilians if you prefer) is to be lying when they say they'd use it. It's either directly immoral or dishonestly so.

Which is why approve Corbyn's unwillingness to do it, and his honesty in saying so.

You can insult me by calling that "simplistic" if you like - I call it "principled".

[ 30. September 2015, 14:48: Message edited by: Karl: Liberal Backslider ]

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Might as well ask the bloody cat.

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Ricardus
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Pfft - Mr Corbyn's refusal to press the button is nothing. I've heard that Ayatollah Khomeini has ruled out taking the bacon butty test on Iranian TV, and the Pope has rejected any suggestion of marriage during his papacy. It's even reported that Peter Robinson has spoken unfavourably of Irish unification.

(Honestly, what were people expecting him to say?)

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Then the dog ran before, and coming as if he had brought the news, shewed his joy by his fawning and wagging his tail. -- Tobit 11:9 (Douai-Rheims)

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Ricardus
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quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:
Virtually all leaders hope they will never be faced with a situation where they have to decide between mass murder of other people and mass murder of the people they are supposed to be protecting.

How would launching Trident prevent the British public from being murdered? I thought the point was that we'd only press our button if the Soviets pressed theirs first - in which case, we're dead anyway. And if we're going to die, we should avoid dying in a state of mortal sin.

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Then the dog ran before, and coming as if he had brought the news, shewed his joy by his fawning and wagging his tail. -- Tobit 11:9 (Douai-Rheims)

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Albertus
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# 13356

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quote:
Originally posted by George Spigot:
quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
Mass killing. 'Mas murder' begs the question. You may think it'd be murder, and others might think it'd be murder, but rightly or wrongly quite a lot of established opinion doesn't think that killing lots of civilians by aerial bombing or missile attack in a war is mass murder.

I can understand why some people wouldn't want to call it murder but by any meaningful definition that makes sense and avoids political spin it is murder.
Not so. Murder is killing outside certain legally defined parameters and with certain legally defined mental intentions. As it happens I think that it would be wrong to use nuclear weapons in response to a nuclear strike because the whole case for having nuclear weapons is to deter such a strike and if they've failed in that there's no justification for their use. I also think that conventional bombing of cities is morally wrong. But I wouldn't use the word 'murder' to describe even the bombing of Dresden or Coventry.
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Boogie

Boogie on down!
# 13538

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quote:
Originally posted by George Spigot:
quote:
Originally posted by lowlands_boy:
Corbyn has put an interesting twist on the Trident renewal debate this morning, by stipulating that if he were Prime Minister, he would never push the button anyway.

Neither would I. Yet another reason to support him.
Agreed. Trident is a total waste of money and deters nothing.

I like the man better each time he speaks.

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Garden. Room. Walk

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Enoch
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# 14322

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quote:
Originally posted by Karl: Liberal Backslider:
There is no "have to use it". There are no conceivable circumstances where using it could be justifiable, or even advantageous. It depends on a threat that cannot possibly be acted on. It's a colossal waste of money based on an immoral threat. The only way its proponents can argue they're not willing to commit mass murder (or mass killing of innocent civilians if you prefer) is to be lying when they say they'd use it. It's either directly immoral or dishonestly so.

Which is why approve Corbyn's unwillingness to do it, and his honesty in saying so.

You can insult me by calling that "simplistic" if you like - I call it "principled".

It would depend what you were advocated and on how considered a basis, whether I'd call your position simplistic.

If you are saying that there is a straightforward dichotomy, that everyone who is not a unilateralist thinks mass murder is a Good Thing, then, yes, I would call that simplistic. It would be up to you whether you classed that as an insult, or a badge to be worn with pride. Likewise if you were to say that you regard your position as principled and every other position as unprincipled.

If on the other hand, you were to say that you had considered the reasons why others have not taken the same position as you have, that you recognise that they are doing so because they are more pessimistic than you, and not because they are bloodthirsty scoundrels who are itching for the opportunity to wipe out vast swathes of their fellow humans, but you don't agree with them, then I would not call that simplistic.

Otherwise, it's a bit like not only setting the following multiple choice question in a history exam about Neville Chamberlain in 1938, but only allowing the candidate to choose one of the choices:-
Was he:-
1. a mug?
2. a principled man who after his experience of the last one, was horrified by the thought of another World War?
3. a wuss?
4. sneakily really supporting Fascism?
5. shrewdly buying an extra year to re-arm?
6. someone with too limited an imagination to realise just how vicious his enemy was?
7. trying hard to preserve peace in Europe?
8. a man who believed he had to give Hitler the chance to show he could do the decent thing, even if he then showed he wasn't going to?, or
9. this was all 75+ years ago, and irrelevant to us now because we know better?

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Brexit wrexit - Sir Graham Watson

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quetzalcoatl
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I am certainly enjoying listening to Corbyn (and McDonnell), and they strike me as moderate social democrats, not at all the far left extremists being portrayed in the media.

I also detect in people that I know, quite a lot of interest in their ideas. I think the sticking point will be the economy, however. There is the Middle England Fear Factor here, which applies to anyone with a mortgage, or savings, or some kind of financial interest, which is a lot of people.

I don't know how Corbyn is going to reassure such people that their money is safe with them, not because he might suggest nationalizing their bank accounts, but simply because of uncertainty, and the fear factor about the unknown.

Of course, ironically, they may well not be safe with Osborne, in economic terms. But Osborne has managed so far to spin a narrative which convinces people.

Still, I am interested in what comes next with Corbyn. He is, well, refreshing, after the New Labour apparatchiks, and the Tory unpersons.

I also love the stony faces of some Labour MPs, when asked about him. Priceless. They are not sure whether to stick or twist.

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I can't talk to you today; I talked to two people yesterday.

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Sioni Sais
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# 5713

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quote:
Originally posted by Enoch:

Otherwise, it's a bit like not only setting the following multiple choice question in a history exam about Neville Chamberlain in 1938, but only allowing the candidate to choose one of the choices:-
Was he:-
1. a mug?
2. a principled man who after his experience of the last one, was horrified by the thought of another World War?
3. a wuss?
4. sneakily really supporting Fascism?
5. shrewdly buying an extra year to re-arm?
6. someone with too limited an imagination to realise just how vicious his enemy was?
7. trying hard to preserve peace in Europe?
8. a man who believed he had to give Hitler the chance to show he could do the decent thing, even if he then showed he wasn't going to?, or
9. this was all 75+ years ago, and irrelevant to us now because we know better?

2 + 7 with a side order of 5. I have read that Neville Chamberlain, post-Munich, was one of our most popular Prime Ministers. Very few opposed him at the time.

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"He isn't Doctor Who, he's The Doctor"

(Paul Sinha, BBC)

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betjemaniac
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# 17618

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I have to say I foundthis in the Staggers of all places quite interesting. Corbyn, the Nirvana paradox, and why inter alia multilateral disarmament might make nuclear war more likely!

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And is it true? For if it is....

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Anglican't
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This is all very interesting, but of course the more time that the Labour Party spends discussing the merits or otherwise of nuclear weapons, the more they gently distance themselves from floating voters who care about such things as the health service, tax rates, the police and their children's education.
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Albertus
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I'd go with that, Sioni. My grandfather, who admittedly had no particular knowledge of it apart from having joined the Red Cross in 1938 to train against the war which he knew was coming, was of the view that Chamberlain was buying time.
Hard cheese on Czechoslovakia, of course, but which of us can say for sure that we would have made a better decision?

[ 30. September 2015, 19:39: Message edited by: Albertus ]

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alienfromzog

Ship's Alien
# 5327

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quote:
Originally posted by Albertus:
I'd go with that, Sioni. My grandfather, who admittedly had no particular knowledge of it apart from having joined the Red Cross in 1938 to train against the war which he knew was coming, was of the view that Chamberlain was buying time.
Hard cheese on Czechoslovakia, of course, but which of us can say for sure that we would have made a better decision?

I think that's an interesting perspective. If indeed that was Chamberlain's strategy, there is a strong case that he was playing a poor hand very well. Probably no comfort for Czechoslovakia but I don't think anything could have saved them at that point.

Conversely "This means Peace in our time" is either good acting or sounds completely foolish with hindsight.

YMMV, of course.

AFZ

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Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts.
[Sen. D.P.Moynihan]

An Alien's View of Earth - my blog (or vanity exercise...)

Posts: 2150 | From: Zog, obviously! Straight past Alpha Centauri, 2nd planet on the left... | Registered: Dec 2003  |  IP: Logged
Doublethink.
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# 1984

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When people argue for the nuclear deterrent, they always say it has kept the peace. Where ? When ? We have been at war for the majority of my lifetime. There were concentration camps in Europe when I was a teenager. Wars in central Europe lasting for years. There have been bombings intermittently in the UK all my life. A country was annexed this decade.

What, exactly, has been deterred ?

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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Anglican't
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quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
When people argue for the nuclear deterrent, they always say it has kept the peace.

Do they? It may have kept a certain kind of peace but does anyone argue that it has averted all war?
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Doublethink.
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# 1984

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When I was younger they used to say, it averted war in Europe, then the break up of Yugoslavia happened. Lately, I don't know what it is that trident is supposed to prevent. That is my question.

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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Gwai
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# 11076

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quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
When people argue for the nuclear deterrent, they always say it has kept the peace. Where ? When ? We have been at war for the majority of my lifetime. There were concentration camps in Europe when I was a teenager. Wars in central Europe lasting for years. There have been bombings intermittently in the UK all my life. A country was annexed this decade.

What, exactly, has been deterred ?

This is really a devil's advocate position for me, but I think the answer is that it's stopped war from being worse. My mom would tell me that no one's dared to have a "serious" war--and by serious she means serious for the people in the powerful countries--because of the nuclear deterrent.

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A master of men was the Goodly Fere,
A mate of the wind and sea.
If they think they ha’ slain our Goodly Fere
They are fools eternally.


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Doc Tor
Deepest Red
# 9748

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quote:
Originally posted by Anglican't:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
When people argue for the nuclear deterrent, they always say it has kept the peace.

Do they? It may have kept a certain kind of peace but does anyone argue that it has averted all war?
Well, the Tory MP (and former soldier) on PM this evening came very close to saying that. He also asserted that Trident is 'independent of the USA'.

That'll have the White House snorting into their cheerios in the morning.

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Forward the New Republic

Posts: 9131 | From: Ultima Thule | Registered: Jul 2005  |  IP: Logged
Doublethink.
Ship's Foolwise Unperson
# 1984

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quote:
Originally posted by Gwai:
quote:
Originally posted by Doublethink.:
When people argue for the nuclear deterrent, they always say it has kept the peace. Where ? When ? We have been at war for the majority of my lifetime. There were concentration camps in Europe when I was a teenager. Wars in central Europe lasting for years. There have been bombings intermittently in the UK all my life. A country was annexed this decade.

What, exactly, has been deterred ?

This is really a devil's advocate position for me, but I think the answer is that it's stopped war from being worse. My mom would tell me that no one's dared to have a "serious" war--and by serious she means serious for the people in the powerful countries--because of the nuclear deterrent.
That could conceivably be due to the nuclear deterrent - but it could equally well be because people looked at the last two world wars and thought - we're buggered if we want to go through that again.

I note that although we had a legal agreement with Ukraine, in exchange for them giving up their nuclear weapons, saying we'd help them if they were attacked. We actually didn't intervene in the annexation because no one wanted a war with Russia.

I am not convinced that is because they thought it would become a nuclear war - I think they just didn't want another large scale European war.

Conversely, Russia did not obtain Crimea by saying give us your territory or we'll drop a nuke on you. Nor have they tried that in any of the other wars they have fought with none nuclear powers in the last however many years.

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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Doublethink.
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# 1984

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It strikes me that the most effective defence against nuclear attack is to be able to stop a nuclear strike hitting your territory - which would require advanced conventional or cyber sabotage capability, or some kind of missile shield.

The only special thing about nukes is they are a highly efficient delivery system for mass death and poisoning. If you had a burning need to do that pre-emptively, you can do it with convential weapons it just takes longer. (I.e carpet bombing a city, chemical weapons, biological weapons, dropping ebola in the water supply or whatever.)

We simply don't have a enoungh nuclear weapons to destroy Russia entirely - its too big and they have way more than us and our land mass is comparatovely tiny. Mutally assured destruction from a UK perspective simply means Russia makes this island uninhabited, slaughtering about 65 million people, and the one submarine at sea tries to take out a couple of cities.

Depending on what the prime minister may or may not have written in a letter.

A day later, when they surface and discover that Radio 4 is no longer broadcasting the Today programme (yes, seriously, they had to get MOD permission when they wanted to broadcast 15 sec of silence a year or so ago).

As a military strategy it is ridiculous - even before you start to consider the ethics of it.

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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Doublethink.
Ship's Foolwise Unperson
# 1984

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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-13442735

My mistake, they require several days notice to fire. And they have to get the warheads serviced in Georgia, USA - so they'll be bugger all use if we ever end up in serious conflict with the USA.

[ 30. September 2015, 22:43: Message edited by: Doublethink. ]

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All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome. George Orwell

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chris stiles
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# 12641

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quote:
Originally posted by quetzalcoatl:

I think the sticking point will be the economy, however. There is the Middle England Fear Factor here, which applies to anyone with a mortgage, or savings, or some kind of financial interest, which is a lot of people.

Of course the wider irony is that in the longer term the housing market has to be rebalanced wrt the rest of the economy, and so at some point someone will have to pose policies that triggers the Fear Factor - or we do the whole thing via another crash.
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